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Journal of Economics and Sustainable Development                                              www.iiste.org
ISSN 2222-1700 (Paper) ISSN 2222-2855 (Online)
Vol.2, No.6, 2011



     Determinants of Technical Efficiency of Rose Cut-Flower
                     Industries in Oromia Region, Ethiopia

                                           Mohammed Aman
                School of Agricultural Economics and Agribusiness, Haramaya University
                                P.O.Box +251 138, Dire Dawa, Ethiopia
                        Email: rosemuhe@gmail.com or muhecristy@gmail.com

                                              Jema Haji
                School of Agricultural Economics and Agribusiness, Haramaya University
                                P.O.Box +251 233, Haramaya, Ethiopia
                        Email: jemmahaji@gmail.com or jema.haji@ekon.slu.se

Received: October 11st, 2011
Accepted: October 16th, 2011
Published: October 30th, 2011

Abstract
The objective of this study is to measure and identify input use efficiency level of 28 rose cut flower
industries in three districts of Oromia Regional state (Ethiopia) using a two stage approach. . In the first
stage, a non-parametric (DEA) method was used to determine the relative technical, scale and overall
technical efficiencies. In the second stage, a Tobit model was used to identify sources of efficiency
differentials among industries. The results obtained indicated that the mean technical, scale and overall
technical efficiency indices were estimated to be 92%, %61 and 58%, respectively for the cut flower
industries. This Implies, major source of overall technical inefficiencies was scale of operation rather than
pure technical inefficiency. Besides, the estimated measures of technical efficiency were positively related
with Farming experience, formal schooling years of manager’s and negatively related with age of farms. No
conclusive result was obtained for the relation between size and efficiency.

Key words: Technical Efficiency, Scale Efficiency, DEA, Tobit, Rose cut flowers, farming experience,
Oromia, Ethiopia.

1. Introduction
Diversification of agricultural production is seen as a priority for least developing countries to reduce
dependence on primary commodities. The main reason is, despite high dependence on these commodities
for their livelihood, declining trend of prices for primary agricultural commodities (Humphrey 2006).
Accordingly, floriculture sector is chosen for enhancing farm incomes and reducing poverty in developing
countries. In particular, African countries have a comparative advantage in rose flower varieties production.
Fewer economies of scale and labour-intensive nature of production in cut flower industries are major
sources comparative advantage for these countries (Labaste 2005).
Due to suitable climatic conditions and natural resources; high level of support by the government;
favorable investment laws and incentives; proximity to the global market (mainly Europe) and availability
of abundant and cheap labour, Ethiopia is the second largest producer of rose cut flowers in Africa
following Kenya (Habte 2007). Moreover, the cut-flower industry in Ethiopia has emerged as one of the
biggest sources of foreign exchange earning in recent years. This is mainly because of increased demand
for cut-flowers, in the world market, by countries like Netherlands, Germany, Italy, United States, United
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Journal of Economics and Sustainable Development                                                www.iiste.org
ISSN 2222-1700 (Paper) ISSN 2222-2855 (Online)
Vol.2, No.6, 2011

Kingdom and Switzerland (Belwal & Chala 2007).
Despite above opportunities, the high costs of technology, knowledge intensity of production, lack of access
to capital, strict market regulations and standards; and demanding infrastructural requirements along with
non existence of diversity in cut flower exports i.e. more than 80 % are a single rose variety, made the
country not to benefit much (Melese 2007). To achieve simultaneous cost reduction and higher yield level
of rose cut flowers, improving the resource use efficiency of these industries is relevant. And hence, this
study is designed to estimate technical efficiency level and to identify its main determinants in the
production of rose cut flowers in Awash Melkassa, Bishoftu and Ziway districts, respectively. These study
areas are chosen due to relative similarity in terms of their geographic characteristics, market conditions,
production practices and type of rose cut flowers grown.
In particular, this study tries to answer following questions; what is the existing level of efficiency of rose
cut flower industries in the study areas? Is there any room for improvement in the level of efficiency for
rose cut flower industries? What are the main causes for the existing level of efficiency? What are the main
possible solutions to improve the existing level of efficiency in rose cut flowers production? By what level
will input(s) be reduced to obtain the existing yield level of rose cut flower stems?
The rationales for this study are, identifying the technical efficiency level of the rose cut flower industries,
will help business owners as to what extent they can reduce scarce resource use while maintaining current
yield level of rose cut flower stems. Moreover, due to recent development of the sector in Ethiopia,
checking for technical efficiency of these farms will also help policy makers in future policy design.

2. Materials and Methods
2.1. Sources and Types of Data
Primary data on the industry features, characteristics and production processes are collected through an
interview with farm managers using a semi-structured questionnaire from the 28 rose cut flower industries.
Whereas, the secondary cross sectional data on input and output for one growing season (45 days) were
collected from each daily input use records in order to calculate the variables required for the empirical
analysis. The data used in this study was drawn from a survey conducted from December 7, 2010-January,
2010/11, in the three districts.

