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INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS, PRINCIPAL THEORIES
International Relations, Principal Theories
Anne-Marie Slaughter
TABLE OF CONTENTS
A. Introduction
...............................................................................................
............................................. 1
B. Realism
...............................................................................................
.................................................... 2
C. Institutionalism
...............................................................................................
........................................ 8
D. Liberalism
...............................................................................................
.............................................. 14
E. Constructivism
...............................................................................................
....................................... 19
F. The English School
...............................................................................................
................................ 24
G. Critical Approaches
...............................................................................................
............................... 26
H. Conclusion
...............................................................................................
............................................. 28
A. Introduction
1 The study of international relations takes a wide range of
theoretical approaches. Some
emerge from within the discipline itself; others have been
imported, in whole or in part,
from disciplines such as economics or sociology. Indeed, few
social scientific theories
have not been applied to the study of relations amongst nations.
Many theories of
international relations are internally and externally contested,
and few scholars believe
only in one or another. In spite of this diversity, several major
schools of thought are
discernable, differentiated principally by the variables they
emphasize—eg military
power, material interests, or ideological beliefs.
B. Realism
2 For Realists (sometimes termed ‘structural Realists’ or
‘Neorealists’, as opposed to the
earlier ‘classical Realists’) the international system is defined
by anarchy—the absence of
a central authority (Waltz). States are sovereign and thus
autonomous of each other; no
inherent structure or society can emerge or even exist to order
relations between them.
They are bound only by forcible → coercion or their own →
consent.
3 In such an anarchic system, State power is the key—indeed,
the only—variable of
interest, because only through power can States defend
themselves and hope to survive.
Realism can understand power in a variety of ways—eg
militarily, economically,
diplomatically—but ultimately emphasizes the distribution of
coercive material capacity
as the determinant of international politics.
4 This vision of the world rests on four assumptions
(Mearsheimer 1994). First, Realists
claim that survival is the principal goal of every State. Foreign
invasion and occupation
are thus the most pressing threats that any State faces. Even if
domestic interests, strategic
culture, or commitment to a set of national ideals would dictate
more benevolent or co-
operative international goals, the anarchy of the international
system requires that States
constantly ensure that they have sufficient power to defend
themselves and advance their
material interests necessary for survival. Second, Realists hold
States to be rational actors.
This means that, given the goal of survival, States will act as
best they can in order to
maximize their likelihood of continuing to exist. Third, Realists
assume that all States
possess some military capacity, and no State knows what its
neighbors intend precisely.
The world, in other words, is dangerous and uncertain. Fourth,
in such a world it is the
Great Powers—the States with most economic clout and,
especially, military might, that
INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS, PRINCIPAL THEORIES
are decisive. In this view international relations is essentially a
story of Great Power
politics.
5 Realists also diverge on some issues. So-called offensive
Realists maintain that, in order
to ensure survival, States will seek to maximize their power
relative to others
(Mearsheimer 2001). If rival countries possess enough power to
threaten a State, it can
never be safe. → Hegemony is thus the best strategy for a
country to pursue, if it can.
Defensive Realists, in contrast, believe that domination is an
unwise strategy for State
survival (Waltz 1979). They note that seeking hegemony may
bring a State into
dangerous conflicts with its peers. Instead, defensive Realists
emphasize the stability of
→ balance of power systems, where a roughly equal distribution
of power amongst States
ensures that none will risk attacking another. ‘Polarity’—the
distribution of power
amongst the Great Powers—is thus a key concept in Realist
theory.
6 Realists’ overriding emphasis on anarchy and power leads
them to a dim view of
international law and international institutions (Mearsheimer
1994). Indeed, Realists
believe such facets of international politics to be merely
epiphenomenal; that is, they
reflect the balance of power, but do not constrain or influence
State behaviour. In an
anarchic system with no hierarchical authority, Realists argue
that law can only be
enforced through State power. But why would any State choose
to expend its precious
power on enforcement unless it had a direct material interest in
the outcome? And if
enforcement is impossible and cheating likely, why would any
State agree to co-operate
through a treaty or institution in the first place?
7 Thus States may create international law and international
institutions, and may enforce
the rules they codify. However, it is not the rules themselves
that determine why a State
acts a particular way, but instead the underlying material
interests and power relations.
International law is thus a symptom of State behaviour, not a
cause.
C. Institutionalism
8 Institutionalists share many of Realism’s assumptions about
the international system—
that it is anarchic, that States are self-interested, rational actors
seeking to survive while
increasing their material conditions, and that uncertainty
pervades relations between
countries. However, Institutionalism relies on microeconomic
theory and game theory to
reach a radically different conclusion—that co-operation
between nations is possible.
9 The central insight is that co-operation may be a rational,
self-interested strategy for
countries to pursue under certain conditions (Keohane 1984).
Consider two trading
partners. If both countries lower their tariffs they will trade
more and each will become
more prosperous, but neither wants to lower barriers unless it
can be sure the other will
too. Realists doubt such co-operation can be sustained in the
absence of coercive power
because both countries would have incentives to say they are
opening to trade, dump their
goods onto the other country’s markets, and not allow any
imports.
10 Institutionalists, in contrast, argue that institutions—defined
as a set of rules, norms,
practices and decision-making procedures that shape
expectations—can overcome the
uncertainty that undermines co-operation. First, institutions
extend the time horizon of
interactions, creating an iterated game rather than a single
round. Countries agreeing on
ad hoc tariffs may indeed benefit from tricking their neighbors
in any one round of
negotiations. But countries that know they must interact with
the same partners repeatedly
through an institution will instead have incentives to comply
with agreements in the short
term so that they might continue to extract the benefits of co-
operation in the long term.
INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS, PRINCIPAL THEORIES
Institutions thus enhance the utility of a good reputation to
countries; they also make
punishment more credible.
11 Second, Institutionalists argue that institutions increase
information about State
behaviour. Recall that uncertainty is a significant reason
Realists doubt co-operation can
be sustained. Institutions collect information about State
behaviour and often make
judgments of compliance or non-compliance with particular
rules. States thus know they
will not be able to ‘get away with it’ if they do not comply with
a given rule.
12 Third, Institutionalists note that institutions can greatly
increase efficiency. It is costly for
States to negotiate with one another on an ad hoc basis.
Institutions can reduce the
transaction costs of co-ordination by providing a centralized
forum in which States can
meet. They also provide ‘focal points’—established rules and
norms—that allow a wide
array of States to quickly settle on a certain course of action.
Institutionalism thus
provides an explanation for international co-operation based on
the same theoretical
assumptions that lead Realists to be skeptical of international
law and institutions.
13 One way for international lawyers to understand
Institutionalism is as a rationalist
theoretical and empirical account of how and why international
law works. Many of the
conclusions reached by Institutionalist scholars will not be
surprising to international
lawyers, most of whom have long understood the role that →
reciprocity and reputation
play in bolstering international legal obligations. At its best,
however, Institutionalist
insights, backed up by careful empirical studies of international
institutions broadly
defined, can help international lawyers and policymakers in
designing more effective and
durable institutions and regimes.
D. Liberalism
14 Liberalism makes for a more complex and less cohesive body
of theory than Realism or
Institutionalism. The basic insight of the theory is that the
national characteristics of
individual States matter for their international relations. This
view contrasts sharply with
both Realist and Institutionalist accounts, in which all States
have essentially the same
goals and behaviours (at least internationally)—self-interested
actors pursuing wealth or
survival. Liberal theorists have often emphasized the unique
behaviour of liberal States,
though more recent work has sought to extend the theory to a
general domestic
characteristics-based explanation of international relations.
15 One of the most prominent developments within liberal
theory has been the phenomenon
known as the democratic peace (Doyle). First imagined by
Immanuel Kant, the
democratic peace describes the absence of war between liberal
States, defined as mature
liberal democracies. Scholars have subjected this claim to
extensive statistical analysis
and found, with perhaps the exception of a few borderline cases,
it to hold (Brown Lynn-
Jones and Miller). Less clear, however, is the theory behind this
empirical fact. Theorists
of international relations have yet to create a compelling theory
of why democratic States
do not fight each other. Moreover, the road to the democratic
peace may be a particularly
bloody one; Edward Mansfield and Jack Snyder have
demonstrated convincingly that
democratizing States are more likely to go to war than either
autocracies or liberal
democracies.
16 Andrew Moravcsik has developed a more general liberal
theory of international relations,
based on three core assumptions: (i) individuals and private
groups, not States, are the
fundamental actors in world politics (→ Non-State Actors); (ii)
States represent some
dominant subset of domestic society, whose interests they serve;
and (iii) the
configuration of these preferences across the international
system determines State
INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS, PRINCIPAL THEORIES
behaviour (Moravcsik). Concerns about the distribution of
power or the role of
information are taken as fixed constraints on the interplay of
socially-derived State
preferences.
17 In this view States are not simply ‘black boxes’ seeking to
survive and prosper in an
anarchic system. They are configurations of individual and
group interests who then
project those interests into the international system through a
particular kind of
government. Survival may very well remain a key goal. But
commercial interests or
ideological beliefs may also be important.
18 Liberal theories are often challenging for international
lawyers, because international law
has few mechanisms for taking the nature of domestic
preferences or regime-type into
account. These theories are most useful as sources of insight in
designing international
institutions, such as courts, that are intended to have an impact
on domestic politics or to
link up to domestic institutions. The complementary-based
jurisdiction of the →
International Criminal Court (ICC) is a case in point;
understanding the commission of
war crimes or crimes against humanity in terms of the domestic
structure of a
government—typically an absence of any checks and balances—
can help lawyers
understand why complementary jurisdiction may have a greater
impact on the strength of
a domestic judicial system over the long term than primary
jurisdiction (→ International
Criminal Courts and Tribunals, Complementarity and
Jurisdiction).
E. Constructivism
19 Constructivism is not a theory, but rather an ontology: A set
of assumptions about the
world and human motivation and agency. Its counterpart is not
Realism, Institutionalism,
or Liberalism, but rather Rationalism. By challenging the
rationalist framework that
undergirds many theories of international relations,
Constructivists create constructivist
alternatives in each of these families of theories.
20 In the Constructivist account, the variables of interest to
scholars—eg military power,
trade relations, international institutions, or domestic
preferences—are not important
because they are objective facts about the world, but rather
because they have certain
social meanings (Wendt 2000). This meaning is constructed
from a complex and specific
mix of history, ideas, norms, and beliefs which scholars must
understand if they are to
explain State behaviour. For example, Constructivists argue that
the nuclear arsenals of
the United Kingdom and China, though comparably destructive,
have very different
meanings to the United States that translate into very different
patterns of interaction
(Wendt 1995). To take another example, Iain Johnston argues
that China has traditionally
acted according to Realist assumptions in international
relations, but based not on the
objective structure of the international system but rather on a
specific historical strategic
culture.
21 A focus on the social context in which international relations
occur leads Constructivists
to emphasize issues of identity and belief (for this reason
Constructivist theories are
sometimes called ideational). The perception of friends and
enemies, in-groups and out-
groups, fairness and justice all become key determinant of a
State’s behaviour. While
some Constructivists would accept that States are self-
interested, rational actors, they
would stress that varying identities and beliefs belie the
simplistic notions of rationality
under which States pursue simply survival, power, or wealth.
22 Constructivism is also attentive to the role of social norms in
international politics.
Following March and Olsen, Constructivists distinguish
between a ‘logic of
consequences’—where actions are rationally chosen to
maximize the interests of a
INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS, PRINCIPAL THEORIES
State—and ‘logic of appropriateness’, where rationality is
heavily mediated by social
norms. For example, Constructivists would argue that the norm
of State sovereignty has
profoundly influenced international relations, creating a
predisposition for non-
interference that precedes any cost-benefit analysis States may
undertake. These
arguments fit under the Institutionalist rubric of explaining
international co-operation, but
based on constructed attitudes rather than the rational pursuit of
objective interests.
23 Perhaps because of their interest in beliefs and ideology,
Constructivism has also
emphasized the role of non-State actors more than other
approaches. For example,
scholars have noted the role of transnational actors like NGOs
or transnational
corporations in altering State beliefs about issues like the use of
land mines in war or
international trade. Such ‘norm entrepreneurs’ are able to
influence State behaviour
through rhetoric or other forms of lobbying, persuasion, and
shaming (Keck and Sikkink).
Constructivists have also noted the role of international
institutions as actors in their own
right. While Institutionalist theories, for example, see
institutions largely as the passive
tools of States, Constructivism notes that international
bureaucracies may seek to pursue
their own interests (eg free trade or → human rights protection)
even against the wishes
of the States that created them (Barnett and Finnemore).
F. The English School
24 The English School shares many of Constructivism’s
critiques of rationalist theories of
international relations. It also emphasizes the centrality of
international society and social
meanings to the study of world politics (Bull). Fundamentally,
however, it does not seek
to create testable hypotheses about State behaviour as the other
theories do. Instead, its
goals are more similar to those of a historian. Detailed
observation and rich interpretation
is favored over general explanatory models. Hedley Bull, for
instance, a leading English
School scholar, argued that international law was one of five
central institutions
mediating the impact of international anarchy and instead
creating ‘an anarchical society’.
