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n engl j med 376;13 nejm.org  March 30, 2017 1223
From the Department of Epidemiology
Research, Statens Serum Institut, Copen-
hagen (N.M.S., B.P., D.M.-N., H.S., A.H.);
and the Clinical Epidemiology Unit, De-
partment of Medicine, Solna, Karolinska
Institutet, Stockholm (B.P.). Address reprint
requests to Dr. Scheller at the Depart-
ment of Epidemiology Research, Statens
Serum Institut, Artillerivej 5, 2300 Copen-
hagen S, Denmark, or at ­nims@​­ssi​.­dk.
N Engl J Med 2017;376:1223-33.
DOI: 10.1056/NEJMoa1612296
Copyright © 2017 Massachusetts Medical Society.
BACKGROUND
The quadrivalent human papillomavirus (HPV) vaccine is recommended for all
girls and women 9 to 26 years of age. Some women will have inadvertent exposure
to vaccination during early pregnancy, but few data exist regarding the safety of
the quadrivalent HPV vaccine in this context.
METHODS
We assessed a cohort that included all the women in Denmark who had a preg-
nancy ending between October 1, 2006, and November 30, 2013. Using nationwide
registers, we linked information on vaccination, adverse pregnancy outcomes, and
potential confounders among women in the cohort. Women who had vaccine ex-
posure during the prespecified time windows were matched for propensity score
in a 1:4 ratio with women who did not have vaccine exposure during the same time
windows. Outcomes included spontaneous abortion, stillbirth, major birth defect,
small size for gestational age, low birth weight, and preterm birth.
RESULTS
In matched analyses, exposure to the quadrivalent HPV vaccine was not associated
with significantly higher risks than no exposure for major birth defect (65 cases
among 1665 exposed pregnancies and 220 cases among 6660 unexposed pregnan-
cies; prevalence odds ratio, 1.19; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.90 to 1.58), spon-
taneous abortion (20 cases among 463 exposed pregnancies and 131 cases among
1852 unexposed pregnancies; hazard ratio, 0.71; 95% CI, 0.45 to 1.14), preterm
birth (116 cases among 1774 exposed pregnancies and 407 cases among 7096
unexposed pregnancies; prevalence odds ratio, 1.15; 95% CI, 0.93 to 1.42), low
birth weight (76 cases among 1768 exposed pregnancies and 277 cases among
7072 unexposed pregnancies; prevalence odds ratio, 1.10; 95% CI, 0.85 to 1.43),
small size for gestational age (171 cases among 1768 exposed pregnancies and 783
cases among 7072 unexposed pregnancies; prevalence odds ratio, 0.86; 95% CI,
0.72 to 1.02), or stillbirth (2 cases among 501 exposed pregnancies and 4 cases
among 2004 unexposed pregnancies; hazard ratio, 2.43; 95% CI, 0.45 to 13.21).
CONCLUSIONS
Quadrivalent HPV vaccination during pregnancy was not associated with a signifi-
cantly higher risk of adverse pregnancy outcomes than no such exposure. (Funded
by the Novo Nordisk Foundation and the Danish Medical Research Council.)
ABSTR ACT
Quadrivalent HPV Vaccination and the Risk
of Adverse Pregnancy Outcomes
Nikolai M. Scheller, M.D., Björn Pasternak, M.D., Ph.D.,
Ditte Mølgaard‑Nielsen, M.Sc., Henrik Svanström, Ph.D.,
and Anders Hviid, Dr.Med.Sci.​​
Original Article
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The new engl and jour nal of medicine
H
umanpapillomavirus(HPV)vaccines
are recommended for all girls and women
9 to 26 years of age,1,2
and more than
72 million girls and women have been vaccinat-
ed worldwide.3
Although HPV vaccination is not
recommended in pregnancy, a number of women
will be inadvertently vaccinated early in the first
trimester of unplanned or unrecognized preg-
nancies.4,5
However, data on the safety of vacci-
nation during pregnancy are limited.6
The clinical trials of HPV vaccines did not
include women who were known to be pregnant.
Consequently, analyses of safety during preg-
nancy that were based on data from clinical
trials focused mainly on the risk of adverse
pregnancy outcomes associated with HPV vac-
cines that were administered before pregnancy
onset.7-9
These studies did not identify a signifi-
cant difference in the risk of adverse pregnancy
outcomes, although one pooled analysis of two
trials of the bivalent HPV vaccine showed a non-
significantly higher risk of spontaneous abortion
among women whose pregnancies were con-
ceived less than 90 days from bivalent HPV vac-
cination than among those in the control group
(13.7% vs. 9.2%, one-sided P = 0.03).7
However,
this finding could not be substantiated in an up-
dated, larger study that included a meta-analysis
of the risk of spontaneous abortion among
women whose pregnancies were conceived less
than 90 days from bivalent HPV vaccination, as
compared with women in the control group
(relative risk, 1.11, 95% confidence interval [CI],
0.82 to 1.51).9
Observational studies have been few and limit­
ed by size and design and are therefore inade-
quate to evaluate the risks associated with HPV
vaccination during pregnancy. A cohort study of
the bivalent HPV vaccine, which included only
207 vaccinated women, showed that the risk of
adverse pregnancy outcomes was not higher
among women whose first day of gestation oc-
curred between 30 days before vaccination and
45 days after vaccination than among women
whose first day of gestation was between 120 days
and 18 months after the last dose of bivalent
HPV vaccine.10
Two studies that were based on
data from the same manufacturer-managed preg-
nancy register of the quadrivalent HPV vaccine
also showed that the risk among vaccinated
women was not greater than the expected risk in
the general population, but these studies were
based on voluntary reporting and lacked control
groups.11,12
To investigate the safety of HPV vaccine further,
we conducted a nationwide register-based cohort
study involving all pregnant women in Den-
mark. We investigated the association between
quadrivalent HPV vaccination during pregnancy
and the risks of a major birth defect, spontane-
ous abortion, stillbirth, preterm birth, low birth
weight, and small size for gestational age.
Methods
Cohort
Using the Medical Birth Register13
and the Na-
tional Patient Register,14
we identified all preg-
nancies in Denmark that ended in a singleton
birth or an abortive outcome between October 1,
2006, and November 30, 2013 (Fig. 1). We then
estimated the date of pregnancy onset by sub-
tracting the gestational age from the date of
birth or abortion. Records of gestational age for
live-born infants and stillbirths are based main-
ly on ultrasonography, whereas records of gesta-
tional age in abortive outcomes are based on
ultrasonography or the first day of the last men-
strual period.15
The records of gestational age
for live births were validated to be accurate
within 1 week for 87% of the records.16
We subsequently excluded pregnancies with
missing or implausible data on gestational age,
pregnancies with multiple overlapping records,
and pregnancies in women who had not lived
continuously in Denmark for the 2-year period
before pregnancy onset. In addition, for analyses
of spontaneous abortion, we excluded all cases of
A Quick Take
is available at
NEJM.org
Figure 1 (facing page). Construction of the Two Study
Cohorts and Propensity-Score Matching of Pregnant
Women with Vaccine Exposure and Those without Vaccine
Exposure, Yielding Five Outcome-Specific Cohorts.
Values regarding exclusions do not sum to the total
number because some pregnancies were excluded for
more than one reason. Between the unmatched and
matched analyses, all the excluded records were from
unmatched pregnancies that did not have vaccine ex-
posure. All the outcome-specific analyses were matched
for maternal age, calendar year of pregnancy onset,
and propensity score, and the analyses of spontaneous
abortion and stillbirth were also matched for gesta-
tional age.
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n engl j med 376;13 nejm.org  March 30, 2017 1225
Quadrivalent HPV Vaccination and Pregnancy Outcomes
581,550 Were potentially eligible pregnancies
649,389 Records of pregnancies were identified from the Danish
Medical Birth Register and Danish National Patient
Register (Oct. 2006−Nov. 2013)
425,347 Were pregnancies that ended in singleton live birth or stillbirth
224,042 Were pregnancies with an abortive outcome
67,839 Were excluded
58,369 Were records with overlapping dates
24,393 Had missing or implausible data on gestational age
540,805 Pregnancies in study cohort
397,213 Ended in live birth
1485 Ended in stillbirth
52,232 Ended in spontaneous abortion
89,875 Ended in other abortive pregnancy
outcome
40,745 Were excluded
28,941 Mothers had not resided continuously in
Denmark for the 2 years before pregnancy
12,192 Ended in abortive outcome at <6 com-
pleted wk of gestation
65 Mothers had been vaccinated with the
bivalent HPV vaccine
540,805 Ended in live birth,
stillbirth, or abortive outcome
397,213 Ended in live birth
2636 Were excluded
(mother was vaccinated
within 6 wk
after pregnancy onset)
535,854 Were
excluded
1174 Were excluded
(infant had birth defect
with known cause)
2074 Were excluded
(missing birth weight)
538,169 Were in unmatched
subcohort for analysis
of spontaneous
abortion
537,706 Were unexposed
463 Were exposed
(at wk 7−22)
538,169 Were in unmatched
subcohort for analysis
of stillbirth
537,668 Were unexposed
501 Were exposed
(at wk 7−birth)
396,039 Were in unmatched
subcohort for analysis
of major birth defect
394,374 Were unexposed
1665 Were exposed
(at wk 0–12)
397,213 Were in unmatched
subcohort for analysis
of preterm birth
395,439 Were unexposed
1774 Were exposed
(at wk 0−37)
395,139 Were in unmatched
subcohort for analysis
of low birth weight and
small size for gesta-
tional age
393,371 Were unexposed
1768 Were exposed
(at wk 0–birth)
2315 Were included in
matched analysis of
spontaneous abortion
1852 Were unexposed
463 Were exposed
2505 Were included in
matched analysis
of stillbirth
2004 Were unexposed
501 Were exposed
8325 Were included in
matched analysis of
major birth defect
6660 Were unexposed
1665 Were exposed
8870 Were included in
matched analysis
of preterm birth
7096 Were unexposed
1774 Were exposed
8840 Were included in
matched analysis of
low birth weight and
small size for gesta-
tional age
7072 Were unexposed
1768 Were exposed
535,664 Were
excluded
387,714 Were
excluded
388,343 Were
excluded 386,299 Were
excluded
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The new engl and jour nal of medicine
spontaneous abortion that occurred within the
first 6 weeks of gestation, because many cases
of spontaneous abortion during the first weeks of
gestation are likely to be clinically unrecognized.
Consequently, for analyses of spontaneous abor-
tion we also excluded women who had been ex-
posed to vaccination within the first 6 weeks of
gestation to ensure that immortal time (a follow-
up period during which the study outcome, by
design, could not occur) was not introduced.