2.2. Methods of Data Analysis
Given      decision making units (DMUs) producing          products (outputs) using     inputs, input and
output vectors may be represented by         and , respectively. For each DMU, all data may be written in
terms of          as input matrix (X) and         as output matrix ( ). Under the assumption of      , the
linear programming model for measuring the technical efficiency of rose cut flower farms can be given as
follows according to Coelli et al. (1998)is:

       θ
Subject to



Where,
  -           Vector of rose cut flower stems by the       industry
            -           Vector of inputs of the      rose cut flower industry.
           - Rose cut flower stems output matrix              for      cut flower industries.
           - Rose cut flower production input matrix               for    rose cut farms.
           - The input oriented technical efficiency score having value                .
        If       , the industry will be technically efficient; otherwise inefficient. And
   -         Vector of weights which defines the linear combination of peers of the         industry.
The specification of         is only suitable when all                    work at optimum scale. Otherwise,
measures of technical efficiency can be mistaken for scale efficiency. Therefore, the                 model is
reformulated by imposing a convexity constraint. Technical efficiency measure obtained with VRS model is
                                                      82
Journal of Economics and Sustainable Development                                                  www.iiste.org
ISSN 2222-1700 (Paper) ISSN 2222-2855 (Online)
Vol.2, No.6, 2011

also named as ‘pure technical efficiency’, as it is free of scale effects. Thus, technical efficiency      with
      in DEA model could be obtained from following linear programming:

       θ
Subject to

And

Where,               is a convexity constraint (       is an          vector of ones) and other variables are as
defined in the        model.
When there is a difference in efficiency score values between             and       models, scale inefficiency is
confirmed, indicating that the return to scale is variable, i.e. it can be increasing or decreasing (Färe &
Grosskopf 1994). Scale efficiency values for each analyzed                 can be obtained by the ratio between
the scores for technical efficiency with           and      . If the ratio value equals to 1, it indicates
are scale efficient and a value less than 1 imply scale inefficiency. Furthermore,                 operating with
Decreasing Returns to Scale             is operating under super-optimal condition while those operating with
increasing Returns to scale          are assumed to operate under sub-optimal conditions.
After efficiency scores are obtained, to identify the determinants of efficiency, a Tobit model is used for the
second-stage relationship between efficiency measures and suspected correlates of inefficiency (Binam et al.
2003; Iráizoz et al. 2003; Chavas et al. 2005; Barnes 2006). The reason for using Tobit model for DEA
efficiency scores is the bounded nature of efficiency level between 0 and 1. In this case, estimation with
OLS would lead to biased parameter estimates (Green 1991; Dhungana et al. 2004). Rather a two-limit
Tobit regression is estimated using commonly used statistical software STATA version 10.
2.3. Definition of Variables
The dependent variable, in first stage, is given by total number of rose cut flower stems produced. While,
the independent variables included in this stage are: land measured by total hectare of land under
greenhouse, the total labour (total number of temporary and permanent), water (the total amount of water
(m3) used in the greenhouse rose cut flower farms), the rose plant seedlings (estimated by the total number
of rose flower plant seedlings stems used by the farms.), nitrate, sulphate and acid fertilizers measured by
(kg) used.
In the second stage, however, the dependent variable is the technical efficiency score level of the rose cut
flower industries. Then this dependent variable is regressed over the following farm specific
socio-economic variables. Average area per greenhouses; location of the farm in KM (distance from the
Bole International airport); Ownership (measured by dummy values of 1 if the rose cut flower farm is
domestically owned and 0 if owned by foreign investors.); Age of the farm (years since the establishment
of the rose cut flower farm); Manager’s education level (formal schooling years spent by the farm managers)
and Manager’s farming experience (total years of farming experience by the farm manager’s in same or
related farming).
The output and inputs data, from the twenty-eight rose cut flower industries, are used to estimate the
technical efficiency levels in the production of rose cut flowers by using DEAP version 2.1 with an input
orientation option i.e. since the industries are targeted at minimization of input use.

3. Results and Discussion
3.1. Descriptive statistics
The mean land size holding, under greenhouses, in the study areas was 19.17 hectares, with minimum and
maximum sizes of 4.98 and 42 hectares, respectively. While, the mean employment level was 536 workers.
The mean amount of nitrate, sulphate and acid fertilizers used in greenhouses were 12.82 kg, 26.46 kg and
1.98 kg, respectively. Furthermore, the mean, water, rose flower plant seedlings and cut flower yield levels
were 47,300 m3, 1,066,500 and 9,671,800 stems, respectively.

3.2. Efficiency (DEA) Results
In this section, district as well as industry level technical efficiency results are discussed. For the sake of
                                                       83
Journal of Economics and Sustainable Development                                              www.iiste.org
ISSN 2222-1700 (Paper) ISSN 2222-2855 (Online)
Vol.2, No.6, 2011

comparison, technical efficiency indices are estimated both under              and        along with scale
efficiency level and type of returns to scale.
The district level technical efficiency results indicate that, industries at Awash Melkassa, Bishoftu and
Ziway districts could reduce their input use by 24%, 64% and 22% without any loss of rose cut flower
stems. While, the mean technical efficiencies, using     , were 100, 90 and 94 percent for Awash Melkassa,
Bishoftu and Ziway districts, respectively (Table 1).


Table 1. Descriptive statistics of the technical efficiency scores of districts
 Case         Districts                     N         Mean          S.dev       Min      Max        Range
              Awash Melkassa                1          0.76            -        0.76     0.76        0.00
 CRS          Bishoftu                     13          0.36         0.22        0.14     1.00        0.86
              Ziway                        14          0.78         0.34        0.15     1.00        0.85
              Total                        28          0.58         0.35        0.14     1.00        0.86
              Awash Melkassa                1          1.00            -        1.00     1.00        0.00
 VRS          Bishoftu                     13          0.90          0.11       0.71     1.00        0.29
              Ziway                        14          0.94         0.10        0.64     1.00        0.36
              Total                        28          0.92          0.11       0.64     1.00        0.36
Source: Author survey, 2011.
Furthermore, results obtained indicate statistically significant difference in mean technical efficiency level
for rose cut flower industries in case of CRS i.e. farms in Ziway district were performing well followed by
farms in Awash Melkasa and Bishoftu districts. However, the difference was not statistically significant in
case of VRS. This may be due to similar technologies of production used by rose cut flower industries.
Frequency distribution of the technical efficiency scores in both CRS and VRS are given in Table 2.
Accordingly 8 industries under CRS and 16 under VRS are technically efficient and the remaining
technically inefficient.

