2013 Charleston Commercial Market Forecast: Multifamily and Land Update
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The multifamily and land market update given at the 2013 Charleston-area commercial market forecast, on October 24, 2013 at the Daniel Island Club. The presentation was given by Daniel J. Doyle, Vice President of Development with The Beach Company.
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The document summarizes Charleston's industrial real estate market. It shows that over 3.4 million square feet of new industrial space was delivered between 2013-2017, with vacancy rates dropping to a 5-year low. Average asking rents are projected to rise from $5.12/sqft currently to $6.20/sqft by 2020 for Class A space. Strong growth at the Port of Charleston is fueling demand, with investments of $4.6 billion and over 20,000 new jobs announced since 2013. However, the large amount of new speculative construction means absorption by new tenants is critical for the market to remain healthy.
2017 Hospitality
This document summarizes hotel performance data and initiatives for the Charleston, South Carolina area hospitality industry. It shows that year-to-date 2017 occupancy, ADR, and RevPAR rates are up compared to 2016. Occupancy and RevPAR in Charleston have exceeded comparable cities like Savannah. The number of AirBnB listings in Charleston has grown significantly and short-term rentals are having an impact on the hotel industry. New initiatives proposed include addressing labor needs, regulating short-term rentals, and balancing tourism and community livability through a program to offer local perks and information.
Economic Outlook
The economic outlook for Charleston, SC is positive.
- The Charleston metro area has experienced faster GDP and job growth than other South Carolina cities in the past decade.
- Major employers in the region include Joint Base Charleston, MUSC, Boeing, and hospitals, contributing to steady job growth.
- Real estate fundamentals are strong, with housing and industrial real estate performing well due to low inventory and demand from supply chain shifts.
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- 1. Multifamily / Land Analysis and Outlook 2013
- 2. Charleston MSA Historical and Projected Population Population 800,000 700,000 600,000 500,000 400,000 549,033 200,000 142,651 360,600 350,209 309,969 100,000 700,400 664,607 300,000 177,843 96,413 136,555 187,800 152,000 2000 Berkeley 2010 Charleston Dorchester 2015 Tri-County * Projections were provided by the Bureau of Labor Statistics. The 2012 Charleston MSA population is 697,439.
- 3. Charleston MSA Vs. National Historical and Projected Unemployment Percentage Unemployment % 12.00% 10.00% 9.60% 8.90% 8.10% 8.00% 7.20% 6.60% Local Unemployment 6.00% National Unemployment 9.29% 8.45% 4.00% 7.40% 6.13% 5.93% 2013 2014 2.00% 0.00% 2010 2011 2012
- 4. Real Data: Charleston Area Submarket Multifamily Performance Recap Vacancy Rate (%) Average Rent ($) $1,400 10.0% 9.1% 9.0% $1,200 8.0% $1,000 7.0% 6.9% 6.0% 6.0% $800 5.2% 4.6% $600 $1,245 4.2% 4.0% $1,079 $400 $870 $853 Rental Rate 5.0% 2.8% $847 $903 $879 3.0% 2.7% $742 2.0% $200 1.0% $0 0.0% Central Goose Creek James Island Mt. Pleasant North Charleston Summerville West Ashley Tri County Area Vacancy Rate
- 5. Charleston Multifamily Construction Pipeline Breakdown Pipeline Unit Count 10,000 9,098 9,000 8,000 7,000 6,000 5,000 4,000 3,113 3,000 1,717 2,000 1,000 1,391 656 578 784 528 331 Downtown Mt. Pleasant / James Island Johns Island West Ashley Daniel Island North Charleston Hanahan Summerville Total
- 6. Riviera at Seaside– Mt. Pleasant, SC Flats at Mixson– North Charleston, SC The Parks at Nexton– Summerville, SC
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