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Nirajon
FinancialDerivatives NirajThapa
CA Final
Ref: Books of Sir John Hull, Sir Damodaran and my teachers who are updating me in this segment.
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Introduction
Types Of Financial Derivatives
Hedging Strategies Using Futures
Option Strategies
Option Pricing
Why To Use Derivatives
Users Of Derivatives
Contents At A Glance
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Introduction Markets in Derivatives
Exchange-traded
oStandardized* contracts are traded
o Regulated by exchange boards as:
E.g. CBOT (The Chicago Board of Trade)
Target of CBOT Initially: bring farmers and merchants
together
CME (Chicago Mercantile Exchange)
CBOE (Chicago Board Options Exchange)
*Standard here means – Quantity pre specified
followed by pre specified maturity.
Over-the-counter
(An alternative to exchange)
oBased on telephone- and computer-
linked network of dealers.
o Conversations are generally tapped so as
to avoid future disputes- since non-
standardized contracts being traded.
o typically much larger trades
o participants are free to negotiate any
mutually attractive deal
o contract may not be honored
sometimes.
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Size of OTC and Exchange-Traded Markets
Source: Bank for International Settlements. Chart shows total principal amounts
for OTC market and value of underlying assets for exchange market
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S.No. Basis Exchange Traded Market OTC (Over the counter market)
(i) Product Standard Non-standard
(ii) Pricing More transparent Less transparent
(iii) MTM Easy Difficult
(iv) Settlement risk The Exchange Contracting parties
(v) Negotiation Marketwide One-to-one
(vi) Example BSE, NSE etc. Forex Market
OTC & ET Products
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Basically derivatives are agreements or contracts between two (or more) parties that has a
value determined by the price of something else.
A derivative is a-
 financial instrument or security
 whose payoffs and values are derived from, or depend on
 Another financial instrument or security
 And the pay off is derived from that underlying.
Introduction to Derivatives
The underlying asset could be a financial asset such as currency, stock
and market index, an interest bearing security or a physical commodity.
Payment may be in Currency, securities, a physical entity such as gold or
silver, an agricultural product such as wheat or pork, a transitory
commodity such as communication bandwidth or energy.
For example, a bushel of corn is not a derivative; it is a commodity with a
value determined by the price of corn.
Eg. If you enter into an agreement with a friend that says: If the price of a
bushel of corn in one year is greater than Rs.300, you will pay the friend
Rs.100 . If the price of com is less than Rs.300, then the friend will pay you
Rs. 100 . This is a derivative in the sense that you have an agreement with
a value depending on the price of something else (corn, in this case).
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Types of Financial Derivatives
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Forward Contracts (Spot Contracts)
Simply, Forward Contracts Features:
 tailor made contract Customer designed contracts
 entered today (i.e. contract sixe, expiration
 for purchase (sell) date and the asset type and quality)
 of an asset in future not available in public domain
 for a certain price agreed today
Trading: Over-the-counter market
One party-In long Position (Buyer)
Another- In short position (Seller)
Whether to buy or sell
The underlying asset
The maturity or the settlement date
The delivery price
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See Practically
USD/INR Bid Offer
Spot
1-month forward
3-month forward
6-month forward
1-year forward
70.4452
70.4435
70.4402
70.4353
70.4262
70.4456
70.4440
70.4407
70.4359
70.4268
Bid:
bank is
ready
to buy
USD
Offer:
Bank is
ready
to sell
USD
The table shows the quote given by a bank.
Forward Contracts are used to hedge foreign currency risk.
Suppose a person is receiving $10000 six months later from now, to be safe from price fluctuations
in days to come he may enter into an agreement with the bank to sell the $10000 today.
As per the rates given:
He will sell each $ @ INR 70.4353, total =70.4353*10000=704353
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Payoffs From Forward Contracts
Two
Possibilities
Assume (from above table) the real consequences on the expiry date.
The actual price prevailing on the expiry date has nothing to with the forward contract as your
payment/receiving has been previously fixed). (These payoffs can be positive or negative.)
$Price may rise $ Price may fall
(Say 1$ =INR 70.50)
Negative value to the
contract
(Say 1$ = INR 70.30)
Positive Value.
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Profit
Price of Underlying
at Maturity, ST
Profit
Price of Underlying
at Maturity, ST
Profit from a
Long Forward Position
Profit from a
Short Forward Position
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Futures
Definition
• An agreement between two parties
• to buy or sell specified asset
• In future
• With settlement at
• various future dates
Features
• Exchange traded product
• specified contract size and
specified delivery date
• Settled daily
• Settlement-in cash or physical
• Mostly closed out before maturity
• Futures prices - reported in the
financial press
• mark-to-the-market provisions
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SBI Future Seller SBI Future Buyer
Right: To receive the agreed price
Obligation: To deliver the underlying
Right: To take delivery of the underlying
Obligation: To pay the contracted price
Mr. A enters into a contract with Mr. B
Position:
Long in SBI Future &
Underlying
Position:
Short in SBI Future &
Underlying
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Concept of Margins
 amount payable by both parties.
 recovered to cover one day maximum
loss
 can be in the form of cash or other liquid
assets
 [Generally, we do not deposit cash]
 Calculated daily & Settled in cash
 Overcomes the dark side of forwards.
 minimize the chance of default
 If the price rises, the seller has an
incentive to default on a forward
contract. But in future, after paying the
clearinghouse, the seller of a futures
contract has little reason to default.
 changes in the value recognized daily,
there is no accumulation of loss
 Default rate is reduced when the
investors do not know each other.
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The agreement will be honored by the CH
To protect itself the CH demands that
An initial collateral amount is deposited to cover future losses
A futures account is marked to market daily. Daily margin increase to cover unrealized losses
from daily market movements
No party will incur a big loss at maturity
Categories of futures contracts
• Agricultural e.g. wheat, cotton, cattle.
• Metals and petroleum e.g. platinum, copper, natural gas, crude oil.
• Financial e.g. foreign currency, stock index, interest rate.
• Others e.g. electricity, catastrophe, swap
Credit Risk Mitigation
SETTLEMENT IN FUTURES
ON DAILY BASIS AT EXPIRY DATE
MTM MARGIN MTM MARGIN
BASED ON DAILY
SETTLEMENT PRICE
BASED ON *FUTURE
SETTLEMENT PRICE
DECIDED BY THE
MARKET (STOCK
EXCHANGE)
* FSP IS ALWAYS EQUAL TO SPOT PRICE OF
THE UNDERLYING AT EXPIRY.
Note:OverallProfitwillbeFSP-ContractedPrice
Clearing House
Buyer SellerTrading Floor
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Long Trader
Broker
Clearing House
Member
Clearing House
Clearing House
Member
Broker
Long Trader
Broker
Clearing House
Member
Clearing House
Clearing House
Member
Broker
Short Trader
Short Trader
Margin Cash Flows
When Futures Price Decreases When Futures Price Increases
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Convergence of Futures to Spot
Time Time
(a) (b)
Futures
Price
Futures
Price
Spot Price
Spot Price
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Forward Contracts Vs. Futures Contracts
Basis Forward Futures
Exchange Traded on over-the-counter market Traded on an exchange
Counterparty Counterparty in the forward
agreement
Clearinghouse
Transaction
Timing
Transact when purchased and on the
settlement date
Marked-to-market every day
Delivery Delivery or final cash settlement Contract is usually closed out usually
takes place prior to maturity
Credit Risk Some credit risk may arise Virtually no credit risk
Regulation Private, unregulated transactions Highly regulated
Liquidity Illiquid Highly Illiquid
Delivery Dates Usually one specified delivery date Range of delivery dates
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Remember:
The hedge has the same basic effect if delivery is
allowed to happen. However, making or taking
delivery can be a costly business so delivery is not
usually made even when the hedger keeps the
futures contract until the delivery month.
Hedging Strategies Using Futures
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• Take a position that neutralizes a particular
risk as far as possible
AIM
• That completely eliminates the risk.
• Perfect hedges are rare practically
PERFECT
HEDGE
Short Position in future Contracts
Appropriate when the hedger already owns an asset and expects to sell it.
Used when an asset is not owned right now but will be owned at some
time in the future.
E.g. Used by a farmer who owns some hogs and knows that they will be
ready for sale.
An Indian exporter will be receiving euros in three months.
He will realize a gain if the euro increases in value relative to the INR and
will sustain a loss if the euro decreases in value relative to the INR.
A short futures position leads to a loss if the euro increases in value and a
gain if it decreases in value.
It has the effect of offsetting the exporter's risk.
SHORTHEDGES
Use futures contracts than to buy the gold in the spot market as he has to pay $ 150
instead of $120 per pound and will incur both interest costs and storage costs
Long position in future contracts
-appropriate when a company knows it will have to purchase a certain asset in
the future and wants to lock in a price now.
-partially offset an existing short position
See Practically:
A trader needs 1000 pounds of gold after 3 months from now to meet a
certain contract.
Contract Size: 250 pounds
Spot Price: $150 /pound
3-M Future Price: $120 /pound
The trader can hedge by taking a long position in 4 future contracts to be
delivered in 3 months from now.
