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7th European Ornithologists' Union
                        Conference - Zurich

   Higher densities of the threatened little
     g e de s t es o t e t eate ed tt e
bustard Tetrax tetrax occur in larger grassland
      fields: management implications
                    g         p




   JOÃO PAULO SILVA1,2,3, JORGE MESTRE PALMEIRIM2 & FRANCISCO MOREIRA3
1-N t
    Nature C
           Conservation I tit t (ICNB)
                     ti Institute
2 - Centre for Environmental Biology, Faculty of Sciences - University of Lisbon
3 - Centre for Applied Ecology "Prof. Baeta Neves", Institute of Agronomy – Technical University
of Lisbon
• The little bustard is medium sized grassland bird mostly
                                     g                   y
  adapted to extensive agricultural environments and pastures
• Presents nowadays a highly fragmented distribution
• The most viable population is found in the Iberian Peninsula
  with more than half of the world’s population
• It is a leking bird, where breeding males display in an
  aggregated manner, with f
          t d           ith females attending primarily f
                                l    tt di      i   il for
  the purpose of mating
• Breeding population estimates are mainly based on adult
  male densities because females are inconspicuous
• Little bustard breeding male density has been found to
  depend on small agricultural fields, presumably due to
  increased habitat diversity
• However, exceptionally high densities are found in large
  fields in Portugal, suggesting that the influence of field
  size varies geographically and is not yet fully
  understood.
Objectives
• With this work we sought to explore to what extent field
  size and vegetations structure influence little bustard
  male densities during the breeding season
• Develop management guidelines from which agro-  agro
  environmental schemes can be delineated
Study area
Study area
• Diversified landscape with agricultural areas and pastures
  occurring interspersed with oak Quercus rotundifolia
  woodlands
• Over 70% of the study area is covered with farmland fields
  with over 20 ha
Methods
• Previous works showed (e.g. Silva 2005) a clear preference
  for fallow lands and pastures (Grasslands)
• With this work we chose to study grassland fields since they
  represent the manageable unit
• Grassland field selection:
   – Over 20 ha (large enough to fit a sampling plot)
   – Further from paved roads and inhabited houses

• Fi ld work
  Field    k
   – During the spring of 2007 and 2008
   – 3 hours after sunrise and before sunset
   – Male counts were done within sampling plots
     consisting of circular areas with a radius of 250 m
                                                       m,
     thus occupying an area of c.20 ha
Methods
• 2007
   – All available grassland fields were studied – 54 fields
   – 88 sampling plots
• 2008
   – 29 random fields
   – 43 sampling p
             p g plots
Methods
    • V i bl
      Variables
        Variables (units)                 Description         Source                      Mean (range)
                                 Mean number of males per
Male density (males/100 ha)      100 ha pooled from all
                                      ha,                     Fieldwork                  6.2 (0.0 37.4)
                                                                                         6 2 (0 0 – 37 4)
                                 sampling plots
                                 Mean vegetation height of
Vegetation height (cm)           the field, pooled from all   Fieldwork                 39.3 (10.1 – 95.8)
                                 sa p g p ots
                                 sampling plots
                                 Mean vegetation cover of
Vegetation cover (%)             the field, pooled from all   Fieldwork                 69.6 (40.0 – 94.0)
                                 sampling plots
                                 Standard deviation of the
Vegetation height heterogeneity  vegetation height, pooled    Derived from variable 2    12.8 (3.6 – 45.2)
                                 from all sampling plots
                                 Standard deviation of the
Vegetation cover heterogeneity   vegetation cover, pooled     Derived from variable 3    14.0 (6.2 – 22.4)
                                 from all sampling plots
                                 Number of grazing animals
Number of grazers (grazers/ha)                                Fieldwork                  0.21 (0.0 – 3.9)
                                 in the field
                                 Size of the agricultural
Field area size (ha)                                          GIS and fieldwork         57.3 (23.1 – 171.7)
                                 field
                                 Whether the field is
Type of land use                 pasture (0) or fallow land   Fieldwork                    0.41 (0 – 1)
                                 (1)
                                 Number of different
Number of neighbouring land uses landuses in the              GIS and fieldwork             2.9 (1 – 6)
                                 neighbouring fields
Number of neighbouring           Number of neighbouring       GIS and fieldwork
                                                                                            1.3 (0 – 4)
grasslands with LB               grasslands with LB
Methods
• Statistical analysis
   – 1st Logistic regression to determine the environmental
     variables influencing the presence of breeding males
       • repeated fields were selected randomly to avoid
           p                                    y
         prevalence problems
       • Forward stepwise selection was used to build the model
       • The model’s to the data was assessed using ROC of
         AUC
       • Model was validated with a Jackknife procedure
   – Generalised Linear Model (GLM) only considering presence
     data was used to model male density
       • Akaike’s Information Criteria (AIC) and Backward
         stepwise selection were used to build the model
       • The final model presented the lowest AIC
Results
• Male presence was found in 47 of 83 samples, with an overall
  count of 183 breeding males

