In this ppt, we have tried to create an EWS from the perspective of Bangladesh taking the examples from different countries and global frameworks.

1. Presentation on:
Develop an Early Warning System
Model for Cyclone
Presented By:
1. Arifur Rahman Shovon (18131031)
2. Kazi Sumaiya Akter Safa (19131014)
3. Kazi Barnali Durba (18131048)
4. Most.Anoara Akter Tumpa (17131031)
5. Hasibul Ahsan Saif (17131046)
6. Shamha Houqe Shuvescha (17131047)
7. Md Mahabub Hasan (16131012)

2. Content:
• Introduction
• Literature Review
• Pakistan
• Cuba
• Japan
• Discussion
• a) Is there any EWS in Bangladesh for Cyclone
• b) Which model are we choosing for developing a new model for
Bangladeshi context
• c) Why choosing Cuba EWS Framework as our Cyclone Warning Model
• d) Challenges for applying that model in our country
• Conclusion

3. Introduction
•very frequent in Bangladesh
•a total 775 303 people died in the coastal and offshore islands
of Bangladesh within the last 222 years (1775–1997)
•mainly three reasons behind the deaths
•15.0 million people living in the vulnerable areas, covering
21000 km2 of coastal and offshore islands
•1 350 cyclone shelters we have but 11.0 million people still
unsafe

4. Universally recognized framework
proposed by WMO

5. Literature Review: Pakistan
•Coastal Hazard Early Warning Systems in
Pakistan
•Pakistan Meteorological Department (PMD)
plays a prominent role
•community used “Inmarset Siren system”
•activated through satellite connection from PMD
Tsunami Center Karachi

6. Cont…..
•Gwadar and Pasni are also connected with PMD
•PMD sends a tsunami warning message to an
Inmarsat ground station, using TCP/IP
•Notifications are sent via regional warning
centers

7. Cont…..

8. Cont…….

9. Cont….
•PMD sends out this information via multiple
communication channels-
•Automated GPRS-based SMS text messages
•Mobile phone-based SMS text messages (back-up)
•Automated fax – two channels
•Manual fax – one channel
•Satellite telephone
• Updates to its website
www.pmdnmcc.net/seismic/index.asp
• Email

10. Literature Review: Cuba
•1963- The Great Disaster in Hurricane “Flora” (1963)
•1995- Cuban National Meteorological Service
realized the making a national plan
•They included some steps-
•Prevention
•Preparedness
•Response: Phase, Action & Measures
•Recuperation, Rehabilitation & Reconstruction

11. Cont.
•provide Training Program for officials, Training
Program for officials, workers and all people
•developed monitoring tools and equipment to
observe the ongoing situation
•National Civil Defense is responsible for the
development of the warning

12. Cont…….

13. Literature Review: Japan
•Known as the country of Typhoon
•own framework that have made based on both
their traditional knowledge
•integrated the technology in developing their
early warning system
•Japan is very much advanced in technologies.

14. Cont……

15. Japan Typhoon Mitigation Framework by JMD

16. Discussion- A: Is there any EWS in Bangladesh
for Cyclone
•Yes, we have
•Bangladesh is known as a role model
•Bangladesh Meteorological Department (BMD)
has the prominent role in disseminating the EW
•Specialists use Tropical Cyclone (TC) Frameworks
for Bangladesh

17. Cont……

18. Cont….
•The meteorologists at BMD forecast TCs in three
consecutive steps:
•Step 1 -collection, interpolation, and analysis of
wind data
•Step 2 -determination of the steering airflow
•Step 3 -forecasting TC track and intensity

19. Discussion- B: Why choosing Cuba EWS
framework as our Cyclone Warning Model?
• Cuba or “The Republic of Cuba is located” in the northern Caribbean
where the Caribbean Sea, Gulf of Mexico and Atlantic Ocean meet. Cuba
has an official area (land area) of 1,09,884 km2 (42,426 sq. mi) with
11.34 million (2018) population. Besides, Cuba has 5,746 km of coastal
line. As it is lied in the coast of Mexico gulf, so it is similar to our country
Bangladesh. Because, Bangladesh is also lied in the coast of Bay of Bengal
and the total coastal line of this country is approximately 47,201 km2. In
addition, cyclone is very frequent in both two of the countries

20. Cont…..
1. We have to collect the data of cyclone from the
national organizations who are engaged in sharing the
knowledge about the upcoming hazard. . BMD is one
of the most known organization who are responsible
for giving us with the updated information about the
cyclone.
2. Then, this information will be shared with the
vulnerable district head. After that it will go further
with the chain of command.

21. Model proposed for the Cyclone EWS in
BD.
Risk Knowledge
Hazard Identify Hazard Mapping Vulnerable People

22. Domestic Animal
Information Accessibility
Culvert and bridge Household
Elements at Risk

23. Monitoring and Warning
Rainfall
Water Level Planning & Documenting
Data analysis & decision making

24. Radio/Television Telephone/Mobile Phone/SMS
Household Warning
Flag Showing
Dissemination & Communication

25. Response Capability:
Evacuation Center
SAR
Relief Goods
Educating/ Sharing Knowledge

27. Challenges for applying that model in our country
A) Formal language and tecnical terms.
B) Dissemination from different sources.
C) Previous false alarms lead to a lower degree of compliance with advisories.
D) Cyclone paths are often very difficult to identify.
E) Distribution of relief goods among the victims.
F) Least developed countries.
G) Sometimes, some local customs and traditions also slow down the WES.

28. Conclusion
Improving the cyclone early warning system with a simplified
manner and location specific will increase communities’
capacity to efficiently respond to adverse situation. The CPP
intervention should be more expanded - covering the entire
coastal belt. An initiative should be taken where training
programs on cyclone warning system shall be conducted in all
the schools of the coastal areas.