This strategy locked the price @120 cents
If the price of gold in 3 months time is 125
Gain = (125-120) x 1000 = $5000
LONGHEDGEADVICE
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Long Hedge for Purchase
Define:
F1 : Futures price at time hedge
is set up
F2 : Futures price at time asset is
purchased
S2 : Asset price at time of
purchase
b2 : Basis at time of purchase
Short Hedge for Sale
Define:
F1 : Futures price at time hedge
is set up
F2 : Futures price at time asset is
sold
S2 : Asset price at time of sale
b2 : Basis at time of sale
Price of asset S2
Gain on Futures F1 −F2
Net amount received S2 + (F1 −F2) =F1 + b2
Cost of asset S2
Gain on Futures F2 −F1
Net amount paid S2 − (F2 −F1) =F1 + b2
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Arguments In Hedging
IN FAVOR
• Companies should focus on the
main business they are in and
take steps to minimize risks
arising from interest rates,
exchange rates, and other
market variables
AGAINST
• Shareholders are usually well
diversified and can make their
own hedging decisions
• It may increase risk to hedge
when competitors do not
• Explaining a situation where
there is a loss on the hedge and
a gain on the underlying can be
difficult
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Basis Risk
• Generally, it is the spot price minus the futures price
• Basis risk arises because of the uncertainty about the basis when the hedge is closed out.
• Instances:
The asset whose price is to be hedged may not be exactly the same as the asset
underlying the futures contract.
The hedger may be uncertain as to the exact date when the asset will be bought or sold.
The hedge may require the futures contract to be closed out well before its expiration
date.
The basis would be zero if the asset to be hedged and the asset underlying the futures
contract are the same at expiration of the contract
The hedge ratio is the ratio of the size of the position taken in futures contracts to the size of
the exposure
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 It is a contract
 giving its owner the right to buy or sell an asset
 at a fixed price
 on or before a given date.
 Traded both on exchanges and in the over-the-counter market
DEFINITION
Note: Any option will be exercised if the buyer gets advantages
FEATURES Options
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 gives the holder the right
 to sell the underlying asset by
 a certain date for a certain price
 gives the holder the right
 to buy the underlying asset
 by a certain date
 for a certain price.
CALL
OPTION
American options European Options
can be exercised at any time exercised only on the expiration date
before the expiration date
(Problem in pricing-
so banned in India)
PUTOPTION
EXERCISE
STYLES
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Options Vs. Futures/Forwards
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Summary of the Determinants of Option Value
If the value of the underlying asset < Strike Price– Buyer does not exercise (CALL OPTION)
If the value of the underlying asset > Strike Price – Buyer does not exercise (PUT OPTION)
Factor Put Value Call Value
Increase in Stock Price Increases Decreases
Increase in Strike Price Decreases Increases
Increase in variance of underlying asset Increases Increases
Increase in time to expiration Increases Increases
Increase in interest rates Increases Decreases
Increase in dividends paid Decreases Increases
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Basics
1) Option seller sells the right and option buyer buys the right.
2) Call or Put should always be talked w.r.t. the underlying.
3) The party having the obligation shall pay security margin (Initial Margin)
4) There is an underlying stock or index
5) There is an expiration date of the option
6) There is a strike price of the option
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Option Positions
Options trader buy call options with the belief that the price of the
underlying security will rise significantly beyond the strike price
before the option expiration date
Investor buy put options with the belief that the price of
the underlying security will go significantly below the striking price
before the expiration date
Option trader sells the option in the hope that they expire
worthless so that they can pocket the premiums.
The converse strategy to the long put.
Involves the selling of put options.
Commonly known as put writing.
LONG CALL
LONG PUT
SHORT CALL
SHORT PUT
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Diagrammatic Examples (Call Option)
SBI Option
(Seller)
Mr. A
SBI Option
(Buyer)
Mr. B
Enters into an agreement & Sells “Right”
Mr. A’s Right NO
Mr. A’s Obligation YES
Mr. B’s Right YES
Mr. B’s Obligation NO
Mr. B Pays the option
Premium
Mr. A received the option
Premium
He has the obligation to deliver
the Underlying if the option is
exercised by B
He has the right to buy/take
delivery of the Underlying
Short in Option
& Underlying
Long in Option &
Underlying
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Diagrammatic Examples (Put Option)
SBI Put Option
(Seller)
Mr. A
SBI Put Option
(Buyer)
Mr. B
Enters into an agreement & writes “Put Option”
Mr. A’s Right NO
Mr. A’s Obligation YES
Mr. B’s Right YES
Mr. B’s Obligation NO
Mr. B Pays the Put Option
Premium
Mr. A received the Put
Option Premium
He has the obligation to
deliver the Underlying if the
option is exercised by B
He has the right to buy/take
delivery of the Underlying
Short in Put Option
Long in Underlying
(If option is exercised by Mr. B)
Long in Option
Short in Underlying
(He has to deliver the underlying)
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Some Terminologies
Strike Price
Price at which the underlying
asset is to be bought or sold
when the option is
exercised.
It's relation to the market
value of the underlying asset
affects the moneyness of
the option and is a major
determinant of the option's
premium.
Premium
Simply, price for the right
depends on the strike price,
volatility of the underlying, as well
as the time remaining to
expiration.
Expiration Date
Once the stock option expires, the
right to exercise no longer exists and
the stock option becomes worthless.
The expiration month is specified for
each option contract.
The specific date on which expiration
occurs depends on the type of
option.
Contract Multiplier
states the quantity of the underlying
asset that needs to be delivered in
the event the option is exercised.
For stock options, each contract
covers 100 shares.
Spot Price
The current price at
which a particular
security can be bought or
sold at a specified time
and place
The price in the contract
is known as the exercise
price or strike price
The date in the contract is known
as the expiration date or maturity.
The act of buying or
selling the underlying
asset via the option
contract is referred to
as exercising the
option.
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Cash Flows & Profits
In the Hands of Option Buyer
Expiry Date
NIL Inflow
In the Hands of Option Writer
Expiry Date
Outflow NIL
Option
Exercise
Option Not
Exercised
Option
Not
Exercised
Option
Exercised
Remember: Always at Inception of the agreement buyer has outflow and seller has inflow
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Quantifying The Amounts
PUT OPTION CALL OPTION
BUYER SELLER BUYER SELLER
If X > S Inflow (X-S) Outflow (S-X) 0 0
Option NOT Exercised
If X < S 0 0 Inflow (S-X) Outflow (X-S)
Option NOT Exercised
Note: Say X means Strike Price & S means Spot Price
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Profit Or Loss- (Premium To Be Adjusted With The Cash Flows)
PUT OPTION CALL OPTION
Case I: BUYER SELLER BUYER SELLER
If X > S Inflow (X-S) Outflow (S-X) 0 0
(Option NOT Exrcised)
Premium (P) P (P) P
Profit (Loss) X-S-P S-X-P (P) P
Conclusion Limited Profit Limited Loss To the extent of Premium
Case II:
If X < S 0 0 Inflow (S-X) Outflow (X-S)
(Option NOT Exrcised)
Premium (P) P (P) P
Profit (Loss) S-X-P X-S+P
Conclusion To the extent of Premium Unlimited Profit Unlimited Loss
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OPTION PRICE = INTRINSIC VALUE + TIME VALUE
(OPTION PREMIUM) (EXTRINSIC VALUE)
Computed by
Comparing Spot
Price & Strike Price
Keeps on Changing
due to change in
Spot Price
Quoted Price
[Determined by
using Theoretical
Price]
Bal. Fig
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In Case of Call Option
Example: IDFC Spot Price at time “t” = 120
IDFC Call Option Strike Price = 110 [Right to buy]
IDFC Call Option Price (premium) = 15
Now, Intrinsic Value = Spot Price – Strike Price
120-110 =10 (Portion of profit already made)
Time Value = 15-10 = 5 (Profit yet to be made).
Break Even Spot Price at Expiry: Strike Price + Premium
= 110 + 15 = 125
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In Case of Put Option
Example: IDFC Spot Price at time “t” = 120
IDFC Call Option Strike Price = 135 [Right to Sell]
IDFC Call Option Price (premium) = 20
Intrinsic Value: Strike Price –Spot Price
= 135-120 = 15
Extrinsic Value = 20-15 = 5
Break Even Spot Price at Expiry: Strike Price – Premium Paid
= 135 -20 = 115
Note: In theory time value declines at a constant rate while in practice the decline rate would be
faster nearer the expiry date
MONEYNESS OF OPTION
ITM OTM
(IN THE MONEY) (OUT OF THE MONEY)
ITM OPTIONS ARE
EXPENSIVE SINCE
IV ARE HIGH
NIL INTRINSIC
VALUE
X < S
It describes the relationship between the strike price of an option and the current trading price of its underlying security.
