Ex Element

www.tradeslide.com
Why is Experience (Ex element) investable?
•

Rational Investors invest if BOTH of the following conditions are met
1. Past returns were sufficiently high, on a risk-adjusted basis, AND
2. Past returns were not achieved randomly

•

The statistical representativeness of a trading history is essential to rule out luck.
With no further data, a strategy with 10,000 trades and positive returns is more
representative than a strategy with just 10 trades (and the same returns)

•

That’s why Experience matters. The results of a given strategy are more reliable
for an investor the higher the statistical representativeness of that strategy’s
trading history

2
INDEX

1. UNDERSTANDING EX
2. IMPROVING ON EX
3. QUESTIONS?

3
“Ex” – What is it?
“Ex” measures how statistical representative a strategy’s trading history is
(this badge helps to rule out luck as a source of returns)
•

“Ex” is measured in TS periods. 1 TS period ≈ 1 month of active trading in a strategy

•

The highest level of statistical representativeness is reached when a strategy contains
12 TS periods

•

The diagnosis on TradeSlide is carried out taking into account the last 12 TS periods in a
strategy (i.e. in a strategy with 16 TS periods, only the last 12 periods are taken into
account)

•

Two strategies with the same number of TS periods have the same level of statistical
representativeness, irrespective of their trading style (scalper, swinger, etc.)

4
Understanding Ex – Ex Badge
Your Ex level is displayed under Trader -> Challenge

•1

Badges represent progression in colors
•
Yellow = Lowest achievement
•
Magenta = Highest achievement

•

3

This strategy displays 8.6/10 Ex
•2 Shown by number in progress bar
•3

•4

4

Progress within magenta is displayed in
the circular progress indicator around the
badge itself
Click on
to see a detailed description
of the level you are in

1

2

5
Understanding Ex – Ex Chart
Your Ex Chart is available under Trader -> Challenge
nth TS Period complete!

By Nov. 28, 2012, this strategy had accumulated 4.96 TS periods in approx. 8 real
months. The strategy clocks 1 TS period every 53 working days!

6
Understanding Ex – Ex Leaderboard
Visit the Leaderboard to see “Ex” for other traders
Benefit from the filter functionality!
1 Order by TS Elements!

2

Filter by TS
Experience!

3

Define the
timeframe

Color, score & relative
rank on this badge
7
INDEX

1. UNDERSTANDING EX
2. IMPROVING EX
3. QUESTIONS?

8
Improving Ex
•

Ex is an “easy” TS Element. It “only” takes time in the market to improve
• You’ll make valuable mistakes that will discipline your “gut”
• Only time allows you to formulate and optimize your strategy

•

Ex CANNOT be increased “artificially”
• Multiple simultaneous trades in a single asset are GROUPED into 1
position and only contribute to Ex as 1
• Multiple simultaneous trades in positively correlated assets: again only 1
independent trading decision (would a good trader open simultaneous
trades in positively correlated assets anyway??)
• Total count of trades is MEANINGLESS – Ex is ONLY driven by TS
positions (see next slide or Trading Journal for an explanation)

•

So: focus on all other elements. Doing this will clock hours in the market for your
strategy, and your Ex will build up. Investors will know that you’re more than a
lucky Monkey!

9
INDEX

1. UNDERSTANDING EX
2. IMPROVING ON EX
3. QUESTIONS?

10
Questions?
Trading is hard – no wonder there are unanswered questions!
(Why not, together, build a Knowledge Base that answers them all?)
•

The Knowledge Base contains TS Mentors’
answers to all your questions!
•
Mentors are Traders like you who
enjoy helping out, and are voted
very good at it, AND
•
Trading educators hand-picked for
quality and broker independence,
who pitch their materials

•

Want to contribute? Great!
•
Post an article / Post
•
Ask or answer questions
•
Rate fellow traders’ contributions

11
Can you do better?
•

This article is a “stub” (an unfinished entry that MUST be improved)
•
We need your questions & feedback to improve it!
•
Feel free to post your questions to the TS Knowledge Base

•

Have suggestions?
•
theowl@tradeslide.com can’t wait to hear them
•
We’d love to credit you for improving our content

•

Contributing to this section will boost your mentor score if others like what you post –
helping out will reflect on your community standing, which means
•
More traders will visit the URL on your profile
•
When they visit, they’ll request your mentoring!

