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Third Quarter 2008
© 2008, CB Richard Ellis, Inc.
www.cbre.com.au/research
Western Australia Residential
Hot Topics
Perth house investment•	
market eases
Perth house rents increase•	
Regional house market levels•	
Perth unit market caters for•	
younger buyers and renters
Perth unit rental yields•	
trend upward
Regional unit growth far•	
from uniform
Economic growth in Western Australia has been
supported by a continuation of the resources
industry growth coupled with a rapidly growing
population. These two factors have largely
protected the state’s housing market from more
significant negative adjustments but over the last
three quarters, price softening and a slowing
of investment activity across Perth’s residential
market has become evident.
This 2008/2009 financial year, Western Australia
is likely to earn more than $30 billion in exports
of iron ore alone – one-sixth of the state’s entire
income. Indeed, these dollars are still increasing
and Western Australia has been booming as
it tries to keep up with the industrialisation in
China and other emerging economies.
The risk of China reducing its demand for
resources is rising however, and if demand
for resources drops significantly, the Western
Australian economy could suffer notably. The
leading indicator of demand continues to be
industrial commodity prices, particularly iron
ore in the case of Western Australia. Over the
September 2008 quarter, commodity prices
started to decline resulting in an easing across
the resource industry.
The Perth residential market has reacted in
varying ways to the current economic slowdown
across the city’s three main pricing tiers over the
September 2008 quarter.
Perth’s top end market ($1.5 million plus)
appeared to be the hardest hit with suburbs
such as City Beach, Churchlands and Daglish
recording decreases in median house prices
of up to 30%, from the previous quarter. This
reduction is a likely response to the share market
collapse, loss of home equity and margin calls.
A combination of these factors have seen an
increase in the number of top end homes listed
for sale, fewer buyers and minimal sales.
Perth’s mortgage belt housing market started
to experience a negative flow on effect during
the September 2008 quarter due to employment
rationalisation reaching middle management.
House price reductions have typically been
widespread across the Perth Metropolitan area
and were generally in the order of 2% over the
September quarter. The next six months is likely to
reveal the full effect of easing employment levels
and its influence on Perth’s mortgage belt.
Perth’s more affordable housing market recorded
over 40% of all sales for the September 2008
quarter, resulting in those areas experiencing
good capital growth of approximately 3% for the
September 2008 quarter. This market activity in
the lower priced tier is likely to continue over the
short term resulting in further easing of Perth’s
overall median house price.
Across other WA areas, demand has also
reduced. A distinct lack of sales over the last
quarter has made defining the true market
values in Mandurah difficult. A number of new
unit developments within Mandurah’s marina
precinct have recently been completed or are
under construction, but their take up rate has
been extremely slow. An oversupply of properties
in and around Mandurah appears to be keeping
investors at bay due to market uncertainty.
The state’s South West Region namely
Bunbury, Busselton and Dunsborough residential
markets have shown a similar trend to Mandurah
with limited demand for vacant land across all
price brackets and an oversupply of established
properties for sale. The South West Regions
recent sales evidence and asking prices indicate
that prices have fallen some 10% to 15% over the
past six to 12 months across most markets.
Market Overview
© 2008, CB Richard Ellis, Inc.
Page 2
Perth House Market
In reaction to the current financial and economic uncertainty, Perth house sales fell 5.9%
over the September 2008 quarter. Median house prices have largely stabilised across
the Perth market during the quarter, experiencing growth of just 0.04%. Perth’s median
house price of $505,000 was influenced by 40% of all house sales occurring at the lower
end of the market during the quarter. This resulted in growth for some of the lower priced
suburbs such as Forrestdale, Armadale and Eden Hill, each recording capital growth of
over 3% during the third quarter. It remains to be seen what influence the government-
backed Keystart shared equity scheme and increased First Home Owner Grant will have
on the Perth housing market, as these initiatives are more likely to benefit homes under
the current median price of $505,000.
Perth House Rents and Yields
Over the year to September 2008, house rents increased by $30 per week or 9.4%,
producing a weekly median of $350. The high demand for rental accommodation
and increasing rent has pushed Perth’s average rental yield to 3.6% as at September
2008. With Perth house rents still lower than most other Australian capital cities, rents
should continue to improve in 2009, increasing the average rental yield further. Western
Australia’s rapid population growth and lack of affordability is mainly due to the state’s
temporary residents. According to the Australian Bureau of Statistics, Western Australia’s
requirement for new dwellings is approximately 22,700 per annum and supply currently
appears balanced with demand. When the state’s temporary residents are added to the
mix however, an additional 10,000 dwellings are then required. This explains the state’s
high rental accommodation demand and current dwelling shortage, which are likely to
result in further rent increases in the short term.
