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QE Intra-Day Movement
Qatar Commentary
The QE index rose 0.3% to close at 13,682.0. Gains were led by the Real
Estate and Banking & Financial Services indices, gaining 0.8% and 0.5%,
respectively. Top gainers were Medicare Group and Islamic Holding Group,
rising 5.7% and 2.9%, respectively. Among the top losers, Gulf Warehousing
Co. fell 2.5%, while Al Meera Consumer Goods Co. declined 1.7%.
GCC Commentary
Saudi Arabia: The TASI index rose 0.1% to close at 10659.6. Gains were led
by the Cement and Multi-Invest. indices, rising 0.8% and 0.6%, respectively.
Qassim Agriculture Co. gained 9.8%, while Bupa Arabia was up 4.8%.
Dubai: The DFM index gained 0.5% to close at 4,852.1. The Inv. & Fin. Ser.
index rose 1.9%, while the Real Estate & Construction index was up 1.1%. Al
Salam Sudan gained 8.5%, while National Industries Group was up 2.5%.
Abu Dhabi: The ADX benchmark index rose marginally to close at 5,053.4.
The Real Estate index gained 3.0%, while the Inv. & Fin. Ser. index was up
2.3%. Methaq Takaful Ins. rose 5.6%, while Sudan Telecom. Co. gained 4.8%.
Kuwait: The KSE index rose 0.6% to close at 7,310.8. The Technology index
gained 3.2%, while the Oil & Gas index was up 1.7%. Kuwait Syrian Holding
Co. gained 9.4%, while National Petroleum Services Co. was up 8.8%.
Oman: The MSM index declined 0.2% to close at 7,320.9. Losses were led by
the Financial and Industrial indices declining 0.2% and 0.1%, respectively.
Construction Materials Ind. fell 5.7%, while Majan Glass was down 3.6%.
Bahrain: The BHB index gained 0.3% to close at 1,475.9. The Industrial index
rose 2.0%, while Commercial Banking index was up 0.3%. Aluminium Bahrain
gained 2.0%, while Al-Ahli United Bank was up 1.2%.
Qatar Exchange Top Gainers Close* 1D% Vol. ‘000 YTD%
Medicare Group 135.20 5.7 222.8 157.5
Islamic Holding Group 91.70 2.9 360.9 99.3
Qatar German Co for Med. Dev. 14.20 2.2 1,605.1 2.5
Zad Holding Co. 88.90 1.6 0.5 27.9
QNB Group 197.30 1.5 356.1 14.7
Qatar Exchange Top Vol. Trades Close* 1D% Vol. ‘000 YTD%
Mazaya Qatar Real Estate Dev. 23.24 1.0 2,424.8 107.9
Ezdan Holding Group 19.80 (0.3) 2,404.1 16.5
Vodafone Qatar 21.65 0.5 2,401.7 102.1
Qatar German Co for Med. Dev. 14.20 2.2 1,605.1 2.5
Mesaieed Petrochem. Holding Co. 33.90 (1.2) 1,233.0 239.0
Market Indicators 19 Aug 14 18 Aug 14 %Chg.
Value Traded (QR mn) 943.8 856.0 10.3
Exch. Market Cap. (QR mn) 727,621.1 726,343.9 0.2
Volume (mn) 20.6 17.8 15.6
Number of Transactions 8,580 8,513 0.8
Companies Traded 41 41 0.0
Market Breadth 17:21 30:10 –
Market Indices Close 1D% WTD% YTD% TTM P/E
Total Return 20,406.63 0.3 1.3 37.6 N/A
All Share Index 3,458.63 0.2 1.3 33.7 17.0
Banks 3,330.12 0.5 2.2 36.3 16.3
Industrials 4,557.60 (0.2) 1.1 30.2 18.5
Transportation 2,331.45 0.0 (0.9) 25.5 14.9
Real Estate 2,986.40 0.8 1.1 52.9 15.9
Insurance 4,028.33 0.3 1.4 72.4 12.7
Telecoms 1,592.90 (0.6) (2.0) 9.6 22.6
Consumer 7,569.45 0.3 0.6 27.3 28.3
Al Rayan Islamic Index 4,727.72 0.4 1.6 55.7 20.4
GCC Top Gainers##
Exchange Close#
1D% Vol. ‘000 YTD%
National Investments Co. Kuwait 0.17 5.1 4,866.0 3.8
Hail Cement Saudi Arabia 28.77 4.2 1,686.6 35.1
Commercial Facilities Co. Kuwait 0.29 3.6 86.2 5.5
Saudi Print & Pack. Co. Saudi Arabia 27.57 3.5 2,424.4 15.6
Aldar Properties Abu Dhabi 3.87 3.2 36,764.9 40.2
GCC Top Losers##
Exchange Close#
1D% Vol. ‘000 YTD%
Aramex Dubai 3.15 (3.7) 6,575.1 3.6
Saudi Hollandi Bank Saudi Arabia 51.37 (2.5) 168.0 47.5
Gulf Warehousing Co. Qatar 50.00 (2.5) 94.9 20.5
Burgan Bank Kuwait 0.53 (1.9) 7.7 3.1
Jabal Omar Dev. Co. Saudi Arabia 53.82 (1.7) 1,476.6 84.3
Source: Bloomberg (
#
in Local Currency) (
##
GCC Top gainers/losers derived from the Bloomberg GCC
200 Index comprising of the top 200 regional equities based on market capitalization and liquidity)
Qatar Exchange Top Losers Close* 1D% Vol. ‘000 YTD%
Gulf Warehousing Co. 50.00 (2.5) 94.9 20.5
Al Meera Consumer Goods Co. 191.70 (1.7) 91.0 43.8
Dlala Brokerage & Invest. Holding 60.00 (1.6) 39.0 171.5
Qatar Oman Investment Co. 17.45 (1.4) 653.5 39.4
Mesaieed Petrochem. Holding Co 33.90 (1.2) 1,233.0 239.0
Qatar Exchange Top Val. Trades Close* 1D% Val. ‘000 YTD%
Qatar Islamic Bank 116.20 1.0 78,866.1 68.4
QNB Group 197.30 1.5 70,426.2 14.7
Commercial Bank of Qatar 68.00 0.0 65,414.9 15.3
Industries Qatar 186.10 (0.2) 62,916.0 10.2
Mazaya Qatar Real Estate Dev. 23.24 1.0 56,291.2 107.9
Source: Bloomberg (* in QR)
Regional Indices Close 1D% WTD% MTD% YTD%
Exch. Val. Traded
($ mn)
Exchange Mkt.
Cap. ($ mn)
P/E** P/B**
Dividend
Yield
Qatar* 13,682.04 0.3 1.3 6.2 31.8 259.19 199,804.8 17.1 2.3 3.7
Dubai 4,852.06 0.5 0.8 0.4 44.0 221.42 93,761.2 20.1 1.8 2.0
Abu Dhabi 5,053.40 0.0 0.0 (0.0) 17.8 73.57 138,946.4 14.3 1.8 3.3
Saudi Arabia 10,659.56 0.1 0.7 4.4 24.9 2,579.87 579,782.9 20.5 2.6 2.7
Kuwait 7,310.79 0.6 1.1 2.5 (3.2) 94.79 114,105.2 17.6 1.2 3.7
Oman 7,320.90 (0.2) (0.0) 1.7 7.1 19.76 27,084.4 11.0 1.7 3.8
Bahrain 1,475.88 0.3 (0.1) 0.3 18.2 1.79 54,357.5 11.3 1.0 4.6
Source: Bloomberg, Qatar Exchange, Tadawul, Muscat Securities Exchange, Dubai Financial Market and Zawya (** TTM; * Value traded ($ mn) do not include special trades, if any)
13,600
13,650
13,700
13,750
13,800
13,850
9:30 10:00 10:30 11:00 11:30 12:00 12:30 13:00
Page 2 of 6
Qatar Market Commentary
 The QE index rose 0.3% to close at 13,682.0. The Real Estate
and Banking & Financial Services indices led the gains. The
index rose on the back of buying support from non-Qatari
shareholders despite selling pressure from Qatari shareholders.
 Medicare Group and Islamic Holding Group were the top
gainers, rising 5.7% and 2.9%, respectively. Among the top
losers, Gulf Warehousing Co. fell 2.5%, while Al Meera
Consumer Goods Co. declined 1.7%.
 Volume of shares traded on Tuesday rose by 15.6% to 20.6mn
from 17.8mn on Monday. However, as compared to the 30-day
moving average of 17.1mn, volume for the day was 20.3%
higher. Mazaya Qatar Real Estate Dev. and Ezdan Holding
Group were the most active stocks, contributing 11.8% and
11.7% to the total volume respectively.
