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Imagine Greater Tucson: Shared Values and the Future of the Greater Tucson Region

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  1. 1. Welcome to The Big RevealOur Shared Values and theFuture of the Greater Tucson Region
  2. 2. Today’s SpeakersKeri Silvyn Robert GrowImagine Greater Tucson Envision UtahEileen Fagan Dr. Lattie F. Coor, Ph.D.Imagine Greater Tucson Center for the Future of ArizonaMichael McDonald Frances McLane MerrymanHabitat for Humanity Northern Trust NA
  3. 3. Board MembersPetra Boehm Robin ShambachCherie Campbell Keri SilvynArlan Colton Lucinda SmedleyBen Korn Iris PattenCaptain David Neri John ShepardDina Scalone-Romero Kathy WardEnrique Serna
  4. 4. Thank You to Our SupportersSupporters $5,000+ Thomas R. Brown Family FoundationLewis and Roca, LLP Tucson Electric Power Co.Pima Association of Governments Tucson’s Young Professionals Inc.Sundt Construction Providence Service Corp.In-Kind SupportersAnchor Wave Internet Solutions Lewis and Roca LLPBreckenridge Group NextrioCaliber Group Pima Association of GovernmentsCollege of Architecture and Landscape Quik TripArchitecture at the University of Arizona Simply BitsCox Communication Sonoran InstituteDrachman Institute Southern Arizona Community FoundationEl Charro Restaurants Southwest Decision ResourcesEpic Productions Strongpoint Marketing IntelligenceFilm Creations The Planning CenterGraphic Impact The University of ArizonaJack in the Box Trend ReportJunior League of Tucson University of Arizona Blue ChipSpecial thanks to…volunteers, consultants, board members, and the IGT staff
  5. 5. Input to Date
  6. 6. Shared Regional ValuesBusiness and the EconomyCultural Diversity and Regional CharacterGovernance and LeadershipK-12 EducationLand Use and Urban DesignNatural Resources, Environment and Outdoor RecreationTransportation and AccessibilityUniversity of Arizona and Its Role in the RegionWell Being and Safety
  7. 7. The process of Regional Visioning is a powerful tool to meet difficultchallenges and create sustainable communities and regions.
  8. 8. Why Do Regional Visioning?
  9. 9. The Process for Creating aSuccessful Regional Vision
  10. 10. Why Start Visioning With Values?•  Values are stable and enduring; life’s “tides” as opposed to the “waves.”•  Values are widely shared and create consensus among diverse groups.•  Satisfying ones’ values is the foundation of personal decision making.
  11. 11. The Future of the Greater Tucson Region•  The Greater Tucson Region is growing –  Could double population in the coming decades•  How do we grow in a way that serves community values?•  How do we preserve what we love and create a community where our children can thrive?
  12. 12. Growth is coming because theGreater Tucson Region is a great place to live. You can stop growth long term only if you make this an undesirable place to live foreveryone (including yourselves).
  13. 13. Why Start with a Trend Scenario?•  Helps answer question: “What if we continue on our current path?”•  Continues trends in housing and employment patterns, densities, and direction•  Used to compare alternative scenarios against
  14. 14. CurrentFootprint Existing Development Pascua Yaqui, Tohono Oodham Preserves, Committed Open Space
  15. 15. TrendScenario Housing Jobs Existing Development Pascua Yaqui, Tohono Oodham Preserves, Committed Open Space
  16. 16. Trends Continue: Growth at the EdgePrimarily Single-Use areas •  Housing is predominantly single family (90%) •  Employment in big box and strip commercial, office and industrial parks
  17. 17. Community Values: Land Use and Urban Design•  Reduce sprawling development patterns•  Focus new growth into compact, walkable, mixed-use centers•  Redevelop key areas and corridors
  18. 18. Community Values: Land Use and Urban Design•  Safe and easy connections between neighborhoods, activity centers and nature•  Preserve existing neighborhoods•  Safe and affordable housing options for all
  19. 19. Trends Continue: Most New Growth in Areas with Limited Infrastructure•  Will require new and widened roads, sewer and water•  Growth likely will not pay its own way
  20. 20. Trends Continue: Urban Encroachment on Sensitive AreasUrban encroachment on critical wildlife habitat and corridors
  21. 21. Community Values: Open Space and the Environment•  Our region’s unique and beautiful landscape•  Air quality•  Accessibility to the outdoors•  Natural parks and preserves
  22. 22. Trends Continue: Long Commutes & Limited Transit Options•  Densities are too low to support high quality transit system –  New housing averages 2 units per acre•  Private autos will continue to be near universal mode of travel•  Average travel time to work is 24 minutes – that is likely to increase•  Region is currently at risk of exceeding EPA standards for ozone levels
  23. 23. Community Values: Transportation & Accessibility•  Less time commuting and stuck in traffic•  Easy access and movement, locally and within the region•  Access to a variety of transportation options
  24. 24. Scenario Approach:Contrasts today’s choices by showinglong-term consequences.
