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Collective Action
Factors to make individuals participate in common objectives,
Threshold level of bandwagon effect, and
Patterns over time
Kihyon Kim
Global Ph.D Fellowship
Behaviors of other people have significant impacts on other individuals
Research Contribution
Contribution to
Society
Convergence of
different studies
Research
Methods
Introduction
Behavioral Economics Policy Needs Computer Simulation
Marketing (Consumer Behavior)
+ Media Communication
+ Social Psychology
+ Public Policy
Factor Based Model → Actor Based Model
Understanding social phenomenon : civil movement and consumer’s choices
Improving public policy : health, education, democracy, media & welfare
Research Background
Digital Media Era
Consumer Behavior
Research Trends
Computer simulation (Net-Logo)Survey & Experiment →
2019076111
2
Civil participation
Boycott, Movement
Products & Services
Fashion
Business activities
Crowd Funding
Factor-based model Actor-based model
Literature Reviews & Research Direction
Social
Psychology
Media
Communication
Marketing
Consumer Behavior
individual surveys, interviews and experiments Computer simulation
Public Policy
One-time game Repetitive game
Social
Level factor
Individual
Level
factor
1) group size,
2) the common objective’s level of concreteness,
3) culture of collectivism or individualism,
4) expectation that one’s effort will improve individual performance,
5) perception that one’s efforts will significantly contribute to improving group results
6) valence of outcome regarding positive outcome have something meaningful on to individual
1) monitoring
2) social norms, etc.
Previous studies Research direction
Academic
Fields
Previous
Findings
Research
Methods
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Social
Psychology
Media
Communication
Marketing
Consumer Behavior
Public Policy
Relevant Academic Achievements
Behavior Change Health Project Design:
Behavioral economics and Social Marketing application on Korea government’s health project
(‘14~’15) Advertising agency (‘15~’19) Government
(‘15~’17) MA in public policy
(‘05~’10) BA in Business (‘17) Research paper
Achievement
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One-time
(Cooperation)
Time-Series
(Repetitive Cooperation Pattern)
Individual
Level
Rational
Actor
Model
Individual’s motivation, attitude and behavior
Cooperation < Free ride
Irrational
Actor
Model
Cooperative behavior
Caused by social pressure,
heuristics and default choice
Network Level
Threshold level of engagement
Moment (tipping point)
Macro-level patterns
in time-series
Research Overview : 3 Studies
: Previous marketing researches methods : New research methods
: Survey & experiments
: Factor-Based Model
: Computer simulation (Net-Logo)
: Agent-Based Model
Study1
Study2 Study3
Heuristics :
Irrational
Participation
Study1 Study2 Study3 Macro-Level
Patterns
Threshold Level of
Bandwagon Effect
Collective Action Studies
Overview
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Research Design : Crowd-Funding Projects Setting
Heuristics (Irrational Participation) : factors to make individuals participate in common objectives
Macro-Level Patterns : Time-Series Analysis
Bandwagon Effect : Threshold level of engagement moment
Zauberman et al.(2009)<Typical path of consumer participation in crowd-funding>
Phase Heuristics
All Reference point : frame, intertemporal preferences
Phase 1 “friend funding” Categorization : distance effect, information asymmetric
Phase 2 “getting the crowd” Categorization : social effect, anticipation
Phase 3 “race to be in” Loss aversion
Study1
Study2
Study3
After engagement moment, people’s participation level
increases exponentially
After setting up several process, computer simulation
enables researcher predicting behaviors of multiple
actors at the same time
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Research Methods : Experiments & Computer simulation
Net-Logo is suited for modeling complex
systems developing over time.
Net-Logo simultaneously examines multiple
actors in time-series.
Study1 Study2
Study3
Wilensky, U. 1999. “NetLogo”.
http://ccl.northwestern.edu/netlogo/, Center for
Connected Learning and Computer-Based
Modeling, Northwestern University, Evanston, IL
Modelers can give instructions to hundreds
or thousands of independent "agents" all
operating concurrently.
This makes it possible to explore the
connection between the micro-level
behavior of individuals and
the macro-level patterns that emerge from
the interaction of many individuals.