ATM
(AT THE MONEY)
IV = 0
X > SS = X
X > S S > XS = X
CALL OPTION
PUT OPTION
Strike Price
(INR)
Moneyness Call Option Premium Intrinsic Value Time Value
35 ITM 15.50 15 0.50
40 ITM 11.25 10 1.25
45 ITM 7 5 2
50 ATM 4.50 0 4.50
55 OTM 2.50 0 2.50
60 OTM 1.50 0 1.50
65 OTM 0.75 0 0.75
Strike Price
(INR)
Moneyness Put Option Premium Intrinsic Value Time Value
35 OTM 0.75 0 0.75
40 OTM 1.50 0 1.50
45 OTM 2.50 0 2.50
50 ATM 4.50 0 4.50
55 ITM 7 5 2
60 ITM 11.25 10 1.25
65 ITM 15.50 15 0.50
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OPTION STRATEGIES
Option Strategies
One Instrument Strategies More than one instrument Strategies
i) Long Call Spread Combinations
ii) Short Call i) Bull i) Straddle
iii) Long Put Put
iv) Short Put Call ii) Strip
v) Married Put ii) Bear iii) Strap
vi) Protective Put Put
vii) Covered Call Call iv) Strangle
iii) Butterfly Spread
Put
Call
iv) Calender Spread
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ONE INSTRUMENT STRATEGIES
Long Call
View: Bullish
BE Spot Price: S = [X+C]
Profit: Rise in Price
Profit at expiry: When S > BEP
Profit S – [X+C]
Max. Profit Unlimited
Maximum Loss: C [The Premium]
Belief that the price of the underlying security will rise significantly beyond the strike price before the option expiration date
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Short Call
View: Bearish
Profit: Fall in Price
BE Spot Price: S = [X+C]
Profit at expiry: When [S<BEP]
Profit [X+C] – S
Max. Profit C
Maximum Loss: Unlimited
[If price exceeds BEP]
Belief that stock price falls below the strike price of the call options by expiration
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Long Put
View: Bearish
Profit: Fall In Price
BE Spot Price: X - C
Profit at expiry: When S<BEP
Profit X- [C+S]
Max. Profit X - C
Maximum Loss: Premium
Belief that the price of the underlying security will go significantly below the striking price before the expiration date
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Short Put
View: Bullish
Profit: If Price Rises
BE Spot Price: S = [X-C]
Profit at expiry: When S > BEP
Profit S- [X-C]
Max. Profit C
Maximum Loss: [X – P]
Belief that the price of the underlying security will rise significantly beyond the strike price before the option expiration date
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Married Put
View: Bullish
BEP: [X+C]=Price of Stock
Profit: S>Purchase Price of Stock +C
Maximum Profit: Unlimited
Belief that the stock price will fall and you want to protect the profits made from a stock, buying a put option will
mitigate such loss.
Buy one Stock at S,
Buy Put Option at X and S=X
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Protective Put
View: Bullish
BEP: [X+C] = Price of Stock
Profit: Price of Stock> [X+P]
Maximum Profit: Unlimited
The holder buys the stock at first and later on he will buy the put option
Used as a means to protect unrealized gains on shares from a previous purchase
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Covered Call
In the Money Covered Call
• Max Profit = Premium Received -
Purchase Price of
Underlying + Strike Price
of Short Call
• Max Profit Achieved :When Price of
Underlying >=
Strike Price of Short Call
BEP = Purchase Price of Underlying -
Premium Received
Call options are written against a holding of the underlying security
Earn a premium writing calls while at the same time appreciate all benefits of underlying stock ownership
A short position in a call option on an asset combined with a long position in the asset
Far less risky than naked calls
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Created by the simultaneous purchase and sale of options of the same class on
the same underlying security and same expiration dates but with
different strike prices.
Spread Constructed using CALLS-Call Spread
Spread Constructed using PUT- Put Spread
Spread designed to earn profit from a rise in price - bull spread
Spread designed to earn profit from a fall in price - bear spread
MORE THAN ONE INSTRUMENT STRATEGIES
Spread
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Note 1) A higher strike price call option would be less costlier as
compared to lower strike price call option.
Note 2) A higher strike price put option would be more costlier
as compared to lower strike price put option.
Note 3) Maximum loss is fixed for Net Payer of Premium
Maximum gain is fixed for Net Receiver of Premium
Some Concepts in Spread
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Bull Call Spread:
Strategy:
Sell high strike price call option
& simultaneously, buy low strike price call option
Gain: When price of stock rises above
higher strike price .
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Say we have two call options:
Low Strike Price Call Option be X1
Higher Strike Price Call Option be X2
C1 & C2be the Premium paid on X1 & X2 resp. where C1>C2
Move as per strategy and view the cases
Case I Case II Case III
Spot Price at
Expiry <X1
Spot Price at Expiry falls
between X1 & X2
Spot Price at Expiry
goes above X2
X1 Call Option Worth Less S-X1 S-X1
X2 Call Option Worthless Worth Less X2-S
Net Premium -C1+C2 -C1+C2 -C1+C2
Maximum Profit (Loss) C1+C2 (S-X1)-C1+C2 (X2-X1) -C1+C2
Net Payer of Premium
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Bull Put Spread:
Strategy: Sell high strike price put
option & simultaneously, buy
low strike price put option
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Say we have two put options:
Low Strike Price Put Option be X1
Higher Strike Price Put Option be X2
P1 & P2 be the Premium paid on X1 & X2 resp. where P2>P1
Move as per strategy and view the cases
Case I Case II Case II
Spot Price at Expiry <X1 Spot Price at Expiry falls
between X1 & X2
Spot Price at Expiry goes
above X2
X1 Put Option (X1-S) Worth Less Worth Less
X2 Put Option (S-X2) (S-X2) Worth Less
Net Premium -P1+P2 -P1+P2 -P1+P2
Maximum Gain (Loss) (X1-X2) - P1+P2 (S-X2) - P1+P2 -P1+P2
Net Receiver of Premium
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Bear Call Spread
Strategy:
Sell lower strike price call option & simultaneously buy
higher strike price call option
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Say we have two Call options:
Low Strike Price Call Option be X1
Higher Strike Price Call Option be X2
C1 & C2 be the Premium paid on X1 & X2 resp. where C1>C2
Move as per strategy and view the cases
Case I Case II Case II
Spot Price at
Expiry <X1
Spot Price at Expiry falls
between X1 & X2
Spot Price at Expiry goes
above X2
X1 Call Option Worthless X1-S X1-S
X2 Call Option Worthless Worth Less S-X2
Net Premium C1-C2 C1-C2 C1-C2
Maximum Gain (Loss) C1-C2 (X1-S)+(C1-C2) (X1-X2) +(C1-C2)
Net Receiver of Premium
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Bear Put Spread
Strategy:
Sell lower strike price Put option &
simultaneously buy higher strike price put
option.
Next SlideNiraj Thapa
Net Payer of Premium
Say we have two put options:
Low Strike Price Put Option be X1
Higher Strike Price Put Option be X2
P1 & P2 be the Premium paid on X1 & X2 resp. where P1<P2
Move as per strategy and view the cases
Case I Case II Case II
Spot Price at Expiry <X1 Spot Price at Expiry falls
between X1 & X2
Spot Price at Expiry goes
above X2
X1 Put Option (S-X1) Worth Less Worth Less
X2 Put Option (X2-S) (X2-S) Worth Less
Net Premium P1-P2 P1-P2 P1-P2
Maximum Gain (Loss) (X2-X1) + (P1-P2) (X2-S) + (P1-P2) (P1-P2)
Next SlideNiraj Thapa
Butterfly Spread
Involves positions in options with three different strike prices
Created by:
-buying a call option with a relatively low strike price, X1;
-buying a call option with a relatively high strike price, X3; and
selling two call options with a strike price, X2
Buy
1
Call
Sell
Two
Calls
Buy
1
Call
X1=95 (say) X2 = 100 X3 = 105
C1= -10 (say) 2xC2 = 2x7 C3 = -5
X1<X2<X3
X2-X1 = X3-X2
C1>C2>C3
(I) (II) (III) (IV)
Next SlideNiraj Thapa
BUTTERFLY SPREAD
BUTTERFLY CALL
SPREAD
BUTTERFLY PUT
SPREAD
LONG BUTTERFLY
CALL SPREAD
SHORT BUTTERFLY
PUT SPREAD
SHORT BUTTERFLY
CALL SPREAD
LONG BUTTERFLY
OUT SPREAD
Next SlideNiraj Thapa
Case I Case II Case III Case IV
Conditions Spot Price at Expiry <X1 Spot Price at Expiry falls
between X1 & X2
Spot Price at Expiry falls
between X2 & X3
Spot Price at Expiry goes
above X3
X1 Call Option 0 S-X1 S-X1 S-X1
X2 Call Option 0 0 2(X2-S) 2(X2-S)
X3 Call Option 0 0 0 S-X3
Net Premium (2C2-C1-C3) =-1 (2C2-C1-C3) =-1 (2C2-C1-C3) =-1 (2C2-C1-C3) =-1
Maximum Gain (Loss) -1 (S-X1-1) (S-X1) -2(S-X2)-1 -1
Note: Profit will be maximum when S is equal to X
Next SlideNiraj Thapa
COMBINATIONS
STRADDLE STRANGLE STRAPSTRIP
LONG
STRADDLE
SHORT
STRANGLE
SHORT
STRADDLE
LONG
STRANGLE
LONG STRADDLE
+
LONG PUT
LONG STRADDLE
+
LONG CALL
Next SlideNiraj Thapa
STRADDLE
• LONG STRADDLE
Strategy:
 Buy a call and a put both having
-same underlying
-same expiry date
-same strike price
View: Large movement in price
either way.
• SHORT STRADDLE
Strategy:
 Sell a call and put both having
-same underlying
-same expiry date
-same strike price
View: No (or little) movement in
price.
Next SlideNiraj Thapa
STRANGLE
• LONG STRANGLE
Strategy:
Buy one call and put
-having same underlying
-having same expiry date
-but different strike price
View: Very large movement in price
• SHORT STRANGLE
Strategy:
Sell one call and put
-having same underlying
-having same expiry date
-but different strike price
View: No large movement in price
Next SlideNiraj Thapa
• STRIP
Strategy:
Buy 2 Puts and 1 call having
-same underlying
-same expiry date
-same strike price
• STRAP
Strategy:
Buy 2 Calls and 1 put having
-same underlying
-same expiry date
-same strike price
Next SlideNiraj Thapa
Future Pricing
Cost of Carry Model
-states futures price should
depend upon two things:
• The current spot price.
• The cost of carrying or storing the
underlying good from now until
the futures contract matures.
F = S + C
Assumptions:
• There are no transaction costs or
margin requirements.