WA Regional House Market
The Western Australian regional market covers an enormous area of the state, including the
wheat and mining towns, the ports and coastal resort areas. The September 2008 quarter
revealed little activity in the regional market overall, with a 0.7% increase in capital growth
resulting in a median house price of $406,000. The highest growth has been experienced
in the resource development areas and port towns including Port Hedland, Kalgoorlie and
Coolgardie, which had increases in the September quarter of between 7% and 8% and
annual growth up to 30%. Much of this growth is reliant on continuing resource exports to
Asia. Below average rainfalls in the grain belt regions, however, have hampered farming
activities with some areas in drought and witnessing declines in median prices. This is the
case in Balingup where the median house price has fallen by over 4.5% in the September
2008 quarter. The third quarter recorded further increases in the regional median house
rent to $290 per week. Over the year to September, regional house rents have increased
by 20% producing an average rental yield of 3.86%. Regional areas benefiting from
resource development have average rental yields ranging from 5% to 7%.
$250
$260 $255
$265
$280
$300
$320 $320
$330
$350
$350
M
ar
2006
Jun
2006
Sep
2006
D
ec
2006
M
ar
2007
Jun
2007
Sep
2007
D
ec
2007
M
ar
2008
Jun
2008
Sep
2008
$0
$50
$100
$150
$200
$250
$300
$350
$400
Weekly Median Rent
Perth Median House Rent
Source : Residex/CBRE Research & Consulting (as at Sep 2008)
Sep
1999
Sep
2000
Sep
2001
Sep
2002
Sep
2003
Sep
2004
Sep
2005
Sep
2006
Sep
2007
Sep
2008
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
(% growth per annum)
House Capital Growth
WA Country House Capital Growth
Source : Residex/CBRE Research & Consulting (as to Sep 2008)
M
ar
2006
Jun
2006
Sep
2006
D
ec
2006
M
ar
2007
Jun
2007
Sep
2007
D
ec
2007
M
ar
2008
Jun
2008
Sep
2008
$200
$250
$300
$350
$400
$450
$500
$550
Median House Price ('000)
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
No. of Sales ('000)
Median House Price Number of Sales
Perth Median House Price
and Sales
Source : Residex/CBRE Research & Consulting (as at Sep 2008)
House Market
No. of Sales
(year)
Median Price
(Sept Qtr)
Median Price
(last year)
% Growth
(last year)
Median
Weekly Rent
Rental Yield
(last qtr)
Wembley 105 $1,076,000 4.07% 16.62% $430 2.09%
Watermans Bay 8 $1,664,500 3.75% 18.18% $455 1.43%
Waterford 23 $1,130,000 3.75% 17.85% $460 2.12%
Woodlands 40 $888,500 3.67% 18.22% $400 2.34%
Mount Lawley 95 $1,112,000 3.57% 18.09% $430 2.02%
Applecross 62 $1,732,500 3.50% 15.68% $585 1.77%
Perth Houses 23,221 $505,000 0.04% -1.22% $350 3.62%
Source: Residex
Perth’s Top Performing House Suburbs – September 2008 Quarter
© 2008, CB Richard Ellis, Inc.
Page 3
Perth Unit Market
Perth’s median unit price has slowly decreased over the 2008 June and September
quarters. The September quarter fell 1.51% to produce a median unit price of
$387,500. Perth has a small unit market totalling only 21% of all annual dwellings
sold and recorded a drop in sales of 5.2% over the year to September. Perth’s
unit market has typically attracted young buyers and renters in popular inner
suburban and riverside areas. Low maintenance, amenity packed, medium density
apartment developments have been constructed along the Swan River banks as
well as in localities such as Northbridge, Subiaco, Ascot and Belmont, serving in
some cases as an affordable alternative to a house. According to Cordell’s, there
are approximately 2,880 new units proposed within the Perth Local Government
Area over the next five years, with 38% currently under construction. We have
seen over the September 2008 quarter however, an increased number of deferrals
or abandonment’s of unit projects, a possible reaction to the decreased demand
from investors, increased construction costs and tighter lending policies of
financial institutions.
