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Dear Writer,
Please do a PowerPoint presentation on my paper that was
completed. I am attaching my paper so can have an idea what to
do.
Please include speaker notes in the presentation.
Using PowerPoint develop a 22-slide presentation that
demonstrates your mastery of the Program Outcomes by
discussing the results of your Individual Project. The following
slides should be presented:
1) Title Slide
2) Overview
3) Research Problem
4) Research Intent
5) Research Question(s)/Hypothesis
6) Literature Review Key Points
7) Methodology
8) Results
9) Conclusions
10) Recommendations
11) Summary
Chapter 1
Introduction
Preparation and response to natural disasters is a serious
logistical challenge. Significant resources are used by
intergovernmental, governmental, and non-governmental
organizations to prepare and respond to the effects of natural
disasters. When a natural disaster occurs, such organizations
mobilize resources to respond. Recently, technological
advancements in autonomous, semiautonomous, and unmanned
vehicles have increased the utility of such vehicles while
reducing costs. The increased use of UAVs has created a new
dimension to Synthetic Aperture Radar (SAR) operations. In
real life, the use of UAVs can be beneficial in cases where rapid
decisions are required or the use of manpower is limited
(Boehm et al., 2017).
Natural disasters have significantly damaged transportation
infrastructure including railways and roads. Additionally,
barrier lakes and landslides pose a serious threat to property and
life in areas affected. When infrastructure is interrupted with
heavy rescue equipment, rescue vehicles, suppliers and rescue
teams face challenges to reach disaster-hit areas. As a result,
efforts to provide humanitarian aid is hampered (Tatsidou et al.,
2019). The traditional approaches of responding to natural
disasters are unable to meet the requirements to support the
process of disaster decision making. UAVs are well equipped to
navigate areas affected by natural disasters and provide
humanitarian aid.
This study aims to explore the viability of using the MQ-
8B Fire Scout in providing humanitarian aid in areas affected by
natural disasters. The document provides a literature review on
the use of UAVs in providing humanitarian aid when natural
disasters have occurred. The study compares the viability of
using MQ-8B to MH-60 in conducting rescue operations in
areas affected by disasters.
Significance of the Study
This study was conducted to determine the effectiveness of
using UAVs in providing humanitarian aid in areas affected by
natural disasters. The study assists in developing general
knowledge and bridge the existing gap in providing
humanitarian aid using UAVs. The findings of this study
increase knowledge of the effectiveness of UAVs in responding
to natural disasters and provide more insights on useful methods
to respond to affected areas. Ultimately, these insights could
help develop more knowledge about the fate of UAVs associated
with rescue operations. The findings of this study can be used
as the basis for future studies by researchers interested in this
topic.
Statement of the Problem
The problem to be addressed in this study is the loss of
human life during natural disasters which could be prevented or
reduced through enhanced delivery of humanitarian aid.
According to Luo et al. (2017), the earthquake that hit Haiti in
2010 claimed approximately 160,000 lives. The 2004 Indian
Ocean tsunami left approximately 360,000 people dead and
more than 1,300,000 others displaced (Luo et al., 2017). While
there were efforts taken to deliver humanitarian aid in both
instances, the use of manned systems proved to be limited to
areas that presented less risk to the rescue teams.
After a natural disaster, governmental and non-
governmental organizations provide significant resources for
rescue and recovery missions. However, the nature of damaged
infrastructure makes it impossible for response vehicles to reach
the affected areas. This demonstrates the inefficiency associated
with traditional methods of providing humanitarian aid in such
situations. As a result, there exists a need for a more robust
approach to providing humanitarian aid after natural disasters to
mitigate the loss of life in the future. The use of UAVs can
augment response teams in providing humanitarian help to
affected areas in a cost-effective and timely manner.
Purpose Statement
The focus of this research was the ability of the Northrop
Grumman MQ-8B Fire Scout to augment humanitarian aid
operations for mitigating loss of life after natural disasters. The
research analyzed the mishap rates of the MQ-8B compared to
the MH-60, and looked at how the Fire Scout can be used
mutually for military operations, as well its capacity for
provisioning humanitarian aid. Given the available speed and
ability of the UAV to access high-risk places, the MQ-8B Fire
Scout can offer a solution to the existing problem (Gomez &
Purdie, 2017).
Research Question and Hypothesis
This study aims to answer the following research questions
(RQ):
RQ1: How viable is the deployment of the MQ-8B Fire Scout
for a more expedient and cost-effective solution to delivering
humanitarian aid compared to using the MH-60 Sea Hawk?
RQ2: What are the advantages and disadvantages that could be
associated with the use of the MQ-8B Fire Scout for identifying
victims, water drops for wildfire hotspots, and first aid drops
for survivors post-natural disaster?
The following hypothesis (H) has been formulated for the study:
H0: There is no statistical difference in safety when using the
Northrop Grumman MQ-8B Fire Scout when compared to
manned vehicles to provide humanitarian aid in areas affected
by a disaster.
H1: There is a statistical difference in safety when using the
Northrop Grumman MQ-8B Fire Scout when compared to
manned vehicles to provide humanitarian aid in areas affected
by a disaster.
Delimitations
This study focused only on the potential use of UAVs in rescue
operations to provide humanitarian aid to individuals in areas
affected by natural disasters. As a result, the study does not
provide a description of how the UAVs can be used in
reconnaissance missions conducted by military personnel. The
study does not describe how UAVs can be used to monitor
riparian areas and pollution in marine areas.
Limitations and Assumptions
One of the major limitations of the research is the significant
costs associated with the use of UAVs and more so with the
MQ-8B Fire Scout. Various UAVs would need to be purchased
to facilitate this study. However, due to the high costs, the
researchers settled on less efficient UAVs that could not
provide accurate information. The physical demand of the
terrain, variation in weather conditions, and less optimal use of
machine tools are some of the factors that affected the study.
These factors have a significant impact on situational awareness
and affect how data is interpreted from UAVs. The UAVs used
in the study had shorter ranges, and therefore, could not
generate a great deal of information. Another key limitation of
this study is observer bias that may have compromised the
results.
List of Acronyms
AIS Automatic Identification System
C2 Command and Control communication system
CONOPS Concept of Operations
DTM Digital Terrain Model
DOD Department of Defense
E.O. Electro-optical camera
ELT Emergency Locator Transmitter
FAA Federal Aviation Administration
FEBA Forward Edge of the Battle Area
FLIR Forward-Looking Infra-Red
GAO Government Accountability Office
GPS Global Positing Systems
H Hypothesis
IMINT Imagery Intelligence
ISR Intelligence Surveillance Reconnaissance
LCS Littoral Combat ships
NCBI National Center for Biotechnology Information
NTTL Naval Tactical Task List
OSHA Occupational Safety and Health Administration
RDML Rear Admiral Lower Half
RQ Research question
SAR Synthetic Aperture Radar
SIGINT Signals Intelligence
SIL System Integration Laboratories
TCDL Tactical Common Data Link
TRB Transportation Research Board
UAVs Unmanned Aerial Vehicles
VTUAV Vertical Take-Off and Landing Tactical Unmanned
Aerial Vehicle
16
2
Chapter II
Review of the Relevant Literature
Providing humanitarian aid for people affected by natural
disasters has become an issue of major concern not only to
governments but also to other non-governmental organizations.
Destruction of existing infrastructure by natural disasters has
increased public interest in the development of effective tools to
provide humanitarian aid to disaster-hit areas. According to
Macias, Angeloudis, and Ochieng 2018, unmanned aerial
vehicles are the logical choice for responding to natural
disasters. A review of relevant research was conducted in this
chapter to determine the underlying knowledge of the
effectiveness of UAVs in providing humanitarian aid. This
review delineates factors that may affect the optimum use of
UAVs in areas affected by natural disasters.
Origins of UAV and its Applications
The first UAV was developed in World War I under the concept
of cruise missiles to attack enemies from short distances. The
first UAV was a wooden biplane with a range of 75 miles. This
technology-focused on attacking a specific location with zero
chance of return. However, by the 1950s, the United States Air
Force was able to develop a UAV capable of returning after
attacking a particular point. During World War II, American
soldiers were able to use UAVs to spy on enemies. In the late
1960s, the United States Air Force engineers embarked on
developing UAVs with better electrical systems to observe
activities of the enemies with better precision (Tatsidou et al.,
2019).
The significant technological developments since that time
have led to improved UAVs that can take part in more delicate
and complex missions. The use of advanced electronic
controlling systems, better radio systems, high-resolution
digital cameras, sophisticated computers, and advanced Global
Positing Systems (GPS) allow UAVs to conduct recovery
missions effectively during natural disasters. The quality of
UAVs significantly increased in the 2000s. UAVs are now used
by the military, and by private firms, and by individual owner-
operators. The performance of modern UAVs allows the
platforms to provide humanitarian aid in areas affected by
natural disasters.
Cargo Delivery with UAVs
Multiple studies confirm UAVs are very effective in delivering
items to areas with poor transportation infrastructure. From
delivering important supplies to monitoring damage by the use
of cameras, UAVs can play a significant role in providing
humanitarian aid. When compared to traditional vehicles, UAVs
are more sophisticated due to the improved flexibility and ease
of use. It is more effective and safer to use a UAV to deliver
supplies in dangerous locations than sending a human being.
However, UAVs are unable to carry an excessively heavy load
because of their size and mostly drop cargo while in route
(D'Amato, Notaro & Mattei, 2018).
Unmanned aircraft designers choose to have the UAV
release cargo on air or land for a receiver to remove the cargo.
However, for delivering humanitarian aid in disaster-hit areas,
UAVs are designed to drop supplies from the air. Based on the
limited lifting capacity of UAVs, items must be packaged in
small containers (Petrides et al., 2017). Cargo for humanitarian
UAVs normally consists of blood, bandages, syringes, water
purifying tablets, and medicine. Defibrillation attachments may
also be included in the deliverables. These items are light in
nature and can be packaged into small containers to be lifted by
the UAVs. This allows the UAV to travel for long distances
without losing efficiency.
Impact of Weather
The impact of weather on a UAV depends on the power,
equipment, configuration, and size, as well as the exposure time
and the severity of the weather, encountered. Most UAVs have
characteristics and configurations which make the aircraft more
vulnerable to extreme weather conditions compared to manned
aircraft. In general, today's UAVs are more fragile, lighter, and
slower, as well as more sensitive to weather conditions when
compared to manned aircraft. Small UAVs are very susceptible
to extreme weather conditions. Similar to manned aircraft,
certain weather conditions can also affect larger UAVs making
the aircraft difficult to control. (Ranquist & Steiner & Argrow,
2017).
Extreme weather conditions such as snow, humidity,
temperature extremes, solar storms, rain, turbulence, and wind
may diminish the aerodynamic performance of UAVs, cause loss
of communication, and control. These same conditions can also
negatively affect the operator. Most flight regulations currently
in use do not address most of the weather hazards facing UAVs.
Some of the current restrictions pertaining to weather include
remaining 2000 feet away from the ceiling and 500 feet below
clouds, operating under the unaided visual line, and maintaining
visibility for 4.83km (Macias, Angeloudis & Ochieng, 2018).
While this eliminates issues of poor visibility, it does not help
to reduce safety hazards associated with clear skies. Clear sky
hazards may include turbulence, glare, and wind.
Glare occurs in clear skies and may affect visibility in
various ways. First, it hinders the direct observation of the
UAV. On a sunny day, it may also be difficult to spot a UAV in
the sky. As a result, operators must use sunglasses in order to
carry out the missions effectively. Second, the operation of
UAVs requires a user interface to be displayed on a tablet,
phone, monitor or any other screen to allow the operator to
track the UAV, change control derivatives, or send commands
while receiving telemetry updates. The sun can overpower the
LCD brightness of the screen, which makes it difficult for the
operator to send the correct information to control the UAV.
Turbulence can also affect the stability of UAVs. Multiple
studies show wind accounted for more than 50% of manned
aircrafts accidents. This percentage is higher for small aircraft.
This demonstrates the impact turbulence may have on small-
unmanned vehicles. The primary ways wind affects UAVs
include reducing endurance, limiting control, and changing
flight trajectory. Strong winds affect the path of a UAV. Wind
speeds may also surpass the maximum speed of UAVs causing
the UAV to struggle in such environments. The impact of
turbulence can make it difficult for the UAVs to deliver
humanitarian aid to affected areas in a timely manner.
Turbulence, wind gusts, and wind shear all have the
potential of affecting control of UAVs and affect an operator’s
ability to complete the mission in the most effective and
expedient manner. UAV control is the ability to maneuver the
UAV by use of roll, pitch, and yaw. Pitch changes the attack
angle for the UAV, roll rotates the UAV, and yaw changes the
direction of the UAV. When the speed of the wind increases
suddenly, it affects the yaw of the UAV making it difficult for
the operator to control it effectively. A horizontal gust can also
roll the UAV and is most dangerous when flying in areas with
obstructions.
Operational Flexibility of UAVs
UAVs have increased persistence in air operations compared to
manned systems making the MQ-8B ideal for conducting
humanitarian aid operations. While there are theoretical and
practical limits, utilizing few vehicles allows for continuous
surveillance for a long period of time. The flexibility of the
MQ-8B allows it and other UAVs to carry out operations when
and where other manned aircraft are unable to operate. The
long-endurance capabilities of UAVs allow the air vehicle to
deliver humanitarian aid many hours into a flight, which could
otherwise be impossible with traditional approaches. As a
result, people in areas experiencing natural disasters may
receive supplies continuously.
While both unmanned and manned air operations can be
coordinated by multiple people, not having a physical operator
in the vehicle allows multiple operators to share direct controls.
The user with the immediate need or situational awareness may
assume full control of the UAV. This capability significantly
reduces the timelines of coordination between the UAV and
ground users. With the dire need associated with response
missions, UAVs are better suited to provide humanitarian aid
when compared to the traditional methods, which normally
takes a significant amount of time to reach those affected.
UAV legislation and regulation Environment
The ability to use UAVs for disaster response in the United
States is largely limited by the Federal Aviation Administration
(FAA). The current FAA policy for operating unmanned aerial
vehicles in the United States requires a specific authority to
operate one. In general, any use of UAV requires an
airworthiness certification. However, potential users of UAVs
face significant regulatory challenges in the United States. The
law requires UAVs to include registration numbers in their
markings. Operation circular 91-57 describes the differences
between non-hobby use and hobby use of UAVs and operating
restrictions. The FAA has implemented various orders to restrict
the operation of UAVs.
Local governments have developed legislation that describes the
potential use of UAVs in emergency situations. Various
municipalities including Syracuse, New York, and
Charlottesville, Virginia, have implemented further restrictions
such as city purchases of UAVs. Serious concerns about data
collection and privacy have erupted in the United States. The
FAA developed a restriction for privacy in areas of UAVs
operations. Until the private use regulation and legislation
issues surrounding the adoption of UAVs are resolved, it will be
difficult to use them in first response situations. While these
challenges exist, researchers need to explore methods in which
UAVs can be used to provide humanitarian aid during natural
disasters.
Human Factors
In most cases, designers develop controls that work very well in
labs but fail in a real-world situation. The expectation is,
through training and familiarization, humans will be able to
learn and adapt to the controls and displays. However, this
approach is deemed to fail if used in the development of a
human-machine interface. As the capabilities of UAVs increase
every day, the vehicle complexity is also increased. The need to
use automation and advanced technology has also increased.
While these systems are unmanned, it is important to keep in
mind humans are involved in the control and operation of UAVs
(Hildmann & Kovacs, 2019).
The lack of standardization across different UAV human-
machine interfaces results in increased time of training for one
system and increased difficulty in transition to other systems.
Poor optimization of information results in the difficulty of
interpreting system information needed for situational
awareness that supports decision making in stressful situations.
Lack of adaptability and flexibility in UAVs often lead to poor
displays and ultimately to poor situational awareness. Lack of
basic sensory cues makes it even more difficult to use UAVs in
response missions. The cues which are relevant in manned
aircraft suddenly become irrelevant in UAVs (Estrada &
Ndoma, 2019). These cues are currently missing in UAVs and
need to be incorporated for increased efficiency.
The development of UAVs that consider the end-user could
increase the effectiveness in responding to natural disasters.
This implies designing human-machine interfaces that are
intuitive, functional, and user-friendly that allow easy
extraction of relevant information by operators. With the
current technological advancements, it is possible to design
intuitive and functional interfaces that utilize the available cues
to maintain high levels of situational awareness needed for
effective, efficient, and safe control of UAVs. This allows
operators to understand various aspects of UAVs and enables
deployment in dangerous areas such as locations affected by
natural disasters.
Sensing and Processing
The success of providing humanitarian aid to areas affected by
natural disasters requires the equipment to have the appropriate
sensors, and to be at the right place, at the right time. This is
important particularly in response situations where emergency
signals, remoteness, weather, and terrain differ significantly.
Even if the UAV is at the right place at the right time, it will be
rendered ineffective without the right sensors. The initial phase
of a rescue mission is the most critical and requires UAVs to
have appropriate sensors. A single UAV may use various
sensors that allow it to come up with a general picture of the
situation (Grogan, Pellerin & Gamache, 2018).
Since the strength of signals is inversely proportional to the
square of the distance, unmanned aerial vehicles designed to
provide humanitarian aid in areas experiencing natural disasters
need to have stronger signals than ground station receivers and
satellites. The signal can be triangulated by multiple UAVs if
sent in a digital format. In cases where Emergency Locator
Transmitter (ELT) are not transmitting or activated, infrared
sensors can be used to search the location of the UAV.
Fortunately, sensors in the infrared and low light wavelength
have significantly decreased physical dimensions and costs.
Onboard automation will be very important for effective UAV
operations in extreme conditions.
Mobile Wireless Access Networks
Compared to traditional static sensors, UAVs are still more
costly. Considering the infrastructure needed to respond to such
cases is currently being met by the existing infrastructure, it is
justified that most studies focus on the immediate aftermath of a
natural disaster. UAVs can be used to develop a communication
center to provide victims in an affected area with wireless
communication. Additionally, UAVs can allow people trapped
in areas affected by natural calamities to communicate with the
emergency control center for rescue (Grogan, Pellerin &
Gamache, 2018). One of the benefits of such a system is it
serves those only in the affected location, and this can
maximize performance.
Safety of UAVs
The use of UAVs in rescue operations depends on its ability to
safely operate in the shared aviation environment. As a result,
the UAVs must demonstrate the ability to ensure safety both for
people on the ground and other aircraft. However, there are
various safety risks associated with UAVs which are different
from those presented by manned vehicles. The risk of pilots
losing their lives in flight is reduced because UAVs do not have
occupants. The use of manned vehicles, on the other hand,
implies people will need to use vehicles for movement to areas
affected by natural disasters. As a result, the lives of the rescue
teams are at risk (Estrada & Ndoma, 2019).
UAV designers are aware of the safety concerns associated
with these systems, and more so concerning the poor reliability
of such systems in extreme conditions. The designers
understand political support and public trust would fade away in
case of an accident. For this reason, safety remains a top
priority for the UAV community. UAVs have the potential to
provide considerable safety benefits in disaster response
operations. Significant technological developments have the
potential to improve safety associated with UAVs. Advances in
monitoring systems, data exchange networks, communication,
sensor detection systems, and automation will have positive
impacts on UAVs and the UAV community. Automated takeoff
eliminates the possibility of accidents for operators (Escribano
Macias, Angeloudis & Ochieng, 2018).
UAVs use the same airspace as other aircraft. As a result, there
are high chances of collision in the airspace. Numerous studies
by research institutions, universities, industry, and governments
across the world have focused on how collisions can be avoided
in the airspace. While avoiding collisions is a difficult task, the
UAV community has developed to see and avoid capabilities
that allow the operators to avoid obstructions. The distance of
25 feet for detecting obstructions has been clearly provided by
the FAA regulations. The FAA calls for operators to maintain
vigilance to detect and avoid collisions with obstructions while
flying UAVs.
Aviation Aerospace Safety systems and Unmanned Aerospace
systems
The use of unmanned aerospace systems (UAS) has increased
significantly over the past few years. This has raised significant
safety issues concerning UAS. Different countries have
developed policies to govern the operation of UAS in the
aviation aerospace to enhance safety and security. Various
safety initiatives have been developed, most notably the
Commercial Aviation Safety Team (CAST) and the European
Strategic Safety Initiative (ESSI). The purpose of CAST is to
reduce the fatality rate associated with commercial aviation by
80%. The ESSI aims to enhance safety for European citizens
through safety analysis and coordination with other global
safety initiatives.
Summary
The review of the literature indicates current research studies
explore the effectiveness of using UAVs in conducting
reconnaissance missions. However, there is a gap in research
focused on the effectiveness of using UAVs to provide
humanitarian aid during and after natural disasters. There is
limited research comparing the effectiveness of using UAVs to
conduct rescue and recovery missions compared to the use of
manned vehicles. There is also limited research focused on
determining the costs and benefits of utilizing emergency
response vehicles and UAVs in responding to natural disasters.