We then defined two cohorts: one cohort in-
cluded all the pregnancies that ended in live birth
and was used for the analyses of major birth de-
fect, preterm birth, low birth weight, and small
size for gestational age; and the second cohort
included all the pregnancies and was used for
the analyses of spontaneous abortion and still-
birth (Fig. 1). The unique personal identification
numbers that are given to every resident in Den-
mark enabled the individual-level linkage of our
cohort with nationwide health and demographic
registers containing information on vaccination,
adverse outcomes, and potential confounders (see
the Supplementary Appendix, available with the
full text of this article at NEJM.org).17
The study was approved by the Danish Data
Protection Agency. Informed consent is not re-
quired for registry-based research in Denmark.
The funders and vaccine manufacturers had no
role in the design and conduct of the study; the
collection, management, analysis, and interpreta-
tion of the data; the preparation, review, or ap-
proval of the manuscript; or the decision to submit
the manuscript for publication. The first and last
authors take responsibility for the accuracy and
completeness of the reported data and analyses.
Vaccination
During the study period, the quadrivalent HPV
vaccine (Gardasil, Sanofi Pasteur MSD [manufac-
tured in the United States by Merck]) was the sole
HPV vaccine used in the Danish national vaccina-
tion program (see the Supplementary Appendix).
The few women who were vaccinated with the
bivalent HPV vaccine (Cervarix, GlaxoSmithKline
Biologicals) before or during pregnancy were
excluded from our study (Fig. 1).
Information on quadrivalent HPV vaccinations
that were given through the national vaccination
program was obtained from the Danish Child-
hood Vaccination Database.18
The quadrivalent
HPV vaccine was also available by prescription,
so additional data on vaccination status were ob-
tained from the Danish National Prescription
Registry.19
We defined the date of exposure to
the quadrivalent HPV vaccine as the date of the
first vaccination or filled prescription. Exposure
windows were categorized according to study out-
come: the first trimester (pregnancy onset through
week 12 of gestation) for the analysis of major
birth defect, the start of week 7 through week 22
of gestation for the analysis of spontaneous abor-
tion, the start of week 7 of gestation until birth
for the analysis of stillbirth, before 37 completed
weeks of gestation for the analysis of preterm
birth, and at any time during pregnancy for the
analyses of low birth weight and small size for
gestational age. In each analysis, unexposed preg-
nancies were defined as pregnancies in women
who were not vaccinated during the specified
exposure window.
Outcomes
The outcome of major birth defects overall was
defined as the first registered diagnosis of any
major birth defect within the first year of life
(see the Supplementary Appendix), as identified
in the National Patient Register.14
A validation
study of the National Patient Register estimated
a predictive value of 88% for diagnoses of birth
defects overall.20
Cases of spontaneous abortion
(defined as fetal death occurring through 22 weeks
of gestation) were identified in the National Pa-
tient Register. Validation has shown that the
records were correct for 99% of the diagnoses of
spontaneous abortion (details on abortive out-
comes are provided in the Supplementary Appen-
dix).21
Information on stillbirth (defined as fetal
loss after 22 completed weeks of gestation), pre-
term birth (delivery before 37 completed weeks
of gestation), low birth weight (<2500 g), and
small size for gestational age (birth weight in
the lowest 10th percentile of gestational age–
specific birth weight in the cohort) was obtained
from the Medical Birth Register. For the analyses
of low birth weight and small size for gesta-
tional age, we excluded records of all the preg-
nancies resulting in live birth for which informa-
tion on birth weight was missing.
Statistical Analysis
Because different exposure windows and exclusion
criteria were applied to the analysis set of each
distinct outcome, we created five unmatched
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n engl j med 376;13 nejm.org  March 30, 2017 1227
Quadrivalent HPV Vaccination and Pregnancy Outcomes
outcome-specific cohorts (Fig. 1). Selected base-
line characteristics were then identified for each
woman at pregnancy onset, and missing values
were imputed with the use of mode imputation
(Table S1 in the Supplementary Appendix). To
account for potential confounders, we calculated
propensity scores using logistic regression, which
estimated the probability of quadrivalent HPV
vaccination in outcome-specific exposure time
windows, given all baseline characteristics (and
all two-way interactions between demographic
variables).
For each of the five outcome-specific cohorts,
we then matched vaccinated women and unvac-
cinated women in a 1:4 ratio according to age
(5-year categories), calendar year of pregnancy
onset, and propensity score, thus creating a dis-
tinct matched analysis set for each of the five
outcome-specific cohorts (Fig. 1). We added ges-
tational age as a matching criterion for the co-
horts regarding spontaneous abortion and still-
birth, the risks of which are highly dependent on
gestational age.
Matching was performed with the use of the
nearest-neighbor matching algorithm (caliper
width, 0.2 of the standard deviation of the logit
score). We assessed the balance of covariates
that was achieved from matching by evaluating
standardized differences between vaccinated
groups and unvaccinated groups. We considered
covariates with a standardized difference of less
than 10% to be well balanced.
We performed the analyses of spontaneous
abortion and stillbirth using gestational age as
the underlying time scale. Hazard ratios with
95% confidence intervals were estimated with
the use of Cox proportional-hazards regression.
The Wald test was used to assess the fulfillment
of the proportional-hazards assumption, which
was fulfilled for the analyses of stillbirth (P = 0.83)
and spontaneous abortion (P = 0.46). In the analy-
ses of major birth defect, preterm birth, low
birth weight, and small size for gestational age,
we used logistic regression to estimate prevalence
odds ratios. The generalized estimating equation
method was used for all analyses to account for
the possible correlation between pregnancies
within the same mother.
We performed a number of prespecified sen-
sitivity analyses. In the analysis of major birth
defect, we restricted the exposure window to
weeks 4 to 10 of gestation, which corresponds to
the period of maximal susceptibility to terato-
genic agents.22
Basing the analysis of major birth
defect only on live births could potentially intro-
duce misclassification by the exclusion of still-
births and induced abortions that were caused
by major birth defects, thus potentially biasing
results toward no association. We therefore con-
ducted an analysis of major birth defect that
included stillbirths and induced abortions (see
the Supplementary Appendix). Furthermore, we
performed a complete-case analysis for each sub-
cohort, which excluded all the participants who
had missing data. To investigate the potential
for residual confounding we performed two ad-
ditional analyses: one analysis incorporated 1:1
matching, because 1:1 matching increases the
comparability between exposure groups,23
and a
second analysis incorporated an increase in the
granularity of the age variable that was used for
matching, because vaccination and pregnancy
outcomes are both heavily dependent on age.
Post hoc, we added two sensitivity analyses.
First, we excluded pregnancies among women
who were not exposed to vaccination during preg-
nancy but who had been vaccinated within 30 days
before pregnancy onset. Second, since the date
of filling a prescription may differ from the ac-
tual date of vaccination, we excluded women who
were defined as having vaccine exposure when
they filled a vaccine prescription during preg-
nancy as well as excluding their corresponding
matches. SAS software, version 9.4 (SAS Institute),
was used for all the analyses.
Results
Cohorts
During the study period, we identified 649,389
records of pregnancies, of which 581,550 were
eligible for inclusion in the study cohort (Fig. 1).
Taking into account the use of the outcome-
specific exposure windows and exclusion criteria,
we created five unmatched subcohorts: for the
analysis of spontaneous abortion, the subcohort
included 538,169 pregnancies (463 women vacci-
nated during weeks 7 to 22 of gestation); for the
analysis of major birth defect, the subcohort in-
cluded 396,039 pregnancies (1665 women vacci-
nated in week 0 to week 12 of gestation); for the
analysis of stillbirth, the subcohort included
538,169 pregnancies (501 women vaccinated in
week 7 to birth); for the analysis of preterm
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The new engl and jour nal of medicine
birth, the subcohort included 397,213 pregnan-
cies (1774 women vaccinated in week 0 to week
37 of gestation); and for the analyses of low
birth weight and small size for gestational age,
the subcohorts included 395,139 pregnancies
(1768 women vaccinated at any time during
pregnancy).
Before matching was performed, we found
that vaccinated women were younger, were more
often nulliparous, had lower levels of education,
were more likely to be in the two lowest quin-
tiles of household income, were more likely to
be unmarried, and were more likely to be smok-
ers than were unvaccinated women (Table S3A
and S3B in the Supplementary Appendix). The
C-statistic for the propensity-score models ranged
from 0.79 to 0.82, which indicated that substan-
tial differences existed between the vaccinated
group and the unvaccinated group. This finding
highlighted the need to adjust for confounders.
After matching in a 1:4 ratio, we found that
the included covariates were well balanced be-
tween the vaccinated group and the unvaccinated
group in almost all outcome-specific subcohorts
(Tables 1 and 2, and Table S5 in the Supplemen-
tary Appendix). Parity and number of hospital
admissions during the previous year were not
well balanced in the matched analysis of spon-
taneous abortion and stillbirth. Consequently, we
conducted a sensitivity analysis with additional
adjustment for these variables.
Outcomes
In unadjusted analyses before propensity-score
matching, quadrivalent HPV vaccination during
pregnancy was associated with significantly high-
er risks than no such exposure in the analyses of
low birth weight (prevalence odds ratio, 1.26;
95% CI, 1.00 to 1.59), preterm birth (prevalence
odds ratio, 1.38; 95% CI, 1.14 to 1.67), and major
birth defect (prevalence odds ratio, 1.36; 95% CI,
1.06 to 1.75). However, quadrivalent HPV vac-
cination was not associated with a significantly
higher risk of spontaneous abortion (hazard ra-
tio vs. no vaccine exposure, 0.93; 95% CI, 0.60 to
1.44), small size for gestational age (prevalence
odds ratio, 0.98; 95% CI, 0.83 to 1.14), or still-
birth (hazard ratio, 1.90; 95% CI, 0.48 to 7.61).
Table 3 shows analyses in the matched sub-
cohorts. Quadrivalent HPV vaccination during
pregnancy was not associated with a significantly
higher risk than no such exposure in the analy-
ses of major birth defect (prevalence odds ratio,
1.19; 95% CI, 0.90 to 1.58), spontaneous abor-
tion (hazard ratio, 0.71; 95% CI, 0.45 to 1.14),
preterm birth (prevalence odds ratio, 1.15; 95%
CI, 0.93 to 1.42), small size for gestational age
(prevalence odds ratio, 0.86; 95% CI, 0.72 to
1.02), or low birth weight (prevalence odds ratio,
1.10; 95% CI, 0.85 to 1.43). The matched analysis
of stillbirth also showed that the risk with vac-
cine exposure was not significantly higher than
the risk without vaccine exposure (hazard ratio,
2.43; 95% CI, 0.45 to 13.21). However, the analy-
sis included only two cases among pregnancies
with vaccine exposure and four among pregnan-
cies without vaccine exposure.