25 Given their emphasis on context and interpretive methods, it
is no surprise that English
School writers hold historical understandings to be critical to
the study of world politics.
It is not enough simply to know the balance of power in the
international system, as the
Realists would have it. We must also know what preceded that
system, how the States
involved came to be where they are today, and what might
threaten or motivate them in
the future. Domestic politics are also important, as are norms
and ideologies.
G. Critical Approaches
26 The dominant international relations theories and their
underlying positivist epistemology
have been challenged from a range of perspectives. Scholars
working in Marxist,
feminist, post-colonial, and ecological fields have all put
forward critiques of
international relations’ explanations of State behaviour (→
Colonialism; → Developing
Country Approach to International Law; → Feminism, Approach
to International Law).
Most of these critiques share a concern with the construction of
power and the State,
which theories like Realism or Institutionalism tend to take for
granted.
27 For example, Marxist scholars perceive the emphasis on
State-to-State relations as
obscuring the more fundamental dynamics of global class
relations (→ Marxism). Only
by understanding the interests and behaviour of global capital
can we make sense of State
behaviour, they argue (Cox and Sinclair). Similarly, feminists
have sought to explain
aspects of State behaviour and its effects by emphasizing gender
as a variable of interest
INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS, PRINCIPAL THEORIES
(Ackerly Stern and True). This focus has lead, for example, to
notions of security that
move beyond State security (of paramount importance to
Realists) to notions of human
security. In such a perspective the effects of war, for example,
reach far beyond the
battlefield to family life and other aspects of social relations.
H. Conclusion
28 While many theories of international relations are fiercely
contested, it is usually
inappropriate to see them as rivals over some universal truth
about world politics. Rather,
each rests on certain assumptions and epistemologies, is
constrained within certain
specified conditions, and pursues its own analytic goal. While
various theories may lead
to more or less compelling conclusions about international
relations, none is definitively
‘right’ or ‘wrong’. Rather, each possesses some tools that can
be of use to students of
international politics in examining and analyzing rich, multi-
causal phenomena.
SELECT BIBLIOGRAPHY
I Kant Zum ewigen Frieden (Friedrich Nicolovius Königsberg
1795, reprinted by Reclam Ditzingen 1998).
H Bull The Anarchical Society: A Study of Order in World
Politics (Macmillan London 1977).
KN Waltz Theory of International Politics (Addison-Wesley
Reading 1979).
RO Keohane After Hegemony: Cooperation and Discord in the
World Political Economy (Princeton
University Press Princeton 1984).
RD Putnam ‘Diplomacy and Domestic Politics: The Logic of
Two-Level Games’ (1988) 42 IntlOrg 427–60.
JG March and JP Olsen Rediscovering Institutions: The
Organizational Basis of Politics (The Free Press New
York 1989).
DA Baldwin (ed) Neorealism and Neoliberalism: The
Contemporary Debate (Columbia University Press
New York 1993).
JJ Mearsheimer ‘The False Promise of International
Institutions’ (1994) 19(3) International Security 5–49.
JD Fearon ‘Rationalist Explanations for War’ (1995) 49 IntlOrg
379–414.
AI Johnston Cultural Realism: Strategic Culture and Grand
Strategy in Chinese History (Princeton
University Press Princeton 1995).
A Wendt ‘Constructing International Politics’ (1995) 20(1)
International Security 71–81.
ME Brown SM Lynn-Jones and SE Miller (eds) Debating the
Democratic Peace (MIT Cambridge 1996).
RW Cox and TJ Sinclair Approaches to World Order (CUP
Cambridge 1996).
MW Doyle Ways of War and Peace: Realism, Liberalism, and
Socialism (Norton New York 1997).
HV Milner Interests, Institutions, and Information: Domestic
Politics and International Relations (Princeton
University Press Princeton 1997).
A Moravcsik ‘Taking Preferences Seriously: A Liberal Theory
of International Politics’ (1997) 51 IntlOrg
513–53.
ME Keck and K Sikkink Activists Beyond Borders: Advocacy
Networks in International Politics (Cornell
University Press Ithaca 1998).
R Powell In the Shadow of Power: States and Strategies in
International Politics (Princeton University Press
Princeton 1999).
KOW Abbott and others ‘The Concept of Legalization’ (2000)
54 IntlOrg 401–19.
A Wendt Social Theory of International Politics (CUP
Cambridge 2000).
B Koremenos (ed) ‘The Rational Design of International
Institutions’ (2001) 55 IntlOrg 761–1103.
JJ Mearsheimer The Tragedy of Great Power Politics (Norton
New York 2001).
MN Barnett and M Finnemore Rules for the World:
International Organizations in Global Politics (Cornell
University Press Ithaca 2004).
ED Mansfield and J Snyder Electing to Fight: Why Emerging
Democracies Go to War (MIT Cambridge
2005).
BA Ackerly M Stern and J True (eds) Feminist Methodologies
for International Relations (CUP Cambridge
2006).
INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS, PRINCIPAL THEORIES
Published in: Wolfrum, R. (Ed.) Max Planck Encyclopedia of
Public International Law
(Oxford University Press, 2011) www.mpepil.com
http://www.mpepil.com/
International
Relations:
One World,
Many Theories
by Stephen M. Walt
W
h y should policymakers and practitioners
care about the scholarly study of interna-
tional affairs? Those who conduct foreign
policy often dismiss academic theorists (frequently,
one must admit, with good reason), but there is an inescapable
link
between the abstract worm of theory and the real worm of
policy. We
need theories to make sense of the blizzard of information that
bom-
bards us daily. Even policymakers who are contemptuous of
"theory"
must rely on their o w n (often unstated) ideas about how the
world
works in order to decide what to do. It is hard to make good
policy if
one's basic organizing principles are flawed, just as it is hard to
construct
good theories without knowing a lot about the real world.
Everyone uses
t h e o r i e s - - w h e t h e r he or she knows it or n o t - - a n
d disagreements about
policy usually rest on more fundamental disagreements about
the basic
forces that shape international outcomes.
Take, for example, the current debate on how to respond to
China.
From one perspective, C h i n a s ascent is the latest example of
the ten-
STEPHEN M . W A L T is professor of political science and
master of the social science colle-
giate division at the University of Chicago. He is a member of
FOREIGN POLICY's editorial board.
S P R I N G 1 9 9 8 29
International Relations
dency for rising powers to alter the global balance of power in
poten-
tially dangerous ways, especially as their growing influence
makes them
more ambitious. From another perspective, the key to China's
future
conduct is whether its behavior will be modified by its
integration into
world markets and by the (inevitable?) spread of democratic
principles.
From yet another viewpoint, relations between China and the
rest of
the world will be shaped by issues of culture and identity: Will
China
see itself (and be seen by others) as a normal member of the
world com-
munity or a singular society that deserves special treatment?
In the same way, the debate over NA'rO expansion looks
different
depending on which theory one employs. From a "realist"
perspective,
N A T O expansion is an effort to extend Western influence--
well beyond
the traditional sphere of U.S. vital interests--during a period of
Russ-
Jan weakness and is likely to provoke a harsh response from
Moscow.
From a liberal perspective, however, expansion will reinforce
the
nascent democracies of Central Europe and extend NATO's
conflict-
management mechanisms to a potentially turbulent region. A
third
view might stress the value of incorporating the Czech
Republic, Hun-
gary, and Poland within the Western security community, whose
mem-
bers share a common identity that has made war largely
unthinkable.
No single approach can capture all the complexity of
contemporary
world politics. Therefore, we are better off with a diverse array
of com-
peting ideas rather than a single theoretical orthodoxy.
Competition
between theories helps reveal their strengths and weaknesses
and
spurs subsequent refinements, while revealing flaws in
conventional
wisdom. Although we should take care to emphasize
inventiveness
over invective, we should welcome and encourage the
heterogeneity
of contemporary scholarship.
W H E n E AnE WE COMING FnOM?
The study of international affairs is best understood as a
protracted com-
petition between the realist, liberal, and radical traditions.
Realism empha-
sizes the enduring propensity for conflict between states;
liberalism
identifies several ways to mitigate these conflictive tendencies;
and the
radical tradition describes how the entire system of state
relations might be
transformed. The boundaries between these traditions are
somewhat fuzzy
and a number of important works do not fit neatly into any of
them, but
debates within and among them have largely defmed the
discipline.
30 F O R E I G N P O L I C Y
Walt
Rea//sm
Realism was the dominant theoretical tradition throughout the
Cold
War. It depicts international affairs as a struggle for power
among self-
interested states and is generally pessimistic about the prospects
for
eliminating conflict and war. Realism dominated in the Cold
War years
because it provided simple but powerful explanations for war,
alliances,
imperialism, obstacles to cooperation, and other international
phenom-
ena, and because its emphasis on competition was consistent
with the
central features of the American-Soviet rivalry.
Realism is not a single theory, of course, and realist thought
evolved
considerably throughout the Cold War. "Classical" realists such
as Hans
Morgenthau and Reinhold Niebuhr believed that states, like
human
beings, had an innate desire to dominate others, which led them
to fight
wars. Morgenthau also stressed the virtues of the classical,
multipolat;
balance-of-power system and saw the bipolar rivalry between
the Unit-
ed States and the Soviet Union as especially dangerous.
By contrast, the "neorealist" theory advanced by Kenneth Waltz
ignored human nature and focused on the effects of the
international
system. For Waltz, the international system consisted of a
number of
great powers, each seeking to survive. Because the system is
anarchic
(i.e., there is no central authority to protect states from one
another),
each state has to survive on its own. Waltz argued that this
condition
would lead weaker states to balance against, rather than
bandwagon
with, more powerful rivals. A n d contrary to Morgenthau, he
claimed
that bipolarity was more stable than multipolarity.
A n important refinement to realism was the addition of
offense-
defense theory, as laid out by Robert Jervis, George Quester,
and
Stephen Van Evem. These scholars argued that war was more
likely
when states could conquer each other easily. W h e n defense
was easier
than offense, however, security was more plentiful, incentives
to expand
declined, and cooperation could blossom. A n d if defense had
the
advantage, and states could distinguish between offensive and
defensive
weapons, then states could acquire the means to defend
themselves
without threatening others, thereby dampening the effects of
anarchy.
For these "defensive" realists, states merely sought to survive
and great
powers could guarantee their security by forming balancing
alliances and
choosing defensive military postures (such as retaliatory nuclear
forces).
Not surprisingly, Waltz and most other neorealists believed that
the
United States was extremely secure for most of the Cold War.
Their
S P R I N G 1 9 9 8 31
International Relations
principle fear was that it might squander its favorable position
by adopt-
ing an overly aggressive foreign policy. Thus, by the end of the
Cold War,
realism had moved away from Morgenthau's dark brooding
about human
nature and taken on a slightly more optimistic tone.
Liberalism
The principal challenge to realism came from a broad family of
liber-
al theories. One strand of liberal thought argued that economic
inter-
dependence would discourage states from using force against
each
other because warfare would threaten each side's prosperity. A
second
strand, often associated with President Woodrow Wilson, saw
the
spread of democracy as the key to world peace, based on the
claim that
democratic states were inherently more peaceful than
authoritarian
states. A third, more recent theory argued that international
institutions such as the International Energy Agency and the
Inter-
national Monetary Fund could help overcome selfish state
behavior,
mainly by encouraging states to forego immediate gains for the
greater
benefits of enduring cooperation.
Although some liberals flirted with the idea that new
transnational
actors, especially the multinational corporation, were gradually
encroaching on the power of states, liberalism generally saw
states as the
central players in international affairs. All liberal theories
implied that
cooperation was more pervasive than even the defensive version
of real-
ism allowed, but each view offered a different recipe for
promoting it.
R a d / c d Ap~oaches
Until the 1980s, marxism was the main alternative to the
mainstream
realist and liberal traditions. Where realism and liberalism took
the
state system for granted, marxism offered both a different
explanation
for international conflict and a blueprint for fundamentally
transform-
ing the existing international order.
Orthodox marxist theory saw capitalism as the central cause of
inter-
national conflict. Capitalist states battled each other as a
consequence
of their incessant struggle for profits and battled socialist states
because
they saw in them the seeds of their own destruction. Neomarxist
"dependency" theory, by contrast, focused on relations between
advanced capitalist powers and less developed states and argued
that the
former--aided by an unholy alliance with the ruling classes of
the
developing world had grown rich by exploiting the latter. The
solu-
32 F O R E I G N P O L I C Y
International Relations
tion was to overthrow these parasitic 61ites and install a
revolutionary
government committed to autonomous development.