Source: Qatar Exchange (* as a % of traded value)
Earnings and Global Economic Data
Earnings Releases
Company Market Currency
Revenue
(mn)2Q2014
% Change
YoY
Operating Profit
(mn) 2Q2014
% Change
YoY
Net Profit (mn)
2Q2014
% Change
YoY
Red Sea Housing Services
Co. (RSH)
Saudi SR – – – – 40.8 NA
NMC Health* UAE USD 314.3 – – – 40.9 26.6%
Source: Company data, DFM, ADX, MSM (* 1H2014 results)
Global Economic Data
Date Market Source Indicator Period Actual Consensus Previous
08/19 US Bureau of Labor Stat. CPI MoM July 0.10% 0.10% 0.30%
08/19 US Bureau of Labor Stat. CPI Ex Food and Energy MoM July 0.10% 0.20% 0.10%
08/19 US Bureau of Labor Stat. CPI YoY July 2.00% 2.00% 2.10%
08/19 US Bureau of Labor Stat. CPI Ex Food and Energy YoY July 1.90% 1.90% 1.90%
08/19 US Bureau of Labor Stat. CPI Core Index SA July 238.3 238.5 238.1
08/19 US Bureau of Labor Stat. CPI Index NSA July 238.3 238.3 238.3
08/19 US US Census Bureau Housing Starts July 1,093K 965K 945K
08/19 US US Census Bureau Housing Starts MoM July 15.70% 8.10% -4.00%
08/19 US US Census Bureau Building Permits July 1,052K 1,000K 973K
08/19 US US Census Bureau Building Permits MoM July 8.10% 2.80% -3.20%
08/19 EU European Central Bank ECB Current Account SA June 13.1B – 19.8B
08/19 EU European Central Bank Current Account NSA June 20.8B – 9.3B
08/19 UK UK ONS CPI MoM July -0.30% -0.20% 0.20%
08/19 UK UK ONS CPI YoY July 1.60% 1.80% 1.90%
08/19 UK UK ONS CPI Core YoY July 1.80% 1.90% 2.00%
08/19 UK UK ONS Retail Price Index July 256.0 256.2 256.3
08/19 UK UK ONS RPI MoM July -0.10% -0.10% 0.20%
08/19 UK UK ONS ONS House Price YoY June 10.20% 10.20% 10.40%
08/19 UK LBMA Silver Price London Silver Market Fixing 19-August – – 19.6
08/19 UK London Gold Market Fix. London Gold Market PM Fix 19-August 1,296.5 – 1,296.8
08/19 Italy Banca D'Italia Current Account Balance June 3,050M – 1,889M
Source: Bloomberg (s.a. = seasonally adjusted; n.s.a. = non-seasonally adjusted; w.d.a. = working day adjusted)
News
Qatar
 Nakilat takes delivery of two mooring boats to boost its
towage unit – Nakilat (QGTS) has taken delivery of two 16
meter mooring boats built by Nakilat Damen Shipyards Qatar
(NDSQ) for towage operator Nakilat SvitzerWijsmuller (NSW).
The two Stan Tug 1606 mooring boats — Ras Al Allaj Qatar and
Al Esaiwed — are the first set of a seven-vessel order that
NDSQ is currently working on for NSW. These vessels will work
on a long-term charter for Qatar Petroleum and will be part of
the growing fleet of NSW vessels in the Port of Ras Laffan.
NSW already operates a fleet of 25 vessels at Ras Laffan and
another 5 vessels at Halul Island, performing around 12,500 tug
jobs per year in the Port of Ras Laffan. NDSQ is a JV between
Nakilat and Dutch shipbuilder Damen and is based at Erhama
Bin Jaber Al Jalahma Shipyard in Ras Laffan, Qatar. (Gulf-
Times.com)
 ORDS adds Joyalukkas to its Nojoom partner network –
Ooredoo (ORDS) announced that Joyalukkas has joined as the
first jewelry retailer in its expanding Nojoom partner network.
Members can earn and redeem points at Joyalukkas Jewellery
Overall Activity Buy %* Sell %* Net (QR)
Qatari 60.99% 71.54% (99,594,486.66)
Non-Qatari 39.01% 28.46% 99,594,486.66
Page 3 of 6
retail outlets in Qatar as part of the Nojoom Loyalty Program.
Nojoom members can earn 1 Nojoom point for every QR8 spent
on gold jewelry or QR3 spent on diamond jewelry. As part of a
special offer to mark the launch of this partnership, Nojoom
members can also earn double points until November 18. (Gulf-
Times.com)
 Halcrow to upgrade Qatar roads – Halcrow, a global full-
service consulting company under CH2M HILL, has been
awarded a call-off consultancy services contract to provide
professional road safety engineering, road design, quantity
surveying consultancy and contractor supervision services to the
Assets Affairs – Roads Operations & Maintenance Department
of the Public Works Authority (Ashghal). The new contract will
put Halcrow at the forefront of the program of initiatives outlined
in Qatar’s National Road Safety Action Plan, which sets Qatar
on a path toward an ambitious long-term vision of a safe road
transport system. (Peninsula Qatar)
 TechSci Research: Qatar tire market to grow at 6% CAGR
till 2019 – Rising automobile sales, increasing demand for cost
effective Chinese tires and an imposition of ban on balloon tires
are the key trends emerging in the Qatari tire market. According
to a recent report by TechSci Research titled, "Qatar Tyre
Market Forecast & Opportunities – 2019'', the tire market in
Qatar is forecasted to grow at a CAGR of about 6% during
2014-19. Moreover, the retreading tire market in the country is
projected to outperform and grow at a CAGR of around 9%
during the same period. Sales of passenger vehicles,
commercial vehicles, construction equipment are expected to
increase over the next five years in Qatar, creating a positive
market outlook for the country's tire market. (Bloomberg)
International
 Housing starts rebound in US as inflation eases – The
Commerce Department said home construction in the US
rebounded in July 2014 and the cost of living rose at a slower
pace, indicating that a strengthening US economy is yet to
generate a sustained pickup in inflation. A 15.7% jump took
housing starts to a 1.09mn annualized rate, which is the
strongest since November, halting a two-month slide.
Meanwhile, the Labor Department reported that the consumer
price index rose 0.1% in July after rising 0.3% in June. An
improving job market and cheaper borrowing costs are helping
revive the residential real estate, helping boost sales at
companies such as Home Depot Inc. As inflation continues to
run below the Federal Reserve’s target, it gives the central bank
room to keep interest rates low well after the projected end of its
bond-buying program in October. (Bloomberg)
 UK inflation falls to 1.6% in July; 2014 rate rise less likely –
Inflation in Britain fell more than expected in July and the
surging house price growth also slowed in June, making it less
likely for the Bank of England (BoE) to raise interest rates this
year. According to official data, inflation dropped to 1.6% in July
from June's five-month high of 1.9%, pulling down the sterling to
a four-month low against the dollar. Economists had expected
consumer price inflation to tick down to 1.8%. Last week, the
BoE had curbed expectations for a rate rise in 2014 by slashing
forecasts for wage growth. Any remaining pressure to raise
record-low rates this year receded further after the recent data.
The first annual fall in factory-gate prices since 2009 underlined
the weakness in domestic inflation pressures. Still, the outlook
for inflation depends on estimates about the amount of slack left
in Britain's economy, something that divides members of the
BoE Monetary Policy Committee. (Reuters)
 European gas reverses biggest drop since 2009 on Ukraine
– European natural gas prices are reversing their biggest slump
in five years as concern mounts for the tension between Russia
and Ukraine to disrupt flows to the region. Gas price for next
month’s delivery in the UK rallied 21% over the past six weeks
as Ukraine said it may ban OAO Gazprom, Europe’s biggest
supplier, from shipping the fuel through its territory because of
Russia’s support of separatists. The Russian company, which
meets 15% of European gas demand through Soviet-era
pipelines across Ukraine, halted supplies to its neighbor on June
16 due to a debt and price dispute. Gas storage in Ukraine is
less than half full and the nation began this month to limit
domestic use to conserve fuel. UK prices, the regional
benchmark, fell to their lowest since 2010 after a mild winter left
storage sites across the 28-nation European Union at their
fullest for this time of year since 2008. According to a forecast
by Societe Generale, wholesale prices for the next quarter will
be 11% higher than what companies are paying for that period
now. (Bloomberg)
 Japanese exports rebound in tailwind for Abe’s policies –
Exports from Japan rose more than forecast in July, bouncing
back from two straight declines to support an economy that
contracted last quarter by the most since 2011. The finance
ministry said overseas shipments rose 3.9% from a year earlier.
