Coping with Water Scarcity in Near East and North Africa: Shifting Gear
The water crisis
1. The water crisis
and socio-ecological
development profile of
RafsanjanTownship, Iran
S. Mehryar, R. Sliuzas,A. Sharifi, M.F.A.M. van Maarseveen
Ravage of the Planet IV Conference
1 st – 3 rd July, Opatija, Croatia
2. Content
• Introduction
• Water demand and drivers
• Water supply and the growing water imbalance
• The current environmental condition
• Government and institutional responses
• Discussion and conclusion
July 1-3, 20152
3. Water crisis in Middle
East
The Middle East has lost fresh water
equivalent to almost the size of the Dead
Sea between 2003 and 2010
3 July 1-3, 2015
4. Iran: Average precipitation of 252mm/yr
Rafsanjan: Average of 100 mm/yr
- Iran: 44% of world pistachio
production
- Rafsanjan:16.6% of the world pistachio
production
4 July 1-3, 2015
5. Population Growth and Urban Expansion
5
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
1966 1976 1986 1996 2006 2011
Population(Thousand)
Year
Rafsanjan city population Rafsanjan township population Urban areas population Rural areas population
July 1-3, 2015
- Islamic Republic revolution: 1978
- Iran-Iraq war: 1980-1988
- population doubled in almost 20 years
6. 6
Agro-Economic Development
1. Satisfy food and water demand 2. Independent economy 3. Agriculture as economic development
July 1-3, 2015
70,000 ha 110,000 ha
13. - Minimize water loss
- Exploit water as much as natural renewable GW
- Collective ownership
- Equitable water distribution
- Land Reform (1963)
- Small and fragmented land holding
- Access to more water through pumped wells
- Shift of GW system from public good to a private
good
Institutional andTechnology Change
14. - Rapid economic development
- Regarding the self-sufficiency and self-reliance
- ignoring the Environmental aspects
- Short-sighted solution to treat the symptoms
- Non-reversal GW to normal situation
- Non-effective engineering solutions
- Long-term socio-ecological interlinked perspective
- Resilient spatial planning
- An adaptive and resilient socio-ecological system
Conclusion and Recommendation