Both of these theories were largely discredited before the Cold
War
even ended. The extensive history of economic and military
coopera-
tion among the advanced industrial powers showed that
capitalism did
not inevitably lead to conflict. The bitter schisms that divided
the
communist world showed that socialism did not always promote
har-
mony. Dependency theory suffered similar empirical setbacks as
it
became increasingly clear that, first, active participation in the
world
economy was a better route to prosperity than autonomous
socialist
development; and, second, many developing countries proved
them-
selves quite capable of bargaining successfully with
multinational cor-
porations and other capitalist institutions.
As marxism succumbed to its various failings, its mantle was
assumed by a group of theorists who borrowed heavily from the
wave
of postmodem writings in literary criticism and social theory.
This
"deconstructionist" approach was openly skeptical of the effort
to
devise general or universal theories such as realism or
liberalism.
Indeed, its proponents emphasized the importance of language
and
discourse in shaping social outcomes. However, because these
scholars
focused initially on criticizing the mainstream paradigms but
did not
offer positive alternatives to them, they remained a self-
consciously
dissident minority for most of the 1980s.
Domestic Politics
Not all Cold War scholarship on international affairs fit neatly
into the
realist, liberal, or marxist paradigms. In particular, a number of
impor-
tant works focused on the characteristics of states,
governmental orga-
nizations, or individual leaders. The democratic strand of liberal
theory
fits under this heading, as do the efforts of scholars such as
Graham
Allison and John Steinbruner to use organization theory and
bureau-
cratic politics to explain foreign policy behavior, and those of
Jervis,
Irving Janis, and others, which applied social and cognitive
psycholo-
gy. For the most part, these efforts did not seek to provide a
general the-
ory of international behavior but to identify other factors that
might
lead states to behave contrary to the predictions of the realist or
liber-
al approaches. Thus, much of this literature should be regarded
as a
complement to the three main paradigms rather than as a rival
approach for analysis of the international system as a whole.
34 F O R E I G N P O L I C Y
Walt
NEW W R I N K L E S IN O L D PARADIGMS
Scholarship on intemational affairs has diversified significantly
since
the end of the Cold War. Non-American voices are more
prominent, a
wider range of methods and theories are seen as legitimate, and
new
issues such as ethnic conflict, the environment, and the future
of the
state have been placed on the agenda of scholars everywhere.
Yet the sense of d~j~ vu is equally striking. Instead of resolving
the strug-
gle between competing theoretical traditions, the end of the
Cold War has
merely launched a new series of debates. Ironically, even as
many societies
embrace similar ideals of democracy, free markets, and human
rights, the
scholars who study these developments are more divided than
ever.
Rea//sm Redux
Although the end of the Cold War led a few writers to declare
that
realism was destined for the academic scrapheap, rumors of its
demise
have been largely exaggerated.
A recent contribution of realist theory is its attention to the
problem
of relative and absolute gains. Responding to the
institutionalists' claim
that international institutions would enable states to forego
short-term
advantages for the sake of greater long-term gains, realists such
as Joseph
Grieco and Stephen Krasner point out that anarchy forces states
to
worry about both the absolute gains from cooperation and the
way that
gains are distributed among participants. The logic is
straightforward: If
one state reaps larger gains than its partners, it will gradually
become
stronger, and its partners will eventually become more
vulnerable.
Realists have also been quick to explore a variety of new issues.
Barry
Posen offers a realist explanation for ethnic conflict, noting that
the
breakup of multiethnic states could place rival ethnic groups in
an anar-
chic setting, thereby triggering intense fears and tempting each
group to
use force to improve its relative position. This problem would
be par-
ticularly severe when each group's territory contained enclaves
inhabit-
ed by their ethnic rivals--as in the former Yugoslavia because
each
side would be tempted to "cleanse" (preemptively) these alien
minori-
ties and expand to incorporate any others from their ethnic
group that
lay outside their borders. Realists have also cautioned that
N^TO,
absent a clear enemy, would likely face increasing strains and
that
expanding its presence eastward would jeopardize relations with
Russia.
Finally, scholars such as Michael Mastanduno have argued that
U.S.
S P R I N O 1 9 9 8 35
International Relations
Waiting for Mr. X
T h e post-Cold War world still awaits its "X" article. Although
many
have tried, no one has managed to pen the sort of compelling
analysis
that George Kennan provided for an earlier era, when he
articulated the
theory of containment. Instead of a single new vision, the most
impor-
tant development in post-Cold War writings on world affairs is
the con-
tinuing clash between those who believe world politics has been
(or is
being) fundamentally transformed and those who believe that
the future
will look a lot like the past.
Scholars who see the end of the Cold War as a watershed fall
into
two distinct groups. Many experts still see the state as the main
actor
but believe that the agenda of states is shifting from military
competi-
tion to economic competitiveness, domestic welfare, and
environmen-
tal protection. Thus, President Bill Clinton has embraced the
view
that "enlightened self-interest [and] shared v a l u e s . . , will
compel us to
cooperate in more constructive ways." Some writers attribute
this
change to the spread of democracy, others to the nuclear
stalemate,
and still others to changes in international norms.
A n even more radical perspective questions whether the state
is
still the most important international actor. Jessica Mathews
believes
that "the absolutes of the Westphalian system [of] territorially
fixed
s t a t e s . . , are all dissolving," and John Ruggie argues that
we do not
even have a vocabulary that can adequately describe the new
forces
that (he believes) are transforming contemporary world politics.
Although there is still no consensus on the causes of this trend,
the
view that states are of decreasing relevance is surprisingly
common
among academics, journalists, and policy wonks.
Prominent realists such as Christopher Layne and Kenneth
Waltz
continue to give the state pride of place and predict a return to
familiar
patterns of great power competition. Similarly, Robert Keohane
and
other institutionalists also emphasize the central role of the
state and
argue that institutions such as the European Union and NATO
are
important precisely because they provide continuity in the midst
of dra-
matic political shifts. These authors all regard the end of the
Cold War
as a far-reaching shift in the global balance of power but do not
see it as
a qualitative transformation in the basic nature of world
politics.
W h o is right? Too soon to tell, but the debate bears watching
in the years to come.
- - S . W .
36 F O R E I G N P O L I C Y
Wak
foreign policy is generally consistent with realist principles,
insofar as its
actions are still designed to preserve U.S. predominance and to
shape a
postwar order that advances American interests.
The most interesting conceptual development within the realist
par-
adigm has been the emerging split between the "defensive" and
"offen-
sive" strands of thought. Defensive realists such as Waltz, Van
Ever-a,
and Jack Snyder assumed that states had little intrinsic interest
in mili-
tary conquest and argued that the costs of expansion generally
out-
weighed the benefits. Accordingly, they maintained that great
power
wars occurred largely because domestic groups fostered
exaggerated per-
ceptions of threat and an excessive faith in the efficacy of
military force.
This view is now being challenged along several fronts. First, as
Ran-
dall Schweller notes, the neorealist assumption that states
merely seek
to survive "stacked the deck" in favor of the status quo because
it pre-
cluded the threat of predatory revisionist states nations such as
Adolf
Hitler's Germany or Napoleon Bonaparte's France that "value
what
they covet far more than what they possess" and are willing to
risk anni-
hilation to achieve their aims. Second, Peter Liberman, in his
book
Does Conquest Pay?, uses a number of historical cases--such as
the Nazi
occupation of Western Europe and Soviet hegemony over
Eastern
Europe--to show that the benefits of conquest often exceed the
costs,
thereby casting doubt on the claim that military expansion is no
longer
cost-effective. Third, offensive realists such as Eric Labs, John
Mearsheimer, and Fareed Zakaria argue that anarchy encourages
all
states to try to maximize their relative strength simply because
no state
can ever be sure when a truly revisionist power might emerge.
These differences help explain why realists disagree over issues
such
as the future of Europe. For defensive realists such as Van
Evem, war is
rarely profitable and usually results from militarism,
hypernationalism,
or some other distorting domestic factor. Because Van Evera
believes
such forces are largely absent in post-Cold War Europe, he
concludes
that the region is "primed for peace." By contrast, Mearsheimer
and
other offensive realists believe that anarchy forces great powers
to com-
pete irrespective of their internal characteristics and that
security com-
petition will return to Europe as soon as the U.S. pacifier is
withdrawn.
New L/re for L/herd/sin
The defeat of communism sparked a round of self-
congratulation in the
West, best exemplified by Francis Fukuyama's infamous claim
that
S P R I N G 1 9 9 8 37
International Relations
COMPETING
PARADIGMS
Ssvaf-J~erl~lgd slatus CnlIcgrn for power S1nta bohaviec
shaped
compete c o ~ fur overridden by economic, by 61~ b~efs,
power or s e c u ~ paliticd mmiderntions cdleclive norms,
(desi/e fur ~'ecpwJly, and s~jnl idm~dliec
commilmont to
liberal values)
States S1otus Individuals
(ecpeciaiy ~Jitus)
Economic and Varies (international Ideas and
espe('mlly military instituliens, economic discourse
power axdmnge, promntion
of democracy)
Hans Margenthon, Michael Doyle, Alexander Wench,
Kenneth Waltz Robed Keohona John ROwe
Main Thec,;i~,~
Pr~ositlon
Mab Ueits of Analysb
Mab Instrumnts
Modern Theorists
Representative
Modem Works
Wall~ T/mory of
~ernat/ona/Po//#cE
Maarsbeimer, "Back to i
the Future: Imtabil~ly
in Europe after
the Cold War"
(l~rnat/ana/Sea~r/ry,
1990)
Keohaon,
After Hq~nany
Fukuyama, "the [nd of
flist~?" (#m'/oon/
/ntea'~, 1989)
Wendl', "Aonrd~ Is
Whm States Make of H'
(I.~r~/ona/
OrSan~,a~ 1992);
R o s l o ~ &
Krmeclnd, "Under-
standing Omogm in
Intumu~al Politics"
[Inturnaliond
1994)
Post-Cold War Resurgence of Increased co~erafim Agonslic
became ii
Predldim overt great power as lib~al values, free cannot prndia
Ibe
compelilion markets, and intema- content oF ideas
fional in~ntiens ~onl
Mab Lknitation Daes not account for Tends Io ignore tho Belier
at describing 1he
intemmienal change role of power past Ilmn anticipaling
the future
3 8 F O R E I G N P O L I C Y
Walt
h u m a n k i n d had n o w reached the "end of history."
History has paid lit-
tle attention to this boast, but the triumph of the West did give a
notable boost to all three swands of liberal thought.
By far the most interesting and important development has been
the
lively debate o n the "democratic peace." Although the most
recent
phase of this debate had begun e v e n before the Soviet U n i o
n collapsed,
it became more influential as the number of democracies began
to
increase and as evidence of this relationship began to
accumulate.
Democratic peace theory is a refinement of the earlier claim
that
democracies were inherently more peaceful t h a n autocratic
states. It rests
on the belief that although democracies seem to fight wars as
often as
other states, they rarely, ff ever, fight one another. Scholars
such as
Michael Doyle, James Lee Ray, and Bruce Russetr have offered
a number
of explanations for this tendency, the most popular being that
democra-
cies embrace norms of compromise that bar the use of force
against
groups espousing similar principles. It is hard to think of a more
influen-
tial, recent academic debate, insofar as the belief that
"democracies don't
fight each other" has been an important justification for the
Clinton
administration's efforts to enlarge the sphere of democratic rule.
It is therefore ironic that faith in the "democratic peace" became
the
basis for U.S. policy just as additional research was beginning
to identify
several qualifiers to this theory. First, Snyder and Edward
Mansfield
pointed out that states may be more prone to war w h e n they
are in the
midst of a democratic transition, which implies that efforts to
export
democracy might actually make things worse. Second, critics
such as
Joanne Gowa and David Spiro have argued that the apparent
absence of
war between democracies is due to the way that democracy has
been
defined and to the relative dearth of democratic states
(especially before
1945). In addition, Christopher Layne has pointed out that w h e
n
democracies have come close to war in the past their decision to
remain
at peace ukimately had little do with their shared democratic
character.
Third, clearcut evidence that democracies do not fight each
other is con-
fined to the post-1945 era, and, as Gowa has emphasized, the
absence of
conflict in this period may be due more to their common interest
in con-
mining the Soviet U n i o n t h a n to shared democratic
principles.
Liberal institutionalists likewise have continued to adapt their
own
theories. O n the one hand, the core claims of institutionalist
theory have
become more modest over time. Institutions are now said to
facilitate
cooperation w h e n it is in each state's interest to do so, but it
is widely
S P R I N G 1 9 9 8 39
International Relations
agreed that they cannot force states to behave in ways that are
contrary
to the states' own selfish interests. [For further discussion,
please see
Robert Keohane's article.] O n the other hand, institutionalists
such as
John Duffield and Robert McCalla have extended the theory
into new
substantive areas, most notably the study of NAaXg. For these
scholars,
NATO'S highly institutionalized character helps explain why it
has been
able to survive and adapt, despite the disappearance of its main
adversary.
