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ASIAN CRISIS-1997
GROUP MEMBER (Group 3)
Roshan Rupakheti (1304)
Jigyasa Pant (1319)
Tilak Prasad Dhital (1313)
Sagar Jamarkattel (1310)
Prashant Bhattarai (1333)
Table Of Content
Introduction of Asian Crisis
Cause of Asian Crisis
Effect Of Asian Crisis
IMF Role in Crisis
Lesson and Conclusion
Introduction Of Financial Crisis
 The Asian Financial Crisis is a crisis caused by
the collapse of the currency exchange rate
and hot money bubble.
 It started in Thailand in July 1997 and swept
over East and Southeast Asia.
 The financial crisis heavily damaged currency
values, Stock markets, and other asset prices
in many East and Southeast Asian countries.
Pre Crisis Scenarios
 Rapid expansion of economy since 1990 in Thailand through borrowed capital(foreign debt)
 Excessive investment led to creation of ‘Bubble’ in the economy
 Finally on July 2, 1997, Thai Central bank moved from fixed rate regime to floating rate
regime.
 Capital Outflows increased as rates in USA started increasing.
 Due to these factors, once the currency was pegged to market rates (floating rate regime)
Thai Baht declined 38% from THB25/$ to THB40/$ in 4 months till November 2007
 Thailand was under tremendous speculative pressure – same speculation started to spread
to neighbouring countries.
 Government already used precious hard currency reserves to support economy and raised
interest rates beyond sustainable levels.
 Once overly valued Thailand Baht declined, all countries followed suit, partly due to
structural weakness and partly due to speculation .
Cause Of Asian Crisis
Area affected:- Thailand, Korea,
Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippines,
Taiwan, Singapore
Cause Of Asian Crisis
Under developed financial system
Shortage of foreign exchange
Role, and operation of international monetary fund
Unstable political situation
Ineffective action of government
Lack of control and sufficient regulations in capital market
Effects of Asian Crisis - 1997
 Drop down of GDP
Political Repercussions
Effect in Developing Countries
Fall in Oil Prices
IMF Role in Asian Crisis - 1997
The IMF plays its role in stabilizing the international financial system through crisis prevention and
crisis mitigation. The major effects are: -
IMF surveillance :- Surveillance is a catch-all term encompassing the process through which the
IMF oversees the international monetary system and global economic developments and monitors
the economic and financial policies of its member countries.
Technical assistance:- Technical assistance is a form of non-financial assistance provided by the IMF
as a way of sharing its expertise with member countries.
Information Provision: The IMF needs to have access to information that is as complete and
accurate as possible in order to carry out its responsibilities-which include surveillance and the
provision of financing to its member countries.
What I learned From Asian Crisis?
-Foreign programs might not be suitable in different soil
-- too much of spending and attraction of investment might cause burden to the nation
-China was one of few countries that remained largely unscathed during the Asian Financial
Crisis.
-- There is often a craze or exuberance in the run-up to a crisis
-- Crisis can not define the future
-- recovery starts immediately after the crisis
-- International community intervention if asked as help
References
https://corporatefinanceinstitute.com/resources/knowledge/finance/asian-financial-
crisis/?fbclid=IwAR1Waf7IBwbOYvD8pAzZx7gaVwFwtEgZJXP_roRAPVMSAMeAudHNXRqrixs
https://www.economicshelp.org/blog/glossary/financial-crisis-asia-1997/?fbclid=IwAR04aF-
mBtkCsNnWoqdUWpxcPEW5ROtv9tel5laMaXO7YrstWHEs-agF-
yQ#:~:text=Impact%20of%20Asian%20Financial%20Crisis&text=Hit%20by%20the%20loss%20of,
and%20imported%20raw%20materials%20rose
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-5baey9Ey9g
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rI3wPtNQDIQ
ANY QUESTIONS ?

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Asian Crisis 1997 Group Report

  • 2. GROUP MEMBER (Group 3) Roshan Rupakheti (1304) Jigyasa Pant (1319) Tilak Prasad Dhital (1313) Sagar Jamarkattel (1310) Prashant Bhattarai (1333)
  • 3. Table Of Content Introduction of Asian Crisis Cause of Asian Crisis Effect Of Asian Crisis IMF Role in Crisis Lesson and Conclusion
  • 4. Introduction Of Financial Crisis  The Asian Financial Crisis is a crisis caused by the collapse of the currency exchange rate and hot money bubble.  It started in Thailand in July 1997 and swept over East and Southeast Asia.  The financial crisis heavily damaged currency values, Stock markets, and other asset prices in many East and Southeast Asian countries.
  • 5. Pre Crisis Scenarios  Rapid expansion of economy since 1990 in Thailand through borrowed capital(foreign debt)  Excessive investment led to creation of ‘Bubble’ in the economy  Finally on July 2, 1997, Thai Central bank moved from fixed rate regime to floating rate regime.  Capital Outflows increased as rates in USA started increasing.  Due to these factors, once the currency was pegged to market rates (floating rate regime) Thai Baht declined 38% from THB25/$ to THB40/$ in 4 months till November 2007  Thailand was under tremendous speculative pressure – same speculation started to spread to neighbouring countries.  Government already used precious hard currency reserves to support economy and raised interest rates beyond sustainable levels.  Once overly valued Thailand Baht declined, all countries followed suit, partly due to structural weakness and partly due to speculation .
  • 6. Cause Of Asian Crisis Area affected:- Thailand, Korea, Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippines, Taiwan, Singapore
  • 7. Cause Of Asian Crisis Under developed financial system Shortage of foreign exchange Role, and operation of international monetary fund Unstable political situation Ineffective action of government Lack of control and sufficient regulations in capital market
  • 8. Effects of Asian Crisis - 1997  Drop down of GDP Political Repercussions Effect in Developing Countries Fall in Oil Prices
  • 9. IMF Role in Asian Crisis - 1997 The IMF plays its role in stabilizing the international financial system through crisis prevention and crisis mitigation. The major effects are: - IMF surveillance :- Surveillance is a catch-all term encompassing the process through which the IMF oversees the international monetary system and global economic developments and monitors the economic and financial policies of its member countries. Technical assistance:- Technical assistance is a form of non-financial assistance provided by the IMF as a way of sharing its expertise with member countries. Information Provision: The IMF needs to have access to information that is as complete and accurate as possible in order to carry out its responsibilities-which include surveillance and the provision of financing to its member countries.
  • 10. What I learned From Asian Crisis? -Foreign programs might not be suitable in different soil -- too much of spending and attraction of investment might cause burden to the nation -China was one of few countries that remained largely unscathed during the Asian Financial Crisis. -- There is often a craze or exuberance in the run-up to a crisis -- Crisis can not define the future -- recovery starts immediately after the crisis -- International community intervention if asked as help

Editor's Notes

  1. China’s currency was steady; although there was a brief moment in 1998 when the market worried about RMB depreciation. At that time, Huaneng Power was trading at 5x price-to-earnings (PE), while earnings were growing at 15-20%  something which everyone follows and only few people doubt. Before 1997, there was a huge red chip bubble when the market believed that the whole of China would be injected into certain companies. Long queues formed to participate in the IPOs of Beijing Enterprise in 1997 and Tom.com in 2000, or to buy properties at the Villa Esplanada in Hong Kong.