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Fiji’s climate conference in Bonn – Reviewing COP23
John Englart – Climate Action Moreland
Fiji’s climate conference: reviewing Bonn COP23
● Write the Paris Agreement
rulebook
● Design the 2018 Facilitative
Dialogue – called the Talanoa
Dialogue. This is a frank discussion
between countries to enhance
ambition in Nationally Determined
Contributions (NDCs)
● Support for countries in the Global
South already dealing with the
effects of climate change
John Englart – Climate Action Moreland
COP23 Main Tasks:
The Conference of the Parties (COP) of the United Nations Framework
Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC) meets each year to advance
global climate action. At COP23 under the presidency of Fiji in Bonn the
main tasks were:
Photo: Slide highlighting importance of Talanoa Dialogue from CAN strategy and
Capacity Building session on Sunday prior to COP23
Fiji’s climate conference: reviewing Bonn COP23
Very Slow progress on Paris
Agreement rulebook but with
some positive movement.
“If we don't win very quickly on
climate change, then we will never
win. That's the core truth about
global warming. It's what makes it
different from every other problem
our political systems have faced.”
- Bill McKibben of 350.org in Rolling
Stone article on 1 Dec 2017:
Winning slowly is the same as losing.
John Englart – Climate Action Moreland
Overall assessment on COP23
Photo: Bill McKibben at COP21
Fiji’s climate conference: reviewing Bonn COP23
● Breakthrough in 5 year deadlock on
agriculture. This area now moving
forward (Devex)
● Agreement on Local Communities
and Indigenous Peoples Platform (
Ecowatch | critical view )
● Agreement on Gender Action Plan (
PDF link | UN Women )
John Englart – Climate Action Moreland
COP23 had some positive outcomes:
Items strongly pushed at COP23, but initially
blocked by developed countries:
● Discussion of pre-2020 climate action
● Discussion of innovative Finance for Loss and Damage
Revision (1 of 3) - Paris Agreement COP21
●
Paris Agreement first envisaged in Durban 2011 as coming into
effect 2020
●
Each country sets own climate plans (Nationally Determined
Contributions - NDC)
● Not legally binding, but politically binding model with peer
pressure
●
Ambition mechanism: each 5 years a Global Stocktake to ratchet
up NDCs
● Paris Agreement came into force 4 November 2016 before
COP22. In Record time for a UN treaty.
●
Early entry into force took most people by surprise resulting in
the Agreement timeline starting much earlier than expected.
Fiji’s climate conference: reviewing Bonn COP23
John Englart – Climate Action Moreland
Fiji’s climate conference: reviewing Bonn COP23
John Englart – Climate Action Moreland
● Keep temperatures well below 2
degrees C, strive for 1.5 degrees C
(Article 2)
● Balance between emissions and sinks
in second half of century (Article 4)
● Global peaking of Green House Gases
ASAP (Article 4)
(Global Carbon Budget shows a
projected 2% rise in emissions for 2017
after plateauing for 3 years.)
● 2016 hottest year on record with 1.2
degrees C warming from pre-industrial
times. Global Average temperature for
February-March 2016 spiked at 1.5
degrees C
Sources: Decision COP.21 /Paris Agreement,
Global Carbon Budget Nov2017
Revision (2 of 3): Paris Agreement - Targets
Fiji’s climate conference: reviewing Bonn COP23
John Englart – Climate Action Moreland
Revision (3 of 3):
Paris Agreement
– Emissions Gap
● Current policies on track for 3.6 – 4.9
degrees C by 2100
● NDCs, many conditional, add up to 2.8
– 3.5 degrees C of warming by 2100
● Only Morocco and The Gambia rated
as compatible with 1.5 degrees C
target. Bhutan, Costa Rica, Ethiopia,
India, Philippines rated sufficient for 2
degrees C Paris Agreement target.
● Importance of ambition mechanism and
and non-state action to close this gap.
Talanoa Dialogue in 2018 and
reviews of pre-2020 action in 2018
and 2019 important for enhancing
trust for increasing ambition in NDCs.
Source: http://climateactiontracker.org/
Fiji’s climate conference: reviewing Bonn COP23
John Englart – Climate Action Moreland
Bonn was always going to be a ‘technical’ COP
With Fiji holding the COP presidency there was a substantial
push for pre-2020 action (revisiting Durban 2nd workstream) and
finance for Loss and Damage on the agenda.
After initial developed country blocking, some progress was
made on both these issues.
Fiji marked its leadership by the design of the Talanoa dialog
process for 2018, widely seen as a trial run of 2023 Global
Stocktake process.
Main COP23 decision – known as the Fiji Momentum for
Implementation – contains three elements:
● a call for enhanced Pre-2020 Implementation and
Ambition,
● a reiteration of the Paris Agreement Work Programme,
● and the design of the Facilitative Dialogue, rebranded by
Fiji as the Talanoa Dialogue.
Progress was very slow on the Paris rulebook (1 of 3).
The Paris Agreement rulebook includes transparency and carbon
accounting framework measures, methodologies, modalities in
NDCs, and work on
● International market mechanism,
● Technology mechanism,
● Global stocktake,
● Compliance mechanism
● Adaptation framework
● Loss and Damage framework
Outcome:
"Bonn failed to set the scene for Katowice. A lot of work will need
to be done next year to get the text on the implementation rules to
the point where it is ready for adoption,"
- explained Professor Manfred Fischedick, Vice-President of the Wuppertal Institute.
Fiji’s climate conference: reviewing Bonn COP23
John Englart – Climate Action Moreland
Progress was very slow on the Paris rulebook (2 of 3).
There were 30 action items mandated for discussion at COP23. See how
their status changed at negotiations tracking on ParisAgreement.org
Fiji’s climate conference: reviewing Bonn COP23
John Englart – Climate Action Moreland
Progress was very slow on the Paris rulebook (3 of 3)
By the end of the conference of the 30 action items:
● 2 were resolved
● 6 had clean draft decisions
● 22 pushed to COP24 for a decision
Fiji’s climate conference: reviewing Bonn COP23
John Englart – Climate Action Moreland
Fiji’s climate conference: reviewing Bonn COP23
John Englart – Climate Action Moreland
Pre-2020 Action
Outcome: reviews to be undertaken at COP24
in 2018 and COP25 in 2019.
Pre-2020 action was a second workstream of the
Durban platform at COP17 in 2011. At COP23
developed nations including Australia were initially
blocking discussion of pre-2020 action as part of
the COP agenda, and received a Fossil of the Day
award on Day 4 for such action.
During the second week, on Wednesday 15
November, the stalemate broke, with a resolution
which answered key demands from developing
countries and embeds a process of reviewing and
enhancing pre-2020 actions over the next two
years.
This includes a “stock-taking” session at COP24 in
2018 and again at COP25 in 2019, to track and
report on the progress of developed countries’ pre-
2020 commitments to reduce emissions and to
provide finance and technology to support
developing countries. UNFCCC Secretariat to
prepare official reports on those stock-taking
sessions.
Fiji’s climate conference: reviewing Bonn COP23
John Englart – Climate Action Moreland
Financing Loss and Damage
Climate Action Moreland was one of
more than 50 organisations calling for a
climate damages tax on oil, gas and
coal production. See our Article
Outcome: Very weak. An expert dialogue for
2018 to explore how finance might be
secured.
There were calls to discuss innovative finance
such as a Climate Damages Tax on the Fossil
Fuel Carbon majors, but discussion was
essentially blocked by the Umbrella Group,
with a late concession in the negotiations.
