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©2018 HRExaminer • PO Box 1410 Healdsburg, CA USA 95448 • +1.415.683.0775 • john@hrexaminer.com 1
HR Technology
New Management Approaches Required In AI Enabled Enterprises
©2018 HRExaminer • PO Box 1410 Healdsburg, CA USA 95448 • +1.415.683.0775 • john@hrexaminer.com 1
HR Technology
New Management Approaches Required In AI Enabled Enterprises
©2018 HRExaminer • PO Box 1410 Healdsburg, CA USA 95448 • +1.415.683.0775 • john@hrexaminer.com
John Sumser
@johnsumser
John@hrexaminer.com
415.683.0775
• Principal Analyst, HRExaminer
• Intelligent Tools Columnist, HRExecutive Magazine
• Selection/Implementation Consulting
• Product Development
2
©2018 HRExaminer • PO Box 1410 Healdsburg, CA USA 95448 • +1.415.683.0775 • john@hrexaminer.com
HRExaminer.com
3
‣ Edges of HR
‣ Weekly Newsletter
‣ Podcasts
‣ Research
©2018 HRExaminer • PO Box 1410 Healdsburg, CA USA 95448 • +1.415.683.0775 • john@hrexaminer.com
5 Elements of HRTech
©2018 HRExaminer • PO Box 1410 Healdsburg, CA USA 95448 • +1.415.683.0775 • john@hrexaminer.com
75 HR Technology Silos
©2018 HRExaminer • PO Box 1410 Healdsburg, CA USA 95448 • +1.415.683.0775 • john@hrexaminer.com
Dramatic Growth In Vendors of Intelligent Tools
6
40
200
645
1400
0
200
400
600
800
1000
1200
1400
1600
2016 2017 2018 2019
Vendors
Smart Data is the New Software
©2018 HRExaminer • PO Box 1410 Healdsburg, CA USA 95448 • +1.415.683.0775 • john@hrexaminer.com
Not AI (Levels of Intelligence) –
1. Learning from association:
Determining that two things happened at the same time or are
correlated. The algorithm learns by imitation, matching, and copying. It's
not intelligence, it's more like imitation.
2. Learning from planning and reflection:
Intervening in processes, experimentation, and generalizing the results
using hypotheses.
3. Learning from Counter-factuals:
Imagining worlds that do not exist and inferring reasons for observed
phenomena.
7
Judea Pearl: Book of Why
©2018 HRExaminer • PO Box 1410 Healdsburg, CA USA 95448 • +1.415.683.0775 • john@hrexaminer.com
This Is Not Software
Intelligent tools use statistical methods to simulate and predict the world
8
 Machines Have Opinions Based On
 Measurements
 Pattern Recognition
 Models That Predict History
 Rooted in Probabilistic Outputs
 Requires New Forms of Management
©2018 HRExaminer • PO Box 1410 Healdsburg, CA USA 95448 • +1.415.683.0775 • john@hrexaminer.com
5 Types of Offering
1. AI As Platform Service: Cloud computing providers offer modular tools
Examples: Amazon, Google, IBM, Microsoft, and Facebook.
2. Data Workbench/Cleaning: catchall. From People Analytics to Data Cleaning
Automation
Examples include One Model, SwoopTalent, and Visier.
3. Microservice: focused single point solutions that fit into a larger standard workflow.
examples in learning, assessment, sourcing, hiring, interview scheduling, forecasting,
performance management, contingent workforce, vendor management, and data
transformation
4. Embedded in Legacy Tools: intelligent software embedded to provide higher quality
data/services.