Main effect & Interaction caused by certain factors with other conditions held constant
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Experiments → Between-Group ANOVA
Computer Simulation : Net-Logo
Experiments → Between-Group ANOVA
<Net-Logo program image>
Study 1. Heuristics : Irrational Participation
Phase Heuristics
Experiment
1
All Reference point : frame, intertemporal preferences
Experiment
2
Phase 1 “friend funding”
Categorization : distance effect, information asymme
tric
Experiment
3
Phase 2 “getting the crow
d”
Categorization : social effect, anticipation
Experiment
4
Phase 3 “race to be in” Loss aversion
Expected Result
Experiment
1
Experiment
2
Experiment
3
Experiment
4
To go frame “$ 000 need to be accumulated”
To date frame “So far, $ 000 have been accumulated”
Level of other
people’s participation
Level of other
people’s participation
Near (familiar) “My friend has participated”
Distant “None of my friend has
mentioned”
Fashion (social) “It is going to be famous”
Not-a-fashion “It is just a random try”
Level of other
people’s participation
Limited (exclusive) “This is the last chance”
Not-limited “You will have another chance”
Level of other
people’s participation
Experiment
1
Experiment
2
Experiment
3
Experiment
4
ANOVA → Interaction ANOVA → Main effect & Interaction
ANOVA → Main effect & Interaction ANOVA → Main effect & Interaction
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A certain level of threshold exits in relation to people’s engagement in movements
Study 2. Bandwagon Effect : Threshold Level
In crowd funding projects,
“like counts” and number of reviews are important
factors (Be et al. 2017).
According to the prospect theory, people hate loss greater
than gain.(Kahneman, Knetsch, & Thaler, 1991; Tversky &
Kahneman, 1992)
Expected Result
Participation of friends and family influences decision to
participate (Agarwal·Catalini & Goldfarb, 2010) and it is
more influential than random people’s participation (Andrw
et al. 2006). This is because people consider it “I know well
and can trust the project.” (Agrawal et al. 2015).
1 → 2 → 3 → 5 → 10 → 50 → 100 → 1,000 → 100,000
People’s participation level explodes exponentially
2019076111
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Study 3. Macro-Level Patterns : Time-Series
Expected Result
Repetitive games
generate patterns of
social polarization between
active participants
and free-riders
Process
2
Process
3
Base mode : Net-Logo Models Library “Altruism”
Information on other people’s participation
- Participant : 1-cost + (Number Altruists in Neighborhood / 5 * benefit from Altruists)
- Nonparticipant : 1 + (Number Altruists in Neighborhood / 5 * benefit from Altruists)
Individual’s mind : random number
Process 1
- Marketing : Marketing makes desirable environment
- Fads : Individuals are influenced by fadsProcess 4
Environment : Participation leading environment
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Research Plan
2019 autumn/winter 2020 spring/summer 2020 autumn/winter 2021 spring/summer
Heuristics (Irrational Participation)
Network Effect
Macro-Level Patterns
2019.9 영국 학술대회
Behavioural Exchange
2020.3. 모로코 학술대회
The International Social and
Behavior Change Communication
Summit
2020.6 영국 학술대회
Nudge Stock
2020.9 미국 학술대회
Stanford Social Innovation
Review
국내 학회 활동
Study2
Study3
Study1
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Motivation of Study & Future Plan
Personal Vision Map
Business
Bachelor’s degree
Behavioral Approach to Policy
Ph.D.
For Social GoodVision
Expertise Marketing(Ph.D.) Public Policy(MA)
Goal Civil Engagement
Family Background & Value
Worked in Marketing Agency & Government
Engagement Strategies for Policy Makers
Public Policy
Master’s degree
Vision Aligned Study & Work Experience
Worked in Marketing Agency Worked in Government
2019076111
12
Collective Action
2019076111
Global Ph.D Fellowship
Day 1 Day 10 Day 50 Day 100
Day 150Day 200Day 300Day 400
Annex. Net-Logo “Altruism” Computer simulation to reveal multiple actor’s behavior in time-series
This model is based on a paper by
Mitteldorf and Wilson, 2000, “Population
Viscosity and the Evolution of Altruism”,
Journal of Theoretical Biology, v.204,pp.481-496.