M
ar
2006
Jun
2006
Sep
2006
D
ec
2006
M
ar
2007
Jun
2007
Sep
2007
D
ec
2007
M
ar
2008
Jun
2008
Sep
2008
$100
$150
$200
$250
$300
$350
$400
$450
Median Unit Price ('000)
0
250
500
750
1,000
1,250
1,500
1,750
2,000
No. of Sales
Median Unit Price Number of Sales
Perth Median Unit Price
and Sales
Source : Residex/CBRE Research & Consulting (as to Sep 2008)
Perth Unit Rent and Yield
Over the September 2008 quarter, Perth recorded a $30 per week rise in its
median unit rent to $340. Unit rents have increased by 13.3% over the year in
response to steady demand due to their affordability. As of September 2008,
Perth’s median unit rent was only $10 per week cheaper than the median house
rent, supporting further increases to house rents in the short to medium term.
Perth’s average unit rental yield of 4.58% is trending upward, particularly in
suburbs along the Swan River. Perth has continued to deliver new units to the
market pushing up its vacancy rate to 2.6%, double that of Sydney, Brisbane and
Melbourne. This is likely to result in the city’s current median unit rent flat-lining
in the short term.
$230
$240
$225
$240
$270
$290
$300 $300
$320
$310
$340
M
ar
2006
Jun
2006
Sep
2006
D
ec
2006
M
ar
2007
Jun
2007
Sep
2007
D
ec
2007
M
ar
2008
Jun
2008
Sep
2008
$0
$50
$100
$150
$200
$250
$300
$350
$400
Weekly Median Rent
Perth Median Unit Rent
Source : Residex/CBRE Research & Consulting (as at Sep 2008)
WA Regional Unit Market
The Western Australia regional unit market is small consisting of 272,000
dwellings. The market mainly consists of small rural communities, coastal resorts
and resource development areas. Following a poor June quarter, the September
quarter regained the losses to record capital growth of 3.95%. The median unit
price of $329,000 was the second highest of all country markets across Australia,
but due to the great divergence of markets, there is a wide range of prices and
growth. Growth was recorded in the mining and port towns of Port Hedland (up
7.01%), Broome (5.08%) and Boulder (5.47%), whereas units in Albany (0.67%)
and Bunbury (0.77%) stabilised over the September quarter. An increase of $20
per week over the September 2008 quarter resulted in a regional median unit
rent of $280 per week. The rental yield increased over the quarter to sit at 4.4%.
Due to the small size of Western Australia’s regional unit market, investors should
take care in assessing local conditions and rural outposts before coming to an
investment decision.
Sep
1999
Sep
2000
Sep
2001
Sep
2002
Sep
2003
Sep
2004
Sep
2005
Sep
2006
Sep
2007
Sep
2008
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
(% growth per annum)
Unit Capital Growth
WA Country Unit Capital Growth
Source : Residex/CBRE Research & Consulting (as to Sep 2008)
Unit Market
No. of Sales
(year)
Median Price
(Sept Qtr)
Median Price
(last year)
% Growth
(last year)
Median
Weekly Rent
Rental Yield
(last qtr)
Lathlain 13 $463,000 3.09% 16.71% $275 3.10%
Trigg 10 $546,000 2.91% 15.26% $335 3.18%
Clarkson 13 $349,500 2.85% 10.68% $280 4.20%
Beaconsfield 10 $439,000 2.82% 15.50% $310 3.69%
Jolimont 11 $293,000 2.69% 14.66% $245 4.40%
Ocean Reef 10 $425,000 2.62% 8.75% $335 4.08%
Perth Units 6,358 $387,500 -1.51% 0.18% $340 4.58%
Source: Residex
ThirdQuarter2008WesternAustraliaResidential
Perth’s Top Performing Unit Suburbs - September 2008 Quarter
Information in this document may have been provided to CB Richard Ellis by other people and we do not warrant that it is accurate or correct. Figures quoted are approximate only
and financial information is provided without reference to the possible impact of GST. Interested parties should make their own enquiries and seek independent advice before acting.
