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International Journal of Business and Management Invention
ISSN (Online): 2319 – 8028, ISSN (Print): 2319 – 801X
www.ijbmi.org || Volume 5 Issue 11 || November. 2016 || PP—136-142
www.ijbmi.org 136 | Page
Performance Evaluation of Selected Open – Ended Mutual Funds
in India
S.Masiperiyannan1
, Dr.Mohanamani.P,
1
Student, KCT.Buisness School, Kumaraguru College of Technology, Coimbatore -49.
2
Assistant Professor, KCT.Buisness School, Kumaraguru College of Technology,
Performance Evaluation of Selected Open – Ended Mutual Funds in India
Abstract: A mutual fund is a trust that pools the savings of a number of investors who share a common
financial goal. The money thus collected is then invested in capital market instruments such as shares,
debentures and other securities. The income earned through these investments and the capital appreciation
realized is shared by its unit holders in proportion to the number of units owned by them. The mutual fund
industry in India was started in the year 1963 with the formation of Unit Trust of India. This industry was
privatized in the year 1993. In this study an attempt is made to analyse the performance evaluation of ten open
ended mutual fund schemes for a period from April 01, 2010 to March 31, 2015.The analysis was done by using
various financial tests like Average Return, Beta, Coefficient of Determination (R2
), Sharpe Ratio, Treynor
Ratio, Fama’s net selectivity and Treynor Mauzy Model, Thedata for the study was sourced from various
websites of mutual fund schemes and from amfiindia.com. the investors who have invested in the selected mutual
funds have earned the market return as the lower level and the investors who have invested in the Kotak 50
Growth fund have earned the higher return than the market return.
Keywords: Mutual Fund, Performance Evaluation, Risk , Return., ratios, JEL Classification: G10, G11
I. Introduction
Investment is the sacrifice of certain present value for some uncertain award to be received in future. In
other words, an investment is commitment of funds that will be held over some future time period. Broadly, an
investment decision is a trade-off between risk and return. A Mutual fund is a trust that pools the savings of a
number of investors who have a common investment objective. The income of investor is collected and invested
by the fund manager in various types of Asset classes like stocks debt instruments and short term money market
instruments and other securities depending on the objectives of the scheme, which in turn gives little savings to
its unit holders in proportion of the number of units they own. There are many types of mutual funds like equity
funds, bond funds, balanced funds, growth funds, income funds, tax saving funds, country funds, index funds,
exchange traded funds, sector funds and the like.
Indian mutual fund industry has evolved over the years at an annual growth rate of 15% from 2007 to
2013.Though India‟s savings rate has been between 30-35%, since last few years, investment in mutual funds
have been minimal as compared to other avenues for investment. Emphatically speaking, mutual fund business
follows a business to business model rather than a business to consumer model, thus distribution is a critical
success factor for any mutual fund. Despite the efforts, the mutual fund products continue to remain a „push‟
product rather than a „pull‟ product in the market.
1.1 Challenges for the Mutual Fund Industry in India:
Lack of financial education and awareness: Financial literacy is one of the most fundamental factors
impeding the growth of penetration of any financial products in the smaller cities and towns. Investors need to
be made aware of their financial goals and the means to achieve the same.
Limited Distribution Network: Another critical issue for fund houses is to distribute their products in smaller
cities with availability of quality distribution infrastructure. Fund houses need infrastructure like branches,
adequate number of relationship managers and sales service staff in these locations which helps the fund houses
to increase their sales volume.
Distribution cost: Cost of establishing a distribution network is quite high. It is the cost per transaction or the
low sales volume that makes the pursuit economically unviable or at the least challenging.
Cultural bias towards physical assets: Studies reveal that 46% of total individual wealth in India is invested
in physical assets (gold and real estate). Although, in the past few decades, the investors have increasingly relied
on financial assets to invest their savings; the contribution of MFs in the asset portfolio is very low. Insurance
products constitute 17 % of the individual savings in financial assets, whereas the share of mutual funds is much
less than at 3 per cent.
Performance Evaluation of Selected Open – Ended Mutual Funds in India
www.ijbmi.org 137 | Page
Partnering with a bank: Fund houses could leverage from large network of bank branches covering the
hinterland as well. Bank sponsored AMCs such as HDFC MF, SBI MF have a greater advantage over the other
asset management players.
Technology: As the cost of establishing a distribution network is comparatively high, technology could play a
pivotal role in garnering new AUM via internet and mobile banking channels. Online channel for mutual funds
is increasingly becoming popular amongst investors. Almost all, fund houses in India provide service to transact
online.
II. Review of Literature
Jensen Michael (1968) developed a composite portfolio evaluation technique concerning risk-adjusted
returns. He evaluated the ability of 115 fund managers in selecting securities during the period 1945-66.
Analysis of net returns indicated that, 39 funds had above average returns, while 76 funds yielded abnormally
poor returns. Using gross returns, 48 funds showed above average results and 67 funds below average results.
Jensen concluded that, there was very little evidence that funds were able to perform significantly better than
expected as fund managers were not able to forecast securities price movements.
NaliniPrava Tripathy (2005) concluded that the Indian capital market has been increasing
tremendously during last few years. With the reforms of economy, industrial policy, public sector and financial
sector, the economy has been opened up and many developments have been taking place in the Indian money
market and capital market.
Gupta & Agarwal (2009) found very little research on the construction of best mutual fund portfolio.
Their objective of the research was to construct the best portfolio using cluster method, taking industry
concentration as a variable and compares the performance of two types of portfolios with selected benchmarks.
Results are found to be encouraging, as far as risk mitigation is concerned. The results expected to help in the
construction of best portfolio of mutual funds.
Ravi Vyas and Suresh Chandra Moonat (2012) found that the highly volatile funds are risky and
therefore the fund manager should collect all possible information before making an investment. A careful and
reasonable diversification of investment in mutual funds should be done on the investor‟s part to balance the risk
involved in investment. And suggested that investors should inculcate the habit of saving regularly so, that the
little savings will grow into a big returns.