• There are no restrictions on short
selling.
• Investors can borrow and lend at
the same rate of interest
Simply, it is the theoretical value of a future contract
Next SlideNiraj Thapa
F = S+C
F = S + [Sxr%xT/12]
F = S [1+(r%xT/12)]
Hence, future price is the compounded
value of the underlying price at risk free
rate over the contract life.
Alternatively,
F = S x ert
Where,
ert means continuous compounding.
Note: Both formulae will give same result if value of ert is taken upto one factor.
Next SlideNiraj Thapa
Pricing of Dividend Paying Stock
DIVIDEND
PAID
CONTINUOUSLYPAID IN LUMP SUM
Note: Income would reduce cost of Strategy while expense will increase the same.
Next SlideNiraj Thapa
Paid in lump sum
Option 1:
Step I: Adjusted “S”
= S-PV of all dividends
Step II:
F = Adj.S x [1+(r%xT/12)]
F = Adj.S x ert
Option 2:
F = S x [1+(r%xT/12)]-Compounded
value of dividend
expected to be
received on expiry
date.
Paid Continuously:
Option 1:
F = S [1+(r%-y%)xT/12]
F = S x e(r%-y%)T
Next SlideNiraj Thapa
Creating a replicating portfolio:
 Objective: use a combination of risk free borrowing/lending and
the underlying asset to create the same cashflows as
the option being valued.
Call = Borrowing + Buying Δ of the Underlying Stock
Put = Selling Short Δ on Underlying Asset + Lending.
 The number of shares bought or sold is called the option delta.
 The principles of arbitrage then apply, and the value of the option has to
be equal to the value of the replicating portfolio.
Option Pricing
Next SlideNiraj Thapa
Next SlideNiraj Thapa
 The version of the model presented by Black and Scholes was
designed to value European options, which were dividend-
protected.
 The value of a call option in the Black-Scholes model can be written
as a function of the following variables:
S = Current value of the underlying asset
X = Strike price of the option
t = Life to expiration of the option
r = Riskless interest rate corresponding to the life of the option
s2 = Variance in the ln (value) of the underlying asset
Black Scholes Model
Next SlideNiraj Thapa
 The current stock price
 The strike price
 The time to expiration
 The volatility of the stock price
 The risk-free interest rate
 The dividends expected during the life of the
option
Factors Affecting Option Prices
Next SlideNiraj Thapa
• Value of call = S N (d1) - K e-rt N(d2)
Where,
d2 = d1 - s t
The replicating portfolio is embedded in the Black-Scholes model. Toreplicate
this call, you would need to
• Buy N(d1) shares of stock; N(d1) is called the option delta
• Borrow K e-rt N(d2)
Next SlideNiraj Thapa
Meaning:
N(d1)
Equal to Δ of replicating
portfolio method. It means no.
of units of underlying.
Statistical
Area from Z= - ∞ to Z= d1
Meaning:
N(d2)
Prob. That option will be
exercised at expiry.
Statistical
Area form Z =- ∞ to Z = d2
Next SlideNiraj Thapa
Adjusting for Dividends
• Paid in Yield form
 If the dividend yield (y = dividends/ Current
value of the asset) of the underlying asset is
expected to remain unchanged during the
life of the option, the Black-Scholes model
can be modified to take dividends into
account.
 C = S e-yt N(d1) - X e-rt N(d2)
 d2 = d1 - s t
 The value of a put can also be derived:
 P = K e-rt [1-N(d2)] - S e-yt [1-N(d1)]
• Paid in Lump Sum
 Concept of Adjusted “S”
= S – PV of all dividends
during option life.
 Now, use BSM method as if there is no
dividend
Next SlideNiraj Thapa
 Most practitioners who use option pricing models to value real options
argue for the binomial model over the Black-Scholes and justify this
choice by noting that
• Early exercise is the rule rather than the exception with real options
• Underlying asset values are generally discontinuous.
 If you can develop a binomial tree with outcomes at each node, it looks
a great deal like a decision tree from capital budgeting. The question
then becomes when and why the two approaches yield different
estimates of value.
Choice of Option Pricing Models
Next SlideNiraj Thapa
Swaps Contracts
• Arrangements to exchange cash flows over time.
• Provides a means to hedge a stream of risky payments.
• One party makes a payment to the other
depending upon
whether a price turns out to be greater or less
than a reference price
that is specified in the swap contract.
• Two basic types - interest-rate swaps or currency swaps.
Next SlideNiraj Thapa
Interest-Rate Swaps
• Agreement to exchange a
floating-rate payment for a fixed-
rate payment or vice versa.
• Use:
 Used to modify interest rate
exposure.
 transform a floating-rate
loan into a fixed-rate loan,
or vice versa. transform a
floating-rate investment to a
fixed- rate investment, or
vice versa.
• For example, in an interest rate swap, the
exchangers gain access to interest rates available
only to the other exchanger by swapping them.
In this case, the two legs of the swap are a fixed
interest rate, say 3.5%, and a floating interest rate,
say LIBOR + 0.5%. In such a swap, the only things
traded are the two interest rates, which are
calculated over a notional value. Each party pays the
other at set intervals over the life of the swap. For
example, one party may agree to pay the other a
3.5% interest rate calculated over a notional value of
$1 million, while the second party may agree to pay
LIBOR + 0.5% over the same notional value. It is
important to note that the notional amount is
arbitrary and is not actually traded.
The London Interbank Offered Rate (LIBOR) is the rate most international
banks charge one another for overnight Eurodollar loans.
Next SlideNiraj Thapa
Currency Swaps
agreements to deliver one currency in exchange for another.
one party agrees to pay interest on a principal amount in one currency &
in return, it receives interest on a principal amount in another currency.
Principal amounts are not usually exchanged in an interest rate swap.
Here principal amounts are usually exchanged at both the beginning and
the end of the life of the swap.
For a party paying interest in the foreign currency, the foreign principal is
received, and the domestic principal is paid at the beginning of the life of
the swap. At the end of the life of the swap, the foreign principal is paid
and the domestic principal is received.
• Use: -transform a loan in one currency into a loan in another currency.
transform an investment denominated in one currency into an
investment denominated in another currency.
Next SlideNiraj Thapa
Why To Use Derivatives?
• Risk management:
Eg. The farmer-a seller of com-enters into a contract which makes a payment when -the price of corn is low. This
contract reduces the risk of loss for the farmer, who we therefore say is hedging. It is common to think of
derivatives· as forbiddingly complex, but many derivatives are simple and familiar.
• Speculation-serve as investment vehicles
Eg. if you want to bet that the S&P 500 stock index will be between 1 300 and 1 400 one year from today,
derivatives can be constructed to let you do that.
• Reduced transaction costs
Eg. The manager of a mutual fund may wish to sell stocks and buy bonds for this he has to pay fees to broker
which is costly while it is possible to trade derivatives instead and achieve the same economic effect as if stocks
had actually been sold and replaced by bonds
• Regulatory arbitrage
It is sometimes possible to circumvent regulatory restrictions, taxes, and accounting rules by trading derivatives.
Derivatives are often used, for example, to achieve the economic sale of stock (receive cash and eliminate the
risk of holding the stock) while still maintaining physical possession of the stock. This transaction may allow the
owner to defer taxes on the sale of the stock, or retain voting rights, without the risk of holding the stock.
• To change the nature of a liability
• To lock in an arbitrage profit
• To change the nature of an investment without incurring the costs of selling one portfolio and buying another.
Next SlideNiraj Thapa
Users of Derivatives
• Market-Maker:
Market-makers are intermediaries, traders who will buy derivatives from customers
who wish to sell, and sell derivatives to customers who wish to buy. Generally,
market-makers are like grocers who buy at the low wholesale price and sell at the
higher retail price. Market-makers typically hedge this risk and thus are deeply
concerned about the mathematical details of pricing and hedging.
• Economic observer:
They try to make sense of everything (like the logic of the pricing models)
• Arbitrageurs
Arbitrage involves locking in a riskless profit by simultaneously entering into
transactions in two or more markets.
Next SlideNiraj Thapa
Dark Side of Derivatives
Six examples will be used to illustrate some of the perils, especially ethical
perils, in use of financial derivatives:
• Equity Funding Corporation of America (1973)
• Baring Bank (1994)
• Orange County, California (1994)
• Long Term Capital Management (1998)
• Enron (2001)
• Global Crossing
• Each of them represented an effort to use financial derivatives to produce
inflated returns. Two cases were proven to be frauds. Two appear to have
been innocent of fraud. Two are still to be seen.
• Each was a major financial catastrophe, affecting not only those directly
involved but the world at large.
• “I view derivatives as time bombs, both for the parties that deal in them and the
economic system”-Warren Buffett
• It is quite complex and various strategies of derivatives can be implemented only by an
expert and therefore for a layman it is difficult to use this and therefore it limits its
usefulness.
• When company failure on derivative markets, shareholders, creditors and other relevant
parties tend to be lose their confidence in the company’s performance, therefore, it will
face a much worse financial position. Shareholders may start to sell their stocks, and
creditors may ask for early repayment of credit. Under these circumstances, the
reputation of company may be seriously damaged.
• Derivatives instrument can be profitable for investors if investors are able to time the
markets. A mistake in accurately predicting the market can lead to substantial loss.
• Finance experts often express that traders can switch from being hedgers to speculators
or from being arbitrageurs to speculators.
• Further derivatives are complex segments.
