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SAMPLE SIZE DETERMINATION
Michael J. Mahande,
EAB Department KCMU-College
1
PRESENTATION OUTLINE
□ Introduction
□ Terms associated with sample size
determination
□ Sample size determination
2
INTRODUCTION
■ Sample size is determination is
important in ensuring validity of the
findings in quantitative researches
■ Also, there are scientific, ethical, and
economic reasons for determining
sample size in studies
Scientific Reasons
■ In a trial with negative results and a
sufficient sample size, the result is
concrete
■ In a trial with negative results and
insufficient power (insufficient sample
size), may mistakenly conclude that
the treatment under study made no
difference
Ethical Reasons
■ An undersized study can expose
subjects to potentially harmful
treatments without the capability to
advance knowledge
■ An oversized study has the potential to
expose an unnecessarily large number
of subjects to potentially harmful
treatments
Economic Reasons
■ Undersized study is a waste of
resources due to its inability to yield
useful results
■ Oversized study may result in
statistically significant result with
doubtful clinical importance leading to
waste of resources
7
TERMS ASSOCIATED WITH SAMPLE
SIZE AND SAMPLING
□ Study population
□ Sample population
□ Sampling
□ Precision
□ Confidence level
□ Power of the study
8
Definitions of terms-1
□ Study population
■ A group of subjects to which we would
like to make inferences
□ Sample population
■ A subset of study population selected to
participate in the research when the
whole study population cannot be
reached
9
Study population
Sample
Sample
10
Definition of terms-2
□ Sampling
A process of selecting a sample
□ Precision
A measure of how close an estimate from the
sample is to the true value of a population
parameter
□ Confidence level
The probability that an estimate of a
population parameter is within certain
specified limits of the true value
11
Definition of terms-3
□ Power
The probability of detecting an association
given that an association exist
Power = 1-(type II error)
■ Normally set at least 0.8, meaning that there
is 20% chance that we will fail to detect the
real association
12
SAMPLE SIZE DETERMINATION
□ Very few studies use the whole population
(Census)
□ Most studies use a subset of a population
(Sample)
□ How big should a sample be?
■ Too large or too little sample is unethical:
□ Too large: waste resources
□ Too little: Inconclusive results
NB: If you intend to use the whole population,
then you don’t need to determine a sample
13
Two types of sample sizes
□ Desirable – calculated using
standard formulae
□ Feasible – not calculated, depends
on available resources (human,
time, money transport)
■ Eventual sample size – compromise
between desirable and feasible
14
Desirable sample size
□ Determined by standard formulae
□ There are formulae depending on:
■ Aim of study
■ Nature of study
15
Aim of the study
Study aim could be:
□ Estimating a population proportion
with specified precision
□ Hypothesis testing
16
Nature of study
Nature of studies could be:
■ One sample situation
■ Two sample situation
■ Cohort
■ Case-control
■ Intervention
Each of these have different formulae
for determining sample size
17
Factors to consider in determining sample
size
□ Power
□ Precision
□ Confidence level
□ Type and size of parameter being
estimated
□ Size of the population
Steps to calculate sample size
□ Consider the nature of the study
□ Identify major study variables/outcomes
□ Determine the type of estimate (e.g.