Subject to any statutory limitation on its ability to do so, CB Richard Ellis disclaims liability under any cause of action including negligence for any loss arising from reliance upon
this document. This document is not an offer or part of a contract of sale. CB Richard Ellis respects your privacy and is bound by the National Privacy Principles. If you would prefer to
be removed from this mailing list, please contact our Privacy Officer via phone 61 3 8621 3497, facsimile 61 3 8621 3330 or email privacy@cbre.com.au. A copy of our Privacy
Policy can be viewed at www.cbre.com.au.
© 2009 (CB Richard Ellis Pty Ltd) This publication is subject to copyright protection. All rights reserved. Subject to the conditions prescribed in the Copyright Act (Cth) 1968, no part
of this publication may in any form or by any means (electronic, mechanical, photocopying, recording or otherwise), be reproduced stored in a retrieval system or transmitted to any
other person, without the specific permission of the copyright owner.
CB Richard Ellis Pty Ltd ABN 57 057 373 574, Licenced Estate Agent, Level 26, 363 George Street, Sydney, NSW 2000 T 61 2 9333 3333 F 61 2 9333 3330
Western Australia Residential
Were it not for its resource powered economic
growth, Western Australia’s residential market
may have experienced greater declines in
median house and unit prices and demand. Even
though the resources industry is starting to show
signs of easing, Perth average house prices are
not anticipated to fall significantly over the next
six months, instead a continuation of the current
minor corrections are expected.
The Perth unit market over the next six months is
predicted to see a distinct slowing in activity. This
has resulted in some proposed developments
being deferred or abandoned. Perth’s unit
market expanded quickly over the last few years,
saturating the market with a new quality product
replacing some of the older style units in and
around the city.
Sales activity in the top end of Perth’s housing
market is anticipated to continue to falter in the
upcoming year, as global factors impact further,
the stock market remains volatile, and serviceability
of lending commitments is reduced.
The next six months could find Perth’s mortgage
belt seeing an increase in the number of homes
on the market and lengthening selling periods,
which in turn is likely to decrease sales prices as
some home owners become desperate to sell.
This market activity is in part due to continued
employment rationalisation.
Perth’s lower priced stock in the residential
market is anticipated to see an increase in sales
over the next six months, however prices are likely
to stabilise rather than improve. A combination
of Stamp Duty relief, the increased First Home
Buyers Grant and more affordable housing is
expected to encourage this forecast sales activity.
We are likely to see an increase in land sales
priced in the sub-$250,000 range with adjusted
pricing attracting first homebuyers. Areas such as
Forestdale, Ellenbrook and Aveley are more likely
to benefit from this increased market activity with
ample stock available for immediate sale.
Looking at other WA residential markets,
Mandurah over the next six months may see a
slight increase in sales activity in its lower priced
new house and land packages. With a current
oversupply of stock on the market, some buyers
may take advantage of the already adjusted
pricing and government subsidies. Mandurah’s
mortgage belt is set to see a levelling of price
growth with many homeowners keeping spending
to a minimum given the employment uncertainty
and proposed economic easing forecast to
continue. The unit market in Mandurah has a
number of new unit developments starting to
settle and given the decrease in price growth,
many may have to sell their units for a significant
loss.
The state’s South West Region residential
market is not likely to see the traditional holiday
market upswing prompted by the Christmas
season, as purchasers are scarce and the number
of properties on the market has doubled over
the past few months. A number of wealthy Perth
residents who bought holiday homes in this South
West region are now looking to minimise their
risk by removing secondary investment properties
from their portfolios, hence the increased number
of ‘For Sale’ signs.
Western Australia’s residential market over the
next six months is likely to rely heavily on the
buoyancy of its resources industry and population
growth. If China retains its current acquisition
levels, retrenchments are kept to a minimum
and population growth continues, the state’s
residential market could avoid further significant
price easing and market downturn.
Please note that the statistics contained
within this report are obtained from
Residex unless otherwise stated.