T h e economic strand of liberal theory is still influential as
well. In par-
ticular, a number of scholars have recently suggested that the
"globaliza-
tion" of world markets, the rise of transnational networks and
nongovernmental organizations, and the rapid spread of global
commu-
nications technology are undermining the power of states and
shifting
attention away from military security toward economics and
social wel-
fare. T h e details are novel but the basic logic is familiar: As
societies
around the globe become enmeshed in a web of economic and
social
connections, the costs of disrupting these ties will effectively
preclude
unilateral state actions, especially the use of force.
This perspective implies that war will remain a remote
possibility
among the advanced industrial democracies. It also suggests
that bring-
ing C h i n a and Russia into the relentless embrace of world
capitalism is
the best way to promote both prosperity and peace, particularly
if this
process creates a strong middle class in these states and
reinforces pres-
sures to democratize. G e t these societies hooked on prosperity
and com-
petition will be confined to the economic realm.
This view has b e e n challenged by scholars who argue that the
actu-
al scope of "globalization" is modest and that these various
transactions
still take place in environments that are shaped and regulated by
states.
Nonetheless, the belief that economic forces are superseding
tradition-
al great power politics enjoys widespread acceptance among
scholars,
pundits, and policymakers, and the role of the state is likely to
be an
important topic for future academic inquiry.
Constructia~st Theories
Whereas realism and liberalism tend to focus on material factors
such as
power or trade, constructivist approaches emphasize the impact
of ideas.
Instead of taking the state for granted and assuming that it
simply seeks
to survive, constructivists regard the interests and identities of
states as
a highly malleable product of specific historical processes. They
pay
close attention to the prevailing discourse(s) in society because
dis-
40 FOREIGN P O L I C Y
Wdt
course reflects and shapes beliefs and interests, and establishes
accepted
norms of behavior. Consequently, constructivism is especially
attentive
to the sources of change, and this approach has largely replaced
marx-
ism as the preeminent radical perspective on international
affairs.
The end of the Cold War played an important role in
legitimating
constructivist theories because realism and liberalism both
failed to
anticipate this event and had some trouble explaining it.
Construc-
tivists had an explanation: Specifically, former president
Mikhail
Gorbachev revolutionized Soviet foreign policy because he
embraced
new ideas such as "common security."
Moreover, given that we live in an era where old norms are
being
challenged, once clear boundaries are dissolving, and issues of
identi-
ty are becoming more salient, it is hardly surprising that
scholars have
been d/awn to approaches that place these issues front and
center.
From a constructivist perspective, in fact, the central issue in
the
post-Cold War world is how different groups conceive their
identities
and interests. Although power is not irrelevant, constructivism
emphasizes how ideas and identities are created, how they
evolve, and
how they shape the way states understand and respond to their
situa-
tion. Therefore, it matters whether Europeans define themselves
pri-
marily in national or continental terms; whether Germany and
Japan
redefine their pasts in ways that encourage their adopting more
active
international roles; and whether the United States embraces or
rejects
its identity as "global policeman."
Constructivist theories are quite diverse and do not offer a
unified
set of predictions on any of these issues. At a purely conceptual
level,
Alexander Wendt has argued that the realist conception of
anarchy
does not adequately explain why conflict occurs between states.
The
real issue is how anarchy is understood--in Wendt's words,
"Anarchy
is what states make of it." Another strand of constructivist
theory has
focused on the future of the territorial state, suggesting that
transna-
tional communication and shared civic values are undermining
tradi-
tional national loyalties and creating radically new forms of
political
association. Other constructivists focus on the role of norms,
arguing
that international law and other normative principles have
eroded ear-
lier notions of sovereignty and altered the legitimate purposes
for
which state power may be employed. The common theme in
each of
these strands is the capacity of discourse to shape how political
actors
define themselves and their interests, and thus modify their
behavior.
S r ' a I N O 1 9 9 8 41
International Relations
Domestic Politics Recons/dered
As in the Cold War, scholars continue to explore the impact of
domes-
tic politics on the behavior of states. Domestic politics are
obviously
central to the debate on the democratic peace, and scholars such
as
Snyder, Jeffrey Frieden, and Helen Milner have examined how
domes-
tic interest groups can distort the formation of state preferences
and lead
to suboptimal international behavior. George Downs, David
Rocke,
and others have also explored how domestic institutions can
help states
deal with the perennial problem of uncertainty, while students
of psy-
chology have applied prospect theory and other new tools to
explain
why decision makers fail to act in a rational fashion. [For
further dis-
cussion about foreign policy decision making, please see the
article by
Margaret Hermann and Joe Hagan.]
The past decade has also witnessed an explosion of interest in
the
concept of culture, a development that overlaps with the
constructivist
emphasis on the importance of ideas and norms. Thus, Thomas
Berger
and Peter Katzenstein have used cultural variables to explain
why Ger-
many and Japan have thus far eschewed more self-reliant
military poli-
cies; Elizabeth Kier has offered a cultural interpretation of
British and
French military doctrines in the interwar period; and lain
Johnston has
traced continuities in Chinese foreign policy to a deeply rooted
form of
"cultural realism." Samuel Huntington's dire warnings about an
immi-
nent "clash of civilizations" are symptomatic of this trend as
well, inso-
far as his argument rests on the claim that broad cultural
affinities are
now supplanting national loyalties. Though these and other
works
define culture in widely varying ways and have yet to provide a
full
explanation of how it works or how enduring its effects might
be, cul-
tural perspectives have been very much in vogue during the past
five
years. This trend is partly a reflection of the broader interest in
cultural
issues in the academic world (and within the public debate as
well) and
partly a response to the upsurge in ethnic, nationalist, and
cultural con-
flicts since the demise of the Soviet Union.
T O M O R R O W ' S C O N C E P T U A L T O O L B O X
While these debates reflect the diversity of contemporary
scholarship on
international affairs, there are also obvious signs of
convergence. Most real-
ists recognize that nationalism, militarism, ethnicity, and other
domestic
factors are important; liberals acknowledge that power is central
to inter-
42 F O R E I G N P O L I C Y
Wak
national behavior; and some constructivists admit that ideas will
have
greater impact when backed by powerful states and reinforced
by enduring
material forces. The boundaries of each paradigm are somewhat
perme-
able, and there is ample opportunity for intellectual arbitrage.
W h i c h of these broad perspectives sheds the most light on
contem-
porary international affairs, and which should policymakers
keep most
firmly in mind when charting our course into the next century?
Although many academics (and more than a few policymakers)
are
loathe to admit it, realism remains the most compelling general
frame-
work for understanding international relations. States continue
to pay
close attention to the balance of power and to worry about the
possi-
bility of major conflict. Among other things, this enduring
preoccupa-
tion with power and security explains why many Asians and
Europeans
are now eager to preserve--and possibly expand--the U.S.
military
presence in their regions. As Czech president V~iclav Havel has
warned, if NATO fails to expand, "we might be heading for a
new glob-
al c a t a s t r o p h e . . . [which] could cost us all much more
than the two
world wars." These are not the words of a man who believes
that great
power rivalry has been banished forever.
As for the United States, the past decade has shown how much
it likes
being "number one" and how determined it is to remain in a
predominant
position. The United States has taken advantage of its current
superiori-
ty to impose its preferences wherever possible, even at the risk
of irritat-
ing many of its long-standing allies. It has forced a series of
one-sided arms
control agreements on Russia, dominated the problematic peace
effort in
Bosnia, taken steps to expand NATO into Russia's backyard,
and become
increasingly concemed about the rising power of China. It has
called
repeatedly for greater reliance on multilateralism and a larger
role for
international institutions, but has treated agencies such as the
United
Nations and the World Trade Organization with disdain
whenever their
actions did not conform to U.S. interests. It refused to join the
rest of the
world in outlawing the production of landmines and was
politely unco-
operative at the Kyoto environmental summit. Although U.S.
leaders are
adept at cloaking their actions in the lofty rhetoric of"world
order," naked
self-interest lies behind most of them. Thus, the end of the Cold
War did
not bring the end of power politics, and realism is likely to
remain the sin-
gle most useful instrument in our intellectual toolbox.
Yet realism does not explain everything, and a wise leader
would
also keep insights from the rival paradigms in mind. Liberal
theories
S P R I N G 1 9 9 8 43
International Relations
identify the instruments that states can use to achieve shared
inter-
ests, highlight the powerful economic forces with which states
and
societies must now contend, and help us understand why states
may
differ in their basic preferences. Paradoxically, because U.S.
protec-
tion reduces the danger of regional rivalries and reinforces the
"liber-
al peace" that emerged after 1945, these factors may become
relatively
more important, as long as the United States continues to
provide
security and stability in many parts of the world.
Meanwhile, constructivist theories are best suited to the
analysis of
how identities and interests can change over time, thereby
producing
subtle shifts in the behavior of states and occasionally
triggering far-
reaching but unexpected shifts in international affairs. It
matters if
political identity in Europe continues to shift from the nation-
state to
more local regions or to a broader sense of European identity,
just as it
matters if nationalism is gradually supplanted by the sort of
"civiliza-
tional" affinities emphasized by Huntington. Realism has little
to say
about these prospects, and policymakers could be blind-sided by
change if they ignore these possibilities entirely.
In short, each of these competing perspectives captures
important
aspects of world politics. Our understanding would be
impoverished
were our thinking confined to only one of them. The "compleat
diplo-
mat" of the future should remain cognizant of realism's
emphasis on the
inescapable role of power, keep liberalism's awareness of
domestic forces
in mind, and occasionally reflect on constructivism's vision of
change.
W A N T T O K N O W M O R E ?
For a fair-minded survey of the realist, liberal, and marxist
paradigms,
see Michael Doyle's Ways of War and Peace (New York, NY:
Norton,
1997). A guide to some recent developments in international
political
thought is Doyle & G. John Ikenberry, eds., New Th/nking in
Inter.
national Relations Theory (Boulder, CO: Westview, 1997).
Those interested in realism should examine The Per//s of
Anarchy:
Contemporary Realism and International Security (Cambridge,
MA:
MIT Press, 1995) by Michael Brown, Sean Lynn-Jones, &
Steven Miller,
eds.; "Offensive Realism and Why States Expand Their War
Aims"
(Security Studies, Summer 1997) by Eric Labs; and "Dueling
Realisms"
(International Organization, Summer 1997) by Stephen Brooks.
For alter-
44 F O R E I G N P o I . I C Y
Walt
native realist assessments of contemporary world politics, see
John
Mearsheimer's "Back to the Future: Instability in Europe after
the
Cold War" (International Secur/ty, Summer 1990) and Robert
Jervis'
" T h e Future of World Politics: Will I t Resemble the Past?"
(Interna-
t/ona/Secur/ty, Winter 1991-92). A realist explanation of ethnic
con-
flict is Barry Posen's " T h e Security Dilemma and Ethnic
Conflict"
(Survival, Spring 1993); an up-to-date survey of offense.defense
theory
can be found in " T h e Security Dilemma Revisited" by
Charles Glaser
(World Politics, October 1997); and recent U.S. foreign policy
is
explained in Michael Mastanduno's "Preserving the Unipolar
Moment: Realist Theories and U.S. Grand Strategy after the
Cold
War" (International Secur/ty, Spring 1997).
The liberal approach to international affairs is summarized in
Andrew Moravcsik's "Taking Preferences Seriously: A Liberal
Theo-
ry of International Politics" (International Organization,
Autumn
1997). Many of the leading contributors to the debate on the
democra-
tic peace can be found in Brown & Lynn-Jones, eds., Debating
the
Democratic Peace (Cambridge, MA: MIT Press, 1996) and
Miriam
Elman, ed., Paths to Peace: Is Democracy the Answer?
(Cambridge,
MA: MIT Press, 1997). The contributions of institutionalist
theory and
the debate on relative gains are summarized in David Baldwin,
ed., Neo-
realism and Neoliberalism: The Contemlxrra ~ Debate (New
York,
NY: Columbia University Press, 1993). A n important critique
of the
institutionalist literature is Mearsheimer's " T h e False
Promise of Inter-
national Institutions" (International Secur/ty, Winter 1994--95),
but one
should also examine the responses in the Summer 1995 issue.
For appli-
cations of institutionalist theory to NATO, see John Duffield's
"NATO's
Functions after the Cold War" (Political Science L~arterly,
Winter
1994-95) and Robert McCaUa's "NATO's Persistence after the
Cold
War" (International Organization, Summer 1996).
Authors questioning the role of the state include Susan Strange
in
The Retreat of the State: The D / f ~ i o n of Power in the
World Econ.
omy (Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 1996); and
Jessica Math-
ews in "Power Shift" (Foreign Affairs, January/February 1997).
The
emergence of the state is analyzed by Hendrik Spruyt in The
Sovereign
State and Its Com/mt/tors (Princeton, NJ: Princeton University
Press,
1994), and its continued importance is defended in
Qlobal/z.at/on in
Question: The International Economy and the Possibilities of
Clover.
nance (Cambridge: Polity, 1996) by Paul Hirst and Grahame
Thomp-
S P R I N G 1 9 9 8 45
International Affairs
son, and Governing the Global Economy: International Finance
and
the State (Cambridge, MA: Harvard University Press, 1994) by
Ethan
Kapstein. Another defense (from a somewhat unlikely source) is
"The
World Economy: The Future of the State" (The Economist,
Septem-
ber 20, 1997), and a more academic discussion of these issues is
Peter
Evans' "The Eclipse of the State? Reflections on Stateness in an
Era
of Globalization" (World Politics, October 1997).