This study determines the resourcefulness of using UAVs
in responding to natural disasters while simultaneously
providing economic benefits. The study increases understanding
to bridge the existing gap in providing humanitarian aid using
UAVs. The findings of this study increase knowledge on the
effectiveness of UAVs in responding to natural disasters and
provide more insights that can be used to respond to affected
areas. Ultimately, these insights could help develop more
knowledge regarding the fate associated with rescue operations.
The findings of this study can be used as the basis for future
studies by researchers interested in this topic.Chapter III
Methodology
Research Approach
The purpose of this quantitative study was to explore the
effectiveness of the MQ-8B and MH-60. A systematic review of
extant literature was conducted. This systematic and progressive
survey is comprised of underlying structured analyses and
methodologies that investigate and report topic-specific studies
regarding objectivity, replicability, transparency, and the
comprehensiveness of the research. The emergence of UAVs has
posed critical challenges. Control and monitoring of UAVs
require the increased autonomy of fleets and a reduction of
workload for operators (Cassingham, 2016). The establishment
of the relevant mission model for the MQ-8B is therefore
significant, not only for planning and specification, but also for
control and monitoring. The relevant mission model provides
leverage for mission and fleet states, thereby offering the
operator the necessary information on the mission. This section
undertakes the proposed methodology of the study aiming to
explore the viability of using the MQ-8B Fire Scout in
providing humanitarian aid in areas affected by natural
disasters. The study also compared the practicality of using
MQ-8B to MH-60 in conducting rescue operations in areas
affected by disasters.
Apparatus and materials
Microsoft Excel was used to organize the data of different
UAVs for conducting various humanitarian aid operations. SPSS
software was used SPSS to conduct a descriptive analysis.
Quantitative research methods were applied in the assessment of
the existing data on the usability of UAVs in disaster bound
areas. A mathematical model was used to establish and replicate
mishaps which might occur during humanitarian aid operations
using MQ-8B Fire Scout and the MH-60 Seahawk. The method
of casting leveraged the objective data and existing evidence
concerning the prospects of employing UAVs in disaster-
stricken areas (Gomez & Purdie, 2017). However, based on the
expanse of this research and its realities, a quantitative method
may not be sufficient to adequately justify the hypothesis due to
the subjectivity and inability to address the research themes
outlined in chapter one.
In the wake of a disaster, from dangerous hurricanes,
earthquakes, cyclone storms, wildfires, and delivering toilet
paper to prevent the spread of viruses like COVID-19 (Canales,
2020), the models of undertaking humanitarian aid operations
using UAVs must now address the entire purview of objectivity
and subjectivity. For this reason, the study adopted quantitative
methods for conducting data collection and forecasting. The
MQ-8B Fire Scout and the MH-60 Seahawk have been utilized
by disaster relief organizations in the United States and beyond
for more than 15 years. However, the niche in the disaster
response environment, the utility, ethical considerations,
standardization and the legal challenges of the application of
UAVs has remained vastly unexplored.
The quantitative method illustrates or outlines how UAVs have
been utilized by various teams of responders to assess damages
during disasters such as Hurricanes Harvey and Irma in 2017. …
American Journal of Botany 95(1): 66–76. 2008.
66
Movement of seeds from their collection site to other
environ-
ments within a species range for reforestation or restoration
may
increase the risk of maladaptation ( Campbell, 1979 ). Reduced
growth or mortality resulting from maladaptation could reduce
the success of restoration projects, and gene fl ow from
maladapted
planted trees into adjacent native populations could negatively
affect adaptation to local conditions ( McKay et al., 2005 ).
How-
ever, the planting of individuals adapted to new environmental
conditions, e.g., a warmer climate, could be a method to
facilitate
migration and provide a source of genotypes well adapted to
local
populations. Seed transfer should be guided by natural levels of
genetic variation and local adaptation in quantitative traits spe-
cifi c to the species in question ( Morgenstern, 1996 ; Hufford
and
Mazer, 2003 ; McKay et al., 2005 ). Understanding genetic
struc-
ture is also necessary for managing breeding programs, evaluat-
ing conservation of genetic resources, and predicting the
possible
effects of climate change ( St. Clair et al., 2005 ).
The ranges of many trees species are predicted to shift higher
in
latitude and elevation as a result of climate change ( Davis and
Shaw, 2001 ; Hamann and Wang, 2006 ). However, at a local
scale,
projected vegetation responses include a combination of eleva-
tional, aspect, and microsite adjustments because the location of
suitable conditions for each taxon shifts within a region (
Bartlein
et al., 1997 ). The potential impacts of predicted warming
under-
score the importance of understanding genetic structure and
adap-
tation of populations to their local environment. For species
threatened by pests and diseases in addition to climate change,
minimizing maladaptation may mean the difference between es-
tablishing or maintaining viable populations and local
extirpation.
Whitebark pine ( Pinus albicaulis Engelm., Pinaceae) is a
high elevation, fi ve-needle pine, and the only North American
member of the stone pines ( Pinus subsection Cembrae ) (
Arno
and Hoff, 1989 ; Price et al., 1998 ; but see Gernandt et al.,
2005 ).
Although of little commercial value, it has tremendous ecologi-
cal value and is considered a keystone species ( Tomback et al.,
2001 ). The large, wingless seeds of whitebark pine are an im-
portant food source for the Clark ’ s nutcracker ( Nucifragia co-
lumbiana Wilson), which is its primary dispersal agent and
mutualist ( Tomback, 1978 ; Hutchins and Lanner, 1982 ;
Lanner,
1982 ; Tomback, 1982 ). However, whitebark pine is in decline
throughout most of its range from a synergism of natural
and human-driven causes. Outbreaks of mountain pine beetle
( Dendroctonus ponderosae Hopkins) and decades of fi re sup-
pression have led to mortality and successional replacement by
shade-tolerant species. However, the greatest agent driving the
current decline is the introduced disease white pine blister rust
(caused by the fungus Cronartium ribicola J. C. Fisch. ex
Rabh.). Scientists agree that whitebark pine ecosystems require
immediate restoration to reduce the effects of fi re exclusion
and
blister rust ( McCool and Freimund, 2001 ). Silvicultural tech-
niques can be used to encourage natural regeneration, but in
stands with a compromised seed source or those that need to be
regenerated quickly, planting seedlings (if available) is the sug-
gested restoration practice ( Hoff et al., 2001 ), using blister-
rust-
resistant seedlings when they are available. There is a
widespread
need for restoration and often a limited supply of seed for
white-
bark pine, thus geographic guidelines on seed transfer are
needed for restoration and conservation of this species.
1 Manuscript received 21 September 2006; revision accepted
8 November
2007.
The authors thank the USDA Forest Service regions one, fi ve,
and six;
the British Columbia Ministry of Forests; E. C. Manning and
Tweedsmuir
Provincial Parks of British Columbia; and B. Brett of Snowline
Ecological
Consulting, Whistler, B.C. for seed. Many people provided
assistance to
this project, including D. Kolotelo, J. Tuytel, C. Chourmouzis,
D. Watson,
K. Keir, M. Harrison, D. Szohner, P. Smets, J. Krakowski, S,
Trehearne,
and all of the members of the Aitken laboratory at UBC.
Climate data were
provided by Drs. T. Wang and G. Rehfeldt. Funding for this
study came
from the British Columbia Forestry Investment Account through
the Forest
Genetics Council of B.C. to the Centre for Forest Conservation
Genetics
at UBC. Thank you to Drs. A. Yanchuk, M. Whitlock, J.
Whitton, Y. El-
Kassaby, S. Graham, D. Tomback, B. St. Clair, and an
anonymous reviewer
for their helpful comments on earlier drafts of this manuscript.
2 Author for correspondence (e-mail: [email protected])
ECOLOGICAL GENETICS AND SEED TRANSFER
GUIDELINES FOR
PINUS ALBICAULIS (PINACEAE) 1
ANDREW D. BOWER 2 AND SALLY N. AITKEN
Centre for Forest Conservation Genetics, Department of Forest
Sciences, University of British Columbia, 3401-2424 Main
Mall,
Vancouver, British Columbia V6T 1Z4 Canada
Whitebark pine ( Pinus albicaulis Engelm.) has greatly
declined throughout its range as a result of introduced disease,
fi re sup-
pression, and other factors, and climate change is predicted to
accelerate this decline. Restoration is needed; however, no
informa-
tion regarding the degree of local adaptation is available to
guide these efforts. A seedling common-garden experiment was
employed to assess genetic diversity and geographic
differentiation ( Q ST ) of whitebark pine for traits involved in
growth and ad-
aptation to cold and to determine climatic variables revealing
local adaptation. Seedlings from 48 populations were grown for
two
years and measured for height increment, biomass, root to shoot
ratio, date of needle fl ush, fall and spring cold injury, and
survival.
Signifi cant variation was observed among populations for most
traits. The Q ST was low (0.07 – 0.14) for growth traits and
moderate
(0.36 – 0.47) for cold adaptation related traits, but varied by
region. Cold adaptation traits were strongly correlated with
mean
temperature of the coldest month of population origins, while
growth traits were generally correlated with growing season
length.
We recommend that seed transfer for restoration favor seed
movement from milder to colder climates to a maximum of 1.9 °
C in
mean annual temperature in the northern portion of the species
range, and 1.0 ° C in the U. S. Rocky Mountains to avoid
maladapta-
tion to current conditions yet facilitate adaptation to future
climates.
Key words: genetic variation; geographic differentiation;
local adaptation; Pinus albicaulis ; quantitative traits; seed
transfer;
whitebark pine; white pine blister rust.
67January 2008] BOWER AND AITKEN — ECOLOGICAL
GENETICS OF WHITEBARK PINE
eight replications had ambient soil temperature (ambient
treatment) and the re-
maining four replications (cold treatment) had cooled water
pumped through
hoses buried approximately 25 cm below the surface, which
kept soil tempera-
ture consistently ~8 ° C cooler during the warmest part of the
day. Populations
that were represented in fewer than half of the replications (i.e.,
< 4 in the ambi-
ent or < 2 in the cold treatment) because of mortality were
excluded from the
analysis. The fi nal data set included 40 populations in the
ambient treatment
and 37 in the cold treatment, with 33 populations common to
both treatments
( Table 2 ). The AlphaPlus program ( Mann, 1996 ) was used to
design the plant-
ing layout and assign seedlings randomly within replications.
Seedlings were
planted at 9.5 × 10 cm spacing, with one row of buffer trees
surrounding each
raised nursery bed for which data were not collected. They were
kept well wa-
tered and were fertilized and weeded as needed to provide
conditions optimal
for growth for most temperate conifers. Timing of initiation of
growth in the
spring was observed for 2003 and 2004, and at the end of the
2004 growing
season, survival, height growth, aboveground and belowground
oven-dry bio-
mass of seedlings were measured on all replications. Artifi cial
freeze testing
was performed on 5-mm needle segments from all seedlings in
the ambient
treatment in three replications in the fall of 2003 and four
replications in the
spring of 2004. The electrolyte leakage method was used to
quantify cold in-
jury. Details of cold hardiness testing are given in Bower and
Aitken (2006) .
The fi nal data set contained 10 quantitative variables; data
from all trees in
both temperature treatments were available for third-year height
increment,
root biomass, shoot biomass, total biomass, root to shoot ratio,
date of needle
fl ush in 2003 and 2004 ( Table 3 ). Measurements of fall and
spring cold injury
were available from the ambient treatment only. In addition, the
percentage
survival in each soil temperature treatment was tested for
treatment effects.
Data analysis — SAS version 8 ( SAS Institute, 1999 ) was
used for all statisti-
cal analyses. Preliminary analysis showed an increase in
variability of residuals
with an increase in predicted values, so a natural-log
transformation was ap-
plied to height increment, root, shoot, and total biomass, and
root to shoot ratio
for all analyses, which helped to equalize variance. For testing
for differences
between soil temperature treatments and genotype-by-
environment interactions
in the quantitative traits, PROC MIXED was used with the
following model for
populations included in both treatments:
y ijklmn = µ + t i + r ( t ) ij + b ( rt ) ijk + p l +
pt il + pr ( t ) ijl + f ( p ) l m + e ijklmn , (Eq. 1)
where y ijklmn is the observed value for tree n in family m
w ithin population l
in incomplete block k in rep j in soil temperature i , µ is
the overall mean, t i is
the effect of temperature i, r ( t ) ij is the effect of rep j
nested within temperature
i , b ( rt ) ijk is the effect of incomplete block k nested
within rep j within tem-
perature i, p l is the effect of population l , pt il is the
interaction of temperature
i and population l , pr ( t ) ijl is the interaction of
population l and rep j within
temperature i , f ( p ) lm is the effect of family m nested
within population l , and
e ijlkmn Temperature, population, and population-by-
temperature interaction
were considered fi xed, while all other effects were considered
random. The
same model was used to analyze each geographic region
separately. Population
Genetic variation and population differentiation have been
assessed in whitebark pine using molecular markers and mono-
terpenes ( Yandell, 1992 ; Jorgensen and Hamrick, 1997 ;
Brued-
erle et al., 1998 ; Stuart-Smith, 1998 ; Rogers et al., 1999 ;
Krakowski et al., 2003 ), and results have indicated average to
above average expected heterozygosity compared to other pines
(average H e of 0.16 for whitebark pine vs. 0.13 – 0.16 for
pines
in general [Ledig, 1998]). Population differentiation in white-
bark pine was reported to be low to moderate in all studies ( F
ST
or G ST < 0.09) ( Table 1 ), with signifi cant evidence of
inbreed-
ing ( F is signifi cantly greater than zero). Populations in the
northern (western British Columbia), eastern (Rocky Moun-
tains), and southern regions of the species range (California and
Oregon) are differentiated for monoterpenes ( Zavarin et al.,
1991 ), isozymes ( Yandell, 1992 ) and organelle DNA (
Richard-
son et al., 2002b ). However, levels of genetic variation and
population differentiation in phenotypic traits potentially in-
volved in local adaptation in whitebark pine have not previ-
ously been determined.
In this study, we analyze geographic variation and genetic
differentiation in phenotypic seedling traits in a common-gar-
den experiment in whitebark pine and evaluate degree of local
adaptation to climate for the purpose of developing seed trans-
fer recommendations and predicting the ability of whitebark
pine to adapt to climate change.
MATERIALS AND METHODS
Sample materials — Open-pollinated seeds from 48
populations of white-
bark pine from across most of the species range ( Table 2, Fig.
1 ) were germi-
nated in 2002 following seed stratifi cation using the protocol
described by Burr
et al. (2001) . Germinants were sown into individual 10 in 3
(164 cm 3 ) Ray Leach
Cone-tainer super cells (Stuewe and Sons, Corvallis, Oregon,
USA) for their
fi rst growing season. In November 2002, 10-mo-old seedlings
were trans-
planted into a raised nursery bed common garden in Vancouver,
British Colum-
bia (49 ° 13 ’ N, 123 ° 6 ’ W) and grown for two growing
seasons. Seedlings were
planted in an incomplete block alpha design ( Patterson and
Williams, 1976 )
with 12 replications, and 10 four-tree by four-tree incomplete
blocks within
replications. Each replication contained 160 test trees, with
populations repre-
sented by 1 – 18 families (mean 7.9, SE 0.37), with each family
usually repre-
sented once per replication. Because temperatures in Vancouver
are higher than
those in the native environment, two temperature treatments
were imposed:
TABLE 1. Reported values of genetic differentiation for
whitebark pine ( Pinus albicaulis) and other stone pine ( Pinus
subsection Cembrae ) species.
Populations Species Area F ST or G ST Reference
14 P. albicaulis BC, ID, MT, OR 0.075 A. Bower unpublished
manuscript
30 P. albicaulis USA rangewide and northern AB 0.034
Jorgensen and Hamrick 1997
14 P. albicaulis USA Great Basin 0.088 Yandell 1992
29 P. albicaulis Canadian Rockies 0.062 Stuart-Smith 1998
17 P. albicaulis British Columbia 0.061 Krakowski et al. 2003
18 P. albicaulis Rangewide 0.046 a Richardson et al. 2002b
8 P. sibirica Russia ~0.042 Goncharenko et al. 1993b
11 P. sibirica Russia 0.025 Krutovskii et al. 1995
P. koraiensis Coastal Russia 0.016 Potenko and Velikov 2001
19 P. koraiensis Russia 0.015 Potenko and Velikov 1998
3 P. koraiensis Russian far east 0.040 Krutovskii et al. 1995
5 P. pumila Russia 0.043 Goncharenko et al. 1993a
3 P. pumila Kamchatka penn., Russia 0.021 Krutovskii et al.
1995
18 P. pumila Japan 0.170 Tani et al. 1996
5 P. cembra Alps and eastern Carpathians, Ukraine 0.040
Belokon et al. 2005
Notes: AB = Alberta, BC = British Columbia, Canada; ID =
Idaho, MT = Montana, USA.
a Φ ST from cpDNA microsatellite data
68 AMERICAN JOURNAL OF BOTANY [Vol. 95
genetic variance. In this study the variance component for
population ( σ 2 p ) was
used as the among-population variance, and three times the
variance compo-
nent for family within-population (3 σ 2 f ( p ) ) was used
as the within-population
variance. The within-population genetic variation was
approximated as three
times the family variance instead of four as is used for true
half-sibs, because
open-pollinated progeny of whitebark pine are more closely
related than half-
sibs due to moderate inbreeding and correlated paternity (
Squillace, 1974 ; Kra-
kowski et al., 2003 ; Bower and Aitken, 2007 ). Values of Q
ST were compared to
all published estimates for whitebark pine for genetic markers (
F ST or G ST ).
Climatic variables used in the analyses were mean annual
tempera-
ture, mean temperature of the coldest month, mean temperature
of the
warmest month, mean annual precipitation, mean summer
precipitation, annual
heat : moisture index, summer heat : moisture index, and
frost-free period. Cli-
matic variables for populations north of 48 ° N were obtained
from PRISM cli-
matic data corrected for local elevation using the Climate BC
model described
by Wang et al. (2006a) . For populations south of 48 ° N,
climatic data were
means were used to test for differences between treatments for
survival percent-
age using the above model with only the temperature and
population effects,
and their interaction.
To test differences among populations within each soil
temperature, PROC
MIXED was used with the REML variance component estimator
and the fol-
lowing model:
y ijklm = µ + r i + b ( r ) ij + p k + rp ik + f ( p )
kl + e ijklm , (Eq. 2)
where terms for each effect are the same as in Eq. 1 without the
effect of soil
temperature. All terms were considered random except for
population, which
was fi xed. To obtain estimates of variance components, the
analysis was re-
peated with all effects considered random.
Genetic differentiation among populations was estimated for all
quantitative
traits by calculation of Q ST ( Spitze, 1993 ): Q ST = σ 2
b / ( σ 2 b + 2 σ 2 w ), where σ 2 b is
the among-population variance and σ 2 w is the within-
population additive
TABLE 2. Pinus albicaulis populations, number of seedlings
tested, geographic and climatic data.