• Densities reached up to 37.4 males/100 ha

• Logistic Regression
   – 2 variables entered the model: field size and vegetation
           i bl    t d th      d l fi ld i       d     t ti
     height
   – AUC 82 4%
            82.4%
   – Validation AUC 79.9%


• GLM
   – The only variable explaining male density is field size
   – R2 = 0.46
Results
• Logistic Regression                                    Variables Coefficient ‐2 log LR p‐value
                                                         Field size  0.035      11.830 <0.001
                                                           g
                                                        Vegetation 
                                                                     ‐0.058
                                                                      0 058     20.011 <0.001
                                                                                20 011 <0 001
                                                          height
                                                         Constant    0.503         ‐‐‐      ‐‐‐


- Probability for the presence of breeding males in grasslands
  of different sizes assuming different vegetation heights
                    1.0
                    0.9
                    0.8
             lity




                    0.7
      Probabil




                    0.6
                    0.5                                                         20 cm
                    0.4
                                                                                40 cm
      P




                    0.3
                    0.2                                                         60 cm
                    0.1
                    0.0
                    00
                          20   30   40   50   60   70   80   90 100 110 120 130 140 150

                                                   Field size (ha)
Results
• Plot of male density versus field size in fields where little bustards
  were present. The fitted equation is y 0.001 (
        p                   q           y=         (field size)2 + 6.697
                                                              )
Discussion
• Little bustards prefer larger grassland fields with adequate
  vegetation structure
   – Larger fields seem to congregate independent leks, since the
       autocorrelation factor did not enter the model
   – P f
       Preference for a particular vegetation structure is well known
                   f        ti l         t ti   t t      i    ll k
   – Larger habitat patches are also likely to present less disturbance
       and smaller rates of predation, due to reduced edge effects
                             p         ,                   g
   – There are several aspects relating to their exploded lek mating
       system that might explain higher densities in larger fields:
        • most lek theories admit an increase of reproductive success
          in larger leks
        • aggregations with minimum distances between territorial
          males are more probable in continuous areas of high-quality
          habitat, rather than in suitable but discontinuous and spatially
          scattered habitats
               tt d h bit t
Discussion
• Conservation and management implications
• Management implications of our study are clear since fields
                                               clear,
  represent the agricultural management unit:
   o (1) conservation efforts should be channelled to farms
     ( )
     containing the largest fields
   o (2) careful crop rotation planning and adequate livestock
     grazing are needed t create suitable h bit t f th b di
           i           d d to      t   it bl habitat for the breeding
     season
   o (3) management at the landscape, rather than the farm level
                                landscape                       level,
     is needed to ensure the most continuous grassland habitat
     patches possible through careful and synchronized planning
     of field rotation within farms and with neighbouring farms
       ff                     f                            f

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Higher densities little bustard

