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Competitive Analysis
Entrepreneurship & NBD
!
29-10-2013
!
Wynand Bodewes
!2
Ideation
Let’s have some pitches
!4
Competitive analysis
• and pitching . . . .
!5
Understanding (& Creating) Feasibility
• Proposals MUST to be feasible
o Doable
o Sufficiently rewarding
!
• If you learn during the planning effort that it will not be
feasible
o Adapt your plans, i.e. engineer a different path
o Abandon your plan
o Or assume that it will be (if too late to shift)
!6
Types of feasibility
• Industrial
• Competitive
• Technical
• Market
• Operational
• Legal
• Financial
• Commercial
!7
Where to start?
• Start with assessments where you can learn:
o Fast
o Cheap
!
• Conclude with the more demanding feasibility assessments
o Costs
o Effort
!8
Industry analysis
• Will this be a nice industry to operate in?
!9
http://www.ic.gc.ca/eic/site/rubber-caoutchouc.nsf/eng/h_ru01206.html
Rubber production
Studying industry margins
• To select your industry
• To select your regional market (Canadian rubber firms trying
to enter the US market, but not vice versa)
• To understand WHY the margins develop as they do
!
• Industry structure
o Entry barriers?
o Few large firms dominating?
o Increasing concentration?
o Do firms grow?
!10
Paradoxical expectations
• Industrial economists & policy makers:
o Value competition
• No excess profits
• Pressure on all to improve
• Inefficient firms will be replaced by more efficient firms
• Low entry barriers
!
• Strategy scholars & entrepreneurs:
o Value monopoly
• Unfair competitive advantage
• Exceptional profits
• High entry barriers (also lock out possibly more efficient firms)
!11
Concentrated industries
!12
!13
Know what to expect: rivalry
!14
Just by looking at your competitors
• You can learn what the nature of the competition will be
o Monopoly
• No competition as advantage
o Cartel
• Partnerships as advantage
o Bertrand competition
• “perfect competition”
o Cournot competition
• Concurrent capacity commitment
o Stackelberg competition
• Preemptive moves as advantage
o Bertand Differentiation
• Switching costs as advantage
!15
!16
!17
!18
!19
!20
!21
The entrepreneur’s paradox
• A truly attractive industry is one that by definition you can’t
enter:
o If you can enter, there must be low barriers
o If there are low barriers, there will be low profits
!
• Unless you would succeed in erecting entry barriers after
you have entered the industry
!22
Studying competitive (non-concentrated)
industries
!23
88 % of all industries
!24
ANALYZING YOUR OWN VENTURE
EXHIBIT 4.5 Six Forces Analysis for Concentrated and Competitive Industries
Potential
Entrants
Technology
Suppliers BuyersRivals
Substitutes
Number of Buyers
P G
Price Elasticity
P G
P G
P G
Entry Barriers
P G
Number of Rivals
P G
Cost Dispersion
P G
Ease of imitation
G
Technological Opportunity
? P
? P
G
!25
Feasible industry?
• Once you understand the industry cost structure and the
demand structure you can understand why and how value
can be created
• May also give direction to your strategic options
!26
Researching industry
• Trade magazines
• Trade fairs
• Data from census office
!
• Industry insiders
o Rapid fact-finding
• Success rates of new products
• Usual product life cycle
• Usual market adoption and sales development of new products
• Where will you find the innovators (early adopters)
• Sales developments
• Margin developments
• Role of agents in the value chain
• Etc. !27
Use the Chapter 4 Worksheet
!28
!29
Competitive feasibility
!30
Competitive analysis
• Look at your competitors as also your customers will look at
your competitors:
!
• As possible suppliers of competing products
o You may not like these products
•that is not for you to decide,
your future clients will decide!
!31
Who competes with
!32
Yes indeed
!33
But also
!34
Why do Prada and Zara compete?
!35
We like to mix and match
How can you understand how customers
choose between competing products?
• By collecting primary data
o Which products do customers consider in making their
choices?
o On what dimensions do they compare?
!36
!37
Perceptual Map Elements
• Perceptual dimensions
o Factors that customers use to compare product/services
o May be fewer dimensions than those named (factor
analysis)
• Product positions
o Locate each product in the comparison set in a “perceptual
space”
!38
!39
Core Benefit Proposition
• Entrepreneurial opportunity exists in position gaps
o Locations in perceptual space where there is need
o …But no product satisfying them
• Core Benefit Proposition is the particular position gap that
the new business or the new venture satisfies
!40
EXHIBIT 5.5 Snake Plot of Small Sedans
0
0.1
0.2
0.3
0.4
0.5
0.6
0.7
0.8
0.9
1
Chevrolet Prism
Chevrolet Cavalier
Honda Civic
Mazda Protégé
Mercury Tracer
Pontiac Sunfire
Saturn SL2
Suzuki Esteem
Toyota Corolla
Volkswagen Jetta
Fuelefficiency
R
eliability
D
epreciation
Engine
size
Luggage
com
partm
ent
Base
price
EXHIBIT 5.6 Perceptual Map of Small Sedans
!41
Competitive analysis
• Goal: Determine if there is a viable entry wedge into an
attractive industry
• Data gathering tool: focus groups
• Data analysis tool: perceptual map
• Output: Defendable core benefit proposition
!42
For business plan section on competitive
analysis:
• Provide:
o Script for your focus group
o Identify target market and name list source
o Identify relevant product dimensions
o Develop perceptual map and value map
o Incorporate findings in a refined benefit proposition
• This is a very time consuming assignment!