Model → Coding → Pattern → Time-Series Data → R

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Collective Action

  • 1. Collective Action Factors to make individuals participate in common objectives, Threshold level of bandwagon effect, and Patterns over time Kihyon Kim Global Ph.D Fellowship
  • 2. Behaviors of other people have significant impacts on other individuals Research Contribution Contribution to Society Convergence of different studies Research Methods Introduction Behavioral Economics Policy Needs Computer Simulation Marketing (Consumer Behavior) + Media Communication + Social Psychology + Public Policy Factor Based Model → Actor Based Model Understanding social phenomenon : civil movement and consumer’s choices Improving public policy : health, education, democracy, media & welfare Research Background Digital Media Era Consumer Behavior Research Trends Computer simulation (Net-Logo)Survey & Experiment → 2019076111 2 Civil participation Boycott, Movement Products & Services Fashion Business activities Crowd Funding
  • 3. Factor-based model Actor-based model Literature Reviews & Research Direction Social Psychology Media Communication Marketing Consumer Behavior individual surveys, interviews and experiments Computer simulation Public Policy One-time game Repetitive game Social Level factor Individual Level factor 1) group size, 2) the common objective’s level of concreteness, 3) culture of collectivism or individualism, 4) expectation that one’s effort will improve individual performance, 5) perception that one’s efforts will significantly contribute to improving group results 6) valence of outcome regarding positive outcome have something meaningful on to individual 1) monitoring 2) social norms, etc. Previous studies Research direction Academic Fields Previous Findings Research Methods 2019076111 3
  • 4. Social Psychology Media Communication Marketing Consumer Behavior Public Policy Relevant Academic Achievements Behavior Change Health Project Design: Behavioral economics and Social Marketing application on Korea government’s health project (‘14~’15) Advertising agency (‘15~’19) Government (‘15~’17) MA in public policy (‘05~’10) BA in Business (‘17) Research paper Achievement 2019076111 4
  • 5. One-time (Cooperation) Time-Series (Repetitive Cooperation Pattern) Individual Level Rational Actor Model Individual’s motivation, attitude and behavior Cooperation < Free ride Irrational Actor Model Cooperative behavior Caused by social pressure, heuristics and default choice Network Level Threshold level of engagement Moment (tipping point) Macro-level patterns in time-series Research Overview : 3 Studies : Previous marketing researches methods : New research methods : Survey & experiments : Factor-Based Model : Computer simulation (Net-Logo) : Agent-Based Model Study1 Study2 Study3 Heuristics : Irrational Participation Study1 Study2 Study3 Macro-Level Patterns Threshold Level of Bandwagon Effect Collective Action Studies Overview 2019076111 5
  • 6. Research Design : Crowd-Funding Projects Setting Heuristics (Irrational Participation) : factors to make individuals participate in common objectives Macro-Level Patterns : Time-Series Analysis Bandwagon Effect : Threshold level of engagement moment Zauberman et al.(2009)<Typical path of consumer participation in crowd-funding> Phase Heuristics All Reference point : frame, intertemporal preferences Phase 1 “friend funding” Categorization : distance effect, information asymmetric Phase 2 “getting the crowd” Categorization : social effect, anticipation Phase 3 “race to be in” Loss aversion Study1 Study2 Study3 After engagement moment, people’s participation level increases exponentially After setting up several process, computer simulation enables researcher predicting behaviors of multiple actors at the same time 2019076111 6