That is higher than the median estimate for a 3.8% gain in a
Bloomberg News survey of 28 economists. Imports rose 2.3%,
leaving a deficit of 964bn yen. The rebound in shipments may
help Prime Minister Shinzo Abe to raise the sales tax again after
boosting it to 8% in April. The economy is forecast to expand at
an annualized 2.9% this quarter after contracting 6.8% in the
April-June period, as consumers and businesses cut spending
after the tax increase. (Bloomberg)
 Bank of China doubles money for bad loans as growth
slows – The Bank of China Ltd. more than doubled its
provisions set aside for bad loans as profit growth cooled to the
slowest pace in five quarters due to weakness in the Chinese
economy. Based on half-yearly figures released by China’s
fourth-largest bank, provisions for potential soured debt climbed
to 12.7bn Yuan in the second quarter, up 116% from a year
earlier. Net income rose 8.5% to 44.4bn Yuan. The bank’s net
income compared well with the 44.9bn Yuan median estimated
in a Bloomberg News survey. The bank’s net interest margin
narrowed to 2.27% at the end of June from 2.29% at the end of
the first quarter. Non-performing loans amounted to 1.02% of
total advances, up from 0.98% in the previous quarter. Non-
performing loans surged to 85.9bn Yuan, the highest in more
than five years, as client companies struggled with repayments
in an economy at risk of the weakest full-year GDP growth since
1990. The nation’s lenders are already trading at the cheapest
P/E valuations of global banks. (Bloomberg)
 Moody’s downgrades biggest South African lenders on ABL
collapse – Moody’s Investors Service downgraded the local-
currency ratings of South Africa’s four biggest lenders and kept
them on review for a further cut following the collapse of African
Bank Investments Ltd. (ABL). Moody’s said the local-currency
deposit ratings of Standard Bank Group Ltd., FirstRand Ltd.,
Nedbank Group Ltd. and Absa Bank Ltd., were cut one level to
Baa1, the third lowest investment grade, from A3. Standard
Bank’s issuer rating was lowered to Baa2 from Baa1. All ratings
of the four banks, including their long-term foreign-currency
ratings, were placed on review for a downgrade. Absa,
FirstRand and Nedbank’s senior unsecured debt was also cut
one level to Baa1. On August 10, the South African Reserve
Bank had placed ABL, an unsecured lender, under curatorship
after it reported a record loss and said it needed ZAR8.5bn of
capital. The rescue included a 10% impairment of ABL’s senior
and wholesale debt, a move that Moody’s said suggested the
Page 4 of 6
South African authorities will not fully protect creditors in the
case of a bank failure. (Bloomberg)
Regional
 OPEC unruffled by oil price decline; expects market
rebound – OPEC is not worried about a slide in oil prices
toward $100 a barrel with current levels seen as acceptable for
producers while higher seasonal demand in the coming weeks
was expected to support the market. According to an OPEC
source, Saudi Arabia, Kuwait and the United Arab Emirates
could trim supply informally if needed, such as to make room for
a further recovery in Libya or to support prices. (Reuters)
 Al-Eqtisadiah: Saudi banks’ distressed loans down 4% to
SR16bn in 2Q2014 – According to a report by Al-Eqtisadiah
daily, the volume of non-performing (distressed) loans in the
Saudi banks dropped by 4% to SR16bn by the end of 2Q2014,
as compared to SR16.8bn in 2Q2013. The coverage of
accumulated provisions to the distressed loans in the Saudi
banks grew by 165% in 2Q2014 as compared to 157% in
2Q2013. The accumulated provisions grew by 1% to SR26.5bn
as compared to SR26.3bn in the comparable periods. The Saudi
banks set aside provisions worth SR1.33bn in 2Q2014 as
compared to SR1.26bn in 2Q2013, reflecting an increase of 5%.
(GulfBase.com)
 Zain KSA inaugurates new flagship in Saudi Arabia – Mobile
Telecommunications Company Saudi Arabia (Zain KSA) has
inaugurated the latest flagship in Albatha’a, Riyadh, to be a part
of its many main flagships around Saudi Arabia. This new
flagship enables the company to expand and reach more
subscribers in order to provide its distinguished services in the
most modern ways. Zain’s main flagships offer subscribers
solutions for voice and data exchange services, as part of its
efforts to raise the quality of service for subscribers.
(GulfBase.com)
 Sales of pharma products poised to exceed SR26bn in 2018
– The pharmaceutical market in Saudi Arabia has registered
significant growth over the years and sales of pharmaceutical
products are poised to exceed SR26.25bn by 2018 as compared
to sales of 2013, which were valued at SR4.4bn, said Saudi
daily newspaper Al-Eqtisadiah, quoting a study by Research and
Markets. The report said that the growth was driven by various
factors such as ever-increasing aging population, demographic
changes, rise in new lifestyle-related diseases, growing
spending of Saudis, and government initiatives to promote local
pharmaceutical firms. The Saudi Arabia pharmaceutical market
has accounted for more than 50% sales of all pharmaceutical
products in the GCC (Gulf Cooperation Council) region. The
pharmaceutical market is currently estimated at SR9.37bn. A
sizable number of new local drug companies have lined up
plans to enter the market, notably many foreign firms are keen
to set up drug plants in Saudi Arabia coupled with the expansion
plans of the operating companies. (GulfBase.com)
 KAEC signs contract exceeding SR15mn – King Abdullah
Economic City (KAEC) has entered into a contract worth more
than SR15mn with Saud Barik Al-Subhi & Partners Company to
develop the initial phase of the road that will connect the
Haramain inner-city railway station with the Business Park at
Bay La Sun district and KAEC residential communities, thereby
enhancing access to the city via the Jeddah-Yanbu highway.
The initial phase of the project is expected to finish by 2015-end,
while the expected overall total cost of the project is worth
around SR235mn. (GulfBase.com)
 Emirates Steel focuses on value-added products – Emirates
Steel is set to expand its global presence and add more value-
added steel to its product basket. The company plans to
sharpen its focus on high-margin, high-strength value-added
products (VAPs). VAPs are mainly finished steel and are termed
so depending on their treatment or their end use. The products
vary from sheet piles to high silica wire rod to long steel bars to
alloy steel. The end-users are primarily the construction and
fabrication sectors. Emirates Steel is also developing new
grades with higher mechanical properties to meet the market
demand in the oil & gas sector. (GulfBase.com)
 Walaa files capital increase request to Saudi CMA – Saudi
United Cooperative Insurance Company (Walaa), further to its
earlier announcement about appointing financial advisor Al
Jazira Capital for the proposed rights issue, said it has filed an
application to the Capital Markets Authority (CMA) for approval
in relation to its proposed rights issue. (Tadawul)
 Asharq al-Awsat: Saudi Arabia to impose 20% foreign
ownership limit on stocks – According to Saudi daily
newspaper Asharq al-Awsat, overseas investors in the Saudi
Arabian stock market will face restrictions, including a 20%
ceiling on combined foreign ownership of any listed stock.
Foreign funds will also not be permitted to hold more than 10%
of the market value of Saudi stocks. Foreigners are currently
limited to indirect investment through swaps and exchange-
traded funds. The foreign ownership limits could reduce Saudi
Arabia's weighting in major international equity indexes
compiled by companies such as the MSCI, if the index compilers
choose to include the country after foreign investors are allowed
in. (Reuters)
 StanChart: Foreign banks struggling to compete in Saudi
Arabia – According to Standard Chartered Capital Saudi Arabia
(StanChart), local lenders in Saudi Arabia are dominating the
market, prompting overseas banks to surrender their licenses as
they struggle to compete. Some international banks have started
shrinking in Saudi Arabia even as the country plans to open its
$577bn stock exchange to direct international investment.
Barclays Saudi Arabia cancelled its license to conduct securities
business in June 2014, the same month that Goldman Sachs
ended its license for custody, underwriting and dealing as an
agent. Saudi Arabia's 12 domestic lenders benefit from being
able to offer a full range of banking services, while most foreign
banks are licensed by the Saudi Capital Market Authority to
conduct limited activities. (GulfBase.com)
 Savola says had initial talks with Americana shareholder –
Saudi Arabian Savola Group said it had conducted preliminary
talks with one of the largest shareholders in Kuwait Food
Company (Americana) on a potential purchase of that
shareholder's stake. Savola said it had signed a non-disclosure
agreement with the shareholder, and repeated that it had not
entered into any binding commitments. However, it did not name
the shareholder. (Reuters)
 EC Harris: Construction projects worth $315bn to bolster
UAE's economic activity – According to EC Harris' 2014
International Focus on the UAE report, the UAE's construction
market is expected to return to near full capacity with a number
of megaprojects in the pipeline and the ramping up of social
infrastructure spend. The volume of announced and planned
projects in the UAE in 2014 is expected to be worth $315bn, and
as of May 2014, $212bn worth of construction projects were
under implementation. According to EC Harris' Construction
Cost Index, construction prices in the UAE are set to rise by 4%-
5% during the year and approximately 6% in 2015.