Table 2. Frequency distribution of technical efficiency scores (VRS, CRS and SE)
                                     Frequency of Technical Efficiency
TE scores          CRS             Percent           VRS          Percent            SE            Percent
1.00                 8              28.57             16           57.14              8             28.57
0.91- 0.99           2               7.14             2             7.14              3             10.71
0.81- 0.90           1               3.57             5            17.86              -
0.71- 0.80           1               3.57             4            14.28              1             3.57
0.61- 0.70           -                                1             3.57              1             3.57
0.51- 0.60           -                                 -                              -
0.41- 0.50           3              10.71              -                              2              7.14
0.31- 0.40           5              17.86                                             6             21.43
0.21- 0.30           4              14.28                                             5             17.86
0.11- 0.20           4              14.28                                             2              7.14
Mean               0.58                              0.92                           0.61
Minimum            0.14                              0.64                           0.19
Maximum            1.00                              1.00                           1.00
S.dev              0.35                              0.11                           0.33
Source: Author survey, 2011.

3.3. Returns to Scale of Industries
The majority,19 (67.85%), of scale inefficient rose cut flower industries were operating under IRS with
only one farm operating under CRS. Those operating under IRS are small industries that need to increase
their size of operation. While, those operating under DRS are large industries operating above their optimal
scale and thus could be better-off by reducing their size of operation. Accordingly, most of the scale
                                                     84
Journal of Economics and Sustainable Development                                                 www.iiste.org
ISSN 2222-1700 (Paper) ISSN 2222-2855 (Online)
Vol.2, No.6, 2011

inefficient industries, in the three districts, need to expand their size of holding to efficiently utilize their
resources (Table 3).


Table 3. Efficiency and returns to scale distribution of rose cut flower industries
                                    Technical Efficiency                         Returns to Scale
                             CRS            CRS             SE            IRS           CRS         DRS
    Industries
    Efficient                  8             16              8
    Inefficient               20             12             20
    Total                     28             28             28             19             8          1
    Mean                     0.58           0.92           0.61
Source: Own (Authors) calculation
The mean SE was 0.61 This result imply that , the average size of the greenhouse rose cut flower industries
in the study areas is far from the optimal scale and an additional 39 % productivity gain could be feasible,
provided they adjusted their farm’s operation to an optimal scale.
The causes of inefficiency for the industries could be either inappropriate scale or misallocation of
resources. Inappropriate scale suggests that industries are not taking advantage of economies of scale in
rose cut flower production process. While, misallocation of resource refers to inefficient input combination.
As shown in Table 3, the mean SE and TE (VRS) score were 0.61 and 0.92, respectively. This relatively
low scale efficiency mean value indicates the main cause of technical inefficiency, for the rose cut flowers
industries, is inappropriate scale (scale inefficiency) rather than misallocation of resources (pure technical
inefficiency).
In this study, input slacks are also estimated. The input slacks, using the VRS technical efficiency measure
(pure technical efficiency), indicate excess use of that input(s) relative to other peer farms. The mean slack
values for land, labour, water, nitrate, sulphate and acid fertilizers and rose plant seedling inputs are 0.76
hectares, 478 workers,1,810 m3,1.3 kg,1.76 kg,0.22 kg and 130041 stems, respectively. Among fertilizers,
smallest mean input slack value is obtained for acids followed by nitrates. The reason is that, acid fertilizers
are used to clean the drip pipes and less frequently applied than the two fertilizers. The rose cut flower
industries can reduce costs, incurred on inputs, by the amount of slacks without reducing production level
of rose cut flower stems.

3.4. Determinants of Technical Efficiency
In order to examine the effect of relevant technological, farm specific and socio-economic factors on
technical efficiency of rose cut flower farms, the input oriented VRS technical efficiency scores are
regressed on the selected explanatory and farm specific variables using a two-limit Tobit model since
efficiency scores are bounded between 0 and 1 (Table 4).



 Table 4. Determinants of technical efficiency in rose cut flowers production
                       The log likelihood estimates                     The Robust standard estimates
  Variables                 Parameters             Efficiency effect          Parameters         Efficiency effect
  Constant( )                   b0                       -0.976                   b0                  -0.976
                                                        (0.667)                                       (0.258)
                                b1                      -0.020                    b1                  -0.020
                                                        (0.023)                                       (0.016)
                                b8                      -0.004                    b8                  -0.004
                                                        (0.012)                                       (0.009)
                                b9                        0.259                   b9                   0.259
                                                        (0.101)                                       (0.093)

                                                       85
Journal of Economics and Sustainable Development                                              www.iiste.org
ISSN 2222-1700 (Paper) ISSN 2222-2855 (Online)
Vol.2, No.6, 2011

                                 b10                   -0.009*                    b10                   -0.009**
                                                       (0.035)                                           (0.022)
                                 b11                   0.104**                    b11                   0.103***
                                                       (0.039)                                           (0.028)
                                 b12                   0.048**                    b12                   0.048***
                                                       (0.023)                                           (0.014)
  Log likelihood                                        0.937               Log                           0.937
                                                                            Pseudo likelihood
   Sigma                            δ                     0.133                       δ                   0.133
*** Significant at 1%; ** significant at 5%; * significant at 10%. Standard errors were shown in
parenthesis, (x1= Average land area, x8 =location, x9 = ownership, x10 = age of industry, x11= managers
education and x12= managers experience).
The result obtained for age of the industry shows a negative and significant effect on technical efficiency of
rose cut flower production implying older rose cut flower farms are less technically efficient than new ones.
While, the formal education schooling years and experience in same or related business of farm manager’s
has positive and significant effect on technical efficiency level of the farms.
Furthermore, the marginal effects for the determinants of technical efficiency were also estimated. And
hence, for a unit percentage increase in years rose cut flower farms, technical efficiency decreases by 1 %.
While, a one percent additional formal schooling years of the farm mangers will improve technical
efficiency of the industry by 10.3 %. Finally, a one percent additional farming experience of the farm
manager will improve technical efficiency by 4.8 %         (Table 5).

