3. Table Of Content
Introduction of Asian Crisis
Cause of Asian Crisis
Effect Of Asian Crisis
IMF Role in Crisis
Lesson and Conclusion
4. Introduction Of Financial Crisis
The Asian Financial Crisis is a crisis caused by
the collapse of the currency exchange rate
and hot money bubble.
It started in Thailand in July 1997 and swept
over East and Southeast Asia.
The financial crisis heavily damaged currency
values, Stock markets, and other asset prices
in many East and Southeast Asian countries.
5. Pre Crisis Scenarios
Rapid expansion of economy since 1990 in Thailand through borrowed capital(foreign debt)
Excessive investment led to creation of ‘Bubble’ in the economy
Finally on July 2, 1997, Thai Central bank moved from fixed rate regime to floating rate
regime.
Capital Outflows increased as rates in USA started increasing.
Due to these factors, once the currency was pegged to market rates (floating rate regime)
Thai Baht declined 38% from THB25/$ to THB40/$ in 4 months till November 2007
Thailand was under tremendous speculative pressure – same speculation started to spread
to neighbouring countries.
Government already used precious hard currency reserves to support economy and raised
interest rates beyond sustainable levels.
Once overly valued Thailand Baht declined, all countries followed suit, partly due to
structural weakness and partly due to speculation .
6. Cause Of Asian Crisis
Area affected:- Thailand, Korea,
Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippines,
Taiwan, Singapore
7. Cause Of Asian Crisis
Under developed financial system
Shortage of foreign exchange
Role, and operation of international monetary fund
Unstable political situation
Ineffective action of government
Lack of control and sufficient regulations in capital market
8. Effects of Asian Crisis - 1997
Drop down of GDP
Political Repercussions
Effect in Developing Countries
Fall in Oil Prices
9. IMF Role in Asian Crisis - 1997
The IMF plays its role in stabilizing the international financial system through crisis prevention and
crisis mitigation. The major effects are: -
IMF surveillance :- Surveillance is a catch-all term encompassing the process through which the
IMF oversees the international monetary system and global economic developments and monitors
the economic and financial policies of its member countries.
Technical assistance:- Technical assistance is a form of non-financial assistance provided by the IMF
as a way of sharing its expertise with member countries.
Information Provision: The IMF needs to have access to information that is as complete and
accurate as possible in order to carry out its responsibilities-which include surveillance and the
provision of financing to its member countries.
10. What I learned From Asian Crisis?
-Foreign programs might not be suitable in different soil
-- too much of spending and attraction of investment might cause burden to the nation
-China was one of few countries that remained largely unscathed during the Asian Financial
Crisis.
-- There is often a craze or exuberance in the run-up to a crisis
-- Crisis can not define the future
-- recovery starts immediately after the crisis
-- International community intervention if asked as help
China’s currency was steady; although there was a brief moment in 1998 when the market worried about RMB depreciation. At that time, Huaneng Power was trading at 5x price-to-earnings (PE), while earnings were growing at 15-20%
something which everyone follows and only few people doubt. Before 1997, there was a huge red chip bubble when the market believed that the whole of China would be injected into certain companies. Long queues formed to participate in the IPOs of Beijing Enterprise in 1997 and Tom.com in 2000, or to buy properties at the Villa Esplanada in Hong Kong.