(GulfBase.com)
 Abraaj targets North Africa investments amid deal spree –
The buyout firm focused on emerging markets, Abraaj Group
Page 5 of 6
Ltd. (Abraaj), is targeting more acquisitions in North Africa to
benefit from rising demand for investments in health care,
consumer products and education. Abraaj announced six deals
in the region in 1H2014 and plans four more investments in
2014 with an average value of $50mn to $100mn. In the Gulf
region, Abraaj’s strategy is to focus on larger deals and the firm
would seek to make one or two investments in a year.
(Bloomberg)
 Dubai creates new fund class to lure asset managers –
Dubai is changing its financial rules in an effort to attract more
asset managers such as hedge funds and private equity funds –
to base themselves in the emirate. The rules create a new class
of funds that can be domiciled in the Dubai International
Financial Center, facing less stringent regulation and thus lower
costs than existing funds. The new rules from the Dubai
Financial Services Authority seek to cut costs by creating a
class of funds that can be offered only to experienced
professional investors and so need less regulation. (Reuters)
 DDF reprices $1.75bn loan for second time – Airport retailer
Dubai Duty Free (DDF) is repricing a $1.75bn syndicated loan
for the second time in just over a year to obtain more favorable
terms, a fresh sign of banks' willingness to lend cheaply to the
emirate. The six-year loan, originally signed in July 2012, was
split between dirham and US dollar-denominated tranches, both
priced at 325 basis points (bps) over the London interbank
offered rate. On August 19, DDF said it was repricing the dirham
tranche further to 150 bps and the dollar tranche to 175 bps.
(Reuters)
 NBAD subsidiary in Americas renamed – National Bank of
Abu Dhabi (NBAD) has renamed its wholly-owned subsidiary in
the Americas to NBAD Americas. NBAD Americas serves UAE
investors who invest in the US, and US companies who do
business in the UAE and other countries where NBAD has a
presence. (GulfBase.com)
 Aldar Properties: Strong demand for bulk lease deals –
Aldar Properties sees a strong demand for long-term, bulk lease
deals from corporate clients. The lease agreements signed with
corporate clients range from two to 30 years and currently
include 2,120 units, providing Aldar Properties with long-term
security of income. Most of the lease agreements comprise over
100 units, the largest reaching over 600 units. 60% of the units
at Al Rayyana and 45% of the apartments at The Arc are
currently leased through bulk deals. (GulfBase.com)
 FGB appoints head of corporate finance advisory services –
First Gulf Bank (FGB) has appointed Michael Aissaoui as head
of its corporate finance advisory services. He will oversee the
expansion of the bank's advisory activities for clients regionally
and globally. (Reuters)
 KIC to launch KD5mn investment fund – Kuwait Investment
Company (KIC) is planning to launch an investment fund in the
Gulf finance markets compatible with the Islamic Shari’ah (law).
KIC’s CEO Bader Nasser Al Subaiee said that the fund would be
launched with an initial capital of KD5mn. The company earned
KD5.2mn in 1H2014, at a rate of 9.53 fils. Shareholders’ equity
rose 6% to KD132.3mn as compared to KD124.8mn in 1H2013.
(GulfBase.com)
 NBK’s BoD elects Chairman and Vice Chairman – National
Bank of Kuwait’s (NBK) board of directors has elected Nasser
Musaed Al-Sayer as the Chairman of NBK Group following the
demise of the long-serving Chairman Mohammad Abdul
Rahman Al-Bahar. The board has also elected Ghassan Ahmed
Saoud Al-Khalid as the Vice Chairman. (GulfBase.com)
 Al Anwar’s associate Al Maha Ceramics plans IPO – Al
Anwar Holding announced that its associate, Al Maha Ceramics
has proposed to open the IPO for subscription between
September 16, 2014 and October 15, 2014. This is subject to
approval from the capital market authority (CMA) on the
prospectus and completion of necessary formalities related to
IPO. (MSM)
 BP Oman to boost drilling in Khazzan project – BP Oman is
planning to increase its drilling activity in the Khazzan project to
unlock the massive unconventional gas reserves in the field. Till
date more than 15 wells have been drilled and five or six more
wells will be drilled by the end of 2014. Additionally, the
company officially inaugurated its Technicians Training Center in
Ghala to recruit and train over 100 Omani technicians over a
period of five years to support the field operations at the
Khazzan project. (GulfBase.com)
 Double digit growth foreseen in Salalah Port general cargo
business – According to the CEO of Port of Salalah, David
Gledhill, ongoing investment in multimodal transport
infrastructure in Dhofar Governorate augurs well for volume
growth at Port of Salalah, especially in the general cargo
segment. But its long-term success hinges on a robust
commitment to its timely expansion and modernization.
(GulfBase.com)
 Bahrain construction sector grows 40% – Bahrain’s
construction sector has grown by 40% since January. The
figures were released as Bahrain steps up preparations for the
annual GCC Construction Conference in October. (Bloomberg)
Contacts
Saugata Sarkar Abdullah Amin, CFA Shahan Keushgerian
Head of Research Senior Research Analyst Senior Research Analyst
Tel: (+974) 4476 6534 Tel: (+974) 4476 6569 Tel: (+974) 4476 6509
saugata.sarkar@qnbfs.com.qa abdullah.amin@qnbfs.com.qa shahan.keushgerian@qnbfs.com.qa
Sahbi Kasraoui Ahmed Al-Khoudary QNB Financial Services SPC
Manager – HNWI Head of Sales Trading – Institutional Contact Center: (+974) 4476 6666
Tel: (+974) 4476 6544 Tel: (+974) 4476 6548 PO Box 24025
sahbi.alkasraoui@qnbfs.com.qa ahmed.alkhoudary@qnbfs.com.qa Doha, Qatar
DISCLAIMER: This publication has been prepared by QNB Financial Services SPC (“QNBFS”) a wholly-owned subsidiary of Qatar National Bank (“QNB”). QNBFS is regulated by the Qatar
Financial Markets Authority and the Qatar Exchange; QNB is regulated by the Qatar Central Bank. This publication expresses the views and opinions of QNBFS at a given time only. It is not an
offer, promotion or recommendation to buy or sell securities or other investments, nor is it intended to constitute legal, tax, accounting, or financial advice. We therefore strongly advise potential
investors to seek independent professional advice before making any investment decision. Although the information in this report has been obtained from sources that QNBFS believes to be
reliable, we have not independently verified such information and it may not be accurate or complete. While this publication has been prepared with the utmost degree of care by our analysts,
QNBFS does not make any representations or warranties as to the accuracy and completeness of the information it may contain, and declines any liability in that respect. QNBFS reserves the
right to amend the views and opinions expressed in this publication at any time. It may also express viewpoints or make investment decisions that differ significantly from, or even contradict, the
views and opinions included in this report.
COPYRIGHT: No part of this document may be reproduced without the explicit written permission of QNBFS.