Sensitivity Analyses
The results of the sensitivity analyses are pre-
sented in Table 4. In an analysis in which the ex-
posure window was limited to weeks 4 to 10 of
gestation, quadrivalent HPV vaccination was not
associated with a significantly higher risk than
no vaccine exposure in the analysis of major
birth defect. Moreover, the inclusion of informa-
tion on birth defects in pregnancies that ended in
induced abortion or stillbirth did not materially
change the results of analyses regarding major
birth defect. Results for all the outcomes did not
differ materially from the main analyses when
the analyses were limited to women who had no
missing values for any covariates, when 1:1 match-
ing was used, or when we increased the granular-
ity of the age categorization. Post hoc sensitivity
analyses that excluded unexposed pregnancies
in women who were vaccinated within 30 days
before pregnancy onset, that excluded pregnan-
cies that were defined as exposed owing to fill-
ing of a vaccine prescription, or that included
variables that were not well balanced between
groups also yielded results similar to those in
the main analysis (Table S6 in the Supplemen-
tary Appendix).
Discussion
In a nationwide cohort study conducted in Den-
mark, we found that quadrivalent HPV vaccina-
tion during pregnancy was not associated with
significantly greater risks of adverse pregnancy
outcomes. Given the upper limits of the confi-
dence intervals in our study, relatively higher
risks of more than 58% for major birth defect,
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Quadrivalent HPV Vaccination and Pregnancy Outcomes
14% for spontaneous abortion, 42% for preterm
birth, 43% for low birth weight, and 2% for small
size for gestational age are unlikely to be associ-
ated with quadrivalent HPV vaccination. Our
analysis of stillbirth included only two cases
among pregnancies with vaccine exposure, which
makes it impossible to draw clinically meaning-
ful conclusions regarding this outcome on the
basis of our data.
Our results are consistent with other evidence
that does not indicate that the vaccination of
pregnant women with inactivated virus, bacterial,
Characteristic
7 to 22 Wk of Gestation
for Analysis of Spontaneous Abortion
7 Wk of Gestation to Birth
for Analysis of Stillbirth
No Vaccine
Exposure
(N = 1852)
Vaccine
Exposure
(N = 463)
No Vaccine
Exposure
(N = 2004)
Vaccine
Exposure
(N = 501)
Median no. of days that vaccination occurred after pregnancy
onset (IQR)
— 54 (47–72) — 55 (47–80)
Age at pregnancy onset — yr 24.8±4.0 24.6±3.5 24.9±4.1 24.6±3.6
Born in Denmark — % 92.5 91.8 92.6 92.0
Married or living with partner — % 59.9 59.6 59.0 60.7
Bachelor’s degree or higher educational level — % 13.5 13.2 14.0 12.8
Household income in 3rd quintile — %† 17.4 16.8 16.7 17.6
Calendar year of delivery or pregnancy loss 2012 or 2013 — % 88.0 88.1 88.3 88.4
Parity — %
0 71.0 65.7 69.7 65.3
≥1 29.1 34.4 30.3 34.7
Same outcome in previous pregnancy — %‡ 9.3 11.9 0.4 0.4
Diabetes mellitus — % 2.6 2.8 3.4 3.2
Used in vitro fertilization drug — % 1.3 1.5 1.8 1.8
No. of hospital admissions in previous year — %
1 or 2 6.0 6.7 5.6 6.4
≥3 15.2 17.3 13.3 17.0
No. of outpatient hospital visits in previous year — %
1 or 2 18.2 17.3 16.1 17.4
≥3 23.9 25.3 24.1 25.5
No. of emergency hospital visits in previous year — %
1 or 2 13.8 15.1 12.6 15.0
≥3 4.5 4.5 3.3 4.6
No. of prescriptions filled in previous 6 mo — %
1 or 2 46.3 47.5 45.5 47.5
≥3 24.8 27.2 27.4 27.0
*	Plus–minus values are means ±SD. Matching was done in a 1:4 ratio on the basis of maternal age, calendar year of pregnancy onset, pro-
pensity score, and gestational age. A complete table of baseline characteristics is provided in Table S4A in the Supplementary Appendix.
IQR denotes interquartile range.
†	The household income in the 3rd quintile was approximately 280,000 to 380,000 Danish kroner (U.S. $39,500 to $53,700).
‡	In each analysis of the outcome-specific cohorts, only the history of the same outcome in a previous pregnancy was included in the propen-
sity score. Thus, for the analysis of spontaneous abortion, only history of spontaneous abortion was included, and for the analysis of stillbirth,
only history of stillbirth was included (not history of other outcomes). Percentages were calculated as compared with all the pregnancies in
each exposure group.
Table 1. Characteristics of Women Included in the Matched Analyses of Spontaneous Abortion and Stillbirth, According to Time Window of
Quadrivalent Human Papillomavirus (HPV) Vaccination and Vaccination-Exposure Status during Pregnancy.*
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Table2.CharacteristicsofWomenIncludedintheMatchedAnalysesofMajorBirthDefect,PretermBirth,LowBirthWeight,andSmallSizeforGestationalAge,AccordingtoTime
WindowofQuadrivalentHPVVaccinationandVaccination-ExposureStatusduringPregnancy.*
Characteristic
0to12WkofGestation
forAnalysisofMajorBirthDefect
0to37WkofGestation
forAnalysisofPretermBirth
0WkofGestationtoBirth
forAnalysesofSmallSizefor
GestationalAgeandLowBirthWeight
NoVaccine
Exposure
(N = 6660)
Vaccine
Exposure
(N = 1665)
NoVaccine
Exposure
(N = 7096)
Vaccine
Exposure
(N = 1774)
NoVaccine
Exposure
(N = 7072)
Vaccine
Exposure
(N = 1768)
Medianno.ofdaysthatvaccinationoccurredafterpregnancy
onset(IQR)
—18(8–29)—19(9–32)—19(9–32)
Ageatpregnancyonset—yr25.9±3.825.5±3.425.9±3.825.5±3.425.9±3.825.5±3.4
BorninDenmark—%92.592.692.592.792.592.6
Marriedorlivingwithpartner—%68.569.568.869.469.269.2
Bachelor’sdegreeorhighereducationallevel—%20.118.519.118.019.718.0
Householdincomein3rdquintile—%23.824.323.824.024.024.0
Calendaryearofdelivery2012or2013—%90.490.690.290.590.290.4
Parity—%
067.966.068.765.868.065.8
≥132.134.031.334.132.034.1
Sameoutcomeinpreviouspregnancy—%†3.43.42.42.51.61.8
Smokingduringpregnancy—%‡14.816.315.217.015.317.1
Body-massindexof18.5to25.0—%‡61.860.461.660.061.660.1
Diabetesmellitus—%3.13.53.23.63.53.6
Usedinvitrofertilizationdrug—%2.22.62.42.62.52.7
No.ofhospitaladmissionsinpreviousyear—%
1or25.56.65.76.65.76.6
≥311.913.011.913.411.813.3
No.ofoutpatienthospitalvisitsinpreviousyear—%
1or214.615.615.115.814.515.9
≥324.524.625.224.725.124.8
The New England Journal of Medicine
Downloaded from nejm.org on March 29, 2017. For personal use only. No other uses without permission.
Copyright © 2017 Massachusetts Medical Society. All rights reserved.
n engl j med 376;13 nejm.org  March 30, 2017 1231
Quadrivalent HPV Vaccination and Pregnancy Outcomes
or toxoid vaccines generally confers a higher risk
of adverse pregnancy outcomes than no such
vaccination.24
Our results also confirm and con-
siderably expand on results from previous stud-
ies of the quadrivalent HPV vaccine. A pooled
analysis of five phase 3 clinical trials of quadri-
valent HPV vaccine, including 1796 women who
had been randomly assigned to receive quadriva-
lent HPV vaccine and 1824 women who had been
randomly assigned to receive placebo, none of
whom were known to be pregnant at the time of
vaccination, did not show significant between-
group differences in the rates of spontaneous
abortion, stillbirth, or birth defects. Because the
majority of women who subsequently became
pregnant had been vaccinated at least 6 months
before the date of conception,8
the study was
unable to evaluate the risks of quadrivalent HPV
vaccination during pregnancy directly.8
After
the licensure of the quadrivalent HPV vaccine, a
manufacturer-managed pregnancy register was
created, but it relied on voluntary reporting. The
final study of this pregnancy register included
1752 reports, with follow-up rates of spontane-
ous abortion and birth defects that were not
greater than the expected rates in the general
population.12
However, analysis of data that were
based on voluntary reporting can identify only
potential risk signals and can neither estimate the
risks relative to those in an unexposed popula-
tion nor rule out risks with certainty.
Our study specifically investigated risks that
are associated with vaccination during preg-
nancy in a large population-based cohort. The
use of data from nationwide registers allowed
comparison with a control group of women who
did not receive vaccination in pregnancy, and the
data provided detailed individual-level informa-
tion on the characteristics of the participants.
Furthermore, information on exposure and out-
comes were collected in a prospective and inde-
pendent manner that limited susceptibility to
recall and selection bias.
The limitations of our study include the need
to rely on the physician-assigned diagnoses re-
corded in the registry. Misclassification of these
outcomes could bias results toward no associa-
tion with quadrivalent HPV vaccination. How-
ever, previous validation studies have indicated a
high degree of accuracy of reported diagnoses of
spontaneous abortion and birth defects.20,21
The
accuracy of diagnoses of low birth weight, small
Characteristic
0to12WkofGestation
forAnalysisofMajorBirthDefect
0to37WkofGestation
forAnalysisofPretermBirth
0WkofGestationtoBirth
forAnalysesofSmallSizefor
GestationalAgeandLowBirthWeight
NoVaccine
Exposure
(N = 6660)
Vaccine
Exposure
(N = 1665)
NoVaccine
Exposure
(N = 7096)
Vaccine
Exposure
(N = 1774)
NoVaccine
Exposure
(N = 7072)
Vaccine
Exposure
(N = 1768)
No.ofemergencyhospitalvisitsinpastyear—%
1or212.713.612.313.712.813.6
≥32.12.72.43.02.32.9
No.ofprescriptionsfilledinprevious6mo—%
1or249.249.550.149.349.249.2
≥327.327.426.427.627.327.6
*	Plus–minusvaluesaremeans±SD.Matchingwasdoneina1:4ratioonthebasisofmaternalage,calendaryearofpregnancyonset,andpropensityscore.Acompletetableofbaseline
characteristicsisprovidedinTableS4BintheSupplementaryAppendix.