Site no. Region Name
No. trees
Lat. o N Long. o W Elev. (m) MAT ( ° C) MTWM ( ° C)
MTCM ( ° C) FFP (d) SH:MAmbient Cold
1 N Serb Creek 5 10 54.71 127.57 1385 0.7 11.4 − 10.7 52 32.7
2 N Hunters Basin 13 29 54.53 127.18 1446 0.3 11.1 − 11 48
34.8
3 N Morice Lake 2 — 54.04 127.48 1231 0.6 11.3 − 11.1 31
44.9
4 N Kimsquit river 1 — 53.19 127.18 900 3 12.5 − 7.2 83 32.9
5 N Heckman Pass 6 — 52.52 125.82 1526 0 9.9 − 10.6 58
46.8
6 N Perkins Peak 3 1 51.83 125.05 1916 − 1.8 7.9 − 11.5 35
31.9
7 N Jesamond 42 19 51.27 121.87 1846 0.9 11.4 − 9.1 45 45
8 N Lime Mtn. 19 13 51.10 121.67 1900 0.5 11.1 − 9.4 39 52.9
9 N Darcy 46 9 50.53 122.58 1800 0.5 11.7 − 9.8 46.1 45.3
10 N Blackcomb 57 40 50.10 122.90 1908 0.6 10 − 7.5 43.7
22.4
11 N Thynne Mtn. 20 1 49.71 120.92 1785 1.9 12.7 − 7.7 48.8
27.4
12 N Manning Park 93 40 49.10 120.67 2000 0.3 10.8 − 8.6
43.8 48.1
13 N Baldy 14 — 49.17 119.25 2154 1.2 12.1 − 8.6 39.6 37.5
14 R Copper Butte 11 9 48.70 118.46 2185 − 0.5 10.4 − 10.2
48.2 30.7
15 R Colville 6 4 48.66 118.46 2154 − 0.1 10.7 − 10.1 49 32.5
16 R Snow Peak — 7 48.58 118.48 2185 0.5 11.2 − 9.7 48.7
35.6
17 R Salmo Mtn. 13 11 48.97 117.10 2092 0 10.7 − 9.3 61.2
21.2
18 R Hooknose Mtn. — 2 48.94 117.43 2215 0.5 11.5 − 8.9 54
28.8
19 R Farnham Ridge 31 26 48.84 116.51 1846 1.5 12.4 − 8.3
70.6 35.4
20 R North Baldy — 7 48.55 117.16 1877 2.6 13.9 − 7 89 41.6
21 R Lunch Peak 37 14 48.38 116.19 1846 2.1 12.4 − 6.6 84
23.9
22 R Our Lake 6 13 47.84 112.81 2277 0.2 11.4 − 9.6 31.3 35.1
23 R Sheep Shed 22 19 47.52 112.80 2154 1 12.3 − 8.9 33.4
43.5
24 R Granite Butte 19 8 46.87 112.47 2338 0.5 12 − 9.1 32.8
47.1
25 R Blacklead Mtn. 23 41 46.64 114.86 2062 1.2 12.3 − 8.1
32.1 26.2
26 R Gospel Peak 22 16 45.63 115.95 2154 1 11.9 − 8.3 26.4
33.9
27 R Heavens Gate 10 3 45.38 116.51 2154 1.2 12.3 − 8.3 40.6
49.2
28 R Mudd Ridge 23 15 45.90 113.45 2400 0.2 11.8 − 9.5 17.5
29
29 R Quartz Hill 27 44 45.71 112.93 2646 − 0.8 10.9 − 10.2
15.8 37
30 R Little Bear 22 26 45.40 111.28 2154 2.1 14.4 − 8.9 40.5
43.4
31 R Picket Pin 4 1 45.44 110.05 2892 − 1.8 9.9 − 11 20.6
24.9
32 R Hellroaring II 20 24 45.04 109.45 2892 − 1.4 10.3 − 10.4
21.7 36.5
33 R Sawtel Peak 26 18 44.54 111.41 2400 − 0.1 12.9 − 11.9
25.9 45.8
34 R Vinegar Hill 14 26 44.72 118.57 2338 0.5 11.4 − 8.6 39.8
54.1
35 S Mt. Hood 20 22 45.39 121.66 1969 1.7 10.8 − 4.9 48.4 15
36 S Newberry Crater 30 13 43.72 121.23 2100 2.9 12.9 − 4.7
45.5 58.1
37 S Paulina Peak 18 11 43.69 121.25 2250 2 11.9 − 5.3 42.3
59.6
38 S Batchelor Butte 16 1 43.26 122.68 2200 1.9 10.7 − 3.9
44.1 40
39 S Tipsoo Peak — 13 43.22 122.04 2462 0.7 10 − 5.4 34.4
35.3
40 S Moon Mtn. 6 4 43.20 122.65 2201 1.9 10.8 − 3.9 43.9 45.2
41 S Pelican Butte 40 17 42.51 122.15 2462 1.1 10.4 − 5 35.2
50.6
42 S Ball Mtn. 22 15 41.80 122.16 2363 2.2 11.4 − 4.4 39.1
107.1
43 S Goosenest Summit 6 6 41.72 122.23 2506 1.5 10.6 − 4.6
35.3 99.3
44 S Drakes Peak 26 16 42.30 120.15 2462 2.5 13.1 − 5.3 48.1
80.3
45 S Crane Mountain 19 22 42.07 120.24 2538 2.2 12.7 − 5.6
46.3 72.4
46 S Mt. Rose 11 — 39.30 119.90 2754 2.4 12.6 − 4.8 61 88.4
47 S Stevens Peak 7 — 38.70 119.98 2923 1.6 11 − 5.2 46.6
61.6
48 S Ebbetts Pass 2 — 38.50 119.80 2769 2.5 12 − 4.4 46.9 72
Notes: Region: N = northern, R = Rocky Mountain, S =
southern; Lat. = latitude, Long. = longitude, Elev. = elevation,
See Table 3 for abbreviations and
explanation of variables.
69January 2008] BOWER AND AITKEN — ECOLOGICAL
GENETICS OF WHITEBARK PINE
treatment had fewer replications, lack of cold injury testing, and
the absence of
a few key populations at the northern and southern ends of the
range compared
to the ambient treatment, thus only data from the ambient
treatment were used
in the canonical correlation analysis. Climatic data and least-
squares population
means for each seedling phenotypic trait demonstrating signifi
cant ( P ≤ 0.05)
population differentiation were included in this analysis.
Canonical redundancy
analysis was used to determine the proportion of variation in
phenotypic traits
accounted for by canonical correlations with the climatic or
geographic data
sets. To assess potential differences in relationships between
seedling pheno-
typic traits and climatic variables between the two soil
temperature treatments,
canonical correlation analysis was repeated for the two
treatments separately
using only the populations common to both.
To develop predictive equations for the construction of seed
transfer guide-
lines, values of signifi cant canonical variables for the seedling
phenotypic traits
were regressed on the standardized climatic variable with the
highest loading
for that canonical variable. The slope of this regression
estimates the rate of
change in the phenotypic canonical variable relative to the
selected climatic
variable. Rates of differentiation along climatic gradients were
interpreted rela-
tive to the least signifi cant difference among populations at the
20% level (least
signifi cant difference: LSD 0.2). This conservatively reduces
type II error (ac-
cepting no differences among populations when differences
actually exist) and
minimizes maladaptation risk accordingly ( Rehfeldt, 1991 ).
Values of LSD for
the phenotypic canonical variables were obtained from a
Duncan ’ s multiple
range test in PROC GLM using the model for testing variation
among popula-
tions described. The fl oating seed transfer model developed by
Rehfeldt (1991 ,
1994 ) was used to determine seed transfer guidelines for
restoration programs
of whitebark pine. The maximum recommended environmental
transfer dis-
tance between seed collection population and planting site was
calculated as the
difference in the standardized climate variable associated with
the LSD ( P =
0.20) value of the phenotypic canonical variable multiplied by
the standard
deviation of the climate variable. Univariate regressions of
climate variables on
latitude, longitude, and elevation were used to determine the
geographic dis-
tances associated with the rates of differentiation in climate
variables to make
simple seed transfer recommendations.
RESULTS
Soil temperature effects — Height increment and survival
were
signifi cantly greater, on average, in the cold treatment than in
the ambient treatment (least squares mean = 6.7 and 8.9 mm,
P = 0.04 for height increment and 66.9 and 82.3%, P <
0.001
for survival, in the ambient and cold treatment respectively).
Means for biomass traits were also greater in the cold treatment,
and the temperature treatment difference greater for root mass
than shoot mass, although the difference between treatments for
these traits was not signifi cant. The date of needle fl ush did
not
differ signifi cantly between treatments. Population-by-treat-
ment interaction was not signifi cant for any of the traits. The
foliage of seedlings in the cold temperature treatments gener-
ally appeared darker green and healthier than those in the ambi-
ent treatment. No treatment-specifi c geographic trends were
evident, and separate canonical correlation analyses of individ-
ual treatments yielded the same results.
Geographic patterns across the species range — In general,
seedlings from populations originating from colder climates
had less overall growth, earlier needle fl ush in spring, and less
cold injury in fall than seedlings originating from milder cli-
mates when grown in the common garden. Populations differed
signifi cantly in the ambient soil temperature treatment for all
variables except root : shoot ratio and spring cold injury (
Table
5 ). Despite a lack of signifi cant differences among
populations
in the ANOVA, root : shoot ratio differed signifi cantly
among
populations in a Duncan ’ s multiple range test.
Growth-related traits generally had low levels of population
differentiation (0 ≤ Q ST ≤ 0.14), while the cold-adaptation
re-
lated traits (date of needle fl ush and fall cold injury) showed
obtained from a model using the thin plate splines of
Hutchinson (2000) as il-
lustrated for North America by McKinney et al. (2001) . Clines
in quantitative
traits can be obscured when there are correlations among traits
or if geographi-
cal structure is complex. In these cases, canonical correlation
analysis is more
effi cient than regressing each trait on environmental variables
separately ( West-
fall, 1992 ). Several of the seedling phenotypic traits and
climatic or geographic
variables were strongly intercorrelated ( Table 4 ), so canonical
correlation anal-
ysis was used to examine the relationships among these
variables. The cold
Fig. 1. Distribution of Pinus albicaulis and locations of
populations
tested in common-garden experiment. Dashed lines separate the
southern,
Rocky Mountain and northern regions.
TABLE 3. Description of (A) quantitative and (B) climatic
variables.
A) Quantitative trait Abbreviation Unit
3rd year height increment HTINC millimeters
Total dry biomass TDM grams
Root dry biomass RM grams
Shoot dry biomass SM grams
Root : shoot ratio RSR unitless
2003 Date of needle fl ush FL03 days from Jan. 1
2004 Date of needle fl ush FL04 days from Jan. 1
Fall cold injury FCI index of injury (%)
Spring cold injury SCI index of injury (%)
B) Climatic variable
Mean annual temperature MAT ° C
Mean temperature, warmest month MTWM ° C
Mean temperature, coldest month MTCM ° C
Mean annual precipitation MAP millimeters
Mean summer precipitation MSP millimeters
Annual heat : moisture index AH:M [(MAT +
10)/(MAP/1000)]
Summer heat : moisture index SH:M [(MWMT/(MSP/1000)]
Frost-free period FFP days
70 AMERICAN JOURNAL OF BOTANY [Vol. 95
nifi cant ( P = 0.006) and accounted for an additional 15% of
the
variation. The second pair of variables demonstrates the posi-
tive relationship between the length of the frost-free period and
growth, both height and biomass ( Table 6 ). The regression of
the second phenotypic canonical score on frost-free period was
also signifi cant ( P = 0.001) but weak ( r 2 = 0.24).
Canonical re-
dundancy analysis showed that the fi rst two climatic canonical
variables account for 24 and 17% (41% total) of the variation in
population phenotypic trait means, indicating substantial ge-
netic structure along climatic gradients.
Regional patterns of variation — When populations were
analyzed separately by region, some broad-scale geographic
differences in patterns of population differentiation emerged
( Table 7 ). In the ambient soil temperature treatment, in the
northern region, signifi cant differences were detected among
populations for all three biomass traits. In the Rocky Mountain
region, only date of needle fl ush in 2004 varied signifi cantly
among populations, while in the southern region, only date of
moderate to strong differentiation among populations regard-
less of treatment (0.36 ≤ Q ST ≤ 0.65). A comparison of Q
ST
values with previously published values of F ST for whitebark
pine ( Table 1 ) shows that the phenotypic traits with the
weakest
differentiation are similar to the highest estimates of differen-
tiation in presumably neutral molecular markers from rangewide
studies ( Jorgensen and Hamrick, 1997 ; Richardson et al.,
2002b ), and the quantitative traits with the strongest
differentia-
tion have substantially higher Q ST estimates.
In the canonical correlation analysis of population means for
seedling phenotypic traits and climatic variables for population
origins, the fi rst canonical correlation was signifi cantly differ-
ent from zero ( P < 0.0001) and explained 72% of the variance
in the data. The fi rst pair of canonical variables summarizes
relationships between cold-related phenotypic traits and mean
temperature of the coldest month ( Table 6 ). Mean temperature
of the …
A brief primer on statistical analysis
For this lab, you will be performing statistical analyses, with
the help of some Excel tools. If you have already taken
FRST231 or are presently taking it, this should be a refresher
for you. Otherwise, you may not have ever performed statistical
analysis, and will come across some confusing terms and
numbers you may not know how to interpret. Hopefully this will
clear up some confusion.
Why do we need to use statistics?
In this lab, we are seeking to explain genetic variation in tree
growth by comparing measurements across taxonomic varieties,
and analysing the relationship between our measurements and
the climates of our trees’ provenances. When collecting data,
there will always be some degree of unaccounted-for variation
in our measurements. This variation may be caused by
measurement error, natural variation caused by genetic
differences, environmental variation, or more likely some
combination of all these. As a result, real relationships are
“messy”. Below are two figures showing a hypothetical
relationship between provenance temperature and heights
measured in a common garden. While not perfect, figure 1
clearly shows a strong relationship between these variables. But
what about figure 2? It’s not as clear. Statistics allow us to ask
“How likely is it that the pattern we’re seeing is the result of a
real underlying relationship, rather than just random chance?”
We can quantify this likelihood and assess the probability that
our results reflect real relationships.
In this lab we will be performing two different statistical
analyses: linear regression, and t-tests. Linear regression is
a method to determine whether a relationship exists between
two numeric variables, e.g., height and provenance mean annual
temperature, as shown in figures 1 and 2. A t-test is used to
determine whether a relationship exists between one numeric
variable and one categorical variable, e.g., height and
taxonomic variety, as shown in figures 3 and 4.
Figure 2: The effect of provenance mean annual precipitation on
root-to-shoot ratios in 5-year old Pseudotsuga menziesii trees
grown in a common garden in Campbell River, BC (n=5-7 per
provenance).
Figure 1: The effect of provenance mean annual temperature on
height in 7-year old Pinus contorta trees grown in a common
garden in Prince George, BC (n=10 per provenance).
p-values
The cornerstone of most statistical analyses is the p-value. The
p-value is a statistic that reflects the probability that an
observed trend could happen by random chance, and it varies
from 0 to 1. If p is close to 0, there is a very low chance that the
pattern we see is due to chance (i.e., it is likely to reflect a real
relationship). If p is close to 1, there is no difference between
our data and data generated at random, so we should not
interpret there to be a relationship here. Figure 1 shows a trend
with a p-value of 0.0001, meaning that if we randomly
generated 10,000 datasets, we could expect one of them to show
a trend this strong. Figure 2 shows a trend with a p-value of 0.1,
meaning that random data could create a pattern at least as
strong as this 10% of the time.
We set an arbitrary threshold on p-values to assign statistical
significance to a trend, meaning we are willing to accept some
probability that our results are due to chance, but that number is
generally low. In most scientific fields, we set a significance
threshold of 0.05, meaning we are willing to accept a 5% chance
that our results are due to random chance. A p-value less than
0.05 means we can consider that result "statistically significant"
and therefore a reflection of a real pattern in the data. By this
criterion, figure 1 shows a statistically significant relationship,
while figure 2 does not. P-values are used in both linear
regression and t-tests. If a linear regression has a p-value less
than 0.05, we say that that the variables used in that analysis
have a significant relationship. If a t-test has a p-value less than
0.05, we say that the two groups we are comparing show
significant differences.
Linear regression
Linear regression is a commonly-used method across many
fields of biology. In this method, we are comparing data with
two dimensions: an independent variable (generally meaning
one that we assign or that is known ahead of time), and a
dependent variable (generally one that we measure, also known
as a response variable). In this lab, our independent variables
will be some aspects of climate from various provenances of
Garry oak. Our dependent variables will be tree heights and
diameters. Linear regressions are always presented as scatter
plots, where the independent variable goes on the x-axis (the
horizontal axis of the scatter plot), and the dependent variable
goes on the y-axis (the vertical axis of the scatter plot). In this
way, we can interpret the way that our dependent variable
changes in relation to our independent variable i.e., in figure 1
if the provenance mean annual temperature changes by 1°C,
how much does tree height change? This is the relationship
quantified by linear regression.
Linear regression uses a set of equations to draw a line of
fit through our data. This is shown by the grey diagonal lines in
figures 1 and 2. A line of fit is a straight line that best describes
the relationship in the data, and can be used to quantitatively
describe that relationship using its slope.For example, the linear
regression of figure 1 has a slope of 1.17m/°C, meaning for
every 1°C that provenance mean annual temperature increases,
we can expect height to increase by 1.17m. Another important
aspect of linear regression is called the coefficient of
determination, which has the mathematical symbol R2. This is a
measurement of how strongly the two variables in our
regression relate to one another. R2 ranges from 0 to 1, with 0
meaning there is no correlation between our data, and 1
meaning that the data is perfectly correlated i.e. all of the points
in our scatter plot would fall exactly along the line of best fit.
The relationship in figure 1 has an R2 of 0.62, which can be
interpreted as “provenance mean annual temperature explains
62% of the variation in mean provenance heights”. Both slope
and coefficient of determination are quantitative descriptions of
significant relationships. Therefore, they should not be reported
or interpreted for regressions with p-values greater than 0.05.
t-tests
Often, we wish to know whether two groups differ for some
variable of interest. In this lab, we will be determining whether
two taxonomic varieties of Garry oak differ in their average
height or number of stems. A simple statistical method for this
is called the t-test. A t-test determines whether the means of
two groups of data are significantly different. This is
determined not only by the means of those two groups, but the
amount of variation in each group. This variation is referred to
as error in statistics, although that term is misleading. As
mentioned earlier, variation in our data is expected even if we
measure things perfectly. We will quantify this variation in our
groups using a parameter called standard deviation. This
number is the average amount that each measurement in a group
differs from the mean. For example, in figure 3, the mean height
for Pinus contorta var. latifolia individuals is 9.9m, with a
standard deviation of 1.1m. This means that, on average,
individuals range from 8.8-11m within this group (the upper and
lower end of the error bars in this figure).
Figure 4: Belowground biomass of 5-year old Pseudotsuga
menziesii trees grown in fertilized(n=40) and unfertilized(n=35)
plots in a common garden in Campbell River, BC. Error bars
represent standard deviation.
Figure 3: Mean heights of 7-year old Pinus contorta var.
latifolia (n=100) and P. contorta var. contorta (n=40), grown in
a common garden in Prince George, BC. Error bars represent
standard deviation.
In figures 3 and 4, the groups both appear to differ. Pinus
contorta var. latifolia individuals appear taller than var.
contorta (fig. 3), and fertilized Pseudotsuga menziesii appear to
grow more roots in fertilized plots (fig. 4). However, the error
bars in figure 4 are larger than those in figure 3, meaning the
data in figure 3 has more variation. A t-test can tell us whether
these differences are statistically significant. The outputs of a t-
test are a t-value and a p-value. The t-value is difficult to
interpret without a much deeper dive into statistics, but a low
value (near 0) represents less difference between groups than a
larger value. However, the p-value is the same as discussed
earlier. If p < 0.05, then the groups are significantly different, if
p > 0.05, the groups are not significantly different. In figure 3,
p = 0.001. These groups are significantly different. In figure 4,
p = 0.09. These groups do not differ significantly. If our groups
differ significantly, we can discuss the relative difference
between theme.g., in figure 3, var. contorta individuals have an
average height of 8.5m, 15% shorter than var. latifolia
individuals. If the groups do not differ significantly, we infer
that there is no difference between the mean values of our two
groups and should not attempt to quantify this.
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How to Write a Lab Report
Forest Biology (FRST 200 and 210)
Read this document carefully, it outlines the content and
formatting that should be used for
lab reports in FRST 200 or 210 and will be the basis for our
marking system. You should note that
marking for your first lab report will be reasonably relaxed, but
in the second and subsequent reports
the number of marks deducted for mistakes will increase
substantially. This system encourages you
to rapidly adopt a simple, clear and systematic style of
scientific writing. The easier your report is to
read the more likely you are to get good marks.
1. Report Purpose
You should aim to produce a clear, concise report that reviews
current knowledge on the
subject, develops the research objectives, summarizes the
methods used, and presents the results
generated. You should then discuss how the results meet the
objectives and what they mean relative
to the current knowledge or literature that was used to develop
your objectives, which may include
applications to which this knowledge is relevant.
2. Report Structure & Content
Use the following sections to structure your report. Pay close
attention to the section details
and suggested content. All sections should be concise and
informative.
Introduction
The introduction provides readers with the background
information required to understand
the whole report. Introductions are funnel-like, starting broadly
with an introductory sentence that
introduces the report’s context, and ending narrowly with a
clear definition of specific objectives or
questions being investigated in your report (example 1). We
generally leave objectives open-ended,
so you can tailor the objectives to your interests e.g., wood
production, conservation, biology.
Relevant background information fills the funnel, setting up any
objectives of the study, and any
hypotheses you wish to test that will be covered in your
discussion section.
Example 1: Your report is comparing the wood quality of two
timber species, Picea abies and Pinus
sylvestris. A good introductory sentence could be, “Wood
quality, a trait in which many species vary
substantially, is an important determinant of timber value.”
Your introduction then should provide
some background information that would be relevant to the
reader, and narrows the focus from
wood quality in general down to more specific aspects.