Page 6 of 6
Rebased Performance Daily Index Performance
Source: Bloomberg Source: Bloomberg
Source: Bloomberg Source: Bloomberg
80.0
90.0
100.0
110.0
120.0
130.0
140.0
150.0
160.0
170.0
180.0
190.0
200.0
210.0
Jul-10 Jul-11 Jul-12 Jul-13 Jul-14
QE Index S&P Pan Arab S&P GCC
0.1%
0.3%
0.6%
0.3%
(0.2%)
0.0%
0.5%
(0.3%)
(0.1%)
0.1%
0.3%
0.5%
0.7%
SaudiArabia
Qatar
Kuwait
Bahrain
Oman
AbuDhabi
Dubai
Asset/Currency Performance Close ($) 1D% WTD% YTD% Global Indices Performance Close 1D% WTD% YTD%
Gold/Ounce 1,295.68 (0.2) (0.7) 7.5 DJ Industrial 16,919.59 0.5 1.5 2.1
Silver/Ounce 19.44 (1.0) (0.7) (0.2) S&P 500 1,981.60 0.5 1.4 7.2
Crude Oil (Brent)/Barrel (FM
Future)
101.56 (0.0) (1.9) (8.3) NASDAQ 100 4,527.51 0.4 1.4 8.4
Natural Gas (Henry
Hub)/MMBtu
3.84 2.2 2.0 (11.5) STOXX 600 335.49 0.6 1.7 2.2
LPG Propane (Arab Gulf)/Ton 102.25 0.9 (0.4) (19.2) DAX 9,334.28 1.0 2.7 (2.3)
LPG Butane (Arab Gulf)/Ton 120.00 0.3 (1.4) (11.6) FTSE 100 6,779.31 0.6 1.3 0.4
Euro 1.33 (0.3) (0.6) (3.1) CAC 40 4,254.45 0.6 1.9 (1.0)
Yen 102.92 0.3 0.5 (2.3) Nikkei 15,449.79 0.8 0.9 (5.2)
GBP 1.66 (0.7) (0.5) 0.4 MSCI EM 1,084.45 0.7 0.9 8.2
CHF 1.10 (0.3) (0.7) (1.8) SHANGHAI SE Composite 2,245.33 0.3 0.8 6.1
AUD 0.93 (0.2) (0.2) 4.3 HANG SENG 25,122.95 0.7 0.7 7.8
USD Index 81.88 0.4 0.6 2.3 BSE SENSEX 26,420.67 0.1 1.2 24.8
RUB 36.17 0.3 (0.0) 10.1 Bovespa 58,449.29 1.5 2.6 13.5
BRL 0.44 0.4 0.5 5.1 RTS 1,251.69 0.7 1.6 (13.2)
196.6
163.7
147.5

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19 August Daily market report

  • 1. Page 1 of 6 QE Intra-Day Movement Qatar Commentary The QE index rose 0.3% to close at 13,682.0. Gains were led by the Real Estate and Banking & Financial Services indices, gaining 0.8% and 0.5%, respectively. Top gainers were Medicare Group and Islamic Holding Group, rising 5.7% and 2.9%, respectively. Among the top losers, Gulf Warehousing Co. fell 2.5%, while Al Meera Consumer Goods Co. declined 1.7%. GCC Commentary Saudi Arabia: The TASI index rose 0.1% to close at 10659.6. Gains were led by the Cement and Multi-Invest. indices, rising 0.8% and 0.6%, respectively. Qassim Agriculture Co. gained 9.8%, while Bupa Arabia was up 4.8%. Dubai: The DFM index gained 0.5% to close at 4,852.1. The Inv. & Fin. Ser. index rose 1.9%, while the Real Estate & Construction index was up 1.1%. Al Salam Sudan gained 8.5%, while National Industries Group was up 2.5%. Abu Dhabi: The ADX benchmark index rose marginally to close at 5,053.4. The Real Estate index gained 3.0%, while the Inv. & Fin. Ser. index was up 2.3%. Methaq Takaful Ins. rose 5.6%, while Sudan Telecom. Co. gained 4.8%. Kuwait: The KSE index rose 0.6% to close at 7,310.8. The Technology index gained 3.2%, while the Oil & Gas index was up 1.7%. Kuwait Syrian Holding Co. gained 9.4%, while National Petroleum Services Co. was up 8.8%. Oman: The MSM index declined 0.2% to close at 7,320.9. Losses were led by the Financial and Industrial indices declining 0.2% and 0.1%, respectively. Construction Materials Ind. fell 5.7%, while Majan Glass was down 3.6%. Bahrain: The BHB index gained 0.3% to close at 1,475.9. The Industrial index rose 2.0%, while Commercial Banking index was up 0.3%. Aluminium Bahrain gained 2.0%, while Al-Ahli United Bank was up 1.2%. Qatar Exchange Top Gainers Close* 1D% Vol. ‘000 YTD% Medicare Group 135.20 5.7 222.8 157.5 Islamic Holding Group 91.70 2.9 360.9 99.3 Qatar German Co for Med. Dev. 14.20 2.2 1,605.1 2.5 Zad Holding Co. 88.90 1.6 0.5 27.9 QNB Group 197.30 1.5 356.1 14.7 Qatar Exchange Top Vol. Trades Close* 1D% Vol. ‘000 YTD% Mazaya Qatar Real Estate Dev. 23.24 1.0 2,424.8 107.9 Ezdan Holding Group 19.80 (0.3) 2,404.1 16.5 Vodafone Qatar 21.65 0.5 2,401.7 102.1 Qatar German Co for Med. Dev. 14.20 2.2 1,605.1 2.5 Mesaieed Petrochem. Holding Co. 33.90 (1.2) 1,233.0 239.0 Market Indicators 19 Aug 14 18 Aug 14 %Chg. Value Traded (QR mn) 943.8 856.0 10.3 Exch. Market Cap. (QR mn) 727,621.1 726,343.9 0.2 Volume (mn) 20.6 17.8 15.6 Number of Transactions 8,580 8,513 0.8 Companies Traded 41 41 0.0 Market Breadth 17:21 30:10 – Market Indices Close 1D% WTD% YTD% TTM P/E Total Return 20,406.63 0.3 1.3 37.6 N/A All Share Index 3,458.63 0.2 1.3 33.7 17.0 Banks 3,330.12 0.5 2.2 36.3 16.3 Industrials 4,557.60 (0.2) 1.1 30.2 18.5 Transportation 2,331.45 0.0 (0.9) 25.5 14.9 Real Estate 2,986.40 0.8 1.1 52.9 15.9 Insurance 4,028.33 0.3 1.4 72.4 12.7 Telecoms 1,592.90 (0.6) (2.0) 9.6 22.6 Consumer 7,569.45 0.3 0.6 27.3 28.3 Al Rayan Islamic Index 4,727.72 0.4 1.6 55.7 20.4 GCC Top Gainers## Exchange Close# 1D% Vol. ‘000 YTD% National Investments Co. Kuwait 0.17 5.1 4,866.0 3.8 Hail Cement Saudi Arabia 28.77 4.2 1,686.6 35.1 Commercial Facilities Co. Kuwait 0.29 3.6 86.2 5.5 Saudi Print & Pack. Co. Saudi Arabia 27.57 3.5 2,424.4 15.6 Aldar Properties Abu Dhabi 3.87 3.2 36,764.9 40.2 GCC Top Losers## Exchange Close# 1D% Vol. ‘000 YTD% Aramex Dubai 3.15 (3.7) 6,575.1 3.6 Saudi Hollandi Bank Saudi Arabia 51.37 (2.5) 168.0 47.5 Gulf Warehousing Co. Qatar 50.00 (2.5) 94.9 20.5 Burgan Bank Kuwait 0.53 (1.9) 7.7 3.1 Jabal Omar Dev. Co. Saudi Arabia 53.82 (1.7) 1,476.6 84.3 Source: Bloomberg ( # in Local Currency) ( ## GCC Top gainers/losers derived from the Bloomberg GCC 200 Index comprising of the top 200 regional equities based on market capitalization and liquidity) Qatar Exchange Top Losers Close* 1D% Vol. ‘000 YTD% Gulf Warehousing Co. 50.00 (2.5) 94.9 20.5 Al Meera Consumer Goods Co. 191.70 (1.7) 91.0 43.8 Dlala Brokerage & Invest. Holding 60.00 (1.6) 39.0 171.5 Qatar Oman Investment Co. 17.45 (1.4) 653.5 39.4 Mesaieed Petrochem. Holding Co 33.90 (1.2) 1,233.0 239.0 Qatar Exchange Top Val. Trades Close* 1D% Val. ‘000 YTD% Qatar Islamic Bank 116.20 1.0 78,866.1 68.4 QNB Group 197.30 1.5 70,426.2 14.7 Commercial Bank of Qatar 68.00 0.0 65,414.9 15.3 Industries Qatar 186.10 (0.2) 62,916.0 10.2 Mazaya Qatar Real Estate Dev. 23.24 1.0 56,291.2 107.9 Source: Bloomberg (* in QR) Regional Indices Close 1D% WTD% MTD% YTD% Exch. Val. Traded ($ mn) Exchange Mkt. Cap. ($ mn) P/E** P/B** Dividend Yield Qatar* 13,682.04 0.3 1.3 6.2 31.8 259.19 199,804.8 17.1 2.3 3.7 Dubai 4,852.06 0.5 0.8 0.4 44.0 221.42 93,761.2 20.1 1.8 2.0 Abu Dhabi 5,053.40 0.0 0.0 (0.0) 17.8 73.57 138,946.4 14.3 1.8 3.3 Saudi Arabia 10,659.56 0.1 0.7 4.4 24.9 2,579.87 579,782.9 20.5 2.6 2.7 Kuwait 7,310.79 0.6 1.1 2.5 (3.2) 94.79 114,105.2 17.6 1.2 3.7 Oman 7,320.90 (0.2) (0.0) 1.7 7.1 19.76 27,084.4 11.0 1.7 3.8 Bahrain 1,475.88 0.3 (0.1) 0.3 18.2 1.79 54,357.5 11.3 1.0 4.6 Source: Bloomberg, Qatar Exchange, Tadawul, Muscat Securities Exchange, Dubai Financial Market and Zawya (** TTM; * Value traded ($ mn) do not include special trades, if any) 13,600 13,650 13,700 13,750 13,800 13,850 9:30 10:00 10:30 11:00 11:30 12:00 12:30 13:00
  • 2. Page 2 of 6 Qatar Market Commentary  The QE index rose 0.3% to close at 13,682.0. The Real Estate and Banking & Financial Services indices led the gains. The index rose on the back of buying support from non-Qatari shareholders despite selling pressure from Qatari shareholders.  Medicare Group and Islamic Holding Group were the top gainers, rising 5.7% and 2.9%, respectively. Among the top losers, Gulf Warehousing Co. fell 2.5%, while Al Meera Consumer Goods Co. declined 1.7%.  Volume of shares traded on Tuesday rose by 15.6% to 20.6mn from 17.8mn on Monday. However, as compared to the 30-day moving average of 17.1mn, volume for the day was 20.3% higher. Mazaya Qatar Real Estate Dev. and Ezdan Holding Group were the most active stocks, contributing 11.8% and 11.7% to the total volume respectively. Source: Qatar Exchange (* as a % of traded value) Earnings and Global Economic Data Earnings Releases Company Market Currency Revenue (mn)2Q2014 % Change YoY Operating Profit (mn) 2Q2014 % Change YoY Net Profit (mn) 2Q2014 % Change YoY Red Sea Housing Services Co. (RSH) Saudi SR – – – – 40.8 NA NMC Health* UAE USD 314.3 – – – 40.9 26.6% Source: Company data, DFM, ADX, MSM (* 1H2014 results) Global Economic Data Date Market Source Indicator Period Actual Consensus Previous 08/19 US Bureau of Labor Stat. CPI MoM July 0.10% 0.10% 0.30% 08/19 US Bureau of Labor Stat. CPI Ex Food and Energy MoM July 0.10% 0.20% 0.10% 08/19 US Bureau of Labor Stat. CPI YoY July 2.00% 2.00% 2.10% 08/19 US Bureau of Labor Stat. CPI Ex Food and Energy YoY July 1.90% 1.90% 1.90% 08/19 US Bureau of Labor Stat. CPI Core Index SA July 238.3 238.5 238.1 08/19 US Bureau of Labor Stat. CPI Index NSA July 238.3 238.3 238.3 08/19 US US Census Bureau Housing Starts July 1,093K 965K 945K 08/19 US US