proportion, mean, rate, ratio)
□ Chose desirable precision of the
estimate
□ Choose desirable confidence level
□ Use appropriate formula to calculate
□ Adjust for expected response rate
18
Identify major study variables/outcomes
□ A study may have more than one
major variable/outcome
□ Separate sample size calculation
should be done for each important
variable/outcome & then use the
max. estimate
19
Adjusting for expected response rate
□ Not all subjects who are selected will
agree to participate
■ Thus, need to increase sample size to
account for non-response
■ Multiply non-response rate by the
obtained sample size, then add this
number to the sample size get the
ultimate sample
20
21
Note that
□ Sample size calculation gives you the minimum
you require
□ Sample size determination formulae are
available in statistics books
□ There are computer softwares to aid calculating
sample sizes e.g. EPI info
□ It is advisable to consult a statistician if
available

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SAMPLE SIZE.pptx

  • 1. SAMPLE SIZE DETERMINATION Michael J. Mahande, EAB Department KCMU-College 1
  • 2. PRESENTATION OUTLINE □ Introduction □ Terms associated with sample size determination □ Sample size determination 2
  • 3. INTRODUCTION ■ Sample size is determination is important in ensuring validity of the findings in quantitative researches ■ Also, there are scientific, ethical, and economic reasons for determining sample size in studies
  • 4. Scientific Reasons ■ In a trial with negative results and a sufficient sample size, the result is concrete ■ In a trial with negative results and insufficient power (insufficient sample size), may mistakenly conclude that the treatment under study made no difference
  • 5. Ethical Reasons ■ An undersized study can expose subjects to potentially harmful treatments without the capability to advance knowledge ■ An oversized study has the potential to expose an unnecessarily large number of subjects to potentially harmful treatments
  • 6. Economic Reasons ■ Undersized study is a waste of resources due to its inability to yield useful results ■ Oversized study may result in statistically significant result with doubtful clinical importance leading to waste of resources
  • 7. 7 TERMS ASSOCIATED WITH SAMPLE SIZE AND SAMPLING □ Study population □ Sample population □ Sampling □ Precision □ Confidence level □ Power of the study
  • 8. 8 Definitions of terms-1 □ Study population ■ A group of subjects to which we would like to make inferences □ Sample population ■ A subset of study population selected to participate in the research when the whole study population cannot be reached
  • 10. 10 Definition of terms-2 □ Sampling A process of selecting a sample □ Precision A measure of how close an estimate from the sample is to the true value of a population parameter □ Confidence level The probability that an estimate of a population parameter is within certain specified limits of the true value
  • 11. 11 Definition of terms-3 □ Power The probability of detecting an association given that an association exist Power = 1-(type II error) ■ Normally set at least 0.8, meaning that there is 20% chance that we will fail to detect the real association
  • 12. 12 SAMPLE SIZE DETERMINATION □ Very few studies use the whole population (Census) □ Most studies use a subset of a population (Sample) □ How big should a sample be? ■ Too large or too little sample is unethical: □ Too large: waste resources □ Too little: Inconclusive results NB: If you intend to use the whole population, then you don’t need to determine a sample
  • 13. 13 Two types of sample sizes □ Desirable – calculated using standard formulae □ Feasible – not calculated, depends on available resources (human, time, money transport) ■ Eventual sample size – compromise between desirable and feasible
  • 14. 14 Desirable sample size □ Determined by standard formulae □ There are formulae depending on: ■ Aim of study ■ Nature of study
  • 15. 15 Aim of the study Study aim could be: □ Estimating a population proportion with specified precision □ Hypothesis testing
  • 16. 16 Nature of study Nature of studies could be: ■ One sample situation ■ Two sample situation ■ Cohort ■ Case-control ■ Intervention Each of these have different formulae for determining sample size
  • 17. 17 Factors to consider in determining sample size □ Power □ Precision □ Confidence level □ Type and size of parameter being estimated □ Size of the population
  • 18. Steps to calculate sample size □ Consider the nature of the study □ Identify major study variables/outcomes □ Determine the type of estimate (e.g. proportion, mean, rate, ratio) □ Chose desirable precision of the estimate □ Choose desirable confidence level □ Use appropriate formula to calculate □ Adjust for expected response rate 18
  • 19. Identify major study variables/outcomes □ A study may have more than one major variable/outcome □ Separate sample size calculation should be done for each important variable/outcome & then use the max. estimate 19
  • 20. Adjusting for expected response rate □ Not all subjects who are selected will agree to participate ■ Thus, need to increase sample size to account for non-response ■ Multiply non-response rate by the obtained sample size, then add this number to the sample size get the ultimate sample 20
  • 21. 21 Note that □ Sample size calculation gives you the minimum you require □ Sample size determination formulae are available in statistics books □ There are computer softwares to aid calculating sample sizes e.g. EPI info □ It is advisable to consult a statistician if available