  • 7. Research Methods : Experiments & Computer simulation Net-Logo is suited for modeling complex systems developing over time. Net-Logo simultaneously examines multiple actors in time-series. Study1 Study2 Study3 Wilensky, U. 1999. “NetLogo”. http://ccl.northwestern.edu/netlogo/, Center for Connected Learning and Computer-Based Modeling, Northwestern University, Evanston, IL Modelers can give instructions to hundreds or thousands of independent "agents" all operating concurrently. This makes it possible to explore the connection between the micro-level behavior of individuals and the macro-level patterns that emerge from the interaction of many individuals. Main effect & Interaction caused by certain factors with other conditions held constant 2019076111 7 Experiments → Between-Group ANOVA Computer Simulation : Net-Logo Experiments → Between-Group ANOVA <Net-Logo program image>
  • 8. Study 1. Heuristics : Irrational Participation Phase Heuristics Experiment 1 All Reference point : frame, intertemporal preferences Experiment 2 Phase 1 “friend funding” Categorization : distance effect, information asymme tric Experiment 3 Phase 2 “getting the crow d” Categorization : social effect, anticipation Experiment 4 Phase 3 “race to be in” Loss aversion Expected Result Experiment 1 Experiment 2 Experiment 3 Experiment 4 To go frame “$ 000 need to be accumulated” To date frame “So far, $ 000 have been accumulated” Level of other people’s participation Level of other people’s participation Near (familiar) “My friend has participated” Distant “None of my friend has mentioned” Fashion (social) “It is going to be famous” Not-a-fashion “It is just a random try” Level of other people’s participation Limited (exclusive) “This is the last chance” Not-limited “You will have another chance” Level of other people’s participation Experiment 1 Experiment 2 Experiment 3 Experiment 4 ANOVA → Interaction ANOVA → Main effect & Interaction ANOVA → Main effect & Interaction ANOVA → Main effect & Interaction 2019076111 8
  • 9. A certain level of threshold exits in relation to people’s engagement in movements Study 2. Bandwagon Effect : Threshold Level In crowd funding projects, “like counts” and number of reviews are important factors (Be et al. 2017). According to the prospect theory, people hate loss greater than gain.(Kahneman, Knetsch, & Thaler, 1991; Tversky & Kahneman, 1992) Expected Result Participation of friends and family influences decision to participate (Agarwal·Catalini & Goldfarb, 2010) and it is more influential than random people’s participation (Andrw et al. 2006). This is because people consider it “I know well and can trust the project.” (Agrawal et al. 2015). 1 → 2 → 3 → 5 → 10 → 50 → 100 → 1,000 → 100,000 People’s participation level explodes exponentially 2019076111 9
  • 10. Study 3. Macro-Level Patterns : Time-Series Expected Result Repetitive games generate patterns of social polarization between active participants and free-riders Process 2 Process 3 Base mode : Net-Logo Models Library “Altruism” Information on other people’s participation - Participant : 1-cost + (Number Altruists in Neighborhood / 5 * benefit from Altruists) - Nonparticipant : 1 + (Number Altruists in Neighborhood / 5 * benefit from Altruists) Individual’s mind : random number Process 1 - Marketing : Marketing makes desirable environment - Fads : Individuals are influenced by fadsProcess 4 Environment : Participation leading environment 2019076111 10
  • 11. Research Plan 2019 autumn/winter 2020 spring/summer 2020 autumn/winter 2021 spring/summer Heuristics (Irrational Participation) Network Effect Macro-Level Patterns 2019.9 영국 학술대회 Behavioural Exchange 2020.3. 모로코 학술대회 The International Social and Behavior Change Communication Summit 2020.6 영국 학술대회 Nudge Stock 2020.9 미국 학술대회 Stanford Social Innovation Review 국내 학회 활동 Study2 Study3 Study1 2019076111 11
  • 12. Motivation of Study & Future Plan Personal Vision Map Business Bachelor’s degree Behavioral Approach to Policy Ph.D. For Social GoodVision Expertise Marketing(Ph.D.) Public Policy(MA) Goal Civil Engagement Family Background & Value Worked in Marketing Agency & Government Engagement Strategies for Policy Makers Public Policy Master’s degree Vision Aligned Study & Work Experience Worked in Marketing Agency Worked in Government 2019076111 12
  • 14. Day 1 Day 10 Day 50 Day 100 Day 150Day 200Day 300Day 400 Annex. Net-Logo “Altruism” Computer simulation to reveal multiple actor’s behavior in time-series This model is based on a paper by Mitteldorf and Wilson, 2000, “Population Viscosity and the Evolution of Altruism”, Journal of Theoretical Biology, v.204,pp.481-496. Model → Coding → Pattern → Time-Series Data → R