Census Bureau Housing Starts MoM July 15.70% 8.10% -4.00% 08/19 US US Census Bureau Building Permits July 1,052K 1,000K 973K 08/19 US US Census Bureau Building Permits MoM July 8.10% 2.80% -3.20% 08/19 EU European Central Bank ECB Current Account SA June 13.1B – 19.8B 08/19 EU European Central Bank Current Account NSA June 20.8B – 9.3B 08/19 UK UK ONS CPI MoM July -0.30% -0.20% 0.20% 08/19 UK UK ONS CPI YoY July 1.60% 1.80% 1.90% 08/19 UK UK ONS CPI Core YoY July 1.80% 1.90% 2.00% 08/19 UK UK ONS Retail Price Index July 256.0 256.2 256.3 08/19 UK UK ONS RPI MoM July -0.10% -0.10% 0.20% 08/19 UK UK ONS ONS House Price YoY June 10.20% 10.20% 10.40% 08/19 UK LBMA Silver Price London Silver Market Fixing 19-August – – 19.6 08/19 UK London Gold Market Fix. London Gold Market PM Fix 19-August 1,296.5 – 1,296.8 08/19 Italy Banca D'Italia Current Account Balance June 3,050M – 1,889M Source: Bloomberg (s.a. = seasonally adjusted; n.s.a. = non-seasonally adjusted; w.d.a. = working day adjusted) News Qatar  Nakilat takes delivery of two mooring boats to boost its towage unit – Nakilat (QGTS) has taken delivery of two 16 meter mooring boats built by Nakilat Damen Shipyards Qatar (NDSQ) for towage operator Nakilat SvitzerWijsmuller (NSW). The two Stan Tug 1606 mooring boats — Ras Al Allaj Qatar and Al Esaiwed — are the first set of a seven-vessel order that NDSQ is currently working on for NSW. These vessels will work on a long-term charter for Qatar Petroleum and will be part of the growing fleet of NSW vessels in the Port of Ras Laffan. NSW already operates a fleet of 25 vessels at Ras Laffan and another 5 vessels at Halul Island, performing around 12,500 tug jobs per year in the Port of Ras Laffan. NDSQ is a JV between Nakilat and Dutch shipbuilder Damen and is based at Erhama Bin Jaber Al Jalahma Shipyard in Ras Laffan, Qatar. (Gulf- Times.com)  ORDS adds Joyalukkas to its Nojoom partner network – Ooredoo (ORDS) announced that Joyalukkas has joined as the first jewelry retailer in its expanding Nojoom partner network. Members can earn and redeem points at Joyalukkas Jewellery Overall Activity Buy %* Sell %* Net (QR) Qatari 60.99% 71.54% (99,594,486.66) Non-Qatari 39.01% 28.46% 99,594,486.66
  • 3. Page 3 of 6 retail outlets in Qatar as part of the Nojoom Loyalty Program. Nojoom members can earn 1 Nojoom point for every QR8 spent on gold jewelry or QR3 spent on diamond jewelry. As part of a special offer to mark the launch of this partnership, Nojoom members can also earn double points until November 18. (Gulf- Times.com)  Halcrow to upgrade Qatar roads – Halcrow, a global full- service consulting company under CH2M HILL, has been awarded a call-off consultancy services contract to provide professional road safety engineering, road design, quantity surveying consultancy and contractor supervision services to the Assets Affairs – Roads Operations & Maintenance Department of the Public Works Authority (Ashghal). The new contract will put Halcrow at the forefront of the program of initiatives outlined in Qatar’s National Road Safety Action Plan, which sets Qatar on a path toward an ambitious long-term vision of a safe road transport system. (Peninsula Qatar)  TechSci Research: Qatar tire market to grow at 6% CAGR till 2019 – Rising automobile sales, increasing demand for cost effective Chinese tires and an imposition of ban on balloon tires are the key trends emerging in the Qatari tire market. According to a recent report by TechSci Research titled, "Qatar Tyre Market Forecast & Opportunities – 2019'', the tire market in Qatar is forecasted to grow at a CAGR of about 6% during 2014-19. Moreover, the retreading tire market in the country is projected to outperform and grow at a CAGR of around 9% during the same period. Sales of passenger vehicles, commercial vehicles, construction equipment are expected to increase over the next five years in Qatar, creating a positive market outlook for the country's tire market. (Bloomberg) International  Housing starts rebound in US as inflation eases – The Commerce Department said home construction in the US rebounded in July 2014 and the cost of living rose at a slower pace, indicating that a strengthening US economy is yet to generate a sustained pickup in inflation. A 15.7% jump took housing starts to a 1.09mn annualized rate, which is the strongest since November, halting a two-month slide. Meanwhile, the Labor Department reported that the consumer price index rose 0.1% in July after rising 0.3% in June. An improving job market and cheaper borrowing costs are helping revive the residential real estate, helping boost sales at companies such as Home Depot Inc. As inflation continues to run below the Federal Reserve’s target, it gives the central bank room to keep interest rates low well after the projected end of its bond-buying program in October. (Bloomberg)  UK inflation falls to 1.6% in July; 2014 rate rise less likely – Inflation in Britain fell more than expected in July and the surging house price growth also slowed in June, making it less likely for the Bank of England (BoE) to raise interest rates this year. According to official data, inflation dropped to 1.6% in July from June's five-month high of 1.9%, pulling down the sterling to a four-month low against the dollar. Economists had expected consumer price inflation to tick down to 1.8%. Last week, the BoE had curbed expectations for a rate rise in 2014 by slashing forecasts for wage growth. Any remaining pressure to raise record-low rates this year receded further after the recent data. The first annual fall in factory-gate prices since 2009 underlined the weakness in domestic inflation pressures. Still, the outlook for inflation depends on estimates about the amount of slack left in Britain's economy, something that divides members of the BoE Monetary Policy Committee. (Reuters)  European gas reverses biggest drop since 2009 on Ukraine – European natural gas prices are reversing their biggest slump in five years as concern mounts for the tension between Russia and Ukraine to disrupt flows to the region. Gas price for next month’s delivery in the UK rallied 21% over the past six weeks as Ukraine said it may ban OAO Gazprom, Europe’s biggest supplier, from shipping the fuel through its territory because of Russia’s support of separatists. The Russian company, which meets 15% of European gas demand through Soviet-era pipelines across Ukraine, halted supplies to its neighbor on June 16 due to a debt and price dispute. Gas storage in Ukraine is less than half full and the nation began this month to limit domestic use to conserve fuel. UK prices, the regional benchmark, fell to their lowest since 2010 after a mild winter left storage sites across the 28-nation European Union at their fullest for this time of year since 2008. According to a forecast by Societe Generale, wholesale prices for the next quarter will be 11% higher than what companies are paying for that period now. (Bloomberg)  Japanese exports rebound in tailwind for Abe’s policies – Exports from Japan rose more than forecast in July, bouncing back from two straight declines to support an economy that contracted last quarter by the most since 2011. The finance ministry said overseas shipments rose 3.9% from a year earlier. That is higher than the median estimate for a 3.8% gain in a Bloomberg News survey of 28 economists. Imports rose 2.3%, leaving a deficit of 964bn yen. The rebound in shipments may help Prime Minister Shinzo Abe to raise the sales tax again after boosting it to 8% in April. The economy is forecast to expand at an annualized 2.9% this quarter after contracting 6.8% in the April-June period, as consumers and businesses cut spending after the tax increase. (Bloomberg)  Bank of China doubles money for bad loans as growth slows – The Bank of China Ltd. more than doubled its provisions set aside for bad loans as profit growth cooled to the slowest pace in five quarters due to weakness in the Chinese economy. Based on half-yearly figures released by China’s fourth-largest bank, provisions for potential soured debt climbed to 12.7bn Yuan in the second quarter, up 116% from a year earlier. Net income rose 8.5% to 44.4bn Yuan. The bank’s net income compared well with the 44.9bn Yuan median estimated in a Bloomberg News survey. The bank’s net interest margin narrowed to 2.27% at the end of June from 2.29% at the end of the first quarter. Non-performing loans amounted to 1.02% of total advances, up from 0.98% in the previous quarter. Non- performing loans surged to 