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Noodles in vietnam mar 2013
1.
NOODLES IN VIETNAM Euromonitor
International February 2013
2.
N O O
D L E S I N V I E T N A M P a s s p o r t I © E u r o m o n i t o r I n t e r n a t i o n a l LIST OF CONTENTS AND TABLES Headlines ..................................................................................................................................... 1 Trends .......................................................................................................................................... 1 Competitive Landscape................................................................................................................ 2 Prospects ..................................................................................................................................... 3 Category Data .............................................................................................................................. 3 Table 1 Sales of Noodles by Category: Volume 2007-2012...................................... 3 Table 2 Sales of Noodles by Category: Value 2007-2012......................................... 4 Table 3 Sales of Noodles by Category: % Volume Growth 2007-2012..................... 4 Table 4 Sales of Noodles by Category: % Value Growth 2007-2012........................ 4 Table 5 Leading Instant Noodle Flavours 2007-2012................................................ 5 Table 6 Noodles Company Shares 2008-2012 ......................................................... 5 Table 7 Noodles Brand Shares 2009-2012 ............................................................... 5 Table 8 Sales of Noodles by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2007-2012................. 6 Table 9 Forecast Sales of Noodles by Category: Volume 2012-2017....................... 7 Table 10 Forecast Sales of Noodles by Category: Value 2012-2017.......................... 7 Table 11 Forecast Sales of Noodles by Category: % Volume Growth 2012- 2017............................................................................................................. 7 Table 12 Forecast Sales of Noodles by Category: % Value Growth 2012-2017 ......... 8
3.
N O O
D L E S I N V I E T N A M P a s s p o r t 1 © E u r o m o n i t o r I n t e r n a t i o n a l NOODLES IN VIETNAM HEADLINES Noodles in Vietnam to experience current value growth of 17% in 2012 reaching retail value sales of VND20.1 trillion With increasingly busier lifestyles, noodles still has much room to expand and maintain its important position as an alternative to other kinds of staple foods In terms of retail volume, cups/bowl instant noodles to score the highest growth rate of 9% in 2012 Unit price of noodles continues to increase in 2012 due to inflation and rising price of raw material With a 52% value share expected in 2012, Acecook Vietnam JSC remains the top player in noodles Noodles in Vietnam is expected to see a constant value CAGR of 6% over the forecast period TRENDS Increasingly busier lifestyles encourage more people to consume instant noodles as they are easy to prepare and have a long shelf life. Specifically, instant noodles serves as the least expensive and most convenient alternative to rice, bread and other food, because they can be stored for a long time once bought. Furthermore, while a larger amount of people live in small apartments, often without a kitchen, instant noodles are a good choice because they are easy to store in a cupboard and save a trip to the shops. In 2011, noodles recorded slightly slower value and volume growth rates of 17% and 8%, respectively. Despite its slower value and volume growth, noodles was still considered to hold potential by both international and local manufacturers. Demand for noodles was attributable to local companies’ greater investment and efforts in marketing communication and their product diversification strategies as well. For instance, by running effective TVCs, pushing store displays and pricing the product competitively, the new brand Kokomi from Masan Food Corp, successfully penetrated the low-income segment with great acceptance from consumers. Serving the purpose of convenient usage, cups/bowl instant noodles will continue to see the fastest growth rate in term of retail volume. In 2011, cups/bowl instant noodles registered volume growth of 9%. This is due to the fact that consumers’ purchasing power increased and daily routines are more hectic, which is evident in the increasing number of city dwellers. Cups/bowl instant noodles are a firm favourite with office workers and tourists as they are easily carried around or consumed without any further need for containers. In 2012, the unit price of noodles will increase by 9% compared to 2011. It was mainly because of the inflation rate and an increase in the price of raw materials. As the category is highly competitive, the increased unit price does not come from the manufacturers’ intention to increase profits. Instead, they want to keep their prices as competitive as possible. Regarding noodles flavours, seafood is most popular and a typical example is the sour and spicy shrimp flavour of Hao Hao, manufactured by Acecook Vietnam JSC. Beef and Tom Yam flavours are ranked second and third. While trying hard to keep the costs as low as possible, local manufacturers put a great deal of effort into adding more ingredients, such as meat
4.