“The final decision on Loss and Damage is
hopelessly weak. It includes no permanent
agenda item for implementing “action and
support,” only “encourages” parties to make
available sufficient resources for the operation
of the executive committee, and merely
“encourages” the executive committee to
mobilize and secure finance.
“The sole tangible action is an “expert dialogue”
in 2018 to explore how finance might be
secured.”
- Don Lehr, Lili Fuhr, Liane Schalatek
from Heinrich Boll Institute article.
Outcome: Successful design of a facilitative dialogue in 2018 to enhance trust and start the ambition
process.
It will be called the Talanoa Dialogue, taking its name from a non judgemental, transparent and inclusive political
process of political discussion used in Fiji and many Pacific cultures. This is widely seen as a trial run for the Global
Stocktake (GST) due to be done in 2023 as part of the formal Paris Agreement ambition process.
Fiji’s climate conference: reviewing Bonn COP23
John Englart – Climate Action Moreland
Talanoa Dialogue (1 of 2)
The Talanoa dialogue is structured around three general topics:
● Where are we?
● Where do we want to go? and
● How do we get there?
IPCC Special Report on global warming target of 1.5°C will inform the dialogue in October 2018.
Fiji’s climate conference: reviewing Bonn COP23
John Englart – Climate Action Moreland
Talanoa Dialogue (2 of 2)
The decision on pre-2020 action reviews and the Talanoa Dialogue together create an ongoing
series of dialogues and reviews to enhance pre-2020 action, which will hopefully build enhanced
trust to increase ambition for both mitigation and support in the post-2020 period.
Fiji’s climate conference: reviewing Bonn COP23
John Englart – Climate Action Moreland
Talanoa Dialogue and Pre-2020 Action
Fiji’s climate conference: reviewing Bonn COP23
John Englart – Climate Action Moreland
Agriculture: After 5 years of deadlock a breakthrough
Photo: @KA_Nicholas: Alon Shepon:
animal products very inefficient. Only 3%
beef feed ends up on our plates.
After 5 years of stalling by developed nations, early in the second week saw a
breakthrough on Agriculture.
Agricultural emissions make up 19 - 29 per cent of global total emissions.
UNFCCC subsidiary bodies are empowered to “jointly address issues related to
agriculture, including through workshops and expert meetings,” and to take “into
consideration the vulnerabilities of agriculture to climate change and approaches to
addressing food security.”
Submissions process will be open for civil society and observer contributions.
“Negotiators working on agriculture must
now get their heads around the high and
ever-increasing emissions from industrial
meat production. Commitments to keep global
temperatures from rising above 1.5°C or even
2°C will not be possible without addressing
the staggering emissions from the meat and
dairy industry.” - Heinrich Boll Institute
COP23 was divided up into two separate accreditation zones: the Bula Zone where all the
negotiation meetings, plenaries, and press conferences took place; and the Bonn Zone with
all the country pavillions, exhibitions, talks and side events.
A distance of 1.4 kilometres separated the two zones, with E-vehicles and free bike hire
available for traveling between the zones, although it still took 20-30 minutes to travel
between zones when you factored in security.
The Bonn Zone had a real buzz underscoring that at the sub-national level there is a lot of
activity happening.
"Far more ambitious targets are already being pursued and greater investments are being
made in implementation activities at many levels compared to those at the respective
national levels. Making these transparent has a great knock-on effect."
says Manfred Fischedick, Vice-President of the Wuppertal Institute.
My opinion: While having one conference with two zones may be seen as making life easier
for the UNFCCC, it actually complicated communication, co-ordination and activities of civil
society observers. It dissipated energy of CAN members between two zones, and made the
democratic engagement process of CAN observers much more difficult.
Fiji’s climate conference: reviewing Bonn COP23
John Englart – Climate Action Moreland
COP23: One COP two conferences
The USA is the only country to have signaled
they will withdraw from the Paris Agreement.
This will take 4 years, and in the meantime they
are entitled to participate in negotiations.
The USA played a very low key role in formal
negotiations, but stood with other developed
countries (Umbrella Group) in blocking COP
agenda items on pre-2020 action, and loss and
damage finance.
One state: two delegations. US organised
one official side event on promoting coal and
nuclear which was protested by civil society
and widely seen as irrelevant. Non state actors
– states, cities and businesses established a
Climate Action Centre providing a high profile
alternative narrative of #WeAreStillIn action
from the US.
Fiji’s climate conference: reviewing Bonn COP23
John Englart – Climate Action Moreland
USA at Bonn: official and unofficial delegations
Photo: Former US Vice President Al Gore was one
of many high profile US leaders at COP23, part of
the unofficial delegation, giving presentations.
Fiji’s climate conference: reviewing Bonn COP23
John Englart – Climate Action Moreland
Coal a hot topic but not on COP23 negotiating agenda
Tweet from CAN Press Conference on Nov 18
Question on Australia’s coal exports.
According to a SMH report,
President Heine of the Marshall
Islands said "we are very
disappointed in Australia", and
called for a change in Australian
government.
The Paris Agreement does not once mention
fossil fuels, and the phaseout of coal is not on
the official negotiating agenda, but it was in
the informal discussions nevertheless.
Powering Past Coal Alliance announcement
on Nov 16 lead by Canada and UK:
● 20 initial nations, 7 states and 1 city
● Hoping to have 50 members by COP24
● Current members only 3% of current global
coal use
● World’s biggest coal users/exporters have
not joined: China, India, US, Germany,
Russia & Australia
Powering Past Coal Alliance
announcement on second last day,
lead by Canada and UK, is a strong
signal that coal is increasingly
stigmatized. An October 2017 report
by Coal Swarm identified the following
in the move away from coal:
● In the main: companies rather
than states deciding to retire
coal power stations or abandon
construction plans
● Is driven by economics as
renewables become a much
cheaper energy alternative
● Additional countries, states and
businesses joined at
#OnePlanetSummit on
December 12.
Fiji’s climate conference: reviewing Bonn COP23
John Englart – Climate Action Moreland
Global shift away from Investments in coal
Australia at COP23
Fiji’s climate conference: reviewing Bonn COP23
John Englart – Climate Action Moreland
Photo: Environment Minister Josh Frydenberg delivering
Australia’s official statement to the COP
Photo: Australia’s lead negotiator Patrick Suckling
delivers opening statement at COP23 Plenary
There were 2 background briefings by the
Australian ambassador for the Environment
Patrick Suckling for Australian civil society
and NGO stakeholders.
Josh Frydenberg as Australia’s Minister for
the Environment was our ministerial
representative and delivered
Australia’s statement to the COP plenary.
Josh Frydenberg made 3 landuse related
side-event announcements by Australia in
the Bonn Zone:
● $6m to support blue carbon projects in the
Pacific region - Statement
● Sharing indigenous fire management
expertise for savannah cool burning -
Statement
● Asia-Pacific Rainforest Summit event
launch with Indonesia as the 2018 host -
website
The Climate Action Tracker assessed and rated Australia’s NDC as ‘Insufficient’, but
taking into account current climate policy action would increase this to ‘highly insufficient’.
Fiji’s climate conference: reviewing Bonn COP23
John Englart – Climate Action Moreland
How is Australia Tracking?
● 2017 CAT assessment: emissions set to far exceed Paris Agreement 2030 NDC target.