Table 5. Marginal effects of efficiency variables after Tobit regression
                         The log likelihood estimates                      The Robust standard estimates
   Variables                  Parameters                    dy/dx                 Parameters                dy/dx
                                   b1                      -0.020                      b1                  -0.020
                                                          (0.023)                                          (0.016)
                                   b8                      -0.004                      b8                  -0.004
                                                          (0.012)                                          (0.009)
                                   b9                       0.259                      b9                   0.259
                                                          (0.101)                                          (0.093)
                                  b10                      -0.01*                     b10                  -0.01*
                                                          (0.035)                                          (0.022)
                                   b11                   0.103***                     b11                 0.103***
                                                          (0.039)                                          (0.028)
                                  b12                     0.048**                     b12                 0.048***
                                                          (0.023)                                          (0.014)
Source: authors own calculation
4. Conclusion
Results obtained indicated that there is a room to improve technical efficiency level of rose cut flower
industries in the study areas. For instance, the mean scale efficiency value of 0.61 implying, on average,
rose cut flower industries in the three study districts are not operating at their optimal farm size. Among the
factors that are assumed to affect technical efficiency level, experience in same or related farming activities
as well as more years of formal schooling by the farm manager increased technical efficiency level
Whereas, age of the farm, along with rose cut flowers grown inside, decreased the technical efficiency level.
As far as marginal gain in technical efficiency is concerned, formal years of schooling dominates that of
farm manager farming experience in same or related farming activities.

References
Barnes, A.P. (2006), “Does multi-functionality affect technical efficiency? A non-parametric analysis of the
Scottish dairy industry”, Journal of Environmental Management 80,287-294.
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Journal of Economics and Sustainable Development                                                                    www.iiste.org
ISSN 2222-1700 (Paper) ISSN 2222-2855 (Online)
Vol.2, No.6, 2011

Belwal, R., & Chala, M. (2007), “Catalysts and barriers to cut flowers export: A case study of Ethiopian
floriculture industry”, International Journal of Emerging Markets 3(2), 216-235.
Binam, JN., Sylla, K., Diarra, I., & Nyambi G. (2003), “Factors affecting technical efficiency among coffee
farmers in Cote d’Ivoire: Evidence from the centre west region”, African Development Review 15, 66-76.
Chavas, J-P., Petrie, R., & Roth, M. (2005), “Farm household production efficiency: Evidence from the
Gambia”, American Journal of Agricultural Economics 87(1), 160-179.
Coelli, T.J., Rao, D.S.P., O’Donnell, C.J., & Battese, G.E. (1998), “An introduction to productivity and
efficiency analysis (2nd edition)”, Springer Science, New York.
Dhungana, B.R., Nuthall, P.L., & Nartea, G.V. (2004), “Measuring the economic inefficiency of Nepalese
rice farms using data envelopment analysis”, The Australian Journal of Agricultural and Resource
Economics 48 (2), 347-369.
Färe, R., Grosskopf, S., & Lovell, C.A.K. (1994), Productivity frontiers, Cambridge: Cambridge University
Press.
Green, W. (1991), LIMDEP: User’s manual and reference guide, New York: Econometric software, Inc.
Habte, S. (2007), Ethiopia cut flower export industry and international market: Investment opportunity
profile in Ethiopia.
Humphrey, J. (2006), “Horticulture: Responding to challenges of poverty reduction and global competition”,
Acta Horticulture 69(9), 19–38.
Iráizoz, B., Rapùn, M., & Zabaleta, I. (2003), “Assessing the technical efficiency of horticultural
production in Navarra, Spain” Agricultural Systems78, 387-403.
Labaste, P. (2005), The European horticulture market. Opportunities for Sub- Saharan African exporters.’
Working Paper NO. 63, Washington: The World Bank.
Melese, A. (2007), Triple role of the Dutch in the growth of the cut-flower industry in Ethiopia.
Unpublished Thesis for partial fulfillment of masters of arts in development studies, The Hague, The
Netherlands.




                                                          List of Tables

Table                                                                       Page
Table 1. Descriptive statistics of the technical efficiency scores of districts ............................................................... 84
Table 2. Frequency distribution of technical efficiency scores (VRS, CRS and SE) .................................................. 84
Table 3. Efficiency and returns to scale distribution of rose cut flower industries ...................................................... 85
Table 4. Determinants of technical efficiency in rose cut flowers production ............................................................ 85
Table 5. Marginal effects of efficiency variables after Tobit regression ..................................................................... 86




                                                                 87
Journal of Economics and Sustainable Development                                            www.iiste.org
ISSN 2222-1700 (Paper) ISSN 2222-2855 (Online)
Vol.2, No.6, 2011


