SRI TRANG AGRO-INDUSTRY PUBLIC COMPANY LIMITED
FY15 & 4Q15
ANALYST
PRESENTATION
3 March 2016
FY2015 AND 4Q15 RESULTS
2
100
150
200
250
RSS
TSR
SICOMPrice
(UScent:Kg.)
2014 Avg.
RSS = 196
TSR = 171
2015 Avg.
RSS = 156
TSR = 137▼20% YoY
CrudeOilPrice
(USD:Bbl.)
THB/USD
Movement
30
50
70
90
110
▼39% YoY
31
32
33
34
35
36
37
▲5% YoY
SICOM – Oil Price - FX
3
*Adjusting for (reversal) allowance of inventory and realised gains /(losses) from hedging activities
(THB million) FY’14 FY’15 %YoY Q4’14 Q3’15 Q4’15 %YoY %QoQ
Revenue 75,530 61,292 ▼19% 17,543 16,236 15,467 ▼12% ▼5%
Sale volume
(tons)
1,204,342 1,119,966 ▼7% 326,095 278,908 302,962 ▼7% ▲9%
Avg. selling price
(Baht per ton)
60,583 48,858 ▼19% 51,665 51,852 45,117 ▼13% ▼13%
Gross profit 3,348 3,521 ▲5% 1,130 570 617 ▼45% ▲8%
Adj. gross profit* 4,642 4,981 ▲7% 1,343 1,405 1,059 ▼21% ▼25%
EBITDA 2,568 3,008 ▲17% 413 983 314 ▼24% ▼68%
Net profit 1,038 1,118 ▲8% 13 350 (47) ▼462% ▼113%
Adj. GP margin* 6.1% 8.1% ▲200bps 7.7% 8.7% 6.8% ▼90bps ▼190bps
Net profit margin 1.4% 1.8% ▲40bps 0.1% 2.2% (0.3%) ▼40bps ▼250bps
Financial Highlights
4
Revenue – Yearly (THB million)Revenue – Quarterly (THB million)
9,819
5,462
57,512
44,483
5,631
4,774
2,567
6,573
75,530
61,292
FY 2014 FY 2015
RSS TSR Con. Latex Others
-18.9%
1,851 1,328 1,321 1,467 1,347
13,620
10,503 11,248 11,726 11,006
1,377
1,147
1,042 1,269
1,316
696
1,534 1,467
1,774 1,798
17,543
14,512 15,077
16,236
15,467
Q4 2014 Q1 2015 Q2 2015 Q3 2015 Q4 2015
RSS TSR Con. Latex Others
-11.8%
-4.7%
Revenue by Product
5
Adjusted Gross Profit – YearlyAdjusted Gross Profit – Quarterly
4,642
4,981
6.1%
8.1%
0.0%
2.0%
4.0%
6.0%
8.0%
10.0%
4,000
4,200
4,400
4,600
4,800
5,000
FY 2014 FY 2015
Margin %THB mm
+7.3%
1,343
1,077
1,440 1,405
1,059
7.7% 7.4%
9.6%
8.7%
6.8%
0.0%
2.0%
4.0%
6.0%
8.0%
10.0%
0
200
400
600
800
1,000
1,200
1,400
1,600
1,800
2,000
Q4 2014 Q1 2015 Q2 2015 Q3 2015 Q4 2015
Margin %THB mm
-21.1%
-24.6%
Adjusted Gross Profit*
6
*Adjusting for (reversal) allowance of inventory and
realised gains /(losses) from hedging activities
EBIT – Yearly (THB million)EBIT – Quarterly (THB million)
+15.5%-95.5%
-98.8%
Earning Before Interest and Tax (EBIT)
185
554
675
715
8
Q4 2014 Q1 2015 Q2 2015 Q3 2015 Q4 2015
1,690
1,952
FY 2014 FY 2015
7
Net Profit – Yearly (THB million)Net Profit – Quarterly (THB million)
1,038
1,118
1.4%
1.8%
0.0%
0.5%
1.0%
1.5%
2.0%
2.5%
3.0%
0
400
800
1,200
1,600
2,000
FY 2014 FY 2015
Net profit Net profit margin %
+7.7%
13
297
518
350
-47
0.1%
2.0%
3.4%
2.2%
-0.3%
-0.5%
0.0%
0.5%
1.0%
1.5%
2.0%
2.5%
3.0%
3.5%
4.0%
-200
0
200
400
600
800
1,000
Q4 2014 Q1 2015 Q2 2015 Q3 2015 Q4 2015