If all other countries follow Australia, warming could reach over 3°C and up to 4°C
● On the ground at the state level, public opinion (Essential, 2017), and in business
sector there is much greater ambition. Read Full Climate Action Tracker Assessment
Bill Hare: "The Australian assessment for current policies does include most of the factors you
mentioned including projected emissions increase from the ramping up of Liquified Natural Gas exports.
So that is already in the current policy projections, which as you see are going upwards not downwards.
"The issue that you refer to, increasing deforestation in one area of Australia - Queensland - those
emissions do not appear in the national accounts to our knowledge. This is a general problem in a
number of countries where deforestation reported by the scientific community or other sub-national
actors isn’t fully reflected in national accounts and this is a significant issue that the Australian
government and NGOs needs to pay attention to because that would lead to higher emissions in the
future.
"The other point about Australia, and common with New Zealand
actually, these countries have accounted for land use change and
forestry emissions credits and have added those credits to allow
higher emissions in their own policy frameworks which have permitted
ongoing increase in emissions. If this were to continue there would be
little prospect in these countries actually reducing their overall fossil
fuel and other emissions. This is a particular concern if this type of
architecture of creative accounting were to continue in other
contexts."
Fiji’s climate conference: reviewing Bonn COP23
John Englart – Climate Action Moreland
How is Australia Tracking? Climate Action Tracker Question
Question to Bill Hare, Climate Action Tracker (Video of press conference):
"I note that Australia’s rating is marked as insufficient. My question
is on Australia’s fossil fuel production from coal and LNG increasing,
and also massive land clearing in Queensland and NSW and what that
does for our contribution." - John Englart
Queensland: In 2013 the Liberal
National Party Newman Government
wound back deforestation and land
clearing legislation, with Queensland
seeing a 33% rise in land clearing which
will increase land sector emissions, so far
unreported in National Greenhouse Gas
emissions. Guardian Report.
Fiji’s climate conference: reviewing Bonn COP23
John Englart – Climate Action Moreland
How is Australia Tracking? Land Clearing emissions
Northern Territory: Since COP23, deforestation and land clearing in the Northern
Territory has recorded a ten fold increase over the last couple of years as reported by the
Guardian.
Fiji’s climate conference: reviewing Bonn COP23
John Englart – Climate Action Moreland
How is Australia Tracking? Land Clearing emissions
The Australian National Greenhouse Gas Inventory show Australia’s quarterly emissions of CO2e is at record
levels, according to the Guardian .The Environment Minister (and the NGGI reports) emphasise that per capita
emissions are falling, to distract from the growth in total emissions.
Fiji’s climate conference: reviewing Bonn COP23
John Englart – Climate Action Moreland
How is Australia Tracking? Total emissions vs targets
Australia’s pitiful 5%
reduction target for 2020
will only be met due to
the creative accounting of
Kyoto Protocol stage one
credits which Bill Hare
referred to.
Release of NGGI data on
19 December shows in
the year to June 2017
Australia’s emissions
increased 1.3 per cent.
Emissions from transport
were at record levels,
with strong increases in
the use of diesel and
aviation fuel.
The international Climate Action Network (with Climate Action
Network Australia as a local node) uses two main promotional
tools to reach out to Party delegates and media during UN
climate conferences.
The first is the ECO newsletter which is produced on a daily
basis during the conference through the assistance of a 6
member CAN volunteer editorial board each evening. It is
printed overnight and handed out to delegates outside the
entrances each morning. You seldom find a copy lying around
inside: it is pretty avidly read. You can read all the articles
published in ECO at the ECO-blog.
The second is the Fossil of the Day awards delivered at 6pm
each evening, which shames countries that do the worst in
implementation or in the negotiations. The awards were started
in 1999 in Bonn by German NGOs and has grown in statue.
Official Videos and award citations on the
CAN Fossil of the Day webpage and
Facebook Fossil of the Day Awards.
Fiji’s climate conference: reviewing Bonn COP23
John Englart – Climate Action Moreland
Climate Action Network
CAN Fossil of the Day awards:
● Fossil of the day awards (CAN website) can be
surprisingly effective, sometimes impacting
negotiations or politics in the featured country.
● USA/ the Whitehouse scored the
Colossal Fossil Award.
● Fossil awards also won by Poland, France,
Germany, Japan, Kuwait, ICAO, Norway, Brazil and
Australia
● Ray of the Day to G77 and lead negotiator from
Cuba Joel Suarez Orozco on Day 8.
Australia: won one implementation Fossil award and
shared two other Fossil awards for negotiations
blocking:
● Day 2 Nov 7: Fossil of the Day (Implementation Fossil) for
Adani mine
● Day 4 Nov 10: Fossil of the Day award citation for
Developed Countries (incl Australia) on blocking pre-2020
action, and also Fossils for Japan and Kuwait.
● Day 6 Nov 12: The US, Australia, Canada and the EU
receive the Fossil of the Day for refusing to get serious
about loss and damage finance
Fiji’s climate conference: reviewing Bonn COP23
John Englart – Climate Action Moreland
Fiji’s climate conference: reviewing Bonn COP23
John Englart – Climate Action Moreland
Presenting a Fossil of the Day award to Australian Minister
for the Environment Josh Frydenberg
“This morning (Thursday) I bumped into Josh Frydenberg
at a coffee cart at #cop23. Of course I took the liberty of
introducing myself (as you do). He commented that he
is well aware of me from twitter. (oh the fame!) I reached
into my laptop sleeve and tried to hand over Australia's
#FossilOfTheDay certificate for Adani but he refused to
accept it. But we had a cordial exchange of
disagreement nonetheless.
“I think I may have ruined his coffee stop. Oh well,
not like the Adani Carmichael mine won't ruin many
lives across the Pacific, and indeed globally with its
contribution to global emissions when the coal is burnt.
“I had gone to the official Australian reception on
Tuesday hoping to hand it to him then, but he didn't
do much meet and greeting. Instead I did a digital
presentation via twitter with this message:
“Dear @JoshFrydenberg you didn't stick around long
enough at Australian #cop23 reception last night for
me to give you the 1st #FossilOfTheDay award certificate
for Australia increasing #fosssilfuel production (esp Adani)”
- John Englart on Facebook
My third COP. Specific focus as a member of the CAN
Fossil of the Day Team, secondary focus tracking
Australia at the negotiations. I attended:
● CAN capacity building and strategy sessions
● CAN general assembly (Governance)
● CAN Fossil of the Day Committee, Facebook
Fossil Admin, Live Facebook streaming
● CAN bunkers working group
● 2 stakeholder briefings by Australian delegation,
● Umbrella negotiating group NGO constituency
meeting (I was only Aus NGO rep)
● Miscellaneous Press conferences, side events,
● Two civil society climate marches, one with 25,000
people, largest climate action protest to date in
Germany’s history.
● Published 4 articles related to COP23
● Daily updates on Facebook Fossil of the Day
Awards
●
Photos: 257 Fossil of the Day, 147 COP23, 212
climate march (All Creative commons)
● Setup Aus civil society digital workspace on Slack
Fiji’s climate conference: reviewing Bonn COP23
John Englart – Climate Action Moreland
Photo: CAN strategy and Capacity Building on Sunday prior to COP23
My Role at COP23 as an Australian Observer
Photo: Meeting and networking with UK Climate scientist Kevin Anderson
One Planet Summit in Paris, Dec 12 (1 of 2)
Pres. Emmanuel Macron: We are entering the time of action. The urgency becames permanent. (“Nous
entamons le temps de l’action. L’urgence est devenue permanente”).