N O O
D L E S I N V I E T N A M P a s s p o r t 2 © E u r o m o n i t o r I n t e r n a t i o n a l pieces to the soup sachet, with a view to upgrading the quality of instant noodles and make them into more of a meal. By the end of 2011, independent small grocers still accounted for 73% of total sales value of noodles, despite the rapid development of hypermarket and supermarket chains. However, the immigration of people from rural areas and the surge of the younger generation make supermarket and hypermarkets more and more popular for this category due to their wide offer and availability. COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE As one of the first instant noodles manufacturers in Vietnam, Acecook Vietnam JSC maintained its leading position in 2011 and 2012. This is thanks to its incessant efforts in strengthening the existing brands, namely Hao Hao and Hao 100, which are already popular among Vietnamese consumers. With continuous product line extensions with an emphasis on flavours and multibrand strategies, Acecook Vietnam can meet the various demands of different consumer segments. In 2011, Masan Food Corp recorded the biggest increase in value sales thanks to the company’s focus on branding and market penetration strategies. Non-stop marketing activities for the existing premium brand, Omachi as well as for the new brand, Kokomi play a crucial role in enhancing consumers’ awareness and preference, which in turn drove retail sales. The company also targets the low income segment with a very low introduction price, for example, VND3,000 per Kokomi pack. While Masan gained success with tailoring its marketing strategies for each product, Asia Food Industry Co Ltd was popular for its social responsibility activities. For example, the company delivered the message of helping underprivileged children. When consumers buy each packet of Gau Do instant noodles, the company will donate VND10 to a fund for underprivileged children. With better consumer knowledge and brand awareness, local manufacturers still hold the majority share of sales, leaving approximately 6% for foreign instant noodles manufacturers. International players usually focused more on the quality of the food and rely mainly on modern trade channels. Few marketing activities are exhibited by these foreign players. Kokomi manufactured by Masan Food Corp serves as a successful case of new product development, as the brand targets low-income consumers with the right market penetration pricing strategies. At the same time, its message of ‘Soi Mi Dai’ (Chewy Strand of Noodle) helps to draw customers’ awareness and encourage the purchase decision. Inarguably, Vietnam’s TVC television channel is the most used communication channel as instant noodles generally serve the mass market. Nevertheless, the players in this market are fighting for display space in each grocery store because they believe in the ‘first moment of truth’, which refers to the instant the consumers interact with a brand for the first time. The interaction at that time is instantaneous, decisive and can be inflective for the brand. Under the current Vietnamese stagnant economy, economy brands seem to cater for the market better than the premium brands do. Kokomi, with the cheap price message, is a typical example. Nonetheless, as consumers’ living standards are upgraded, premium brands stand a very good chance of growing, such as Omachi, Mi De Nhat, Mi Cung Dinh, etc. Foreign brands which have better quality instant noodles are increasingly popular, especially in the modern trade channels.
5.
N O O