†	Ineachanalysisoftheoutcome-specificcohorts,onlythehistoryofthesameoutcomeinapreviouspregnancywasincludedinthepropensityscore.Thus,fortheanalysisofmajor
birthdefect,onlyhistoryofanybirthdefectwasincluded,andfortheanalysisofpretermbirth,onlyhistoryofpretermbirthwasincluded(nothistoryofotheroutcomes).However,for
theanalysesoflowbirthweightandsmallsizeforgestationalage,historyoflowbirthweightandhistoryofsmallsizeforgestationalagewerebothincluded.Percentageswerecalculated
ascomparedwithallthepregnanciesineachexposuregroup.
‡	Dataonsmokingandbody-massindex(theweightinkilogramsdividedbythesquareoftheheightinmeters)wereavailableonlyforwomenwhoseoffspringwereincludedintheanalyses
ofmajorbirthdefect,pretermbirth,smallsizeforgestationalage,andlowbirthweight(i.e.,womenwhosepregnanciesendedinlivebirthbutnotthosewhosepregnanciesendedin
stillbirthorabortiveoutcome).
The New England Journal of Medicine
Downloaded from nejm.org on March 29, 2017. For personal use only. No other uses without permission.
Copyright © 2017 Massachusetts Medical Society. All rights reserved.
n engl j med 376;13 nejm.org  March 30, 20171232
The new engl and jour nal of medicine
Outcome No Vaccine Exposure Vaccine Exposure
Measure of Association
(95% CI)
No. of
Participants
No. of
Events (%)
No. of
Participants
No. of
Events (%)
Major birth defect 6660 220 (3.3) 1665 65 (3.9) 1.19 (0.90–1.58)
Spontaneous abortion 1852 131 (7.1) 463 20 (4.3) 0.71 (0.45–1.14)
Preterm birth 7096 407 (5.7) 1774 116 (6.5) 1.15 (0.93–1.42)
Low birth weight 7072 277 (3.9) 1768 76 (4.3) 1.10 (0.85–1.43)
Small size for gestational age 7072 783 (11.1) 1768 171 (9.7) 0.86 (0.72–1.02)
Stillbirth 2004 4 (0.2) 501 2 (0.4) 2.43 (0.45–13.21)
*	For the analyses of spontaneous abortion and stillbirth, the reported measures of association are hazard ratios. For the analyses of major
birth defect, preterm birth, low birth weight, and small size for gestational age, the reported measures of association are prevalence odds
ratios. Differences in baseline characteristics between women who were vaccinated during pregnancy and those who were not were taken
into account by means of matching in a 1:4 ratio, according to propensity-matched scores of selected variables, maternal age, and calendar
year of pregnancy onset. Gestational age was included as a matching criterion in the analyses of spontaneous abortion and stillbirth.
Table 3. Association between Exposure to Quadrivalent HPV Vaccination during Pregnancy and Adverse Pregnancy Outcomes.*
Outcome No Vaccine Exposure Vaccine Exposure
Measure of Association
(95% CI)
No. of
Participants
No. of
Events (%)
No. of
Participants
No. of
Events (%)
Major birth defect
With vaccination during gestational wk 4–10 6660 220 (3.3) 431 19 (4.4) 1.35 (0.84–2.18)
Including cases from induced abortions
and stillbirths
6744 245 (3.6) 1686 70 (4.2) 1.15 (0.88–1.51)
All outcomes
According to complete-case analysis
Spontaneous abortion 1784 110 (6.2) 446 19 (4.3) 0.82 (0.50–1.33)
Major birth defect 6376 210 (3.3) 1594 63 (4.0) 1.21 (0.91–1.61)
Preterm birth 6788 386 (5.7) 1697 108 (6.4) 1.13 (0.90–1.41)
Low birth weight 6764 258 (3.8) 1691 70 (4.1) 1.09 (0.83–1.43)
Small size for gestational age 6764 739 (10.9) 1691 165 (9.8) 0.88 (0.74–1.05)
Stillbirth 1924 6 (0.3) 481 2 (0.4) 1.63 (0.33–8.05)
According to 1:1 matching
Spontaneous abortion 463 33 (7.1) 463 20 (4.3) 0.70 (0.40–1.21)
Major birth defect 1665 53 (3.2) 1665 65 (3.9) 1.24 (0.85–1.79)
Preterm birth 1774 103 (5.8) 1774 116 (6.5) 1.14 (0.86–1.49)
Low birth weight 1768 78 (4.4) 1768 76 (4.3) 0.97 (0.70–1.34)
Small size for gestational age 1768 184 (10.4) 1768 171 (9.7) 0.92 (0.74–1.15)
Stillbirth 501 1 (0.2) 501 2 (0.4) 2.33 (0.22–25.18)
According to increased number of age categories†
Spontaneous abortion 1849 111 (6.0) 463 20 (4.3) 0.84 (0.52–1.34)
Major birth defect 6655 219 (3.3) 1665 65 (3.9) 1.19 (0.90–1.58)
Preterm birth 7083 430 (6.1) 1773 116 (6.5) 1.08 (0.88–1.34)
Low birth weight 7059 301 (4.3) 1767 76 (4.3) 1.01 (0.78–1.31)
Small size for gestational age 7059 769 (10.9) 1767 171 (9.7) 0.88 (0.74–1.04)
Stillbirth 2001 3 (0.1) 501 2 (0.4) 3.16 (0.53–18.77)
*	For the analyses of spontaneous abortion and stillbirth, the reported measures of association are hazard ratios. For the analyses of major birth
defect, preterm birth, low birth weight, and small size for gestational age, the reported measures of association are prevalence odds ratios.
†	To evaluate the effect of residual confounding, we increased the number of age categories to include the following: 10 to 15 years, 16 or
17 years, 18 or 19 years, 20 or 21 years, 22 or 23 years, 24 or 25 years, 26 or 27 years, 28 or 29 years, 30 or 31 years, 32 or 33 years, 34 or
35 years, 36 or 37 years, 38 or 39 years, and older than 39 years.
Table 4. Sensitivity Analyses of the Association between Quadrivalent HPV Vaccination during Pregnancy and Adverse Pregnancy Outcomes.*
The New England Journal of Medicine
Downloaded from nejm.org on March 29, 2017. For personal use only. No other uses without permission.
Copyright © 2017 Massachusetts Medical Society. All rights reserved.
n engl j med 376;13 nejm.org  March 30, 2017 1233
Quadrivalent HPV Vaccination and Pregnancy Outcomes
size for gestational age, stillbirth, and preterm
birth has not been validated, although the previ-
ous validation of gestational-age reports in this
cohort suggests that preterm birth is also likely
to have been reported accurately.16,25
Our analy-
ses of birth defects included only live births.
However, sensitivity analyses that included data
on birth defects in aborted fetuses and stillborn
infants showed similar results. We adjusted the
analyses for a large number of relevant con-
founders, but we cannot rule out the possibility
of residual confounding. To examine the poten-
tial for residual confounding, we performed post
hoc sensitivity analyses to evaluate the effect of
increased precision in matching and age adjust-
ment; the results were materially unchanged.
Finally, because many pregnancy outcomes are
rare, our study did not have the statistical power
to assess the risks of stillbirth and specific major
birth defects associated with quadrivalent HPV
vaccination. Larger studies would be needed to
address these outcomes.
In conclusion, in this large nationwide study
we found that the risks of spontaneous abortion,
major birth defect, stillbirth, preterm birth, small
size for gestational age, and low birth weight
were not significantly higher with quadrivalent
HPV vaccination during pregnancy than without
vaccination.
Supported by the Novo Nordisk Foundation and the Danish
Medical Research Council.
Disclosure forms provided by the authors are available with
the full text of this article at NEJM.org.
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Copyright © 2017 Massachusetts Medical Society.
The New England Journal of Medicine
Downloaded from nejm.org on March 29, 2017. For personal use only. No other uses without permission.
Copyright © 2017 Massachusetts Medical Society. All rights reserved.

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Vacuna hpv y embarazo, nejm marzo 2017

  • 1. The new engl and jour nal of medicine n engl j med 376;13 nejm.org  March 30, 2017 1223 From the Department of Epidemiology Research, Statens Serum Institut, Copen- hagen (N.M.S., B.P., D.M.-N., H.S., A.H.); and the Clinical Epidemiology Unit, De- partment of Medicine, Solna, Karolinska Institutet, Stockholm (B.P.). Address reprint requests to Dr. Scheller at the Depart- ment of Epidemiology Research, Statens Serum Institut, Artillerivej 5, 2300 Copen- hagen S, Denmark, or at ­nims@​­ssi​.­dk. N Engl J Med 2017;376:1223-33. DOI: 10.1056/NEJMoa1612296 Copyright © 2017 Massachusetts Medical Society. BACKGROUND The quadrivalent human papillomavirus (HPV) vaccine is recommended for all girls and women 9 to 26 years of age. Some women will have inadvertent exposure to vaccination during early pregnancy, but few data exist regarding the safety of the quadrivalent HPV vaccine in this context. METHODS We assessed a cohort that included all the women in Denmark who had a preg- nancy ending between October 1, 2006, and November 30, 2013. Using nationwide registers, we linked information on vaccination, adverse pregnancy outcomes, and potential confounders among women in the cohort. Women who had vaccine ex- posure during the prespecified time windows were matched for propensity score in a 1:4 ratio with women who did not have vaccine exposure during the same time windows. Outcomes included spontaneous abortion, stillbirth, major birth defect, small size for gestational age, low birth weight, and preterm birth. RESULTS In matched analyses, exposure to the quadrivalent HPV vaccine was not associated with significantly higher risks than no exposure for major birth defect (65 cases among 1665 exposed pregnancies and 220 cases among 6660 unexposed pregnan- cies; prevalence odds ratio, 1.19; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.90 to 1.58), spon- taneous abortion (20 cases among 463 exposed pregnancies and 131 cases among 1852 unexposed pregnancies; hazard ratio, 0.71; 95% CI, 0.45 to 1.14), preterm birth (116 cases among 1774 exposed pregnancies and 407 cases among 7096 unexposed pregnancies; prevalence odds ratio, 1.15; 95% CI, 0.93 to 1.42), low birth weight (76 cases among 1768 exposed pregnancies and 277 cases among 7072 unexposed pregnancies; prevalence odds ratio, 1.10; 95% CI, 0.85 to 1.43), small size for gestational age (171 cases among 1768 exposed pregnancies and 783 cases among 7072 unexposed pregnancies; prevalence odds ratio, 0.86; 95% CI, 0.72 to 1.02), or stillbirth (2 cases among 501 exposed pregnancies and 4 cases among 2004 unexposed pregnancies; hazard ratio, 2.43; 95% CI, 0.45 to 13.21). CONCLUSIONS Quadrivalent HPV vaccination during pregnancy was not associated with a signifi- cantly higher risk of adverse pregnancy outcomes than no such exposure. (Funded by the Novo Nordisk Foundation and the Danish Medical Research Council.) ABSTR ACT Quadrivalent HPV Vaccination and the Risk of Adverse Pregnancy Outcomes Nikolai M. Scheller, M.D., Björn Pasternak, M.D., Ph.D., Ditte Mølgaard‑Nielsen, M.Sc., Henrik Svanström, Ph.D., and Anders Hviid, Dr.Med.Sci.​​ Original Article The New England Journal of Medicine Downloaded from nejm.org on March 29, 2017. For personal use only. No other uses without permission. Copyright © 2017 Massachusetts Medical Society. All rights reserved.