                                              Appendices

Appendix Table A 1.Name and location of DMUs (rose cut flower farms)
     DMUs        Name of the rose cut flower farm                    District (location )
     1           AQ Roses Plc                                              Ziway
     2           Exp. Incorporated Chibo Flowers                           Ziway
     3           Sher flowers 8                                            Ziway
     4           Braam Flowers PLC                                         Ziway
     5           Ziway Roses PLC                                           Ziway
     6           Sher Ethiopia PLC                                         Ziway
     7           Rainbow Colors PLC                                       Bishoftu
     8           Yassin Legesse J. Flower Farm                            Bishoftu
     9           Dugda Floriculture Dev't PLC                             Bishoftu
     10          Joytech PLC                                              Bishoftu
     11          Bukito Agro Industry                                     Bishoftu
     12          Friendship Flowers                                       Bishoftu
     13          ZK Flower                                                Bishoftu
     14          Eyasu Sirak Workineh Flowers PLC                         Bishoftu
     15          Olij Flowers PLC                                         Bishoftu
     16          Minaye Flowers PLC                                       Bishoftu
     17          Roshanara Rose PLC                                       Bishoftu
     18          Super Arsity Flower PLC                              Awash Melkasa
     19          Sher flowers 1                                            Ziway
     20          Sher flowers 2                                            Ziway
     21          Sher flowers 3                                            Ziway
     22          Sher flowers 4                                            Ziway
     23          Experience Flowers PLC                                    Ziway
     24          Evergreen Roses PLC                                      Bishoftu
     25          Zubka General Business Flower Farm Plc                   Bishoftu
     26          Sher flowers 5                                            Ziway
     27          Sher flowers 6                                            Ziway
     28          Sher flowers 7                                            Ziway




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11.0006www.iiste.org call for paper. 81-88

