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Metropolitan Business Planning
                             A New Approach to Transforming a Region’s Future




                                                                                       @BrookingsMetro
                                                                                          @Amy_Liuw
           Metropolitan Policy Program                            Sao Paulo, Brazil / November 28, 2012
           at BROOKINGS

Monday, November 19, 2012                                                                                 1
The U.S. Economic Recovery Has Been Slow and Uneven Since the Great Recession


   Employment (1,000,000s)                                            Unemployment Rate                                                  Median Family Income ($1,000s)
                                                                                                                 10.0%
  150                                                               10.0                                                                  70
                                      1.46M                                                                                                                       $67K

  145                                                      1.43M      7.5                                                                 65
                                                                                                                              7.9%                                       $62K

  140                                                                 5.0                                                                 60


  135                                                                 2.5                                                                 55


  130                                                                   0                                                                 50
      2000                                                2012           2000                                                 2012          2000                         2010




Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics; Lawrence Mishel and others, “The State of Working America, 12th Edition,” Washington: Economic Policy Institute, 2012.
Monday, November 19, 2012                                                                                                                                                       2
The Fiscal Crisis Is Putting a Squeeze on Public Sector Solutions
                                        Publicly Held Federal Debt as a Share of GDP
                100
                                                                                                                                             Alternative Scenario
                                                                                                                                                                                 89.7%
                  80



                  60                                                                                                                                                             58.5%
                                                                                                                                                             Fiscal Cliff

                  40



                  20



                    0
                    2009        2010        2011        2012       2013        2014        2015        2016        2017        2018       2019        2020        2021         2022


Source: Congressional Budget Office, “An Update to the Economic and Budget Outlook: Fiscal Years 2012 to 2022,” Washington, 2012; Committee for a Responsible Federal Budget.
Monday, November 19, 2012                                                                                                                                                                3
To Prosper, We Need a New Growth Model




Monday, November 19, 2012                   4
To Prosper, We Need a New Growth Model




                               TRANSFORMATIVE
                               INVESTMENT




Monday, November 19, 2012                       4
The Next Economy Will be Powered by Metro Areas

                            100 Largest Metropolitan Areasʼ Share of U.S. Prosperity


                                                                                                   75%
                                                                           65%          67%



                                           12%


                                             2007                              2007      2007        2007
                                         Share of                        Share of      Share of    Share of
                                        Land Area                       Population    Employment    Output

Source: Brookings analysis of U.S. Census Bureau and Moodyʼs Analytics data.
Monday, November 19, 2012                                                                                     5
Metro Business Planning Is an Emerging Model to Transform the Economy




Monday, November 19, 2012                                                  6
MBP: Applying the Discipline of Private Sector Planning to a Region

                             Know Your Market Niche

     Identify a Regional Economic Vision and Mission
                                                              Traditional Economic
                                                              Development
                        Identify Strategies and Goals

              Specify Products, Services and Policies

                            Develop an Operational Plan

                             Develop a Financial Plan

                     Target and Monitor Performance

Monday, November 19, 2012                                                            7
MBP: Applying the Discipline of Private Sector Planning to a Region

                             Know Your Market Niche

     Identify a Regional Economic Vision and Mission

                        Identify Strategies and Goals

                                                              Metropolitan
              Specify Products, Services and Policies
                                                              Business Plans
                            Develop an Operational Plan

                             Develop a Financial Plan

                     Target and Monitor Performance

Monday, November 19, 2012                                                      7
To Start, A Region Must Know Its Overall Economic Performance



                                            • Output
                                            • Employment
                                            • Population
                                            • Productivity
                                            • Wages
                                            • Income



Monday, November 19, 2012                                          8
Concentrations of industries,
                                                                      functions, and occupations



                                                                                         Linkages and movement
                             Spatial Efficiency           Clusters                        of goods, people, and
                                                                                         information to support
                                                                                         economic efficiency

