- Public safety costs are becoming a larger portion of municipal budgets due to higher wages and benefits for police and other public sector workers negotiated through arbitration. This arbitration process does not take into account the ability of municipalities to pay. - Violent crime is increasing in Canada according to statistics. The federal government under Trudeau has shifted the mandate for Corrections Canada to be more focused on rehabilitation over punishment. - Emerging technologies like analytics and data mining can help police solve crimes more efficiently by linking together related records and identifying duplicate entries, but proper privacy protections would need to be in place. Gun control laws are also a ongoing debate in Canada around further restrictions or classification changes.

1. CRIME AND CANADA – JULY
2019
BY: PAUL YOUNG, CPA, CGA
JULY 28, 2018

2. PAUL YOUNG - BIO
• CPA, CGA
• Academia (PF1, FA4 and MS2)
• SME – Risk Management
• SME – Close, Consolidate and Reporting
• SME – Public Policy
• SME – Emerging Technology
• SME – Financial Solutions
• SME – Business Process Change
• SME – Supply Chain Management
Contact information:
Paul_Young_CGA@Hotmail.com

3. AGENDA
• Crime Rate / Canada
• # of Police officer per 100,000 population
• Police Costs
• Reforms to Police Act – Ontario (Proposals)
• Switch from local police to either RCMP or OPP or QPP
• Public Safety Budget
• Broken Arbitration / Process
• Analytics and Policing
• Gun Control
• Trudeau / Violent Crime

4. SUMMARY
• Public Safety costs are becoming a bigger piece of municipal budgets
• Arbitration process is not based on the ability of the municipalities to pay
• Higher wages/benefit costs could both hikes to user feeds and property taxes as well as less money for other
programs like infrastructure.
• Many government officials will not touch arbitration process as they view public sector workers as a large
voting sector.
• Violent crime is on the increase in Canada
• Trudeau changed the mandate letters for Corrections Canada
• Too many provinces have been growing public sector payroll faster than private sector. On average it takes
1.65 private sector jobs to cover the cost of one public sector job -
http://business.financialpost.com/news/economy/public-sector-crowding-out-private-job-growth-hampering-
employment-opportunities-in-canada

5. CRIME RATE / CANADA
Source - Stats Canada

6. POLICE REPORTED /
CRIMES
Source – Stats Canada

7. BLOG / CRIME – CANADA
• In 2018 there were two major events: a) Yonge Street Van attack b) Danforth shooting. There has not been two large mass
killing sprees in the same year since 2014. You must go way back to find casualties that compare to what has happen in 2018.
• https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/asylum-seekers-canada-july-2018
• Mosque shooting – Quebec City - https://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/montreal/quebec-city-mosque-shooting-bisonnette-
sentencing-1.4621689
• Van run down - https://torontosun.com/news/local-news/multiple-pedestrians-struck-by-van-on-yonge-st
• Danforth Shooting - https://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/toronto/police-id-danforth-shooter-1.4757566 or
https://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/toronto/faisal-hussein-friends-1.4758969?cmp=news-digests-canada-and-world-morning or
https://torontosun.com/news/local-news/warmington-nothing-wrong-with-feeling-anger-after-danforth-shooting
• Canada mass shootings - https://www.quora.com/How-does-Canada-compare-to-America-as-far-as-mass-shootings-go or
https://www.ctvnews.ca/canada/deadliest-mass-slayings-in-recent-canadian-history-1.3900241
• Vehicles - https://torontosun.com/news/local-news/toronto-police-advise-of-increased-officer-presence-downtown
• Cover up - https://www.infowars.com/is-the-media-covering-up-toronto-shooters-islamic-terrorist-motive/
• I said to a friend over a year ago that Canada is imploding due to how Trudeau is running the country. Trudeau is taking a page
out of Obama as such likely wants to implement martial law like his dad did during the 1970s -
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-7_a2wa2dd4 or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=78CD_D4D_pE
•

8. POLICE COSTS / CANADA
Source - https://www.fraserinstitute.org/sites/default/files/police-and-crime-rates-in-canada.pdf

9. POLICE COSTS / CANADA
Source - https://www.fraserinstitute.org/sites/default/files/police-and-crime-rates-in-canada.pdf

10. POLICE COSTS / CANADA
Source - https://www.fraserinstitute.org/sites/default/files/police-and-crime-rates-in-canada.pdf

11. AVERAGE POLICE SALARY – CANADA
Source - https://www.payscale.com/research/CA/Job=Police_Officer/Salary

12. SWITCH TO OPP / MIDLAND
Source - http://www.ourmidland.ca/news/police-service/yet-another-police-service-finds-no-savings-switching-opp-2017-05-18
As our mayor continues the deliberations with the OPP costing committee to determine if there are any savings to
be had in Midland by switching to the OPP, we await the recommendations and subsequent decision by Council.
Just as the failure of Midland Bay Landing was predicted by virtually everyone in the community, we see the
continued waste of tax dollars on consultants to tell us what we learned the night of the OPP quote.
OPP will cost more than our local police and we have to pay millions in severance and disbanding costs, upgrades to
the municipal police building (which was just renovated at our expense) and the extra expenses over and above the
already more expensive quote, just to receive service levels below what we have enjoyed for a century or more.