Readers interested in constructivist approaches should begin
with
Alexander Wendt's "Anarchy Is What States Make of It: The
Social
Construction of Power Politics" (International Organization,
Spring
1992), while awaiting his Social Theory of International Politics
(Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, forthcoming). A
diverse
array of cultural and constructivist approaches may also be
found in
Peter Katzenstein, ed., The Culture of National Security (New
York,
NY: Columbia University Press, 1996) and Yosef Lapid &
Friedrich
Kratochwil, eds., The Return of Culture and Identity in IR
Theory
(Boulder: CO" Lynne Rienner, 1996).
For links to relevant Web sites, as well as a comprehensive
index of
related articles, access www.foreignpolicy.com.
http ://www. foreign policy, com
S e l e c t e d full-text articles f r o m the current issue o f
F O R E I G N P O L I C Y • A c c e s s to i n t e r n a t i o n a
l data and
r e s o u r c e s , O v e r 150 r e l a t e d W e b site links • I n
t e r a c t i v e
L e t t e r s to the E d i t o r , D e b a t e s , 10 y e a r s o f a
r c h i v a l
s u m m a r i e s and m o r e to come...
A c c e s s the issues!

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INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS, PRINCIPAL THEORIES International .docx

  • 1. INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS, PRINCIPAL THEORIES International Relations, Principal Theories Anne-Marie Slaughter TABLE OF CONTENTS A. Introduction ............................................................................................... ............................................. 1 B. Realism ............................................................................................... .................................................... 2 C. Institutionalism ............................................................................................... ........................................ 8 D. Liberalism ............................................................................................... .............................................. 14 E. Constructivism ............................................................................................... ....................................... 19 F. The English School ............................................................................................... ................................ 24
  • 2. G. Critical Approaches ............................................................................................... ............................... 26 H. Conclusion ............................................................................................... ............................................. 28 A. Introduction 1 The study of international relations takes a wide range of theoretical approaches. Some emerge from within the discipline itself; others have been imported, in whole or in part, from disciplines such as economics or sociology. Indeed, few social scientific theories have not been applied to the study of relations amongst nations. Many theories of international relations are internally and externally contested, and few scholars believe only in one or another. In spite of this diversity, several major schools of thought are discernable, differentiated principally by the variables they emphasize—eg military power, material interests, or ideological beliefs. B. Realism 2 For Realists (sometimes termed ‘structural Realists’ or
  • 3. ‘Neorealists’, as opposed to the earlier ‘classical Realists’) the international system is defined by anarchy—the absence of a central authority (Waltz). States are sovereign and thus autonomous of each other; no inherent structure or society can emerge or even exist to order relations between them. They are bound only by forcible → coercion or their own → consent. 3 In such an anarchic system, State power is the key—indeed, the only—variable of interest, because only through power can States defend themselves and hope to survive. Realism can understand power in a variety of ways—eg militarily, economically, diplomatically—but ultimately emphasizes the distribution of coercive material capacity as the determinant of international politics. 4 This vision of the world rests on four assumptions (Mearsheimer 1994). First, Realists claim that survival is the principal goal of every State. Foreign invasion and occupation are thus the most pressing threats that any State faces. Even if domestic interests, strategic
  • 4. culture, or commitment to a set of national ideals would dictate more benevolent or co- operative international goals, the anarchy of the international system requires that States constantly ensure that they have sufficient power to defend themselves and advance their material interests necessary for survival. Second, Realists hold States to be rational actors. This means that, given the goal of survival, States will act as best they can in order to maximize their likelihood of continuing to exist. Third, Realists assume that all States possess some military capacity, and no State knows what its neighbors intend precisely. The world, in other words, is dangerous and uncertain. Fourth, in such a world it is the Great Powers—the States with most economic clout and, especially, military might, that INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS, PRINCIPAL THEORIES are decisive. In this view international relations is essentially a story of Great Power politics.
  • 5. 5 Realists also diverge on some issues. So-called offensive Realists maintain that, in order to ensure survival, States will seek to maximize their power relative to others (Mearsheimer 2001). If rival countries possess enough power to threaten a State, it can never be safe. → Hegemony is thus the best strategy for a country to pursue, if it can. Defensive Realists, in contrast, believe that domination is an unwise strategy for State survival (Waltz 1979). They note that seeking hegemony may bring a State into dangerous conflicts with its peers. Instead, defensive Realists emphasize the stability of → balance of power systems, where a roughly equal distribution of power amongst States ensures that none will risk attacking another. ‘Polarity’—the distribution of power amongst the Great Powers—is thus a key concept in Realist theory. 6 Realists’ overriding emphasis on anarchy and power leads them to a dim view of international law and international institutions (Mearsheimer 1994). Indeed, Realists
  • 6. believe such facets of international politics to be merely epiphenomenal; that is, they reflect the balance of power, but do not constrain or influence State behaviour. In an anarchic system with no hierarchical authority, Realists argue that law can only be enforced through State power. But why would any State choose to expend its precious power on enforcement unless it had a direct material interest in the outcome? And if enforcement is impossible and cheating likely, why would any State agree to co-operate through a treaty or institution in the first place? 7 Thus States may create international law and international institutions, and may enforce the rules they codify. However, it is not the rules themselves that determine why a State acts a particular way, but instead the underlying material interests and power relations. International law is thus a symptom of State behaviour, not a cause. C. Institutionalism 8 Institutionalists share many of Realism’s assumptions about
  • 7. the international system— that it is anarchic, that States are self-interested, rational actors seeking to survive while increasing their material conditions, and that uncertainty pervades relations between countries. However, Institutionalism relies on microeconomic theory and game theory to reach a radically different conclusion—that co-operation between nations is possible. 9 The central insight is that co-operation may be a rational, self-interested strategy for countries to pursue under certain conditions (Keohane 1984). Consider two trading partners. If both countries lower their tariffs they will trade more and each will become more prosperous, but neither wants to lower barriers unless it can be sure the other will too. Realists doubt such co-operation can be sustained in the absence of coercive power because both countries would have incentives to say they are opening to trade, dump their goods onto the other country’s markets, and not allow any imports. 10 Institutionalists, in contrast, argue that institutions—defined
  • 8. as a set of rules, norms, practices and decision-making procedures that shape expectations—can overcome the uncertainty that undermines co-operation. First, institutions extend the time horizon of interactions, creating an iterated game rather than a single round. Countries agreeing on ad hoc tariffs may indeed benefit from tricking their neighbors in any one round of negotiations. But countries that know they must interact with the same partners repeatedly through an institution will instead have incentives to comply with agreements in the short term so that they might continue to extract the benefits of co- operation in the long term. INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS, PRINCIPAL THEORIES Institutions thus enhance the utility of a good reputation to countries; they also make punishment more credible. 11 Second, Institutionalists argue that institutions increase information about State behaviour. Recall that uncertainty is a significant reason
  • 9. Realists doubt co-operation can be sustained. Institutions collect information about State behaviour and often make judgments of compliance or non-compliance with particular rules. States thus know they will not be able to ‘get away with it’ if they do not comply with a given rule. 12 Third, Institutionalists note that institutions can greatly increase efficiency. It is costly for States to negotiate with one another on an ad hoc basis. Institutions can reduce the transaction costs of co-ordination by providing a centralized forum in which States can meet. They also provide ‘focal points’—established rules and norms—that allow a wide array of States to quickly settle on a certain course of action. Institutionalism thus provides an explanation for international co-operation based on the same theoretical assumptions that lead Realists to be skeptical of international law and institutions. 13 One way for international lawyers to understand Institutionalism is as a rationalist theoretical and empirical account of how and why international
  • 10. law works. Many of the conclusions reached by Institutionalist scholars will not be surprising to international lawyers, most of whom have long understood the role that → reciprocity and reputation play in bolstering international legal obligations. At its best, however, Institutionalist insights, backed up by careful empirical studies of international institutions broadly defined, can help international lawyers and policymakers in designing more effective and durable institutions and regimes. D. Liberalism 14 Liberalism makes for a more complex and less cohesive body of theory than Realism or Institutionalism. The basic insight of the theory is that the national characteristics of individual States matter for their international relations. This view contrasts sharply with both Realist and Institutionalist accounts, in which all States have essentially the same goals and behaviours (at least internationally)—self-interested actors pursuing wealth or
  • 11. survival. Liberal theorists have often emphasized the unique behaviour of liberal States, though more recent work has sought to extend the theory to a general domestic characteristics-based explanation of international relations. 15 One of the most prominent developments within liberal theory has been the phenomenon known as the democratic peace (Doyle). First imagined by Immanuel Kant, the democratic peace describes the absence of war between liberal States, defined as mature liberal democracies. Scholars have subjected this claim to extensive statistical analysis and found, with perhaps the exception of a few borderline cases, it to hold (Brown Lynn- Jones and Miller). Less clear, however, is the theory behind this empirical fact. Theorists of international relations have yet to create a compelling theory of why democratic States do not fight each other. Moreover, the road to the democratic peace may be a particularly bloody one; Edward Mansfield and Jack Snyder have demonstrated convincingly that democratizing States are more likely to go to war than either
  • 12. autocracies or liberal democracies. 16 Andrew Moravcsik has developed a more general liberal theory of international relations, based on three core assumptions: (i) individuals and private groups, not States, are the fundamental actors in world politics (→ Non-State Actors); (ii) States represent some dominant subset of domestic society, whose interests they serve; and (iii) the configuration of these preferences across the international system determines State INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS, PRINCIPAL THEORIES behaviour (Moravcsik). Concerns about the distribution of power or the role of information are taken as fixed constraints on the interplay of socially-derived State preferences. 17 In this view States are not simply ‘black boxes’ seeking to survive and prosper in an anarchic system. They are configurations of individual and group interests who then
  • 13. project those interests into the international system through a particular kind of government. Survival may very well remain a key goal. But commercial interests or ideological beliefs may also be important. 18 Liberal theories are often challenging for international lawyers, because international law has few mechanisms for taking the nature of domestic preferences or regime-type into account. These theories are most useful as sources of insight in designing international institutions, such as courts, that are intended to have an impact on domestic politics or to link up to domestic institutions. The complementary-based jurisdiction of the → International Criminal Court (ICC) is a case in point; understanding the commission of war crimes or crimes against humanity in terms of the domestic structure of a government—typically an absence of any checks and balances— can help lawyers understand why complementary jurisdiction may have a greater impact on the strength of
  • 14. a domestic judicial system over the long term than primary jurisdiction (→ International Criminal Courts and Tribunals, Complementarity and Jurisdiction). E. Constructivism 19 Constructivism is not a theory, but rather an ontology: A set of assumptions about the world and human motivation and agency. Its counterpart is not Realism, Institutionalism, or Liberalism, but rather Rationalism. By challenging the rationalist framework that undergirds many theories of international relations, Constructivists create constructivist alternatives in each of these families of theories. 20 In the Constructivist account, the variables of interest to scholars—eg military power, trade relations, international institutions, or domestic preferences—are not important because they are objective facts about the world, but rather because they have certain social meanings (Wendt 2000). This meaning is constructed from a complex and specific mix of history, ideas, norms, and beliefs which scholars must understand if they are to
  • 15. explain State behaviour. For example, Constructivists argue that the nuclear arsenals of the United Kingdom and China, though comparably destructive, have very different meanings to the United States that translate into very different patterns of interaction (Wendt 1995). To take another example, Iain Johnston argues that China has traditionally acted according to Realist assumptions in international relations, but based not on the objective structure of the international system but rather on a specific historical strategic culture. 21 A focus on the social context in which international relations occur leads Constructivists to emphasize issues of identity and belief (for this reason Constructivist theories are sometimes called ideational). The perception of friends and enemies, in-groups and out- groups, fairness and justice all become key determinant of a State’s behaviour. While some Constructivists would accept that States are self- interested, rational actors, they
  • 16. would stress that varying identities and beliefs belie the simplistic notions of rationality under which States pursue simply survival, power, or wealth. 22 Constructivism is also attentive to the role of social norms in international politics. Following March and Olsen, Constructivists distinguish between a ‘logic of consequences’—where actions are rationally chosen to maximize the interests of a INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS, PRINCIPAL THEORIES State—and ‘logic of appropriateness’, where rationality is heavily mediated by social norms. For example, Constructivists would argue that the norm of State sovereignty has profoundly influenced international relations, creating a predisposition for non- interference that precedes any cost-benefit analysis States may undertake. These arguments fit under the Institutionalist rubric of explaining international co-operation, but based on constructed attitudes rather than the rational pursuit of objective interests.