Potential topics might include: economic
value of high-quality wood; features that contribute to wood
quality (especially whichever ones you
measured); or variability in these features. This can be further
narrowed to the species being
studied: compare and contrast life histories, growth rates,
relative importance to the timber industry,
etc. Now that the reader has some knowledge of wood quality
and your species, you can establish
your objectives i.e., the question your study is trying to answer:
“While Picea abies and Pinus
sylvestris are both important to European timber production, the
quality of their mature wood has not
been adequately assessed." Your last sentence should briefly
summarize what you’ve done to
address your objective: “In this study, differences in tracheid
length and extractives content were
compared between Scots pine (Pinus sylvestris L.) and Norway
spruce (Picea abies (L.) H. Karst.).”
Assume that your reader is educated, but unfamiliar with your
subject. Therefore, the
introduction should also define and contextualize any
terminology that is fundamental to your study.
To do this you will need to concisely summarize relevant
information from class notes and include
background research. In most cases, this will include citing
relevant scientific literature. Do not
include any methods, results or conclusions in your
introduction.
Your introduction section should conclude with your
hypotheses. These are the scientific
statements that you wish to test in your lab report. You should
provide an explanation of why you
developed your hypotheses, followed by a list of your
hypotheses. These hypotheses are the basis of
your discussion. Your hypotheses must be testable, and provide
a predicted direction of the
relationship (example 2). This will allow you to later assess
whether your hypotheses were supported
or refuted by your data.
Example 2: For the previously mentioned research topic, a good
hypothesis section might be as
follows: “As Scots pine generally has a higher growth rate than
Norway spruce, it was expected that
Scots pine wood will exhibit more traits consistent with fast-
growing species. As such, the authors
predicted that Scots pine wood would have longer tracheids than
Norway spruce, more earlywood,
and lower wood density”.
Materials and Methods
The materials and methods is an account of how your
experiment was conducted, and why it
was conducted this way. This should concisely provide enough
information so that your experiment
could be repeated exactly. Materials and methods must be
written in clear sentences, not in point
form. Materials should be incorporated into the methods, not
included separately (example 3). Be
sure to outline all the different types of data collected, the
measurements that were made, and the
units of measurement used. Also include information regarding
your data analysis. How was your raw
data used to answer your hypotheses? Describe any drawings
that were made and their purpose (do
not include the actual drawings here). If you used any scientific
equipment, try to provide as much
information about it as possible (e.g., equipment name and
model number; example 3). If you used
software to analyze your data, include what you used and which
version. Any relevant equations that
were used to transform your data must be included within your
methods.
Do not include unnecessary details about how the lab was
performed. Remember that this is
meant to be an account of how your experiment was conducted,
not your forestry lab. For example,
another scientist does not need to know that you collected data
in groups of three or that the TA
compiled your class data. Do not copy the lab instruction sheet
which describes what you should do
during the lab, not what you did during the experiment. You
should summarise the methods in your
own words.
Example 3: Good methods might read “1 cm2 cubes of mature
Picea abies and Pinus sylvestris wood
was collected from centre-cut commercial-grade dimensional
lumber. To obtain tracheid samples,
these cubes were pulverized individually using an Ailence MF-
1000 wood pulveriser.” Bad methods
would be “We were given small pieces of wood from the
species. The TAs put them in the wood
pulveriser for us.”
Results
Use the results section to summarize your data and report
observed trends. Do not discuss
how, why, or what may be the basis for these trends (this
material belongs in the Discussion section).
Results should be quantitative rather than qualitative whenever
possible. If you are comparing
different groups, your results should compare these groups
(example 4). If your results are
presenting a correlation between measurements, include the
direction and relative strength of the
relationship (e.g. slope or R2; example 5). When giving
quantitative results, always include units.
Example 4: An example of a result that is both quantitative and
comparative is, “Mean tracheid
length in Scots pine was estimated to be 2.57mm (standard
deviation: 0.57mm). Tracheids of
Norway spruce were, on average, 35% longer, with a mean of
3.47mm (standard deviation: 0.8mm).”
A bad example of a result, that is neither sufficiently
quantitative nor comparative would be,
“Tracheids in Scots pine were 2.57. Tracheids in Norway spruce
were a lot longer.”
Example 5: A good result describing a correlation is “As
distance of the wood sample from the pith of
the tree increased, extractives percentage decreased linearly in
Norway spruce wood (slope = 0.14
µLexactives cm-1 ; R2=0.73).” A bad example that relies of
qualitative descriptions would be “Distance of
the wood sample from the pith of the tree and extractives
percentage were found to be related. The
relationship was very strong.”
Your results sections will also include tables or graphs that
display notable trends in your
data. See ‘Writing and Formatting Rules’ below for instructions
on how to present and refer to tables,
figures and appendix items. Drawings or photographs can be
essential to your results for some
reports, and they may be included in the results section or the
appendix at your discretion.
Discussion
Your discussion is where you address your hypotheses (from the
Introduction), and
systematically explain possible reasons behind all trends
reported in the results section (even if they
are not explicitly included in your hypotheses), as well as
limitations of the methods used. Writing the
discussion always involves using additional sources of
information (i.e., references from the scientific
literature or from texts, not course notes), statistical
interpretation (if any), deductive reasoning, and
logical inference to explain the results that you reported. For
each trend a simple procedure is to
make a statement of the trend you observed, then follow this
statement with explanations of why you
believe this trend might have occurred (example 6).
Example 6: A good discussion sentence stating an observed
trend could be, “Although there is large
variability in the data, Norway spruce tracheids were found to
be generally longer than those of Scots
pine.” After making the statement, you could discuss possible
explanations for why Norway spruce
produced longer tracheids in this experiment, ideally supported
by outside scientific literature e.g.
“An analysis of the wood from seven spruce and pine species
found that spruces tend to produce
longer tracheids than pines (Anoulli et al. 1986). This suggests
that our trend may be due to broad
differences in growth strategy that have evolved between the
two genera, and is unlikely to be
unique to our specific samples.”
In general, a single study cannot prove or disprove a hypothesis.
Often we are using a small
sample and assuming it is representative of a broader group.
Our measurements are imperfect, and
it is possible that no causal relationship exists between our
variables, but rather they are both
related to a third underlying, unobserved variable, or just due to
random chance. As such, we can
only use our data to support or refute a hypothesis, rather than
prove or disprove it.
Your discussion should also reflect on any limitations or
sources of error in your data. Make
notes as you perform your experiment or measurements about
what aspects seem more or less
precise or accurate. Unless you can describe very specific errors
in your dataset, the rest of your
discussion should treat your results as though they are accurate
and generalizable. Saying that “this
trend exists because our data is probably wrong” is rarely a
valid explanation.
A discussion should also include some broader implications or
applications of your results
i.e., why should we care about these results? We will usually
ask you questions in the lab handout
that attempt to draw these connections, and these should be
answered within the discussion. While
it is often useful to look into the scientific literature to answer
these questions, remember to draw
from your own results as well (example 7).
Example 7: If one of the questions for this hypothetical lab was
“Which species’ wood would be more
appropriate for building a house?” a good response would be,
“Tracheid length has been found to be
strongly correlated with microfibril angle, a critical parameter
of wood strength (Kennedy 1995). As
we found Norway spruce to generally have longer tracheids than
Scots pine, it is possible that
Norway spruce has a lower microfibril angle as well and
therefore produces better wood for home
construction. This is supported by the results of Lichtenegger et
al. (1999), who directly measured
microfibril angle in these species.” A bad response would be
“Previous studies have found that
Norway spruce has stronger wood than Scots pine (Lichtenegger
et al. 1999). Therefore I would use
Norway spruce to build a house”. While this technically answers
the question, it does not relate to
any of the results obtained and therefore would be out of place
in this discussion.
Your discussion should end with a brief conclusion. This is a
concise summary of the report’s
main findings, why they occurred, and what their further
implications are.
References
List in alphabetical order (according to first author's last name)
all the sources that you have
cited in your report (see the ‘Writing Rules and Formatting’
section for information on using
references). These references should be, in most cases, peer-
reviewed scientific literature or
accepted text books. Do not cite course notes unless you are
given explicit permission. If you cite a
source that does not appear in the references, or provide a
reference for a source that is never cited,
you will not receive credit for this reference.
Appendix
The appendix contains data and figures that do not belong or fit
in the rest of the report. Raw
data sheets, sampling maps, or large drawings are common
appendix items. They should appear in
the appendix in the same order that they are referred to in the
text. Only include items in the
appendix if they are mentioned in the report and cite them in the
same style as tables or figures. To
do this, each appendix item needs to be clearly numbered. Not
all reports require an appendix.
3. Writing and Formatting Rules
General Writing Etiquette
Proper paragraph formatting, clear sentence structure, good
spelling and grammar are basic
expectations for all assignments. If you are not confident in
your writing ability, it is a good practice to
have a friend who is proficient with English proofread your
report. Reports must be typed, with size
11 or 12 font, 1.5 or 2 line spacing, and 2.5 cm margins. Do not
include a cover page for your report.
Using Latin and Common Names
The first time a species name is used, include the whole Latin
name and authority e.g.,
Pseudotsuga menziesii (Mirb.) Franco as well as the common
name e.g., Douglas-fir. As long as there
is no potential for confusion, the genus may be abbreviated
following the first use e.g., P. menziesii
or the common name may be used throughout the write-up.
Latin names (in fact all non-English
words) must always be italicized or underlined. Common names
do not use capitals unless they
include proper nouns such as a place or person's name (e.g.,
black spruce, Sitka spruce and
Douglas-fir are all correct, whereas Black Spruce, sitka spruce
and douglas-fir are all incorrect).
Citations and References
Citing and referencing appropriate literature is an essential
component of all scientific
reports. We expect you to use peer-reviewed scientific papers in
journals for your reports. You can
find these by using search engines such as Web of Science
(available through the UBC Library) or
Google Scholar, and access them through the UBC Library. A
citation is required whenever you use
information from somebody else’s text or their ideas. A
‘citation’ is the mention of literature in the
main body of your text, whereas a ‘reference’ is the full
bibliographic information for a given citation
that is listed in the reference section. You should use the
“(author date)” citation style (examples 6,
7). This should go at the end of the sentence using the source
information, unless you are referring
to the authors within the sentence (example 7). For reference
format, you can use any established
style (e.g., MLA, APA, Chicago) as long as you are consistent
within your references. Don’t just copy
and paste references as you find them. They are frequently
automatically generated and contain
incorrect or insufficient information.
When citing information, paraphrase the source material
(example 8). Do not quote or
directly copy-paste text from references! Improper citation will,
at best, lose you many marks on your
assignment. At worst, you could end up facing expulsion from
UBC for plagiarism. Directly copying 7
or more consecutive words from any source material is
considered plagiarism by UBC standards.
There are some rare cases where quoting information is
acceptable. Generally this is when it is an
author’s specific opinion or their exact sequence of words that
are relevant, or if they are providing a
technical definition (example 9).
Example 8: Here is a piece of source information, from
Kennedy (1995): “There are a host of
properties that determine the quality of wood for different
purposes, but the single most important
characteristic is wood specific gravity or relative density.” An
appropriate citation using this
information could be:
any properties, but relative
density is the most important
characteristic (Kennedy 1995).
The following are improper uses of this information:
wood for different purposes, but
the single most important characteristic is wood specific gravity
or relative density” (Kennedy
1995).
wood, but the most important is
wood relative density (Kennedy 1995).
f properties that determine the quality of
wood.
Note that the last 2 examples are explicit forms of plagiarism
and may lose you full credit for the
assignment or worse. Even if you are citing a source, you must
paraphrase their content.
Example 9: This is an appropriate use of quotation for a
reference: “Charles Darwin was among the
first to link domesticated crops and livestock to natural
evolution, claiming that he ‘invariably found
that our knowledge, imperfect though it be, of variation under
domestication, afforded the best and
safest clue’ to understanding natural selection (Darwin 1859).”
Measurement Units
Report your data using appropriate SI i.e., metric units and
always give the units of
measurement for any data when it is first mentioned in your
report as well as in every table or figure.
Think carefully about what your measurements mean in reality
to determine the appropriate number
of decimal places or significant figures that should be used.
Programs like excel will often provide
numbers to 10 decimal places, far more precise than the data
that you input. Using these numbers
as they are given is misleading your reader into thinking your
results are more precise than they truly
are.
Figures and Tables
Figures such as graphs, drawings and photographs are tools for
illustrating written content
that is not otherwise easy to visualize. Tables present values
that summarise raw data across
several categories or variables. In your FRST 200 & 210
reports, tables and figures are essential
requirements because formal statistical analysis is usually not
required, but we still expect you to
identify and discuss trends.
When creating a figure or table ask yourself what you’re trying
to demonstrate to the reader and stick
to the following rules:
–we will not be impressed. We are
looking for figures that are
simple, clear and informative.
analysis lab (FRST 210) should be
word processed.
–don’t use small figures. As a guideline, graphs
should be full-page-width. Table
size depends on the amount of data, if the table doesn’t fit on a
single page it belongs in the
appendix.
eparate entities–do not label tables as
figures.
This information is provided by
the caption.
the figure, but captions for
tables are placed above the table.
the units of measurement.
graph if they have identical units
of measurement and values in the same order or magnitude.
and make sure that the colours
or symbols are organized such that the reader can draw fast
visual conclusions about each
trend.
bar and must be clearly labelled
with any parts described in your
report.
means calculated from multiple
measurements or groups, only provide the means. You can
include the data used to generate
the means as a separate table in the appendix.
Figures and tables must be cited and explained in the results
section. It is best to cite a
figure or table in parentheses at the end of the respective
sentence (see example 10). It is never
acceptable to simply list attached figures or to say “see attached
figures”. All figures and tables
should be positioned in the report close to the relevant
paragraph and in the same order that they
are mentioned in the text, so the reader is not confused trying to
find the correct figure.
Example 10: A good citation of a figure would be “Mean
tracheid length in Scots pine was estimated
to be 2.57mm. Tracheids of Norway spruce were, on average,
35% longer, with a mean of 3.47mm
(figure 1).” A bad example would be “Figure 1 shows that mean
tracheid length in Scots pine was
estimated to be 2.57mm. Figure 1 also shows that tracheids of
Norway spruce were, on average,
35% longer, with a mean of 3.47mm.”
Every figure and table must have a caption that includes a
number and a brief written
description (in complete sentences) of what the figure contains,
but doesn’t describe any trends
(example 11). Captions should be informative enough that you
could use them to understand the
figure or table in the absence of the rest of your report. If you
use mean values, provide the sample
size used to generate your means (example 11). If you use error
bars, say what type of error was
used.
Example 11: A good example of a figure caption might be
“Figure 1: Tracheid lengths of mature wood
from Picea abies (n = 5) and Pinus sylvestris (n = 7). Error bars
are given in standard deviation.”
Bar Graphs, Line Graphs and Scatter plots: Your chosen graph
should be determined by the type of
data on your x-axis. Bar graphs are only used when the x-axis is
categorical (e.g., “pines” vs.
“spruces”), but line graphs are required whenever the data are
continuous and show change from
one measurement point to the next (e.g., latitude, longitude or a
time series such as day of year).
Scatterplots are used to display numerous data points for
continuous x-and y-axes. Data points on
line graphs can be connected, but never use a smoothing
function in your lab reports. Points in
scatterplots should never be connected with lines, but if you
want to show a general trend in your
data, you can insert a line of best fit through the data points
(called a trend line in Excel).
4. Useful Hints and Tips
The secret to writing great lab reports: Your first lab reports
can be daunting and challenging to
write, but once you’re familiar with the format they will become
much easier and obtain higher
marks. We recommend writing the materials and methods
section first because it’s simple,
straightforward and familiar to you. Next, analyse your data,
create your graphs and write the results
section. Then write the discussion. Finally, although it’s
counterintuitive, finish by writing the
introduction. This should make the content of the introduction
easier to judge and prevent it from
being too short or long.
Write concisely: Keep sentences fairly short, and don’t use long
words if a short one will do. A good
scientific writer will use the minimum number of words
possible to clearly state their point, so don’t
use sentences that don’t tell the reader anything meaningful. For
example, “This lab was interesting
and helpful for understanding germination better” tells the
reader nothing what you learned, so leave
it out. Avoid unnecessary words, e.g., the word “the” can often
be deleted with no change in
meaning. After writing a first draft, edit it so that the major
messages are maintained but the text is
shortened.
The meaning of ‘significant’: In science, ‘significant’ refers to
the outcome of a statistical test. We’re
not doing statistical tests in most of these labs, so it is best to
avoid using this term to refer to a
strong relationship in your data, unless you have actually tested
whether is constitutes a statistically-
significant difference.
Avoid making overly large scientific inferences: Extrapolation
of your data trends to larger scientific
concepts will be required; however, it is not acceptable to do so
without adequate supporting
information. For example, applying the concepts learned from
observing physiological differences
between Scots pine and Norway spruce to all firs and spruces
would be inappropriate. You need to
use valid scientific references to support any conclusions you
draw or speculations you make based
on your results. When you are suggesting possible explanations
for results, if those are speculative,
write it in a way that reflects the uncertainty, e.g., using words
such as “may result from”, or “could
be explained by”. If you want to know more about how to write
good scientific papers, there is lots of
information available online. Here is one particularly user-
friendly resource.
http://abacus.bates.edu/~ganderso/biology/resources/writing/HT
Wtoc.html
Student_data_2019Tag_IDProvenanceVarietyHeight_2007_cmH
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229214.41.391913garryana4.51609.219201semota12.432711.72.
592111garryana6.220913.51.39223semota4.531914.96.89232se
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rryana519912.31.59877garryana10834.31.598813garryana84003
0.4298914garryana2.522818199114garryana532917.419927garr
yana9.828517.13.59932semota42608.7299413garryana537020.1
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rryana640030.91.59989garryana321213.719996garryana3.51476
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mota13.527610.43.810032semota8.51916.62100413garryana672
4.91.810053semota4792.7510068garryana21.233727.61.510081
4garryana5.223819.61.810093semota532414.5110109garryana5.
523713.3110116garryana626115.43101213garryana5.51998.841
0138garryana531918.5110144semota4.51106.73.8101515garrya
na532618.1210161semota71546.92101711garryana3.6763.61.81
0189garryana18.225216.9110193semota3.2865.46.5102013garry
ana5.532219.4110211semota5.5443.62102211garryana2.529924.
11102314garryana7.233422.1210242semota8.3704.62.310252se
mota51488.42.8102611garryana319811.9110279garryana519612
1102813garryana6.532620110297garryana11.538020.11103014g
arryana3.240125.71103114garryana6.2377211.310328garryana8
28519.12.3103314garryana2.732218.11.510345semota2.5522.93
.310353semota4.5965.8310369garryana521711.71.5103715garry
ana4.224617.6110387garryana23274221.310392semota7.5603.5
2.510413semota41487.69104214garryana4.21497.82.8104315ga
rryana5.529426.71104411garryana2.818312.22.5104515garryan
a4.933826.5110469garryana522111.41.510472semota6714.23.81
0486garryana426911.31.810495semota31125.42105014garryana
632426.7110512semota6.5834.61.810528garryana524313.31.31
05311garryana4.227814.7110541semota21.21414.84.5105515ga
rryana624612.1110569garryana1229017110576garryana5.6753.
5210587garryana5.428517110594semota3.21527.22.8106013gar
ryana727722.31106114garryana526922.6110625semota9.525813
.71106311garryana4.61116.81106413garryana541624.31106514
garryana629018.51106611garryana5.5231162.510676garryana6.