85.9bn Yuan, the highest in more than five years, as client companies struggled with repayments in an economy at risk of the weakest full-year GDP growth since 1990. The nation’s lenders are already trading at the cheapest P/E valuations of global banks. (Bloomberg)  Moody’s downgrades biggest South African lenders on ABL collapse – Moody’s Investors Service downgraded the local- currency ratings of South Africa’s four biggest lenders and kept them on review for a further cut following the collapse of African Bank Investments Ltd. (ABL). Moody’s said the local-currency deposit ratings of Standard Bank Group Ltd., FirstRand Ltd., Nedbank Group Ltd. and Absa Bank Ltd., were cut one level to Baa1, the third lowest investment grade, from A3. Standard Bank’s issuer rating was lowered to Baa2 from Baa1. All ratings of the four banks, including their long-term foreign-currency ratings, were placed on review for a downgrade. Absa, FirstRand and Nedbank’s senior unsecured debt was also cut one level to Baa1. On August 10, the South African Reserve Bank had placed ABL, an unsecured lender, under curatorship after it reported a record loss and said it needed ZAR8.5bn of capital. The rescue included a 10% impairment of ABL’s senior and wholesale debt, a move that Moody’s said suggested the
  • 4. Page 4 of 6 South African authorities will not fully protect creditors in the case of a bank failure. (Bloomberg) Regional  OPEC unruffled by oil price decline; expects market rebound – OPEC is not worried about a slide in oil prices toward $100 a barrel with current levels seen as acceptable for producers while higher seasonal demand in the coming weeks was expected to support the market. According to an OPEC source, Saudi Arabia, Kuwait and the United Arab Emirates could trim supply informally if needed, such as to make room for a further recovery in Libya or to support prices. (Reuters)  Al-Eqtisadiah: Saudi banks’ distressed loans down 4% to SR16bn in 2Q2014 – According to a report by Al-Eqtisadiah daily, the volume of non-performing (distressed) loans in the Saudi banks dropped by 4% to SR16bn by the end of 2Q2014, as compared to SR16.8bn in 2Q2013. The coverage of accumulated provisions to the distressed loans in the Saudi banks grew by 165% in 2Q2014 as compared to 157% in 2Q2013. The accumulated provisions grew by 1% to SR26.5bn as compared to SR26.3bn in the comparable periods. The Saudi banks set aside provisions worth SR1.33bn in 2Q2014 as compared to SR1.26bn in 2Q2013, reflecting an increase of 5%. (GulfBase.com)  Zain KSA inaugurates new flagship in Saudi Arabia – Mobile Telecommunications Company Saudi Arabia (Zain KSA) has inaugurated the latest flagship in Albatha’a, Riyadh, to be a part of its many main flagships around Saudi Arabia. This new flagship enables the company to expand and reach more subscribers in order to provide its distinguished services in the most modern ways. Zain’s main flagships offer subscribers solutions for voice and data exchange services, as part of its efforts to raise the quality of service for subscribers. (GulfBase.com)  Sales of pharma products poised to exceed SR26bn in 2018 – The pharmaceutical market in Saudi Arabia has registered significant growth over the years and sales of pharmaceutical products are poised to exceed SR26.25bn by 2018 as compared to sales of 2013, which were valued at SR4.4bn, said Saudi daily newspaper Al-Eqtisadiah, quoting a study by Research and Markets. The report said that the growth was driven by various factors such as ever-increasing aging population, demographic changes, rise in new lifestyle-related diseases, growing spending of Saudis, and government initiatives to promote local pharmaceutical firms. The Saudi Arabia pharmaceutical market has accounted for more than 50% sales of all pharmaceutical products in the GCC (Gulf Cooperation Council) region. The pharmaceutical market is currently estimated at SR9.37bn. A sizable number of new local drug companies have lined up plans to enter the market, notably many foreign firms are keen to set up drug plants in Saudi Arabia coupled with the expansion plans of the operating companies. (GulfBase.com)  KAEC signs contract exceeding SR15mn – King Abdullah Economic City (KAEC) has entered into a contract worth more than SR15mn with Saud Barik Al-Subhi & Partners Company to develop the initial phase of the road that will connect the Haramain inner-city railway station with the Business Park at Bay La Sun district and KAEC residential communities, thereby enhancing access to the city via the Jeddah-Yanbu highway. The initial phase of the project is expected to finish by 2015-end, while the expected overall total cost of the project is worth around SR235mn. (GulfBase.com)  Emirates Steel focuses on value-added products – Emirates Steel is set to expand its global presence and add more value- added steel to its product basket. The company plans to sharpen its focus on high-margin, high-strength value-added products (VAPs). VAPs are mainly finished steel and are termed so depending on their treatment or their end use. The products vary from sheet piles to high silica wire rod to long steel bars to alloy steel. The end-users are primarily the construction and fabrication sectors. Emirates Steel is also developing new grades with higher mechanical properties to meet the market demand in the oil & gas sector. (GulfBase.com)  Walaa files capital increase request to Saudi CMA – Saudi United Cooperative Insurance Company (Walaa), further to its earlier announcement about appointing financial advisor Al Jazira Capital for the proposed rights issue, said it has filed an application to the Capital Markets Authority (CMA) for approval in relation to its proposed rights issue. (Tadawul)  Asharq al-Awsat: Saudi Arabia to impose 20% foreign ownership limit on stocks – According to Saudi daily newspaper Asharq al-Awsat, overseas investors in the Saudi Arabian stock market will face restrictions, including a 20% ceiling on combined foreign ownership of any listed stock. Foreign funds will also not be permitted to hold more than 10% of the market value of Saudi stocks. Foreigners are currently limited to indirect investment through swaps and exchange- traded funds. The foreign ownership limits could reduce Saudi Arabia's weighting in major international equity indexes compiled by companies such as the MSCI, if the index compilers choose to include the country after foreign investors are allowed in. (Reuters)  StanChart: Foreign banks struggling to compete in Saudi Arabia – According to Standard Chartered Capital Saudi Arabia (StanChart), local lenders in Saudi Arabia are dominating the market, prompting overseas banks to surrender their licenses as they struggle to compete. Some international banks have started shrinking in Saudi Arabia even as the country plans to open its $577bn stock exchange to direct international investment. Barclays Saudi Arabia cancelled its license to conduct securities business in June 2014, the same month that Goldman Sachs ended its license for custody, underwriting and dealing as an agent. Saudi Arabia's 12 domestic lenders benefit from being able to offer a full range of banking services, while most foreign banks are licensed by the Saudi Capital Market Authority to conduct limited activities. (GulfBase.com)  Savola says had initial talks with Americana shareholder – Saudi Arabian Savola Group said it had conducted preliminary talks with one of the largest shareholders in Kuwait Food Company (Americana) on a potential purchase of that shareholder's stake. Savola said it had signed a non-disclosure agreement with the shareholder, and repeated that it had not entered into any binding commitments. However, it did not name the shareholder. (Reuters)  EC Harris: Construction projects worth $315bn to bolster UAE's economic activity – According to EC Harris' 2014 International Focus on the UAE report, the UAE's construction market is expected to return to near full capacity with a number of megaprojects in the pipeline and the ramping up of social infrastructure spend. The volume of announced and planned projects in the UAE in 2014 is expected to be worth $315bn, and as of May 2014, $212bn worth of construction projects were under implementation. According to EC Harris' Construction Cost Index, construction prices in the UAE are set to rise by 4%- 5% during the year and approximately 6% in 2015. (GulfBase.com)  Abraaj targets North Africa investments amid deal spree – The buyout firm focused on emerging markets, Abraaj Group
