The new work model is moving to a hybrid model
Little discussion on transit has related to route optimization
Electrifying transit has concerns due to issues with the grid including reliable supply. Many cities want to shutdown natural gas - https://www.ecohome.net/guides/3667/when-will-natural-gas-be-phased-out-usa-canada-uk/
There are funding gaps with local urban transit systems that need to be covered by taxpayers
1. PRESENTER
PAUL YOUNG CPA CGA
FEBRUARY 28, 2022
How is Canada Transit doing in
Canada and the World
2. Paul Young - Bio
• CPA, CGA (1996)
• Academia (PF1, FA4, FN2, MU1. and MS2)
• SME – Customer Success Management
• SME – Risk Management
• SME – Close, Consolidate and Reporting
• SME – Public Policy
• SME – Emerging Technology
• SME – Business Process Change
• SME – Financial Solutions
• SME – Macro/Micro Indicators
• SME – Supply Chain Management
• SME – Data, AI, Security, and Platform
• SME – Internal Controls and Auditing
Contact information email: Paul_Young_CGA@hotmail.com
LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/paul-young-055632b/
SlideShare - https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga
Twitter: https://twitter.com/paulyoungcpa
Youtube - https://www.youtube.com/user/youngercga1968/videos
3. Large Urban Transit / Monthly Trends
Large Urban Transit / Annual Trends
VIA Rail
Capital Investment
Mississauga Transit
Transit and Audits
Fleets
Data, analytics, and Platform
Summary
Agenda
4. Transits are important to assist with moving people around from one location to another location
There are issues facing transit including the subsidies that government provide to support transit
Building more transit needs to include a proper risk management. There are routes being added
that lose moneys which means more government moneys is required to support those routes
Transit needs to look at synergies including consolidation of transit systems within a geographic
area
Govt need to bring back the non-refundable tax credit for Transit. This tax credit help the middle
class
Liberal government killed the transit tax credit and then created a carbon tax rebate. The problem
is the next impact of the carbon tax will mean on average families will pay $1,000 more in carbon
taxes (ex of the rebate)
Summary
6. Source – Stats Canada
Transportation Equipment
• If transit purchased 400 new business a year then it would take 30 years to removed diesel buses from
their fleet
7. Source - https://media.viarail.ca/en/publications
VIA Rail The rail company wants to build a multibillion-dollar new network of dedicated
passenger-rail lines in Ontario and Quebec, so its trains would no longer have to yield to
freight trains on borrowed tracks
https://toronto.citynews.ca/video/2019/06/25/business-report-via-expected-to-
overhaul-corridor-between-windsor-quebec/
Facts:
1. VIA rail already gets a sizable grant from the government -
https://media.viarail.ca/en/publications (2017 In 2017 the total grants (operational
and capital funding) were approximately $354M
2. High speed rail has to be viable - https://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/london/high-
speed-rail-1.4915058 - There are other options to fund rail
3. High speed works in Asia to how the population is distributed –
http://www.globaltimes.cn/content/1149608.shtml
4. High speed rail has been a failure in EU - https://www.ft.com/content/e77dc48e-
7894-11e8-8e67-1e1a0846c475 or
https://www.euractiv.com/section/railways/news/eus-high-speed-rail-plan-is-
ineffective-unrealistic-say-auditors/
5. There are financing issues - https://asia.nikkei.com/Business/Business-
trends/Catalyst-or-catastrophe-Lessons-from-Asia-s-high-speed-rail-failures
Summary
The liberals never seem to do proper business cases as such throw money at winning
votes and not whether a project is either profitable or viable without direct government
subsidies.