D L E S I N V I E T N A M P a s s p o r t 3 © E u r o m o n i t o r I n t e r n a t i o n a l PROSPECTS Higher living standards mean that consumers are more willing to buy instant noodles with higher quality. Premium brands with truly enhanced quality would be easily accepted in the market as consumers demand products which taste better and have more nutritional value. Over the forecast period, noodles is expected to see constant value and volume CAGRs of 6% and 5%, respectively. The forecast period volume CAGR is slower than the review period volume CAGR. This is due to increasing market saturation and health awareness in eating habits. There are already many brands dominating the market and the annual growth rate over the forecast period, consequently, would certainly not be as promising as before, unless there is a breakthrough or innovation in this product category. Specifically, manufacturers’ efforts to upgrade the nutritional value of instant noodles in the years to come may act as a brake to the diminishing growth rate. Cups/bowl instant noodles is expected to produce the best performance among the noodle categories. Unnecessary high prices is the main factor preventing the growth of this category. However, as disposable income is increasing annually, price would no longer be a problem because usage convenience would be a bigger concern for consumers. Moreover, a higher number of Vietnamese go picnicking or travel at weekends, which further supports the consumption of cups/bowl instant noodles. As previously mentioned, instant noodles with better quality and ingredients are inarguably the future trend. In order to make it happen, more investment in research and development activities and better quality raw materials would add up to a higher unit price level. Therefore, it is expected that the unit price level will increase gradually over the forecast period. Independent small grocers will continue to serve as the main distribution channel over the forecast period, as a larger proportion of the Vietnamese population lives in rural areas without the presence of modern trade distribution channels. Conversely, in big cities or urban areas, supermarkets or hypermarkets are preferred as consumers can buy many products at one time and at the same place for a better price compared to that of grocers. Apart from the instant noodles manufacturers’ exploitation of health issues in communication materials, many articles have raised their voice about the health problems related to eating this kind of food. Hence, companies will probably not just compete on price, but also in terms of product quality and new innovation. Even higher investment in R&D will be exhibited over the forecast period. Also, creative branding strategies will help the companies to differentiate themselves from others. Gau Do chose a very different but successful brand strategy during the 2011 and 2012 period. Products targeting a specific niche market are also expected during the forecast period. Over the forecast period, products with added nutrition value, such as DHA, vitamins, or omega and removed unhealthy substances, such as trans-fat, oil or salt, are expected to be present in the market, which could educate customers about a new way of consuming instant noodles. Also, the ‘one size fits all’ period may have come to an end, as customised product offerings with extensive marketing support are expected to take up the market share of the brands serving the mass market. Omachi and Kokomi have clearly succeeded in targeting the predefined customer segment with the right approaches. CATEGORY DATA Table 1 Sales of Noodles by Category: Volume 2007-2012 '000 tonnes
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D L E S I N V I E T N A M P a s s p o r t 4 © E u r o m o n i t o r I n t e r n a t i o n a l 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 Chilled Noodles - - - - - - Frozen Noodles - - - - - - Instant Noodles 274.2 293.0 321.3 345.1 372.8 400.9 - Cups/Bowl Instant 11.2 12.6 13.8 15.1 16.4 17.8 Noodles - Pouch Instant Noodles 263.0 280.4 307.5 330.0 356.4 383.1 Plain Noodles 1.8 1.9 2.0 2.2 2.3 2.4 Snack Noodles - - - - - - Noodles 276.0 294.9 323.4 347.2 375.1 403.3 Source: Euromonitor International from official statistics, trade associations, trade press, company research, store checks, trade interviews, trade sources Table 2 Sales of Noodles by Category: Value 2007-2012 VND billion 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 Chilled Noodles - - - - - - Frozen Noodles - - - - - - Instant Noodles 8,601.1 10,154.2 12,169.1 14,383.8 17,058.3 20,028.3 - Cups/Bowl Instant 637.4 796.8 940.2 