J.S. Yadav and O.S. Yadav (2012) in their analysis of comparison between Mutual Funds and Foreign
Institutional Investors, it was found that, though the India is an attractive destination for investment by Foreign
Institutional Investors, investments made by the mutual funds were greater than investment made by FII‟s,
during the recession MF industry has played a vital role in pushing the economy upward while FII‟s withdrew
their investment, showing the importance of MF‟s in Indian economy.
Kalpesh (2012) assessed the performance of Indian mutual funds by applying relative performance
index, risk-return analysis, Treynor's ratio, Sharp's ratio, Sharpe's measure, Jensen's measure, and Fama's
measure. Data used for the study is daily closing Net Asset Values from AMFI. Also they concluded that all
selected mutual fund companies have positive return during 2007 to 2011. HDFC and Reliance mutual fund
have performed well as compared to the Sensex return. ICICI prudential and UTI Mutual fund has lower level of
risk compare to HDFC and Reliance mutual fund. Beta is less than one to all selected mutual fund companies
which means the funds are less volatile than the Index. Sharpe‟s Index of HDFC Mutual fund is higher than the
other thus showing good performance compared to other funds. Treynor‟s Index result revealed that the HDFC
and Reliance mutual fund offers better return in comparison to ICICI Prudential, UTI, and Birla Sun Life
Mutual funds for the same level of risk exposure.
Sarita Bahl and Meenakshi Rani (2012) found that the performance of 29 open ended, growth-
oriented equity schemes. Their study revealed that 14 out of 29 sample mutual fund schemes had outperformed
the benchmark return. The results also showed that some of the schemes had underperformed, due to
diversification problem. In the study, the Sharpe ratio was positive for all schemes which showed that funds
were providing returns greater than risk free rate. Results of Jensen measure revealed that 19 out of 29 schemes
showed positive alpha which indicated superior performance of the schemes.
Inderjit Kaur (2013) found that how far the mutual fund schemes are performing with respect to
market risk and analyzing the performance with respect to the selectivity and timing ability of the mutual fund
manager. The performance analysis was done by Sharpe's ratio, Treynor's Ratio and Jenson's Measure. The
analysis of the ability of the mutual fund manager with respect to selectivity and timing ability was assessed
using Fama's Net Selectivity method and Treynor-Mazuy model of timing. Based on the empirical findings
related to performance evaluation, market timing and selectivity skills among the top ten equity mutual funds in
India for the period 2008-10 shows that there exists significant positive alpha among Indian mutual funds.
Performance Evaluation of Selected Open – Ended Mutual Funds in India
www.ijbmi.org 138 | Page
Kavita Arora (2015) had studied the performance of Indian mutual fund schemes. The findings
suggest that the overall performance of mutual fund schemes during the study period was mixed. Study revealed
that in both Sharpe and Treynor's Ratio the selected mutual fund schemes have performed better than the
benchmark indices. Also the study further revealed 64 per cent of growth schemes, 60 per cent of tax planning
schemes, 76 per cent of income schemes and 100 per cent of balanced schemes have performed better than the
benchmark indices.
Sunil and Pratap (2015) studied mutual fund schemes of selected Indian companies comprising
Equity, Debt and Hybrid Schemes. The total of 390 schemes comprising of 178 equity mutual funds, 138 debt
schemes and 74 hybrid schemes are selected for their study. The performance of selected Indian companies‟
mutual fund is analyzed with the help of Return, risk (standard Deviation), and Sharpe ratio. Also the selected
mutual funds are compared with their respective benchmark indices. Findings of the study revealed the sector
fund has performed better than the other type of equity funds. The worst performance is given by infrastructure
fund followed by large cap equity funds. The Ultra short term debt fund has performed better than the other type
of debt funds. The worst performance is given by long term GILT fund followed by short term GILT funds. The
equity oriented hybrid fund has performed better than the other type of hybrid funds. The worst performance is
given by arbitrage fund and conservative debt hybrid funds. Thus they concluded that Equity, Debt and Hybrid
mutual funds have performed better than their benchmark and generated better returns for the investors of equity
mutual funds during 2009-10 to 2013-14.
III. Need for the Study
Mutual fund is an investment that pools money from shareholders and invests in a variety of securities,
such as stocks, bonds and money market instrument. The need of the study is to analyze the performance of
mutual funds and to identify the new market trends in the above mentioned sectors.
IV. Objectives of the Study
 To evaluate the selected funds assessment on the various performance ratios((Sharpe, Treynor, Jensen)
 To assess the selectivity ability of the mutual fund manager.
 To assess the market timing ability of the mutual fund manager.
V. Research Methodology
The study is of analytical in nature.
5.1 Period of the Study
The sample period taken for study is from April 01, 2010 to March 31, 2015. The data consists of daily NAV of
the chosen open ended funds and NSE nifty index.
5.2 Source and Collection of Data
To gain an overview of the current performance trends of the Indian mutual fund industry, secondary data have
been used and collected from the fact sheets, newspapers, journals, books and periodicals. The data were also
collected from various websites of AMCs, AMFI, and moneycontrol.com. The Net Asset Values of the sample
mutual fund schemes have been collected on monthly basis over a period of eight years. BSE Sensex has been
used as a benchmark for performance evaluation of different schemes and provides the time series data over a
fairly long period of time. Further, the monthly yields on 91- day treasury bills of Government of India have
been used as a surrogate for risk free rate.
5.3 Sample Selection
The ten open ended funds are selected based on CRISIL ranking 2015. They are Birla Sun Life Frontline Equity
Fund – Growth fund,BNP Paribas Equity Fund – Growth fund, Franklin India Opportunities Fund – Growth
fund, Kotak 50 – Growth fund, UTI Equity Fund – Growth fund, Baroda Pioneer Growth Fund – Growth fund,
JM Equity Fund – Growth fund, JPMorgan India Equity Fund - Regular Plan – Growth fund, Principal Large
Cap Fund – Growth fund, UTI MasterShare Unit Scheme – Growth fund.
5.4 Tools for Analysis
A. Average Returns: The performance evaluation is done by comparing the returns of a mutual fund scheme
with returns of a benchmark portfolio. In this study, the returns have been called as average returns.