12
TS Experience Element

TS Experience Element

  • 1.
  • 2.
    Why is Experience(Ex element) investable? • Rational Investors invest if BOTH of the following conditions are met 1. Past returns were sufficiently high, on a risk-adjusted basis, AND 2. Past returns were not achieved randomly • The statistical representativeness of a trading history is essential to rule out luck. With no further data, a strategy with 10,000 trades and positive returns is more representative than a strategy with just 10 trades (and the same returns) • That’s why Experience matters. The results of a given strategy are more reliable for an investor the higher the statistical representativeness of that strategy’s trading history 2
  • 3.
    INDEX 1. UNDERSTANDING EX 2.IMPROVING ON EX 3. QUESTIONS? 3
  • 4.
    “Ex” – Whatis it? “Ex” measures how statistical representative a strategy’s trading history is (this badge helps to rule out luck as a source of returns) • “Ex” is measured in TS periods. 1 TS period ≈ 1 month of active trading in a strategy • The highest level of statistical representativeness is reached when a strategy contains 12 TS periods • The diagnosis on TradeSlide is carried out taking into account the last 12 TS periods in a strategy (i.e. in a strategy with 16 TS periods, only the last 12 periods are taken into account) • Two strategies with the same number of TS periods have the same level of statistical representativeness, irrespective of their trading style (scalper, swinger, etc.) 4
  • 5.
    Understanding Ex –Ex Badge Your Ex level is displayed under Trader -> Challenge •1 Badges represent progression in colors • Yellow = Lowest achievement • Magenta = Highest achievement • 3 This strategy displays 8.6/10 Ex •2 Shown by number in progress bar •3 •4 4 Progress within magenta is displayed in the circular progress indicator around the badge itself Click on to see a detailed description of the level you are in 1 2 5
  • 6.
    Understanding Ex –Ex Chart Your Ex Chart is available under Trader -> Challenge nth TS Period complete! By Nov. 28, 2012, this strategy had accumulated 4.96 TS periods in approx. 8 real months. The strategy clocks 1 TS period every 53 working days! 6
  • 7.
    Understanding Ex –Ex Leaderboard Visit the Leaderboard to see “Ex” for other traders Benefit from the filter functionality! 1 Order by TS Elements! 2 Filter by TS Experience! 3 Define the timeframe Color, score & relative rank on this badge 7
  • 8.
    INDEX 1. UNDERSTANDING EX 2.IMPROVING EX 3. QUESTIONS? 8
  • 9.
    Improving Ex • Ex isan “easy” TS Element. It “only” takes time in the market to improve • You’ll make valuable mistakes that will discipline your “gut” • Only time allows you to formulate and optimize your strategy • Ex CANNOT be increased “artificially” • Multiple simultaneous trades in a single asset are GROUPED into 1 position and only contribute to Ex as 1 • Multiple simultaneous trades in positively correlated assets: again only 1 independent trading decision (would a good trader open simultaneous trades in positively correlated assets anyway??) • Total count of trades is MEANINGLESS – Ex is ONLY driven by TS positions (see next slide or Trading Journal for an explanation) • So: focus on all other elements. Doing this will clock hours in the market for your strategy, and your Ex will build up. Investors will know that you’re more than a lucky Monkey! 9
  • 10.
    INDEX 1. UNDERSTANDING EX 2.IMPROVING ON EX 3. QUESTIONS? 10
  • 11.
    Questions? Trading is hard– no wonder there are unanswered questions! (Why not, together, build a Knowledge Base that answers them all?) • The Knowledge Base contains TS Mentors’ answers to all your questions! • Mentors are Traders like you who enjoy helping out, and are voted very good at it, AND • Trading educators hand-picked for quality and broker independence, who pitch their materials • Want to contribute? Great! • Post an article / Post • Ask or answer questions • Rate fellow traders’ contributions 11
  • 12.
    Can you dobetter? • This article is a “stub” (an unfinished entry that MUST be improved) • We need your questions & feedback to improve it! • Feel free to post your questions to the TS Knowledge Base • Have suggestions? • theowl@tradeslide.com can’t wait to hear them • We’d love to credit you for improving our content • Contributing to this section will boost your mentor score if others like what you post – helping out will reflect on your community standing, which means • More traders will visit the URL on your profile • When they visit, they’ll request your mentoring! 12