8. TTC “The COVID-19 pandemic has resulted in an 80 per cent drop in ridership and a loss of $90 million in
monthly revenue – money that is essential to sustain operations. In addition to the layoffs, the TTC has
also implemented the following cost-saving measures:” Source -
https://www.ttc.ca/News/2020/May/24_05_20NR_costsavings.jsp
Go Transit “A massive drop in ridership has forced the temporary layoff of 196 Bombardier workers
assigned to GO Transit and UP Express, company spokesperson Annick Robinson says.“Regarding our
work in Ontario with Metrolink, we have, since the beginning of the health crisis, been able to keep our
team fully employed,” Robinson said in an email Thursday.” -
https://nationalpost.com/news/politics/covid-19-has-transit-services-pleading-for-money-from-federal-
government-as-fare-boxes-run-empty or https://torontosun.com/news/local-news/huge-ridership-drop-
prompts-layoffs-at-go-transit-up-express
Transit buses expansion - https://www.newswire.ca/news-releases/canada-and-ontario-invest-in-public-
transit-and-active-transportation-infrastructure-for-southwestern-ontario-residents-822839237.html
Brampton Transit - https://canada.constructconnect.com/dcn/news/government/2020/08/brampton-
receives-funding-to-upgrade-transit-system
COVID 19 Transit
9. Money for Transit - https://news.ontario.ca/opo/en/2020/7/historic-agreement-
delivers-up-to-4-billion-to-support-municipalities-and-transit.html
Emergency funding - https://www.atu.org/media/releases/atu-applauds-emergency-
funding-for-ontarios-transit-systems-encourages-other-provinces-to-make-the-same-
commitment
https://fcm.ca/en/news-media/news-release/fcm-statement-the-2021-federal-budget
“"Growing the Disaster Mitigation and Adaptation Fund”
Funding / Transit
10. Green Buses - https://electricautonomy.ca/2020/10/01/federal-investment-zev-bus-charging/ - It
should be noted that over 82% of the power generation -
https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/report-electricity-analysis-canada-and-the-world-
238885441 . Many municipalities want to eliminate natural gas. Natural gas makes up 9% of the power
- https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/what-next-for-natural-gas -
https://www.kitchenertoday.com/local-news/kitchener-council-calls-on-province-to-phase-out-gas-
fired-power-production-2828118 - Kitchener has buses that run on natural gas or other fuels -
https://www.newswire.ca/news-releases/grand-river-transit-expands-brt-fleet-with-an-order-from-
new-flyer-665531563.html
Transit budget shortfalls - https://www.cp24.com/news/city-to-face-1-5-billion-shortfall-in-2021-
budget-amid-unimaginable-financial-pressures-from-covid-19-report-1.5144626 or
https://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/manitoba/winnipeg-finances-transit-revenues-deficit-1.5755267
Transit
11. Source – 2018 -
https://www.industryweek.com/technology-
and-iiot/article/22025063/electric-buses-will-
take-over-half-the-worlds-fleet-by-2025
Fleet / Clean
Nearly half of the municipal buses on the road
worldwide will be electric within seven years, with
China expected to dominate the global market as it
aims to cut urban pollution and support domestic
manufacturers.
The total number of electric buses in service is
forecast to more than triple, from 386,000 last year
to about 1.2 million in 2025, equal to about 47% of
the worldwide city bus fleet, according to a report
from Bloomberg New Energy Finance (BNEF).
“China will lead this market, due to strong domestic
support and aggressive city-level targets,” wrote
Aleksandra O’Donovan, an analyst for BNEF and
author of the study.