Net profit Net profit margin %
-462.6%
-113.5%
Net Profit
8
Key Financial Ratios
3.59%
4.50%
2.53%
2.74%
7.46%
9.37%
5.11%
5.33%
1.47
1.31 1.42 1.21
0.86
1.12
0.73
0.95
4.00
3.48
3.87 3.51
FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
75.20 78.31
83.33
87.84
FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
ROAROEInt.Coverage
CurrentRatioNetD/ECashcycle
(Times)
(Times) (Days)
(Times)
9
NATURAL RUBBER INDUSTRY
10
World Natural Rubber Balance
11.0 11.0
11.4
12.1
12.3
12.6
11.2
11.7
12.3 12.1 12.3
12.7
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016f
242
645
851
-23 -81
62
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016F
Unit : million tons Unit : ‘000 tonsDemand Supply Supply Surplus / (Deficit)
11
Source : IRSG
Natural Rubber BalanceNatural Rubber Demand & Supply
2016 NR consumption forecast2016 NR production forecast
4,370
3,141
1,058 943 700 684 480
0
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
Thailand Indonesia Vietnam China India Malaysia CAMAL
NR Production (000'tons)
2016 global production growth = 3.1%
+21.1% -1.6%
-2.6%
-1.1%
+4.0% +18.8%
+20.0%
%growth from 2015
4,918
1,190 1,051 988 723 612 5720
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
6,000
China Europe India USA Japan Thailand Indonesia
NR consumption (000'tons)
+0.7%
%growth from 2015
2016 global consumption growth = 2.0%+3.3%
+1.4% +6.0%
+1.9%
+5.5%
+0.2%
20160303 sta-am-fy2015

20160303 sta-am-fy2015

  • 1.
    SRI TRANG AGRO-INDUSTRYPUBLIC COMPANY LIMITED FY15 & 4Q15 ANALYST PRESENTATION 3 March 2016
  • 2.
    FY2015 AND 4Q15RESULTS 2
  • 3.
    100 150 200 250 RSS TSR SICOMPrice (UScent:Kg.) 2014 Avg. RSS =196 TSR = 171 2015 Avg. RSS = 156 TSR = 137▼20% YoY CrudeOilPrice (USD:Bbl.) THB/USD Movement 30 50 70 90 110 ▼39% YoY 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 ▲5% YoY SICOM – Oil Price - FX 3
  • 4.
    *Adjusting for (reversal)allowance of inventory and realised gains /(losses) from hedging activities (THB million) FY’14 FY’15 %YoY Q4’14 Q3’15 Q4’15 %YoY %QoQ Revenue 75,530 61,292 ▼19% 17,543 16,236 15,467 ▼12% ▼5% Sale volume (tons) 1,204,342 1,119,966 ▼7% 326,095 278,908 302,962 ▼7% ▲9% Avg. selling price (Baht per ton) 60,583 48,858 ▼19% 51,665 51,852 45,117 ▼13% ▼13% Gross profit 3,348 3,521 ▲5% 1,130 570 617 ▼45% ▲8% Adj. gross profit* 4,642 4,981 ▲7% 1,343 1,405 1,059 ▼21% ▼25% EBITDA 2,568 3,008 ▲17% 413 983 314 ▼24% ▼68% Net profit 1,038 1,118 ▲8% 13 350 (47) ▼462% ▼113% Adj. GP margin* 6.1% 8.1% ▲200bps 7.7% 8.7% 6.8% ▼90bps ▼190bps Net profit margin 1.4% 1.8% ▲40bps 0.1% 2.2% (0.3%) ▼40bps ▼250bps Financial Highlights 4
  • 5.