Average return is obtained by taking the simple mean of monthly returns, whereby monthly returns are
calculated by using the NAVs of the mutual fund scheme.
B. Standard Deviation: Its significance lays in the fact that sample is free from defects of sampling, it
measures the absolute dispersion, the greater the SD; greater will be magnitude of the deviation of the
Performance Evaluation of Selected Open – Ended Mutual Funds in India
www.ijbmi.org 139 | Page
values from their mean. Small SD means high degree of uniformity & homogeneity of a series. The total
risk is measured in terms of standard deviation.
C. Beta: Beta is a fairly commonly used measure of risk. It basically indicates the level of volatility associated
with the fund as compared to the benchmark. The success of beta is heavily dependent on the correlation
between a fund and its benchmark. If the fund portfolio doesn‟t have relevant benchmark index then the
beta would be inadequate. A beta that is greater than one means that fund is more volatile than the
benchmark, while a beta of less than one means that the fund is less volatile than the index. A fund with a
beta very close to 1 means the fund‟s performance closely matches the index or benchmark.
D. Coefficient of Determination (R2
): It is a measure of a security‟s diversification in relation to the market.
The closer the R2
is to 1.00, the more completely diversified the portfolio (Reilly and Brown, 2003). R2
is
ranging from 1 to 1.00, gives an idea about how well a fund‟s performance correlates with that of the
benchmark. An R2
of 0 means that a fund‟s returns have no correlation with the market and an R2
of 1.00
indicates that a fund‟s returns are completely in sync-up and down-with the benchmark. (Contas and Shim,
2006).
E. The Sharpe Measure: The Sharpe Ratio measures the fund‟s excess return per unit of its risk (i.e. total
risk). This ratio indicates the relationship between the portfolio‟s additional return over risk-free return and
total risk of the portfolio, which measured in terms of standard deviation. A high and positive Sharpe Ratio
shows a superior risk-adjusted performance of a fund while low and negative Shape Ratio is an indication
of unfavorable performance. Generally, if Sharpe Ratio is greater than the benchmark comparison, the
fund‟s performance is superior over the market and vice-versa. According to Sharpe, it is the total risk of
the fund that the investor are concerned about so, the model evaluates fund on the basis of reward per unit
of total risk, symbolically, it can be return as :
F. The Treynor’s Performance Index: Treynor ratio measures the relationship between fund‟s additional
return over risk-free return and market risk is measured by beta. The larger the value of Treynor ratio, the
better the portfolio has performed. Generally, if the Treynor ratio is greater than the benchmark comparison,
the portfolio has outperformed the market and indicating superior riskadjusted performance. Using the beta,
rather than the standard deviation (as in the Sharpe Index), we are assuming that the portfolio is a well-
diversified portfolio.
Where,
RP is the average return on portfolio
Rfis the average risk-free rate of return
βPstands for sensitivity of fund return to market return.
G. Fama's Net Selectivity - The Fama's Net Selectivity Measure is an absolute measure of performance. It is
given by the annualized return of the fund, deducted the yield of an investment without risk, minus the
standardized expected market premium times the total risk of the portfolio under review
Net selectivity (Rp –Rf)-( σp/σm) (Rm –Rf).
Rp = Average return of the scheme
Rf = Risk free rate of return
Rm =Average return of the market
σp = Standard Deviation of the scheme‟s returns
σm = Standard Deviation of the market returns.
Performance Evaluation of Selected Open – Ended Mutual Funds in India
www.ijbmi.org 140 | Page
H. Treynor Mazuy Model:
A model widely used in mutual fund studies to assess both selectivity and market timing performance.
A positive value for ap suggests selectivity ability, a positive value for b2 is indicative of market timing ability
since this term allows the characteristic line to become steeper as excess returns on the market portfolio get
larger. A negative value for b2 is interpreted as a lack of ability of fund managers to time the market correctly.
rpt =ap+ b1rmt+b2 rmt
2
+ept
where
rpt = the excess return on portfolio p over the risk free rate during period t
ap = estimated selectivity performance
b1 = the portfolio‟s estimate of systematic risk
rmt = excess return of the market portfolio over the risk free rate during period t
b2 = estimated indicator of market timing performance
ept = residual excess return on portfolio P during period t.
VI. Results and Findings
Table 6.1 Risk- Return Analysis:
Year Fund Name Risk Return R2
2010-2015 Birla Sun Life Frontline Equity Fund -
Growth
3.146500542 1.314518 0.11
2010-2015 BNP Paribas Equity Fund - Growth 2.749607102 1.429263 0.11
2010-2015 Franklin India Opportunities Fund - Growth 3.344721838 1.261892 0.10
2010-2015 Kotak 50 - Growth 4.745466492 2.772977 0.71
2010-2015 UTI Equity Fund - Growth 3.871650893 -0.3146 2.16
2010-2015 Baroda Pioneer Growth Fund - Growth 3.425207734 0.917194977 12.48
2010-2015 JM Equity Fund - Growth 3.486148441 0.885096505 13.08
2010-2015 UTI Master share Unit Scheme - Growth 2.916687568 1.144543301 11.12
2010-2015 JPMorgan India Equity Fund - Regular Plan
- Growth
3.024385578 1.244907265 12.18
2010-2015 Principal Large Cap Fund - Growth 3.106068813 1.080659281 35.13
From the above table it is inferred that Kotak 50- Growth fund has given the better return with respect
to the other funds and the market and at the lower risk which shows that it has performed well while comparing
to other funds. Whereas UTI Equity Fund has given the lower return with higher risk also less than the market
return. And the other funds have given the return mostly equal to the market return with respect to the average
risk which is also equal to market risk. Also from the above table Franklin India Opportunities fund has the
lowest R square value which implicates that the fund has the low correlation with the market which indicates
that the fund does not overreact to the market actions or fluctuations. Whereas UTI Equity Fund has the highest
correlation with the market which shows there will be high fluctuations in the value of the fund with respect to
the market fluctuation. The other three funds have the average r square value which does not have the higher
fluctuation with respect to the market
Table 6.2 Risk Adjusted Return Analysis:
Year Fund Name Sharpe's
Ratio
Rank Treynor's
Ratio
Rank Jenson's
Alpha
Rank
2010-2015 Birla Sun Life Frontline
Equity Fund - Growth
0.74 5 1.05 4 0.41 4
2010-2015 BNP Paribas Equity Fund -
Growth
1.41 3 1.47 3 0.60 3
2010-2015 Franklin India Opportunities
Fund - Growth
1.21 4 1.65 2 0.73 2
2010-2015 Kotak 50 - Growth 2.04 2 2.21 1 1.08 1
2010-2015 UTI Equity Fund - Growth -1.00 10 -9.83 10 -0.92 10
2010-2015 Baroda Pioneer Growth Fund
- Growth
0.23 9 0.45 8 -0.02 8
2010-2015 JM Equity Fund - Growth 0.46 7 0.39 9 -0.07 9
2010-2015 JPMorgan India Equity Fund -
Growth
2.12 1 1.02 5 0.37 5
2010-2015 Principal Large Cap Fund -
Growth
0.45 8 0.73 7 0.18 7
2010-2015 UTI Master share Unit
Scheme - Growth
0.51 6 0.87 6 0.27 6
Performance Evaluation of Selected Open – Ended Mutual Funds in India
www.ijbmi.org 141 | Page
From the table it is inferred for Sharpe‟s ratio, JP Morgan India Equity Fund shows the highest Sharpe
value comparing with other funds and it has given the better return with respect to the market risk. Whereas the
Birla Sun Life Equity fund has the lowest Sharpe ratio which indicates the lowest performance comparing to
other funds.