!43
For next session:
• Complete Chapter on value proposition and team
• Start drafting the chapter on industry & competition:
o Industry characteristics
o Competing products
o Important product dimensions
o Value proposition
• For the class on 12-11 you should prepare a 15 minute
presentation on Value & Team
!44

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KU_LEUVEN etsp competitive analysis

  • 1. ! ! Competitive Analysis Entrepreneurship & NBD ! 29-10-2013 ! Wynand Bodewes
  • 2. !2
  • 4. !4
  • 5. Competitive analysis • and pitching . . . . !5
  • 6. Understanding (& Creating) Feasibility • Proposals MUST to be feasible o Doable o Sufficiently rewarding ! • If you learn during the planning effort that it will not be feasible o Adapt your plans, i.e. engineer a different path o Abandon your plan o Or assume that it will be (if too late to shift) !6
  • 7. Types of feasibility • Industrial • Competitive • Technical • Market • Operational • Legal • Financial • Commercial !7
  • 8. Where to start? • Start with assessments where you can learn: o Fast o Cheap ! • Conclude with the more demanding feasibility assessments o Costs o Effort !8
  • 9. Industry analysis • Will this be a nice industry to operate in? !9 http://www.ic.gc.ca/eic/site/rubber-caoutchouc.nsf/eng/h_ru01206.html Rubber production
  • 10. Studying industry margins • To select your industry • To select your regional market (Canadian rubber firms trying to enter the US market, but not vice versa) • To understand WHY the margins develop as they do ! • Industry structure o Entry barriers? o Few large firms dominating? o Increasing concentration? o Do firms grow? !10
  • 11. Paradoxical expectations • Industrial economists & policy makers: o Value competition • No excess profits • Pressure on all to improve • Inefficient firms will be replaced by more efficient firms • Low entry barriers ! • Strategy scholars & entrepreneurs: o Value monopoly • Unfair competitive advantage • Exceptional profits • High entry barriers (also lock out possibly more efficient firms) !11
  • 13. !13
  • 14. Know what to expect: rivalry !14
  • 15. Just by looking at your competitors • You can learn what the nature of the competition will be o Monopoly • No competition as advantage o Cartel • Partnerships as advantage o Bertrand competition • “perfect competition” o Cournot competition • Concurrent capacity commitment o Stackelberg competition • Preemptive moves as advantage o Bertand Differentiation • Switching costs as advantage !15
  • 16. !16
  • 17. !17
  • 18. !18
  • 19. !19
  • 20. !20
  • 21. !21
  • 22. The entrepreneur’s paradox • A truly attractive industry is one that by definition you can’t enter: o If you can enter, there must be low barriers o If there are low barriers, there will be low profits ! • Unless you would succeed in erecting entry barriers after you have entered the industry !22
  • 24. 88 % of all industries !24
  • 25. ANALYZING YOUR OWN VENTURE EXHIBIT 4.5 Six Forces Analysis for Concentrated and Competitive Industries Potential Entrants Technology Suppliers BuyersRivals Substitutes Number of Buyers P G Price Elasticity P G P G P G Entry Barriers P G Number of Rivals P G Cost Dispersion P G Ease of imitation G Technological Opportunity ? P ? P G !25
  • 26. Feasible industry? • Once you understand the industry cost structure and the demand structure you can understand why and how value can be created • May also give direction to your strategic options !26
  • 27. Researching industry • Trade magazines • Trade fairs • Data from census office ! • Industry insiders o Rapid fact-finding • Success rates of new products • Usual product life cycle • Usual market adoption and sales development of new products • Where will you find the innovators (early adopters) • Sales developments • Margin developments • Role of agents in the value chain • Etc. !27
  • 28. Use the Chapter 4 Worksheet !28
  • 29. !29
  • 31. Competitive analysis • Look at your competitors as also your customers will look at your competitors: ! • As possible suppliers of competing products o You may not like these products •that is not for you to decide, your future clients will decide! !31
  • 35. Why do Prada and Zara compete? !35 We like to mix and match
  • 36. How can you understand how customers choose between competing products? • By collecting primary data o Which products do customers consider in making their choices? o On what dimensions do they compare? !36
  • 37. !37
  • 38. Perceptual Map Elements • Perceptual dimensions o Factors that customers use to compare product/services o May be fewer dimensions than those named (factor analysis) • Product positions o Locate each product in the comparison set in a “perceptual space” !38
  • 39. !39
  • 40. Core Benefit Proposition • Entrepreneurial opportunity exists in position gaps o Locations in perceptual space where there is need o …But no product satisfying them • Core Benefit Proposition is the particular position gap that the new business or the new venture satisfies !40
  • 41. EXHIBIT 5.5 Snake Plot of Small Sedans 0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.9 1 Chevrolet Prism Chevrolet Cavalier Honda Civic Mazda Protégé Mercury Tracer Pontiac Sunfire Saturn SL2 Suzuki Esteem Toyota Corolla Volkswagen Jetta Fuelefficiency R eliability D epreciation Engine size Luggage com partm ent Base price EXHIBIT 5.6 Perceptual Map of Small Sedans !41
  • 42. Competitive analysis • Goal: Determine if there is a viable entry wedge into an attractive industry • Data gathering tool: focus groups • Data analysis tool: perceptual map • Output: Defendable core benefit proposition !42
  • 43. For business plan section on competitive analysis: • Provide: o Script for your focus group o Identify target market and name list source o Identify relevant product dimensions o Develop perceptual map and value map o Incorporate findings in a refined benefit proposition • This is a very time consuming assignment! !43
  • 44. For next session: • Complete Chapter on value proposition and team • Start drafting the chapter on industry & competition: o Industry characteristics o Competing products o Important product dimensions o Value proposition • For the class on 12-11 you should prepare a 15 minute presentation on Value & Team !44