  • 2. n engl j med 376;13 nejm.org  March 30, 20171224 The new engl and jour nal of medicine H umanpapillomavirus(HPV)vaccines are recommended for all girls and women 9 to 26 years of age,1,2 and more than 72 million girls and women have been vaccinat- ed worldwide.3 Although HPV vaccination is not recommended in pregnancy, a number of women will be inadvertently vaccinated early in the first trimester of unplanned or unrecognized preg- nancies.4,5 However, data on the safety of vacci- nation during pregnancy are limited.6 The clinical trials of HPV vaccines did not include women who were known to be pregnant. Consequently, analyses of safety during preg- nancy that were based on data from clinical trials focused mainly on the risk of adverse pregnancy outcomes associated with HPV vac- cines that were administered before pregnancy onset.7-9 These studies did not identify a signifi- cant difference in the risk of adverse pregnancy outcomes, although one pooled analysis of two trials of the bivalent HPV vaccine showed a non- significantly higher risk of spontaneous abortion among women whose pregnancies were con- ceived less than 90 days from bivalent HPV vac- cination than among those in the control group (13.7% vs. 9.2%, one-sided P = 0.03).7 However, this finding could not be substantiated in an up- dated, larger study that included a meta-analysis of the risk of spontaneous abortion among women whose pregnancies were conceived less than 90 days from bivalent HPV vaccination, as compared with women in the control group (relative risk, 1.11, 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.82 to 1.51).9 Observational studies have been few and limit­ ed by size and design and are therefore inade- quate to evaluate the risks associated with HPV vaccination during pregnancy. A cohort study of the bivalent HPV vaccine, which included only 207 vaccinated women, showed that the risk of adverse pregnancy outcomes was not higher among women whose first day of gestation oc- curred between 30 days before vaccination and 45 days after vaccination than among women whose first day of gestation was between 120 days and 18 months after the last dose of bivalent HPV vaccine.10 Two studies that were based on data from the same manufacturer-managed preg- nancy register of the quadrivalent HPV vaccine also showed that the risk among vaccinated women was not greater than the expected risk in the general population, but these studies were based on voluntary reporting and lacked control groups.11,12 To investigate the safety of HPV vaccine further, we conducted a nationwide register-based cohort study involving all pregnant women in Den- mark. We investigated the association between quadrivalent HPV vaccination during pregnancy and the risks of a major birth defect, spontane- ous abortion, stillbirth, preterm birth, low birth weight, and small size for gestational age. Methods Cohort Using the Medical Birth Register13 and the Na- tional Patient Register,14 we identified all preg- nancies in Denmark that ended in a singleton birth or an abortive outcome between October 1, 2006, and November 30, 2013 (Fig. 1). We then estimated the date of pregnancy onset by sub- tracting the gestational age from the date of birth or abortion. Records of gestational age for live-born infants and stillbirths are based main- ly on ultrasonography, whereas records of gesta- tional age in abortive outcomes are based on ultrasonography or the first day of the last men- strual period.15 The records of gestational age for live births were validated to be accurate within 1 week for 87% of the records.16 We subsequently excluded pregnancies with missing or implausible data on gestational age, pregnancies with multiple overlapping records, and pregnancies in women who had not lived continuously in Denmark for the 2-year period before pregnancy onset. In addition, for analyses of spontaneous abortion, we excluded all cases of A Quick Take is available at NEJM.org Figure 1 (facing page). Construction of the Two Study Cohorts and Propensity-Score Matching of Pregnant Women with Vaccine Exposure and Those without Vaccine Exposure, Yielding Five Outcome-Specific Cohorts. Values regarding exclusions do not sum to the total number because some pregnancies were excluded for more than one reason. Between the unmatched and matched analyses, all the excluded records were from unmatched pregnancies that did not have vaccine ex- posure. All the outcome-specific analyses were matched for maternal age, calendar year of pregnancy onset, and propensity score, and the analyses of spontaneous abortion and stillbirth were also matched for gesta- tional age. The New England Journal of Medicine Downloaded from nejm.org on March 29, 2017. For personal use only. No other uses without permission. Copyright © 2017 Massachusetts Medical Society. All rights reserved.
  • 3. n engl j med 376;13 nejm.org  March 30, 2017 1225 Quadrivalent HPV Vaccination and Pregnancy Outcomes 581,550 Were potentially eligible pregnancies 649,389 Records of pregnancies were identified from the Danish Medical Birth Register and Danish National Patient Register (Oct. 2006−Nov. 2013) 425,347 Were pregnancies that ended in singleton live birth or stillbirth 224,042 Were pregnancies with an abortive outcome 67,839 Were excluded 58,369 Were records with overlapping dates 24,393 Had missing or implausible data on gestational age 540,805 Pregnancies in study cohort 397,213 Ended in live birth 1485 Ended in stillbirth 52,232 Ended in spontaneous abortion 89,875 Ended in other abortive pregnancy outcome 40,745 Were excluded 28,941 Mothers had not resided continuously in Denmark for the 2 years before pregnancy 12,192 Ended in abortive outcome at <6 com- pleted wk of gestation 65 Mothers had been vaccinated with the bivalent HPV vaccine 540,805 Ended in live birth, stillbirth, or abortive outcome 397,213 Ended in live birth 2636 Were excluded (mother was vaccinated within 6 wk after pregnancy onset) 535,854 Were excluded 1174 Were excluded (infant had birth defect with known cause) 2074 Were excluded (missing birth weight) 538,169 Were in unmatched subcohort for analysis of spontaneous abortion 537,706 Were unexposed 463 Were exposed (at wk 7−22) 538,169 Were in unmatched subcohort for analysis of stillbirth 537,668 Were unexposed 501 Were exposed (at wk 7−birth) 396,039 Were in unmatched subcohort for analysis of major birth defect 394,374 Were unexposed 1665 Were exposed (at wk 0–12) 397,213 Were in unmatched subcohort for analysis of preterm birth 395,439 Were unexposed 1774 Were exposed (at wk 0−37) 395,139 Were in unmatched subcohort for analysis of low birth weight and small size for gesta- tional age 393,371 Were unexposed 1768 Were exposed (at wk 0–birth) 2315 Were included in matched analysis of spontaneous abortion 1852 Were unexposed 463 Were exposed 2505 Were included in matched analysis of stillbirth 2004 Were unexposed 501 Were exposed 8325 Were included in matched analysis of major birth defect 6660 Were unexposed 1665 Were exposed 8870 Were included in matched analysis of preterm birth 7096 Were unexposed 1774 Were exposed 8840 Were included in matched analysis of low birth weight and small size for gesta- tional age 7072 Were unexposed 1768 Were exposed 535,664 Were excluded 387,714 Were excluded 388,343 Were excluded 386,299 Were excluded The New England Journal of Medicine Downloaded from nejm.org on March 29, 2017. For personal use only. No other uses without permission. Copyright © 2017 Massachusetts Medical Society. All rights reserved.
  • 4. n engl j med 376;13 nejm.org  March 30, 20171226 The new engl and jour nal of medicine spontaneous abortion that occurred within the first 6 weeks of gestation, because many cases of spontaneous abortion during the first weeks of gestation are likely to be clinically unrecognized. Consequently, for analyses of spontaneous abor- tion we also excluded women who had been ex- posed to vaccination within the first 6 weeks of gestation to ensure that immortal time (a follow- up period during which the study outcome, by design, could not occur) was not introduced. We then defined two cohorts: one cohort in- cluded all the pregnancies that ended in live birth and was used for the analyses of major birth de- fect, preterm birth, low birth weight, and small size for gestational age; and the second cohort included all the pregnancies and was used for the analyses of spontaneous abortion and still- birth (Fig. 1). The unique personal identification numbers that are given to every resident in Den- mark enabled the individual-level linkage of our cohort with nationwide health and demographic registers containing information on vaccination, adverse outcomes, and potential confounders (see the Supplementary Appendix, available with the full text of this article at NEJM.org).17 The study was approved by the Danish Data Protection Agency. Informed consent is not re- quired for registry-based research in Denmark. The funders and vaccine manufacturers had no role in the design and conduct of the study; the collection, management, analysis, and interpreta- tion of the data; the preparation, review, or ap- proval of the manuscript; or the decision to submit the manuscript for publication. The first and last authors take responsibility for the accuracy and completeness of the reported data and analyses. Vaccination During the study period, the quadrivalent HPV vaccine (Gardasil, Sanofi Pasteur MSD [manufac- tured in the United States by Merck]) was the sole HPV vaccine used in the Danish national vaccina- tion program (see the Supplementary Appendix). The few women who were vaccinated with the bivalent HPV vaccine (Cervarix, GlaxoSmithKline Biologicals) before or during pregnancy were excluded from our study (Fig. 1). Information on quadrivalent HPV vaccinations that were given through the national vaccination program was obtained from the Danish Child- hood Vaccination Database.18 The quadrivalent HPV vaccine was also available by prescription, so additional data on vaccination status were ob- tained from the Danish National Prescription Registry.19 We defined the date of exposure to the quadrivalent HPV vaccine as the date of the first vaccination or filled prescription. Exposure windows were categorized according to study out- come: the first trimester (pregnancy onset through week 12 of gestation) for the analysis of major birth defect, the start of week 7 through week 22 of gestation for the analysis of spontaneous abor- tion, the start of week 7 of gestation until birth for the analysis of stillbirth, before 37 completed weeks of gestation for the analysis of preterm birth, and at any time during pregnancy for the analyses of low birth weight and small size for gestational age. In each analysis, unexposed preg- nancies were defined as pregnancies in women who were not vaccinated during the specified exposure window. Outcomes The outcome of major birth defects overall was defined as the first registered diagnosis of any major birth defect within the first year of life (see the Supplementary Appendix), as identified in the National Patient Register.14 A validation study of the National Patient Register estimated a predictive value of 88% for diagnoses of birth defects overall.20 Cases of spontaneous abortion (defined as fetal death occurring through 22 weeks of gestation) were identified in the National Pa- tient Register. Validation has shown that the records were correct for 99% of the diagnoses of spontaneous abortion (details on abortive out- comes are provided in the Supplementary Appen- dix).21 Information on stillbirth (defined as fetal loss after 22 completed weeks of gestation), pre- term birth (delivery before 37 completed weeks of gestation), low birth weight (<2500 g), and small size for gestational age (birth weight in the lowest 10th percentile of gestational age– specific birth weight in the cohort) was obtained from the Medical Birth Register. For the analyses of low birth weight and small size for gesta- tional age, we excluded records of all the preg- nancies resulting in live birth for which informa- tion on birth weight was missing. Statistical Analysis Because different exposure windows and exclusion criteria were applied to the analysis set of each distinct outcome, we created five unmatched The New England Journal of Medicine Downloaded from nejm.org on March 29, 2017. For personal use only. No other uses without permission. Copyright © 2017 Massachusetts Medical Society. All rights reserved.