  • 1. Journal of Economics and Sustainable Development www.iiste.org ISSN 2222-1700 (Paper) ISSN 2222-2855 (Online) Vol.2, No.6, 2011 Determinants of Technical Efficiency of Rose Cut-Flower Industries in Oromia Region, Ethiopia Mohammed Aman School of Agricultural Economics and Agribusiness, Haramaya University P.O.Box +251 138, Dire Dawa, Ethiopia Email: rosemuhe@gmail.com or muhecristy@gmail.com Jema Haji School of Agricultural Economics and Agribusiness, Haramaya University P.O.Box +251 233, Haramaya, Ethiopia Email: jemmahaji@gmail.com or jema.haji@ekon.slu.se Received: October 11st, 2011 Accepted: October 16th, 2011 Published: October 30th, 2011 Abstract The objective of this study is to measure and identify input use efficiency level of 28 rose cut flower industries in three districts of Oromia Regional state (Ethiopia) using a two stage approach. . In the first stage, a non-parametric (DEA) method was used to determine the relative technical, scale and overall technical efficiencies. In the second stage, a Tobit model was used to identify sources of efficiency differentials among industries. The results obtained indicated that the mean technical, scale and overall technical efficiency indices were estimated to be 92%, %61 and 58%, respectively for the cut flower industries. This Implies, major source of overall technical inefficiencies was scale of operation rather than pure technical inefficiency. Besides, the estimated measures of technical efficiency were positively related with Farming experience, formal schooling years of manager’s and negatively related with age of farms. No conclusive result was obtained for the relation between size and efficiency. Key words: Technical Efficiency, Scale Efficiency, DEA, Tobit, Rose cut flowers, farming experience, Oromia, Ethiopia. 1. Introduction Diversification of agricultural production is seen as a priority for least developing countries to reduce dependence on primary commodities. The main reason is, despite high dependence on these commodities for their livelihood, declining trend of prices for primary agricultural commodities (Humphrey 2006). Accordingly, floriculture sector is chosen for enhancing farm incomes and reducing poverty in developing countries. In particular, African countries have a comparative advantage in rose flower varieties production. Fewer economies of scale and labour-intensive nature of production in cut flower industries are major sources comparative advantage for these countries (Labaste 2005). Due to suitable climatic conditions and natural resources; high level of support by the government; favorable investment laws and incentives; proximity to the global market (mainly Europe) and availability of abundant and cheap labour, Ethiopia is the second largest producer of rose cut flowers in Africa following Kenya (Habte 2007). Moreover, the cut-flower industry in Ethiopia has emerged as one of the biggest sources of foreign exchange earning in recent years. This is mainly because of increased demand for cut-flowers, in the world market, by countries like Netherlands, Germany, Italy, United States, United 81
  • 2. Journal of Economics and Sustainable Development www.iiste.org ISSN 2222-1700 (Paper) ISSN 2222-2855 (Online) Vol.2, No.6, 2011 Kingdom and Switzerland (Belwal & Chala 2007). Despite above opportunities, the high costs of technology, knowledge intensity of production, lack of access to capital, strict market regulations and standards; and demanding infrastructural requirements along with non existence of diversity in cut flower exports i.e. more than 80 % are a single rose variety, made the country not to benefit much (Melese 2007). To achieve simultaneous cost reduction and higher yield level of rose cut flowers, improving the resource use efficiency of these industries is relevant. And hence, this study is designed to estimate technical efficiency level and to identify its main determinants in the production of rose cut flowers in Awash Melkassa, Bishoftu and Ziway districts, respectively. These study areas are chosen due to relative similarity in terms of their geographic characteristics, market conditions, production practices and type of rose cut flowers grown. In particular, this study tries to answer following questions; what is the existing level of efficiency of rose cut flower industries in the study areas? Is there any room for improvement in the level of efficiency for rose cut flower industries? What are the main causes for the existing level of efficiency? What are the main possible solutions to improve the existing level of efficiency in rose cut flowers production? By what level will input(s) be reduced to obtain the existing yield level of rose cut flower stems? The rationales for this study are, identifying the technical efficiency level of the rose cut flower industries, will help business owners as to what extent they can reduce scarce resource use while maintaining current yield level of rose cut flower stems. Moreover, due to recent development of the sector in Ethiopia, checking for technical efficiency of these farms will also help policy makers in future policy design. 2. Materials and Methods 2.1. Sources and Types of Data Primary data on the industry features, characteristics and production processes are collected through an interview with farm managers using a semi-structured questionnaire from the 28 rose cut flower industries. Whereas, the secondary cross sectional data on input and output for one growing season (45 days) were collected from each daily input use records in order to calculate the variables required for the empirical analysis. The data used in this study was drawn from a survey conducted from December 7, 2010-January, 2010/11, in the three districts. 2.2. Methods of Data Analysis Given decision making units (DMUs) producing products (outputs) using inputs, input and output vectors may be represented by and , respectively. For each DMU, all data may be written in terms of as input matrix (X) and as output matrix ( ). Under the assumption of , the linear programming model for measuring the technical efficiency of rose cut flower farms can be given as follows according to Coelli et al. (1998)is: θ Subject to Where, - Vector of rose cut flower stems by the industry - Vector of inputs of the rose cut flower industry. - Rose cut flower stems output matrix for cut flower industries. - Rose cut flower production input matrix for rose cut farms. - The input oriented technical efficiency score having value . If , the industry will be technically efficient; otherwise inefficient. And - Vector of weights which defines the linear combination of peers of the industry. The specification of is only suitable when all work at optimum scale. Otherwise, measures of technical efficiency can be mistaken for scale efficiency. Therefore, the model is reformulated by imposing a convexity constraint. Technical efficiency measure obtained with VRS model is 82