Treynor's ratio indicate that Kotak 50 Equity Fund - Growth has performed well better than the other
schemes which was taken for the study. Whereas UTI Equity fund has the low Treynor ratio which is an
indication of the poor performance with respect to other selected schemes.
Jenson‟s alpha reveal that that Kotak 50-Growth fund has the highest alpha value which shows that the
fund has the better portfolio and given the better return with respect to the market . Whereas Birla Sun Life
Frontline Equity Fund has the lowest alpha value which shows that the fund has not performed well.
Thus from all the above risk adjusted returns Kotak 50-Growth fund has secured first rank in which all
the three ratios are higher values with respect to the other fund risk adjusted values. Whereas Franklin
Opportunities Equity Growth fund has secured the second rank, BNP Paribas Equity Fund has secured the third
rank, UTI Equity Fund has secured fourth rank and finally Birla Sun Life Equity Fund has secured the last rank
which shows that it does not performed well with respect to risk adjusted return.
6.3 Fund Selectivity Analysis:
Year Fund Name Fama’s Net Selectivity
2010-2015 Birla Sun Life Frontline Equity Fund - Growth 0.39
2010-2015 BNP Paribas Equity Fund - Growth 0.42
2010-2015 Franklin India Opportunities Fund - Growth 0.49
2010-2015 Kotak 50 - Growth 0.96
2010-2015 UTI Equity Fund - Growth -0.08
2010-2015 Baroda Pioneer Growth Fund - Growth -0.38
2010-2015 JM Equity Fund - Growth -0.39
2010-2015 JPMorgan India Equity Fund - Growth -0.11
2010-2015 Principal Large Cap Fund - Growth 0.024
2010-2015 UTI Master share Unit Scheme - Growth -0.22
The Fama's Index gives the excess return obtained by the manager that cannot have been obtained
investing in the market portfolio. It compares the extra return obtained by the portfolio manager with a specific
risk and the extra return that could have been obtained with the same amount of systematic risk. An analysis of
above table reveals that Kotak has highest value revealing that it is the best fund selection to be done by the fund
manager which gives the excess return apart from the market risk. Whereas the JM Equity Fund - Growth has
the lowest fama index which shows that fund manager has not selected the portfolio for the fund with respect to
the market.
6.4 Treynor Mazuy Model:
Year Fund Name Treynor Mazuy Model
2010-2015 Birla Sun Life Frontline Equity Fund - Growth -0.0016
2010-2015 BNP Paribas Equity Fund - Growth 0.0011
2010-2015 Franklin India Opportunities Fund - Growth 0.0356
2010-2015 Kotak 50 - Growth 0.0119
2010-2015 UTI Equity Fund - Growth -0.0458
2010-2015 Baroda Pioneer Growth Fund - Growth -0.0106
2010-2015 JM Equity Fund - Growth 0.01226
2010-2015 JPMorgan India Equity Fund - Regular Plan - Growth -0.0845
2010-2015 Principal Large Cap Fund - Growth 0.0884
2010-2015 UTI Master share Unit Scheme - Growth -0.0890
The market timing is measured with Treynor-Mazuy model. A high positive value shows the better
market timing. From the above table it can be inferred that only four funds out of ten have positive values which
shows that the fund has better market timing ability. The other funds that secured negative values shows that the
fund have no proper timing ability.
VII. Conclusion
From the study it has been found that in all the analysis such as risk adjusted return analysis Kotak 50
Equtiy Fund has secured the first position while comparing with others. Fama‟s Net Selectivity Analysis shows
that Kotak 50 Equity Fund has secured the highest value which shows the fund manager has the high ability to
select the portfolio for the fund. Whereas the UTI Equity Fund has secured the lowest value which shows the
fund manager has the lower fund selectivity ability skill while comparing to others. Market timing ability result
shows that Kotak 50 Growth fund have secured higher positive value while comparing with other funds which
Performance Evaluation of Selected Open – Ended Mutual Funds in India
www.ijbmi.org 142 | Page
shows that the fund has performed well and also have the better timing ability. But in most of the cases the
timing ability of the fund have failed as per the result.
From the above analysis it was clear, the investors who have invested in the selected mutual funds
have earned the market return as the lower level and the investors who have invested in the Kotak 50 Growth
fund have earned the higher return than the market return. Also the fund has the better future as per the current
study and it can be preferred in case of investment. By and large the large cap equity fund was better performing
as per the analysis.