  • 17. 23 Perhaps because of their interest in beliefs and ideology, Constructivism has also emphasized the role of non-State actors more than other approaches. For example, scholars have noted the role of transnational actors like NGOs or transnational corporations in altering State beliefs about issues like the use of land mines in war or international trade. Such ‘norm entrepreneurs’ are able to influence State behaviour through rhetoric or other forms of lobbying, persuasion, and shaming (Keck and Sikkink). Constructivists have also noted the role of international institutions as actors in their own right. While Institutionalist theories, for example, see institutions largely as the passive tools of States, Constructivism notes that international bureaucracies may seek to pursue their own interests (eg free trade or → human rights protection) even against the wishes of the States that created them (Barnett and Finnemore). F. The English School 24 The English School shares many of Constructivism’s critiques of rationalist theories of
  • 18. international relations. It also emphasizes the centrality of international society and social meanings to the study of world politics (Bull). Fundamentally, however, it does not seek to create testable hypotheses about State behaviour as the other theories do. Instead, its goals are more similar to those of a historian. Detailed observation and rich interpretation is favored over general explanatory models. Hedley Bull, for instance, a leading English School scholar, argued that international law was one of five central institutions mediating the impact of international anarchy and instead creating ‘an anarchical society’. 25 Given their emphasis on context and interpretive methods, it is no surprise that English School writers hold historical understandings to be critical to the study of world politics. It is not enough simply to know the balance of power in the international system, as the Realists would have it. We must also know what preceded that system, how the States involved came to be where they are today, and what might threaten or motivate them in
  • 19. the future. Domestic politics are also important, as are norms and ideologies. G. Critical Approaches 26 The dominant international relations theories and their underlying positivist epistemology have been challenged from a range of perspectives. Scholars working in Marxist, feminist, post-colonial, and ecological fields have all put forward critiques of international relations’ explanations of State behaviour (→ Colonialism; → Developing Country Approach to International Law; → Feminism, Approach to International Law). Most of these critiques share a concern with the construction of power and the State, which theories like Realism or Institutionalism tend to take for granted. 27 For example, Marxist scholars perceive the emphasis on State-to-State relations as obscuring the more fundamental dynamics of global class relations (→ Marxism). Only by understanding the interests and behaviour of global capital can we make sense of State
  • 20. behaviour, they argue (Cox and Sinclair). Similarly, feminists have sought to explain aspects of State behaviour and its effects by emphasizing gender as a variable of interest INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS, PRINCIPAL THEORIES (Ackerly Stern and True). This focus has lead, for example, to notions of security that move beyond State security (of paramount importance to Realists) to notions of human security. In such a perspective the effects of war, for example, reach far beyond the battlefield to family life and other aspects of social relations. H. Conclusion 28 While many theories of international relations are fiercely contested, it is usually inappropriate to see them as rivals over some universal truth about world politics. Rather, each rests on certain assumptions and epistemologies, is constrained within certain specified conditions, and pursues its own analytic goal. While various theories may lead to more or less compelling conclusions about international
  • 21. relations, none is definitively ‘right’ or ‘wrong’. Rather, each possesses some tools that can be of use to students of international politics in examining and analyzing rich, multi- causal phenomena. SELECT BIBLIOGRAPHY I Kant Zum ewigen Frieden (Friedrich Nicolovius Königsberg 1795, reprinted by Reclam Ditzingen 1998). H Bull The Anarchical Society: A Study of Order in World Politics (Macmillan London 1977). KN Waltz Theory of International Politics (Addison-Wesley Reading 1979). RO Keohane After Hegemony: Cooperation and Discord in the World Political Economy (Princeton University Press Princeton 1984). RD Putnam ‘Diplomacy and Domestic Politics: The Logic of Two-Level Games’ (1988) 42 IntlOrg 427–60. JG March and JP Olsen Rediscovering Institutions: The Organizational Basis of Politics (The Free Press New York 1989). DA Baldwin (ed) Neorealism and Neoliberalism: The Contemporary Debate (Columbia University Press New York 1993).
  • 22. JJ Mearsheimer ‘The False Promise of International Institutions’ (1994) 19(3) International Security 5–49. JD Fearon ‘Rationalist Explanations for War’ (1995) 49 IntlOrg 379–414. AI Johnston Cultural Realism: Strategic Culture and Grand Strategy in Chinese History (Princeton University Press Princeton 1995). A Wendt ‘Constructing International Politics’ (1995) 20(1) International Security 71–81. ME Brown SM Lynn-Jones and SE Miller (eds) Debating the Democratic Peace (MIT Cambridge 1996). RW Cox and TJ Sinclair Approaches to World Order (CUP Cambridge 1996). MW Doyle Ways of War and Peace: Realism, Liberalism, and Socialism (Norton New York 1997). HV Milner Interests, Institutions, and Information: Domestic Politics and International Relations (Princeton University Press Princeton 1997). A Moravcsik ‘Taking Preferences Seriously: A Liberal Theory of International Politics’ (1997) 51 IntlOrg 513–53. ME Keck and K Sikkink Activists Beyond Borders: Advocacy Networks in International Politics (Cornell
  • 23. University Press Ithaca 1998). R Powell In the Shadow of Power: States and Strategies in International Politics (Princeton University Press Princeton 1999). KOW Abbott and others ‘The Concept of Legalization’ (2000) 54 IntlOrg 401–19. A Wendt Social Theory of International Politics (CUP Cambridge 2000). B Koremenos (ed) ‘The Rational Design of International Institutions’ (2001) 55 IntlOrg 761–1103. JJ Mearsheimer The Tragedy of Great Power Politics (Norton New York 2001). MN Barnett and M Finnemore Rules for the World: International Organizations in Global Politics (Cornell University Press Ithaca 2004). ED Mansfield and J Snyder Electing to Fight: Why Emerging Democracies Go to War (MIT Cambridge 2005). BA Ackerly M Stern and J True (eds) Feminist Methodologies for International Relations (CUP Cambridge 2006).
  • 24. INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS, PRINCIPAL THEORIES Published in: Wolfrum, R. (Ed.) Max Planck Encyclopedia of Public International Law (Oxford University Press, 2011) www.mpepil.com http://www.mpepil.com/ International Relations: One World, Many Theories by Stephen M. Walt W h y should policymakers and practitioners care about the scholarly study of interna- tional affairs? Those who conduct foreign policy often dismiss academic theorists (frequently, one must admit, with good reason), but there is an inescapable link between the abstract worm of theory and the real worm of policy. We need theories to make sense of the blizzard of information that bom- bards us daily. Even policymakers who are contemptuous of "theory" must rely on their o w n (often unstated) ideas about how the
  • 25. world works in order to decide what to do. It is hard to make good policy if one's basic organizing principles are flawed, just as it is hard to construct good theories without knowing a lot about the real world. Everyone uses t h e o r i e s - - w h e t h e r he or she knows it or n o t - - a n d disagreements about policy usually rest on more fundamental disagreements about the basic forces that shape international outcomes. Take, for example, the current debate on how to respond to China. From one perspective, C h i n a s ascent is the latest example of the ten- STEPHEN M . W A L T is professor of political science and master of the social science colle- giate division at the University of Chicago. He is a member of FOREIGN POLICY's editorial board. S P R I N G 1 9 9 8 29 International Relations dency for rising powers to alter the global balance of power in poten- tially dangerous ways, especially as their growing influence makes them more ambitious. From another perspective, the key to China's future conduct is whether its behavior will be modified by its
  • 26. integration into world markets and by the (inevitable?) spread of democratic principles. From yet another viewpoint, relations between China and the rest of the world will be shaped by issues of culture and identity: Will China see itself (and be seen by others) as a normal member of the world com- munity or a singular society that deserves special treatment? In the same way, the debate over NA'rO expansion looks different depending on which theory one employs. From a "realist" perspective, N A T O expansion is an effort to extend Western influence-- well beyond the traditional sphere of U.S. vital interests--during a period of Russ- Jan weakness and is likely to provoke a harsh response from Moscow. From a liberal perspective, however, expansion will reinforce the nascent democracies of Central Europe and extend NATO's conflict- management mechanisms to a potentially turbulent region. A third view might stress the value of incorporating the Czech Republic, Hun- gary, and Poland within the Western security community, whose mem- bers share a common identity that has made war largely unthinkable. No single approach can capture all the complexity of contemporary
  • 27. world politics. Therefore, we are better off with a diverse array of com- peting ideas rather than a single theoretical orthodoxy. Competition between theories helps reveal their strengths and weaknesses and spurs subsequent refinements, while revealing flaws in conventional wisdom. Although we should take care to emphasize inventiveness over invective, we should welcome and encourage the heterogeneity of contemporary scholarship. W H E n E AnE WE COMING FnOM? The study of international affairs is best understood as a protracted com- petition between the realist, liberal, and radical traditions. Realism empha- sizes the enduring propensity for conflict between states; liberalism identifies several ways to mitigate these conflictive tendencies; and the radical tradition describes how the entire system of state relations might be transformed. The boundaries between these traditions are somewhat fuzzy and a number of important works do not fit neatly into any of them, but debates within and among them have largely defmed the discipline. 30 F O R E I G N P O L I C Y
  • 28. Walt Rea//sm Realism was the dominant theoretical tradition throughout the Cold War. It depicts international affairs as a struggle for power among self- interested states and is generally pessimistic about the prospects for eliminating conflict and war. Realism dominated in the Cold War years because it provided simple but powerful explanations for war, alliances, imperialism, obstacles to cooperation, and other international phenom- ena, and because its emphasis on competition was consistent with the central features of the American-Soviet rivalry. Realism is not a single theory, of course, and realist thought evolved considerably throughout the Cold War. "Classical" realists such as Hans Morgenthau and Reinhold Niebuhr believed that states, like human beings, had an innate desire to dominate others, which led them to fight wars. Morgenthau also stressed the virtues of the classical, multipolat; balance-of-power system and saw the bipolar rivalry between the Unit- ed States and the Soviet Union as especially dangerous. By contrast, the "neorealist" theory advanced by Kenneth Waltz ignored human nature and focused on the effects of the
  • 29. international system. For Waltz, the international system consisted of a number of great powers, each seeking to survive. Because the system is anarchic (i.e., there is no central authority to protect states from one another), each state has to survive on its own. Waltz argued that this condition would lead weaker states to balance against, rather than bandwagon with, more powerful rivals. A n d contrary to Morgenthau, he claimed that bipolarity was more stable than multipolarity. A n important refinement to realism was the addition of offense- defense theory, as laid out by Robert Jervis, George Quester, and Stephen Van Evem. These scholars argued that war was more likely when states could conquer each other easily. W h e n defense was easier than offense, however, security was more plentiful, incentives to expand declined, and cooperation could blossom. A n d if defense had the advantage, and states could distinguish between offensive and defensive weapons, then states could acquire the means to defend themselves without threatening others, thereby dampening the effects of anarchy. For these "defensive" realists, states merely sought to survive and great
  • 30. powers could guarantee their security by forming balancing alliances and choosing defensive military postures (such as retaliatory nuclear forces). Not surprisingly, Waltz and most other neorealists believed that the United States was extremely secure for most of the Cold War. Their S P R I N G 1 9 9 8 31 International Relations principle fear was that it might squander its favorable position by adopt- ing an overly aggressive foreign policy. Thus, by the end of the Cold War, realism had moved away from Morgenthau's dark brooding about human nature and taken on a slightly more optimistic tone. Liberalism The principal challenge to realism came from a broad family of liber- al theories. One strand of liberal thought argued that economic inter- dependence would discourage states from using force against each other because warfare would threaten each side's prosperity. A second strand, often associated with President Woodrow Wilson, saw the spread of democracy as the key to world peace, based on the claim that
  • 31. democratic states were inherently more peaceful than authoritarian states. A third, more recent theory argued that international institutions such as the International Energy Agency and the Inter- national Monetary Fund could help overcome selfish state behavior, mainly by encouraging states to forego immediate gains for the greater benefits of enduring cooperation. Although some liberals flirted with the idea that new transnational actors, especially the multinational corporation, were gradually encroaching on the power of states, liberalism generally saw states as the central players in international affairs. All liberal theories implied that cooperation was more pervasive than even the defensive version of real- ism allowed, but each view offered a different recipe for promoting it. R a d / c d Ap~oaches Until the 1980s, marxism was the main alternative to the mainstream realist and liberal traditions. Where realism and liberalism took the state system for granted, marxism offered both a different explanation for international conflict and a blueprint for fundamentally transform- ing the existing international order. Orthodox marxist theory saw capitalism as the central cause of inter-
  • 32. national conflict. Capitalist states battled each other as a consequence of their incessant struggle for profits and battled socialist states because they saw in them the seeds of their own destruction. Neomarxist "dependency" theory, by contrast, focused on relations between advanced capitalist powers and less developed states and argued that the former--aided by an unholy alliance with the ruling classes of the developing world had grown rich by exploiting the latter. The solu- 32 F O R E I G N P O L I C Y International Relations tion was to overthrow these parasitic 61ites and install a revolutionary government committed to autonomous development. Both of these theories were largely discredited before the Cold War even ended. The extensive history of economic and military coopera- tion among the advanced industrial powers showed that capitalism did not inevitably lead to conflict. The bitter schisms that divided the communist world showed that socialism did not always promote har- mony. Dependency theory suffered similar empirical setbacks as it became increasingly clear that, first, active participation in the