President Macron called this summit for 2nd
anniversary of the Paris Agreement. It featured a range of high
profile announcements on climate finance from governments, banks, business, and investors and 12
new commitments.
Fiji’s climate conference: reviewing Bonn COP23
John Englart – Climate Action Moreland
Momentum after COP23
Momentum After COP23
One Planet Summit in Paris, Dec 12: (2 of 2)
A range of high profile announcements mainly on climate finance from
governments, banks, business, and investors.
● Powering Past Coal alliance led by the UK and Canada added Sweden
and California to its membership, plus 24 new businesses.
● 23 largest national and regional development banks agreed to align their
finance with the Paris Agreement.
● World Bank: will apply a shadow carbon price on all projects in high-
emitting sectors, stop funding oil & gas extraction from 2019.
● China by 2020: “every listed company in China must disclose information
on environmental impacts”
● French insurance giant AXA will phase out insurance for new coal
construction projects and Dutch Bank ING will end coal lending by 2025
● Global investors launched 5 year Climate Action 100+ to curb emissions,
with investors with more than US$26.3 trillion in assets.
● Mark Carney: more than 230 companies have committed to the Task Force
on Climate-related Financial Disclosures
● Global Covenant of Mayors new climate partnership with the World Bank to
invest US$4.5 billion in 150 cities around the world.
● Pres Heine pushed countries to develop 2050 Strategies, raise pre-2020
ambition, & address emissions from shipping.
● 35 countries signed up to the Tony de Brum Declaration on Shipping.
Fiji’s climate conference: reviewing Bonn COP23
John Englart – Climate Action Moreland
Negotiations Moving Forward
COP24 (2018)
● Will be in Katowice in Poland. Milestone COP.
● Will have Paris Agreement rulebook (hopefully) to consider for adoption
● Talanoa dialogue (all year) to take stock of collective efforts.
● High level ministerial on climate finance
● Stocktake on pre-2020 implementation and ambition
● IPCC special report on impacts of global warming of 1.5C.
COP25 (2019)
● Likely to be Latin America and the Caribean (Possibly Brazil)
● High level ministerial on climate finance
● Stocktake on pre-2020 implementation and ambition
COP26 (2020)
● Countries to communicate/update NDCs 9-12 months before COP
COP29 (2023)
● First global stocktake and every 5 years thereafter
Fiji’s climate conference: reviewing Bonn COP23
John Englart – Climate Action Moreland
Fiji’s climate conference: reviewing Bonn COP23
John Englart – Climate Action Moreland
Links to articles by John Englart and Andrea Bunting on COP23:
● Australia and coal at Bonn Climate conference
- Nov 2 - John Englart – Nofibs
● Largest March for Climate justice in Germany attracts 25,000 people
- Nov 5 - John Englart - Nofibs
● First Fossil award shines a ray on everyone taking #climateaction at #COP23
- Nov 7 - John Englart - Nofibs
● Activists put the heat on coal at Bonn climate talks
- Nov 9 - Andrea Bunting and John Englart – GreenLeft
Weekly
● Australia wins ‘worst’ award at Bonn climate talks
- Nov 9 - Andrea Bunting – GreenLeft Weekly
● At Bonn, Australia obstructs climate justice
- Nov 18 - Andrea Bunting – Greenleft Weekly
● US rejects climate action, plans geoengineering
- Nov 18 - Andrea Bunting - Greenleft Weekly
● The #climate journey of Kermit the Growling Grass Frog from Craigieburn to #COP23
- Nov 27 - John Englart - Nofibs
Fiji’s climate conference: reviewing Bonn COP23
John Englart – Climate Action Moreland
References:
● Heinrich Boll Institute analysis: "We will not drown, we are here to fight"
http://klima-der-gerechtigkeit.de/2017/11/22/we-will-not-drown-we-are-here-to-fight/
● Wuppertal Institute: Diplomatic Obligations Fulfilled, but Political Leadership Lacking:
https://wupperinst.org/en/a/wi/a/s/ad/4153/
● COP23 Draft decision 1/CP.23 Fiji Momentum for Implementation
http://unfccc.int/resource/docs/2017/cop23/eng/l13.pdf
● My photos on Flickr in 3 albums.
●
Thanks to CANA for selecting Andrea Bunting and myself for NGO observer accreditation.
● Thanks to Climate Action Moreland colleague Andrea Bunting for sharing insights on COP23,
collaborating on articles, some sightseeing around Cologne and Bonn, and in reviewing this
presentation.
Photo: On the Klima Demo in Bonn
with 25,000 people

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Australian report on Fiji's UN Climate conference, reviewing outcomes of COP23 in Bonn

  • 1. Fiji’s climate conference in Bonn – Reviewing COP23 John Englart – Climate Action Moreland
  • 2. Fiji’s climate conference: reviewing Bonn COP23 ● Write the Paris Agreement rulebook ● Design the 2018 Facilitative Dialogue – called the Talanoa Dialogue. This is a frank discussion between countries to enhance ambition in Nationally Determined Contributions (NDCs) ● Support for countries in the Global South already dealing with the effects of climate change John Englart – Climate Action Moreland COP23 Main Tasks: The Conference of the Parties (COP) of the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC) meets each year to advance global climate action. At COP23 under the presidency of Fiji in Bonn the main tasks were: Photo: Slide highlighting importance of Talanoa Dialogue from CAN strategy and Capacity Building session on Sunday prior to COP23
  • 3. Fiji’s climate conference: reviewing Bonn COP23 Very Slow progress on Paris Agreement rulebook but with some positive movement. “If we don't win very quickly on climate change, then we will never win. That's the core truth about global warming. It's what makes it different from every other problem our political systems have faced.” - Bill McKibben of 350.org in Rolling Stone article on 1 Dec 2017: Winning slowly is the same as losing. John Englart – Climate Action Moreland Overall assessment on COP23 Photo: Bill McKibben at COP21
  • 4. Fiji’s climate conference: reviewing Bonn COP23 ● Breakthrough in 5 year deadlock on agriculture. This area now moving forward (Devex) ● Agreement on Local Communities and Indigenous Peoples Platform ( Ecowatch | critical view ) ● Agreement on Gender Action Plan ( PDF link | UN Women ) John Englart – Climate Action Moreland COP23 had some positive outcomes: Items strongly pushed at COP23, but initially blocked by developed countries: ● Discussion of pre-2020 climate action ● Discussion of innovative Finance for Loss and Damage
  • 5. Revision (1 of 3) - Paris Agreement COP21 ● Paris Agreement first envisaged in Durban 2011 as coming into effect 2020 ● Each country sets own climate plans (Nationally Determined Contributions - NDC) ● Not legally binding, but politically binding model with peer pressure ● Ambition mechanism: each 5 years a Global Stocktake to ratchet up NDCs ● Paris Agreement came into force 4 November 2016 before COP22. In Record time for a UN treaty. ● Early entry into force took most people by surprise resulting in the Agreement timeline starting much earlier than expected. Fiji’s climate conference: reviewing Bonn COP23 John Englart – Climate Action Moreland
  • 6. Fiji’s climate conference: reviewing Bonn COP23 John Englart – Climate Action Moreland ● Keep temperatures well below 2 degrees C, strive for 1.5 degrees C (Article 2) ● Balance between emissions and sinks in second half of century (Article 4) ● Global peaking of Green House Gases ASAP (Article 4) (Global Carbon Budget shows a projected 2% rise in emissions for 2017 after plateauing for 3 years.) ● 2016 hottest year on record with 1.2 degrees C warming from pre-industrial times. Global Average temperature for February-March 2016 spiked at 1.5 degrees C Sources: Decision COP.21 /Paris Agreement, Global Carbon Budget Nov2017 Revision (2 of 3): Paris Agreement - Targets
  • 7. Fiji’s climate conference: reviewing Bonn COP23 John Englart – Climate Action Moreland Revision (3 of 3): Paris Agreement – Emissions Gap ● Current policies on track for 3.6 – 4.9 degrees C by 2100 ● NDCs, many conditional, add up to 2.8 – 3.5 degrees C of warming by 2100 ● Only Morocco and The Gambia rated as compatible with 1.5 degrees C target. Bhutan, Costa Rica, Ethiopia, India, Philippines rated sufficient for 2 degrees C Paris Agreement target. ● Importance of ambition mechanism and and non-state action to close this gap. Talanoa Dialogue in 2018 and reviews of pre-2020 action in 2018 and 2019 important for enhancing trust for increasing ambition in NDCs. Source: http://climateactiontracker.org/
  • 8. Fiji’s climate conference: reviewing Bonn COP23 John Englart – Climate Action Moreland Bonn was always going to be a ‘technical’ COP With Fiji holding the COP presidency there was a substantial push for pre-2020 action (revisiting Durban 2nd workstream) and finance for Loss and Damage on the agenda. After initial developed country blocking, some progress was made on both these issues. Fiji marked its leadership by the design of the Talanoa dialog process for 2018, widely seen as a trial run of 2023 Global Stocktake process. Main COP23 decision – known as the Fiji Momentum for Implementation – contains three elements: ● a call for enhanced Pre-2020 Implementation and Ambition, ● a reiteration of the Paris Agreement Work Programme, ● and the design of the Facilitative Dialogue, rebranded by Fiji as the Talanoa Dialogue.