Market Outlook Local Offices
perth
Level 2, London
House
216 St George’s
Terrace
Perth WA 6000
T 61 8 9320 0000
F 61 8 9481 129
For more information regarding the
MarketView, please contact:
Toni McKnight
Senior Manager, Residential
CB Richard Ellis (C) Pty Ltd
ABN 64 003 205 552
Level 33, Waterfront Place
1 Eagle Street
Brisbane QLD 4000
T 61 7 3833 9773
F 61 7 3833 9830
toni.mcknight@cbre.com.au
Michael Veletta
Director Residential Valuations WA
CB Richard Ellis - Residential Valuations
Level 6, 12 St Georges Terrace
Perth, WA 6000
T 61 8 9263 5813
F 61 8 9325 5983
M 0409 944 008
mandurah
Shop 4
43 Pinjarra Road
Mandurah WA 6000
T 61 8 9263 5800
F 61 8 9325 5383
south west
753 Caves Road
Marybrook WA 6280
T 61 8 9263 5800
F 61 8 9325 5383

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WA Market View Q3 2008

  • 1. Third Quarter 2008 © 2008, CB Richard Ellis, Inc. www.cbre.com.au/research Western Australia Residential Hot Topics Perth house investment• market eases Perth house rents increase• Regional house market levels• Perth unit market caters for• younger buyers and renters Perth unit rental yields• trend upward Regional unit growth far• from uniform Economic growth in Western Australia has been supported by a continuation of the resources industry growth coupled with a rapidly growing population. These two factors have largely protected the state’s housing market from more significant negative adjustments but over the last three quarters, price softening and a slowing of investment activity across Perth’s residential market has become evident. This 2008/2009 financial year, Western Australia is likely to earn more than $30 billion in exports of iron ore alone – one-sixth of the state’s entire income. Indeed, these dollars are still increasing and Western Australia has been booming as it tries to keep up with the industrialisation in China and other emerging economies. The risk of China reducing its demand for resources is rising however, and if demand for resources drops significantly, the Western Australian economy could suffer notably. The leading indicator of demand continues to be industrial commodity prices, particularly iron ore in the case of Western Australia. Over the September 2008 quarter, commodity prices started to decline resulting in an easing across the resource industry. The Perth residential market has reacted in varying ways to the current economic slowdown across the city’s three main pricing tiers over the September 2008 quarter. Perth’s top end market ($1.5 million plus) appeared to be the hardest hit with suburbs such as City Beach, Churchlands and Daglish recording decreases in median house prices of up to 30%, from the previous quarter. This reduction is a likely response to the share market collapse, loss of home equity and margin calls. A combination of these factors have seen an increase in the number of top end homes listed for sale, fewer buyers and minimal sales. Perth’s mortgage belt housing market started to experience a negative flow on effect during the September 2008 quarter due to employment rationalisation reaching middle management. House price reductions have typically been widespread across the Perth Metropolitan area and were generally in the order of 2% over the September quarter. The next six months is likely to reveal the full effect of easing employment levels and its influence on Perth’s mortgage belt. Perth’s more affordable housing market recorded over 40% of all sales for the September 2008 quarter, resulting in those areas experiencing good capital growth of approximately 3% for the September 2008 quarter. This market activity in the lower priced tier is likely to continue over the short term resulting in further easing of Perth’s overall median house price. Across other WA areas, demand has also reduced. A distinct lack of sales over the last quarter has made defining the true market values in Mandurah difficult. A number of new unit developments within Mandurah’s marina precinct have recently been completed or are under construction, but their take up rate has been extremely slow. An oversupply of properties in and around Mandurah appears to be keeping investors at bay due to market uncertainty. The state’s South West Region namely Bunbury, Busselton and Dunsborough residential markets have shown a similar trend to Mandurah with limited demand for vacant land across all price brackets and an oversupply of established properties for sale. The South West Regions recent sales evidence and asking prices indicate that prices have fallen some 10% to 15% over the past six to 12 months across most markets. Market Overview