  • 3. Journal of Economics and Sustainable Development www.iiste.org ISSN 2222-1700 (Paper) ISSN 2222-2855 (Online) Vol.2, No.6, 2011 also named as ‘pure technical efficiency’, as it is free of scale effects. Thus, technical efficiency with in DEA model could be obtained from following linear programming: θ Subject to And Where, is a convexity constraint ( is an vector of ones) and other variables are as defined in the model. When there is a difference in efficiency score values between and models, scale inefficiency is confirmed, indicating that the return to scale is variable, i.e. it can be increasing or decreasing (Färe & Grosskopf 1994). Scale efficiency values for each analyzed can be obtained by the ratio between the scores for technical efficiency with and . If the ratio value equals to 1, it indicates are scale efficient and a value less than 1 imply scale inefficiency. Furthermore, operating with Decreasing Returns to Scale is operating under super-optimal condition while those operating with increasing Returns to scale are assumed to operate under sub-optimal conditions. After efficiency scores are obtained, to identify the determinants of efficiency, a Tobit model is used for the second-stage relationship between efficiency measures and suspected correlates of inefficiency (Binam et al. 2003; Iráizoz et al. 2003; Chavas et al. 2005; Barnes 2006). The reason for using Tobit model for DEA efficiency scores is the bounded nature of efficiency level between 0 and 1. In this case, estimation with OLS would lead to biased parameter estimates (Green 1991; Dhungana et al. 2004). Rather a two-limit Tobit regression is estimated using commonly used statistical software STATA version 10. 2.3. Definition of Variables The dependent variable, in first stage, is given by total number of rose cut flower stems produced. While, the independent variables included in this stage are: land measured by total hectare of land under greenhouse, the total labour (total number of temporary and permanent), water (the total amount of water (m3) used in the greenhouse rose cut flower farms), the rose plant seedlings (estimated by the total number of rose flower plant seedlings stems used by the farms.), nitrate, sulphate and acid fertilizers measured by (kg) used. In the second stage, however, the dependent variable is the technical efficiency score level of the rose cut flower industries. Then this dependent variable is regressed over the following farm specific socio-economic variables. Average area per greenhouses; location of the farm in KM (distance from the Bole International airport); Ownership (measured by dummy values of 1 if the rose cut flower farm is domestically owned and 0 if owned by foreign investors.); Age of the farm (years since the establishment of the rose cut flower farm); Manager’s education level (formal schooling years spent by the farm managers) and Manager’s farming experience (total years of farming experience by the farm manager’s in same or related farming). The output and inputs data, from the twenty-eight rose cut flower industries, are used to estimate the technical efficiency levels in the production of rose cut flowers by using DEAP version 2.1 with an input orientation option i.e. since the industries are targeted at minimization of input use. 3. Results and Discussion 3.1. Descriptive statistics The mean land size holding, under greenhouses, in the study areas was 19.17 hectares, with minimum and maximum sizes of 4.98 and 42 hectares, respectively. While, the mean employment level was 536 workers. The mean amount of nitrate, sulphate and acid fertilizers used in greenhouses were 12.82 kg, 26.46 kg and 1.98 kg, respectively. Furthermore, the mean, water, rose flower plant seedlings and cut flower yield levels were 47,300 m3, 1,066,500 and 9,671,800 stems, respectively. 3.2. Efficiency (DEA) Results In this section, district as well as industry level technical efficiency results are discussed. For the sake of 83
  • 4. Journal of Economics and Sustainable Development www.iiste.org ISSN 2222-1700 (Paper) ISSN 2222-2855 (Online) Vol.2, No.6, 2011 comparison, technical efficiency indices are estimated both under and along with scale efficiency level and type of returns to scale. The district level technical efficiency results indicate that, industries at Awash Melkassa, Bishoftu and Ziway districts could reduce their input use by 24%, 64% and 22% without any loss of rose cut flower stems. While, the mean technical efficiencies, using , were 100, 90 and 94 percent for Awash Melkassa, Bishoftu and Ziway districts, respectively (Table 1). Table 1. Descriptive statistics of the technical efficiency scores of districts Case Districts N Mean S.dev Min Max Range Awash Melkassa 1 0.76 - 0.76 0.76 0.00 CRS Bishoftu 13 0.36 0.22 0.14 1.00 0.86 Ziway 14 0.78 0.34 0.15 1.00 0.85 Total 28 0.58 0.35 0.14 1.00 0.86 Awash Melkassa 1 1.00 - 1.00 1.00 0.00 VRS Bishoftu 13 0.90 0.11 0.71 1.00 0.29 Ziway 14 0.94 0.10 0.64 1.00 0.36 Total 28 0.92 0.11 0.64 1.00 0.36 Source: Author survey, 2011. Furthermore, results obtained indicate statistically significant difference in mean technical efficiency level for rose cut flower industries in case of CRS i.e. farms in Ziway district were performing well followed by farms in Awash Melkasa and Bishoftu districts. However, the difference was not statistically significant in case of VRS. This may be due to similar technologies of production used by rose cut flower industries. Frequency distribution of the technical efficiency scores in both CRS and VRS are given in Table 2. Accordingly 8 industries under CRS and 16 under VRS are technically efficient and the remaining technically inefficient. Table 2. Frequency distribution of technical efficiency scores (VRS, CRS and SE) Frequency of Technical Efficiency TE scores CRS Percent VRS Percent SE Percent 1.00 8 28.57 16 57.14 8 28.57 0.91- 0.99 2 7.14 2 7.14 3 10.71 0.81- 0.90 1 3.57 5 17.86 - 0.71- 0.80 1 3.57 4 14.28 1 3.57 0.61- 0.70 - 1 3.57 1 3.57 0.51- 0.60 - - - 0.41- 0.50 3 10.71 - 2 7.14 0.31- 0.40 5 17.86 6 21.43 0.21- 0.30 4 14.28 5 17.86 0.11- 0.20 4 14.28 2 7.14 Mean 0.58 0.92 0.61 Minimum 0.14 0.64 0.19 Maximum 1.00 1.00 1.00 S.dev 0.35 0.11 0.33 Source: Author survey, 2011. 3.3. Returns to Scale of Industries The majority,19 (67.85%), of scale inefficient rose cut flower industries were operating under IRS with only one farm operating under CRS. Those operating under IRS are small industries that need to increase their size of operation. While, those operating under DRS are large industries operating above their optimal scale and thus could be better-off by reducing their size of operation. Accordingly, most of the scale 84
  • 5. Journal of Economics and Sustainable Development www.iiste.org ISSN 2222-1700 (Paper) ISSN 2222-2855 (Online) Vol.2, No.6, 2011 inefficient industries, in the three districts, need to expand their size of holding to efficiently utilize their resources (Table 3). Table 3. Efficiency and returns to scale distribution of rose cut flower industries Technical Efficiency Returns to Scale CRS CRS SE IRS CRS DRS Industries Efficient 8 16 8 Inefficient 20 12 20 Total 28 28 28 19 8 1 Mean 0.58 0.92 0.61 Source: Own (Authors) calculation The mean SE was 0.61 This result imply that , the average size of the greenhouse rose cut flower industries in the study areas is far from the optimal scale and an additional 39 % productivity gain could be feasible, provided they adjusted their farm’s operation to an optimal scale. The causes of inefficiency for the industries could be either inappropriate scale or misallocation of resources. Inappropriate scale suggests that industries are not taking advantage of economies of scale in rose cut flower production process. While, misallocation of resource refers to inefficient input combination. As shown in Table 3, the mean SE and TE (VRS) score were 0.61 and 0.92, respectively. This relatively low scale efficiency mean value indicates the main cause of technical inefficiency, for the rose cut flowers industries, is inappropriate scale (scale inefficiency) rather than misallocation of resources (pure technical inefficiency). In this study, input slacks are also estimated. The input slacks, using the VRS technical efficiency measure (pure technical efficiency), indicate excess use of that input(s) relative to other peer farms. The mean slack values for land, labour, water, nitrate, sulphate and acid fertilizers and rose plant seedling inputs are 0.76 hectares, 478 workers,1,810 m3,1.3 kg,1.76 kg,0.22 kg and 130041 stems, respectively. Among fertilizers, smallest mean input slack value is obtained for acids followed by nitrates. The reason is that, acid fertilizers are used to clean the drip pipes and less frequently applied than the two fertilizers. The rose cut flower industries can reduce costs, incurred on inputs, by the amount of slacks without reducing production level of rose cut flower stems. 3.4. Determinants of Technical Efficiency In order to examine the effect of relevant technological, farm specific and socio-economic factors on technical efficiency of rose cut flower farms, the input oriented VRS technical efficiency scores are regressed on the selected explanatory and farm specific variables using a two-limit Tobit model since efficiency scores are bounded between 0 and 1 (Table 4). Table 4. Determinants of technical efficiency in rose cut flowers production The log likelihood estimates The Robust standard estimates Variables Parameters Efficiency effect Parameters Efficiency effect Constant( ) b0 -0.976 b0 -0.976 (0.667) (0.258) b1 -0.020 b1 -0.020 (0.023) (0.016) b8 -0.004 b8 -0.004 (0.012) (0.009) b9 0.259 b9 0.259 (0.101) (0.093) 85