Examples: Workday, Oracle, Ultimate Software, Ceridian, Kronos, Paychex,
Salary.com, Glassdoor, SmartRecruiters, and ADP
5. AI First Suite: New systems that work across the full range of Talent Management
and Talent Acquisition
examples: Ascendify, Bridge by Instructure, Oleeo, and Google
9
©2018 HRExaminer • PO Box 1410 Healdsburg, CA USA 95448 • +1.415.683.0775 • john@hrexaminer.com
Enterprise Software Providers Deliver Ecosystems
‣ API Driven Relationships
‣ Allows Deep Solutions
‣ Value Alignment
‣ As Important As Core
‣ Exudes Company’s Character
The Rise of Software Company ’Personalities’
©2018 HRExaminer • PO Box 1410 Healdsburg, CA USA 95448 • +1.415.683.0775 • john@hrexaminer.com 11
HR Is A Spice Cabinet
©2018 HRExaminer • PO Box 1410 Healdsburg, CA USA 95448 • +1.415.683.0775 • john@hrexaminer.com
Key Microservices
‣ Assessment
• Skills
• Soft Skills/Personality Assessment
• Fit
‣ ATS Data Refresh
‣ Bias Mitigation
‣ Bots
• Outbound
• Knowledge Acceleration
‣ Career Exploration
‣ Coaching
‣ Compensation Management
‣ Culture Fit
‣ Edge Learning Acceleration
‣ Embedded Workflow Assistance
‣ Employment Website Personalization
‣ Engagement Analysis
‣ Flight Risk Analysis
‣ Hiring Forecast
‣ Internal Mobility
‣ Interview Processing
‣ Interview Scheduling
‣ Job Description Development
‣ Learning Navigation
‣ Management Insight
‣ Performance Enhancement
‣ Planning
‣ Predictive Sourcing
‣ Programmatic Advertising
‣ Recruiting Assistant
‣ Recruitment Marketing
‣ Resume Filtering
‣ Referrals
‣ Search and Matching Transformation
‣ Screening
‣ Skills Quantification
‣ Social Network Analysis
‣ Sourcing Automation
‣ Staffing Services
‣ Sentiment Analysis
‣ Text Augmentation
‣ Trouble Spot Heat Mapping
‣ Vendor Management
‣ Workforce Planning
12
©2018 HRExaminer • PO Box 1410 Healdsburg, CA USA 95448 • +1.415.683.0775 • john@hrexaminer.com 13
The Reality
©2018 HRExaminer • PO Box 1410 Healdsburg, CA USA 95448 • +1.415.683.0775 • john@hrexaminer.com 14
The Model
©2018 HRExaminer • PO Box 1410 Healdsburg, CA USA 95448 • +1.415.683.0775 • john@hrexaminer.com
Machines Have Opinions
Models Are Simplifications
©2018 HRExaminer • PO Box 1410 Healdsburg, CA USA 95448 • +1.415.683.0775 • john@hrexaminer.com
Ethics
Photo by Teddy Kelley on Unsplash
• Bias
• Privacy
• Total Cost
• Maintenance
• Reproducibility
• Latency
• Liability
16
©2018 HRExaminer • PO Box 1410 Healdsburg, CA USA 95448 • +1.415.683.0775 • john@hrexaminer.com
Management Principles For AI Enabled Enterprise
1. Always Know Which Problem You are Solving and Why
2. Embrace Data Governance
3. Know the Limits of Your Helpers
4. Never Rely on a Single Model or Algorithm
5. Anticipate Multiple Conflicting Models
6. Never Take Machine Recommendations at Face Value
7. Get Numerate
8. Teach Workforce How to Argue w/ Machines
9. Be Ready to Be Wrong … Often
10. Think Deeply About Maintenance and Replenishment
11. Monitor for Unintended Consequences
12. Become Literate in Systems Thinking
13. Every Bug Fix Creates a New Bug
17
Digital Employees Require Extensive Supervision
©2018 HRExaminer • PO Box 1410 Healdsburg, CA USA 95448 • +1.415.683.0775 • john@hrexaminer.com
Take Aways
‣ Machines Have Opinions
‣ Bias Cannot Be Eliminated
‣ Get Started, This Is Coming Fast
‣ Be Prepared for Always Better
‣ No Immediate ROI
‣ Get Started Now
‣ The Longer You Wait, The Harder
18
©2018 HRExaminer • PO Box 1410 Healdsburg, CA USA 95448 • +1.415.683.0775 • john@hrexaminer.com
Questions?