  • 2. © 2008, CB Richard Ellis, Inc. Page 2 Perth House Market In reaction to the current financial and economic uncertainty, Perth house sales fell 5.9% over the September 2008 quarter. Median house prices have largely stabilised across the Perth market during the quarter, experiencing growth of just 0.04%. Perth’s median house price of $505,000 was influenced by 40% of all house sales occurring at the lower end of the market during the quarter. This resulted in growth for some of the lower priced suburbs such as Forrestdale, Armadale and Eden Hill, each recording capital growth of over 3% during the third quarter. It remains to be seen what influence the government- backed Keystart shared equity scheme and increased First Home Owner Grant will have on the Perth housing market, as these initiatives are more likely to benefit homes under the current median price of $505,000. Perth House Rents and Yields Over the year to September 2008, house rents increased by $30 per week or 9.4%, producing a weekly median of $350. The high demand for rental accommodation and increasing rent has pushed Perth’s average rental yield to 3.6% as at September 2008. With Perth house rents still lower than most other Australian capital cities, rents should continue to improve in 2009, increasing the average rental yield further. Western Australia’s rapid population growth and lack of affordability is mainly due to the state’s temporary residents. According to the Australian Bureau of Statistics, Western Australia’s requirement for new dwellings is approximately 22,700 per annum and supply currently appears balanced with demand. When the state’s temporary residents are added to the mix however, an additional 10,000 dwellings are then required. This explains the state’s high rental accommodation demand and current dwelling shortage, which are likely to result in further rent increases in the short term. WA Regional House Market The Western Australian regional market covers an enormous area of the state, including the wheat and mining towns, the ports and coastal resort areas. The September 2008 quarter revealed little activity in the regional market overall, with a 0.7% increase in capital growth resulting in a median house price of $406,000. The highest growth has been experienced in the resource development areas and port towns including Port Hedland, Kalgoorlie and Coolgardie, which had increases in the September quarter of between 7% and 8% and annual growth up to 30%. Much of this growth is reliant on continuing resource exports to Asia. Below average rainfalls in the grain belt regions, however, have hampered farming activities with some areas in drought and witnessing declines in median prices. This is the case in Balingup where the median house price has fallen by over 4.5% in the September 2008 quarter. The third quarter recorded further increases in the regional median house rent to $290 per week. Over the year to September, regional house rents have increased by 20% producing an average rental yield of 3.86%. Regional areas benefiting from resource development have average rental yields ranging from 5% to 7%. $250 $260 $255 $265 $280 $300 $320 $320 $330 $350 $350 M ar 2006 Jun 2006 Sep 2006 D ec 2006 M ar 2007 Jun 2007 Sep 2007 D ec 2007 M ar 2008 Jun 2008 Sep 2008 $0 $50 $100 $150 $200 $250 $300 $350 $400 Weekly Median Rent Perth Median House Rent Source : Residex/CBRE Research & Consulting (as at Sep 2008) Sep 1999 Sep 2000 Sep 2001 Sep 2002 Sep 2003 Sep 2004 Sep 2005 Sep 2006 Sep 2007 Sep 2008 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% (% growth per annum) House Capital Growth WA Country House Capital Growth Source : Residex/CBRE Research & Consulting (as to Sep 2008) M ar 2006 Jun 2006 Sep 2006 D ec 2006 M ar 2007 Jun 2007 Sep 2007 D ec 2007 M ar 2008 Jun 2008 Sep 2008 $200 $250 $300 $350 $400 $450 $500 $550 Median House Price ('000) 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 No. of Sales ('000) Median House Price Number of Sales Perth Median House Price and Sales Source : Residex/CBRE Research & Consulting (as at Sep 2008) House Market No. of Sales (year) Median Price (Sept Qtr) Median Price (last year) % Growth (last year) Median Weekly Rent Rental Yield (last qtr) Wembley 105 $1,076,000 4.07% 16.62% $430 2.09% Watermans Bay 8 $1,664,500 3.75% 18.18% $455 1.43% Waterford 23 $1,130,000 3.75% 17.85% $460 2.12% Woodlands 40 $888,500 3.67% 18.22% $400 2.34% Mount Lawley 95 $1,112,000 3.57% 18.09% $430 2.02% Applecross 62 $1,732,500 3.50% 15.68% $585 1.77% Perth Houses 23,221 $505,000 0.04% -1.22% $350 3.62% Source: Residex Perth’s Top Performing House Suburbs – September 2008 Quarter