    Revenue – Yearly(THB million)Revenue – Quarterly (THB million) 9,819 5,462 57,512 44,483 5,631 4,774 2,567 6,573 75,530 61,292 FY 2014 FY 2015 RSS TSR Con. Latex Others -18.9% 1,851 1,328 1,321 1,467 1,347 13,620 10,503 11,248 11,726 11,006 1,377 1,147 1,042 1,269 1,316 696 1,534 1,467 1,774 1,798 17,543 14,512 15,077 16,236 15,467 Q4 2014 Q1 2015 Q2 2015 Q3 2015 Q4 2015 RSS TSR Con. Latex Others -11.8% -4.7% Revenue by Product 5
  • 6.
    Adjusted Gross Profit– YearlyAdjusted Gross Profit – Quarterly 4,642 4,981 6.1% 8.1% 0.0% 2.0% 4.0% 6.0% 8.0% 10.0% 4,000 4,200 4,400 4,600 4,800 5,000 FY 2014 FY 2015 Margin %THB mm +7.3% 1,343 1,077 1,440 1,405 1,059 7.7% 7.4% 9.6% 8.7% 6.8% 0.0% 2.0% 4.0% 6.0% 8.0% 10.0% 0 200 400 600 800 1,000 1,200 1,400 1,600 1,800 2,000 Q4 2014 Q1 2015 Q2 2015 Q3 2015 Q4 2015 Margin %THB mm -21.1% -24.6% Adjusted Gross Profit* 6 *Adjusting for (reversal) allowance of inventory and realised gains /(losses) from hedging activities
  • 7.
    EBIT – Yearly(THB million)EBIT – Quarterly (THB million) +15.5%-95.5% -98.8% Earning Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) 185 554 675 715 8 Q4 2014 Q1 2015 Q2 2015 Q3 2015 Q4 2015 1,690 1,952 FY 2014 FY 2015 7
  • 8.
    Net Profit –Yearly (THB million)Net Profit – Quarterly (THB million) 1,038 1,118 1.4% 1.8% 0.0% 0.5% 1.0% 1.5% 2.0% 2.5% 3.0% 0 400 800 1,200 1,600 2,000 FY 2014 FY 2015 Net profit Net profit margin % +7.7% 13 297 518 350 -47 0.1% 2.0% 3.4% 2.2% -0.3% -0.5% 0.0% 0.5% 1.0% 1.5% 2.0% 2.5% 3.0% 3.5% 4.0% -200 0 200 400 600 800 1,000 Q4 2014 Q1 2015 Q2 2015 Q3 2015 Q4 2015 Net profit Net profit margin % -462.6% -113.5% Net Profit 8
  • 9.
    Key Financial Ratios 3.59% 4.50% 2.53% 2.74% 7.46% 9.37% 5.11% 5.33% 1.47 1.311.42 1.21 0.86 1.12 0.73 0.95 4.00 3.48 3.87 3.51 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 75.20 78.31 83.33 87.84 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 ROAROEInt.Coverage CurrentRatioNetD/ECashcycle (Times) (Times) (Days) (Times) 9
  • 10.
  • 11.
    World Natural RubberBalance 11.0 11.0 11.4 12.1 12.3 12.6 11.2 11.7 12.3 12.1 12.3 12.7 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016f 242 645 851 -23 -81 62 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016F Unit : million tons Unit : ‘000 tonsDemand Supply Supply Surplus / (Deficit) 11 Source : IRSG Natural Rubber BalanceNatural Rubber Demand & Supply 2016 NR consumption forecast2016 NR production forecast 4,370 3,141 1,058 943 700 684 480 0 1,000 2,000 3,000 4,000 5,000 Thailand Indonesia Vietnam China India Malaysia CAMAL NR Production (000'tons) 2016 global production growth = 3.1% +21.1% -1.6% -2.6% -1.1% +4.0% +18.8% +20.0% %growth from 2015 4,918 1,190 1,051 988 723 612 5720 1,000 2,000 3,000 4,000 5,000 6,000 China Europe India USA Japan Thailand Indonesia NR consumption (000'tons) +0.7% %growth from 2015 2016 global consumption growth = 2.0%+3.3% +1.4% +6.0% +1.9% +5.5% +0.2%