  • 9. Progress was very slow on the Paris rulebook (1 of 3). The Paris Agreement rulebook includes transparency and carbon accounting framework measures, methodologies, modalities in NDCs, and work on ● International market mechanism, ● Technology mechanism, ● Global stocktake, ● Compliance mechanism ● Adaptation framework ● Loss and Damage framework Outcome: "Bonn failed to set the scene for Katowice. A lot of work will need to be done next year to get the text on the implementation rules to the point where it is ready for adoption," - explained Professor Manfred Fischedick, Vice-President of the Wuppertal Institute. Fiji’s climate conference: reviewing Bonn COP23 John Englart – Climate Action Moreland
  • 10. Progress was very slow on the Paris rulebook (2 of 3). There were 30 action items mandated for discussion at COP23. See how their status changed at negotiations tracking on ParisAgreement.org Fiji’s climate conference: reviewing Bonn COP23 John Englart – Climate Action Moreland
  • 11. Progress was very slow on the Paris rulebook (3 of 3) By the end of the conference of the 30 action items: ● 2 were resolved ● 6 had clean draft decisions ● 22 pushed to COP24 for a decision Fiji’s climate conference: reviewing Bonn COP23 John Englart – Climate Action Moreland
  • 12. Fiji’s climate conference: reviewing Bonn COP23 John Englart – Climate Action Moreland Pre-2020 Action Outcome: reviews to be undertaken at COP24 in 2018 and COP25 in 2019. Pre-2020 action was a second workstream of the Durban platform at COP17 in 2011. At COP23 developed nations including Australia were initially blocking discussion of pre-2020 action as part of the COP agenda, and received a Fossil of the Day award on Day 4 for such action. During the second week, on Wednesday 15 November, the stalemate broke, with a resolution which answered key demands from developing countries and embeds a process of reviewing and enhancing pre-2020 actions over the next two years. This includes a “stock-taking” session at COP24 in 2018 and again at COP25 in 2019, to track and report on the progress of developed countries’ pre- 2020 commitments to reduce emissions and to provide finance and technology to support developing countries. UNFCCC Secretariat to prepare official reports on those stock-taking sessions.
  • 13. Fiji’s climate conference: reviewing Bonn COP23 John Englart – Climate Action Moreland Financing Loss and Damage Climate Action Moreland was one of more than 50 organisations calling for a climate damages tax on oil, gas and coal production. See our Article Outcome: Very weak. An expert dialogue for 2018 to explore how finance might be secured. There were calls to discuss innovative finance such as a Climate Damages Tax on the Fossil Fuel Carbon majors, but discussion was essentially blocked by the Umbrella Group, with a late concession in the negotiations. “The final decision on Loss and Damage is hopelessly weak. It includes no permanent agenda item for implementing “action and support,” only “encourages” parties to make available sufficient resources for the operation of the executive committee, and merely “encourages” the executive committee to mobilize and secure finance. “The sole tangible action is an “expert dialogue” in 2018 to explore how finance might be secured.” - Don Lehr, Lili Fuhr, Liane Schalatek from Heinrich Boll Institute article.
  • 14. Outcome: Successful design of a facilitative dialogue in 2018 to enhance trust and start the ambition process. It will be called the Talanoa Dialogue, taking its name from a non judgemental, transparent and inclusive political process of political discussion used in Fiji and many Pacific cultures. This is widely seen as a trial run for the Global Stocktake (GST) due to be done in 2023 as part of the formal Paris Agreement ambition process. Fiji’s climate conference: reviewing Bonn COP23 John Englart – Climate Action Moreland Talanoa Dialogue (1 of 2)
  • 15. The Talanoa dialogue is structured around three general topics: ● Where are we? ● Where do we want to go? and ● How do we get there? IPCC Special Report on global warming target of 1.5°C will inform the dialogue in October 2018. Fiji’s climate conference: reviewing Bonn COP23 John Englart – Climate Action Moreland Talanoa Dialogue (2 of 2)
  • 16. The decision on pre-2020 action reviews and the Talanoa Dialogue together create an ongoing series of dialogues and reviews to enhance pre-2020 action, which will hopefully build enhanced trust to increase ambition for both mitigation and support in the post-2020 period. Fiji’s climate conference: reviewing Bonn COP23 John Englart – Climate Action Moreland Talanoa Dialogue and Pre-2020 Action
  • 17. Fiji’s climate conference: reviewing Bonn COP23 John Englart – Climate Action Moreland Agriculture: After 5 years of deadlock a breakthrough Photo: @KA_Nicholas: Alon Shepon: animal products very inefficient. Only 3% beef feed ends up on our plates. After 5 years of stalling by developed nations, early in the second week saw a breakthrough on Agriculture. Agricultural emissions make up 19 - 29 per cent of global total emissions. UNFCCC subsidiary bodies are empowered to “jointly address issues related to agriculture, including through workshops and expert meetings,” and to take “into consideration the vulnerabilities of agriculture to climate change and approaches to addressing food security.” Submissions process will be open for civil society and observer contributions. “Negotiators working on agriculture must now get their heads around the high and ever-increasing emissions from industrial meat production. Commitments to keep global temperatures from rising above 1.5°C or even 2°C will not be possible without addressing the staggering emissions from the meat and dairy industry.” - Heinrich Boll Institute
  • 18. COP23 was divided up into two separate accreditation zones: the Bula Zone where all the negotiation meetings, plenaries, and press conferences took place; and the Bonn Zone with all the country pavillions, exhibitions, talks and side events. A distance of 1.4 kilometres separated the two zones, with E-vehicles and free bike hire available for traveling between the zones, although it still took 20-30 minutes to travel between zones when you factored in security. The Bonn Zone had a real buzz underscoring that at the sub-national level there is a lot of activity happening. "Far more ambitious targets are already being pursued and greater investments are being made in implementation activities at many levels compared to those at the respective national levels. Making these transparent has a great knock-on effect." says Manfred Fischedick, Vice-President of the Wuppertal Institute. My opinion: While having one conference with two zones may be seen as making life easier for the UNFCCC, it actually complicated communication, co-ordination and activities of civil society observers. It dissipated energy of CAN members between two zones, and made the democratic engagement process of CAN observers much more difficult. Fiji’s climate conference: reviewing Bonn COP23 John Englart – Climate Action Moreland COP23: One COP two conferences
  • 19. The USA is the only country to have signaled they will withdraw from the Paris Agreement. This will take 4 years, and in the meantime they are entitled to participate in negotiations. The USA played a very low key role in formal negotiations, but stood with other developed countries (Umbrella Group) in blocking COP agenda items on pre-2020 action, and loss and damage finance. One state: two delegations. US organised one official side event on promoting coal and nuclear which was protested by civil society and widely seen as irrelevant. Non state actors – states, cities and businesses established a Climate Action Centre providing a high profile alternative narrative of #WeAreStillIn action from the US. Fiji’s climate conference: reviewing Bonn COP23 John Englart – Climate Action Moreland USA at Bonn: official and unofficial delegations Photo: Former US Vice President Al Gore was one of many high profile US leaders at COP23, part of the unofficial delegation, giving presentations.