  • 3. © 2008, CB Richard Ellis, Inc. Page 3 Perth Unit Market Perth’s median unit price has slowly decreased over the 2008 June and September quarters. The September quarter fell 1.51% to produce a median unit price of $387,500. Perth has a small unit market totalling only 21% of all annual dwellings sold and recorded a drop in sales of 5.2% over the year to September. Perth’s unit market has typically attracted young buyers and renters in popular inner suburban and riverside areas. Low maintenance, amenity packed, medium density apartment developments have been constructed along the Swan River banks as well as in localities such as Northbridge, Subiaco, Ascot and Belmont, serving in some cases as an affordable alternative to a house. According to Cordell’s, there are approximately 2,880 new units proposed within the Perth Local Government Area over the next five years, with 38% currently under construction. We have seen over the September 2008 quarter however, an increased number of deferrals or abandonment’s of unit projects, a possible reaction to the decreased demand from investors, increased construction costs and tighter lending policies of financial institutions. M ar 2006 Jun 2006 Sep 2006 D ec 2006 M ar 2007 Jun 2007 Sep 2007 D ec 2007 M ar 2008 Jun 2008 Sep 2008 $100 $150 $200 $250 $300 $350 $400 $450 Median Unit Price ('000) 0 250 500 750 1,000 1,250 1,500 1,750 2,000 No. of Sales Median Unit Price Number of Sales Perth Median Unit Price and Sales Source : Residex/CBRE Research & Consulting (as to Sep 2008) Perth Unit Rent and Yield Over the September 2008 quarter, Perth recorded a $30 per week rise in its median unit rent to $340. Unit rents have increased by 13.3% over the year in response to steady demand due to their affordability. As of September 2008, Perth’s median unit rent was only $10 per week cheaper than the median house rent, supporting further increases to house rents in the short to medium term. Perth’s average unit rental yield of 4.58% is trending upward, particularly in suburbs along the Swan River. Perth has continued to deliver new units to the market pushing up its vacancy rate to 2.6%, double that of Sydney, Brisbane and Melbourne. This is likely to result in the city’s current median unit rent flat-lining in the short term. $230 $240 $225 $240 $270 $290 $300 $300 $320 $310 $340 M ar 2006 Jun 2006 Sep 2006 D ec 2006 M ar 2007 Jun 2007 Sep 2007 D ec 2007 M ar 2008 Jun 2008 Sep 2008 $0 $50 $100 $150 $200 $250 $300 $350 $400 Weekly Median Rent Perth Median Unit Rent Source : Residex/CBRE Research & Consulting (as at Sep 2008) WA Regional Unit Market The Western Australia regional unit market is small consisting of 272,000 dwellings. The market mainly consists of small rural communities, coastal resorts and resource development areas. Following a poor June quarter, the September quarter regained the losses to record capital growth of 3.95%. The median unit price of $329,000 was the second highest of all country markets across Australia, but due to the great divergence of markets, there is a wide range of prices and growth. Growth was recorded in the mining and port towns of Port Hedland (up 7.01%), Broome (5.08%) and Boulder (5.47%), whereas units in Albany (0.67%) and Bunbury (0.77%) stabilised over the September quarter. An increase of $20 per week over the September 2008 quarter resulted in a regional median unit rent of $280 per week. The rental yield increased over the quarter to sit at 4.4%. Due to the small size of Western Australia’s regional unit market, investors should take care in assessing local conditions and rural outposts before coming to an investment decision. Sep 1999 Sep 2000 Sep 2001 Sep 2002 Sep 2003 Sep 2004 Sep 2005 Sep 2006 Sep 2007 Sep 2008 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% (% growth per annum) Unit Capital Growth WA Country Unit Capital Growth Source : Residex/CBRE Research & Consulting (as to Sep 2008) Unit Market No. of Sales (year) Median Price (Sept Qtr) Median Price (last year) % Growth (last year) Median Weekly Rent Rental Yield (last qtr) Lathlain 13 $463,000 3.09% 16.71% $275 3.10% Trigg 10 $546,000 2.91% 15.26% $335 3.18% Clarkson 13 $349,500 2.85% 10.68% $280 4.20% Beaconsfield 10 $439,000 2.82% 15.50% $310 3.69% Jolimont 11 $293,000 2.69% 14.66% $245 4.40% Ocean Reef 10 $425,000 2.62% 8.75% $335 4.08% Perth Units 6,358 $387,500 -1.51% 0.18% $340 4.58% Source: Residex ThirdQuarter2008WesternAustraliaResidential Perth’s Top Performing Unit Suburbs - September 2008 Quarter
  • 4. Information in this document may have been provided to CB Richard Ellis by other people and we do not warrant that it is accurate or correct. Figures quoted are approximate only and financial information is provided without reference to the possible impact of GST. Interested parties should make their own enquiries and seek independent advice before acting. Subject to any statutory limitation on its ability to do so, CB Richard Ellis disclaims liability under any cause of action including negligence for any loss arising from reliance upon this document. This document is not an offer or part of a contract of sale. CB Richard Ellis respects your privacy and is bound by the National Privacy Principles. If you would prefer to be removed from this mailing list, please contact our Privacy Officer via phone 61 3 8621 3497, facsimile 61 3 8621 3330 or email privacy@cbre.com.au. A copy of our Privacy Policy can be viewed at www.cbre.com.au. © 2009 (CB Richard