Dear Writer,Please do a PowerPoint presentation on my .docx
Dear Writer,Please do a PowerPoint presentation on my .docx
Dear Writer,Please do a PowerPoint presentation on my .docx
Dear Writer,Please do a PowerPoint presentation on my .docx
Dear Writer,Please do a PowerPoint presentation on my .docx
Dear Writer,Please do a PowerPoint presentation on my .docx
Dear Writer,Please do a PowerPoint presentation on my .docx
Dear Writer,Please do a PowerPoint presentation on my .docx
Dear Writer,Please do a PowerPoint presentation on my .docx
Dear Writer,Please do a PowerPoint presentation on my .docx
Dear Writer,Please do a PowerPoint presentation on my .docx
Dear Writer,Please do a PowerPoint presentation on my .docx
Dear Writer,Please do a PowerPoint presentation on my .docx
Dear Writer,Please do a PowerPoint presentation on my .docx
Dear Writer,Please do a PowerPoint presentation on my .docx
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Dear Writer,Please do a PowerPoint presentation on my .docx

  • 1. Dear Writer, Please do a PowerPoint presentation on my paper that was completed. I am attaching my paper so can have an idea what to do. Please include speaker notes in the presentation. Using PowerPoint develop a 22-slide presentation that demonstrates your mastery of the Program Outcomes by discussing the results of your Individual Project. The following slides should be presented: 1) Title Slide 2) Overview 3) Research Problem 4) Research Intent 5) Research Question(s)/Hypothesis 6) Literature Review Key Points 7) Methodology 8) Results 9) Conclusions 10) Recommendations 11) Summary Chapter 1 Introduction Preparation and response to natural disasters is a serious logistical challenge. Significant resources are used by
  • 2. intergovernmental, governmental, and non-governmental organizations to prepare and respond to the effects of natural disasters. When a natural disaster occurs, such organizations mobilize resources to respond. Recently, technological advancements in autonomous, semiautonomous, and unmanned vehicles have increased the utility of such vehicles while reducing costs. The increased use of UAVs has created a new dimension to Synthetic Aperture Radar (SAR) operations. In real life, the use of UAVs can be beneficial in cases where rapid decisions are required or the use of manpower is limited (Boehm et al., 2017). Natural disasters have significantly damaged transportation infrastructure including railways and roads. Additionally, barrier lakes and landslides pose a serious threat to property and life in areas affected. When infrastructure is interrupted with heavy rescue equipment, rescue vehicles, suppliers and rescue teams face challenges to reach disaster-hit areas. As a result, efforts to provide humanitarian aid is hampered (Tatsidou et al., 2019). The traditional approaches of responding to natural disasters are unable to meet the requirements to support the process of disaster decision making. UAVs are well equipped to navigate areas affected by natural disasters and provide humanitarian aid. This study aims to explore the viability of using the MQ- 8B Fire Scout in providing humanitarian aid in areas affected by natural disasters. The document provides a literature review on the use of UAVs in providing humanitarian aid when natural disasters have occurred. The study compares the viability of using MQ-8B to MH-60 in conducting rescue operations in areas affected by disasters. Significance of the Study This study was conducted to determine the effectiveness of using UAVs in providing humanitarian aid in areas affected by natural disasters. The study assists in developing general knowledge and bridge the existing gap in providing
  • 3. humanitarian aid using UAVs. The findings of this study increase knowledge of the effectiveness of UAVs in responding to natural disasters and provide more insights on useful methods to respond to affected areas. Ultimately, these insights could help develop more knowledge about the fate of UAVs associated with rescue operations. The findings of this study can be used as the basis for future studies by researchers interested in this topic. Statement of the Problem The problem to be addressed in this study is the loss of human life during natural disasters which could be prevented or reduced through enhanced delivery of humanitarian aid. According to Luo et al. (2017), the earthquake that hit Haiti in 2010 claimed approximately 160,000 lives. The 2004 Indian Ocean tsunami left approximately 360,000 people dead and more than 1,300,000 others displaced (Luo et al., 2017). While there were efforts taken to deliver humanitarian aid in both instances, the use of manned systems proved to be limited to areas that presented less risk to the rescue teams. After a natural disaster, governmental and non- governmental organizations provide significant resources for rescue and recovery missions. However, the nature of damaged infrastructure makes it impossible for response vehicles to reach the affected areas. This demonstrates the inefficiency associated with traditional methods of providing humanitarian aid in such situations. As a result, there exists a need for a more robust approach to providing humanitarian aid after natural disasters to mitigate the loss of life in the future. The use of UAVs can augment response teams in providing humanitarian help to affected areas in a cost-effective and timely manner. Purpose Statement The focus of this research was the ability of the Northrop Grumman MQ-8B Fire Scout to augment humanitarian aid operations for mitigating loss of life after natural disasters. The
  • 4. research analyzed the mishap rates of the MQ-8B compared to the MH-60, and looked at how the Fire Scout can be used mutually for military operations, as well its capacity for provisioning humanitarian aid. Given the available speed and ability of the UAV to access high-risk places, the MQ-8B Fire Scout can offer a solution to the existing problem (Gomez & Purdie, 2017). Research Question and Hypothesis This study aims to answer the following research questions (RQ): RQ1: How viable is the deployment of the MQ-8B Fire Scout for a more expedient and cost-effective solution to delivering humanitarian aid compared to using the MH-60 Sea Hawk? RQ2: What are the advantages and disadvantages that could be associated with the use of the MQ-8B Fire Scout for identifying victims, water drops for wildfire hotspots, and first aid drops for survivors post-natural disaster? The following hypothesis (H) has been formulated for the study: H0: There is no statistical difference in safety when using the Northrop Grumman MQ-8B Fire Scout when compared to manned vehicles to provide humanitarian aid in areas affected by a disaster. H1: There is a statistical difference in safety when using the Northrop Grumman MQ-8B Fire Scout when compared to manned vehicles to provide humanitarian aid in areas affected by a disaster. Delimitations This study focused only on the potential use of UAVs in rescue operations to provide humanitarian aid to individuals in areas affected by natural disasters. As a result, the study does not provide a description of how the UAVs can be used in reconnaissance missions conducted by military personnel. The study does not describe how UAVs can be used to monitor riparian areas and pollution in marine areas.
  • 5. Limitations and Assumptions One of the major limitations of the research is the significant costs associated with the use of UAVs and more so with the MQ-8B Fire Scout. Various UAVs would need to be purchased to facilitate this study. However, due to the high costs, the researchers settled on less efficient UAVs that could not provide accurate information. The physical demand of the terrain, variation in weather conditions, and less optimal use of machine tools are some of the factors that affected the study. These factors have a significant impact on situational awareness and affect how data is interpreted from UAVs. The UAVs used in the study had shorter ranges, and therefore, could not generate a great deal of information. Another key limitation of this study is observer bias that may have compromised the results. List of Acronyms AIS Automatic Identification System C2 Command and Control communication system CONOPS Concept of Operations DTM Digital Terrain Model DOD Department of Defense E.O. Electro-optical camera ELT Emergency Locator Transmitter FAA Federal Aviation Administration FEBA Forward Edge of the Battle Area FLIR Forward-Looking Infra-Red GAO Government Accountability Office GPS Global Positing Systems H Hypothesis IMINT Imagery Intelligence ISR Intelligence Surveillance Reconnaissance LCS Littoral Combat ships NCBI National Center for Biotechnology Information NTTL Naval Tactical Task List OSHA Occupational Safety and Health Administration
  • 6. RDML Rear Admiral Lower Half RQ Research question SAR Synthetic Aperture Radar SIGINT Signals Intelligence SIL System Integration Laboratories TCDL Tactical Common Data Link TRB Transportation Research Board UAVs Unmanned Aerial Vehicles VTUAV Vertical Take-Off and Landing Tactical Unmanned Aerial Vehicle 16 2 Chapter II Review of the Relevant Literature Providing humanitarian aid for people affected by natural disasters has become an issue of major concern not only to governments but also to other non-governmental organizations. Destruction of existing infrastructure by natural disasters has increased public interest in the development of effective tools to provide humanitarian aid to disaster-hit areas. According to Macias, Angeloudis, and Ochieng 2018, unmanned aerial vehicles are the logical choice for responding to natural disasters. A review of relevant research was conducted in this chapter to determine the underlying knowledge of the effectiveness of UAVs in providing humanitarian aid. This review delineates factors that may affect the optimum use of UAVs in areas affected by natural disasters. Origins of UAV and its Applications The first UAV was developed in World War I under the concept of cruise missiles to attack enemies from short distances. The
  • 7. first UAV was a wooden biplane with a range of 75 miles. This technology-focused on attacking a specific location with zero chance of return. However, by the 1950s, the United States Air Force was able to develop a UAV capable of returning after attacking a particular point. During World War II, American soldiers were able to use UAVs to spy on enemies. In the late 1960s, the United States Air Force engineers embarked on developing UAVs with better electrical systems to observe activities of the enemies with better precision (Tatsidou et al., 2019). The significant technological developments since that time have led to improved UAVs that can take part in more delicate and complex missions. The use of advanced electronic controlling systems, better radio systems, high-resolution digital cameras, sophisticated computers, and advanced Global Positing Systems (GPS) allow UAVs to conduct recovery missions effectively during natural disasters. The quality of UAVs significantly increased in the 2000s. UAVs are now used by the military, and by private firms, and by individual owner- operators. The performance of modern UAVs allows the platforms to provide humanitarian aid in areas affected by natural disasters. Cargo Delivery with UAVs Multiple studies confirm UAVs are very effective in delivering items to areas with poor transportation infrastructure. From delivering important supplies to monitoring damage by the use of cameras, UAVs can play a significant role in providing humanitarian aid. When compared to traditional vehicles, UAVs are more sophisticated due to the improved flexibility and ease of use. It is more effective and safer to use a UAV to deliver supplies in dangerous locations than sending a human being. However, UAVs are unable to carry an excessively heavy load because of their size and mostly drop cargo while in route (D'Amato, Notaro & Mattei, 2018). Unmanned aircraft designers choose to have the UAV
  • 8. release cargo on air or land for a receiver to remove the cargo. However, for delivering humanitarian aid in disaster-hit areas, UAVs are designed to drop supplies from the air. Based on the limited lifting capacity of UAVs, items must be packaged in small containers (Petrides et al., 2017). Cargo for humanitarian UAVs normally consists of blood, bandages, syringes, water purifying tablets, and medicine. Defibrillation attachments may also be included in the deliverables. These items are light in nature and can be packaged into small containers to be lifted by the UAVs. This allows the UAV to travel for long distances without losing efficiency. Impact of Weather The impact of weather on a UAV depends on the power, equipment, configuration, and size, as well as the exposure time and the severity of the weather, encountered. Most UAVs have characteristics and configurations which make the aircraft more vulnerable to extreme weather conditions compared to manned aircraft. In general, today's UAVs are more fragile, lighter, and slower, as well as more sensitive to weather conditions when compared to manned aircraft. Small UAVs are very susceptible to extreme weather conditions. Similar to manned aircraft, certain weather conditions can also affect larger UAVs making the aircraft difficult to control. (Ranquist & Steiner & Argrow, 2017). Extreme weather conditions such as snow, humidity, temperature extremes, solar storms, rain, turbulence, and wind may diminish the aerodynamic performance of UAVs, cause loss of communication, and control. These same conditions can also negatively affect the operator. Most flight regulations currently in use do not address most of the weather hazards facing UAVs. Some of the current restrictions pertaining to weather include remaining 2000 feet away from the ceiling and 500 feet below clouds, operating under the unaided visual line, and maintaining
  • 9. visibility for 4.83km (Macias, Angeloudis & Ochieng, 2018). While this eliminates issues of poor visibility, it does not help to reduce safety hazards associated with clear skies. Clear sky hazards may include turbulence, glare, and wind. Glare occurs in clear skies and may affect visibility in various ways. First, it hinders the direct observation of the UAV. On a sunny day, it may also be difficult to spot a UAV in the sky. As a result, operators must use sunglasses in order to carry out the missions effectively. Second, the operation of UAVs requires a user interface to be displayed on a tablet, phone, monitor or any other screen to allow the operator to track the UAV, change control derivatives, or send commands while receiving telemetry updates. The sun can overpower the LCD brightness of the screen, which makes it difficult for the operator to send the correct information to control the UAV. Turbulence can also affect the stability of UAVs. Multiple studies show wind accounted for more than 50% of manned aircrafts accidents. This percentage is higher for small aircraft. This demonstrates the impact turbulence may have on small- unmanned vehicles. The primary ways wind affects UAVs include reducing endurance, limiting control, and changing flight trajectory. Strong winds affect the path of a UAV. Wind speeds may also surpass the maximum speed of UAVs causing the UAV to struggle in such environments. The impact of turbulence can make it difficult for the UAVs to deliver humanitarian aid to affected areas in a timely manner. Turbulence, wind gusts, and wind shear all have the potential of affecting control of UAVs and affect an operator’s ability to complete the mission in the most effective and expedient manner. UAV control is the ability to maneuver the UAV by use of roll, pitch, and yaw. Pitch changes the attack angle for the UAV, roll rotates the UAV, and yaw changes the direction of the UAV. When the speed of the wind increases suddenly, it affects the yaw of the UAV making it difficult for the operator to control it effectively. A horizontal gust can also roll the UAV and is most dangerous when flying in areas with
  • 10. obstructions. Operational Flexibility of UAVs UAVs have increased persistence in air operations compared to manned systems making the MQ-8B ideal for conducting humanitarian aid operations. While there are theoretical and practical limits, utilizing few vehicles allows for continuous surveillance for a long period of time. The flexibility of the MQ-8B allows it and other UAVs to carry out operations when and where other manned aircraft are unable to operate. The long-endurance capabilities of UAVs allow the air vehicle to deliver humanitarian aid many hours into a flight, which could otherwise be impossible with traditional approaches. As a result, people in areas experiencing natural disasters may receive supplies continuously. While both unmanned and manned air operations can be coordinated by multiple people, not having a physical operator in the vehicle allows multiple operators to share direct controls. The user with the immediate need or situational awareness may assume full control of the UAV. This capability significantly reduces the timelines of coordination between the UAV and ground users. With the dire need associated with response missions, UAVs are better suited to provide humanitarian aid when compared to the traditional methods, which normally takes a significant amount of time to reach those affected. UAV legislation and regulation Environment The ability to use UAVs for disaster response in the United States is largely limited by the Federal Aviation Administration (FAA). The current FAA policy for operating unmanned aerial vehicles in the United States requires a specific authority to operate one. In general, any use of UAV requires an airworthiness certification. However, potential users of UAVs face significant regulatory challenges in the United States. The law requires UAVs to include registration numbers in their markings. Operation circular 91-57 describes the differences
  • 11. between non-hobby use and hobby use of UAVs and operating restrictions. The FAA has implemented various orders to restrict the operation of UAVs. Local governments have developed legislation that describes the potential use of UAVs in emergency situations. Various municipalities including Syracuse, New York, and Charlottesville, Virginia, have implemented further restrictions such as city purchases of UAVs. Serious concerns about data collection and privacy have erupted in the United States. The FAA developed a restriction for privacy in areas of UAVs operations. Until the private use regulation and legislation issues surrounding the adoption of UAVs are resolved, it will be difficult to use them in first response situations. While these challenges exist, researchers need to explore methods in which UAVs can be used to provide humanitarian aid during natural disasters. Human Factors In most cases, designers develop controls that work very well in labs but fail in a real-world situation. The expectation is, through training and familiarization, humans will be able to learn and adapt to the controls and displays. However, this approach is deemed to fail if used in the development of a human-machine interface. As the capabilities of UAVs increase every day, the vehicle complexity is also increased. The need to use automation and advanced technology has also increased. While these systems are unmanned, it is important to keep in mind humans are involved in the control and operation of UAVs (Hildmann & Kovacs, 2019). The lack of standardization across different UAV human- machine interfaces results in increased time of training for one system and increased difficulty in transition to other systems. Poor optimization of information results in the difficulty of interpreting system information needed for situational awareness that supports decision making in stressful situations. Lack of adaptability and flexibility in UAVs often lead to poor
  • 12. displays and ultimately to poor situational awareness. Lack of basic sensory cues makes it even more difficult to use UAVs in response missions. The cues which are relevant in manned aircraft suddenly become irrelevant in UAVs (Estrada & Ndoma, 2019). These cues are currently missing in UAVs and need to be incorporated for increased efficiency. The development of UAVs that consider the end-user could increase the effectiveness in responding to natural disasters. This implies designing human-machine interfaces that are intuitive, functional, and user-friendly that allow easy extraction of relevant information by operators. With the current technological advancements, it is possible to design intuitive and functional interfaces that utilize the available cues to maintain high levels of situational awareness needed for effective, efficient, and safe control of UAVs. This allows operators to understand various aspects of UAVs and enables deployment in dangerous areas such as locations affected by natural disasters. Sensing and Processing The success of providing humanitarian aid to areas affected by natural disasters requires the equipment to have the appropriate sensors, and to be at the right place, at the right time. This is important particularly in response situations where emergency signals, remoteness, weather, and terrain differ significantly. Even if the UAV is at the right place at the right time, it will be rendered ineffective without the right sensors. The initial phase of a rescue mission is the most critical and requires UAVs to have appropriate sensors. A single UAV may use various sensors that allow it to come up with a general picture of the situation (Grogan, Pellerin & Gamache, 2018). Since the strength of signals is inversely proportional to the square of the distance, unmanned aerial vehicles designed to provide humanitarian aid in areas experiencing natural disasters need to have stronger signals than ground station receivers and satellites. The signal can be triangulated by multiple UAVs if
  • 13. sent in a digital format. In cases where Emergency Locator Transmitter (ELT) are not transmitting or activated, infrared sensors can be used to search the location of the UAV. Fortunately, sensors in the infrared and low light wavelength have significantly decreased physical dimensions and costs. Onboard automation will be very important for effective UAV operations in extreme conditions. Mobile Wireless Access Networks Compared to traditional static sensors, UAVs are still more costly. Considering the infrastructure needed to respond to such cases is currently being met by the existing infrastructure, it is justified that most studies focus on the immediate aftermath of a natural disaster. UAVs can be used to develop a communication center to provide victims in an affected area with wireless communication. Additionally, UAVs can allow people trapped in areas affected by natural calamities to communicate with the emergency control center for rescue (Grogan, Pellerin & Gamache, 2018). One of the benefits of such a system is it serves those only in the affected location, and this can maximize performance. Safety of UAVs The use of UAVs in rescue operations depends on its ability to safely operate in the shared aviation environment. As a result, the UAVs must demonstrate the ability to ensure safety both for people on the ground and other aircraft. However, there are various safety risks associated with UAVs which are different from those presented by manned vehicles. The risk of pilots losing their lives in flight is reduced because UAVs do not have occupants. The use of manned vehicles, on the other hand, implies people will need to use vehicles for movement to areas affected by natural disasters. As a result, the lives of the rescue teams are at risk (Estrada & Ndoma, 2019). UAV designers are aware of the safety concerns associated with these systems, and more so concerning the poor reliability
  • 14. of such systems in extreme conditions. The designers understand political support and public trust would fade away in case of an accident. For this reason, safety remains a top priority for the UAV community. UAVs have the potential to provide considerable safety benefits in disaster response operations. Significant technological developments have the potential to improve safety associated with UAVs. Advances in monitoring systems, data exchange networks, communication, sensor detection systems, and automation will have positive impacts on UAVs and the UAV community. Automated takeoff eliminates the possibility of accidents for operators (Escribano Macias, Angeloudis & Ochieng, 2018). UAVs use the same airspace as other aircraft. As a result, there are high chances of collision in the airspace. Numerous studies by research institutions, universities, industry, and governments across the world have focused on how collisions can be avoided in the airspace. While avoiding collisions is a difficult task, the UAV community has developed to see and avoid capabilities that allow the operators to avoid obstructions. The distance of 25 feet for detecting obstructions has been clearly provided by the FAA regulations. The FAA calls for operators to maintain vigilance to detect and avoid collisions with obstructions while flying UAVs. Aviation Aerospace Safety systems and Unmanned Aerospace systems The use of unmanned aerospace systems (UAS) has increased significantly over the past few years. This has raised significant safety issues concerning UAS. Different countries have developed policies to govern the operation of UAS in the aviation aerospace to enhance safety and security. Various safety initiatives have been developed, most notably the Commercial Aviation Safety Team (CAST) and the European Strategic Safety Initiative (ESSI). The purpose of CAST is to reduce the fatality rate associated with commercial aviation by 80%. The ESSI aims to enhance safety for European citizens