  • 1. 7th European Ornithologists' Union Conference - Zurich Higher densities of the threatened little g e de s t es o t e t eate ed tt e bustard Tetrax tetrax occur in larger grassland fields: management implications g p JOÃO PAULO SILVA1,2,3, JORGE MESTRE PALMEIRIM2 & FRANCISCO MOREIRA3 1-N t Nature C Conservation I tit t (ICNB) ti Institute 2 - Centre for Environmental Biology, Faculty of Sciences - University of Lisbon 3 - Centre for Applied Ecology "Prof. Baeta Neves", Institute of Agronomy – Technical University of Lisbon
  • 2. • The little bustard is medium sized grassland bird mostly g y adapted to extensive agricultural environments and pastures • Presents nowadays a highly fragmented distribution • The most viable population is found in the Iberian Peninsula with more than half of the world’s population
  • 3. • It is a leking bird, where breeding males display in an aggregated manner, with f t d ith females attending primarily f l tt di i il for the purpose of mating • Breeding population estimates are mainly based on adult male densities because females are inconspicuous • Little bustard breeding male density has been found to depend on small agricultural fields, presumably due to increased habitat diversity • However, exceptionally high densities are found in large fields in Portugal, suggesting that the influence of field size varies geographically and is not yet fully understood.
  • 4. Objectives • With this work we sought to explore to what extent field size and vegetations structure influence little bustard male densities during the breeding season • Develop management guidelines from which agro- agro environmental schemes can be delineated
  • 6. Study area • Diversified landscape with agricultural areas and pastures occurring interspersed with oak Quercus rotundifolia woodlands • Over 70% of the study area is covered with farmland fields with over 20 ha
  • 7. Methods • Previous works showed (e.g. Silva 2005) a clear preference for fallow lands and pastures (Grasslands) • With this work we chose to study grassland fields since they represent the manageable unit • Grassland field selection: – Over 20 ha (large enough to fit a sampling plot) – Further from paved roads and inhabited houses • Fi ld work Field k – During the spring of 2007 and 2008 – 3 hours after sunrise and before sunset – Male counts were done within sampling plots consisting of circular areas with a radius of 250 m m, thus occupying an area of c.20 ha
  • 8. Methods • 2007 – All available grassland fields were studied – 54 fields – 88 sampling plots • 2008 – 29 random fields – 43 sampling p p g plots
  • 9. Methods • V i bl Variables Variables (units) Description Source Mean (range) Mean number of males per Male density (males/100 ha) 100 ha pooled from all ha, Fieldwork 6.2 (0.0 37.4) 6 2 (0 0 – 37 4) sampling plots Mean vegetation height of Vegetation height (cm) the field, pooled from all Fieldwork 39.3 (10.1 – 95.8) sa p g p ots sampling plots Mean vegetation cover of Vegetation cover (%) the field, pooled from all Fieldwork 69.6 (40.0 – 94.0) sampling plots Standard deviation of the Vegetation height heterogeneity vegetation height, pooled Derived from variable 2 12.8 (3.6 – 45.2) from all sampling plots Standard deviation of the Vegetation cover heterogeneity vegetation cover, pooled Derived from variable 3 14.0 (6.2 – 22.4) from all sampling plots Number of grazing animals Number of grazers (grazers/ha) Fieldwork 0.21 (0.0 – 3.9) in the field Size of the agricultural Field area size (ha) GIS and fieldwork 57.3 (23.1 – 171.7) field Whether the field is Type of land use pasture (0) or fallow land Fieldwork 0.41 (0 – 1) (1) Number of different Number of neighbouring land uses landuses in the GIS and fieldwork 2.9 (1 – 6) neighbouring fields Number of neighbouring Number of neighbouring GIS and fieldwork 1.3 (0 – 4) grasslands with LB grasslands with LB
  • 10. Methods • Statistical analysis – 1st Logistic regression to determine the environmental variables influencing the presence of breeding males • repeated fields were selected randomly to avoid p y prevalence problems • Forward stepwise selection was used to build the model • The model’s to the data was assessed using ROC of AUC • Model was validated with a Jackknife procedure – Generalised Linear Model (GLM) only considering presence data was used to model male density • Akaike’s Information Criteria (AIC) and Backward stepwise selection were used to build the model • The final model presented the lowest AIC
  • 11. Results • Male presence was found in 47 of 83 samples, with an overall count of 183 breeding males • Densities reached up to 37.4 males/100 ha • Logistic Regression – 2 variables entered the model: field size and vegetation i bl t d th d l fi ld i d t ti height – AUC 82 4% 82.4% – Validation AUC 79.9% • GLM – The only variable explaining male density is field size – R2 = 0.46
  • 12. Results • Logistic Regression Variables Coefficient ‐2 log LR p‐value Field size 0.035 11.830 <0.001 g Vegetation  ‐0.058 0 058 20.011 <0.001 20 011 <0 001 height Constant 0.503 ‐‐‐ ‐‐‐ - Probability for the presence of breeding males in grasslands of different sizes assuming different vegetation heights 1.0 0.9 0.8 lity 0.7 Probabil 0.6 0.5 20 cm 0.4 40 cm P 0.3 0.2 60 cm 0.1 0.0 00 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 110 120 130 140 150 Field size (ha)
  • 13. Results • Plot of male density versus field size in fields where little bustards were present. The fitted equation is y 0.001 ( p q y= (field size)2 + 6.697 )
  • 14. Discussion • Little bustards prefer larger grassland fields with adequate vegetation structure – Larger fields seem to congregate independent leks, since the autocorrelation factor did not enter the model – P f Preference for a particular vegetation structure is well known f ti l t ti t t i ll k – Larger habitat patches are also likely to present less disturbance and smaller rates of predation, due to reduced edge effects p , g – There are several aspects relating to their exploded lek mating system that might explain higher densities in larger fields: • most lek theories admit an increase of reproductive success in larger leks • aggregations with minimum distances between territorial males are more probable in continuous areas of high-quality habitat, rather than in suitable but discontinuous and spatially scattered habitats tt d h bit t
  • 15. Discussion • Conservation and management implications • Management implications of our study are clear since fields clear, represent the agricultural management unit: o (1) conservation efforts should be channelled to farms ( ) containing the largest fields o (2) careful crop rotation planning and adequate livestock grazing are needed t create suitable h bit t f th b di i d d to t it bl habitat for the breeding season o (3) management at the landscape, rather than the farm level landscape level, is needed to ensure the most continuous grassland habitat patches possible through careful and synchronized planning of field rotation within farms and with neighbouring farms ff f f