Feed back & suggestions are welcome at
tniraj20@hotmail.com

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Niraj on Financial Derivatives

  • 1. Nirajon FinancialDerivatives NirajThapa CA Final Ref: Books of Sir John Hull, Sir Damodaran and my teachers who are updating me in this segment.
  • 2. Next SlideNiraj Thapa Introduction Types Of Financial Derivatives Hedging Strategies Using Futures Option Strategies Option Pricing Why To Use Derivatives Users Of Derivatives Contents At A Glance
  • 3. Next SlideNiraj Thapa Introduction Markets in Derivatives Exchange-traded oStandardized* contracts are traded o Regulated by exchange boards as: E.g. CBOT (The Chicago Board of Trade) Target of CBOT Initially: bring farmers and merchants together CME (Chicago Mercantile Exchange) CBOE (Chicago Board Options Exchange) *Standard here means – Quantity pre specified followed by pre specified maturity. Over-the-counter (An alternative to exchange) oBased on telephone- and computer- linked network of dealers. o Conversations are generally tapped so as to avoid future disputes- since non- standardized contracts being traded. o typically much larger trades o participants are free to negotiate any mutually attractive deal o contract may not be honored sometimes.
  • 4. Next SlideNiraj Thapa Size of OTC and Exchange-Traded Markets Source: Bank for International Settlements. Chart shows total principal amounts for OTC market and value of underlying assets for exchange market
  • 5. Next SlideNiraj Thapa S.No. Basis Exchange Traded Market OTC (Over the counter market) (i) Product Standard Non-standard (ii) Pricing More transparent Less transparent (iii) MTM Easy Difficult (iv) Settlement risk The Exchange Contracting parties (v) Negotiation Marketwide One-to-one (vi) Example BSE, NSE etc. Forex Market OTC & ET Products
  • 6. Next SlideNiraj Thapa Basically derivatives are agreements or contracts between two (or more) parties that has a value determined by the price of something else. A derivative is a-  financial instrument or security  whose payoffs and values are derived from, or depend on  Another financial instrument or security  And the pay off is derived from that underlying. Introduction to Derivatives
  • 7. The underlying asset could be a financial asset such as currency, stock and market index, an interest bearing security or a physical commodity. Payment may be in Currency, securities, a physical entity such as gold or silver, an agricultural product such as wheat or pork, a transitory commodity such as communication bandwidth or energy. For example, a bushel of corn is not a derivative; it is a commodity with a value determined by the price of corn. Eg. If you enter into an agreement with a friend that says: If the price of a bushel of corn in one year is greater than Rs.300, you will pay the friend Rs.100 . If the price of com is less than Rs.300, then the friend will pay you Rs. 100 . This is a derivative in the sense that you have an agreement with a value depending on the price of something else (corn, in this case).
  • 8. Next SlideNiraj Thapa Types of Financial Derivatives
  • 9. Next SlideNiraj Thapa Forward Contracts (Spot Contracts) Simply, Forward Contracts Features:  tailor made contract Customer designed contracts  entered today (i.e. contract sixe, expiration  for purchase (sell) date and the asset type and quality)  of an asset in future not available in public domain  for a certain price agreed today Trading: Over-the-counter market One party-In long Position (Buyer) Another- In short position (Seller) Whether to buy or sell The underlying asset The maturity or the settlement date The delivery price
  • 10. Next SlideNiraj Thapa See Practically USD/INR Bid Offer Spot 1-month forward 3-month forward 6-month forward 1-year forward 70.4452 70.4435 70.4402 70.4353 70.4262 70.4456 70.4440 70.4407 70.4359 70.4268 Bid: bank is ready to buy USD Offer: Bank is ready to sell USD The table shows the quote given by a bank. Forward Contracts are used to hedge foreign currency risk. Suppose a person is receiving $10000 six months later from now, to be safe from price fluctuations in days to come he may enter into an agreement with the bank to sell the $10000 today. As per the rates given: He will sell each $ @ INR 70.4353, total =70.4353*10000=704353
  • 11. Next SlideNiraj Thapa Payoffs From Forward Contracts Two Possibilities Assume (from above table) the real consequences on the expiry date. The actual price prevailing on the expiry date has nothing to with the forward contract as your payment/receiving has been previously fixed). (These payoffs can be positive or negative.) $Price may rise $ Price may fall (Say 1$ =INR 70.50) Negative value to the contract (Say 1$ = INR 70.30) Positive Value.
  • 12. Next SlideNiraj Thapa Profit Price of Underlying at Maturity, ST Profit Price of Underlying at Maturity, ST Profit from a Long Forward Position Profit from a Short Forward Position
  • 13. Next SlideNiraj Thapa Futures Definition • An agreement between two parties • to buy or sell specified asset • In future • With settlement at • various future dates Features • Exchange traded product • specified contract size and specified delivery date • Settled daily • Settlement-in cash or physical • Mostly closed out before maturity • Futures prices - reported in the financial press • mark-to-the-market provisions
  • 14. Next SlideNiraj Thapa SBI Future Seller SBI Future Buyer Right: To receive the agreed price Obligation: To deliver the underlying Right: To take delivery of the underlying Obligation: To pay the contracted price Mr. A enters into a contract with Mr. B Position: Long in SBI Future & Underlying Position: Short in SBI Future & Underlying
  • 15. Next SlideNiraj Thapa Concept of Margins  amount payable by both parties.  recovered to cover one day maximum loss  can be in the form of cash or other liquid assets  [Generally, we do not deposit cash]  Calculated daily & Settled in cash  Overcomes the dark side of forwards.  minimize the chance of default  If the price rises, the seller has an incentive to default on a forward contract. But in future, after paying the clearinghouse, the seller of a futures contract has little reason to default.  changes in the value recognized daily, there is no accumulation of loss  Default rate is reduced when the investors do not know each other.
  • 16. Next SlideNiraj Thapa The agreement will be honored by the CH To protect itself the CH demands that An initial collateral amount is deposited to cover future losses A futures account is marked to market daily. Daily margin increase to cover unrealized losses from daily market movements No party will incur a big loss at maturity Categories of futures contracts • Agricultural e.g. wheat, cotton, cattle. • Metals and petroleum e.g. platinum, copper, natural gas, crude oil. • Financial e.g. foreign currency, stock index, interest rate. • Others e.g. electricity, catastrophe, swap Credit Risk Mitigation
  • 17. SETTLEMENT IN FUTURES ON DAILY BASIS AT EXPIRY DATE MTM MARGIN MTM MARGIN BASED ON DAILY SETTLEMENT PRICE BASED ON *FUTURE SETTLEMENT PRICE DECIDED BY THE MARKET (STOCK EXCHANGE) * FSP IS ALWAYS EQUAL TO SPOT PRICE OF THE UNDERLYING AT EXPIRY. Note:OverallProfitwillbeFSP-ContractedPrice
  • 19. Next SlideNiraj Thapa Long Trader Broker Clearing House Member Clearing House Clearing House Member Broker Long Trader Broker Clearing House Member Clearing House Clearing House Member Broker Short Trader Short Trader Margin Cash Flows When Futures Price Decreases When Futures Price Increases
  • 20. Next SlideNiraj Thapa Convergence of Futures to Spot Time Time (a) (b) Futures Price Futures Price Spot Price Spot Price
  • 21. Next SlideNiraj Thapa Forward Contracts Vs. Futures Contracts Basis Forward Futures Exchange Traded on over-the-counter market Traded on an exchange Counterparty Counterparty in the forward agreement Clearinghouse Transaction Timing Transact when purchased and on the settlement date Marked-to-market every day Delivery Delivery or final cash settlement Contract is usually closed out usually takes place prior to maturity Credit Risk Some credit risk may arise Virtually no credit risk Regulation Private, unregulated transactions Highly regulated Liquidity Illiquid Highly Illiquid Delivery Dates Usually one specified delivery date Range of delivery dates
  • 22. Next SlideNiraj Thapa Remember: The hedge has the same basic effect if delivery is allowed to happen. However, making or taking delivery can be a costly business so delivery is not usually made even when the hedger keeps the futures contract until the delivery month. Hedging Strategies Using Futures
  • 23. Next SlideNiraj Thapa • Take a position that neutralizes a particular risk as far as possible AIM • That completely eliminates the risk. • Perfect hedges are rare practically PERFECT HEDGE
  • 24. Short Position in future Contracts Appropriate when the hedger already owns an asset and expects to sell it. Used when an asset is not owned right now but will be owned at some time in the future. E.g. Used by a farmer who owns some hogs and knows that they will be ready for sale. An Indian exporter will be receiving euros in three months. He will realize a gain if the euro increases in value relative to the INR and will sustain a loss if the euro decreases in value relative to the INR. A short futures position leads to a loss if the euro increases in value and a gain if it decreases in value. It has the effect of offsetting the exporter's risk. SHORTHEDGES