  • 5. n engl j med 376;13 nejm.org  March 30, 2017 1227 Quadrivalent HPV Vaccination and Pregnancy Outcomes outcome-specific cohorts (Fig. 1). Selected base- line characteristics were then identified for each woman at pregnancy onset, and missing values were imputed with the use of mode imputation (Table S1 in the Supplementary Appendix). To account for potential confounders, we calculated propensity scores using logistic regression, which estimated the probability of quadrivalent HPV vaccination in outcome-specific exposure time windows, given all baseline characteristics (and all two-way interactions between demographic variables). For each of the five outcome-specific cohorts, we then matched vaccinated women and unvac- cinated women in a 1:4 ratio according to age (5-year categories), calendar year of pregnancy onset, and propensity score, thus creating a dis- tinct matched analysis set for each of the five outcome-specific cohorts (Fig. 1). We added ges- tational age as a matching criterion for the co- horts regarding spontaneous abortion and still- birth, the risks of which are highly dependent on gestational age. Matching was performed with the use of the nearest-neighbor matching algorithm (caliper width, 0.2 of the standard deviation of the logit score). We assessed the balance of covariates that was achieved from matching by evaluating standardized differences between vaccinated groups and unvaccinated groups. We considered covariates with a standardized difference of less than 10% to be well balanced. We performed the analyses of spontaneous abortion and stillbirth using gestational age as the underlying time scale. Hazard ratios with 95% confidence intervals were estimated with the use of Cox proportional-hazards regression. The Wald test was used to assess the fulfillment of the proportional-hazards assumption, which was fulfilled for the analyses of stillbirth (P = 0.83) and spontaneous abortion (P = 0.46). In the analy- ses of major birth defect, preterm birth, low birth weight, and small size for gestational age, we used logistic regression to estimate prevalence odds ratios. The generalized estimating equation method was used for all analyses to account for the possible correlation between pregnancies within the same mother. We performed a number of prespecified sen- sitivity analyses. In the analysis of major birth defect, we restricted the exposure window to weeks 4 to 10 of gestation, which corresponds to the period of maximal susceptibility to terato- genic agents.22 Basing the analysis of major birth defect only on live births could potentially intro- duce misclassification by the exclusion of still- births and induced abortions that were caused by major birth defects, thus potentially biasing results toward no association. We therefore con- ducted an analysis of major birth defect that included stillbirths and induced abortions (see the Supplementary Appendix). Furthermore, we performed a complete-case analysis for each sub- cohort, which excluded all the participants who had missing data. To investigate the potential for residual confounding we performed two ad- ditional analyses: one analysis incorporated 1:1 matching, because 1:1 matching increases the comparability between exposure groups,23 and a second analysis incorporated an increase in the granularity of the age variable that was used for matching, because vaccination and pregnancy outcomes are both heavily dependent on age. Post hoc, we added two sensitivity analyses. First, we excluded pregnancies among women who were not exposed to vaccination during preg- nancy but who had been vaccinated within 30 days before pregnancy onset. Second, since the date of filling a prescription may differ from the ac- tual date of vaccination, we excluded women who were defined as having vaccine exposure when they filled a vaccine prescription during preg- nancy as well as excluding their corresponding matches. SAS software, version 9.4 (SAS Institute), was used for all the analyses. Results Cohorts During the study period, we identified 649,389 records of pregnancies, of which 581,550 were eligible for inclusion in the study cohort (Fig. 1). Taking into account the use of the outcome- specific exposure windows and exclusion criteria, we created five unmatched subcohorts: for the analysis of spontaneous abortion, the subcohort included 538,169 pregnancies (463 women vacci- nated during weeks 7 to 22 of gestation); for the analysis of major birth defect, the subcohort in- cluded 396,039 pregnancies (1665 women vacci- nated in week 0 to week 12 of gestation); for the analysis of stillbirth, the subcohort included 538,169 pregnancies (501 women vaccinated in week 7 to birth); for the analysis of preterm The New England Journal of Medicine Downloaded from nejm.org on March 29, 2017. For personal use only. No other uses without permission. Copyright © 2017 Massachusetts Medical Society. All rights reserved.
  • 6. n engl j med 376;13 nejm.org  March 30, 20171228 The new engl and jour nal of medicine birth, the subcohort included 397,213 pregnan- cies (1774 women vaccinated in week 0 to week 37 of gestation); and for the analyses of low birth weight and small size for gestational age, the subcohorts included 395,139 pregnancies (1768 women vaccinated at any time during pregnancy). Before matching was performed, we found that vaccinated women were younger, were more often nulliparous, had lower levels of education, were more likely to be in the two lowest quin- tiles of household income, were more likely to be unmarried, and were more likely to be smok- ers than were unvaccinated women (Table S3A and S3B in the Supplementary Appendix). The C-statistic for the propensity-score models ranged from 0.79 to 0.82, which indicated that substan- tial differences existed between the vaccinated group and the unvaccinated group. This finding highlighted the need to adjust for confounders. After matching in a 1:4 ratio, we found that the included covariates were well balanced be- tween the vaccinated group and the unvaccinated group in almost all outcome-specific subcohorts (Tables 1 and 2, and Table S5 in the Supplemen- tary Appendix). Parity and number of hospital admissions during the previous year were not well balanced in the matched analysis of spon- taneous abortion and stillbirth. Consequently, we conducted a sensitivity analysis with additional adjustment for these variables. Outcomes In unadjusted analyses before propensity-score matching, quadrivalent HPV vaccination during pregnancy was associated with significantly high- er risks than no such exposure in the analyses of low birth weight (prevalence odds ratio, 1.26; 95% CI, 1.00 to 1.59), preterm birth (prevalence odds ratio, 1.38; 95% CI, 1.14 to 1.67), and major birth defect (prevalence odds ratio, 1.36; 95% CI, 1.06 to 1.75). However, quadrivalent HPV vac- cination was not associated with a significantly higher risk of spontaneous abortion (hazard ra- tio vs. no vaccine exposure, 0.93; 95% CI, 0.60 to 1.44), small size for gestational age (prevalence odds ratio, 0.98; 95% CI, 0.83 to 1.14), or still- birth (hazard ratio, 1.90; 95% CI, 0.48 to 7.61). Table 3 shows analyses in the matched sub- cohorts. Quadrivalent HPV vaccination during pregnancy was not associated with a significantly higher risk than no such exposure in the analy- ses of major birth defect (prevalence odds ratio, 1.19; 95% CI, 0.90 to 1.58), spontaneous abor- tion (hazard ratio, 0.71; 95% CI, 0.45 to 1.14), preterm birth (prevalence odds ratio, 1.15; 95% CI, 0.93 to 1.42), small size for gestational age (prevalence odds ratio, 0.86; 95% CI, 0.72 to 1.02), or low birth weight (prevalence odds ratio, 1.10; 95% CI, 0.85 to 1.43). The matched analysis of stillbirth also showed that the risk with vac- cine exposure was not significantly higher than the risk without vaccine exposure (hazard ratio, 2.43; 95% CI, 0.45 to 13.21). However, the analy- sis included only two cases among pregnancies with vaccine exposure and four among pregnan- cies without vaccine exposure. Sensitivity Analyses The results of the sensitivity analyses are pre- sented in Table 4. In an analysis in which the ex- posure window was limited to weeks 4 to 10 of gestation, quadrivalent HPV vaccination was not associated with a significantly higher risk than no vaccine exposure in the analysis of major birth defect. Moreover, the inclusion of informa- tion on birth defects in pregnancies that ended in induced abortion or stillbirth did not materially change the results of analyses regarding major birth defect. Results for all the outcomes did not differ materially from the main analyses when the analyses were limited to women who had no missing values for any covariates, when 1:1 match- ing was used, or when we increased the granular- ity of the age categorization. Post hoc sensitivity analyses that excluded unexposed pregnancies in women who were vaccinated within 30 days before pregnancy onset, that excluded pregnan- cies that were defined as exposed owing to fill- ing of a vaccine prescription, or that included variables that were not well balanced between groups also yielded results similar to those in the main analysis (Table S6 in the Supplemen- tary Appendix). Discussion In a nationwide cohort study conducted in Den- mark, we found that quadrivalent HPV vaccina- tion during pregnancy was not associated with significantly greater risks of adverse pregnancy outcomes. Given the upper limits of the confi- dence intervals in our study, relatively higher risks of more than 58% for major birth defect, The New England Journal of Medicine Downloaded from nejm.org on March 29, 2017. For personal use only. No other uses without permission. Copyright © 2017 Massachusetts Medical Society. All rights reserved.