13. NEW LEGISLATION – POLICING - ONTARIO
Source - http://www.chch.com/policing-law-changes/ or http://www.iheartradio.ca/610cktb/news/wynne-liberals-to-announce-
changes-to-police-services-act-1.3403966
Key areas:
• Oversight Board
• No pay to suspended officers
• Communities can move certain
work done by police to other
departments
What is missing:
• No discussion on arbitration reforms
• No discussion on the cost multiplier for OPP
policing costs
• No discussion on reforming pay/pensions
• No discussion how the oversight board would
be funded

14. AUDITOR-GENERAL OF ONTARIO – OPP COSTING MODEL
• Source - http://www.auditor.on.ca/en/content/news/12_newsreleases/2012news_3.10.pdf or http://www.auditor.on.ca/en/content/annualreports/arreports/en14/409en14.pdf or http://nationmun.ca/wp-content/uploads/2016/Minutes/43-%20December%2012/15.6%2020161202%20ENG%20OAPSB%20Zone2_OPP%20Billing%20Model%20Final.pdf

15. PUBLIC SAFETY / FEDERAL
Source - https://www.publicsafety.gc.ca/cnt/rsrcs/pblctns/2016-pblc-rpr-trrrst-thrt/2016-pblc-rpr-trrrst-thrt-en.pdf

16. PUBLIC SAFETY SPENDING / FEDERAL GOVERNMENT
Source - https://www.publicsafety.gc.ca/cnt/rsrcs/pblctns/dprtmntl-prfrmnc-rprt-2012-13/index-en.aspx#a7

17. BLOG - TERRORISM
• It is amazing the government says they are concerned for the safety of Canadians and yet says little on how it will handle the 60 so called ISIS fighters. Here is information on ISIS:
• http://www.cnn.com/2017/10/01/americas/edmonton-vehicle-attacks-investigation/index.html - ISIS attack on a police officer
• Goodale again is blaming Harper - https://www.facebook.com/michellerempelmp/videos/1622101751182471/
• Public Safety is not tracking when intervention is used for radicals - http://www.cbc.ca/news/politics/deradicalization-canada-isis-fighters-program-1.4414999?cmp=news-digests-canada-and-world-
morning
• Criminal Code – Genocide - http://laws-lois.justice.gc.ca/eng/acts/C-46/section-318.html - There are sections were people can be tried for genocide
• ISIS is using refugees to infiltrate various countries - https://www.theguardian.com/uk-news/2016/dec/02/islamic-state-recruiters-targeting-refugees-in-europe-counter-terror-experts-warn
• War Criminals - http://torontosun.com/opinion/columnists/malcolm-trudeaus-de-radicalization-approach-is-dangerous
• Goodale and ISIS - http://www.ctvnews.ca/video?clipId=1270704&playlistId=1.3694003&binId=1.810401&playlistPageNum=1#_gus&_gucid=&_gup=Facebook&_gsc=ih4qhd
• ISIS attacks – at least 143 attacks in 29 countries including Canada - http://www.cnn.com/2015/12/17/world/mapping-isis-attacks-around-the-world/index.html
• ISIS may go into heading as part of regrouping - http://www.americanthinker.com/blog/2017/11/hundreds_of_fighters_in_isis_convoy_allowed_to_escape_raqqa_with_weapons.html. We have
tinder conditions in the middle east that can flare up at any time.
• Middle East will always be about different sects - http://www.macleans.ca/politics/how-the-push-to-defeat-isis-sparked-a-new-battle-in-iraq/. Iraq major groups are Sunni, Shiite and Kurds.
• USA and Russia join with the UN cut off funding for ISIS - https://www.nbcnews.com/nightly-news/video/us-and-russia-join-forces-at-u.n.-to-choke-off-isis-money-supply-587887171880. The problem
is that governments in the middle east as well as Africa countries that have ties to terrorist groups. These same groups receive foreign aid - https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/foreign-aid-
transparency-and-accountability-october-2017
• Blame Harper - More blame to Harper as poor, poor Trudeau got confronted on his stance on terrorists - https://mobile.twitter.com/anastef62/status/933459715689820160
• More lone wolf attacks - http://www.hometownlife.com/story/news/2017/11/02/rise-lone-wolf-insiders-view-terrorism/824620001/. Many of these lone wolf attacks are inspired by terrorist groups
like Hezbollah, Hamas, Boka Haram, etc.
• We will continue to see groups come out of hiding to pick their battles - https://www.dawn.com/news/1370551
• It is very hard to de-radicalised people - http://www.bloggingtories.ca/forums/post112453.html.
• Source - https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/terrorism-threats-november-2017

