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A Networked Take on Influence
                                  
Symposium & Workshop on Measuring Influence on Social Media | #Influence12
             Social Media Lab, Dalhousie University, Halifax

                         Gilad Lotan | @gilgul
Illustra(on:	
  Ma.	
  Taylor	
  
Sculpting Audiences




                       Alex	
  Dragulescu	
  
Sculpting Audiences




                       Alex	
  Dragulescu	
  
Influence: 
The ability to disproportionately affect the spread of information
                                           purchasing patterns of peers
                                           television viewing behavior




           Within Context => Wanted Action
“Influence” as an Exposed Metric is Problematic

•  Simple quantifiable measure
•  Innate nature
•  People aren’t always rational – may trust
   someone despite past transgressions
•  Exogenous – may come from outside the
   observed network
•  Based on Context
Receptivity of your Audience


                                Flickr:	
  mangpages	
  
f(Topic, Network, Timing, Authority, Trust, Historical Behavior,
                Network Density, Activity…)
Given tweet(s) => if/when to post
Diurnal Patterns
Daily Routines
Geographic Distribution


           USA	
  




                     Germany	
     Indonesia	
  
Data Reflects Us
Identifying Spikes
49ers:	
  36,	
  	
  Saints:	
  32	
  
Typical Sports Event
                                 Game	
  ends!	
  

49ers	
  




            Game	
  starts	
  
TV	
  Show	
  




Social	
  Movement	
                      Awards	
  	
  
                                          Ceremony	
  
Breaking News (zipfian distribution)
Audience & Regional Trends
Trends by Categories




Meme	
                  Entertainment	
             Lifestyle	
                      Sports	
               Poli(cs	
                   Holidays	
  or	
  Date	
   Place	
  or	
  Loca(on	
  

  #UglyNames	
            #TheDarkKnightRises	
       #WhenIGetDrunk	
                 Eli	
  Manning	
       Obama	
                     Halloween	
                   Chilean	
  
  #truthbomb	
            JonahHill	
                 #TodayImWearing	
                #ElClassico	
          StateOfTheUnion	
           Thanksgiving	
                Spain	
  
                                                      #TextMessagesFro
  #IWishIHad	
            Emma	
  Stone	
             mAStalker	
                      #GoLakers	
            World	
  War	
  Web	
       9/11	
                        Staples	
  Center	
  
                          Edward	
  
                          Scissorhands	
              The	
  Boy	
  is	
  Mine	
       ESPNU	
                Arab	
  Spring	
            Pi	
  Day	
                   Wembley	
  
  #ThoughtsWheniLookI
  nTheMirror	
            Foo	
  Fighters	
           #mydivorcesong	
                 Giants	
  Won	
        Michele	
  Bachmann	
       Happy	
  Mothers	
  Day	
     Baghdad	
  

  #10ThingsIFindA.ra
  c(ve	
  
GeoSpan
Persistence




Persistence	
  =	
  A.en(on	
  
Volatility (across cities)

Vola(lity	
  =	
  sum	
  of	
  edit	
  distance	
  in	
  consecu(ve	
  slots	
  of	
  the	
  trending	
  topics	
  list	
  	
  
Audience Attention: Real World Events
How do audiences of different clients react to real world events?
Networked Audiences
Audience Activity
@Pepsi	
  
@AP	
                        Pepsi	
  Promo(on	
  
@AJEnglish	
  




                                    Whitney	
  Houston’s	
  
                                    Tragic	
  Death	
  Announced	
  
Shape of an Audience




                        #Kony2012
Noblesville,	
  IN	
                       Birmingham,	
  AL	
  




Oklahoma	
  City	
  




                                    Engelwood,	
  Dayton,	
  OH	
  
                    Pi.sburgh	
  
#IGoToASchool
Miami
Vancouver
New Jersey
Teen Micro-Celebs
Audience Authorities

•  Highly central users often have many followers

•  Some people are exceptions: not that many followers, but very
   central (e.g. Jezebel)

•  Most valuable users to engage with? Fewer demands on
   attention (less popular globally), but well-connected within
   network.
Information Flows
Bridging by Providing Context
Instead of “Influencer”, think about: 

•    Deviation from the Norm
•    Audience Receptivity
•    Network Attributes: shape, centrality, clustering
•    Bridges: generating trust
•    Context Setting
Thank You
            
Gilad Lotan | @gilgul
   gilad@socialflow.com

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A Networked Take on Influence: what we learn from data