  • 20. Fiji’s climate conference: reviewing Bonn COP23 John Englart – Climate Action Moreland Coal a hot topic but not on COP23 negotiating agenda Tweet from CAN Press Conference on Nov 18 Question on Australia’s coal exports. According to a SMH report, President Heine of the Marshall Islands said "we are very disappointed in Australia", and called for a change in Australian government. The Paris Agreement does not once mention fossil fuels, and the phaseout of coal is not on the official negotiating agenda, but it was in the informal discussions nevertheless. Powering Past Coal Alliance announcement on Nov 16 lead by Canada and UK: ● 20 initial nations, 7 states and 1 city ● Hoping to have 50 members by COP24 ● Current members only 3% of current global coal use ● World’s biggest coal users/exporters have not joined: China, India, US, Germany, Russia & Australia
  • 21. Powering Past Coal Alliance announcement on second last day, lead by Canada and UK, is a strong signal that coal is increasingly stigmatized. An October 2017 report by Coal Swarm identified the following in the move away from coal: ● In the main: companies rather than states deciding to retire coal power stations or abandon construction plans ● Is driven by economics as renewables become a much cheaper energy alternative ● Additional countries, states and businesses joined at #OnePlanetSummit on December 12. Fiji’s climate conference: reviewing Bonn COP23 John Englart – Climate Action Moreland Global shift away from Investments in coal
  • 22. Australia at COP23 Fiji’s climate conference: reviewing Bonn COP23 John Englart – Climate Action Moreland Photo: Environment Minister Josh Frydenberg delivering Australia’s official statement to the COP Photo: Australia’s lead negotiator Patrick Suckling delivers opening statement at COP23 Plenary There were 2 background briefings by the Australian ambassador for the Environment Patrick Suckling for Australian civil society and NGO stakeholders. Josh Frydenberg as Australia’s Minister for the Environment was our ministerial representative and delivered Australia’s statement to the COP plenary. Josh Frydenberg made 3 landuse related side-event announcements by Australia in the Bonn Zone: ● $6m to support blue carbon projects in the Pacific region - Statement ● Sharing indigenous fire management expertise for savannah cool burning - Statement ● Asia-Pacific Rainforest Summit event launch with Indonesia as the 2018 host - website
  • 23. The Climate Action Tracker assessed and rated Australia’s NDC as ‘Insufficient’, but taking into account current climate policy action would increase this to ‘highly insufficient’. Fiji’s climate conference: reviewing Bonn COP23 John Englart – Climate Action Moreland How is Australia Tracking? ● 2017 CAT assessment: emissions set to far exceed Paris Agreement 2030 NDC target. If all other countries follow Australia, warming could reach over 3°C and up to 4°C ● On the ground at the state level, public opinion (Essential, 2017), and in business sector there is much greater ambition. Read Full Climate Action Tracker Assessment
  • 24. Bill Hare: "The Australian assessment for current policies does include most of the factors you mentioned including projected emissions increase from the ramping up of Liquified Natural Gas exports. So that is already in the current policy projections, which as you see are going upwards not downwards. "The issue that you refer to, increasing deforestation in one area of Australia - Queensland - those emissions do not appear in the national accounts to our knowledge. This is a general problem in a number of countries where deforestation reported by the scientific community or other sub-national actors isn’t fully reflected in national accounts and this is a significant issue that the Australian government and NGOs needs to pay attention to because that would lead to higher emissions in the future. "The other point about Australia, and common with New Zealand actually, these countries have accounted for land use change and forestry emissions credits and have added those credits to allow higher emissions in their own policy frameworks which have permitted ongoing increase in emissions. If this were to continue there would be little prospect in these countries actually reducing their overall fossil fuel and other emissions. This is a particular concern if this type of architecture of creative accounting were to continue in other contexts." Fiji’s climate conference: reviewing Bonn COP23 John Englart – Climate Action Moreland How is Australia Tracking? Climate Action Tracker Question Question to Bill Hare, Climate Action Tracker (Video of press conference): "I note that Australia’s rating is marked as insufficient. My question is on Australia’s fossil fuel production from coal and LNG increasing, and also massive land clearing in Queensland and NSW and what that does for our contribution." - John Englart
  • 25. Queensland: In 2013 the Liberal National Party Newman Government wound back deforestation and land clearing legislation, with Queensland seeing a 33% rise in land clearing which will increase land sector emissions, so far unreported in National Greenhouse Gas emissions. Guardian Report. Fiji’s climate conference: reviewing Bonn COP23 John Englart – Climate Action Moreland How is Australia Tracking? Land Clearing emissions
  • 26. Northern Territory: Since COP23, deforestation and land clearing in the Northern Territory has recorded a ten fold increase over the last couple of years as reported by the Guardian. Fiji’s climate conference: reviewing Bonn COP23 John Englart – Climate Action Moreland How is Australia Tracking? Land Clearing emissions
  • 27. The Australian National Greenhouse Gas Inventory show Australia’s quarterly emissions of CO2e is at record levels, according to the Guardian .The Environment Minister (and the NGGI reports) emphasise that per capita emissions are falling, to distract from the growth in total emissions. Fiji’s climate conference: reviewing Bonn COP23 John Englart – Climate Action Moreland How is Australia Tracking? Total emissions vs targets Australia’s pitiful 5% reduction target for 2020 will only be met due to the creative accounting of Kyoto Protocol stage one credits which Bill Hare referred to. Release of NGGI data on 19 December shows in the year to June 2017 Australia’s emissions increased 1.3 per cent. Emissions from transport were at record levels, with strong increases in the use of diesel and aviation fuel.