19
©2018 HRExaminer • PO Box 1410 Healdsburg, CA USA 95448 • +1.415.683.0775 • john@hrexaminer.com
John Sumser
@johnsumser
John@hrexaminer.com
415.683.0775
• Principal Analyst, HRExaminer
• Intelligent Tools Columnist, HRExecutive Magazine
• Selection/Implementation Consulting
• Product Development
20

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some of the new management approaches required in ai enabled enterprises

  • 1. ©2018 HRExaminer • PO Box 1410 Healdsburg, CA USA 95448 • +1.415.683.0775 • john@hrexaminer.com 1 HR Technology New Management Approaches Required In AI Enabled Enterprises ©2018 HRExaminer • PO Box 1410 Healdsburg, CA USA 95448 • +1.415.683.0775 • john@hrexaminer.com 1 HR Technology New Management Approaches Required In AI Enabled Enterprises
  • 2. ©2018 HRExaminer • PO Box 1410 Healdsburg, CA USA 95448 • +1.415.683.0775 • john@hrexaminer.com John Sumser @johnsumser John@hrexaminer.com 415.683.0775 • Principal Analyst, HRExaminer • Intelligent Tools Columnist, HRExecutive Magazine • Selection/Implementation Consulting • Product Development 2
  • 3. ©2018 HRExaminer • PO Box 1410 Healdsburg, CA USA 95448 • +1.415.683.0775 • john@hrexaminer.com HRExaminer.com 3 ‣ Edges of HR ‣ Weekly Newsletter ‣ Podcasts ‣ Research
  • 4. ©2018 HRExaminer • PO Box 1410 Healdsburg, CA USA 95448 • +1.415.683.0775 • john@hrexaminer.com 5 Elements of HRTech
  • 5. ©2018 HRExaminer • PO Box 1410 Healdsburg, CA USA 95448 • +1.415.683.0775 • john@hrexaminer.com 75 HR Technology Silos
  • 6. ©2018 HRExaminer • PO Box 1410 Healdsburg, CA USA 95448 • +1.415.683.0775 • john@hrexaminer.com Dramatic Growth In Vendors of Intelligent Tools 6 40 200 645 1400 0 200 400 600 800 1000 1200 1400 1600 2016 2017 2018 2019 Vendors Smart Data is the New Software
  • 7. ©2018 HRExaminer • PO Box 1410 Healdsburg, CA USA 95448 • +1.415.683.0775 • john@hrexaminer.com Not AI (Levels of Intelligence) – 1. Learning from association: Determining that two things happened at the same time or are correlated. The algorithm learns by imitation, matching, and copying. It's not intelligence, it's more like imitation. 2. Learning from planning and reflection: Intervening in processes, experimentation, and generalizing the results using hypotheses. 3. Learning from Counter-factuals: Imagining worlds that do not exist and inferring reasons for observed phenomena. 7 Judea Pearl: Book of Why
  • 8. ©2018 HRExaminer • PO Box 1410 Healdsburg, CA USA 95448 • +1.415.683.0775 • john@hrexaminer.com This Is Not Software Intelligent tools use statistical methods to simulate and predict the world 8  Machines Have Opinions Based On  Measurements  Pattern Recognition  Models That Predict History  Rooted in Probabilistic Outputs  Requires New Forms of Management
  • 9. ©2018 HRExaminer • PO Box 1410 Healdsburg, CA USA 95448 • +1.415.683.0775 • john@hrexaminer.com 5 Types of Offering 1. AI As Platform Service: Cloud computing providers offer modular tools Examples: Amazon, Google, IBM, Microsoft, and Facebook. 2. Data Workbench/Cleaning: catchall. From People Analytics to Data Cleaning Automation Examples include One Model, SwoopTalent, and Visier. 3. Microservice: focused single point solutions that fit into a larger standard workflow. examples in learning, assessment, sourcing, hiring, interview scheduling, forecasting, performance management, contingent workforce, vendor management, and data transformation 4. Embedded in Legacy Tools: intelligent software embedded to provide higher quality data/services. Examples: Workday, Oracle, Ultimate Software, Ceridian, Kronos, Paychex, Salary.com, Glassdoor, SmartRecruiters, and ADP 5. AI First Suite: New systems that work across the full range of Talent Management and Talent Acquisition examples: Ascendify, Bridge by Instructure, Oleeo, and Google 9