  • 7. n engl j med 376;13 nejm.org  March 30, 2017 1229 Quadrivalent HPV Vaccination and Pregnancy Outcomes 14% for spontaneous abortion, 42% for preterm birth, 43% for low birth weight, and 2% for small size for gestational age are unlikely to be associ- ated with quadrivalent HPV vaccination. Our analysis of stillbirth included only two cases among pregnancies with vaccine exposure, which makes it impossible to draw clinically meaning- ful conclusions regarding this outcome on the basis of our data. Our results are consistent with other evidence that does not indicate that the vaccination of pregnant women with inactivated virus, bacterial, Characteristic 7 to 22 Wk of Gestation for Analysis of Spontaneous Abortion 7 Wk of Gestation to Birth for Analysis of Stillbirth No Vaccine Exposure (N = 1852) Vaccine Exposure (N = 463) No Vaccine Exposure (N = 2004) Vaccine Exposure (N = 501) Median no. of days that vaccination occurred after pregnancy onset (IQR) — 54 (47–72) — 55 (47–80) Age at pregnancy onset — yr 24.8±4.0 24.6±3.5 24.9±4.1 24.6±3.6 Born in Denmark — % 92.5 91.8 92.6 92.0 Married or living with partner — % 59.9 59.6 59.0 60.7 Bachelor’s degree or higher educational level — % 13.5 13.2 14.0 12.8 Household income in 3rd quintile — %† 17.4 16.8 16.7 17.6 Calendar year of delivery or pregnancy loss 2012 or 2013 — % 88.0 88.1 88.3 88.4 Parity — % 0 71.0 65.7 69.7 65.3 ≥1 29.1 34.4 30.3 34.7 Same outcome in previous pregnancy — %‡ 9.3 11.9 0.4 0.4 Diabetes mellitus — % 2.6 2.8 3.4 3.2 Used in vitro fertilization drug — % 1.3 1.5 1.8 1.8 No. of hospital admissions in previous year — % 1 or 2 6.0 6.7 5.6 6.4 ≥3 15.2 17.3 13.3 17.0 No. of outpatient hospital visits in previous year — % 1 or 2 18.2 17.3 16.1 17.4 ≥3 23.9 25.3 24.1 25.5 No. of emergency hospital visits in previous year — % 1 or 2 13.8 15.1 12.6 15.0 ≥3 4.5 4.5 3.3 4.6 No. of prescriptions filled in previous 6 mo — % 1 or 2 46.3 47.5 45.5 47.5 ≥3 24.8 27.2 27.4 27.0 * Plus–minus values are means ±SD. Matching was done in a 1:4 ratio on the basis of maternal age, calendar year of pregnancy onset, pro- pensity score, and gestational age. A complete table of baseline characteristics is provided in Table S4A in the Supplementary Appendix. IQR denotes interquartile range. † The household income in the 3rd quintile was approximately 280,000 to 380,000 Danish kroner (U.S. $39,500 to $53,700). ‡ In each analysis of the outcome-specific cohorts, only the history of the same outcome in a previous pregnancy was included in the propen- sity score. Thus, for the analysis of spontaneous abortion, only history of spontaneous abortion was included, and for the analysis of stillbirth, only history of stillbirth was included (not history of other outcomes). Percentages were calculated as compared with all the pregnancies in each exposure group. Table 1. Characteristics of Women Included in the Matched Analyses of Spontaneous Abortion and Stillbirth, According to Time Window of Quadrivalent Human Papillomavirus (HPV) Vaccination and Vaccination-Exposure Status during Pregnancy.* The New England Journal of Medicine Downloaded from nejm.org on March 29, 2017. For personal use only. No other uses without permission. Copyright © 2017 Massachusetts Medical Society. All rights reserved.
  • 8. n engl j med 376;13 nejm.org  March 30, 20171230 The new engl and jour nal of medicine Table2.CharacteristicsofWomenIncludedintheMatchedAnalysesofMajorBirthDefect,PretermBirth,LowBirthWeight,andSmallSizeforGestationalAge,AccordingtoTime WindowofQuadrivalentHPVVaccinationandVaccination-ExposureStatusduringPregnancy.* Characteristic 0to12WkofGestation forAnalysisofMajorBirthDefect 0to37WkofGestation forAnalysisofPretermBirth 0WkofGestationtoBirth forAnalysesofSmallSizefor GestationalAgeandLowBirthWeight NoVaccine Exposure (N = 6660) Vaccine Exposure (N = 1665) NoVaccine Exposure (N = 7096) Vaccine Exposure (N = 1774) NoVaccine Exposure (N = 7072) Vaccine Exposure (N = 1768) Medianno.ofdaysthatvaccinationoccurredafterpregnancy onset(IQR) —18(8–29)—19(9–32)—19(9–32) Ageatpregnancyonset—yr25.9±3.825.5±3.425.9±3.825.5±3.425.9±3.825.5±3.4 BorninDenmark—%92.592.692.592.792.592.6 Marriedorlivingwithpartner—%68.569.568.869.469.269.2 Bachelor’sdegreeorhighereducationallevel—%20.118.519.118.019.718.0 Householdincomein3rdquintile—%23.824.323.824.024.024.0 Calendaryearofdelivery2012or2013—%90.490.690.290.590.290.4 Parity—% 067.966.068.765.868.065.8 ≥132.134.031.334.132.034.1 Sameoutcomeinpreviouspregnancy—%†3.43.42.42.51.61.8 Smokingduringpregnancy—%‡14.816.315.217.015.317.1 Body-massindexof18.5to25.0—%‡61.860.461.660.061.660.1 Diabetesmellitus—%3.13.53.23.63.53.6 Usedinvitrofertilizationdrug—%2.22.62.42.62.52.7 No.ofhospitaladmissionsinpreviousyear—% 1or25.56.65.76.65.76.6 ≥311.913.011.913.411.813.3 No.ofoutpatienthospitalvisitsinpreviousyear—% 1or214.615.615.115.814.515.9 ≥324.524.625.224.725.124.8 The New England Journal of Medicine Downloaded from nejm.org on March 29, 2017. For personal use only. No other uses without permission. Copyright © 2017 Massachusetts Medical Society. All rights reserved.
  • 9. n engl j med 376;13 nejm.org  March 30, 2017 1231 Quadrivalent HPV Vaccination and Pregnancy Outcomes or toxoid vaccines generally confers a higher risk of adverse pregnancy outcomes than no such vaccination.24 Our results also confirm and con- siderably expand on results from previous stud- ies of the quadrivalent HPV vaccine. A pooled analysis of five phase 3 clinical trials of quadri- valent HPV vaccine, including 1796 women who had been randomly assigned to receive quadriva- lent HPV vaccine and 1824 women who had been randomly assigned to receive placebo, none of whom were known to be pregnant at the time of vaccination, did not show significant between- group differences in the rates of spontaneous abortion, stillbirth, or birth defects. Because the majority of women who subsequently became pregnant had been vaccinated at least 6 months before the date of conception,8 the study was unable to evaluate the risks of quadrivalent HPV vaccination during pregnancy directly.8 After the licensure of the quadrivalent HPV vaccine, a manufacturer-managed pregnancy register was created, but it relied on voluntary reporting. The final study of this pregnancy register included 1752 reports, with follow-up rates of spontane- ous abortion and birth defects that were not greater than the expected rates in the general population.12 However, analysis of data that were based on voluntary reporting can identify only potential risk signals and can neither estimate the risks relative to those in an unexposed popula- tion nor rule out risks with certainty. Our study specifically investigated risks that are associated with vaccination during preg- nancy in a large population-based cohort. The use of data from nationwide registers allowed comparison with a control group of women who did not receive vaccination in pregnancy, and the data provided detailed individual-level informa- tion on the characteristics of the participants. Furthermore, information on exposure and out- comes were collected in a prospective and inde- pendent manner that limited susceptibility to recall and selection bias. The limitations of our study include the need to rely on the physician-assigned diagnoses re- corded in the registry. Misclassification of these outcomes could bias results toward no associa- tion with quadrivalent HPV vaccination. How- ever, previous validation studies have indicated a high degree of accuracy of reported diagnoses of spontaneous abortion and birth defects.20,21 The accuracy of diagnoses of low birth weight, small Characteristic 0to12WkofGestation forAnalysisofMajorBirthDefect 0to37WkofGestation forAnalysisofPretermBirth 0WkofGestationtoBirth forAnalysesofSmallSizefor GestationalAgeandLowBirthWeight NoVaccine Exposure (N = 6660) Vaccine Exposure (N = 1665) NoVaccine Exposure (N = 7096) Vaccine Exposure (N = 1774) NoVaccine Exposure (N = 7072) Vaccine Exposure (N = 1768) No.ofemergencyhospitalvisitsinpastyear—% 1or212.713.612.313.712.813.6 ≥32.12.72.43.02.32.9 No.ofprescriptionsfilledinprevious6mo—% 1or249.249.550.149.349.249.2 ≥327.327.426.427.627.327.6 * Plus–minusvaluesaremeans±SD.Matchingwasdoneina1:4ratioonthebasisofmaternalage,calendaryearofpregnancyonset,andpropensityscore.Acompletetableofbaseline characteristicsisprovidedinTableS4BintheSupplementaryAppendix. † Ineachanalysisoftheoutcome-specificcohorts,onlythehistoryofthesameoutcomeinapreviouspregnancywasincludedinthepropensityscore.Thus,fortheanalysisofmajor birthdefect,onlyhistoryofanybirthdefectwasincluded,andfortheanalysisofpretermbirth,onlyhistoryofpretermbirthwasincluded(nothistoryofotheroutcomes).However,for theanalysesoflowbirthweightandsmallsizeforgestationalage,historyoflowbirthweightandhistoryofsmallsizeforgestationalagewerebothincluded.Percentageswerecalculated ascomparedwithallthepregnanciesineachexposuregroup. ‡ Dataonsmokingandbody-massindex(theweightinkilogramsdividedbythesquareoftheheightinmeters)wereavailableonlyforwomenwhoseoffspringwereincludedintheanalyses ofmajorbirthdefect,pretermbirth,smallsizeforgestationalage,andlowbirthweight(i.e.,womenwhosepregnanciesendedinlivebirthbutnotthosewhosepregnanciesendedin stillbirthorabortiveoutcome). The New England Journal of Medicine Downloaded from nejm.org on March 29, 2017. For personal use only. No other uses without permission. Copyright © 2017 Massachusetts Medical Society. All rights reserved.