  • 25. Use futures contracts than to buy the gold in the spot market as he has to pay $ 150 instead of $120 per pound and will incur both interest costs and storage costs Long position in future contracts -appropriate when a company knows it will have to purchase a certain asset in the future and wants to lock in a price now. -partially offset an existing short position See Practically: A trader needs 1000 pounds of gold after 3 months from now to meet a certain contract. Contract Size: 250 pounds Spot Price: $150 /pound 3-M Future Price: $120 /pound The trader can hedge by taking a long position in 4 future contracts to be delivered in 3 months from now. This strategy locked the price @120 cents If the price of gold in 3 months time is 125 Gain = (125-120) x 1000 = $5000 LONGHEDGEADVICE
  • 26. Next SlideNiraj Thapa Long Hedge for Purchase Define: F1 : Futures price at time hedge is set up F2 : Futures price at time asset is purchased S2 : Asset price at time of purchase b2 : Basis at time of purchase Short Hedge for Sale Define: F1 : Futures price at time hedge is set up F2 : Futures price at time asset is sold S2 : Asset price at time of sale b2 : Basis at time of sale Price of asset S2 Gain on Futures F1 −F2 Net amount received S2 + (F1 −F2) =F1 + b2 Cost of asset S2 Gain on Futures F2 −F1 Net amount paid S2 − (F2 −F1) =F1 + b2
  • 27. Next SlideNiraj Thapa Arguments In Hedging IN FAVOR • Companies should focus on the main business they are in and take steps to minimize risks arising from interest rates, exchange rates, and other market variables AGAINST • Shareholders are usually well diversified and can make their own hedging decisions • It may increase risk to hedge when competitors do not • Explaining a situation where there is a loss on the hedge and a gain on the underlying can be difficult
  • 28. Next SlideNiraj Thapa Basis Risk • Generally, it is the spot price minus the futures price • Basis risk arises because of the uncertainty about the basis when the hedge is closed out. • Instances: The asset whose price is to be hedged may not be exactly the same as the asset underlying the futures contract. The hedger may be uncertain as to the exact date when the asset will be bought or sold. The hedge may require the futures contract to be closed out well before its expiration date. The basis would be zero if the asset to be hedged and the asset underlying the futures contract are the same at expiration of the contract The hedge ratio is the ratio of the size of the position taken in futures contracts to the size of the exposure
  • 29. Next SlideNiraj Thapa  It is a contract  giving its owner the right to buy or sell an asset  at a fixed price  on or before a given date.  Traded both on exchanges and in the over-the-counter market DEFINITION Note: Any option will be exercised if the buyer gets advantages FEATURES Options
  • 30. Next SlideNiraj Thapa  gives the holder the right  to sell the underlying asset by  a certain date for a certain price  gives the holder the right  to buy the underlying asset  by a certain date  for a certain price. CALL OPTION American options European Options can be exercised at any time exercised only on the expiration date before the expiration date (Problem in pricing- so banned in India) PUTOPTION EXERCISE STYLES
  • 31. Next SlideNiraj Thapa Options Vs. Futures/Forwards
  • 32. Next SlideNiraj Thapa Summary of the Determinants of Option Value If the value of the underlying asset < Strike Price– Buyer does not exercise (CALL OPTION) If the value of the underlying asset > Strike Price – Buyer does not exercise (PUT OPTION) Factor Put Value Call Value Increase in Stock Price Increases Decreases Increase in Strike Price Decreases Increases Increase in variance of underlying asset Increases Increases Increase in time to expiration Increases Increases Increase in interest rates Increases Decreases Increase in dividends paid Decreases Increases
  • 33. Next SlideNiraj Thapa Basics 1) Option seller sells the right and option buyer buys the right. 2) Call or Put should always be talked w.r.t. the underlying. 3) The party having the obligation shall pay security margin (Initial Margin) 4) There is an underlying stock or index 5) There is an expiration date of the option 6) There is a strike price of the option
  • 34. Next SlideNiraj Thapa Option Positions Options trader buy call options with the belief that the price of the underlying security will rise significantly beyond the strike price before the option expiration date Investor buy put options with the belief that the price of the underlying security will go significantly below the striking price before the expiration date Option trader sells the option in the hope that they expire worthless so that they can pocket the premiums. The converse strategy to the long put. Involves the selling of put options. Commonly known as put writing. LONG CALL LONG PUT SHORT CALL SHORT PUT
  • 35. Next SlideNiraj Thapa Diagrammatic Examples (Call Option) SBI Option (Seller) Mr. A SBI Option (Buyer) Mr. B Enters into an agreement & Sells “Right” Mr. A’s Right NO Mr. A’s Obligation YES Mr. B’s Right YES Mr. B’s Obligation NO Mr. B Pays the option Premium Mr. A received the option Premium He has the obligation to deliver the Underlying if the option is exercised by B He has the right to buy/take delivery of the Underlying Short in Option & Underlying Long in Option & Underlying
  • 36. Next SlideNiraj Thapa Diagrammatic Examples (Put Option) SBI Put Option (Seller) Mr. A SBI Put Option (Buyer) Mr. B Enters into an agreement & writes “Put Option” Mr. A’s Right NO Mr. A’s Obligation YES Mr. B’s Right YES Mr. B’s Obligation NO Mr. B Pays the Put Option Premium Mr. A received the Put Option Premium He has the obligation to deliver the Underlying if the option is exercised by B He has the right to buy/take delivery of the Underlying Short in Put Option Long in Underlying (If option is exercised by Mr. B) Long in Option Short in Underlying (He has to deliver the underlying)
  • 37. Next SlideNiraj Thapa Some Terminologies Strike Price Price at which the underlying asset is to be bought or sold when the option is exercised. It's relation to the market value of the underlying asset affects the moneyness of the option and is a major determinant of the option's premium. Premium Simply, price for the right depends on the strike price, volatility of the underlying, as well as the time remaining to expiration. Expiration Date Once the stock option expires, the right to exercise no longer exists and the stock option becomes worthless. The expiration month is specified for each option contract. The specific date on which expiration occurs depends on the type of option. Contract Multiplier states the quantity of the underlying asset that needs to be delivered in the event the option is exercised. For stock options, each contract covers 100 shares. Spot Price The current price at which a particular security can be bought or sold at a specified time and place The price in the contract is known as the exercise price or strike price The date in the contract is known as the expiration date or maturity. The act of buying or selling the underlying asset via the option contract is referred to as exercising the option.
  • 38. Next SlideNiraj Thapa Cash Flows & Profits In the Hands of Option Buyer Expiry Date NIL Inflow In the Hands of Option Writer Expiry Date Outflow NIL Option Exercise Option Not Exercised Option Not Exercised Option Exercised Remember: Always at Inception of the agreement buyer has outflow and seller has inflow
  • 39. Next SlideNiraj Thapa Quantifying The Amounts PUT OPTION CALL OPTION BUYER SELLER BUYER SELLER If X > S Inflow (X-S) Outflow (S-X) 0 0 Option NOT Exercised If X < S 0 0 Inflow (S-X) Outflow (X-S) Option NOT Exercised Note: Say X means Strike Price & S means Spot Price
  • 40. Next SlideNiraj Thapa Profit Or Loss- (Premium To Be Adjusted With The Cash Flows) PUT OPTION CALL OPTION Case I: BUYER SELLER BUYER SELLER If X > S Inflow (X-S) Outflow (S-X) 0 0 (Option NOT Exrcised) Premium (P) P (P) P Profit (Loss) X-S-P S-X-P (P) P Conclusion Limited Profit Limited Loss To the extent of Premium Case II: If X < S 0 0 Inflow (S-X) Outflow (X-S) (Option NOT Exrcised) Premium (P) P (P) P Profit (Loss) S-X-P X-S+P Conclusion To the extent of Premium Unlimited Profit Unlimited Loss
  • 41. Next SlideNiraj Thapa OPTION PRICE = INTRINSIC VALUE + TIME VALUE (OPTION PREMIUM) (EXTRINSIC VALUE) Computed by Comparing Spot Price & Strike Price Keeps on Changing due to change in Spot Price Quoted Price [Determined by using Theoretical Price] Bal. Fig
  • 42. Next SlideNiraj Thapa In Case of Call Option Example: IDFC Spot Price at time “t” = 120 IDFC Call Option Strike Price = 110 [Right to buy] IDFC Call Option Price (premium) = 15 Now, Intrinsic Value = Spot Price – Strike Price 120-110 =10 (Portion of profit already made) Time Value = 15-10 = 5 (Profit yet to be made). Break Even Spot Price at Expiry: Strike Price + Premium = 110 + 15 = 125