  25. 25. EnvironmentTransportation Land Use Our Region’s Future Carbon Footprint Energy Use Housing Job Creation Opportunities Land Consumption Water Use Open Space Air Quality Traffic Miles of Driving
  26. 26. Develop a Range of Choices Dispersed Pattern Compact Pattern Corridor Pattern Satellite Pattern
  27. 27. The Goal is Sustainability. What is it?
  28. 28. Shared Regional ValuesBusiness and the EconomyCultural Diversity and Regional CharacterGovernance and LeadershipK-12 EducationLand Use and Urban DesignNatural Resources, Environment and Outdoor RecreationTransportation and AccessibilityUniversity of Arizona and Its Role in the RegionWell Being and Safety
  29. 29. “Imagining” is a Verb•  It’s not daydreaming, but hard work•  Must take into account all the issues•  Must make sophisticated tradeoffs after understanding real choices•  Must seek “balance”– a future that best serves the values of the people•  It requires your support and active involvement
  30. 30. Upcoming Public Engagement•  May: Public hands-on workshops•  June/July: Use public input to create alternative scenarios•  Sept/Oct: Evaluate and gather input on scenarios with community
  31. 31. Compare Multiple Scenarios•  Test themes from public input and policy options•  Experiment with new development patterns•  Measure impact and compare results
  32. 32. Compare Scenarios Across a Variety of Indicators•  Housing and Jobs: mix and density•  Jobs-Housing Balance•  Land Consumption: vacant, agricultural, infill•  Impervious Surface•  Open Space•  Housing Affordability•  Resource Usage: energy and water•  Waste Production: water, solid, carbon•  Transportation: travel mode choice, vehicle miles traveled•  Fiscal Impact: cost to serve new development
  33. 33. Implementation Phase•  Develop and present Vision to the public•  Prioritize the Guiding Principles•  Develop strategies, action plans with measurable goals•  Implement through jurisdiction plans, associations, coalitions•  Measure and communicate progress toward goals
  34. 34. Scenario Building WorkshopsMay 18 – TCCMay 24 – El ConquistadorMay 25 – Desert Diamond Casino
  35. 35. Community Values: Business and the Economy•  Growth of well-paid, high quality jobs•  New business development and expansion•  A thriving local, small business environment•  A strong green business sector•  A business friendly environment (with sufficiently streamlined regulation)•  Well-educated workforce•  A diversified economy that attracts and supports major businesses and sectors•  Expanded tourism
  36. 36. Community Values: Cultural Diversity & Regional Character•  Our strong sense of community and a relaxed, friendly, small-town feel•  Our unique identity and diverse cultural, ethnic, geographical, and historical influences•  Our creativity and accessible arts and music scenes•  Diverse cultural events in the region•  Tolerance and respect•  Our culture of volunteerism•  A variety of affordable and accessible youth activities and opportunities
  37. 37. Community Values: Governance and Leadership•  Effective, efficient, and accountable local governments and other public institutions•  Dynamic, effective, visionary leaders•  Implementation of a common, regional vision•  Collaborative intergovernmental relationships•  A positive relationship between the government and the private sector•  Sufficient funding for our non-profit social service sector•  A reduced influence of special interest groups•  Respect for competing views on growth
  38. 38. Community Values: K-12 Education•  Quality education & high performing schools in the region•  Sufficient Federal, State and local funding for education and schools•  Hiring, supporting, and retaining high quality teachers•  School curricula that foster and develop skilled and well- rounded citizens and future workers•  Family, community, and governmental support for schools and education•  Administrative effectiveness in local public education