  • 5. Page 5 of 6 Ltd. (Abraaj), is targeting more acquisitions in North Africa to benefit from rising demand for investments in health care, consumer products and education. Abraaj announced six deals in the region in 1H2014 and plans four more investments in 2014 with an average value of $50mn to $100mn. In the Gulf region, Abraaj’s strategy is to focus on larger deals and the firm would seek to make one or two investments in a year. (Bloomberg)  Dubai creates new fund class to lure asset managers – Dubai is changing its financial rules in an effort to attract more asset managers such as hedge funds and private equity funds – to base themselves in the emirate. The rules create a new class of funds that can be domiciled in the Dubai International Financial Center, facing less stringent regulation and thus lower costs than existing funds. The new rules from the Dubai Financial Services Authority seek to cut costs by creating a class of funds that can be offered only to experienced professional investors and so need less regulation. (Reuters)  DDF reprices $1.75bn loan for second time – Airport retailer Dubai Duty Free (DDF) is repricing a $1.75bn syndicated loan for the second time in just over a year to obtain more favorable terms, a fresh sign of banks' willingness to lend cheaply to the emirate. The six-year loan, originally signed in July 2012, was split between dirham and US dollar-denominated tranches, both priced at 325 basis points (bps) over the London interbank offered rate. On August 19, DDF said it was repricing the dirham tranche further to 150 bps and the dollar tranche to 175 bps. (Reuters)  NBAD subsidiary in Americas renamed – National Bank of Abu Dhabi (NBAD) has renamed its wholly-owned subsidiary in the Americas to NBAD Americas. NBAD Americas serves UAE investors who invest in the US, and US companies who do business in the UAE and other countries where NBAD has a presence. (GulfBase.com)  Aldar Properties: Strong demand for bulk lease deals – Aldar Properties sees a strong demand for long-term, bulk lease deals from corporate clients. The lease agreements signed with corporate clients range from two to 30 years and currently include 2,120 units, providing Aldar Properties with long-term security of income. Most of the lease agreements comprise over 100 units, the largest reaching over 600 units. 60% of the units at Al Rayyana and 45% of the apartments at The Arc are currently leased through bulk deals. (GulfBase.com)  FGB appoints head of corporate finance advisory services – First Gulf Bank (FGB) has appointed Michael Aissaoui as head of its corporate finance advisory services. He will oversee the expansion of the bank's advisory activities for clients regionally and globally. (Reuters)  KIC to launch KD5mn investment fund – Kuwait Investment Company (KIC) is planning to launch an investment fund in the Gulf finance markets compatible with the Islamic Shari’ah (law). KIC’s CEO Bader Nasser Al Subaiee said that the fund would be launched with an initial capital of KD5mn. The company earned KD5.2mn in 1H2014, at a rate of 9.53 fils. Shareholders’ equity rose 6% to KD132.3mn as compared to KD124.8mn in 1H2013. (GulfBase.com)  NBK’s BoD elects Chairman and Vice Chairman – National Bank of Kuwait’s (NBK) board of directors has elected Nasser Musaed Al-Sayer as the Chairman of NBK Group following the demise of the long-serving Chairman Mohammad Abdul Rahman Al-Bahar. The board has also elected Ghassan Ahmed Saoud Al-Khalid as the Vice Chairman. (GulfBase.com)  Al Anwar’s associate Al Maha Ceramics plans IPO – Al Anwar Holding announced that its associate, Al Maha Ceramics has proposed to open the IPO for subscription between September 16, 2014 and October 15, 2014. This is subject to approval from the capital market authority (CMA) on the prospectus and completion of necessary formalities related to IPO. (MSM)  BP Oman to boost drilling in Khazzan project – BP Oman is planning to increase its drilling activity in the Khazzan project to unlock the massive unconventional gas reserves in the field. Till date more than 15 wells have been drilled and five or six more wells will be drilled by the end of 2014. Additionally, the company officially inaugurated its Technicians Training Center in Ghala to recruit and train over 100 Omani technicians over a period of five years to support the field operations at the Khazzan project. (GulfBase.com)  Double digit growth foreseen in Salalah Port general cargo business – According to the CEO of Port of Salalah, David Gledhill, ongoing investment in multimodal transport infrastructure in Dhofar Governorate augurs well for volume growth at Port of Salalah, especially in the general cargo segment. But its long-term success hinges on a robust commitment to its timely expansion and modernization. (GulfBase.com)  Bahrain construction sector grows 40% – Bahrain’s construction sector has grown by 40% since January. The figures were released as Bahrain steps up preparations for the annual GCC Construction Conference in October. (Bloomberg)
  • 6. Contacts Saugata Sarkar Abdullah Amin, CFA Shahan Keushgerian Head of Research Senior Research Analyst Senior Research Analyst Tel: (+974) 4476 6534 Tel: (+974) 4476 6569 Tel: (+974) 4476 6509 saugata.sarkar@qnbfs.com.qa abdullah.amin@qnbfs.com.qa shahan.keushgerian@qnbfs.com.qa Sahbi Kasraoui Ahmed Al-Khoudary QNB Financial Services SPC Manager – HNWI Head of Sales Trading – Institutional Contact Center: (+974) 4476 6666 Tel: (+974) 4476 6544 Tel: (+974) 4476 6548 PO Box 24025 sahbi.alkasraoui@qnbfs.com.qa ahmed.alkhoudary@qnbfs.com.qa Doha, Qatar DISCLAIMER: This publication has been prepared by QNB Financial Services SPC (“QNBFS”) a wholly-owned subsidiary of Qatar National Bank (“QNB”). QNBFS is regulated by the Qatar Financial Markets Authority and the Qatar Exchange; QNB is regulated by the Qatar Central Bank. This publication expresses the views and opinions of QNBFS at a given time only. It is not an offer, promotion or recommendation to buy or sell securities or other investments, nor is it intended to constitute legal, tax, accounting, or financial advice. We therefore strongly advise potential investors to seek independent professional advice before making any investment decision. Although the information in this report has been obtained from sources that QNBFS believes to be reliable, we have not independently verified such information and it may not be accurate or complete. While this publication has been prepared with the utmost degree of care by our analysts, QNBFS does not make any representations or warranties as to the accuracy and completeness of the information it may contain, and declines any liability in that respect. QNBFS reserves the right to amend the views and opinions expressed in this publication at any time. It may also express viewpoints or make investment decisions that differ significantly from, or even contradict, the views and opinions included in this report. COPYRIGHT: No part of this document may be reproduced without the explicit written permission of QNBFS. Page 6 of 6 Rebased Performance Daily Index Performance Source: Bloomberg Source: Bloomberg Source: Bloomberg Source: Bloomberg 80.0 90.0 100.0 110.0 120.0 130.0 140.0 150.0 160.0 170.0 180.0 190.0 200.0 210.0 Jul-10 Jul-11 Jul-12 Jul-13 Jul-14 QE Index S&P Pan Arab S&P GCC 0.1% 0.3% 0.6% 0.3% (0.2%) 0.0% 0.5% (0.3%) (0.1%) 0.1% 0.3% 0.5% 0.7% SaudiArabia Qatar Kuwait Bahrain Oman AbuDhabi Dubai Asset/Currency Performance Close ($) 1D% WTD% YTD% Global Indices Performance Close 1D% WTD% YTD% Gold/Ounce 1,295.68 (0.2) (0.7) 7.5 DJ Industrial 16,919.59 0.5 1.5 2.1 Silver/Ounce 19.44 (1.0) (0.7) (0.2) S&P 500 1,981.60 0.5 1.4 7.2 Crude Oil (Brent)/Barrel (FM Future) 101.56 (0.0) (1.9) (8.3) NASDAQ 100 4,527.51 0.4 1.4 8.4 Natural Gas (Henry Hub)/MMBtu 3.84 2.2 2.0 (11.5) STOXX 600 335.49 0.6 1.7 2.2 LPG Propane (Arab Gulf)/Ton 102.25 0.9 (0.4) (19.2) DAX 9,334.28 1.0 2.7 (2.3) LPG Butane (Arab Gulf)/Ton 120.00 0.3 (1.4) (11.6) FTSE 100 6,779.31 0.6 1.3 0.4 Euro 1.33 (0.3) (0.6) (3.1) CAC 40 4,254.45 0.6 1.9 (1.0) Yen 102.92 0.3 0.5 (2.3) Nikkei 15,449.79 0.8 0.9 (5.2) GBP 1.66 (0.7) (0.5) 0.4 MSCI EM 1,084.45 0.7 0.9 8.2 CHF 1.10 (0.3) (0.7) (1.8) SHANGHAI SE Composite 2,245.33 0.3 0.8 6.1 AUD 0.93 (0.2) (0.2) 4.3 HANG SENG 25,122.95 0.7 0.7 7.8 USD Index 81.88 0.4 0.6 2.3 BSE SENSEX 26,420.67 0.1 1.2 24.8 RUB 36.17 0.3 (0.0) 10.1 Bovespa 58,449.29 1.5 2.6 13.5 BRL 0.44 0.4 0.5 5.1 RTS 1,251.69 0.7 1.6 (13.2) 196.6 163.7 147.5