  Enablers
                                                         Prosperity                      Government efficiency
                                                                                         and efficacy
                             Governance                           Human
                                                 Innovation                              Business environment
                                                                  Capital                Tax value proposition


                            Innovation performance                                 Talent production, attraction,
                    Entrepreneurial ecosystem                                      retention, and matching to jobs


Monday, November 19, 2012                                                                                            9
A Dozen Metro Areas Are Acting on Business Plans for Growth

                                                                 Minneapolis-St. Paul
                                                                 Northeast Ohio
                                                                 Puget Sound
                                                                 Louisville/Lexington
                                Chicago, IL
                                              Northeast Ohio     Memphis
                                                                 Phoenix
                                                                 Syracuse
                                                                 Chicago
                                                                 Baltimore
                                                                 Buffalo
                                                                 Newark
                                                                 New York

Monday, November 19, 2012                                                               10
These Metro Areas Comprise a Large Share of Their State Economies
          Chicagoʼs Share of State Economy                            Northeast Ohioʼs Share of State Economy
                            Chicago-Joliet-Naperville, IL-IN-WI MSA    Cleveland-Elyria-Mentor, OH; Youngstown-Warren-Boardman, OH-PA MSA;
                                                                                      Akron, OH MSA; Canton-Massillon, OH MSA




                                                                                                              35.9%

                                                   71.4%




Source: Brookings analysis of Moodyʼs Analytics data.
Monday, November 19, 2012                                                                                                                    11
NE Ohio: Applying the Discipline of Private Sector Planning to a Region

                                Know Your Market           Strong manufacturing
                                                           base
     Identify a Regional Economic Vision and Mission
                                                           Top tier research
                        Identify Strategies and Goals      institutions

                                                           Weak job growth and
              Specify Products, Services and Policies
                                                           productivity
                            Develop an Operational Plan    Shrinking workforce with
                                                           low BA attainment
                             Develop a Financial Plan
                                                           Fragmented, high-cost
                     Target and Monitor Performance        local governments

Monday, November 19, 2012                                                             12
NE Ohio: Applying the Discipline of Private Sector Planning to a Region

                                Know Your Market

     Identify a Regional Economic Vision and Mission
                                                           Create a connected,
                        Identify Strategies and Goals
                                                           collaborative region that
                                                           can compete for jobs,
              Specify Products, Services and Policies
                                                           market share and
                                                           investments in the next
                            Develop an Operational Plan
                                                           global economy
                             Develop a Financial Plan

                     Target and Monitor Performance

Monday, November 19, 2012                                                              12
NE Ohio: Applying the Discipline of Private Sector Planning to a Region

                                Know Your Market           Help SMMs innovate in
                                                           growth markets
     Identify a Regional Economic Vision and Mission
                                                           Grow/ connect employers
                                                           with skilled workers
                        Identify Strategies and Goals
                                                           Create entrepreneurial
              Specify Products, Services and Policies      ecosystem

                                                           Link regional planning and
                            Develop an Operational Plan
                                                           revenue sharing with
                                                           economic growth
                             Develop a Financial Plan
                                                           Reward government
                     Target and Monitor Performance        efficiency/ collaboration

Monday, November 19, 2012                                                               12
NE Ohio: Applying the Discipline of Private Sector Planning to a Region

                                Know Your Market               Partnership for
                                                             Regional Innovation
     Identify a Regional Economic Vision and Mission              Services
                                                                     (PRISM)
                        Identify Strategies and Goals
                                                          •Access to equipment,
              Specify Products, Services and Policies      research, and training
                                                          •Assistance identifying
                            Develop an Operational Plan    new market opportunities
                             Develop a Financial Plan     •Access to flexible risk
                                                           capital for
                     Target and Monitor Performance        commercialization

Monday, November 19, 2012                                                             12
NE Ohio: Applying the Discipline of Private Sector Planning to a Region