  • 15. through safety analysis and coordination with other global safety initiatives. Summary The review of the literature indicates current research studies explore the effectiveness of using UAVs in conducting reconnaissance missions. However, there is a gap in research focused on the effectiveness of using UAVs to provide humanitarian aid during and after natural disasters. There is limited research comparing the effectiveness of using UAVs to conduct rescue and recovery missions compared to the use of manned vehicles. There is also limited research focused on determining the costs and benefits of utilizing emergency response vehicles and UAVs in responding to natural disasters. This study determines the resourcefulness of using UAVs in responding to natural disasters while simultaneously providing economic benefits. The study increases understanding to bridge the existing gap in providing humanitarian aid using UAVs. The findings of this study increase knowledge on the effectiveness of UAVs in responding to natural disasters and provide more insights that can be used to respond to affected areas. Ultimately, these insights could help develop more knowledge regarding the fate associated with rescue operations. The findings of this study can be used as the basis for future studies by researchers interested in this topic.Chapter III Methodology Research Approach The purpose of this quantitative study was to explore the effectiveness of the MQ-8B and MH-60. A systematic review of extant literature was conducted. This systematic and progressive survey is comprised of underlying structured analyses and methodologies that investigate and report topic-specific studies regarding objectivity, replicability, transparency, and the comprehensiveness of the research. The emergence of UAVs has
  • 16. posed critical challenges. Control and monitoring of UAVs require the increased autonomy of fleets and a reduction of workload for operators (Cassingham, 2016). The establishment of the relevant mission model for the MQ-8B is therefore significant, not only for planning and specification, but also for control and monitoring. The relevant mission model provides leverage for mission and fleet states, thereby offering the operator the necessary information on the mission. This section undertakes the proposed methodology of the study aiming to explore the viability of using the MQ-8B Fire Scout in providing humanitarian aid in areas affected by natural disasters. The study also compared the practicality of using MQ-8B to MH-60 in conducting rescue operations in areas affected by disasters. Apparatus and materials Microsoft Excel was used to organize the data of different UAVs for conducting various humanitarian aid operations. SPSS software was used SPSS to conduct a descriptive analysis. Quantitative research methods were applied in the assessment of the existing data on the usability of UAVs in disaster bound areas. A mathematical model was used to establish and replicate mishaps which might occur during humanitarian aid operations using MQ-8B Fire Scout and the MH-60 Seahawk. The method of casting leveraged the objective data and existing evidence concerning the prospects of employing UAVs in disaster- stricken areas (Gomez & Purdie, 2017). However, based on the expanse of this research and its realities, a quantitative method may not be sufficient to adequately justify the hypothesis due to the subjectivity and inability to address the research themes outlined in chapter one. In the wake of a disaster, from dangerous hurricanes, earthquakes, cyclone storms, wildfires, and delivering toilet paper to prevent the spread of viruses like COVID-19 (Canales, 2020), the models of undertaking humanitarian aid operations using UAVs must now address the entire purview of objectivity
  • 17. and subjectivity. For this reason, the study adopted quantitative methods for conducting data collection and forecasting. The MQ-8B Fire Scout and the MH-60 Seahawk have been utilized by disaster relief organizations in the United States and beyond for more than 15 years. However, the niche in the disaster response environment, the utility, ethical considerations, standardization and the legal challenges of the application of UAVs has remained vastly unexplored. The quantitative method illustrates or outlines how UAVs have been utilized by various teams of responders to assess damages during disasters such as Hurricanes Harvey and Irma in 2017. … American Journal of Botany 95(1): 66–76. 2008. 66 Movement of seeds from their collection site to other environ- ments within a species range for reforestation or restoration may increase the risk of maladaptation ( Campbell, 1979 ). Reduced growth or mortality resulting from maladaptation could reduce the success of restoration projects, and gene fl ow from maladapted planted trees into adjacent native populations could negatively affect adaptation to local conditions ( McKay et al., 2005 ). How- ever, the planting of individuals adapted to new environmental conditions, e.g., a warmer climate, could be a method to facilitate migration and provide a source of genotypes well adapted to local populations. Seed transfer should be guided by natural levels of genetic variation and local adaptation in quantitative traits spe-
  • 18. cifi c to the species in question ( Morgenstern, 1996 ; Hufford and Mazer, 2003 ; McKay et al., 2005 ). Understanding genetic struc- ture is also necessary for managing breeding programs, evaluat- ing conservation of genetic resources, and predicting the possible effects of climate change ( St. Clair et al., 2005 ). The ranges of many trees species are predicted to shift higher in latitude and elevation as a result of climate change ( Davis and Shaw, 2001 ; Hamann and Wang, 2006 ). However, at a local scale, projected vegetation responses include a combination of eleva- tional, aspect, and microsite adjustments because the location of suitable conditions for each taxon shifts within a region ( Bartlein et al., 1997 ). The potential impacts of predicted warming under- score the importance of understanding genetic structure and adap- tation of populations to their local environment. For species threatened by pests and diseases in addition to climate change, minimizing maladaptation may mean the difference between es- tablishing or maintaining viable populations and local extirpation. Whitebark pine ( Pinus albicaulis Engelm., Pinaceae) is a high elevation, fi ve-needle pine, and the only North American member of the stone pines ( Pinus subsection Cembrae ) ( Arno and Hoff, 1989 ; Price et al., 1998 ; but see Gernandt et al., 2005 ). Although of little commercial value, it has tremendous ecologi-
  • 19. cal value and is considered a keystone species ( Tomback et al., 2001 ). The large, wingless seeds of whitebark pine are an im- portant food source for the Clark ’ s nutcracker ( Nucifragia co- lumbiana Wilson), which is its primary dispersal agent and mutualist ( Tomback, 1978 ; Hutchins and Lanner, 1982 ; Lanner, 1982 ; Tomback, 1982 ). However, whitebark pine is in decline throughout most of its range from a synergism of natural and human-driven causes. Outbreaks of mountain pine beetle ( Dendroctonus ponderosae Hopkins) and decades of fi re sup- pression have led to mortality and successional replacement by shade-tolerant species. However, the greatest agent driving the current decline is the introduced disease white pine blister rust (caused by the fungus Cronartium ribicola J. C. Fisch. ex Rabh.). Scientists agree that whitebark pine ecosystems require immediate restoration to reduce the effects of fi re exclusion and blister rust ( McCool and Freimund, 2001 ). Silvicultural tech- niques can be used to encourage natural regeneration, but in stands with a compromised seed source or those that need to be regenerated quickly, planting seedlings (if available) is the sug- gested restoration practice ( Hoff et al., 2001 ), using blister- rust- resistant seedlings when they are available. There is a widespread need for restoration and often a limited supply of seed for white- bark pine, thus geographic guidelines on seed transfer are needed for restoration and conservation of this species. 1 Manuscript received 21 September 2006; revision accepted 8 November 2007. The authors thank the USDA Forest Service regions one, fi ve, and six;
  • 20. the British Columbia Ministry of Forests; E. C. Manning and Tweedsmuir Provincial Parks of British Columbia; and B. Brett of Snowline Ecological Consulting, Whistler, B.C. for seed. Many people provided assistance to this project, including D. Kolotelo, J. Tuytel, C. Chourmouzis, D. Watson, K. Keir, M. Harrison, D. Szohner, P. Smets, J. Krakowski, S, Trehearne, and all of the members of the Aitken laboratory at UBC. Climate data were provided by Drs. T. Wang and G. Rehfeldt. Funding for this study came from the British Columbia Forestry Investment Account through the Forest Genetics Council of B.C. to the Centre for Forest Conservation Genetics at UBC. Thank you to Drs. A. Yanchuk, M. Whitlock, J. Whitton, Y. El- Kassaby, S. Graham, D. Tomback, B. St. Clair, and an anonymous reviewer for their helpful comments on earlier drafts of this manuscript. 2 Author for correspondence (e-mail: [email protected]) ECOLOGICAL GENETICS AND SEED TRANSFER GUIDELINES FOR PINUS ALBICAULIS (PINACEAE) 1 ANDREW D. BOWER 2 AND SALLY N. AITKEN Centre for Forest Conservation Genetics, Department of Forest Sciences, University of British Columbia, 3401-2424 Main Mall, Vancouver, British Columbia V6T 1Z4 Canada
  • 21. Whitebark pine ( Pinus albicaulis Engelm.) has greatly declined throughout its range as a result of introduced disease, fi re sup- pression, and other factors, and climate change is predicted to accelerate this decline. Restoration is needed; however, no informa- tion regarding the degree of local adaptation is available to guide these efforts. A seedling common-garden experiment was employed to assess genetic diversity and geographic differentiation ( Q ST ) of whitebark pine for traits involved in growth and ad- aptation to cold and to determine climatic variables revealing local adaptation. Seedlings from 48 populations were grown for two years and measured for height increment, biomass, root to shoot ratio, date of needle fl ush, fall and spring cold injury, and survival. Signifi cant variation was observed among populations for most traits. The Q ST was low (0.07 – 0.14) for growth traits and moderate (0.36 – 0.47) for cold adaptation related traits, but varied by region. Cold adaptation traits were strongly correlated with mean temperature of the coldest month of population origins, while growth traits were generally correlated with growing season length. We recommend that seed transfer for restoration favor seed movement from milder to colder climates to a maximum of 1.9 ° C in mean annual temperature in the northern portion of the species range, and 1.0 ° C in the U. S. Rocky Mountains to avoid maladapta- tion to current conditions yet facilitate adaptation to future climates.
  • 22. Key words: genetic variation; geographic differentiation; local adaptation; Pinus albicaulis ; quantitative traits; seed transfer; whitebark pine; white pine blister rust. 67January 2008] BOWER AND AITKEN — ECOLOGICAL GENETICS OF WHITEBARK PINE eight replications had ambient soil temperature (ambient treatment) and the re- maining four replications (cold treatment) had cooled water pumped through hoses buried approximately 25 cm below the surface, which kept soil tempera- ture consistently ~8 ° C cooler during the warmest part of the day. Populations that were represented in fewer than half of the replications (i.e., < 4 in the ambi- ent or < 2 in the cold treatment) because of mortality were excluded from the analysis. The fi nal data set included 40 populations in the ambient treatment and 37 in the cold treatment, with 33 populations common to both treatments ( Table 2 ). The AlphaPlus program ( Mann, 1996 ) was used to design the plant- ing layout and assign seedlings randomly within replications. Seedlings were planted at 9.5 × 10 cm spacing, with one row of buffer trees surrounding each raised nursery bed for which data were not collected. They were kept well wa- tered and were fertilized and weeded as needed to provide conditions optimal
  • 23. for growth for most temperate conifers. Timing of initiation of growth in the spring was observed for 2003 and 2004, and at the end of the 2004 growing season, survival, height growth, aboveground and belowground oven-dry bio- mass of seedlings were measured on all replications. Artifi cial freeze testing was performed on 5-mm needle segments from all seedlings in the ambient treatment in three replications in the fall of 2003 and four replications in the spring of 2004. The electrolyte leakage method was used to quantify cold in- jury. Details of cold hardiness testing are given in Bower and Aitken (2006) . The fi nal data set contained 10 quantitative variables; data from all trees in both temperature treatments were available for third-year height increment, root biomass, shoot biomass, total biomass, root to shoot ratio, date of needle fl ush in 2003 and 2004 ( Table 3 ). Measurements of fall and spring cold injury were available from the ambient treatment only. In addition, the percentage survival in each soil temperature treatment was tested for treatment effects. Data analysis — SAS version 8 ( SAS Institute, 1999 ) was used for all statisti- cal analyses. Preliminary analysis showed an increase in variability of residuals with an increase in predicted values, so a natural-log transformation was ap-
  • 24. plied to height increment, root, shoot, and total biomass, and root to shoot ratio for all analyses, which helped to equalize variance. For testing for differences between soil temperature treatments and genotype-by- environment interactions in the quantitative traits, PROC MIXED was used with the following model for populations included in both treatments: y ijklmn = µ + t i + r ( t ) ij + b ( rt ) ijk + p l + pt il + pr ( t ) ijl + f ( p ) l m + e ijklmn , (Eq. 1) where y ijklmn is the observed value for tree n in family m w ithin population l in incomplete block k in rep j in soil temperature i , µ is the overall mean, t i is the effect of temperature i, r ( t ) ij is the effect of rep j nested within temperature i , b ( rt ) ijk is the effect of incomplete block k nested within rep j within tem- perature i, p l is the effect of population l , pt il is the interaction of temperature i and population l , pr ( t ) ijl is the interaction of population l and rep j within temperature i , f ( p ) lm is the effect of family m nested within population l , and e ijlkmn Temperature, population, and population-by- temperature interaction were considered fi xed, while all other effects were considered random. The same model was used to analyze each geographic region separately. Population Genetic variation and population differentiation have been assessed in whitebark pine using molecular markers and mono-
  • 25. terpenes ( Yandell, 1992 ; Jorgensen and Hamrick, 1997 ; Brued- erle et al., 1998 ; Stuart-Smith, 1998 ; Rogers et al., 1999 ; Krakowski et al., 2003 ), and results have indicated average to above average expected heterozygosity compared to other pines (average H e of 0.16 for whitebark pine vs. 0.13 – 0.16 for pines in general [Ledig, 1998]). Population differentiation in white- bark pine was reported to be low to moderate in all studies ( F ST or G ST < 0.09) ( Table 1 ), with signifi cant evidence of inbreed- ing ( F is signifi cantly greater than zero). Populations in the northern (western British Columbia), eastern (Rocky Moun- tains), and southern regions of the species range (California and Oregon) are differentiated for monoterpenes ( Zavarin et al., 1991 ), isozymes ( Yandell, 1992 ) and organelle DNA ( Richard- son et al., 2002b ). However, levels of genetic variation and population differentiation in phenotypic traits potentially in- volved in local adaptation in whitebark pine have not previ- ously been determined. In this study, we analyze geographic variation and genetic differentiation in phenotypic seedling traits in a common-gar- den experiment in whitebark pine and evaluate degree of local adaptation to climate for the purpose of developing seed trans- fer recommendations and predicting the ability of whitebark pine to adapt to climate change. MATERIALS AND METHODS Sample materials — Open-pollinated seeds from 48 populations of white- bark pine from across most of the species range ( Table 2, Fig. 1 ) were germi-
  • 26. nated in 2002 following seed stratifi cation using the protocol described by Burr et al. (2001) . Germinants were sown into individual 10 in 3 (164 cm 3 ) Ray Leach Cone-tainer super cells (Stuewe and Sons, Corvallis, Oregon, USA) for their fi rst growing season. In November 2002, 10-mo-old seedlings were trans- planted into a raised nursery bed common garden in Vancouver, British Colum- bia (49 ° 13 ’ N, 123 ° 6 ’ W) and grown for two growing seasons. Seedlings were planted in an incomplete block alpha design ( Patterson and Williams, 1976 ) with 12 replications, and 10 four-tree by four-tree incomplete blocks within replications. Each replication contained 160 test trees, with populations repre- sented by 1 – 18 families (mean 7.9, SE 0.37), with each family usually repre- sented once per replication. Because temperatures in Vancouver are higher than those in the native environment, two temperature treatments were imposed: TABLE 1. Reported values of genetic differentiation for whitebark pine ( Pinus albicaulis) and other stone pine ( Pinus subsection Cembrae ) species. Populations Species Area F ST or G ST Reference 14 P. albicaulis BC, ID, MT, OR 0.075 A. Bower unpublished manuscript 30 P. albicaulis USA rangewide and northern AB 0.034 Jorgensen and Hamrick 1997 14 P. albicaulis USA Great Basin 0.088 Yandell 1992
  • 27. 29 P. albicaulis Canadian Rockies 0.062 Stuart-Smith 1998 17 P. albicaulis British Columbia 0.061 Krakowski et al. 2003 18 P. albicaulis Rangewide 0.046 a Richardson et al. 2002b 8 P. sibirica Russia ~0.042 Goncharenko et al. 1993b 11 P. sibirica Russia 0.025 Krutovskii et al. 1995 P. koraiensis Coastal Russia 0.016 Potenko and Velikov 2001 19 P. koraiensis Russia 0.015 Potenko and Velikov 1998 3 P. koraiensis Russian far east 0.040 Krutovskii et al. 1995 5 P. pumila Russia 0.043 Goncharenko et al. 1993a 3 P. pumila Kamchatka penn., Russia 0.021 Krutovskii et al. 1995 18 P. pumila Japan 0.170 Tani et al. 1996 5 P. cembra Alps and eastern Carpathians, Ukraine 0.040 Belokon et al. 2005 Notes: AB = Alberta, BC = British Columbia, Canada; ID = Idaho, MT = Montana, USA. a Φ ST from cpDNA microsatellite data 68 AMERICAN JOURNAL OF BOTANY [Vol. 95 genetic variance. In this study the variance component for population ( σ 2 p ) was used as the among-population variance, and three times the variance compo- nent for family within-population (3 σ 2 f ( p ) ) was used as the within-population variance. The within-population genetic variation was approximated as three times the family variance instead of four as is used for true half-sibs, because open-pollinated progeny of whitebark pine are more closely
  • 28. related than half- sibs due to moderate inbreeding and correlated paternity ( Squillace, 1974 ; Kra- kowski et al., 2003 ; Bower and Aitken, 2007 ). Values of Q ST were compared to all published estimates for whitebark pine for genetic markers ( F ST or G ST ). Climatic variables used in the analyses were mean annual tempera- ture, mean temperature of the coldest month, mean temperature of the warmest month, mean annual precipitation, mean summer precipitation, annual heat : moisture index, summer heat : moisture index, and frost-free period. Cli- matic variables for populations north of 48 ° N were obtained from PRISM cli- matic data corrected for local elevation using the Climate BC model described by Wang et al. (2006a) . For populations south of 48 ° N, climatic data were means were used to test for differences between treatments for survival percent- age using the above model with only the temperature and population effects, and their interaction. To test differences among populations within each soil temperature, PROC MIXED was used with the REML variance component estimator and the fol- lowing model: y ijklm = µ + r i + b ( r ) ij + p k + rp ik + f ( p )
  • 29. kl + e ijklm , (Eq. 2) where terms for each effect are the same as in Eq. 1 without the effect of soil temperature. All terms were considered random except for population, which was fi xed. To obtain estimates of variance components, the analysis was re- peated with all effects considered random. Genetic differentiation among populations was estimated for all quantitative traits by calculation of Q ST ( Spitze, 1993 ): Q ST = σ 2 b / ( σ 2 b + 2 σ 2 w ), where σ 2 b is the among-population variance and σ 2 w is the within- population additive TABLE 2. Pinus albicaulis populations, number of seedlings tested, geographic and climatic data. Site no. Region Name No. trees Lat. o N Long. o W Elev. (m) MAT ( ° C) MTWM ( ° C) MTCM ( ° C) FFP (d) SH:MAmbient Cold 1 N Serb Creek 5 10 54.71 127.57 1385 0.7 11.4 − 10.7 52 32.7 2 N Hunters Basin 13 29 54.53 127.18 1446 0.3 11.1 − 11 48 34.8 3 N Morice Lake 2 — 54.04 127.48 1231 0.6 11.3 − 11.1 31 44.9 4 N Kimsquit river 1 — 53.19 127.18 900 3 12.5 − 7.2 83 32.9 5 N Heckman Pass 6 — 52.52 125.82 1526 0 9.9 − 10.6 58 46.8 6 N Perkins Peak 3 1 51.83 125.05 1916 − 1.8 7.9 − 11.5 35
  • 30. 31.9 7 N Jesamond 42 19 51.27 121.87 1846 0.9 11.4 − 9.1 45 45 8 N Lime Mtn. 19 13 51.10 121.67 1900 0.5 11.1 − 9.4 39 52.9 9 N Darcy 46 9 50.53 122.58 1800 0.5 11.7 − 9.8 46.1 45.3 10 N Blackcomb 57 40 50.10 122.90 1908 0.6 10 − 7.5 43.7 22.4 11 N Thynne Mtn. 20 1 49.71 120.92 1785 1.9 12.7 − 7.7 48.8 27.4 12 N Manning Park 93 40 49.10 120.67 2000 0.3 10.8 − 8.6 43.8 48.1 13 N Baldy 14 — 49.17 119.25 2154 1.2 12.1 − 8.6 39.6 37.5 14 R Copper Butte 11 9 48.70 118.46 2185 − 0.5 10.4 − 10.2 48.2 30.7 15 R Colville 6 4 48.66 118.46 2154 − 0.1 10.7 − 10.1 49 32.5 16 R Snow Peak — 7 48.58 118.48 2185 0.5 11.2 − 9.7 48.7 35.6 17 R Salmo Mtn. 13 11 48.97 117.10 2092 0 10.7 − 9.3 61.2 21.2 18 R Hooknose Mtn. — 2 48.94 117.43 2215 0.5 11.5 − 8.9 54 28.8 19 R Farnham Ridge 31 26 48.84 116.51 1846 1.5 12.4 − 8.3 70.6 35.4 20 R North Baldy — 7 48.55 117.16 1877 2.6 13.9 − 7 89 41.6 21 R Lunch Peak 37 14 48.38 116.19 1846 2.1 12.4 − 6.6 84 23.9 22 R Our Lake 6 13 47.84 112.81 2277 0.2 11.4 − 9.6 31.3 35.1 23 R Sheep Shed 22 19 47.52 112.80 2154 1 12.3 − 8.9 33.4 43.5 24 R Granite Butte 19 8 46.87 112.47 2338 0.5 12 − 9.1 32.8 47.1 25 R Blacklead Mtn. 23 41 46.64 114.86 2062 1.2 12.3 − 8.1 32.1 26.2 26 R Gospel Peak 22 16 45.63 115.95 2154 1 11.9 − 8.3 26.4 33.9 27 R Heavens Gate 10 3 45.38 116.51 2154 1.2 12.3 − 8.3 40.6 49.2
  • 31. 28 R Mudd Ridge 23 15 45.90 113.45 2400 0.2 11.8 − 9.5 17.5 29 29 R Quartz Hill 27 44 45.71 112.93 2646 − 0.8 10.9 − 10.2 15.8 37 30 R Little Bear 22 26 45.40 111.28 2154 2.1 14.4 − 8.9 40.5 43.4 31 R Picket Pin 4 1 45.44 110.05 2892 − 1.8 9.9 − 11 20.6 24.9 32 R Hellroaring II 20 24 45.04 109.45 2892 − 1.4 10.3 − 10.4 21.7 36.5 33 R Sawtel Peak 26 18 44.54 111.41 2400 − 0.1 12.9 − 11.9 25.9 45.8 34 R Vinegar Hill 14 26 44.72 118.57 2338 0.5 11.4 − 8.6 39.8 54.1 35 S Mt. Hood 20 22 45.39 121.66 1969 1.7 10.8 − 4.9 48.4 15 36 S Newberry Crater 30 13 43.72 121.23 2100 2.9 12.9 − 4.7 45.5 58.1 37 S Paulina Peak 18 11 43.69 121.25 2250 2 11.9 − 5.3 42.3 59.6 38 S Batchelor Butte 16 1 43.26 122.68 2200 1.9 10.7 − 3.9 44.1 40 39 S Tipsoo Peak — 13 43.22 122.04 2462 0.7 10 − 5.4 34.4 35.3 40 S Moon Mtn. 6 4 43.20 122.65 2201 1.9 10.8 − 3.9 43.9 45.2 41 S Pelican Butte 40 17 42.51 122.15 2462 1.1 10.4 − 5 35.2 50.6 42 S Ball Mtn. 22 15 41.80 122.16 2363 2.2 11.4 − 4.4 39.1 107.1 43 S Goosenest Summit 6 6 41.72 122.23 2506 1.5 10.6 − 4.6 35.3 99.3 44 S Drakes Peak 26 16 42.30 120.15 2462 2.5 13.1 − 5.3 48.1 80.3 45 S Crane Mountain 19 22 42.07 120.24 2538 2.2 12.7 − 5.6 46.3 72.4 46 S Mt. Rose 11 — 39.30 119.90 2754 2.4 12.6 − 4.8 61 88.4 47 S Stevens Peak 7 — 38.70 119.98 2923 1.6 11 − 5.2 46.6
  • 32. 61.6 48 S Ebbetts Pass 2 — 38.50 119.80 2769 2.5 12 − 4.4 46.9 72 Notes: Region: N = northern, R = Rocky Mountain, S = southern; Lat. = latitude, Long. = longitude, Elev. = elevation, See Table 3 for abbreviations and explanation of variables. 69January 2008] BOWER AND AITKEN — ECOLOGICAL GENETICS OF WHITEBARK PINE treatment had fewer replications, lack of cold injury testing, and the absence of a few key populations at the northern and southern ends of the range compared to the ambient treatment, thus only data from the ambient treatment were used in the canonical correlation analysis. Climatic data and least- squares population means for each seedling phenotypic trait demonstrating signifi cant ( P ≤ 0.05) population differentiation were included in this analysis. Canonical redundancy analysis was used to determine the proportion of variation in phenotypic traits accounted for by canonical correlations with the climatic or geographic data sets. To assess potential differences in relationships between seedling pheno- typic traits and climatic variables between the two soil temperature treatments, canonical correlation analysis was repeated for the two treatments separately using only the populations common to both.