Ellis Pty Ltd) This publication is subject to copyright protection. All rights reserved. Subject to the conditions prescribed in the Copyright Act (Cth) 1968, no part of this publication may in any form or by any means (electronic, mechanical, photocopying, recording or otherwise), be reproduced stored in a retrieval system or transmitted to any other person, without the specific permission of the copyright owner. CB Richard Ellis Pty Ltd ABN 57 057 373 574, Licenced Estate Agent, Level 26, 363 George Street, Sydney, NSW 2000 T 61 2 9333 3333 F 61 2 9333 3330 Western Australia Residential Were it not for its resource powered economic growth, Western Australia’s residential market may have experienced greater declines in median house and unit prices and demand. Even though the resources industry is starting to show signs of easing, Perth average house prices are not anticipated to fall significantly over the next six months, instead a continuation of the current minor corrections are expected. The Perth unit market over the next six months is predicted to see a distinct slowing in activity. This has resulted in some proposed developments being deferred or abandoned. Perth’s unit market expanded quickly over the last few years, saturating the market with a new quality product replacing some of the older style units in and around the city. Sales activity in the top end of Perth’s housing market is anticipated to continue to falter in the upcoming year, as global factors impact further, the stock market remains volatile, and serviceability of lending commitments is reduced. The next six months could find Perth’s mortgage belt seeing an increase in the number of homes on the market and lengthening selling periods, which in turn is likely to decrease sales prices as some home owners become desperate to sell. This market activity is in part due to continued employment rationalisation. Perth’s lower priced stock in the residential market is anticipated to see an increase in sales over the next six months, however prices are likely to stabilise rather than improve. A combination of Stamp Duty relief, the increased First Home Buyers Grant and more affordable housing is expected to encourage this forecast sales activity. We are likely to see an increase in land sales priced in the sub-$250,000 range with adjusted pricing attracting first homebuyers. Areas such as Forestdale, Ellenbrook and Aveley are more likely to benefit from this increased market activity with ample stock available for immediate sale. Looking at other WA residential markets, Mandurah over the next six months may see a slight increase in sales activity in its lower priced new house and land packages. With a current oversupply of stock on the market, some buyers may take advantage of the already adjusted pricing and government subsidies. Mandurah’s mortgage belt is set to see a levelling of price growth with many homeowners keeping spending to a minimum given the employment uncertainty and proposed economic easing forecast to continue. The unit market in Mandurah has a number of new unit developments starting to settle and given the decrease in price growth, many may have to sell their units for a significant loss. The state’s South West Region residential market is not likely to see the traditional holiday market upswing prompted by the Christmas season, as purchasers are scarce and the number of properties on the market has doubled over the past few months. A number of wealthy Perth residents who bought holiday homes in this South West region are now looking to minimise their risk by removing secondary investment properties from their portfolios, hence the increased number of ‘For Sale’ signs. Western Australia’s residential market over the next six months is likely to rely heavily on the buoyancy of its resources industry and population growth. If China retains its current acquisition levels, retrenchments are kept to a minimum and population growth continues, the state’s residential market could avoid further significant price easing and market downturn. Please note that the statistics contained within this report are obtained from Residex unless otherwise stated. Market Outlook Local Offices perth Level 2, London House 216 St George’s Terrace Perth WA 6000 T 61 8 9320 0000 F 61 8 9481 129 For more information regarding the MarketView, please contact: Toni McKnight Senior Manager, Residential CB Richard Ellis (C) Pty Ltd ABN 64 003 205 552 Level 33, Waterfront Place 1 Eagle Street Brisbane QLD 4000 T 61 7 3833 9773 F 61 7 3833 9830 toni.mcknight@cbre.com.au Michael Veletta Director Residential Valuations WA CB Richard Ellis - Residential Valuations Level 6, 12 St Georges Terrace Perth, WA 6000 T 61 8 9263 5813 F 61 8 9325 5983 M 0409 944 008 mandurah Shop 4 43 Pinjarra Road Mandurah WA 6000 T 61 8 9263 5800 F 61 8 9325 5383 south west 753 Caves Road Marybrook WA 6280 T 61 8 9263 5800 F 61 8 9325 5383