Assets under Management as a percent of GDP for India is about 5 to 6 percent, significantly lower
than some other emerging economies, say Brazil 40%, South Africa 33%. This Indicates sufficient headroom for
growth. However, the industry growth will continue to be characterised by external factors such as volatility and
performance of the capital markets, and macro-economic drivers such as GDP growth, inflation and interest
rates.
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https://www.sbi.co.in/user.htm?action=viewsection&id=0,16,384,385

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Performance Evaluation of Selected Open – Ended Mutual Funds in India

  • 1. International Journal of Business and Management Invention ISSN (Online): 2319 – 8028, ISSN (Print): 2319 – 801X www.ijbmi.org || Volume 5 Issue 11 || November. 2016 || PP—136-142 www.ijbmi.org 136 | Page Performance Evaluation of Selected Open – Ended Mutual Funds in India S.Masiperiyannan1 , Dr.Mohanamani.P, 1 Student, KCT.Buisness School, Kumaraguru College of Technology, Coimbatore -49. 2 Assistant Professor, KCT.Buisness School, Kumaraguru College of Technology, Performance Evaluation of Selected Open – Ended Mutual Funds in India Abstract: A mutual fund is a trust that pools the savings of a number of investors who share a common financial goal. The money thus collected is then invested in capital market instruments such as shares, debentures and other securities. The income earned through these investments and the capital appreciation realized is shared by its unit holders in proportion to the number of units owned by them. The mutual fund industry in India was started in the year 1963 with the formation of Unit Trust of India. This industry was privatized in the year 1993. In this study an attempt is made to analyse the performance evaluation of ten open ended mutual fund schemes for a period from April 01, 2010 to March 31, 2015.The analysis was done by using various financial tests like Average Return, Beta, Coefficient of Determination (R2 ), Sharpe Ratio, Treynor Ratio, Fama’s net selectivity and Treynor Mauzy Model, Thedata for the study was sourced from various websites of mutual fund schemes and from amfiindia.com. the investors who have invested in the selected mutual funds have earned the market return as the lower level and the investors who have invested in the Kotak 50 Growth fund have earned the higher return than the market return. Keywords: Mutual Fund, Performance Evaluation, Risk , Return., ratios, JEL Classification: G10, G11 I. Introduction Investment is the sacrifice of certain present value for some uncertain award to be received in future. In other words, an investment is commitment of funds that will be held over some future time period. Broadly, an investment decision is a trade-off between risk and return. A Mutual fund is a trust that pools the savings of a number of investors who have a common investment objective. The income of investor is collected and invested by the fund manager in various types of Asset classes like stocks debt instruments and short term money market instruments and other securities depending on the objectives of the scheme, which in turn gives little savings to its unit holders in proportion of the number of units they own. There are many types of mutual funds like equity funds, bond funds, balanced funds, growth funds, income funds, tax saving funds, country funds, index funds, exchange traded funds, sector funds and the like. Indian mutual fund industry has evolved over the years at an annual growth rate of 15% from 2007 to 2013.Though India‟s savings rate has been between 30-35%, since last few years, investment in mutual funds have been minimal as compared to other avenues for investment. Emphatically speaking, mutual fund business follows a business to business model rather than a business to consumer model, thus distribution is a critical success factor for any mutual fund. Despite the efforts, the mutual fund products continue to remain a „push‟ product rather than a „pull‟ product in the market. 1.1 Challenges for the Mutual Fund Industry in India: Lack of financial education and awareness: Financial literacy is one of the most fundamental factors impeding the growth of penetration of any financial products in the smaller cities and towns. Investors need to be made aware of their financial goals and the means to achieve the same. Limited Distribution Network: Another critical issue for fund houses is to distribute their products in smaller cities with availability of quality distribution infrastructure. Fund houses need infrastructure like branches, adequate number of relationship managers and sales service staff in these locations which helps the fund houses to increase their sales volume. Distribution cost: Cost of establishing a distribution network is quite high. It is the cost per transaction or the low sales volume that makes the pursuit economically unviable or at the least challenging. Cultural bias towards physical assets: Studies reveal that 46% of total individual wealth in India is invested in physical assets (gold and real estate). Although, in the past few decades, the investors have increasingly relied on financial assets to invest their savings; the contribution of MFs in the asset portfolio is very low. Insurance products constitute 17 % of the individual savings in financial assets, whereas the share of mutual funds is much less than at 3 per cent.
