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Commercial Real Estate Market Forecast
October 8, 2014 | Daniel Island Club
www.CharlestonCommercialMarketForecast.com
DEMAND POPULATION GROWTH RENTAL RATES VACANCY AEROSPACE DATA CONSOLIDATI
ACTIVITY SUBMARKETS LEASE TERMS EXPANSION SPEC CONSTRUCTION DEMAND POPUL
GROWTH DISTRIBUTION VACANCY INTERSTATE ACCESS TECHNOLOGY SALES ACTIVITY SUB
LEASE TERMS EXPANSION NEW CONSTRUCTION JEDBURG DEMAND POPULATION GROWT
RATES VACANCY AEROSPACE DATA CONSOLIDATION SALES ACTIVITY SUBMARKETS LEASE
EXPANSION SPEC CONSTRUCTION DEMAND POPULATION GROWTH DISTRIBUTION VACAN
INTERSTATE ACCESS TECHNOLOGY SALES ACTIVITY SUBMARKETS LEASE TERMS EXPANSIO
CONSTRUCTION JEDBURG DEMAND POPULATION GROWTH RENTAL RATES VACANCY AEROSPACE
CONSOLIDATION SALES ACTIVITY SUBMARKETS LEASE TERMS EXPANSION SPEC CONSTRUCTION DEM
POPULATION GROWTH DISTRIBUTION VACANCY INTERSTATE ACCESS TECHNOLOGY SALES ACTIVITY
LEASE TERMS EXPANSION NEW CONSTRUCTION JEDBURG DEMAND POPULATION GROWTH RENTAL
VACANCY AEROSPACE DATA CONSOLIDATION SALES ACTIVITY SUBMARKETS LEASE TERMS EXPANSIO
CONSTRUCTION DEMAND POPULATION GROWTH DISTRIBUTION VACANCY INTERSTATE ACCESS TECH
SALES ACTIVITY SUBMARKETS LEASE TERMS EXPANSION NEW CONSTRUCTION JEDBURG DEMAND P
GROWTH RENTAL RATES VACANCY AEROSPACE DATA CONSOLIDATION SALES ACTIVITY SUBMARKETS
TERMS EXPANSION SPEC CONSTRUCTION DEMAND POPULATION GROWTH DISTRIBUTION VACANCY
ACCESS TECHNOLOGY SALES ACTIVITY SUBMARKETS LEASE TERMS EXPANSION NEW CONSTRUCTIO
DEMAND POPULATION GROWTH RENTAL RATES VACANCY AEROSPACE DATA CONSOLIDATION SALES
SUBMARKETS LEASE TERMS EXPANSION SPEC CONSTRUCTION DEMAND POPULATION GROWTH DIS
VACANCY INTERSTATE ACCESS TECHNOLOGY SALES ACTIVITY SUBMARKETS LEASE TERMS EXPANSIO
CONSTRUCTION JEDBURG DEMAND POPULATION GROWTH
www.CharlestonCommercialMarketForecast.com
Tri-County
Industrial Market
The Tipping Point:
“Are We There Yet?”
Alan A. Bolduc, CCIM, SIOR
Senior Vice President
Industrial & Investment Services
alan.Bolduc@avisonyoung.com
T 843.860.9566
www.CharlestonCommercialMarketForecast.com
Local Industrial Brokerage firms
and CoStar unifying the market,
submarket and market data
reporting.
www.CharlestonCommercialMarketForecast.com
www.CharlestonCommercialMarketForecast.com
Sales
Graphs on market data and trending
National
Cycle
Lease
www.CharlestonCommercialMarketForecast.com
South
Carolina?
www.CharlestonCommercialMarketForecast.com
0
10,000,000
20,000,000
30,000,000
40,000,000
50,000,000
60,000,000
2012
YE
2013
YE
2014
YTD
2015 F
4.0%
5.0%
6.0%
7.0%
8.0%
9.0%
10.0%
2012 YE 2013 YE 2014
YTD
2015 F
$3.50
$4.00
$4.50
$5.00
$5.50
$6.00
$6.50
$7.00
2012 YE 2013 YE 2014
YTD
2015 F
10
30
50
70
90
110
130
150
170
2012 YE2013 YE 2014
YTD
RBA SF
Vacancy Rate Average Asking Rent (NNN)
Lease Transactions
(Original & Sublet)
www.CharlestonCommercialMarketForecast.com
$30.00
$40.00
$50.00
$60.00
$70.00
2012 YE 2013 YE 2014 YTD
0
10
20
30
40
50
2012 YE 2013 YE 2014 YTD
Sold Transactions Median $/SF
www.CharlestonCommercialMarketForecast.com
Aerospace
466 Companies 74% 5 employees or less
Rail/Transloading
Demand is Escalating
Refrigerated/Frozen
Pent up Demand (expanding from 50k SF to 550k SF in 2015)
Tipping Points
www.CharlestonCommercialMarketForecast.com
www.CharlestonCommercialMarketForecast.com
www.CharlestonCommercialMarketForecast.com
www.CharlestonCommercialMarketForecast.com
Reducing the Impediments to the Market
Roads (In Process)
• Clements Ferry Rd widening 4 lanes to Jack Primus Rd
• Sheeps Island Interchange and Frontage Rds
• Palmetto Commerce Pky Phase 3 Extension
• Palmetto Commerce Pky, new 1-26 Interchange
• New Airport Entrance and I-526/Montague redesign
www.CharlestonCommercialMarketForecast.com
Clements Ferry Rd
widening 4 lanes
www.CharlestonCommercialMarketForecast.com
Sheeps Island
Interchange
and Frontage Roads
www.CharlestonCommercialMarketForecast.com
Palmetto Commerce Pky
Phase 3 Extension
www.CharlestonCommercialMarketForecast.com
Palmetto Commerce Pky
I-26 Interchange
www.CharlestonCommercialMarketForecast.com
New Airport
Entrance
1-526/Montague
www.CharlestonCommercialMarketForecast.com
Reducing the Impediments to the Market
New Construction
350k SF
Class A Flex?
274k SF
140k SF
www.CharlestonCommercialMarketForecast.com
Crosspoint
www.CharlestonCommercialMarketForecast.com
Pattillo
www.CharlestonCommercialMarketForecast.com
MWV
www.CharlestonCommercialMarketForecast.com
Flex
www.CharlestonCommercialMarketForecast.com
Next Year: Still BETTER?
More Port expansion investment and increased activity
More Boeing and Aerospace expansions in the market
New Class A buildings delivered
More activity further west on 1-26 to Jedburg and beyond
Increasing rents and longer leases
Renovations of Class C properties?

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