  • 33. world economy was a better route to prosperity than autonomous socialist development; and, second, many developing countries proved them- selves quite capable of bargaining successfully with multinational cor- porations and other capitalist institutions. As marxism succumbed to its various failings, its mantle was assumed by a group of theorists who borrowed heavily from the wave of postmodem writings in literary criticism and social theory. This "deconstructionist" approach was openly skeptical of the effort to devise general or universal theories such as realism or liberalism. Indeed, its proponents emphasized the importance of language and discourse in shaping social outcomes. However, because these scholars focused initially on criticizing the mainstream paradigms but did not offer positive alternatives to them, they remained a self- consciously dissident minority for most of the 1980s. Domestic Politics Not all Cold War scholarship on international affairs fit neatly into the realist, liberal, or marxist paradigms. In particular, a number of impor- tant works focused on the characteristics of states, governmental orga- nizations, or individual leaders. The democratic strand of liberal
  • 34. theory fits under this heading, as do the efforts of scholars such as Graham Allison and John Steinbruner to use organization theory and bureau- cratic politics to explain foreign policy behavior, and those of Jervis, Irving Janis, and others, which applied social and cognitive psycholo- gy. For the most part, these efforts did not seek to provide a general the- ory of international behavior but to identify other factors that might lead states to behave contrary to the predictions of the realist or liber- al approaches. Thus, much of this literature should be regarded as a complement to the three main paradigms rather than as a rival approach for analysis of the international system as a whole. 34 F O R E I G N P O L I C Y Walt NEW W R I N K L E S IN O L D PARADIGMS Scholarship on intemational affairs has diversified significantly since the end of the Cold War. Non-American voices are more prominent, a wider range of methods and theories are seen as legitimate, and new issues such as ethnic conflict, the environment, and the future of the
  • 35. state have been placed on the agenda of scholars everywhere. Yet the sense of d~j~ vu is equally striking. Instead of resolving the strug- gle between competing theoretical traditions, the end of the Cold War has merely launched a new series of debates. Ironically, even as many societies embrace similar ideals of democracy, free markets, and human rights, the scholars who study these developments are more divided than ever. Rea//sm Redux Although the end of the Cold War led a few writers to declare that realism was destined for the academic scrapheap, rumors of its demise have been largely exaggerated. A recent contribution of realist theory is its attention to the problem of relative and absolute gains. Responding to the institutionalists' claim that international institutions would enable states to forego short-term advantages for the sake of greater long-term gains, realists such as Joseph Grieco and Stephen Krasner point out that anarchy forces states to worry about both the absolute gains from cooperation and the way that gains are distributed among participants. The logic is straightforward: If one state reaps larger gains than its partners, it will gradually become
  • 36. stronger, and its partners will eventually become more vulnerable. Realists have also been quick to explore a variety of new issues. Barry Posen offers a realist explanation for ethnic conflict, noting that the breakup of multiethnic states could place rival ethnic groups in an anar- chic setting, thereby triggering intense fears and tempting each group to use force to improve its relative position. This problem would be par- ticularly severe when each group's territory contained enclaves inhabit- ed by their ethnic rivals--as in the former Yugoslavia because each side would be tempted to "cleanse" (preemptively) these alien minori- ties and expand to incorporate any others from their ethnic group that lay outside their borders. Realists have also cautioned that N^TO, absent a clear enemy, would likely face increasing strains and that expanding its presence eastward would jeopardize relations with Russia. Finally, scholars such as Michael Mastanduno have argued that U.S. S P R I N O 1 9 9 8 35 International Relations
  • 37. Waiting for Mr. X T h e post-Cold War world still awaits its "X" article. Although many have tried, no one has managed to pen the sort of compelling analysis that George Kennan provided for an earlier era, when he articulated the theory of containment. Instead of a single new vision, the most impor- tant development in post-Cold War writings on world affairs is the con- tinuing clash between those who believe world politics has been (or is being) fundamentally transformed and those who believe that the future will look a lot like the past. Scholars who see the end of the Cold War as a watershed fall into two distinct groups. Many experts still see the state as the main actor but believe that the agenda of states is shifting from military competi- tion to economic competitiveness, domestic welfare, and environmen- tal protection. Thus, President Bill Clinton has embraced the view that "enlightened self-interest [and] shared v a l u e s . . , will compel us to cooperate in more constructive ways." Some writers attribute this change to the spread of democracy, others to the nuclear stalemate, and still others to changes in international norms. A n even more radical perspective questions whether the state
  • 38. is still the most important international actor. Jessica Mathews believes that "the absolutes of the Westphalian system [of] territorially fixed s t a t e s . . , are all dissolving," and John Ruggie argues that we do not even have a vocabulary that can adequately describe the new forces that (he believes) are transforming contemporary world politics. Although there is still no consensus on the causes of this trend, the view that states are of decreasing relevance is surprisingly common among academics, journalists, and policy wonks. Prominent realists such as Christopher Layne and Kenneth Waltz continue to give the state pride of place and predict a return to familiar patterns of great power competition. Similarly, Robert Keohane and other institutionalists also emphasize the central role of the state and argue that institutions such as the European Union and NATO are important precisely because they provide continuity in the midst of dra- matic political shifts. These authors all regard the end of the Cold War as a far-reaching shift in the global balance of power but do not see it as a qualitative transformation in the basic nature of world politics. W h o is right? Too soon to tell, but the debate bears watching
  • 39. in the years to come. - - S . W . 36 F O R E I G N P O L I C Y Wak foreign policy is generally consistent with realist principles, insofar as its actions are still designed to preserve U.S. predominance and to shape a postwar order that advances American interests. The most interesting conceptual development within the realist par- adigm has been the emerging split between the "defensive" and "offen- sive" strands of thought. Defensive realists such as Waltz, Van Ever-a, and Jack Snyder assumed that states had little intrinsic interest in mili- tary conquest and argued that the costs of expansion generally out- weighed the benefits. Accordingly, they maintained that great power wars occurred largely because domestic groups fostered exaggerated per- ceptions of threat and an excessive faith in the efficacy of military force. This view is now being challenged along several fronts. First, as Ran- dall Schweller notes, the neorealist assumption that states
  • 40. merely seek to survive "stacked the deck" in favor of the status quo because it pre- cluded the threat of predatory revisionist states nations such as Adolf Hitler's Germany or Napoleon Bonaparte's France that "value what they covet far more than what they possess" and are willing to risk anni- hilation to achieve their aims. Second, Peter Liberman, in his book Does Conquest Pay?, uses a number of historical cases--such as the Nazi occupation of Western Europe and Soviet hegemony over Eastern Europe--to show that the benefits of conquest often exceed the costs, thereby casting doubt on the claim that military expansion is no longer cost-effective. Third, offensive realists such as Eric Labs, John Mearsheimer, and Fareed Zakaria argue that anarchy encourages all states to try to maximize their relative strength simply because no state can ever be sure when a truly revisionist power might emerge. These differences help explain why realists disagree over issues such as the future of Europe. For defensive realists such as Van Evem, war is rarely profitable and usually results from militarism, hypernationalism, or some other distorting domestic factor. Because Van Evera believes such forces are largely absent in post-Cold War Europe, he concludes
  • 41. that the region is "primed for peace." By contrast, Mearsheimer and other offensive realists believe that anarchy forces great powers to com- pete irrespective of their internal characteristics and that security com- petition will return to Europe as soon as the U.S. pacifier is withdrawn. New L/re for L/herd/sin The defeat of communism sparked a round of self- congratulation in the West, best exemplified by Francis Fukuyama's infamous claim that S P R I N G 1 9 9 8 37 International Relations COMPETING PARADIGMS Ssvaf-J~erl~lgd slatus CnlIcgrn for power S1nta bohaviec shaped compete c o ~ fur overridden by economic, by 61~ b~efs, power or s e c u ~ paliticd mmiderntions cdleclive norms, (desi/e fur ~'ecpwJly, and s~jnl idm~dliec commilmont to liberal values) States S1otus Individuals (ecpeciaiy ~Jitus)
  • 42. Economic and Varies (international Ideas and espe('mlly military instituliens, economic discourse power axdmnge, promntion of democracy) Hans Margenthon, Michael Doyle, Alexander Wench, Kenneth Waltz Robed Keohona John ROwe Main Thec,;i~,~ Pr~ositlon Mab Ueits of Analysb Mab Instrumnts Modern Theorists Representative Modem Works Wall~ T/mory of ~ernat/ona/Po//#cE Maarsbeimer, "Back to i the Future: Imtabil~ly in Europe after the Cold War" (l~rnat/ana/Sea~r/ry, 1990) Keohaon, After Hq~nany Fukuyama, "the [nd of flist~?" (#m'/oon/ /ntea'~, 1989)
  • 43. Wendl', "Aonrd~ Is Whm States Make of H' (I.~r~/ona/ OrSan~,a~ 1992); R o s l o ~ & Krmeclnd, "Under- standing Omogm in Intumu~al Politics" [Inturnaliond 1994) Post-Cold War Resurgence of Increased co~erafim Agonslic became ii Predldim overt great power as lib~al values, free cannot prndia Ibe compelilion markets, and intema- content oF ideas fional in~ntiens ~onl Mab Lknitation Daes not account for Tends Io ignore tho Belier at describing 1he intemmienal change role of power past Ilmn anticipaling the future 3 8 F O R E I G N P O L I C Y Walt h u m a n k i n d had n o w reached the "end of history." History has paid lit- tle attention to this boast, but the triumph of the West did give a notable boost to all three swands of liberal thought.
  • 44. By far the most interesting and important development has been the lively debate o n the "democratic peace." Although the most recent phase of this debate had begun e v e n before the Soviet U n i o n collapsed, it became more influential as the number of democracies began to increase and as evidence of this relationship began to accumulate. Democratic peace theory is a refinement of the earlier claim that democracies were inherently more peaceful t h a n autocratic states. It rests on the belief that although democracies seem to fight wars as often as other states, they rarely, ff ever, fight one another. Scholars such as Michael Doyle, James Lee Ray, and Bruce Russetr have offered a number of explanations for this tendency, the most popular being that democra- cies embrace norms of compromise that bar the use of force against groups espousing similar principles. It is hard to think of a more influen- tial, recent academic debate, insofar as the belief that "democracies don't fight each other" has been an important justification for the Clinton administration's efforts to enlarge the sphere of democratic rule. It is therefore ironic that faith in the "democratic peace" became the
  • 45. basis for U.S. policy just as additional research was beginning to identify several qualifiers to this theory. First, Snyder and Edward Mansfield pointed out that states may be more prone to war w h e n they are in the midst of a democratic transition, which implies that efforts to export democracy might actually make things worse. Second, critics such as Joanne Gowa and David Spiro have argued that the apparent absence of war between democracies is due to the way that democracy has been defined and to the relative dearth of democratic states (especially before 1945). In addition, Christopher Layne has pointed out that w h e n democracies have come close to war in the past their decision to remain at peace ukimately had little do with their shared democratic character. Third, clearcut evidence that democracies do not fight each other is con- fined to the post-1945 era, and, as Gowa has emphasized, the absence of conflict in this period may be due more to their common interest in con- mining the Soviet U n i o n t h a n to shared democratic principles. Liberal institutionalists likewise have continued to adapt their own theories. O n the one hand, the core claims of institutionalist theory have become more modest over time. Institutions are now said to
  • 46. facilitate cooperation w h e n it is in each state's interest to do so, but it is widely S P R I N G 1 9 9 8 39 International Relations agreed that they cannot force states to behave in ways that are contrary to the states' own selfish interests. [For further discussion, please see Robert Keohane's article.] O n the other hand, institutionalists such as John Duffield and Robert McCalla have extended the theory into new substantive areas, most notably the study of NAaXg. For these scholars, NATO'S highly institutionalized character helps explain why it has been able to survive and adapt, despite the disappearance of its main adversary. T h e economic strand of liberal theory is still influential as well. In par- ticular, a number of scholars have recently suggested that the "globaliza- tion" of world markets, the rise of transnational networks and nongovernmental organizations, and the rapid spread of global commu- nications technology are undermining the power of states and shifting attention away from military security toward economics and social wel-
  • 47. fare. T h e details are novel but the basic logic is familiar: As societies around the globe become enmeshed in a web of economic and social connections, the costs of disrupting these ties will effectively preclude unilateral state actions, especially the use of force. This perspective implies that war will remain a remote possibility among the advanced industrial democracies. It also suggests that bring- ing C h i n a and Russia into the relentless embrace of world capitalism is the best way to promote both prosperity and peace, particularly if this process creates a strong middle class in these states and reinforces pres- sures to democratize. G e t these societies hooked on prosperity and com- petition will be confined to the economic realm. This view has b e e n challenged by scholars who argue that the actu- al scope of "globalization" is modest and that these various transactions still take place in environments that are shaped and regulated by states. Nonetheless, the belief that economic forces are superseding tradition- al great power politics enjoys widespread acceptance among scholars, pundits, and policymakers, and the role of the state is likely to be an important topic for future academic inquiry.