  • 33. To develop predictive equations for the construction of seed transfer guide- lines, values of signifi cant canonical variables for the seedling phenotypic traits were regressed on the standardized climatic variable with the highest loading for that canonical variable. The slope of this regression estimates the rate of change in the phenotypic canonical variable relative to the selected climatic variable. Rates of differentiation along climatic gradients were interpreted rela- tive to the least signifi cant difference among populations at the 20% level (least signifi cant difference: LSD 0.2). This conservatively reduces type II error (ac- cepting no differences among populations when differences actually exist) and minimizes maladaptation risk accordingly ( Rehfeldt, 1991 ). Values of LSD for the phenotypic canonical variables were obtained from a Duncan ’ s multiple range test in PROC GLM using the model for testing variation among popula- tions described. The fl oating seed transfer model developed by Rehfeldt (1991 , 1994 ) was used to determine seed transfer guidelines for restoration programs of whitebark pine. The maximum recommended environmental transfer dis- tance between seed collection population and planting site was calculated as the difference in the standardized climate variable associated with the LSD ( P = 0.20) value of the phenotypic canonical variable multiplied by
  • 34. the standard deviation of the climate variable. Univariate regressions of climate variables on latitude, longitude, and elevation were used to determine the geographic dis- tances associated with the rates of differentiation in climate variables to make simple seed transfer recommendations. RESULTS Soil temperature effects — Height increment and survival were signifi cantly greater, on average, in the cold treatment than in the ambient treatment (least squares mean = 6.7 and 8.9 mm, P = 0.04 for height increment and 66.9 and 82.3%, P < 0.001 for survival, in the ambient and cold treatment respectively). Means for biomass traits were also greater in the cold treatment, and the temperature treatment difference greater for root mass than shoot mass, although the difference between treatments for these traits was not signifi cant. The date of needle fl ush did not differ signifi cantly between treatments. Population-by-treat- ment interaction was not signifi cant for any of the traits. The foliage of seedlings in the cold temperature treatments gener- ally appeared darker green and healthier than those in the ambi- ent treatment. No treatment-specifi c geographic trends were evident, and separate canonical correlation analyses of individ- ual treatments yielded the same results. Geographic patterns across the species range — In general, seedlings from populations originating from colder climates had less overall growth, earlier needle fl ush in spring, and less cold injury in fall than seedlings originating from milder cli- mates when grown in the common garden. Populations differed
  • 35. signifi cantly in the ambient soil temperature treatment for all variables except root : shoot ratio and spring cold injury ( Table 5 ). Despite a lack of signifi cant differences among populations in the ANOVA, root : shoot ratio differed signifi cantly among populations in a Duncan ’ s multiple range test. Growth-related traits generally had low levels of population differentiation (0 ≤ Q ST ≤ 0.14), while the cold-adaptation re- lated traits (date of needle fl ush and fall cold injury) showed obtained from a model using the thin plate splines of Hutchinson (2000) as il- lustrated for North America by McKinney et al. (2001) . Clines in quantitative traits can be obscured when there are correlations among traits or if geographi- cal structure is complex. In these cases, canonical correlation analysis is more effi cient than regressing each trait on environmental variables separately ( West- fall, 1992 ). Several of the seedling phenotypic traits and climatic or geographic variables were strongly intercorrelated ( Table 4 ), so canonical correlation anal- ysis was used to examine the relationships among these variables. The cold Fig. 1. Distribution of Pinus albicaulis and locations of populations tested in common-garden experiment. Dashed lines separate the southern,
  • 36. Rocky Mountain and northern regions. TABLE 3. Description of (A) quantitative and (B) climatic variables. A) Quantitative trait Abbreviation Unit 3rd year height increment HTINC millimeters Total dry biomass TDM grams Root dry biomass RM grams Shoot dry biomass SM grams Root : shoot ratio RSR unitless 2003 Date of needle fl ush FL03 days from Jan. 1 2004 Date of needle fl ush FL04 days from Jan. 1 Fall cold injury FCI index of injury (%) Spring cold injury SCI index of injury (%) B) Climatic variable Mean annual temperature MAT ° C Mean temperature, warmest month MTWM ° C Mean temperature, coldest month MTCM ° C Mean annual precipitation MAP millimeters Mean summer precipitation MSP millimeters Annual heat : moisture index AH:M [(MAT + 10)/(MAP/1000)] Summer heat : moisture index SH:M [(MWMT/(MSP/1000)] Frost-free period FFP days 70 AMERICAN JOURNAL OF BOTANY [Vol. 95 nifi cant ( P = 0.006) and accounted for an additional 15% of the variation. The second pair of variables demonstrates the posi-
  • 37. tive relationship between the length of the frost-free period and growth, both height and biomass ( Table 6 ). The regression of the second phenotypic canonical score on frost-free period was also signifi cant ( P = 0.001) but weak ( r 2 = 0.24). Canonical re- dundancy analysis showed that the fi rst two climatic canonical variables account for 24 and 17% (41% total) of the variation in population phenotypic trait means, indicating substantial ge- netic structure along climatic gradients. Regional patterns of variation — When populations were analyzed separately by region, some broad-scale geographic differences in patterns of population differentiation emerged ( Table 7 ). In the ambient soil temperature treatment, in the northern region, signifi cant differences were detected among populations for all three biomass traits. In the Rocky Mountain region, only date of needle fl ush in 2004 varied signifi cantly among populations, while in the southern region, only date of moderate to strong differentiation among populations regard- less of treatment (0.36 ≤ Q ST ≤ 0.65). A comparison of Q ST values with previously published values of F ST for whitebark pine ( Table 1 ) shows that the phenotypic traits with the weakest differentiation are similar to the highest estimates of differen- tiation in presumably neutral molecular markers from rangewide studies ( Jorgensen and Hamrick, 1997 ; Richardson et al., 2002b ), and the quantitative traits with the strongest differentia- tion have substantially higher Q ST estimates. In the canonical correlation analysis of population means for seedling phenotypic traits and climatic variables for population origins, the fi rst canonical correlation was signifi cantly differ- ent from zero ( P < 0.0001) and explained 72% of the variance
  • 38. in the data. The fi rst pair of canonical variables summarizes relationships between cold-related phenotypic traits and mean temperature of the coldest month ( Table 6 ). Mean temperature of the … A brief primer on statistical analysis For this lab, you will be performing statistical analyses, with the help of some Excel tools. If you have already taken FRST231 or are presently taking it, this should be a refresher for you. Otherwise, you may not have ever performed statistical analysis, and will come across some confusing terms and numbers you may not know how to interpret. Hopefully this will clear up some confusion. Why do we need to use statistics? In this lab, we are seeking to explain genetic variation in tree growth by comparing measurements across taxonomic varieties, and analysing the relationship between our measurements and the climates of our trees’ provenances. When collecting data, there will always be some degree of unaccounted-for variation in our measurements. This variation may be caused by measurement error, natural variation caused by genetic differences, environmental variation, or more likely some combination of all these. As a result, real relationships are “messy”. Below are two figures showing a hypothetical relationship between provenance temperature and heights measured in a common garden. While not perfect, figure 1 clearly shows a strong relationship between these variables. But what about figure 2? It’s not as clear. Statistics allow us to ask “How likely is it that the pattern we’re seeing is the result of a real underlying relationship, rather than just random chance?” We can quantify this likelihood and assess the probability that our results reflect real relationships. In this lab we will be performing two different statistical analyses: linear regression, and t-tests. Linear regression is a method to determine whether a relationship exists between two numeric variables, e.g., height and provenance mean annual
  • 39. temperature, as shown in figures 1 and 2. A t-test is used to determine whether a relationship exists between one numeric variable and one categorical variable, e.g., height and taxonomic variety, as shown in figures 3 and 4. Figure 2: The effect of provenance mean annual precipitation on root-to-shoot ratios in 5-year old Pseudotsuga menziesii trees grown in a common garden in Campbell River, BC (n=5-7 per provenance). Figure 1: The effect of provenance mean annual temperature on height in 7-year old Pinus contorta trees grown in a common garden in Prince George, BC (n=10 per provenance). p-values The cornerstone of most statistical analyses is the p-value. The p-value is a statistic that reflects the probability that an observed trend could happen by random chance, and it varies from 0 to 1. If p is close to 0, there is a very low chance that the pattern we see is due to chance (i.e., it is likely to reflect a real relationship). If p is close to 1, there is no difference between
  • 40. our data and data generated at random, so we should not interpret there to be a relationship here. Figure 1 shows a trend with a p-value of 0.0001, meaning that if we randomly generated 10,000 datasets, we could expect one of them to show a trend this strong. Figure 2 shows a trend with a p-value of 0.1, meaning that random data could create a pattern at least as strong as this 10% of the time. We set an arbitrary threshold on p-values to assign statistical significance to a trend, meaning we are willing to accept some probability that our results are due to chance, but that number is generally low. In most scientific fields, we set a significance threshold of 0.05, meaning we are willing to accept a 5% chance that our results are due to random chance. A p-value less than 0.05 means we can consider that result "statistically significant" and therefore a reflection of a real pattern in the data. By this criterion, figure 1 shows a statistically significant relationship, while figure 2 does not. P-values are used in both linear regression and t-tests. If a linear regression has a p-value less than 0.05, we say that that the variables used in that analysis have a significant relationship. If a t-test has a p-value less than 0.05, we say that the two groups we are comparing show significant differences. Linear regression Linear regression is a commonly-used method across many fields of biology. In this method, we are comparing data with two dimensions: an independent variable (generally meaning one that we assign or that is known ahead of time), and a dependent variable (generally one that we measure, also known as a response variable). In this lab, our independent variables will be some aspects of climate from various provenances of Garry oak. Our dependent variables will be tree heights and diameters. Linear regressions are always presented as scatter plots, where the independent variable goes on the x-axis (the horizontal axis of the scatter plot), and the dependent variable goes on the y-axis (the vertical axis of the scatter plot). In this way, we can interpret the way that our dependent variable
  • 41. changes in relation to our independent variable i.e., in figure 1 if the provenance mean annual temperature changes by 1°C, how much does tree height change? This is the relationship quantified by linear regression. Linear regression uses a set of equations to draw a line of fit through our data. This is shown by the grey diagonal lines in figures 1 and 2. A line of fit is a straight line that best describes the relationship in the data, and can be used to quantitatively describe that relationship using its slope.For example, the linear regression of figure 1 has a slope of 1.17m/°C, meaning for every 1°C that provenance mean annual temperature increases, we can expect height to increase by 1.17m. Another important aspect of linear regression is called the coefficient of determination, which has the mathematical symbol R2. This is a measurement of how strongly the two variables in our regression relate to one another. R2 ranges from 0 to 1, with 0 meaning there is no correlation between our data, and 1 meaning that the data is perfectly correlated i.e. all of the points in our scatter plot would fall exactly along the line of best fit. The relationship in figure 1 has an R2 of 0.62, which can be interpreted as “provenance mean annual temperature explains 62% of the variation in mean provenance heights”. Both slope and coefficient of determination are quantitative descriptions of significant relationships. Therefore, they should not be reported or interpreted for regressions with p-values greater than 0.05. t-tests Often, we wish to know whether two groups differ for some variable of interest. In this lab, we will be determining whether two taxonomic varieties of Garry oak differ in their average height or number of stems. A simple statistical method for this is called the t-test. A t-test determines whether the means of two groups of data are significantly different. This is determined not only by the means of those two groups, but the amount of variation in each group. This variation is referred to
  • 42. as error in statistics, although that term is misleading. As mentioned earlier, variation in our data is expected even if we measure things perfectly. We will quantify this variation in our groups using a parameter called standard deviation. This number is the average amount that each measurement in a group differs from the mean. For example, in figure 3, the mean height for Pinus contorta var. latifolia individuals is 9.9m, with a standard deviation of 1.1m. This means that, on average, individuals range from 8.8-11m within this group (the upper and lower end of the error bars in this figure). Figure 4: Belowground biomass of 5-year old Pseudotsuga menziesii trees grown in fertilized(n=40) and unfertilized(n=35) plots in a common garden in Campbell River, BC. Error bars represent standard deviation. Figure 3: Mean heights of 7-year old Pinus contorta var. latifolia (n=100) and P. contorta var. contorta (n=40), grown in a common garden in Prince George, BC. Error bars represent standard deviation. In figures 3 and 4, the groups both appear to differ. Pinus contorta var. latifolia individuals appear taller than var. contorta (fig. 3), and fertilized Pseudotsuga menziesii appear to
  • 43. grow more roots in fertilized plots (fig. 4). However, the error bars in figure 4 are larger than those in figure 3, meaning the data in figure 3 has more variation. A t-test can tell us whether these differences are statistically significant. The outputs of a t- test are a t-value and a p-value. The t-value is difficult to interpret without a much deeper dive into statistics, but a low value (near 0) represents less difference between groups than a larger value. However, the p-value is the same as discussed earlier. If p < 0.05, then the groups are significantly different, if p > 0.05, the groups are not significantly different. In figure 3, p = 0.001. These groups are significantly different. In figure 4, p = 0.09. These groups do not differ significantly. If our groups differ significantly, we can discuss the relative difference between theme.g., in figure 3, var. contorta individuals have an average height of 8.5m, 15% shorter than var. latifolia individuals. If the groups do not differ significantly, we infer that there is no difference between the mean values of our two groups and should not attempt to quantify this. block_mapNBLOCK 1N = Do not measureNBLOCK 2N = Do not measureNBLOCK 3N = Do not measureNBLOCK 4N = Do not measureX = Thinned/dead treeBlue flagBlue flagX = Thinned/dead treeOrange flagOrange flagX = Thinned/dead treePink flagPink flagX = Thinned/dead treeColumn 0Column 1Column 2Column 3Column 4Column 5Column 6Column 7Column 8Column 9Column 10Column 11Column 12Column 1Column 2Column 3Column 4Column 5Column 6Column 7Column 8Column 9Column 10Column 11Column 12Column 1Column 2Column 3Column 4Column 5Column 6Column 7Column 8Column 9Column 10Column 11Column 12Column 1Column 2Column 3Column 4Column 5Column 6Column 7Column 8Column 9Column 10Column 11Column 12Column 0Row 0XNXNXNXNXNXNXRow 0NXNXNXNXNXNXRow 0NXNXNXNXNXNXRow 0NXNXNXNXNXNXXRow 1NX0915X0926XNX0946X0957X0968Row 1X1309XNX1329X1340X1352X1363Row
  • 44. 1X1375X1384X1396X0980X0991X1002Row 1X1013X1023X1034X1047X1059X1069NRow 2X0911X0921X0932X0941XXX0963XRow 21303X1315X1323XXX1346X1358XRow 21369X1380X1390X0975X0985X0997XRow 21008X1019X1029X1041X1053X1065XXRow 3NX0916X0927XXX0947X0958X0969Row 3X1310XXX1330X1341X1353X1364Row 3X1376X1385X1397X0981X0992X1003Row 3X1014X1024X1035X1048X1060X1070NRow 4X0912X0922X0933X0942XNX0964XRow 41304X1316X1324X1335X1347X1359XRow 41370XNX1391X0976X0986X0998XRow 41009XXX1030X1042X1054X1066XXRow 5NX0917X0928X0937X0948X0959X0970Row 5X1311X1320X1331X1342X1354X1365Row 5X1377X1386XNXNX0993X1004Row 5X1015X1025X1036X1049X1061X1071NRow 6X0913XXX0934X0943X0953X0965XRow 61305X1317X1325X1336X1348X1360XRow 61371X1381X1392X0977X0987X0999XRow 6NX1020X1031X1043X1055XXXXRow 7NX0918X0929X0938X0949X0960X0971Row 7X1312X1321X1332X1343X1355X1366Row 7X1378X1387X1398X0982X0994X1005Row 7X1016X1026X1037X1050X1062X1072NRow 8XXX0923XXXXX0954X0966XRow 81306X1318X1326X1337X1349X1361XRow 81372X1382X1393XNX0988X1000XRow 81010XNX1032X1044X1056X1067XXRow 9NX0919X0930X0939X0950X0961X0972Row 9X1313XXX1333X1344X1356X1367Row 9XXX1388X1399X0983X0995X1006Row 9X1017X1027X1038X1051X1063X1073NRow 10X0914X0924X0935X0944X0955X0967XRow 101307X1319X1327X1338X1350X1362XRow
  • 45. 101373X1383X1394X0978X0989X1001XRow 101011X1021XXX1045X1057X1068XXRow 11NX0920X0931X0940X0951X0962X0973Row 11X1314X1322X1334X1345X1357X1368Row 11XXX1389X1400X0984X0996XXRow 11X1018X1028X1039X1052X1064X1074NRow 12XNX0925X0936X0945X0956XNXRow 121308XNX1328X1339X1351XNXRow 121374XXX1395X0979XXXNXRow 121012X1022X1033X1046X1058XNXX How to Write a Lab Report Forest Biology (FRST 200 and 210) Read this document carefully, it outlines the content and formatting that should be used for lab reports in FRST 200 or 210 and will be the basis for our marking system. You should note that marking for your first lab report will be reasonably relaxed, but in the second and subsequent reports the number of marks deducted for mistakes will increase substantially. This system encourages you to rapidly adopt a simple, clear and systematic style of scientific writing. The easier your report is to read the more likely you are to get good marks. 1. Report Purpose
  • 46. You should aim to produce a clear, concise report that reviews current knowledge on the subject, develops the research objectives, summarizes the methods used, and presents the results generated. You should then discuss how the results meet the objectives and what they mean relative to the current knowledge or literature that was used to develop your objectives, which may include applications to which this knowledge is relevant. 2. Report Structure & Content Use the following sections to structure your report. Pay close attention to the section details and suggested content. All sections should be concise and informative. Introduction The introduction provides readers with the background information required to understand the whole report. Introductions are funnel-like, starting broadly with an introductory sentence that introduces the report’s context, and ending narrowly with a clear definition of specific objectives or questions being investigated in your report (example 1). We generally leave objectives open-ended,
  • 47. so you can tailor the objectives to your interests e.g., wood production, conservation, biology. Relevant background information fills the funnel, setting up any objectives of the study, and any hypotheses you wish to test that will be covered in your discussion section. Example 1: Your report is comparing the wood quality of two timber species, Picea abies and Pinus sylvestris. A good introductory sentence could be, “Wood quality, a trait in which many species vary substantially, is an important determinant of timber value.” Your introduction then should provide some background information that would be relevant to the reader, and narrows the focus from wood quality in general down to more specific aspects. Potential topics might include: economic value of high-quality wood; features that contribute to wood quality (especially whichever ones you measured); or variability in these features. This can be further narrowed to the species being studied: compare and contrast life histories, growth rates, relative importance to the timber industry, etc. Now that the reader has some knowledge of wood quality and your species, you can establish
  • 48. your objectives i.e., the question your study is trying to answer: “While Picea abies and Pinus sylvestris are both important to European timber production, the quality of their mature wood has not been adequately assessed." Your last sentence should briefly summarize what you’ve done to address your objective: “In this study, differences in tracheid length and extractives content were compared between Scots pine (Pinus sylvestris L.) and Norway spruce (Picea abies (L.) H. Karst.).” Assume that your reader is educated, but unfamiliar with your subject. Therefore, the introduction should also define and contextualize any terminology that is fundamental to your study. To do this you will need to concisely summarize relevant information from class notes and include background research. In most cases, this will include citing relevant scientific literature. Do not include any methods, results or conclusions in your introduction. Your introduction section should conclude with your hypotheses. These are the scientific
  • 49. statements that you wish to test in your lab report. You should provide an explanation of why you developed your hypotheses, followed by a list of your hypotheses. These hypotheses are the basis of your discussion. Your hypotheses must be testable, and provide a predicted direction of the relationship (example 2). This will allow you to later assess whether your hypotheses were supported or refuted by your data. Example 2: For the previously mentioned research topic, a good hypothesis section might be as follows: “As Scots pine generally has a higher growth rate than Norway spruce, it was expected that Scots pine wood will exhibit more traits consistent with fast- growing species. As such, the authors predicted that Scots pine wood would have longer tracheids than Norway spruce, more earlywood, and lower wood density”. Materials and Methods The materials and methods is an account of how your experiment was conducted, and why it was conducted this way. This should concisely provide enough information so that your experiment
  • 50. could be repeated exactly. Materials and methods must be written in clear sentences, not in point form. Materials should be incorporated into the methods, not included separately (example 3). Be sure to outline all the different types of data collected, the measurements that were made, and the units of measurement used. Also include information regarding your data analysis. How was your raw data used to answer your hypotheses? Describe any drawings that were made and their purpose (do not include the actual drawings here). If you used any scientific equipment, try to provide as much information about it as possible (e.g., equipment name and model number; example 3). If you used software to analyze your data, include what you used and which version. Any relevant equations that were used to transform your data must be included within your methods. Do not include unnecessary details about how the lab was performed. Remember that this is meant to be an account of how your experiment was conducted, not your forestry lab. For example, another scientist does not need to know that you collected data in groups of three or that the TA
  • 51. compiled your class data. Do not copy the lab instruction sheet which describes what you should do during the lab, not what you did during the experiment. You should summarise the methods in your own words. Example 3: Good methods might read “1 cm2 cubes of mature Picea abies and Pinus sylvestris wood was collected from centre-cut commercial-grade dimensional lumber. To obtain tracheid samples, these cubes were pulverized individually using an Ailence MF- 1000 wood pulveriser.” Bad methods would be “We were given small pieces of wood from the species. The TAs put them in the wood pulveriser for us.” Results Use the results section to summarize your data and report observed trends. Do not discuss how, why, or what may be the basis for these trends (this material belongs in the Discussion section).