  • 10. n engl j med 376;13 nejm.org  March 30, 20171232 The new engl and jour nal of medicine Outcome No Vaccine Exposure Vaccine Exposure Measure of Association (95% CI) No. of Participants No. of Events (%) No. of Participants No. of Events (%) Major birth defect 6660 220 (3.3) 1665 65 (3.9) 1.19 (0.90–1.58) Spontaneous abortion 1852 131 (7.1) 463 20 (4.3) 0.71 (0.45–1.14) Preterm birth 7096 407 (5.7) 1774 116 (6.5) 1.15 (0.93–1.42) Low birth weight 7072 277 (3.9) 1768 76 (4.3) 1.10 (0.85–1.43) Small size for gestational age 7072 783 (11.1) 1768 171 (9.7) 0.86 (0.72–1.02) Stillbirth 2004 4 (0.2) 501 2 (0.4) 2.43 (0.45–13.21) * For the analyses of spontaneous abortion and stillbirth, the reported measures of association are hazard ratios. For the analyses of major birth defect, preterm birth, low birth weight, and small size for gestational age, the reported measures of association are prevalence odds ratios. Differences in baseline characteristics between women who were vaccinated during pregnancy and those who were not were taken into account by means of matching in a 1:4 ratio, according to propensity-matched scores of selected variables, maternal age, and calendar year of pregnancy onset. Gestational age was included as a matching criterion in the analyses of spontaneous abortion and stillbirth. Table 3. Association between Exposure to Quadrivalent HPV Vaccination during Pregnancy and Adverse Pregnancy Outcomes.* Outcome No Vaccine Exposure Vaccine Exposure Measure of Association (95% CI) No. of Participants No. of Events (%) No. of Participants No. of Events (%) Major birth defect With vaccination during gestational wk 4–10 6660 220 (3.3) 431 19 (4.4) 1.35 (0.84–2.18) Including cases from induced abortions and stillbirths 6744 245 (3.6) 1686 70 (4.2) 1.15 (0.88–1.51) All outcomes According to complete-case analysis Spontaneous abortion 1784 110 (6.2) 446 19 (4.3) 0.82 (0.50–1.33) Major birth defect 6376 210 (3.3) 1594 63 (4.0) 1.21 (0.91–1.61) Preterm birth 6788 386 (5.7) 1697 108 (6.4) 1.13 (0.90–1.41) Low birth weight 6764 258 (3.8) 1691 70 (4.1) 1.09 (0.83–1.43) Small size for gestational age 6764 739 (10.9) 1691 165 (9.8) 0.88 (0.74–1.05) Stillbirth 1924 6 (0.3) 481 2 (0.4) 1.63 (0.33–8.05) According to 1:1 matching Spontaneous abortion 463 33 (7.1) 463 20 (4.3) 0.70 (0.40–1.21) Major birth defect 1665 53 (3.2) 1665 65 (3.9) 1.24 (0.85–1.79) Preterm birth 1774 103 (5.8) 1774 116 (6.5) 1.14 (0.86–1.49) Low birth weight 1768 78 (4.4) 1768 76 (4.3) 0.97 (0.70–1.34) Small size for gestational age 1768 184 (10.4) 1768 171 (9.7) 0.92 (0.74–1.15) Stillbirth 501 1 (0.2) 501 2 (0.4) 2.33 (0.22–25.18) According to increased number of age categories† Spontaneous abortion 1849 111 (6.0) 463 20 (4.3) 0.84 (0.52–1.34) Major birth defect 6655 219 (3.3) 1665 65 (3.9) 1.19 (0.90–1.58) Preterm birth 7083 430 (6.1) 1773 116 (6.5) 1.08 (0.88–1.34) Low birth weight 7059 301 (4.3) 1767 76 (4.3) 1.01 (0.78–1.31) Small size for gestational age 7059 769 (10.9) 1767 171 (9.7) 0.88 (0.74–1.04) Stillbirth 2001 3 (0.1) 501 2 (0.4) 3.16 (0.53–18.77) * For the analyses of spontaneous abortion and stillbirth, the reported measures of association are hazard ratios. For the analyses of major birth defect, preterm birth, low birth weight, and small size for gestational age, the reported measures of association are prevalence odds ratios. † To evaluate the effect of residual confounding, we increased the number of age categories to include the following: 10 to 15 years, 16 or 17 years, 18 or 19 years, 20 or 21 years, 22 or 23 years, 24 or 25 years, 26 or 27 years, 28 or 29 years, 30 or 31 years, 32 or 33 years, 34 or 35 years, 36 or 37 years, 38 or 39 years, and older than 39 years. Table 4. Sensitivity Analyses of the Association between Quadrivalent HPV Vaccination during Pregnancy and Adverse Pregnancy Outcomes.* The New England Journal of Medicine Downloaded from nejm.org on March 29, 2017. For personal use only. No other uses without permission. Copyright © 2017 Massachusetts Medical Society. All rights reserved.
  • 11. n engl j med 376;13 nejm.org  March 30, 2017 1233 Quadrivalent HPV Vaccination and Pregnancy Outcomes size for gestational age, stillbirth, and preterm birth has not been validated, although the previ- ous validation of gestational-age reports in this cohort suggests that preterm birth is also likely to have been reported accurately.16,25 Our analy- ses of birth defects included only live births. However, sensitivity analyses that included data on birth defects in aborted fetuses and stillborn infants showed similar results. We adjusted the analyses for a large number of relevant con- founders, but we cannot rule out the possibility of residual confounding. To examine the poten- tial for residual confounding, we performed post hoc sensitivity analyses to evaluate the effect of increased precision in matching and age adjust- ment; the results were materially unchanged. Finally, because many pregnancy outcomes are rare, our study did not have the statistical power to assess the risks of stillbirth and specific major birth defects associated with quadrivalent HPV vaccination. Larger studies would be needed to address these outcomes. In conclusion, in this large nationwide study we found that the risks of spontaneous abortion, major birth defect, stillbirth, preterm birth, small size for gestational age, and low birth weight were not significantly higher with quadrivalent HPV vaccination during pregnancy than without vaccination. Supported by the Novo Nordisk Foundation and the Danish Medical Research Council. Disclosure forms provided by the authors are available with the full text of this article at NEJM.org. References 1. FDA licensure of bivalent human pap- illomavirus vaccine (HPV2, Cervarix) for use in females and updated HPV vaccina- tion recommendations from the Advisory Committee on Immunization Practices (ACIP). MMWR Morb Mortal Wkly Rep 2010;​59:​626-9. 2. Markowitz LE, Dunne EF, Saraiya M, Lawson HW, Chesson H, Unger ER. Quad- rivalent human papillomavirus vaccine: recommendations of the Advisory Com- mittee on Immunization Practices (ACIP). MMWR Recomm Rep 2007;​56(RR-2):​ 1-24. 3. EMA to further clarify safety profile of human papillomavirus (HPV) vaccines. London:​European Medicines Agency, 2015 (http://www​.ema​.europa​.eu/​docs/​en_ GB/​document_library/​Referrals_document/​ HPV_vaccines_20/​Procedure_started/​ WC500189476​.pdf). 4. Finer LB, Zolna MR. Unintended preg- nancy in the United States: incidence and disparities, 2006. Contraception 2011;​84:​ 478-85. 5. Finer LB, Zolna MR. Declines in un- intended pregnancy in the United States, 2008–2011. N Engl J Med 2016;​374:​843- 52. 6. Markowitz LE, Dunne EF, Saraiya M, et al. Human papillomavirus vaccination: recommendations of the Advisory Com- mittee on Immunization Practices (ACIP). MMWR Recomm Rep 2014;​63(RR-05):​ 1-30. 7. Wacholder S, Chen BE, Wilcox A, et al. Risk of miscarriage with bivalent vaccine against human papillomavirus (HPV) types 16 and 18: pooled analysis of two randomised controlled trials. BMJ 2010;​ 340:​c712. 8. Garland SM, Ault KA, Gall SA, et al. Pregnancy and infant outcomes in the clinical trials of a human papillomavirus type 6/11/16/18 vaccine: a combined analy- sis of five randomized controlled trials. Obstet Gynecol 2009;​114:​1179-88. 9. Panagiotou OA, Befano BL, Gonzalez P, et al. Effect of bivalent human papillo- mavirus vaccination on pregnancy out- comes: long term observational follow-up in the Costa Rica HPV Vaccine Trial. BMJ 2015;​351:​h4358. 10. Baril L, Rosillon D, Willame C, et al. Risk of spontaneous abortion and other pregnancy outcomes in 15-25 year old women exposed to human papillomavi- rus-16/18 AS04-adjuvanted vaccine in the United Kingdom. Vaccine 2015;​33:​6884- 91. 11. Dana A, Buchanan KM, Goss MA, et al. Pregnancy outcomes from the pregnancy registry of a human papillomavirus type 6/11/16/18 vaccine. Obstet Gynecol 2009;​ 114:​1170-8. 12. Goss MA, Lievano F, Buchanan KM, Seminack MM, Cunningham ML, Dana A. Final report on exposure during pregnancy from a pregnancy registry for quadriva- lent human papillomavirus vaccine. Vac- cine 2015;​33:​3422-8. 13. Knudsen LB, Olsen J. The Danish Medical Birth Registry. Dan Med Bull 1998;​45:​320-3. 14. Lynge E, Sandegaard JL, Rebolj M. The Danish National Patient Register. Scand J Public Health 2011;​39:​Suppl 7:​30-3. 15. Jørgensen FS. Ultrasonography of pregnant women in Denmark 1999-2000: description of the development since 1980- 1990. Ugeskr Laeger 2003;​165:​4409-15. (In Danish.) 16. Kristensen J, Langhoff-Roos J, Skov­ gaard LT, Kristensen FB. Validation of the Danish Birth Registration. J Clin Epide- miol 1996;​49:​893-7. 17. Pedersen CB, Gøtzsche H, Møller JO, Mortensen PB. The Danish Civil Registra- tion System: a cohort of eight million per- sons. Dan Med Bull 2006;​53:​441-9. 18. Hviid A. Postlicensure epidemiology of childhood vaccination: the Danish expe- rience. Expert Rev Vaccines 2006;​5:​641-9. 19. Kildemoes HW, Sørensen HT, Hallas J. The Danish National Prescription Regis- try. Scand J Public Health 2011;​39:​Suppl 7:​ 38-41. 20. Larsen H, Nielsen GL, Bendsen J, Flint C, Olsen J, Sørensen HT. Predictive value and completeness of the registration of congenital abnormalities in three Danish population-based registries. Scand J Pub- lic Health 2003;​31:​12-6. 21. Lohse SR, Farkas DK, Lohse N, et al. Validation of spontaneous abortion diag- noses in the Danish National Registry of Patients. Clin Epidemiol 2010;​2:​247-50. 22. Buhimschi CS, Weiner CP. Medications in pregnancy and lactation: part 1. Tera- tology. Obstet Gynecol 2009;​113:​166-88. 23. Austin PC. Statistical criteria for se- lecting the optimal number of untreated subjects matched to each treated subject when using many-to-one matching on the propensity score. Am J Epidemiol 2010;​ 172:​1092-7. 24. National Center for Immunization and Respiratory Diseases. General recom- mendations on immunization — recom- mendations of the Advisory Committee on Immunization Practices (ACIP). MMWR Recomm Rep 2011;​60(2):​1-64. 25. Validering af Landspatientregistret (LPR) med henblik på obstetrisk forskning og kvalitetssikring — et kvalitetsud- viklingsprojekt. Sundhedsstyrelsen, Den- mark:​Center for Evaluering og Medicinsk Teknologivurdering, November 2003 (http:// www​.statensnet​.dk/​pligtarkiv/​fremvis ​.pl?vaerkid=23080reprid=0iarkiv= 1Accessed16). Copyright © 2017 Massachusetts Medical Society. The New England Journal of Medicine Downloaded from nejm.org on March 29, 2017. For personal use only. No other uses without permission. Copyright © 2017 Massachusetts Medical Society. All rights reserved.