  • 2. Performance Evaluation of Selected Open – Ended Mutual Funds in India www.ijbmi.org 137 | Page Partnering with a bank: Fund houses could leverage from large network of bank branches covering the hinterland as well. Bank sponsored AMCs such as HDFC MF, SBI MF have a greater advantage over the other asset management players. Technology: As the cost of establishing a distribution network is comparatively high, technology could play a pivotal role in garnering new AUM via internet and mobile banking channels. Online channel for mutual funds is increasingly becoming popular amongst investors. Almost all, fund houses in India provide service to transact online. II. Review of Literature Jensen Michael (1968) developed a composite portfolio evaluation technique concerning risk-adjusted returns. He evaluated the ability of 115 fund managers in selecting securities during the period 1945-66. Analysis of net returns indicated that, 39 funds had above average returns, while 76 funds yielded abnormally poor returns. Using gross returns, 48 funds showed above average results and 67 funds below average results. Jensen concluded that, there was very little evidence that funds were able to perform significantly better than expected as fund managers were not able to forecast securities price movements. NaliniPrava Tripathy (2005) concluded that the Indian capital market has been increasing tremendously during last few years. With the reforms of economy, industrial policy, public sector and financial sector, the economy has been opened up and many developments have been taking place in the Indian money market and capital market. Gupta & Agarwal (2009) found very little research on the construction of best mutual fund portfolio. Their objective of the research was to construct the best portfolio using cluster method, taking industry concentration as a variable and compares the performance of two types of portfolios with selected benchmarks. Results are found to be encouraging, as far as risk mitigation is concerned. The results expected to help in the construction of best portfolio of mutual funds. Ravi Vyas and Suresh Chandra Moonat (2012) found that the highly volatile funds are risky and therefore the fund manager should collect all possible information before making an investment. A careful and reasonable diversification of investment in mutual funds should be done on the investor‟s part to balance the risk involved in investment. And suggested that investors should inculcate the habit of saving regularly so, that the little savings will grow into a big returns. J.S. Yadav and O.S. Yadav (2012) in their analysis of comparison between Mutual Funds and Foreign Institutional Investors, it was found that, though the India is an attractive destination for investment by Foreign Institutional Investors, investments made by the mutual funds were greater than investment made by FII‟s, during the recession MF industry has played a vital role in pushing the economy upward while FII‟s withdrew their investment, showing the importance of MF‟s in Indian economy. Kalpesh (2012) assessed the performance of Indian mutual funds by applying relative performance index, risk-return analysis, Treynor's ratio, Sharp's ratio, Sharpe's measure, Jensen's measure, and Fama's measure. Data used for the study is daily closing Net Asset Values from AMFI. Also they concluded that all selected mutual fund companies have positive return during 2007 to 2011. HDFC and Reliance mutual fund have performed well as compared to the Sensex return. ICICI prudential and UTI Mutual fund has lower level of risk compare to HDFC and Reliance mutual fund. Beta is less than one to all selected mutual fund companies which means the funds are less volatile than the Index. Sharpe‟s Index of HDFC Mutual fund is higher than the other thus showing good performance compared to other funds. Treynor‟s Index result revealed that the HDFC and Reliance mutual fund offers better return in comparison to ICICI Prudential, UTI, and Birla Sun Life Mutual funds for the same level of risk exposure. Sarita Bahl and Meenakshi Rani (2012) found that the performance of 29 open ended, growth- oriented equity schemes. Their study revealed that 14 out of 29 sample mutual fund schemes had outperformed the benchmark return. The results also showed that some of the schemes had underperformed, due to diversification problem. In the study, the Sharpe ratio was positive for all schemes which showed that funds were providing returns greater than risk free rate. Results of Jensen measure revealed that 19 out of 29 schemes showed positive alpha which indicated superior performance of the schemes. Inderjit Kaur (2013) found that how far the mutual fund schemes are performing with respect to market risk and analyzing the performance with respect to the selectivity and timing ability of the mutual fund manager. The performance analysis was done by Sharpe's ratio, Treynor's Ratio and Jenson's Measure. The analysis of the ability of the mutual fund manager with respect to selectivity and timing ability was assessed using Fama's Net Selectivity method and Treynor-Mazuy model of timing. Based on the empirical findings related to performance evaluation, market timing and selectivity skills among the top ten equity mutual funds in India for the period 2008-10 shows that there exists significant positive alpha among Indian mutual funds.
  • 3. Performance Evaluation of Selected Open – Ended Mutual Funds in India www.ijbmi.org 138 | Page Kavita Arora (2015) had studied the performance of Indian mutual fund schemes. The findings suggest that the overall performance of mutual fund schemes during the study period was mixed. Study revealed that in both Sharpe and Treynor's Ratio the selected mutual fund schemes have performed better than the benchmark indices. Also the study further revealed 64 per cent of growth schemes, 60 per cent of tax planning schemes, 76 per cent of income schemes and 100 per cent of balanced schemes have performed better than the benchmark indices. Sunil and Pratap (2015) studied mutual fund schemes of selected Indian companies comprising Equity, Debt and Hybrid Schemes. The total of 390 schemes comprising of 178 equity mutual funds, 138 debt schemes and 74 hybrid schemes are selected for their study. The performance of selected Indian companies‟ mutual fund is analyzed with the help of Return, risk (standard Deviation), and Sharpe ratio. Also the selected mutual funds are compared with their respective benchmark indices. Findings of the study revealed the sector fund has performed better than the other type of equity funds. The worst performance is given by infrastructure fund followed by large cap equity funds. The Ultra short term debt fund has performed better than the other type of debt funds. The worst performance is given by long term GILT fund followed by short term GILT funds. The equity oriented hybrid fund has performed better than the other type of hybrid funds. The worst performance is given by arbitrage fund and conservative debt hybrid funds. Thus they concluded that Equity, Debt and Hybrid mutual funds have performed better than their benchmark and generated better returns for the investors of equity mutual funds during 2009-10 to 2013-14. III. Need for the Study Mutual fund is an investment that pools money from shareholders and invests in a variety of securities, such as stocks, bonds and money market instrument. The need of the study is to analyze the performance of mutual funds and to identify the new market trends in the above mentioned sectors. IV. Objectives of the Study  To evaluate the selected funds assessment on the various performance ratios((Sharpe, Treynor, Jensen)  To assess the selectivity ability of the mutual fund manager.  