  • 10. ©2018 HRExaminer • PO Box 1410 Healdsburg, CA USA 95448 • +1.415.683.0775 • john@hrexaminer.com Enterprise Software Providers Deliver Ecosystems ‣ API Driven Relationships ‣ Allows Deep Solutions ‣ Value Alignment ‣ As Important As Core ‣ Exudes Company’s Character The Rise of Software Company ’Personalities’
  • 11. ©2018 HRExaminer • PO Box 1410 Healdsburg, CA USA 95448 • +1.415.683.0775 • john@hrexaminer.com 11 HR Is A Spice Cabinet
  • 12. ©2018 HRExaminer • PO Box 1410 Healdsburg, CA USA 95448 • +1.415.683.0775 • john@hrexaminer.com Key Microservices ‣ Assessment • Skills • Soft Skills/Personality Assessment • Fit ‣ ATS Data Refresh ‣ Bias Mitigation ‣ Bots • Outbound • Knowledge Acceleration ‣ Career Exploration ‣ Coaching ‣ Compensation Management ‣ Culture Fit ‣ Edge Learning Acceleration ‣ Embedded Workflow Assistance ‣ Employment Website Personalization ‣ Engagement Analysis ‣ Flight Risk Analysis ‣ Hiring Forecast ‣ Internal Mobility ‣ Interview Processing ‣ Interview Scheduling ‣ Job Description Development ‣ Learning Navigation ‣ Management Insight ‣ Performance Enhancement ‣ Planning ‣ Predictive Sourcing ‣ Programmatic Advertising ‣ Recruiting Assistant ‣ Recruitment Marketing ‣ Resume Filtering ‣ Referrals ‣ Search and Matching Transformation ‣ Screening ‣ Skills Quantification ‣ Social Network Analysis ‣ Sourcing Automation ‣ Staffing Services ‣ Sentiment Analysis ‣ Text Augmentation ‣ Trouble Spot Heat Mapping ‣ Vendor Management ‣ Workforce Planning 12
  • 13. ©2018 HRExaminer • PO Box 1410 Healdsburg, CA USA 95448 • +1.415.683.0775 • john@hrexaminer.com 13 The Reality
  • 14. ©2018 HRExaminer • PO Box 1410 Healdsburg, CA USA 95448 • +1.415.683.0775 • john@hrexaminer.com 14 The Model
  • 15. ©2018 HRExaminer • PO Box 1410 Healdsburg, CA USA 95448 • +1.415.683.0775 • john@hrexaminer.com Machines Have Opinions Models Are Simplifications
  • 16. ©2018 HRExaminer • PO Box 1410 Healdsburg, CA USA 95448 • +1.415.683.0775 • john@hrexaminer.com Ethics Photo by Teddy Kelley on Unsplash • Bias • Privacy • Total Cost • Maintenance • Reproducibility • Latency • Liability 16
  • 17. ©2018 HRExaminer • PO Box 1410 Healdsburg, CA USA 95448 • +1.415.683.0775 • john@hrexaminer.com Management Principles For AI Enabled Enterprise 1. Always Know Which Problem You are Solving and Why 2. Embrace Data Governance 3. Know the Limits of Your Helpers 4. Never Rely on a Single Model or Algorithm 5. Anticipate Multiple Conflicting Models 6. Never Take Machine Recommendations at Face Value 7. Get Numerate 8. Teach Workforce How to Argue w/ Machines 9. Be Ready to Be Wrong … Often 10. Think Deeply About Maintenance and Replenishment 11. Monitor for Unintended Consequences 12. Become Literate in Systems Thinking 13. Every Bug Fix Creates a New Bug 17 Digital Employees Require Extensive Supervision
  • 18. ©2018 HRExaminer • PO Box 1410 Healdsburg, CA USA 95448 • +1.415.683.0775 • john@hrexaminer.com Take Aways ‣ Machines Have Opinions ‣ Bias Cannot Be Eliminated ‣ Get Started, This Is Coming Fast ‣ Be Prepared for Always Better ‣ No Immediate ROI ‣ Get Started Now ‣ The Longer You Wait, The Harder 18
  • 19. ©2018 HRExaminer • PO Box 1410 Healdsburg, CA USA 95448 • +1.415.683.0775 • john@hrexaminer.com Questions? 19
  • 20. ©2018 HRExaminer • PO Box 1410 Healdsburg, CA USA 95448 • +1.415.683.0775 • john@hrexaminer.com John Sumser @johnsumser John@hrexaminer.com 415.683.0775 • Principal Analyst, HRExaminer • Intelligent Tools Columnist, HRExecutive Magazine • Selection/Implementation Consulting • Product Development 20