  • 48. Constructia~st Theories Whereas realism and liberalism tend to focus on material factors such as power or trade, constructivist approaches emphasize the impact of ideas. Instead of taking the state for granted and assuming that it simply seeks to survive, constructivists regard the interests and identities of states as a highly malleable product of specific historical processes. They pay close attention to the prevailing discourse(s) in society because dis- 40 FOREIGN P O L I C Y Wdt course reflects and shapes beliefs and interests, and establishes accepted norms of behavior. Consequently, constructivism is especially attentive to the sources of change, and this approach has largely replaced marx- ism as the preeminent radical perspective on international affairs. The end of the Cold War played an important role in legitimating constructivist theories because realism and liberalism both failed to anticipate this event and had some trouble explaining it. Construc- tivists had an explanation: Specifically, former president
  • 49. Mikhail Gorbachev revolutionized Soviet foreign policy because he embraced new ideas such as "common security." Moreover, given that we live in an era where old norms are being challenged, once clear boundaries are dissolving, and issues of identi- ty are becoming more salient, it is hardly surprising that scholars have been d/awn to approaches that place these issues front and center. From a constructivist perspective, in fact, the central issue in the post-Cold War world is how different groups conceive their identities and interests. Although power is not irrelevant, constructivism emphasizes how ideas and identities are created, how they evolve, and how they shape the way states understand and respond to their situa- tion. Therefore, it matters whether Europeans define themselves pri- marily in national or continental terms; whether Germany and Japan redefine their pasts in ways that encourage their adopting more active international roles; and whether the United States embraces or rejects its identity as "global policeman." Constructivist theories are quite diverse and do not offer a unified set of predictions on any of these issues. At a purely conceptual level,
  • 50. Alexander Wendt has argued that the realist conception of anarchy does not adequately explain why conflict occurs between states. The real issue is how anarchy is understood--in Wendt's words, "Anarchy is what states make of it." Another strand of constructivist theory has focused on the future of the territorial state, suggesting that transna- tional communication and shared civic values are undermining tradi- tional national loyalties and creating radically new forms of political association. Other constructivists focus on the role of norms, arguing that international law and other normative principles have eroded ear- lier notions of sovereignty and altered the legitimate purposes for which state power may be employed. The common theme in each of these strands is the capacity of discourse to shape how political actors define themselves and their interests, and thus modify their behavior. S r ' a I N O 1 9 9 8 41 International Relations Domestic Politics Recons/dered As in the Cold War, scholars continue to explore the impact of domes-
  • 51. tic politics on the behavior of states. Domestic politics are obviously central to the debate on the democratic peace, and scholars such as Snyder, Jeffrey Frieden, and Helen Milner have examined how domes- tic interest groups can distort the formation of state preferences and lead to suboptimal international behavior. George Downs, David Rocke, and others have also explored how domestic institutions can help states deal with the perennial problem of uncertainty, while students of psy- chology have applied prospect theory and other new tools to explain why decision makers fail to act in a rational fashion. [For further dis- cussion about foreign policy decision making, please see the article by Margaret Hermann and Joe Hagan.] The past decade has also witnessed an explosion of interest in the concept of culture, a development that overlaps with the constructivist emphasis on the importance of ideas and norms. Thus, Thomas Berger and Peter Katzenstein have used cultural variables to explain why Ger- many and Japan have thus far eschewed more self-reliant military poli- cies; Elizabeth Kier has offered a cultural interpretation of British and French military doctrines in the interwar period; and lain Johnston has
  • 52. traced continuities in Chinese foreign policy to a deeply rooted form of "cultural realism." Samuel Huntington's dire warnings about an immi- nent "clash of civilizations" are symptomatic of this trend as well, inso- far as his argument rests on the claim that broad cultural affinities are now supplanting national loyalties. Though these and other works define culture in widely varying ways and have yet to provide a full explanation of how it works or how enduring its effects might be, cul- tural perspectives have been very much in vogue during the past five years. This trend is partly a reflection of the broader interest in cultural issues in the academic world (and within the public debate as well) and partly a response to the upsurge in ethnic, nationalist, and cultural con- flicts since the demise of the Soviet Union. T O M O R R O W ' S C O N C E P T U A L T O O L B O X While these debates reflect the diversity of contemporary scholarship on international affairs, there are also obvious signs of convergence. Most real- ists recognize that nationalism, militarism, ethnicity, and other domestic factors are important; liberals acknowledge that power is central to inter- 42 F O R E I G N P O L I C Y
  • 53. Wak national behavior; and some constructivists admit that ideas will have greater impact when backed by powerful states and reinforced by enduring material forces. The boundaries of each paradigm are somewhat perme- able, and there is ample opportunity for intellectual arbitrage. W h i c h of these broad perspectives sheds the most light on contem- porary international affairs, and which should policymakers keep most firmly in mind when charting our course into the next century? Although many academics (and more than a few policymakers) are loathe to admit it, realism remains the most compelling general frame- work for understanding international relations. States continue to pay close attention to the balance of power and to worry about the possi- bility of major conflict. Among other things, this enduring preoccupa- tion with power and security explains why many Asians and Europeans are now eager to preserve--and possibly expand--the U.S. military presence in their regions. As Czech president V~iclav Havel has warned, if NATO fails to expand, "we might be heading for a new glob- al c a t a s t r o p h e . . . [which] could cost us all much more
  • 54. than the two world wars." These are not the words of a man who believes that great power rivalry has been banished forever. As for the United States, the past decade has shown how much it likes being "number one" and how determined it is to remain in a predominant position. The United States has taken advantage of its current superiori- ty to impose its preferences wherever possible, even at the risk of irritat- ing many of its long-standing allies. It has forced a series of one-sided arms control agreements on Russia, dominated the problematic peace effort in Bosnia, taken steps to expand NATO into Russia's backyard, and become increasingly concemed about the rising power of China. It has called repeatedly for greater reliance on multilateralism and a larger role for international institutions, but has treated agencies such as the United Nations and the World Trade Organization with disdain whenever their actions did not conform to U.S. interests. It refused to join the rest of the world in outlawing the production of landmines and was politely unco- operative at the Kyoto environmental summit. Although U.S. leaders are adept at cloaking their actions in the lofty rhetoric of"world order," naked self-interest lies behind most of them. Thus, the end of the Cold
  • 55. War did not bring the end of power politics, and realism is likely to remain the sin- gle most useful instrument in our intellectual toolbox. Yet realism does not explain everything, and a wise leader would also keep insights from the rival paradigms in mind. Liberal theories S P R I N G 1 9 9 8 43 International Relations identify the instruments that states can use to achieve shared inter- ests, highlight the powerful economic forces with which states and societies must now contend, and help us understand why states may differ in their basic preferences. Paradoxically, because U.S. protec- tion reduces the danger of regional rivalries and reinforces the "liber- al peace" that emerged after 1945, these factors may become relatively more important, as long as the United States continues to provide security and stability in many parts of the world. Meanwhile, constructivist theories are best suited to the analysis of how identities and interests can change over time, thereby producing
  • 56. subtle shifts in the behavior of states and occasionally triggering far- reaching but unexpected shifts in international affairs. It matters if political identity in Europe continues to shift from the nation- state to more local regions or to a broader sense of European identity, just as it matters if nationalism is gradually supplanted by the sort of "civiliza- tional" affinities emphasized by Huntington. Realism has little to say about these prospects, and policymakers could be blind-sided by change if they ignore these possibilities entirely. In short, each of these competing perspectives captures important aspects of world politics. Our understanding would be impoverished were our thinking confined to only one of them. The "compleat diplo- mat" of the future should remain cognizant of realism's emphasis on the inescapable role of power, keep liberalism's awareness of domestic forces in mind, and occasionally reflect on constructivism's vision of change. W A N T T O K N O W M O R E ? For a fair-minded survey of the realist, liberal, and marxist paradigms, see Michael Doyle's Ways of War and Peace (New York, NY: Norton, 1997). A guide to some recent developments in international political
  • 57. thought is Doyle & G. John Ikenberry, eds., New Th/nking in Inter. national Relations Theory (Boulder, CO: Westview, 1997). Those interested in realism should examine The Per//s of Anarchy: Contemporary Realism and International Security (Cambridge, MA: MIT Press, 1995) by Michael Brown, Sean Lynn-Jones, & Steven Miller, eds.; "Offensive Realism and Why States Expand Their War Aims" (Security Studies, Summer 1997) by Eric Labs; and "Dueling Realisms" (International Organization, Summer 1997) by Stephen Brooks. For alter- 44 F O R E I G N P o I . I C Y Walt native realist assessments of contemporary world politics, see John Mearsheimer's "Back to the Future: Instability in Europe after the Cold War" (International Secur/ty, Summer 1990) and Robert Jervis' " T h e Future of World Politics: Will I t Resemble the Past?" (Interna- t/ona/Secur/ty, Winter 1991-92). A realist explanation of ethnic con- flict is Barry Posen's " T h e Security Dilemma and Ethnic Conflict" (Survival, Spring 1993); an up-to-date survey of offense.defense
  • 58. theory can be found in " T h e Security Dilemma Revisited" by Charles Glaser (World Politics, October 1997); and recent U.S. foreign policy is explained in Michael Mastanduno's "Preserving the Unipolar Moment: Realist Theories and U.S. Grand Strategy after the Cold War" (International Secur/ty, Spring 1997). The liberal approach to international affairs is summarized in Andrew Moravcsik's "Taking Preferences Seriously: A Liberal Theo- ry of International Politics" (International Organization, Autumn 1997). Many of the leading contributors to the debate on the democra- tic peace can be found in Brown & Lynn-Jones, eds., Debating the Democratic Peace (Cambridge, MA: MIT Press, 1996) and Miriam Elman, ed., Paths to Peace: Is Democracy the Answer? (Cambridge, MA: MIT Press, 1997). The contributions of institutionalist theory and the debate on relative gains are summarized in David Baldwin, ed., Neo- realism and Neoliberalism: The Contemlxrra ~ Debate (New York, NY: Columbia University Press, 1993). A n important critique of the institutionalist literature is Mearsheimer's " T h e False Promise of Inter- national Institutions" (International Secur/ty, Winter 1994--95), but one should also examine the responses in the Summer 1995 issue.
  • 59. For appli- cations of institutionalist theory to NATO, see John Duffield's "NATO's Functions after the Cold War" (Political Science L~arterly, Winter 1994-95) and Robert McCaUa's "NATO's Persistence after the Cold War" (International Organization, Summer 1996). Authors questioning the role of the state include Susan Strange in The Retreat of the State: The D / f ~ i o n of Power in the World Econ. omy (Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 1996); and Jessica Math- ews in "Power Shift" (Foreign Affairs, January/February 1997). The emergence of the state is analyzed by Hendrik Spruyt in The Sovereign State and Its Com/mt/tors (Princeton, NJ: Princeton University Press, 1994), and its continued importance is defended in Qlobal/z.at/on in Question: The International Economy and the Possibilities of Clover. nance (Cambridge: Polity, 1996) by Paul Hirst and Grahame Thomp- S P R I N G 1 9 9 8 45 International Affairs son, and Governing the Global Economy: International Finance and
  • 60. the State (Cambridge, MA: Harvard University Press, 1994) by Ethan Kapstein. Another defense (from a somewhat unlikely source) is "The World Economy: The Future of the State" (The Economist, Septem- ber 20, 1997), and a more academic discussion of these issues is Peter Evans' "The Eclipse of the State? Reflections on Stateness in an Era of Globalization" (World Politics, October 1997). Readers interested in constructivist approaches should begin with Alexander Wendt's "Anarchy Is What States Make of It: The Social Construction of Power Politics" (International Organization, Spring 1992), while awaiting his Social Theory of International Politics (Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, forthcoming). A diverse array of cultural and constructivist approaches may also be found in Peter Katzenstein, ed., The Culture of National Security (New York, NY: Columbia University Press, 1996) and Yosef Lapid & Friedrich Kratochwil, eds., The Return of Culture and Identity in IR Theory (Boulder: CO" Lynne Rienner, 1996). For links to relevant Web sites, as well as a comprehensive index of related articles, access www.foreignpolicy.com. http ://www. foreign policy, com
  • 61. S e l e c t e d full-text articles f r o m the current issue o f F O R E I G N P O L I C Y • A c c e s s to i n t e r n a t i o n a l data and r e s o u r c e s , O v e r 150 r e l a t e d W e b site links • I n t e r a c t i v e L e t t e r s to the E d i t o r , D e b a t e s , 10 y e a r s o f a r c h i v a l s u m m a r i e s and m o r e to come... A c c e s s the issues!