                                Know Your Market

     Identify a Regional Economic Vision and Mission
                                                           MAGNET as lead entity
                        Identify Strategies and Goals

              Specify Products, Services and Policies      Services provided by key
                                                           partners (e.g. Nortech,
                            Develop an Operational Plan    community colleges,
                                                           business schools)
                             Develop a Financial Plan

                     Target and Monitor Performance

Monday, November 19, 2012                                                             12
NE Ohio: Applying the Discipline of Private Sector Planning to a Region

                                Know Your Market

     Identify a Regional Economic Vision and Mission
                                                           $2.4 million
                                                           start-up costs
                        Identify Strategies and Goals

              Specify Products, Services and Policies      $8.4 million
                                                           budget over 5 years
                            Develop an Operational Plan
                                                           Shift to revenue-based
                             Develop a Financial Plan      model in year 3

                     Target and Monitor Performance

Monday, November 19, 2012                                                           12
NE Ohio: Applying the Discipline of Private Sector Planning to a Region

                                Know Your Market
                                                           12
     Identify a Regional Economic Vision and Mission       SMMs served in the first
                                                           year
                        Identify Strategies and Goals

              Specify Products, Services and Policies
                                                           $275 million
                                                           projected new firm
                                                           revenue growth by 2014
                            Develop an Operational Plan

                             Develop a Financial Plan
                                                           425
                                                           projected new jobs at
                                                           portfolio companies by 2014
                     Target and Monitor Performance

Monday, November 19, 2012                                                                12
These Metros Are Also Transforming the Civics to “Staff” an MBP

                            Northeast Ohio                  Chicago
Project
                            Fund for our Economic Future    World Business Chicago
Manager
                            Magnet
Core Working                                                McKinsey & Company
                            NorTech
Group                       Team NEO and others
                                                            City of Chicago

                            Loraine Community College       Metropolitan Planning Council
                            Greater Cleveland Partnership   Executivesʼ Club
                            George Fund Foundation          Civic Committee
Board of
                            Cleveland Foundation            Chicago Community Trust
Directors                   Municipalities                  Chicago Federation of Labor
                            Case Western                    McArthur Foundation
                            Greater Akron Chamber           Chicago Land Chamber of Commerce



Monday, November 19, 2012                                                                      13
States Are Aligning to Regional Strategies




                    Ohio                   Tennessee                  New York
              Regional Economic     Regional Jobs Base Camps
                                                               Regional Economic Councils
             Partners to JobsOhio           and Plans


Monday, November 19, 2012                                                                   14
In Sum, MBPs Can Lead to Results in Economic Performance

     Rooted in analytic rigor

     Nested in market dynamics

     Surfaces transformative opportunities
                                                              Metropolitan
                                                              Business Plans
     Identifies cross-cutting initiatives

     Leverages private/philanthropic investments

     Operationalized with clear accountability

Monday, November 19, 2012                                                      15
Metropolitan Business Planning
                             A New Approach to Transforming a Region’s Future




                                                                                       @BrookingsMetro
                                                                                          @Amy_Liuw
           Metropolitan Policy Program                            Sao Paulo, Brazil / November 28, 2012
           at BROOKINGS

Monday, November 19, 2012                                                                                 16

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Amy Liu | Metropolitan Business Planning | Global Cities Initiative