To assess the market timing ability of the mutual fund manager. V. Research Methodology The study is of analytical in nature. 5.1 Period of the Study The sample period taken for study is from April 01, 2010 to March 31, 2015. The data consists of daily NAV of the chosen open ended funds and NSE nifty index. 5.2 Source and Collection of Data To gain an overview of the current performance trends of the Indian mutual fund industry, secondary data have been used and collected from the fact sheets, newspapers, journals, books and periodicals. The data were also collected from various websites of AMCs, AMFI, and moneycontrol.com. The Net Asset Values of the sample mutual fund schemes have been collected on monthly basis over a period of eight years. BSE Sensex has been used as a benchmark for performance evaluation of different schemes and provides the time series data over a fairly long period of time. Further, the monthly yields on 91- day treasury bills of Government of India have been used as a surrogate for risk free rate. 5.3 Sample Selection The ten open ended funds are selected based on CRISIL ranking 2015. They are Birla Sun Life Frontline Equity Fund – Growth fund,BNP Paribas Equity Fund – Growth fund, Franklin India Opportunities Fund – Growth fund, Kotak 50 – Growth fund, UTI Equity Fund – Growth fund, Baroda Pioneer Growth Fund – Growth fund, JM Equity Fund – Growth fund, JPMorgan India Equity Fund - Regular Plan – Growth fund, Principal Large Cap Fund – Growth fund, UTI MasterShare Unit Scheme – Growth fund. 5.4 Tools for Analysis A. Average Returns: The performance evaluation is done by comparing the returns of a mutual fund scheme with returns of a benchmark portfolio. In this study, the returns have been called as average returns. Average return is obtained by taking the simple mean of monthly returns, whereby monthly returns are calculated by using the NAVs of the mutual fund scheme. B. Standard Deviation: Its significance lays in the fact that sample is free from defects of sampling, it measures the absolute dispersion, the greater the SD; greater will be magnitude of the deviation of the
  • 4. Performance Evaluation of Selected Open – Ended Mutual Funds in India www.ijbmi.org 139 | Page values from their mean. Small SD means high degree of uniformity & homogeneity of a series. The total risk is measured in terms of standard deviation. C. Beta: Beta is a fairly commonly used measure of risk. It basically indicates the level of volatility associated with the fund as compared to the benchmark. The success of beta is heavily dependent on the correlation between a fund and its benchmark. If the fund portfolio doesn‟t have relevant benchmark index then the beta would be inadequate. A beta that is greater than one means that fund is more volatile than the benchmark, while a beta of less than one means that the fund is less volatile than the index. A fund with a beta very close to 1 means the fund‟s performance closely matches the index or benchmark. D. Coefficient of Determination (R2 ): It is a measure of a security‟s diversification in relation to the market. The closer the R2 is to 1.00, the more completely diversified the portfolio (Reilly and Brown, 2003). R2 is ranging from 1 to 1.00, gives an idea about how well a fund‟s performance correlates with that of the benchmark. An R2 of 0 means that a fund‟s returns have no correlation with the market and an R2 of 1.00 indicates that a fund‟s returns are completely in sync-up and down-with the benchmark. (Contas and Shim, 2006). E. The Sharpe Measure: The Sharpe Ratio measures the fund‟s excess return per unit of its risk (i.e. total risk). This ratio indicates the relationship between the portfolio‟s additional return over risk-free return and total risk of the portfolio, which measured in terms of standard deviation. A high and positive Sharpe Ratio shows a superior risk-adjusted performance of a fund while low and negative Shape Ratio is an indication of unfavorable performance. Generally, if Sharpe Ratio is greater than the benchmark comparison, the fund‟s performance is superior over the market and vice-versa. According to Sharpe, it is the total risk of the fund that the investor are concerned about so, the model evaluates fund on the basis of reward per unit of total risk, symbolically, it can be return as : F. The Treynor’s Performance Index: Treynor ratio measures the relationship between fund‟s additional return over risk-free return and market risk is measured by beta. The larger the value of Treynor ratio, the better the portfolio has performed. Generally, if the Treynor ratio is greater than the benchmark comparison, the portfolio has outperformed the market and indicating superior riskadjusted performance. Using the beta, rather than the standard deviation (as in the Sharpe Index), we are assuming that the portfolio is a well- diversified portfolio. Where, RP is the average return on portfolio Rfis the average risk-free rate of return βPstands for sensitivity of fund return to market return. G. Fama's Net Selectivity - The Fama's Net Selectivity Measure is an absolute measure of performance. It is given by the annualized return of the fund, deducted the yield of an investment without risk, minus the standardized expected market premium times the total risk of the portfolio under review Net selectivity (Rp –Rf)-( σp/σm) (Rm –Rf). Rp = Average return of the scheme Rf = Risk free rate of return Rm =Average return of the market σp = Standard Deviation of the scheme‟s returns σm = Standard Deviation of the market returns.
  • 5. Performance Evaluation of Selected Open – Ended Mutual Funds in India www.ijbmi.org 140 | Page H. Treynor Mazuy Model: A model widely used in mutual fund studies to assess both selectivity and market timing performance. A positive value for ap suggests selectivity ability, a positive value for b2 is indicative of market timing ability since this term allows the characteristic line to become steeper as excess returns on the market portfolio get larger. A negative value for b2 is interpreted as a lack of ability of fund managers to time the market correctly. rpt =ap+ b1rmt+b2 rmt 2 +ept where rpt = the excess return on portfolio p over the risk free rate during period t ap = estimated selectivity performance b1 = the portfolio‟s estimate of systematic risk rmt = excess return of the market portfolio over the risk free rate during period t b2 = estimated indicator of market timing performance ept = residual excess return on portfolio P during period t. VI. Results and Findings Table 6.1 Risk- Return Analysis: Year Fund Name Risk Return R2 2010-2015 Birla Sun Life Frontline Equity Fund - Growth 3.146500542 1.314518 0.11 2010-2015 BNP Paribas Equity Fund - Growth 2.749607102 1.429263 0.11 2010-2015 Franklin India Opportunities Fund - Growth 3.344721838 1.261892 0.10 2010-2015 Kotak 50 - Growth 4.745466492 2.772977 0.71 2010-2015 UTI Equity Fund - Growth 3.871650893 -0.3146 2.16 2010-2015 Baroda Pioneer Growth Fund - Growth 3.425207734 0.917194977 12.48 2010-2015 JM