  39. 39. Community Values: University of Arizona & its Role in the Region•  The University of Arizona for the quality of education it provides•  University of Arizona athletics for their impact on the region’s sense of community, identity, and entertainment value•  U of A’s role as a cultural and socioeconomic engine•  A positive relationship between the University and the community and surrounding neighborhoods
  40. 40. Community Values: Well being and Safety•  A community where our children will choose to live•  Less crime and a sense of personal safety•  Access to quality, affordable, health care•  Safe, affordable housing for all segments of the population•  Adequate social services
  41. 41. Shared Regional ValuesBusiness and the EconomyCultural Diversity and Regional CharacterGovernance and LeadershipK-12 EducationLand Use and Urban DesignNatural Resources, Environment and Outdoor RecreationTransportation and AccessibilityUniversity of Arizona and Its Role in the RegionWell Being and Safety
  42. 42. High Attachment to Place / Low Sense of Connection toOne Another•  36% rate their passion and loyalty to place a “5.”•  Only 12% of Arizonans strongly believe the people in their community care about one another.Agree More Than Disagree on Issues / Elected OfficialsDon’t Represent Citizen Interests•  Only 10% of Arizonans believe their elected officials were doing a good job. (2009)•  Only 10% believe their elected leaders represent their interests.
  43. 43. Vote•  Arizona ranks 40th in the nation for voter registration with 68.9% of eligible citizens.•  Arizona ranks 43rd for voter turnout with 59.8% of eligible citizens.Follow the News and Stay Informed•  37% of Arizonans say they do not follow the news or discuss the news regularly.
  44. 44. Maintain Close Ties•  Arizona ranks 48th in the nation for exchanging favors with neighbors frequently at 13.5%.•  Arizona ranks 45th for eating dinner with family/ household members almost every day.Participate in Organizations•  Arizona ranks 33rd for belonging to organizations that meet at least once a month.
  45. 45. Arizona Civic Health Index National Arizona Greater TucsonVoter Registration 71.0% 68.9% 76.3%Voter Turnout 63.6% 59.8% 64.5%Discuss Politics Frequently 39.3% 39.1% 44.3%Participate in non-voting 26.3% 24.8% 25.9%political activities
  46. 46. Arizona Civic Health Index National Arizona Greater TucsonExchange favors with 16.0% 13.5% 18.8%neighbors a few x/weekEat dinner with family 89.1% 86.9% 95.1%almost every dayBelong to a group that 35.1% 34.3% 37.6%meets regularly
  47. 47. How much people care about each other in your area
  48. 48. Leadership doing a good jobLeaders represent my views
  49. 49. How will your city be as a place to live in 5 years?
  50. 50. •  Valuable set of shared values.•  Clear understanding of consequences of future growth.•  Significant citizen concern that the region won’t be as good a place to live in the future.•  An opportunity to shape the future to conform to your values.
  51. 51. •  Mobilize people around things that really matter to them.•  Responsibility of leaders to take to the citizens something they like.•  Even better, something in which they have a hand in shaping.
  52. 52. •  Our work says to focus on the power of citizen involvement.•  Reach beyond the usual circles of those who are involved.•  Take a fresh look at the potential of community organizations.•  Involve newcomers.•  Involve young people.
  53. 53. You mobilize community support from allquarters to create the Greater Tucson you want.
  54. 54. Take Action—ScenarioBuilding Workshops
  55. 55.