  • 28. The international Climate Action Network (with Climate Action Network Australia as a local node) uses two main promotional tools to reach out to Party delegates and media during UN climate conferences. The first is the ECO newsletter which is produced on a daily basis during the conference through the assistance of a 6 member CAN volunteer editorial board each evening. It is printed overnight and handed out to delegates outside the entrances each morning. You seldom find a copy lying around inside: it is pretty avidly read. You can read all the articles published in ECO at the ECO-blog. The second is the Fossil of the Day awards delivered at 6pm each evening, which shames countries that do the worst in implementation or in the negotiations. The awards were started in 1999 in Bonn by German NGOs and has grown in statue. Official Videos and award citations on the CAN Fossil of the Day webpage and Facebook Fossil of the Day Awards. Fiji’s climate conference: reviewing Bonn COP23 John Englart – Climate Action Moreland Climate Action Network
  • 29. CAN Fossil of the Day awards: ● Fossil of the day awards (CAN website) can be surprisingly effective, sometimes impacting negotiations or politics in the featured country. ● USA/ the Whitehouse scored the Colossal Fossil Award. ● Fossil awards also won by Poland, France, Germany, Japan, Kuwait, ICAO, Norway, Brazil and Australia ● Ray of the Day to G77 and lead negotiator from Cuba Joel Suarez Orozco on Day 8. Australia: won one implementation Fossil award and shared two other Fossil awards for negotiations blocking: ● Day 2 Nov 7: Fossil of the Day (Implementation Fossil) for Adani mine ● Day 4 Nov 10: Fossil of the Day award citation for Developed Countries (incl Australia) on blocking pre-2020 action, and also Fossils for Japan and Kuwait. ● Day 6 Nov 12: The US, Australia, Canada and the EU receive the Fossil of the Day for refusing to get serious about loss and damage finance Fiji’s climate conference: reviewing Bonn COP23 John Englart – Climate Action Moreland
  • 30. Fiji’s climate conference: reviewing Bonn COP23 John Englart – Climate Action Moreland Presenting a Fossil of the Day award to Australian Minister for the Environment Josh Frydenberg “This morning (Thursday) I bumped into Josh Frydenberg at a coffee cart at #cop23. Of course I took the liberty of introducing myself (as you do). He commented that he is well aware of me from twitter. (oh the fame!) I reached into my laptop sleeve and tried to hand over Australia's #FossilOfTheDay certificate for Adani but he refused to accept it. But we had a cordial exchange of disagreement nonetheless. “I think I may have ruined his coffee stop. Oh well, not like the Adani Carmichael mine won't ruin many lives across the Pacific, and indeed globally with its contribution to global emissions when the coal is burnt. “I had gone to the official Australian reception on Tuesday hoping to hand it to him then, but he didn't do much meet and greeting. Instead I did a digital presentation via twitter with this message: “Dear @JoshFrydenberg you didn't stick around long enough at Australian #cop23 reception last night for me to give you the 1st #FossilOfTheDay award certificate for Australia increasing #fosssilfuel production (esp Adani)” - John Englart on Facebook
  • 31. My third COP. Specific focus as a member of the CAN Fossil of the Day Team, secondary focus tracking Australia at the negotiations. I attended: ● CAN capacity building and strategy sessions ● CAN general assembly (Governance) ● CAN Fossil of the Day Committee, Facebook Fossil Admin, Live Facebook streaming ● CAN bunkers working group ● 2 stakeholder briefings by Australian delegation, ● Umbrella negotiating group NGO constituency meeting (I was only Aus NGO rep) ● Miscellaneous Press conferences, side events, ● Two civil society climate marches, one with 25,000 people, largest climate action protest to date in Germany’s history. ● Published 4 articles related to COP23 ● Daily updates on Facebook Fossil of the Day Awards ● Photos: 257 Fossil of the Day, 147 COP23, 212 climate march (All Creative commons) ● Setup Aus civil society digital workspace on Slack Fiji’s climate conference: reviewing Bonn COP23 John Englart – Climate Action Moreland Photo: CAN strategy and Capacity Building on Sunday prior to COP23 My Role at COP23 as an Australian Observer Photo: Meeting and networking with UK Climate scientist Kevin Anderson
  • 32. One Planet Summit in Paris, Dec 12 (1 of 2) Pres. Emmanuel Macron: We are entering the time of action. The urgency becames permanent. (“Nous entamons le temps de l’action. L’urgence est devenue permanente”). President Macron called this summit for 2nd anniversary of the Paris Agreement. It featured a range of high profile announcements on climate finance from governments, banks, business, and investors and 12 new commitments. Fiji’s climate conference: reviewing Bonn COP23 John Englart – Climate Action Moreland Momentum after COP23
  • 33. Momentum After COP23 One Planet Summit in Paris, Dec 12: (2 of 2) A range of high profile announcements mainly on climate finance from governments, banks, business, and investors. ● Powering Past Coal alliance led by the UK and Canada added Sweden and California to its membership, plus 24 new businesses. ● 23 largest national and regional development banks agreed to align their finance with the Paris Agreement. ● World Bank: will apply a shadow carbon price on all projects in high- emitting sectors, stop funding oil & gas extraction from 2019. ● China by 2020: “every listed company in China must disclose information on environmental impacts” ● French insurance giant AXA will phase out insurance for new coal construction projects and Dutch Bank ING will end coal lending by 2025 ● Global investors launched 5 year Climate Action 100+ to curb emissions, with investors with more than US$26.3 trillion in assets. ● Mark Carney: more than 230 companies have committed to the Task Force on Climate-related Financial Disclosures ● Global Covenant of Mayors new climate partnership with the World Bank to invest US$4.5 billion in 150 cities around the world. ● Pres Heine pushed countries to develop 2050 Strategies, raise pre-2020 ambition, & address emissions from shipping. ● 35 countries signed up to the Tony de Brum Declaration on Shipping. Fiji’s climate conference: reviewing Bonn COP23 John Englart – Climate Action Moreland
  • 34. Negotiations Moving Forward COP24 (2018) ● Will be in Katowice in Poland. Milestone COP. ● Will have Paris Agreement rulebook (hopefully) to consider for adoption ● Talanoa dialogue (all year) to take stock of collective efforts. ● High level ministerial on climate finance ● Stocktake on pre-2020 implementation and ambition ● IPCC special report on impacts of global warming of 1.5C. COP25 (2019) ● Likely to be Latin America and the Caribean (Possibly Brazil) ● High level ministerial on climate finance ● Stocktake on pre-2020 implementation and ambition COP26 (2020) ● Countries to communicate/update NDCs 9-12 months before COP COP29 (2023) ● First global stocktake and every 5 years thereafter Fiji’s climate conference: reviewing Bonn COP23 John Englart – Climate Action Moreland
  • 35. Fiji’s climate conference: reviewing Bonn COP23 John Englart – Climate Action Moreland Links to articles by John Englart and Andrea Bunting on COP23: ● Australia and coal at Bonn Climate conference - Nov 2 - John Englart – Nofibs ● Largest March for Climate justice in Germany attracts 25,000 people - Nov 5 - John Englart - Nofibs ● First Fossil award shines a ray on everyone taking #climateaction at #COP23 - Nov 7 - John Englart - Nofibs ● Activists put the heat on coal at Bonn climate talks - Nov 9 - Andrea Bunting and John Englart – GreenLeft Weekly ● Australia wins ‘worst’ award at Bonn climate talks - Nov 9 - Andrea Bunting – GreenLeft Weekly ● At Bonn, Australia obstructs climate justice - Nov 18 - Andrea Bunting – Greenleft Weekly ● US rejects climate action, plans geoengineering - Nov 18 - Andrea Bunting - Greenleft Weekly ● The #climate journey of Kermit the Growling Grass Frog from Craigieburn to #COP23 - Nov 27 - John Englart - Nofibs
  • 36. Fiji’s climate conference: reviewing Bonn COP23 John Englart – Climate Action Moreland References: ● Heinrich Boll Institute analysis: "We will not drown, we are here to fight" http://klima-der-gerechtigkeit.de/2017/11/22/we-will-not-drown-we-are-here-to-fight/ ● Wuppertal Institute: Diplomatic Obligations Fulfilled, but Political Leadership Lacking: https://wupperinst.org/en/a/wi/a/s/ad/4153/ ● COP23 Draft decision 1/CP.23 Fiji Momentum for Implementation http://unfccc.int/resource/docs/2017/cop23/eng/l13.pdf ● My photos on Flickr in 3 albums. ● Thanks to CANA for selecting Andrea Bunting and myself for NGO observer accreditation. ● Thanks to Climate Action Moreland colleague Andrea Bunting for sharing insights on COP23, collaborating on articles, some sightseeing around Cologne and Bonn, and in reviewing this presentation. Photo: On the Klima Demo in Bonn with 25,000 people

Editor's Notes

  1. In November 2016 I traveled to Marrakech, in Morocco, to attend the COP22 climate conference of the UNFCCC, as an NGO delegate representing Climate Action Moreland and the Climate Action Network Australia.