  • 1. Metropolitan Business Planning A New Approach to Transforming a Region’s Future @BrookingsMetro @Amy_Liuw Metropolitan Policy Program Sao Paulo, Brazil / November 28, 2012 at BROOKINGS Monday, November 19, 2012 1
  • 2. The U.S. Economic Recovery Has Been Slow and Uneven Since the Great Recession Employment (1,000,000s) Unemployment Rate Median Family Income ($1,000s) 10.0% 150 10.0 70 1.46M $67K 145 1.43M 7.5 65 7.9% $62K 140 5.0 60 135 2.5 55 130 0 50 2000 2012 2000 2012 2000 2010 Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics; Lawrence Mishel and others, “The State of Working America, 12th Edition,” Washington: Economic Policy Institute, 2012. Monday, November 19, 2012 2
  • 3. The Fiscal Crisis Is Putting a Squeeze on Public Sector Solutions Publicly Held Federal Debt as a Share of GDP 100 Alternative Scenario 89.7% 80 60 58.5% Fiscal Cliff 40 20 0 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 Source: Congressional Budget Office, “An Update to the Economic and Budget Outlook: Fiscal Years 2012 to 2022,” Washington, 2012; Committee for a Responsible Federal Budget. Monday, November 19, 2012 3
  • 4. To Prosper, We Need a New Growth Model Monday, November 19, 2012 4
  • 5. To Prosper, We Need a New Growth Model TRANSFORMATIVE INVESTMENT Monday, November 19, 2012 4
  • 6. The Next Economy Will be Powered by Metro Areas 100 Largest Metropolitan Areasʼ Share of U.S. Prosperity 75% 65% 67% 12% 2007 2007 2007 2007 Share of Share of Share of Share of Land Area Population Employment Output Source: Brookings analysis of U.S. Census Bureau and Moodyʼs Analytics data. Monday, November 19, 2012 5
  • 7. Metro Business Planning Is an Emerging Model to Transform the Economy Monday, November 19, 2012 6
  • 8. MBP: Applying the Discipline of Private Sector Planning to a Region Know Your Market Niche Identify a Regional Economic Vision and Mission Traditional Economic Development Identify Strategies and Goals Specify Products, Services and Policies Develop an Operational Plan Develop a Financial Plan Target and Monitor Performance Monday, November 19, 2012 7
  • 9. MBP: Applying the Discipline of Private Sector Planning to a Region Know Your Market Niche Identify a Regional Economic Vision and Mission Identify Strategies and Goals Metropolitan Specify Products, Services and Policies Business Plans Develop an Operational Plan Develop a Financial Plan Target and Monitor Performance Monday, November 19, 2012 7
  • 10. To Start, A Region Must Know Its Overall Economic Performance • Output • Employment • Population • Productivity • Wages • Income Monday, November 19, 2012 8
  • 11. Concentrations of industries, functions, and occupations Linkages and movement Spatial Efficiency Clusters of goods, people, and information to support economic efficiency Enablers Prosperity Government efficiency and efficacy Governance Human Innovation Business environment Capital Tax value proposition Innovation performance Talent production, attraction, Entrepreneurial ecosystem retention, and matching to jobs Monday, November 19, 2012 9
  • 12. A Dozen Metro Areas Are Acting on Business Plans for Growth Minneapolis-St. Paul Northeast Ohio Puget Sound Louisville/Lexington Chicago, IL Northeast Ohio Memphis Phoenix Syracuse Chicago Baltimore Buffalo Newark New York Monday, November 19, 2012 10
  • 13. These Metro Areas Comprise a Large Share of Their State Economies Chicagoʼs Share of State Economy Northeast Ohioʼs Share of State Economy Chicago-Joliet-Naperville, IL-IN-WI MSA Cleveland-Elyria-Mentor, OH; Youngstown-Warren-Boardman, OH-PA MSA; Akron, OH MSA; Canton-Massillon, OH MSA 35.9% 71.4% Source: Brookings analysis of Moodyʼs Analytics data. Monday, November 19, 2012 11
  • 14. NE Ohio: Applying the Discipline of Private Sector Planning to a Region Know Your Market Strong manufacturing base Identify a Regional Economic Vision and Mission Top tier research Identify Strategies and Goals institutions Weak job growth and Specify Products, Services and Policies productivity Develop an Operational Plan Shrinking workforce with low BA attainment Develop a Financial Plan Fragmented, high-cost Target and Monitor Performance local governments Monday, November 19, 2012 12
