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EX 2.3 USING PATIENT DAYS DATA FROM EXERCISE 2.2
PREDICT THE PATIENT DAYS FOR JANUARY, USING A FOUR-PERIOD MOVING
AVERAGE WITH WEIGHTS
0.1, 0.2, 0.3, AND 0.4
PREDICT THE PATIENT DAYS FOR JANUARY, USING A FIVE-PERIOD MOVING
AVERAGE WITH WEIGHTS
0.1, 0.2, 0.3, AND 0.4
Solution
FOUR-PERIOD :
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
FIVE-PERIOD:Alpha.10tDataSmoothedForecast% error543.63*1536.0542.86543.6-
1.42539.8542.55542.9-
0.63544.0542.70542.60.34547.0543.13542.70.85549.0543.71543.11.16546.0543.94543.70.4754
4.8544.02543.90.28542.8543.90544.0-0.29537.5543.26543.9-1.2543.319.05Mean Squared
Error0.7%Mean Absolute Percent Error55.6%Percent Positive Errors

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EX 2.3 USING PATIENT DAYS DATA FROM EXERCISE 2.2PREDICT THE PATIEN.pdf

  • 1. EX 2.3 USING PATIENT DAYS DATA FROM EXERCISE 2.2 PREDICT THE PATIENT DAYS FOR JANUARY, USING A FOUR-PERIOD MOVING AVERAGE WITH WEIGHTS 0.1, 0.2, 0.3, AND 0.4 PREDICT THE PATIENT DAYS FOR JANUARY, USING A FIVE-PERIOD MOVING AVERAGE WITH WEIGHTS 0.1, 0.2, 0.3, AND 0.4 Solution FOUR-PERIOD : ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ FIVE-PERIOD:Alpha.10tDataSmoothedForecast% error543.63*1536.0542.86543.6- 1.42539.8542.55542.9- 0.63544.0542.70542.60.34547.0543.13542.70.85549.0543.71543.11.16546.0543.94543.70.4754 4.8544.02543.90.28542.8543.90544.0-0.29537.5543.26543.9-1.2543.319.05Mean Squared Error0.7%Mean Absolute Percent Error55.6%Percent Positive Errors