  • 43. Next SlideNiraj Thapa In Case of Put Option Example: IDFC Spot Price at time “t” = 120 IDFC Call Option Strike Price = 135 [Right to Sell] IDFC Call Option Price (premium) = 20 Intrinsic Value: Strike Price –Spot Price = 135-120 = 15 Extrinsic Value = 20-15 = 5 Break Even Spot Price at Expiry: Strike Price – Premium Paid = 135 -20 = 115 Note: In theory time value declines at a constant rate while in practice the decline rate would be faster nearer the expiry date
  • 44. MONEYNESS OF OPTION ITM OTM (IN THE MONEY) (OUT OF THE MONEY) ITM OPTIONS ARE EXPENSIVE SINCE IV ARE HIGH NIL INTRINSIC VALUE X < S It describes the relationship between the strike price of an option and the current trading price of its underlying security. ATM (AT THE MONEY) IV = 0 X > SS = X X > S S > XS = X CALL OPTION PUT OPTION
  • 45. Strike Price (INR) Moneyness Call Option Premium Intrinsic Value Time Value 35 ITM 15.50 15 0.50 40 ITM 11.25 10 1.25 45 ITM 7 5 2 50 ATM 4.50 0 4.50 55 OTM 2.50 0 2.50 60 OTM 1.50 0 1.50 65 OTM 0.75 0 0.75 Strike Price (INR) Moneyness Put Option Premium Intrinsic Value Time Value 35 OTM 0.75 0 0.75 40 OTM 1.50 0 1.50 45 OTM 2.50 0 2.50 50 ATM 4.50 0 4.50 55 ITM 7 5 2 60 ITM 11.25 10 1.25 65 ITM 15.50 15 0.50
  • 46. Next SlideNiraj Thapa OPTION STRATEGIES Option Strategies One Instrument Strategies More than one instrument Strategies i) Long Call Spread Combinations ii) Short Call i) Bull i) Straddle iii) Long Put Put iv) Short Put Call ii) Strip v) Married Put ii) Bear iii) Strap vi) Protective Put Put vii) Covered Call Call iv) Strangle iii) Butterfly Spread Put Call iv) Calender Spread
  • 47. Next SlideNiraj Thapa ONE INSTRUMENT STRATEGIES Long Call View: Bullish BE Spot Price: S = [X+C] Profit: Rise in Price Profit at expiry: When S > BEP Profit S – [X+C] Max. Profit Unlimited Maximum Loss: C [The Premium] Belief that the price of the underlying security will rise significantly beyond the strike price before the option expiration date
  • 48. Next SlideNiraj Thapa Short Call View: Bearish Profit: Fall in Price BE Spot Price: S = [X+C] Profit at expiry: When [S<BEP] Profit [X+C] – S Max. Profit C Maximum Loss: Unlimited [If price exceeds BEP] Belief that stock price falls below the strike price of the call options by expiration
  • 49. Next SlideNiraj Thapa Long Put View: Bearish Profit: Fall In Price BE Spot Price: X - C Profit at expiry: When S<BEP Profit X- [C+S] Max. Profit X - C Maximum Loss: Premium Belief that the price of the underlying security will go significantly below the striking price before the expiration date
  • 50. Next SlideNiraj Thapa Short Put View: Bullish Profit: If Price Rises BE Spot Price: S = [X-C] Profit at expiry: When S > BEP Profit S- [X-C] Max. Profit C Maximum Loss: [X – P] Belief that the price of the underlying security will rise significantly beyond the strike price before the option expiration date
  • 51. Next SlideNiraj Thapa Married Put View: Bullish BEP: [X+C]=Price of Stock Profit: S>Purchase Price of Stock +C Maximum Profit: Unlimited Belief that the stock price will fall and you want to protect the profits made from a stock, buying a put option will mitigate such loss. Buy one Stock at S, Buy Put Option at X and S=X
  • 52. Next SlideNiraj Thapa Protective Put View: Bullish BEP: [X+C] = Price of Stock Profit: Price of Stock> [X+P] Maximum Profit: Unlimited The holder buys the stock at first and later on he will buy the put option Used as a means to protect unrealized gains on shares from a previous purchase
  • 53. Next SlideNiraj Thapa Covered Call In the Money Covered Call • Max Profit = Premium Received - Purchase Price of Underlying + Strike Price of Short Call • Max Profit Achieved :When Price of Underlying >= Strike Price of Short Call BEP = Purchase Price of Underlying - Premium Received Call options are written against a holding of the underlying security Earn a premium writing calls while at the same time appreciate all benefits of underlying stock ownership A short position in a call option on an asset combined with a long position in the asset Far less risky than naked calls
  • 54. Next SlideNiraj Thapa Created by the simultaneous purchase and sale of options of the same class on the same underlying security and same expiration dates but with different strike prices. Spread Constructed using CALLS-Call Spread Spread Constructed using PUT- Put Spread Spread designed to earn profit from a rise in price - bull spread Spread designed to earn profit from a fall in price - bear spread MORE THAN ONE INSTRUMENT STRATEGIES Spread
  • 55. Next SlideNiraj Thapa Note 1) A higher strike price call option would be less costlier as compared to lower strike price call option. Note 2) A higher strike price put option would be more costlier as compared to lower strike price put option. Note 3) Maximum loss is fixed for Net Payer of Premium Maximum gain is fixed for Net Receiver of Premium Some Concepts in Spread
  • 56. Next SlideNiraj Thapa Bull Call Spread: Strategy: Sell high strike price call option & simultaneously, buy low strike price call option Gain: When price of stock rises above higher strike price .
  • 57. Next SlideNiraj Thapa Say we have two call options: Low Strike Price Call Option be X1 Higher Strike Price Call Option be X2 C1 & C2be the Premium paid on X1 & X2 resp. where C1>C2 Move as per strategy and view the cases Case I Case II Case III Spot Price at Expiry <X1 Spot Price at Expiry falls between X1 & X2 Spot Price at Expiry goes above X2 X1 Call Option Worth Less S-X1 S-X1 X2 Call Option Worthless Worth Less X2-S Net Premium -C1+C2 -C1+C2 -C1+C2 Maximum Profit (Loss) C1+C2 (S-X1)-C1+C2 (X2-X1) -C1+C2 Net Payer of Premium
  • 58. Next SlideNiraj Thapa Bull Put Spread: Strategy: Sell high strike price put option & simultaneously, buy low strike price put option
  • 59. Next SlideNiraj Thapa Say we have two put options: Low Strike Price Put Option be X1 Higher Strike Price Put Option be X2 P1 & P2 be the Premium paid on X1 & X2 resp. where P2>P1 Move as per strategy and view the cases Case I Case II Case II Spot Price at Expiry <X1 Spot Price at Expiry falls between X1 & X2 Spot Price at Expiry goes above X2 X1 Put Option (X1-S) Worth Less Worth Less X2 Put Option (S-X2) (S-X2) Worth Less Net Premium -P1+P2 -P1+P2 -P1+P2 Maximum Gain (Loss) (X1-X2) - P1+P2 (S-X2) - P1+P2 -P1+P2 Net Receiver of Premium
  • 60. Next SlideNiraj Thapa Bear Call Spread Strategy: Sell lower strike price call option & simultaneously buy higher strike price call option
  • 61. Next SlideNiraj Thapa Say we have two Call options: Low Strike Price Call Option be X1 Higher Strike Price Call Option be X2 C1 & C2 be the Premium paid on X1 & X2 resp. where C1>C2 Move as per strategy and view the cases Case I Case II Case II Spot Price at Expiry <X1 Spot Price at Expiry falls between X1 & X2 Spot Price at Expiry goes above X2 X1 Call Option Worthless X1-S X1-S X2 Call Option Worthless Worth Less S-X2 Net Premium C1-C2 C1-C2 C1-C2 Maximum Gain (Loss) C1-C2 (X1-S)+(C1-C2) (X1-X2) +(C1-C2) Net Receiver of Premium
  • 62. Next SlideNiraj Thapa Bear Put Spread Strategy: Sell lower strike price Put option & simultaneously buy higher strike price put option.
  • 63. Next SlideNiraj Thapa Net Payer of Premium Say we have two put options: Low Strike Price Put Option be X1 Higher Strike Price Put Option be X2 P1 & P2 be the Premium paid on X1 & X2 resp. where P1<P2 Move as per strategy and view the cases Case I Case II Case II Spot Price at Expiry <X1 Spot Price at Expiry falls between X1 & X2 Spot Price at Expiry goes above X2 X1 Put Option (S-X1) Worth Less Worth Less X2 Put Option (X2-S) (X2-S) Worth Less Net Premium P1-P2 P1-P2 P1-P2 Maximum Gain (Loss) (X2-X1) + (P1-P2) (X2-S) + (P1-P2) (P1-P2)
  • 64. Next SlideNiraj Thapa Butterfly Spread Involves positions in options with three different strike prices Created by: -buying a call option with a relatively low strike price, X1; -buying a call option with a relatively high strike price, X3; and selling two call options with a strike price, X2 Buy 1 Call Sell Two Calls Buy 1 Call X1=95 (say) X2 = 100 X3 = 105 C1= -10 (say) 2xC2 = 2x7 C3 = -5 X1<X2<X3 X2-X1 = X3-X2 C1>C2>C3 (I) (II) (III) (IV)
  • 65. Next SlideNiraj Thapa BUTTERFLY SPREAD BUTTERFLY CALL SPREAD BUTTERFLY PUT SPREAD LONG BUTTERFLY CALL SPREAD SHORT BUTTERFLY PUT SPREAD SHORT BUTTERFLY CALL SPREAD LONG BUTTERFLY OUT SPREAD
  • 66. Next SlideNiraj Thapa Case I Case II Case III Case IV Conditions Spot Price at Expiry <X1 Spot Price at Expiry falls between X1 & X2 Spot Price at Expiry falls between X2 & X3 Spot Price at Expiry goes above X3 X1 Call Option 0 S-X1 S-X1 S-X1 X2 Call Option 0 0 2(X2-S) 2(X2-S) X3 Call Option 0 0 0 S-X3 Net Premium (2C2-C1-C3) =-1 (2C2-C1-C3) =-1 (2C2-C1-C3) =-1 (2C2-C1-C3) =-1 Maximum Gain (Loss) -1 (S-X1-1) (S-X1) -2(S-X2)-1 -1 Note: Profit will be maximum when S is equal to X
  • 67. Next SlideNiraj Thapa COMBINATIONS STRADDLE STRANGLE STRAPSTRIP LONG STRADDLE SHORT STRANGLE SHORT STRADDLE LONG STRANGLE LONG STRADDLE + LONG PUT LONG STRADDLE + LONG CALL
  • 68. Next SlideNiraj Thapa STRADDLE • LONG STRADDLE Strategy:  Buy a call and a put both having -same underlying -same expiry date -same strike price View: Large movement in price either way. • SHORT STRADDLE Strategy:  Sell a call and put both having -same underlying -same expiry date -same strike price View: No (or little) movement in price.