Source - https://www.sustainable-bus.com/electric-
bus/electric-bus-public-transport-main-fleets-projects-
around-world/ or
https://autosphere.ca/fleet/2020/09/21/electric-buses-
growing-towards-a-50-percent-global-market-share/
12. Financial Planning and Analysis - https://ibm.box.com/s/0fg1f62zrtjmvcwicu1bm6u6emwkle88
Close, consolidate, and reporting - https://ibm.box.com/s/i7efp948qvb5l8bt96y8sigsup8yes2u
Analytics and Reporting - https://ibm.box.com/s/fh9cns7sk3ffwhsqhazqpndz1kj3mqbk
Risk and Fraud - https://ibm.box.com/s/noi1j6ixzl6ralxkm4g0zzs911wf6s76
CloudPak for Data - https://www.zdnet.com/article/ibm-takes-the-next-step-with-cloud-pak-for-data/
Asset management - https://www.ibm.com/business-operations/enterprise-asset-management
Data, AI and Platform for Transit
13. Transit systems are heavily subsidized as such declining in ridership will force changes like reduction in routes or property
tax increases or other policy changes
More and more investment by local governments into smarter cities -
https://www.ibm.com/smarterplanet/us/en/smarter_cities/solutions/human_solutions/
More and more people are working remotely - https://www.businessinsider.com/companies-asking-employees-to-work-
from-home-due-to-coronavirus-2020
Transit will need to adjust to new normal which could see a reduction in ridership as more people will work remotely -
https://www2.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/new-normal-for-canada-and-the-world
Uber and rural transit - https://www.straight.com/tech/could-uber-be-future-of-public-transit-in-rural-communities
COVID19 - https://www.macleans.ca/society/all-the-ways-the-pandemic-could-change-cities-forever/
Municipal shortfalls - https://www.masstransitmag.com/management/article/21209852/canada-to-invest-nearly-c15-
billion-in-transit-over-eight-years or https://www.hamilton.ca/government-information/news-centre/news-
releases/gtha-mayors-and-chairs-concerned-about-covid-19
What’s next
Blog – Urban Transportation – Canada and the World
8 Places With
Awesome and Innovative Public Transportation - EcoWatch.pdf
$1.6M in government
funding will keep BC Bus North running for another year iNFOnews Thompson-Okanagan's News Source.pdf
Media release )
PowerON and TTC agree to drive transit electrification - OPG.pdf
Electrifying
Transportation to Benefit Every American Department of Energy.pdf
How hybrid work
schedules might affect the revival of downtown Montreal Montreal Gazette.pdf
Load Planning How
to Use It to Reduce Transportation Costs OptimoRoute.pdf
Scilit Article -
Optimization for Feeder Bus Route Model Design with Station Transfer.pdf
First Hydrogen train
in Japan hits the rails for test run.pdf
People pay way more
to take the TTC than what transit costs in other North American cities.pdf
Liberals offer $750
million for transit-fare shortfalls CTV News.pdf
FTA to Transit $4.7B
in FY22 Formula Funding Available (Updated) - Railway Age.pdf
Natural Gas Phased
Out of New Home Construction - When & Why - Ecohome.pdf
The new work model is moving to a hybrid model
Little discussion on transit has related to route optimization
Electrifying transit has concerns due to issues with the grid including reliable supply. Many cities want to
shutdown natural gas - https://www.ecohome.net/guides/3667/when-will-natural-gas-be-phased-out-
usa-canada-uk/
There are funding gaps with local urban transit systems that need to be covered by taxpayers
1. Public Transportation / Innovation - https://www.ecowatch.com/innovative-public-
transportation-cities.html
2. Rural transportation - https://infotel.ca/newsitem/16m-in-government-funding-will-keep-bc-
bus-north-running-for-another-year/it81943
3. Electrifying the grid - https://infotel.ca/newsitem/16m-in-government-funding-will-keep-bc-bus-
north-running-for-another-year/it81943
4. Electrifying - https://www.energy.gov/eere/articles/electrifying-transportation-benefit-every-
american
5. Hybrid work model - https://montrealgazette.com/news/local-news/how-hybrid-work-
schedules-might-affect-the-revival-of-downtown-montreal
6. Transit optimization -
https://www.scilit.net/article/2b6dd32beae2027ef0cbdfecc45ac8b2?action=show-references
7. Transit - https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/abs/pii/S1569190X21001428
8. Transit subsidies - https://www.blogto.com/city/2022/02/ttc-cost-north-american-cities/
9. Hydrogen buses - https://www.livemint.com/news/world/first-hydrogen-train-in-japan-hits-the-
rails-for-test-run-11645424471760.html
10. Transit - https://www.ctvnews.ca/politics/liberals-offer-750-million-to-cities-to-make-up-for-
transit-fare-shortfalls-1.5785680