Equity Fund - Growth 3.486148441 0.885096505 13.08 2010-2015 UTI Master share Unit Scheme - Growth 2.916687568 1.144543301 11.12 2010-2015 JPMorgan India Equity Fund - Regular Plan - Growth 3.024385578 1.244907265 12.18 2010-2015 Principal Large Cap Fund - Growth 3.106068813 1.080659281 35.13 From the above table it is inferred that Kotak 50- Growth fund has given the better return with respect to the other funds and the market and at the lower risk which shows that it has performed well while comparing to other funds. Whereas UTI Equity Fund has given the lower return with higher risk also less than the market return. And the other funds have given the return mostly equal to the market return with respect to the average risk which is also equal to market risk. Also from the above table Franklin India Opportunities fund has the lowest R square value which implicates that the fund has the low correlation with the market which indicates that the fund does not overreact to the market actions or fluctuations. Whereas UTI Equity Fund has the highest correlation with the market which shows there will be high fluctuations in the value of the fund with respect to the market fluctuation. The other three funds have the average r square value which does not have the higher fluctuation with respect to the market Table 6.2 Risk Adjusted Return Analysis: Year Fund Name Sharpe's Ratio Rank Treynor's Ratio Rank Jenson's Alpha Rank 2010-2015 Birla Sun Life Frontline Equity Fund - Growth 0.74 5 1.05 4 0.41 4 2010-2015 BNP Paribas Equity Fund - Growth 1.41 3 1.47 3 0.60 3 2010-2015 Franklin India Opportunities Fund - Growth 1.21 4 1.65 2 0.73 2 2010-2015 Kotak 50 - Growth 2.04 2 2.21 1 1.08 1 2010-2015 UTI Equity Fund - Growth -1.00 10 -9.83 10 -0.92 10 2010-2015 Baroda Pioneer Growth Fund - Growth 0.23 9 0.45 8 -0.02 8 2010-2015 JM Equity Fund - Growth 0.46 7 0.39 9 -0.07 9 2010-2015 JPMorgan India Equity Fund - Growth 2.12 1 1.02 5 0.37 5 2010-2015 Principal Large Cap Fund - Growth 0.45 8 0.73 7 0.18 7 2010-2015 UTI Master share Unit Scheme - Growth 0.51 6 0.87 6 0.27 6
  • 6. Performance Evaluation of Selected Open – Ended Mutual Funds in India www.ijbmi.org 141 | Page From the table it is inferred for Sharpe‟s ratio, JP Morgan India Equity Fund shows the highest Sharpe value comparing with other funds and it has given the better return with respect to the market risk. Whereas the Birla Sun Life Equity fund has the lowest Sharpe ratio which indicates the lowest performance comparing to other funds. Treynor's ratio indicate that Kotak 50 Equity Fund - Growth has performed well better than the other schemes which was taken for the study. Whereas UTI Equity fund has the low Treynor ratio which is an indication of the poor performance with respect to other selected schemes. Jenson‟s alpha reveal that that Kotak 50-Growth fund has the highest alpha value which shows that the fund has the better portfolio and given the better return with respect to the market . Whereas Birla Sun Life Frontline Equity Fund has the lowest alpha value which shows that the fund has not performed well. Thus from all the above risk adjusted returns Kotak 50-Growth fund has secured first rank in which all the three ratios are higher values with respect to the other fund risk adjusted values. Whereas Franklin Opportunities Equity Growth fund has secured the second rank, BNP Paribas Equity Fund has secured the third rank, UTI Equity Fund has secured fourth rank and finally Birla Sun Life Equity Fund has secured the last rank which shows that it does not performed well with respect to risk adjusted return. 6.3 Fund Selectivity Analysis: Year Fund Name Fama’s Net Selectivity 2010-2015 Birla Sun Life Frontline Equity Fund - Growth 0.39 2010-2015 BNP Paribas Equity Fund - Growth 0.42 2010-2015 Franklin India Opportunities Fund - Growth 0.49 2010-2015 Kotak 50 - Growth 0.96 2010-2015 UTI Equity Fund - Growth -0.08 2010-2015 Baroda Pioneer Growth Fund - Growth -0.38 2010-2015 JM Equity Fund - Growth -0.39 2010-2015 JPMorgan India Equity Fund - Growth -0.11 2010-2015 Principal Large Cap Fund - Growth 0.024 2010-2015 UTI Master share Unit Scheme - Growth -0.22 The Fama's Index gives the excess return obtained by the manager that cannot have been obtained investing in the market portfolio. It compares the extra return obtained by the portfolio manager with a specific risk and the extra return that could have been obtained with the same amount of systematic risk. An analysis of above table reveals that Kotak has highest value revealing that it is the best fund selection to be done by the fund manager which gives the excess return apart from the market risk. Whereas the JM Equity Fund - Growth has the lowest fama index which shows that fund manager has not selected the portfolio for the fund with respect to the market. 6.4 Treynor Mazuy Model: Year Fund Name Treynor Mazuy Model 2010-2015 Birla Sun Life Frontline Equity Fund - Growth -0.0016 2010-2015 BNP Paribas Equity Fund - Growth 0.0011 2010-2015 Franklin India Opportunities Fund - Growth 0.0356 2010-2015 Kotak 50 - Growth 0.0119 2010-2015 UTI Equity Fund - Growth -0.0458 2010-2015 Baroda Pioneer Growth Fund - Growth -0.0106 2010-2015 JM Equity Fund - Growth 0.01226 2010-2015 JPMorgan India Equity Fund - Regular Plan - Growth -0.0845 2010-2015 Principal Large Cap Fund - Growth 0.0884 2010-2015 UTI Master share Unit Scheme - Growth -0.0890 The market timing is measured with Treynor-Mazuy model. A high positive value shows the better market timing. From the above table it can be inferred that only four funds out of ten have positive values which shows that the fund has better market timing ability. The other funds that secured negative values shows that the fund have no proper timing ability. VII. Conclusion From the study it has been found that in all the analysis such as risk adjusted return analysis Kotak 50 Equtiy Fund has secured the first position while comparing with others. Fama‟s Net Selectivity Analysis shows that Kotak 50 Equity Fund has secured the highest value which shows the fund manager has the high ability to select the portfolio for the fund. Whereas the UTI Equity Fund has secured the lowest value which shows the fund manager has the lower fund selectivity ability skill while comparing to others. Market timing ability result shows that Kotak 50 Growth fund have secured higher positive value while comparing with other funds which
  • 7. Performance Evaluation of Selected Open – Ended Mutual Funds in India www.ijbmi.org 142 | Page shows that the fund has performed well and also have the better timing ability. But in most of the cases the timing ability of the fund have failed as per the result. From the above analysis it was clear, the investors who have invested in the selected mutual funds have earned the market return as the lower level and the investors who have invested in the Kotak 50 Growth fund have earned the higher return than the market return. Also the fund has the better future as per the current study and it can be preferred in case of investment. By and large the large cap equity fund was better performing as per the analysis. Assets under Management as a percent of GDP for India is about 5 to 6 percent, significantly lower than some other emerging economies, say Brazil 40%, South Africa 33%. This Indicates sufficient headroom for growth. 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