  • 15. NE Ohio: Applying the Discipline of Private Sector Planning to a Region Know Your Market Identify a Regional Economic Vision and Mission Create a connected, Identify Strategies and Goals collaborative region that can compete for jobs, Specify Products, Services and Policies market share and investments in the next Develop an Operational Plan global economy Develop a Financial Plan Target and Monitor Performance Monday, November 19, 2012 12
  • 16. NE Ohio: Applying the Discipline of Private Sector Planning to a Region Know Your Market Help SMMs innovate in growth markets Identify a Regional Economic Vision and Mission Grow/ connect employers with skilled workers Identify Strategies and Goals Create entrepreneurial Specify Products, Services and Policies ecosystem Link regional planning and Develop an Operational Plan revenue sharing with economic growth Develop a Financial Plan Reward government Target and Monitor Performance efficiency/ collaboration Monday, November 19, 2012 12
  • 17. NE Ohio: Applying the Discipline of Private Sector Planning to a Region Know Your Market Partnership for Regional Innovation Identify a Regional Economic Vision and Mission Services (PRISM) Identify Strategies and Goals •Access to equipment, Specify Products, Services and Policies research, and training •Assistance identifying Develop an Operational Plan new market opportunities Develop a Financial Plan •Access to flexible risk capital for Target and Monitor Performance commercialization Monday, November 19, 2012 12
  • 18. NE Ohio: Applying the Discipline of Private Sector Planning to a Region Know Your Market Identify a Regional Economic Vision and Mission MAGNET as lead entity Identify Strategies and Goals Specify Products, Services and Policies Services provided by key partners (e.g. Nortech, Develop an Operational Plan community colleges, business schools) Develop a Financial Plan Target and Monitor Performance Monday, November 19, 2012 12
  • 19. NE Ohio: Applying the Discipline of Private Sector Planning to a Region Know Your Market Identify a Regional Economic Vision and Mission $2.4 million start-up costs Identify Strategies and Goals Specify Products, Services and Policies $8.4 million budget over 5 years Develop an Operational Plan Shift to revenue-based Develop a Financial Plan model in year 3 Target and Monitor Performance Monday, November 19, 2012 12
  • 20. NE Ohio: Applying the Discipline of Private Sector Planning to a Region Know Your Market 12 Identify a Regional Economic Vision and Mission SMMs served in the first year Identify Strategies and Goals Specify Products, Services and Policies $275 million projected new firm revenue growth by 2014 Develop an Operational Plan Develop a Financial Plan 425 projected new jobs at portfolio companies by 2014 Target and Monitor Performance Monday, November 19, 2012 12
  • 21. These Metros Are Also Transforming the Civics to “Staff” an MBP Northeast Ohio Chicago Project Fund for our Economic Future World Business Chicago Manager Magnet Core Working McKinsey & Company NorTech Group Team NEO and others City of Chicago Loraine Community College Metropolitan Planning Council Greater Cleveland Partnership Executivesʼ Club George Fund Foundation Civic Committee Board of Cleveland Foundation Chicago Community Trust Directors Municipalities Chicago Federation of Labor Case Western McArthur Foundation Greater Akron Chamber Chicago Land Chamber of Commerce Monday, November 19, 2012 13
  • 22. States Are Aligning to Regional Strategies Ohio Tennessee New York Regional Economic Regional Jobs Base Camps Regional Economic Councils Partners to JobsOhio and Plans Monday, November 19, 2012 14
  • 23. In Sum, MBPs Can Lead to Results in Economic Performance Rooted in analytic rigor Nested in market dynamics Surfaces transformative opportunities Metropolitan Business Plans Identifies cross-cutting initiatives Leverages private/philanthropic investments Operationalized with clear accountability Monday, November 19, 2012 15
  • 24. Metropolitan Business Planning A New Approach to Transforming a Region’s Future @BrookingsMetro @Amy_Liuw Metropolitan Policy Program Sao Paulo, Brazil / November 28, 2012 at BROOKINGS Monday, November 19, 2012 16