  2. Two weeks of conference negotiations, including high level ministerial segment in the second week.
  3. Two weeks of conference negotiations, including high level ministerial segment in the second week.
  4. Two weeks of conference negotiations, including high level ministerial segment in the second week.
  5. Some History and revision on the Paris Agreement.
  6. Paris Agreement Targets. We are already getting close to the lower temperature target set in Paris. It may already be out of reach. 2C may also be just a slim window now.See Copernicus media release 5 Jan 2017: Earth on the edge: Record breaking 2016 was close to 1.5°C warming
  7. Emissions Gap: Current policies have us on track for 3.6C – 4.9C by 2100 NDCs, many conditional, add up to 2.8C – 3.5C of warming by 2100 5 nations ‘sufficient’: Morocco, Costa Rica, Ethiopia, Bhutan, The Gambia Importance of ambition mechanism to close this gap. Source: http://climateactiontracker.org/
  8. Marrakech opened with momentum Montreal Protocol Kilgali amendment on HFC gases – saving up to 0.5C by 2100 International Civil Aviation Organisation (ICAO) carbon offsets scheme (CORSIA) from 2020 Cities, businesses , regional governments, and other non-state actors step up action
  9. Risks:It may motivate other countries to slow or stop action. It throws in doubt the essential climate finance commitment of $100 million pa by 2020 roadmap
  10. Risks:It may motivate other countries to slow or stop action. It throws in doubt the essential climate finance commitment of $100 million pa by 2020 roadmap
  11. Risks:It may motivate other countries to slow or stop action. It throws in doubt the essential climate finance commitment of $100 million pa by 2020 roadmap
  12. Australia’s official announcement of ratification of Paris Agreement and Kyoto Protocol Doha amendment brought some hope (and even a cheer or two) after the US election result.It provided a moment of reflection that there is still momentum with the Paris Accord.
  13. Risks:It may motivate other countries to slow or stop action. It throws in doubt the essential climate finance commitment of $100 million pa by 2020 roadmap
  14. Risks:It may motivate other countries to slow or stop action. It throws in doubt the essential climate finance commitment of $100 million pa by 2020 roadmap
  15. Risks:It may motivate other countries to slow or stop action. It throws in doubt the essential climate finance commitment of $100 million pa by 2020 roadmap
  16. Risks:It may motivate other countries to slow or stop action. It throws in doubt the essential climate finance commitment of $100 million pa by 2020 roadmap
  17. Risks:It may motivate other countries to slow or stop action. It throws in doubt the essential climate finance commitment of $100 million pa by 2020 roadmap
  18. I attended all Fossil of the Day awards, and assisted CAN in the operations involved.
  19. I attended all Fossil of the Day awards, and assisted CAN in the operations involved.
  20. I attended all Fossil of the Day awards, and assisted CAN in the operations involved.
  21. As an NGO delegate part of the CAN International network I stepped up my contribution as part of this network
  22. Divestment: Doubled US$5 trillion in assets by December 2016. (Source: Report by Arabella Advisors https://www.arabellaadvisors.com/wp-content/uploads/2016/12/Global_Divestment_Report_2016.pdf California: Governor Brown on West Coast Leaders statement: https://www.gov.ca.gov/news.php?id=19606 Governor Brown at AGU16: "We will persevere" https://www.gov.ca.gov/news.php?id=19629 ) https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kWSgncpqWtE China: China emerges as global climate leader (Source: http://e360.yale.edu/feature/with_trump_china_stands_along_as_global_climate_leader/3057/ India: India plans 57 percent of electricity capacity from non-fossil fuels by 2027. Promised 40% by 2030 in Paris. Influx of private capital both domestic and international, to meet this new target. This effectively makes 50GW of coal projects under planning or development effectively stranded.(Source: The Guardian https://www.theguardian.com/world/2016/dec/21/india-renewable-energy-paris-climate-summit-target The next big climate battle starts in India https://www.bloomberg.com/view/articles/2016-12-23/the-next-big-climate-change-battle-starts-in-india Report of UK climate scientist Kevin Anderson on Hope trumping despair https://manchesterclimatemonthly.net/2017/01/10/event-report-kevin-anderson-on-informed-hope-trumping-despair/ Barack Obama, 9 Jan 2017, Science, The irreversible momentum of clean energy. DOI: 10.1126/science.aam6284 http://science.sciencemag.org/content/early/2017/01/06/science.aam6284.full
  23. Divestment: Doubled US$5 trillion in assets by December 2016. (Source: Report by Arabella Advisors https://www.arabellaadvisors.com/wp-content/uploads/2016/12/Global_Divestment_Report_2016.pdf California: Governor Brown on West Coast Leaders statement: https://www.gov.ca.gov/news.php?id=19606 Governor Brown at AGU16: "We will persevere" https://www.gov.ca.gov/news.php?id=19629 ) https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kWSgncpqWtE China: China emerges as global climate leader (Source: http://e360.yale.edu/feature/with_trump_china_stands_along_as_global_climate_leader/3057/ India: India plans 57 percent of electricity capacity from non-fossil fuels by 2027. Promised 40% by 2030 in Paris. Influx of private capital both domestic and international, to meet this new target. This effectively makes 50GW of coal projects under planning or development effectively stranded.(Source: The Guardian https://www.theguardian.com/world/2016/dec/21/india-renewable-energy-paris-climate-summit-target The next big climate battle starts in India https://www.bloomberg.com/view/articles/2016-12-23/the-next-big-climate-change-battle-starts-in-india Report of UK climate scientist Kevin Anderson on Hope trumping despair https://manchesterclimatemonthly.net/2017/01/10/event-report-kevin-anderson-on-informed-hope-trumping-despair/ Barack Obama, 9 Jan 2017, Science, The irreversible momentum of clean energy. DOI: 10.1126/science.aam6284 http://science.sciencemag.org/content/early/2017/01/06/science.aam6284.full
  24. Quick rundown of the focus of some future COPs