  • 69. Next SlideNiraj Thapa STRANGLE • LONG STRANGLE Strategy: Buy one call and put -having same underlying -having same expiry date -but different strike price View: Very large movement in price • SHORT STRANGLE Strategy: Sell one call and put -having same underlying -having same expiry date -but different strike price View: No large movement in price
  • 70. Next SlideNiraj Thapa • STRIP Strategy: Buy 2 Puts and 1 call having -same underlying -same expiry date -same strike price • STRAP Strategy: Buy 2 Calls and 1 put having -same underlying -same expiry date -same strike price
  • 71. Next SlideNiraj Thapa Future Pricing Cost of Carry Model -states futures price should depend upon two things: • The current spot price. • The cost of carrying or storing the underlying good from now until the futures contract matures. F = S + C Assumptions: • There are no transaction costs or margin requirements. • There are no restrictions on short selling. • Investors can borrow and lend at the same rate of interest Simply, it is the theoretical value of a future contract
  • 72. Next SlideNiraj Thapa F = S+C F = S + [Sxr%xT/12] F = S [1+(r%xT/12)] Hence, future price is the compounded value of the underlying price at risk free rate over the contract life. Alternatively, F = S x ert Where, ert means continuous compounding. Note: Both formulae will give same result if value of ert is taken upto one factor.
  • 73. Next SlideNiraj Thapa Pricing of Dividend Paying Stock DIVIDEND PAID CONTINUOUSLYPAID IN LUMP SUM Note: Income would reduce cost of Strategy while expense will increase the same.
  • 74. Next SlideNiraj Thapa Paid in lump sum Option 1: Step I: Adjusted “S” = S-PV of all dividends Step II: F = Adj.S x [1+(r%xT/12)] F = Adj.S x ert Option 2: F = S x [1+(r%xT/12)]-Compounded value of dividend expected to be received on expiry date. Paid Continuously: Option 1: F = S [1+(r%-y%)xT/12] F = S x e(r%-y%)T
  • 75. Next SlideNiraj Thapa Creating a replicating portfolio:  Objective: use a combination of risk free borrowing/lending and the underlying asset to create the same cashflows as the option being valued. Call = Borrowing + Buying Δ of the Underlying Stock Put = Selling Short Δ on Underlying Asset + Lending.  The number of shares bought or sold is called the option delta.  The principles of arbitrage then apply, and the value of the option has to be equal to the value of the replicating portfolio. Option Pricing
  • 77. Next SlideNiraj Thapa  The version of the model presented by Black and Scholes was designed to value European options, which were dividend- protected.  The value of a call option in the Black-Scholes model can be written as a function of the following variables: S = Current value of the underlying asset X = Strike price of the option t = Life to expiration of the option r = Riskless interest rate corresponding to the life of the option s2 = Variance in the ln (value) of the underlying asset Black Scholes Model
  • 78. Next SlideNiraj Thapa  The current stock price  The strike price  The time to expiration  The volatility of the stock price  The risk-free interest rate  The dividends expected during the life of the option Factors Affecting Option Prices
  • 79. Next SlideNiraj Thapa • Value of call = S N (d1) - K e-rt N(d2) Where, d2 = d1 - s t The replicating portfolio is embedded in the Black-Scholes model. Toreplicate this call, you would need to • Buy N(d1) shares of stock; N(d1) is called the option delta • Borrow K e-rt N(d2)
  • 80. Next SlideNiraj Thapa Meaning: N(d1) Equal to Δ of replicating portfolio method. It means no. of units of underlying. Statistical Area from Z= - ∞ to Z= d1 Meaning: N(d2) Prob. That option will be exercised at expiry. Statistical Area form Z =- ∞ to Z = d2
  • 81. Next SlideNiraj Thapa Adjusting for Dividends • Paid in Yield form  If the dividend yield (y = dividends/ Current value of the asset) of the underlying asset is expected to remain unchanged during the life of the option, the Black-Scholes model can be modified to take dividends into account.  C = S e-yt N(d1) - X e-rt N(d2)  d2 = d1 - s t  The value of a put can also be derived:  P = K e-rt [1-N(d2)] - S e-yt [1-N(d1)] • Paid in Lump Sum  Concept of Adjusted “S” = S – PV of all dividends during option life.  Now, use BSM method as if there is no dividend
  • 82. Next SlideNiraj Thapa  Most practitioners who use option pricing models to value real options argue for the binomial model over the Black-Scholes and justify this choice by noting that • Early exercise is the rule rather than the exception with real options • Underlying asset values are generally discontinuous.  If you can develop a binomial tree with outcomes at each node, it looks a great deal like a decision tree from capital budgeting. The question then becomes when and why the two approaches yield different estimates of value. Choice of Option Pricing Models
  • 83. Next SlideNiraj Thapa Swaps Contracts • Arrangements to exchange cash flows over time. • Provides a means to hedge a stream of risky payments. • One party makes a payment to the other depending upon whether a price turns out to be greater or less than a reference price that is specified in the swap contract. • Two basic types - interest-rate swaps or currency swaps.
  • 84. Next SlideNiraj Thapa Interest-Rate Swaps • Agreement to exchange a floating-rate payment for a fixed- rate payment or vice versa. • Use:  Used to modify interest rate exposure.  transform a floating-rate loan into a fixed-rate loan, or vice versa. transform a floating-rate investment to a fixed- rate investment, or vice versa. • For example, in an interest rate swap, the exchangers gain access to interest rates available only to the other exchanger by swapping them. In this case, the two legs of the swap are a fixed interest rate, say 3.5%, and a floating interest rate, say LIBOR + 0.5%. In such a swap, the only things traded are the two interest rates, which are calculated over a notional value. Each party pays the other at set intervals over the life of the swap. For example, one party may agree to pay the other a 3.5% interest rate calculated over a notional value of $1 million, while the second party may agree to pay LIBOR + 0.5% over the same notional value. It is important to note that the notional amount is arbitrary and is not actually traded. The London Interbank Offered Rate (LIBOR) is the rate most international banks charge one another for overnight Eurodollar loans.
  • 85. Next SlideNiraj Thapa Currency Swaps agreements to deliver one currency in exchange for another. one party agrees to pay interest on a principal amount in one currency & in return, it receives interest on a principal amount in another currency. Principal amounts are not usually exchanged in an interest rate swap. Here principal amounts are usually exchanged at both the beginning and the end of the life of the swap. For a party paying interest in the foreign currency, the foreign principal is received, and the domestic principal is paid at the beginning of the life of the swap. At the end of the life of the swap, the foreign principal is paid and the domestic principal is received. • Use: -transform a loan in one currency into a loan in another currency. transform an investment denominated in one currency into an investment denominated in another currency.
  • 86. Next SlideNiraj Thapa Why To Use Derivatives? • Risk management: Eg. The farmer-a seller of com-enters into a contract which makes a payment when -the price of corn is low. This contract reduces the risk of loss for the farmer, who we therefore say is hedging. It is common to think of derivatives· as forbiddingly complex, but many derivatives are simple and familiar. • Speculation-serve as investment vehicles Eg. if you want to bet that the S&P 500 stock index will be between 1 300 and 1 400 one year from today, derivatives can be constructed to let you do that. • Reduced transaction costs Eg. The manager of a mutual fund may wish to sell stocks and buy bonds for this he has to pay fees to broker which is costly while it is possible to trade derivatives instead and achieve the same economic effect as if stocks had actually been sold and replaced by bonds • Regulatory arbitrage It is sometimes possible to circumvent regulatory restrictions, taxes, and accounting rules by trading derivatives. Derivatives are often used, for example, to achieve the economic sale of stock (receive cash and eliminate the risk of holding the stock) while still maintaining physical possession of the stock. This transaction may allow the owner to defer taxes on the sale of the stock, or retain voting rights, without the risk of holding the stock. • To change the nature of a liability • To lock in an arbitrage profit • To change the nature of an investment without incurring the costs of selling one portfolio and buying another.
  • 87. Next SlideNiraj Thapa Users of Derivatives • Market-Maker: Market-makers are intermediaries, traders who will buy derivatives from customers who wish to sell, and sell derivatives to customers who wish to buy. Generally, market-makers are like grocers who buy at the low wholesale price and sell at the higher retail price. Market-makers typically hedge this risk and thus are deeply concerned about the mathematical details of pricing and hedging. • Economic observer: They try to make sense of everything (like the logic of the pricing models) • Arbitrageurs Arbitrage involves locking in a riskless profit by simultaneously entering into transactions in two or more markets.
  • 88. Next SlideNiraj Thapa Dark Side of Derivatives Six examples will be used to illustrate some of the perils, especially ethical perils, in use of financial derivatives: • Equity Funding Corporation of America (1973) • Baring Bank (1994) • Orange County, California (1994) • Long Term Capital Management (1998) • Enron (2001) • Global Crossing • Each of them represented an effort to use financial derivatives to produce inflated returns. Two cases were proven to be frauds. Two appear to have been innocent of fraud. Two are still to be seen. • Each was a major financial catastrophe, affecting not only those directly involved but the world at large.
  • 89. • “I view derivatives as time bombs, both for the parties that deal in them and the economic system”-Warren Buffett • It is quite complex and various strategies of derivatives can be implemented only by an expert and therefore for a layman it is difficult to use this and therefore it limits its usefulness. • When company failure on derivative markets, shareholders, creditors and other relevant parties tend to be lose their confidence in the company’s performance, therefore, it will face a much worse financial position. Shareholders may start to sell their stocks, and creditors may ask for early repayment of credit. Under these circumstances, the reputation of company may be seriously damaged. • Derivatives instrument can be profitable for investors if investors are able to time the markets. A mistake in accurately predicting the market can lead to substantial loss. • Finance experts often express that traders can switch from being hedgers to speculators or from being arbitrageurs to speculators. • Further derivatives are complex segments.
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