  • 6. Journal of Economics and Sustainable Development www.iiste.org ISSN 2222-1700 (Paper) ISSN 2222-2855 (Online) Vol.2, No.6, 2011 b10 -0.009* b10 -0.009** (0.035) (0.022) b11 0.104** b11 0.103*** (0.039) (0.028) b12 0.048** b12 0.048*** (0.023) (0.014) Log likelihood 0.937 Log 0.937 Pseudo likelihood Sigma δ 0.133 δ 0.133 *** Significant at 1%; ** significant at 5%; * significant at 10%. Standard errors were shown in parenthesis, (x1= Average land area, x8 =location, x9 = ownership, x10 = age of industry, x11= managers education and x12= managers experience). The result obtained for age of the industry shows a negative and significant effect on technical efficiency of rose cut flower production implying older rose cut flower farms are less technically efficient than new ones. While, the formal education schooling years and experience in same or related business of farm manager’s has positive and significant effect on technical efficiency level of the farms. Furthermore, the marginal effects for the determinants of technical efficiency were also estimated. And hence, for a unit percentage increase in years rose cut flower farms, technical efficiency decreases by 1 %. While, a one percent additional formal schooling years of the farm mangers will improve technical efficiency of the industry by 10.3 %. Finally, a one percent additional farming experience of the farm manager will improve technical efficiency by 4.8 % (Table 5). Table 5. Marginal effects of efficiency variables after Tobit regression The log likelihood estimates The Robust standard estimates Variables Parameters dy/dx Parameters dy/dx b1 -0.020 b1 -0.020 (0.023) (0.016) b8 -0.004 b8 -0.004 (0.012) (0.009) b9 0.259 b9 0.259 (0.101) (0.093) b10 -0.01* b10 -0.01* (0.035) (0.022) b11 0.103*** b11 0.103*** (0.039) (0.028) b12 0.048** b12 0.048*** (0.023) (0.014) Source: authors own calculation 4. Conclusion Results obtained indicated that there is a room to improve technical efficiency level of rose cut flower industries in the study areas. For instance, the mean scale efficiency value of 0.61 implying, on average, rose cut flower industries in the three study districts are not operating at their optimal farm size. Among the factors that are assumed to affect technical efficiency level, experience in same or related farming activities as well as more years of formal schooling by the farm manager increased technical efficiency level Whereas, age of the farm, along with rose cut flowers grown inside, decreased the technical efficiency level. As far as marginal gain in technical efficiency is concerned, formal years of schooling dominates that of farm manager farming experience in same or related farming activities. References Barnes, A.P. (2006), “Does multi-functionality affect technical efficiency? A non-parametric analysis of the Scottish dairy industry”, Journal of Environmental Management 80,287-294. 86
  • 7. Journal of Economics and Sustainable Development www.iiste.org ISSN 2222-1700 (Paper) ISSN 2222-2855 (Online) Vol.2, No.6, 2011 Belwal, R., & Chala, M. (2007), “Catalysts and barriers to cut flowers export: A case study of Ethiopian floriculture industry”, International Journal of Emerging Markets 3(2), 216-235. Binam, JN., Sylla, K., Diarra, I., & Nyambi G. (2003), “Factors affecting technical efficiency among coffee farmers in Cote d’Ivoire: Evidence from the centre west region”, African Development Review 15, 66-76. Chavas, J-P., Petrie, R., & Roth, M. (2005), “Farm household production efficiency: Evidence from the Gambia”, American Journal of Agricultural Economics 87(1), 160-179. Coelli, T.J., Rao, D.S.P., O’Donnell, C.J., & Battese, G.E. (1998), “An introduction to productivity and efficiency analysis (2nd edition)”, Springer Science, New York. Dhungana, B.R., Nuthall, P.L., & Nartea, G.V. (2004), “Measuring the economic inefficiency of Nepalese rice farms using data envelopment analysis”, The Australian Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics 48 (2), 347-369. Färe, R., Grosskopf, S., & Lovell, C.A.K. (1994), Productivity frontiers, Cambridge: Cambridge University Press. Green, W. (1991), LIMDEP: User’s manual and reference guide, New York: Econometric software, Inc. Habte, S. (2007), Ethiopia cut flower export industry and international market: Investment opportunity profile in Ethiopia. Humphrey, J. (2006), “Horticulture: Responding to challenges of poverty reduction and global competition”, Acta Horticulture 69(9), 19–38. Iráizoz, B., Rapùn, M., & Zabaleta, I. (2003), “Assessing the technical efficiency of horticultural production in Navarra, Spain” Agricultural Systems78, 387-403. Labaste, P. (2005), The European horticulture market. Opportunities for Sub- Saharan African exporters.’ Working Paper NO. 63, Washington: The World Bank. Melese, A. (2007), Triple role of the Dutch in the growth of the cut-flower industry in Ethiopia. Unpublished Thesis for partial fulfillment of masters of arts in development studies, The Hague, The Netherlands. List of Tables Table Page Table 1. Descriptive statistics of the technical efficiency scores of districts ............................................................... 84 Table 2. Frequency distribution of technical efficiency scores (VRS, CRS and SE) .................................................. 84 Table 3. Efficiency and returns to scale distribution of rose cut flower industries ...................................................... 85 Table 4. Determinants of technical efficiency in rose cut flowers production ............................................................ 85 Table 5. Marginal effects of efficiency variables after Tobit regression ..................................................................... 86 87
  • 8. Journal of Economics and Sustainable Development www.iiste.org ISSN 2222-1700 (Paper) ISSN 2222-2855 (Online) Vol.2, No.6, 2011 Appendices Appendix Table A 1.Name and location of DMUs (rose cut flower farms) DMUs Name of the rose cut flower farm District (location ) 1 AQ Roses Plc Ziway 2 Exp. Incorporated Chibo Flowers Ziway 3 Sher flowers 8 Ziway 4 Braam Flowers PLC Ziway 5 Ziway Roses PLC Ziway 6 Sher Ethiopia PLC Ziway 7 Rainbow Colors PLC Bishoftu 8 Yassin Legesse J. Flower Farm Bishoftu 9 Dugda Floriculture Dev't PLC Bishoftu 10 Joytech PLC Bishoftu 11 Bukito Agro Industry Bishoftu 12 Friendship Flowers Bishoftu 13 ZK Flower Bishoftu 14 Eyasu Sirak Workineh Flowers PLC Bishoftu 15 Olij Flowers PLC Bishoftu 16 Minaye Flowers PLC Bishoftu 17 Roshanara Rose PLC Bishoftu 18 Super Arsity Flower PLC Awash Melkasa 19 Sher flowers 1 Ziway 20 Sher flowers 2 Ziway 21 Sher flowers 3 Ziway 22 Sher flowers 4 Ziway 23 Experience Flowers PLC Ziway 24 Evergreen Roses PLC Bishoftu 25 Zubka General Business Flower Farm Plc Bishoftu 26 Sher flowers 5 Ziway 27 Sher flowers 6 Ziway 28 Sher flowers 7 Ziway 88
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