1,128.3 1,365.2 1,667.3 Noodles - Pouch Instant Noodles 7,963.7 9,357.4 11,228.8 13,255.5 15,693.1 18,361.0 Plain Noodles 29.4 34.0 38.7 43.8 50.0 58.6 Snack Noodles - - - - - - Noodles 8,630.6 10,188.1 12,207.8 14,427.5 17,108.4 20,086.9 Source: Euromonitor International from official statistics, trade associations, trade press, company research, store checks, trade interviews, trade sources Table 3 Sales of Noodles by Category: % Volume Growth 2007-2012 % volume growth 2011/12 2007-12 CAGR 2007/12 Total Chilled Noodles - - - Frozen Noodles - - - Instant Noodles 7.5 7.9 46.2 - Cups/Bowl Instant Noodles 8.5 9.7 58.5 - Pouch Instant Noodles 7.5 7.8 45.7 Plain Noodles 4.0 5.5 30.8 Snack Noodles - - - Noodles 7.5 7.9 46.1 Source: Euromonitor International from official statistics, trade associations, trade press, company research, store checks, trade interviews, trade sources Table 4 Sales of Noodles by Category: % Value Growth 2007-2012 % current value growth 2011/12 2007-12 CAGR 2007/12 Total Chilled Noodles - - - Frozen Noodles - - - Instant Noodles 17.4 18.4 132.9
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D L E S I N V I E T N A M P a s s p o r t 5 © E u r o m o n i t o r I n t e r n a t i o n a l - Cups/Bowl Instant Noodles 22.1 21.2 161.6 - Pouch Instant Noodles 17.0 18.2 130.6 Plain Noodles 17.1 14.8 99.2 Snack Noodles - - - Noodles 17.4 18.4 132.7 Source: Euromonitor International from official statistics, trade associations, trade press, company research, store checks, trade interviews, trade sources Table 5 Leading Instant Noodle Flavours 2007-2012 ranking 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 Seafood 2 1 1 1 1 1 Beef 1 3 2 2 2 2 Tom Yam 4 4 4 3 3 3 Chicken 3 2 3 4 4 4 Pork 5 5 5 5 5 5 Source: Euromonitor International from official statistics, trade associations, trade press, company research, store checks, trade interviews, trade sources Table 6 Noodles Company Shares 2008-2012 % retail value rsp Company 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 Acecook Vietnam JSC 52.7 51.0 50.8 50.5 51.5 Masan Food Corp 1.6 10.0 11.8 14.2 16.5 Asia Food Industry Co Ltd 13.4 12.2 12.1 11.8 12.1 VIFON - Vietnam Food 7.5 6.0 5.5 5.4 5.4 Industries Joint Stock Co Saigon Vewong Joint 4.9 4.9 4.9 4.9 5.1 Venture Co Colusa Miliket 4.2 3.6 3.5 3.4 3.3 Foodstuff JSC (COMIFOOD) Thien Huong Food Co 4.6 3.6 3.2 2.9 2.6 Uni-President Vietnam 1.2 - - - - Co Ltd Miliket Food & - - - - - Foodstuffs Enterprise Colusa Food Processing - - - - - Enterprise Acecook Vietnam Co Ltd - - - - - Others 9.9 8.7 8.2 6.9 3.5 Total 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 Source: Euromonitor International from official statistics, trade associations, trade press, company research, store checks, trade interviews, trade sources Table 7 Noodles Brand Shares 2009-2012 % retail value rsp Brand Company 2009 2010 2011 2012 Hao Hao Acecook Vietnam JSC 17.9 18.2 18.5 19.8 Vina Acecook Acecook Vietnam JSC 21.1 20.7 20.2 19.4
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D L E S I N V I E T N A M P a s s p o r t 6 © E u r o m o n i t o r I n t e r n a t i o n a l Hao 100 Acecook Vietnam JSC 10.0 9.8 9.6 10.1 Gau Do Asia Food Industry Co Ltd 8.4 8.5 8.5 9.3 Omachi Masan Food Corp 2.9 5.2 6.4 8.0 Tien Vua Masan Food Corp 7.1 5.6 5.5 5.7 A-One Saigon Vewong Joint 4.9 4.9 4.9 5.1 Venture Co Hello Asia Food Industry Co Ltd 3.8 3.5 3.2 2.8 Colusa Colusa Miliket 3.1 2.9 2.8 2.6 Foodstuff JSC (COMIFOOD) Vi Huong Thien Huong Food Co 3.6 3.2 2.9 2.6 Tao Quan Acecook Vietnam JSC 2.1 2.2 2.2 2.2 Ngon Ngon VIFON - Vietnam Food 2.0 1.8 1.8 1.9 Industries Joint Stock Co Kokomi Masan Food Corp - - 1.4 1.9 Tu Quy VIFON - Vietnam Food 1.4 1.3 1.3 1.3 Industries Joint Stock Co Oh Ngon Masan Food Corp - 0.9 0.9 0.9 Vifon VIFON - Vietnam Food 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 Industries Joint Stock Co Miliket Colusa Miliket 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.6 Foodstuff JSC (COMIFOOD) Hao 100 Acecook Vietnam Co Ltd - - - - Hao Hao Acecook Vietnam Co Ltd - - - - Vina Acecook Acecook Vietnam Co Ltd - - - - Colusa Colusa Food Processing - - - - Enterprise Miliket Colusa Food Processing - - - - Enterprise Chin-Su Masan Food Corp - - - - Miliket Miliket Food & - - - - Foodstuffs Enterprise Vua Bep Uni-President Vietnam - - - - Co Ltd Others 10.3 9.7 8.4 4.8 Total 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 Source: Euromonitor International from official statistics, trade associations, trade press, company research, store checks, trade interviews, trade sources Table 8 Sales of Noodles by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2007-2012 % retail value rsp 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 Store-Based Retailing 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 - Grocery Retailers 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 -- Supermarkets 1.2 2.5 3.9 6.4 6.8 7.6 -- Hypermarkets 0.3 0.7 1.3 2.5 3.2 4.3 -- Discounters - - - - - - -- Small Grocery 81.9 80.2 78.4 75.0 75.5 72.9 Retailers --- Convenience Stores 0.8 0.8 0.9 0.5 0.2 0.0 --- Independent Small 81.1 79.4 77.6 74.5 75.3 72.8 Grocers --- Forecourt Retailers - - - - - - -- Other Grocery 16.5 16.6 16.4 16.1 14.5 15.3 Retailers - Non-Grocery Retailers 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -- Health and Beauty - - - - - - Retailers
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D L E S I N V I E T N A M P a s s p o r t 7 © E u r o m o n i t o r I n t e r n a t i o n a l -- Other Non-Grocery - - - - - - Retailers Non-Store Retailing - - - - - - - Vending - - - - - - - Homeshopping - - - - - - - Internet Retailing - - - - - - - Direct Selling - - - - - - Total 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 Source: Euromonitor International from official statistics, trade associations, trade press, company research, store checks, trade interviews, trade sources Table 9 Forecast Sales of Noodles by Category: Volume 2012-2017 '000 tonnes 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 Chilled Noodles - - - - - - Frozen Noodles - - - - - - Instant Noodles 400.9 429.2 455.4 478.6 498.5 514.2 - Cups/Bowl Instant 17.8 19.3 20.8 22.4 23.9 25.5 Noodles - Pouch Instant Noodles 383.1 409.9 434.5 456.3 474.5 488.8 Plain Noodles 2.4 2.4 2.5 2.6 2.6 2.7 Snack Noodles - - - - - - Noodles 403.3 431.7 457.9 481.2 501.1 516.9 Source: Euromonitor International from trade associations, trade press, company research, trade interviews, trade sources Table 10 Forecast Sales of Noodles by Category: Value 2012-2017 VND billion 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 Chilled Noodles - - - - - - Frozen Noodles - - - - - - Instant Noodles 20,028.3 21,685.6 23,212.6 24,582.2 25,719.4 26,629.0 - Cups/Bowl Instant 1,667.3 1,800.7 1,935.7 2,071.2 2,195.5 2,305.3 Noodles - Pouch Instant Noodles 18,361.0 19,884.9 21,276.9 22,510.9 23,523.9 24,323.8 Plain Noodles 58.6 60.9 63.1 65.0 66.6 67.9 Snack Noodles - - - - - - Noodles 20,086.9 21,746.6 23,275.7 24,647.1 25,786.0 26,697.0 Source: Euromonitor International from trade associations, trade press, company research, trade interviews, trade sources Table 11 Forecast Sales of Noodles by Category: % Volume Growth 2012-2017 % volume growth 2016/17 2012-17 CAGR 2012/17 Total Chilled Noodles - - - Frozen Noodles - - - Instant Noodles 3.2 5.1 28.3 - Cups/Bowl Instant Noodles 6.5 7.4 43.2 - Pouch Instant Noodles 3.0 5.0 27.6
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D L E S I N V I E T N A M P a s s p o r t 8 © E u r o m o n i t o r I n t e r n a t i o n a l Plain Noodles 1.5 2.5 13.1 Snack Noodles - - - Noodles 3.2 5.1 28.2 Source: Euromonitor International from trade associations, trade press, company research, trade interviews, trade sources Table 12 Forecast Sales of Noodles by Category: % Value Growth 2012-2017 % constant value growth 2012-17 CAGR 2012/17 TOTAL Chilled Noodles - - Frozen Noodles - - Instant Noodles 5.9 33.0 - Cups/Bowl Instant Noodles 6.7 38.3 - Pouch Instant Noodles 5.8 32.5 Plain Noodles 3.0 15.9 Snack Noodles - - Noodles 5.9 32.9 Source: Euromonitor International from trade associations, trade press, company research, trade interviews, trade sources
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