18. BROKEN ARBITRATION PROCESS
Source - https://tobybarrett.com/columnarticles/2012/09/fixing-ontarios-broken-arbitration-system/ or https://www.cfib-fcei.ca/en/media/new-report-broken-arbitration-system-causing-unsustainable-rise-municipal-costs
• In Windsor, where they’ve been waiting since 2006 for a final
decision on their negotiations with firefighters, an arbitrator
awarded the firefighters’ union a $7.3 million “interim” wage
increase of nearly 13 per cent.
• In Owen Sound, firefighters received a total wage hike of
more than 10 per cent in a three year contract.
• The Mayor’s coalition – including Norfolk’s Mayor – penned a
letter in May advising that, “some municipalities policing
costs have doubled in the past five years alone. …The
matter becomes worse for small urban and rural
municipalities as they must rely on the Ontario Provincial
Police model that limits their control even more than those
municipalities who have their own force”
• The fact is with a million-plus employees, and one out of
every three workers considered an essential service,
Ontario’s salary and benefit costs make up more than half of
all budget expenditures. Further, while the economy is barely
growing, many unionized public servants continue to receive
pay and benefit increases.
• After years of watching the Ontario government ignore the
growing problem, it’s high time to fix a broken system that
awards unaffordable contract settlements to unionized
government employees. The recently proposed Ability to Pay
Act from the Official Opposition is our attempt to do just that.
ith one year to go until municipal elections in the
fall of 2018, the Canadian Federation of
Independent Business (CFIB) released its annual
BC Municipal Spending Watch report today,
showing that local government real operating
spending outpaced population growth nearly four-
fold between 2005 and 2015.
The report also reveals a large part of
unsustainable rises in municipal operating
spending is driven by a broken collective
bargaining compensation system that, if left
unaddressed, will cause large tax and fee
increases for local residents and businesses.
“Business owners, like other British Columbians,
value and respect the dedicated people in
municipal police, RCMP, and fire protection
services. The current system for setting
compensation is, however, clearly broken and
causing unsustainable increases in municipal
costs,” states Richard Truscott, Vice-President,
BC and Alberta.

19. GUN CONTROL
Source - https://twitter.com/SpencerFernando/status/1021950929367650304

20. POLICING AND ANALYTICS
• Source - https://www.ibm.com/news/ca/en/2011/06/28/y592236g08258o05.html
TORONTO, ON and VANCOUVER, BC, June 28, 2011—Police in British Columbia are joining an
increasing number of public safety organizations throughout the world who use advanced software
from IBM [NYSE:IBM] to mine, share and extract intelligence from data. Police Records Information
Management Environment for British Columbia (PRIME-BC) has selected IBM analytics software to
improve police investigative and prevention programs and respond to crime and emergency
situations more efficiently.
In its first multi-police jurisdictional implementation, IBM's technology will analyze the more than four
million records in the PRIME-BC records management system used by all of BC's municipal police
departments and the Royal Canadian Mounted Police detachments. The IBM Entity Analytics
capability will help to eliminate duplicate entries and match partial or intentionally inaccurate
information.
"Establishing accurate identities and understanding relationships between individuals is an
important step in law enforcement," said PRIMECorp General Manager Russell Sanderson. "IBM is
helping us turn data into intelligence to solve and fight crime, and in the process, significantly
increase officer safety and reduce public risk."
Multiple entries on a single individual can lead to fragmented and incomplete intelligence and
potentially dangerous situations, if a query fails to reveal a person's history of violence, mental
health issues, or criminal record due to inconsistencies in the way data such as name or date of
birth was recorded—for example "John Doe" vs. "John B. Doe." Some estimate as many as one in
five records in PRIME-BC's database are duplicate entries.