  • 52. Results should be quantitative rather than qualitative whenever possible. If you are comparing different groups, your results should compare these groups (example 4). If your results are presenting a correlation between measurements, include the direction and relative strength of the relationship (e.g. slope or R2; example 5). When giving quantitative results, always include units. Example 4: An example of a result that is both quantitative and comparative is, “Mean tracheid length in Scots pine was estimated to be 2.57mm (standard deviation: 0.57mm). Tracheids of Norway spruce were, on average, 35% longer, with a mean of 3.47mm (standard deviation: 0.8mm).” A bad example of a result, that is neither sufficiently quantitative nor comparative would be, “Tracheids in Scots pine were 2.57. Tracheids in Norway spruce were a lot longer.” Example 5: A good result describing a correlation is “As distance of the wood sample from the pith of the tree increased, extractives percentage decreased linearly in Norway spruce wood (slope = 0.14 µLexactives cm-1 ; R2=0.73).” A bad example that relies of qualitative descriptions would be “Distance of
  • 53. the wood sample from the pith of the tree and extractives percentage were found to be related. The relationship was very strong.” Your results sections will also include tables or graphs that display notable trends in your data. See ‘Writing and Formatting Rules’ below for instructions on how to present and refer to tables, figures and appendix items. Drawings or photographs can be essential to your results for some reports, and they may be included in the results section or the appendix at your discretion. Discussion Your discussion is where you address your hypotheses (from the Introduction), and systematically explain possible reasons behind all trends reported in the results section (even if they are not explicitly included in your hypotheses), as well as limitations of the methods used. Writing the discussion always involves using additional sources of information (i.e., references from the scientific literature or from texts, not course notes), statistical interpretation (if any), deductive reasoning, and logical inference to explain the results that you reported. For
  • 54. each trend a simple procedure is to make a statement of the trend you observed, then follow this statement with explanations of why you believe this trend might have occurred (example 6). Example 6: A good discussion sentence stating an observed trend could be, “Although there is large variability in the data, Norway spruce tracheids were found to be generally longer than those of Scots pine.” After making the statement, you could discuss possible explanations for why Norway spruce produced longer tracheids in this experiment, ideally supported by outside scientific literature e.g. “An analysis of the wood from seven spruce and pine species found that spruces tend to produce longer tracheids than pines (Anoulli et al. 1986). This suggests that our trend may be due to broad differences in growth strategy that have evolved between the two genera, and is unlikely to be unique to our specific samples.” In general, a single study cannot prove or disprove a hypothesis.
  • 55. Often we are using a small sample and assuming it is representative of a broader group. Our measurements are imperfect, and it is possible that no causal relationship exists between our variables, but rather they are both related to a third underlying, unobserved variable, or just due to random chance. As such, we can only use our data to support or refute a hypothesis, rather than prove or disprove it. Your discussion should also reflect on any limitations or sources of error in your data. Make notes as you perform your experiment or measurements about what aspects seem more or less precise or accurate. Unless you can describe very specific errors in your dataset, the rest of your discussion should treat your results as though they are accurate and generalizable. Saying that “this trend exists because our data is probably wrong” is rarely a valid explanation. A discussion should also include some broader implications or applications of your results i.e., why should we care about these results? We will usually ask you questions in the lab handout that attempt to draw these connections, and these should be
  • 56. answered within the discussion. While it is often useful to look into the scientific literature to answer these questions, remember to draw from your own results as well (example 7). Example 7: If one of the questions for this hypothetical lab was “Which species’ wood would be more appropriate for building a house?” a good response would be, “Tracheid length has been found to be strongly correlated with microfibril angle, a critical parameter of wood strength (Kennedy 1995). As we found Norway spruce to generally have longer tracheids than Scots pine, it is possible that Norway spruce has a lower microfibril angle as well and therefore produces better wood for home construction. This is supported by the results of Lichtenegger et al. (1999), who directly measured microfibril angle in these species.” A bad response would be “Previous studies have found that Norway spruce has stronger wood than Scots pine (Lichtenegger et al. 1999). Therefore I would use Norway spruce to build a house”. While this technically answers the question, it does not relate to any of the results obtained and therefore would be out of place in this discussion.
  • 57. Your discussion should end with a brief conclusion. This is a concise summary of the report’s main findings, why they occurred, and what their further implications are. References List in alphabetical order (according to first author's last name) all the sources that you have cited in your report (see the ‘Writing Rules and Formatting’ section for information on using references). These references should be, in most cases, peer- reviewed scientific literature or accepted text books. Do not cite course notes unless you are given explicit permission. If you cite a source that does not appear in the references, or provide a reference for a source that is never cited, you will not receive credit for this reference. Appendix The appendix contains data and figures that do not belong or fit in the rest of the report. Raw data sheets, sampling maps, or large drawings are common appendix items. They should appear in the appendix in the same order that they are referred to in the text. Only include items in the
  • 58. appendix if they are mentioned in the report and cite them in the same style as tables or figures. To do this, each appendix item needs to be clearly numbered. Not all reports require an appendix. 3. Writing and Formatting Rules General Writing Etiquette Proper paragraph formatting, clear sentence structure, good spelling and grammar are basic expectations for all assignments. If you are not confident in your writing ability, it is a good practice to have a friend who is proficient with English proofread your report. Reports must be typed, with size 11 or 12 font, 1.5 or 2 line spacing, and 2.5 cm margins. Do not include a cover page for your report. Using Latin and Common Names The first time a species name is used, include the whole Latin name and authority e.g., Pseudotsuga menziesii (Mirb.) Franco as well as the common name e.g., Douglas-fir. As long as there
  • 59. is no potential for confusion, the genus may be abbreviated following the first use e.g., P. menziesii or the common name may be used throughout the write-up. Latin names (in fact all non-English words) must always be italicized or underlined. Common names do not use capitals unless they include proper nouns such as a place or person's name (e.g., black spruce, Sitka spruce and Douglas-fir are all correct, whereas Black Spruce, sitka spruce and douglas-fir are all incorrect). Citations and References Citing and referencing appropriate literature is an essential component of all scientific reports. We expect you to use peer-reviewed scientific papers in journals for your reports. You can find these by using search engines such as Web of Science (available through the UBC Library) or Google Scholar, and access them through the UBC Library. A citation is required whenever you use information from somebody else’s text or their ideas. A ‘citation’ is the mention of literature in the main body of your text, whereas a ‘reference’ is the full bibliographic information for a given citation that is listed in the reference section. You should use the
  • 60. “(author date)” citation style (examples 6, 7). This should go at the end of the sentence using the source information, unless you are referring to the authors within the sentence (example 7). For reference format, you can use any established style (e.g., MLA, APA, Chicago) as long as you are consistent within your references. Don’t just copy and paste references as you find them. They are frequently automatically generated and contain incorrect or insufficient information. When citing information, paraphrase the source material (example 8). Do not quote or directly copy-paste text from references! Improper citation will, at best, lose you many marks on your assignment. At worst, you could end up facing expulsion from UBC for plagiarism. Directly copying 7 or more consecutive words from any source material is considered plagiarism by UBC standards. There are some rare cases where quoting information is acceptable. Generally this is when it is an author’s specific opinion or their exact sequence of words that are relevant, or if they are providing a technical definition (example 9).
  • 61. Example 8: Here is a piece of source information, from Kennedy (1995): “There are a host of properties that determine the quality of wood for different purposes, but the single most important characteristic is wood specific gravity or relative density.” An appropriate citation using this information could be: any properties, but relative density is the most important characteristic (Kennedy 1995). The following are improper uses of this information: wood for different purposes, but the single most important characteristic is wood specific gravity or relative density” (Kennedy 1995).
  • 62. wood, but the most important is wood relative density (Kennedy 1995). f properties that determine the quality of wood. Note that the last 2 examples are explicit forms of plagiarism and may lose you full credit for the assignment or worse. Even if you are citing a source, you must paraphrase their content. Example 9: This is an appropriate use of quotation for a reference: “Charles Darwin was among the first to link domesticated crops and livestock to natural evolution, claiming that he ‘invariably found that our knowledge, imperfect though it be, of variation under domestication, afforded the best and safest clue’ to understanding natural selection (Darwin 1859).” Measurement Units Report your data using appropriate SI i.e., metric units and always give the units of measurement for any data when it is first mentioned in your report as well as in every table or figure. Think carefully about what your measurements mean in reality to determine the appropriate number of decimal places or significant figures that should be used.
  • 63. Programs like excel will often provide numbers to 10 decimal places, far more precise than the data that you input. Using these numbers as they are given is misleading your reader into thinking your results are more precise than they truly are. Figures and Tables Figures such as graphs, drawings and photographs are tools for illustrating written content that is not otherwise easy to visualize. Tables present values that summarise raw data across several categories or variables. In your FRST 200 & 210 reports, tables and figures are essential requirements because formal statistical analysis is usually not required, but we still expect you to identify and discuss trends. When creating a figure or table ask yourself what you’re trying
  • 64. to demonstrate to the reader and stick to the following rules: –we will not be impressed. We are looking for figures that are simple, clear and informative. analysis lab (FRST 210) should be word processed. –don’t use small figures. As a guideline, graphs should be full-page-width. Table size depends on the amount of data, if the table doesn’t fit on a single page it belongs in the appendix. eparate entities–do not label tables as figures. This information is provided by the caption. the figure, but captions for tables are placed above the table.
  • 65. the units of measurement. graph if they have identical units of measurement and values in the same order or magnitude. and make sure that the colours or symbols are organized such that the reader can draw fast visual conclusions about each trend. bar and must be clearly labelled with any parts described in your report. means calculated from multiple measurements or groups, only provide the means. You can include the data used to generate the means as a separate table in the appendix. Figures and tables must be cited and explained in the results section. It is best to cite a figure or table in parentheses at the end of the respective sentence (see example 10). It is never acceptable to simply list attached figures or to say “see attached figures”. All figures and tables
  • 66. should be positioned in the report close to the relevant paragraph and in the same order that they are mentioned in the text, so the reader is not confused trying to find the correct figure. Example 10: A good citation of a figure would be “Mean tracheid length in Scots pine was estimated to be 2.57mm. Tracheids of Norway spruce were, on average, 35% longer, with a mean of 3.47mm (figure 1).” A bad example would be “Figure 1 shows that mean tracheid length in Scots pine was estimated to be 2.57mm. Figure 1 also shows that tracheids of Norway spruce were, on average, 35% longer, with a mean of 3.47mm.” Every figure and table must have a caption that includes a number and a brief written description (in complete sentences) of what the figure contains, but doesn’t describe any trends (example 11). Captions should be informative enough that you could use them to understand the figure or table in the absence of the rest of your report. If you use mean values, provide the sample size used to generate your means (example 11). If you use error bars, say what type of error was
  • 67. used. Example 11: A good example of a figure caption might be “Figure 1: Tracheid lengths of mature wood from Picea abies (n = 5) and Pinus sylvestris (n = 7). Error bars are given in standard deviation.” Bar Graphs, Line Graphs and Scatter plots: Your chosen graph should be determined by the type of data on your x-axis. Bar graphs are only used when the x-axis is categorical (e.g., “pines” vs. “spruces”), but line graphs are required whenever the data are continuous and show change from one measurement point to the next (e.g., latitude, longitude or a time series such as day of year). Scatterplots are used to display numerous data points for continuous x-and y-axes. Data points on line graphs can be connected, but never use a smoothing function in your lab reports. Points in scatterplots should never be connected with lines, but if you want to show a general trend in your data, you can insert a line of best fit through the data points (called a trend line in Excel). 4. Useful Hints and Tips
  • 68. The secret to writing great lab reports: Your first lab reports can be daunting and challenging to write, but once you’re familiar with the format they will become much easier and obtain higher marks. We recommend writing the materials and methods section first because it’s simple, straightforward and familiar to you. Next, analyse your data, create your graphs and write the results section. Then write the discussion. Finally, although it’s counterintuitive, finish by writing the introduction. This should make the content of the introduction easier to judge and prevent it from being too short or long. Write concisely: Keep sentences fairly short, and don’t use long words if a short one will do. A good scientific writer will use the minimum number of words possible to clearly state their point, so don’t use sentences that don’t tell the reader anything meaningful. For example, “This lab was interesting and helpful for understanding germination better” tells the reader nothing what you learned, so leave it out. Avoid unnecessary words, e.g., the word “the” can often be deleted with no change in meaning. After writing a first draft, edit it so that the major
  • 69. messages are maintained but the text is shortened. The meaning of ‘significant’: In science, ‘significant’ refers to the outcome of a statistical test. We’re not doing statistical tests in most of these labs, so it is best to avoid using this term to refer to a strong relationship in your data, unless you have actually tested whether is constitutes a statistically- significant difference. Avoid making overly large scientific inferences: Extrapolation of your data trends to larger scientific concepts will be required; however, it is not acceptable to do so without adequate supporting information. For example, applying the concepts learned from observing physiological differences between Scots pine and Norway spruce to all firs and spruces would be inappropriate. You need to use valid scientific references to support any conclusions you draw or speculations you make based on your results. When you are suggesting possible explanations for results, if those are speculative, write it in a way that reflects the uncertainty, e.g., using words such as “may result from”, or “could
  • 70. be explained by”. If you want to know more about how to write good scientific papers, there is lots of information available online. Here is one particularly user- friendly resource. http://abacus.bates.edu/~ganderso/biology/resources/writing/HT Wtoc.html Student_data_2019Tag_IDProvenanceVarietyHeight_2007_cmH eight_2017_cmCircumference_2019_cmNumber_stems_2019911 7garryana6.527716.31.59125semota10.21749.2391313garryana4 23920.819144semota3.51578.34.59156garryana5.517711.32.391 65semota2.82008.3591711garryana823520.12.391811garryana9. 229214.41.391913garryana4.51609.219201semota12.432711.72. 592111garryana6.220913.51.39223semota4.531914.96.89232se mota5.527610.519244semota12.61836.849256garryana51047.22 9262semota171526.17.59278garryana8.546634.919288garryana 13310191.59298garryana6.222017.329302semota8.52147.82.39 318garryana819614.9193211garryana3.533420.8193315garryana 8.234724.819343semota4823.61.59357garryana51956.21.89361 3garryana7.530219.81.393715garryana333924.619384semota7.8 1504.269392semota6.6853.47.894015garryana5.532814.119419 garryana630914.819429garryana4.533614.91.59439garryana6.4 3119.119447garryana1.552323.5194513garryana6.538322.21946 7garryana4.528113.619477garryana428317.319481semota51103 .75.79493semota7804.82.39509garryana531613.2195114garryan a9.268560195311garryana13.549037.3195413garryana727513.7 3.395514garryana849524.419563semota7.71625.61.89577garrya na5.319911.729581semota14.829111.62.895914garryana3.51616 .32.396013garryana526512.91.59613semota3.5242.6496213garr yana4.239816.41.59632semota5.2603.1196415garryana8.534319 .819656garryana1922013.329666garryana6.210782.59674semot a5764.54.896813garryana6.524815.11.59699garryana8.532617.3 2.897014garryana4.526120.22.397111garryana6.543023.21.397 29garryana5.42208.719731semota5.2725.31.89756garryana6102
  • 71. 619762semota3.5894.26.79777garryana61207.1297813garryana 4.228218.619794semota726211.22.79809garryana830420.61981 11garryana435726.519829garryana9.522014.81.39832semota42 0771.798414garryana4.219510.119854semota6.5753.53.39866ga rryana519912.31.59877garryana10834.31.598813garryana84003 0.4298914garryana2.522818199114garryana532917.419927garr yana9.828517.13.59932semota42608.7299413garryana537020.1 19957garryana3.5244112.399613garryana9.538324.62.399714ga rryana640030.91.59989garryana321213.719996garryana3.51476 .61.310001semota2.91066.1210019garryana22158.91.810022se mota13.527610.43.810032semota8.51916.62100413garryana672 4.91.810053semota4792.7510068garryana21.233727.61.510081 4garryana5.223819.61.810093semota532414.5110109garryana5. 523713.3110116garryana626115.43101213garryana5.51998.841 0138garryana531918.5110144semota4.51106.73.8101515garrya na532618.1210161semota71546.92101711garryana3.6763.61.81 0189garryana18.225216.9110193semota3.2865.46.5102013garry ana5.532219.4110211semota5.5443.62102211garryana2.529924. 11102314garryana7.233422.1210242semota8.3704.62.310252se mota51488.42.8102611garryana319811.9110279garryana519612 1102813garryana6.532620110297garryana11.538020.11103014g arryana3.240125.71103114garryana6.2377211.310328garryana8 28519.12.3103314garryana2.732218.11.510345semota2.5522.93 .310353semota4.5965.8310369garryana521711.71.5103715garry ana4.224617.6110387garryana23274221.310392semota7.5603.5 2.510413semota41487.69104214garryana4.21497.82.8104315ga rryana5.529426.71104411garryana2.818312.22.5104515garryan a4.933826.5110469garryana522111.41.510472semota6714.23.81 0486garryana426911.31.810495semota31125.42105014garryana 632426.7110512semota6.5834.61.810528garryana524313.31.31 05311garryana4.227814.7110541semota21.21414.84.5105515ga rryana624612.1110569garryana1229017110576garryana5.6753. 5210587garryana5.428517110594semota3.21527.22.8106013gar ryana727722.31106114garryana526922.6110625semota9.525813 .71106311garryana4.61116.81106413garryana541624.31106514 garryana629018.51106611garryana5.5231162.510676garryana6.