21. CASE STUDY – MANCHESTER POLICE
Source - https://www-935.ibm.com/industries/government/solutions/analysis-analytics-law-enforcement.html

22. GUN CONTROL
Source - https://globalnews.ca/news/4095772/matt-gurney-gun-control-canada/
On the face of it, for instance, I don’t see any harm in
enhancing background checks for would-be gun
owners, or those seeking to renew their licences. And
I certainly see nothing wrong with requiring even
private sales of most rifles and shotguns (which are
generally no longer registered in Canada) to include
validation of the purchaser’s firearms licence. The
government might still find a way to screw up the
execution — the Liberals’ record on smoothly
implementing gun control measures is, to put it mildly,
bad — and I don’t really see how some of this is
practically enforceable. But the notions are fine.
I’m more skeptical of the government’s plan to turn
over the classification of guns to the RCMP. Guns in
Canada fall into three classifications: non-restricted
(most rifles and shotguns), restricted (most handguns
and some rifles) and prohibited (certain handguns and
rifles, typically those that would be commonly, if not
quite accurately, called “assault rifles”). In theory,
there are clear definitions for each of these
categories, but certain guns have long been weirdly
classified at a higher level than you’d expect on the
whims of political office holders.
Trudeau has no clue
what he is saying
about C-42
https://www.youtube.c
om/watch?v=K25TXB-
cqAs

23. LIBERALS NEW MANDATE – LIGHT ON CRIME
Liberals weak on crime approach:
• Terri McClintic – child killer – transfer to healing lodge December 2017 - https://globalnews.ca/news/4491689/tori-stafford-killer-healing-
lodge-terri-lynne-mcclintic/
• Khadr killed a USA soldier awarded $10.5M dollars - https://globalnews.ca/news/3589498/omar-khadr-compensation-canadians-poll/
• Edmonton Mall assault – Syrian – acquitted - https://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/edmonton/soleiman-west-edmonton-mall-water-park-assault-
decision-1.4736694
• New Commissioner and Liberal direction - https://www.cbc.ca/news/politics/prison-commissioner-goodale-kelly-1.4811408 “The letter
instructs Kelly to address the needs of different groups of offenders, including black Canadians, women, young adults and seniors."It is
important that services, interventions, assessment tools and correctional approaches be tailored to address the full diversity of CSC's
population, and that this diversity be reflected in CSC's staff and management," it reads. – This is from Ralph Goodale” or
https://www.timescolonist.com/correction-services-head-marching-orders-less-segregation-more-engagement-1.23422302
• Violent Crime is up under the Liberals - https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/daily-quotidien/180723/dq180723b-eng.htm
• Liberals have done little review when it comes to granting bail conditions - https://www.pressreader.com/canada/toronto-
sun/20180920/281496457197871
• Changing court proceedings - https://www.cbc.ca/news/politics/liberal-crime-justice-reform-1.4598480
• Weak on deporting criminals - https://globalnews.ca/news/4087292/canada-deporting-dangerous-criminals-ineffective-still-here/ - Trudeau
always said a Canadian is a Canadian
• Drunk Driver and healing lodge - https://torontosun.com/news/provincial/recommended-healing-lodge-sentence-in-fatal-drunk-driving-crash-
a-joke
• Bus killer released - https://globalnews.ca/news/4360713/lawsuit-over-greyhound-bus-beheading-in-limbo-10-years-later/

24. TERRI MCCLINTIC / HEALING LODGE
Trudeau is less than accurate
• McClintic was moved Late 2017 –
Liberal were the official govt
• Liberals gave a new mandate to Anne
Kelly to look at alternative methods
for treatment
• Liberals have revoked Harper’s tough
on crime sentences
• Liberals are about feelings including
social re-engineering.
Rodney Stafford on the move -
https://globalnews.ca/news/4498748/to
ri-stafford-father-killer-transfer/

25. DANFORTH AND FREDERICTION SHOOTINGS
• Trudeau shows within two days of a mosque shooting, right https://www.cbc.ca/news/politics/canada-reaction-
mosque-shooting-1.3957938
• Trudeau/Bushie
• https://globalnews.ca/news/4022425/colten-boushie-justin-trudeau-appeal/
• Yet other events it takes nearly a week for Trudeau to show up, why?
• Fredericton Shooting - https://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/new-brunswick/fredericton-shooting-police-justin-trudeau-
1.4782506 (Two days)
• Danforth Shooting - https://globalnews.ca/video/4360770/prime-minister-trudeau-lays-wreath-at-site-of-danforth-
mass-shooting (over a week - https://www.thestar.com/news/danforth-shooting.html

26. WHAT’S NEXT
• Tougher laws for people that used guns to commit crimes
• Tougher deportation of violent criminals
• New mandates when it comes to handling criminals as part of rehabilitation
• Time to bring back chain gangs
• Reversing Liberal changes to jury selection
• Review all laws including impaired driving
• Review of DPA process including moving the AG to department outside of the government.