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18 August 2011
                                                                                                                               Americas/United States
                                                                                                                                    Equity Research
                                                                                                                                 Optical Components




                                                                 JDS Uniphase Corp. (JDSU)
                                                                  SMALL & MID CAP RESEARCH


                                                                 Too Soon to Turn Positive
                                                                 ■ Bottom line: JDSU appears to be late cycle; we wait for more positive
                                                                   channel checks to turn constructive on the stock. JDSU’s June quarter
                                                                   results showed the first q/q decline in what we see as a 2-3 quarter
                                                                   correction in optical components & CommsTest markets. Despite the stock’s
                                                                   big decline we wait for more positive channel checks to turn constructive on
                                                                   the stock. C11 EPS goes from $0.92 to $0.80 & C12 from $1.03 to $0.76; TP
                                                                   goes from $15.50 to $11.50 based on 15x our C12 EPS.
                                                                 ■ FQ4 in line; FQ1 guidance below consensus: FQ4 sales of $472.4m
                                                                   (+3.7% q/q) beat consensus of $466m (+2.7% q/q) & EPS of $0.23 matched
Rating                                    NEUTRAL* [V]             consensus. FQ1 guidance of $400-425m revs (-12.7% q/q at mid-pt) &
Price (17 Aug 11, US$)                            11.70
Target price (US$)                  (from 15.50) 11.50¹            implied EPS of $0.13 were well below consensus owing to weaker revs. &
52-week price range                        28.16 - 9.19            OpMgn guidance in the CommTest & optical components businesses.
Market cap. (US$ m)                           2,702.75
                                                                 ■ Good: Revenue in the CommsTest (+11.7% q/q) & AOT (+3% q/q)
*Stock ratings are relative to the relevant country benchmark.
¹Target price is for 12 months.                                    segments, and OpMgn in the AOT segment beat our model. Revenues in
[V] = Stock considered volatile (see Disclosure Appendix).         the commercial laser business were +13% q/q. JDSU recognized first
                                      Research Analysts
                                                                   revenue in its KW fiber laser product. JDSU announced a tunable SFP+ (to
                                       William Stein, CFA
                                                                   offset 2nd sourcing in the tunable XFP portfolio), and established plans to
                                                                   build an LCOS-based WSS (to compete with FNSR). Importantly, bookings
                                                                   in the optical components business rebounded in August.
                                            Rahul Chadha
                                                                 ■ Bad: Overall GPM was 150 bps below our ests, owing to weaker mix in
                                                                   optical components. OpMgn in the CommTest & CCOP segments were
                                                                   below our model. Key optical products revs were weak (ROADMs -24% q/q,
                                                                   Tunable XFPs -6%). Optical components b/b was <1.0. Overall revs & OPM
                                                                   guidance was well below our model owing to CCOP & CommTest shortfalls.
                                                                 ■ Neutral / positive for FNSR: JDSU’s uptick in optical components orders in
                                                                   August may prove positive to FNSR’s October guidance on 9/1.
                                                                 Financial and valuation metrics
                                                                 Year                                 06/10A          06/11E        06/12E     06/13E
                                                                 EPS - (Excl. ESO) (US$)                  0.41           0.93          0.68       0.83
                                                                 EPS (CS adj.) (US$)                      0.41           0.93          0.68       0.83
                                                                 Prev. EPS (CS adj.) (US$)                  —              —           0.97       1.06
                                                                 P/E (CS adj., x)                         28.4           12.5          17.2       14.0
                                                                 P/E rel. (CS adj., %)                  213.5          110.1          169.5      154.6
                                                                 Revenue (US$ m)                      1,373.4        1,816.2        1,725.3    1,820.2
                                                                 EBITDA (US$ m)                         155.7          296.4          263.3      306.8
                                                                 Net debt (US$ m)                         -333          -443           -605       -767
                                                                 OCFPS (US$)                              0.53           0.89          1.09       1.06
                                                                 P/OCF (x)                                18.4           18.7          10.7       11.1
                                                                 Source: Company data, Credit       231.00      Price/sales(x)                    1.49
                                                                 S i
                                                                 BV/share ti t
                                                                            (current, US$)               4.4    P/BVPS (x)                         2.7
                                                                 Net debt (current, US$ m)           -419.4     Dividend (06/10A, US$)              —
                                                                 Dividend yield (%)                       —
                                                                 Source: Company data, Credit Suisse estimates.

 DISCLOSURE APPENDIX CONTAINS IMPORTANT DISCLOSURES, ANALYST CERTIFICATIONS, INFORMATION ON
 TRADE ALERTS, ANALYST MODEL PORTFOLIOS AND THE STATUS OF NON-U.S ANALYSTS. U.S. Disclosure:
 Credit Suisse does and seeks to do business with companies covered in its research reports. As a result, investors should be
 aware that the Firm may have a conflict of interest that could affect the objectivity of this report. Investors should consider this
 report as only a single factor in making their investment decision.
18 August 2011



Optical Component Data Points Continue to Be
Mixed
We’ve recently seen several data points that could be used to argue both sides of the
optical debate. Ultimately we do not see enough evidence of an end to the demand pause;
as a result, we remain Neutral on the optical components companies (JDSU and FNSR)
today, and wait for our channel checks to turn more positive before becoming constructive.
Key points include the following.

■   Infonetics suggests that optical systems demand rebounded in Q2, most
    notably at a very important customer, Huawei. Infonetics recently reported that
    global optical equipment spending was +12.8% q/q in 2Q driven by a surge in
    spending by two major Chinese OEMs: Huawei & ZTE, & that carrier capex spend
    ramped up in China but remained healthy in North America. Infonetics noted that
    ROADM spending was +9.2% q/q & 40G coherent shipments continue to do well,
    highlighting that the excess inventory has burned off. These comments suggest that
    Huawei, a critical customer in the optical supply chain, is ordering components again.
    While this data is clearly positive, what’s not clear is the timing of the benefit to the
    component vendors. If the revenue relates to shipments made in prior quarters, then
    the component companies may have seen this benefit months ago; it’s just not clear.

■   FN noted a revenue upside at the end of the June quarter. FN, an optical
    components contract manufacturer that offers a broad read on optical component
    demand, posted FQ4 (Jun) revs of $190m (-2.3% q/q) about 7% above consensus of
    $177m (-9.2% q/q), & guided FQ1 (Sep) revs to be $175.5m (-7.8% q/q), slightly below
    consensus. The company saw “drop-in” orders in the last 2 weeks of the June quarter.
    To us this offers a reasonable signal that inventory is relatively lean and component
    demand is tracking closer to end market demand. On the negative side, the
    company’s outlook was slightly below consensus, and did not get any special haircut
    owing to the weakening macro environment. So, the data from FN are not conclusive
    despite the revenue upside in the June quarter.

■   JDSU’s booking trends. JDSU had “spotty” bookings trends in April, May, June, and
    July, with the bookings trend turning positive in August month to date. This could
    suggest JDSU has seen the worst of the bookings, but even by management’s own
    acknowledgement, two weeks of better orders does not make a trend.

■   Channel checks. Ultimately we view these as the most reliable source of information
    on what’s happening in the supply chain. While the tone and content of the discussion
    could change very quickly, the last round of checks we’ve done does not show any
    meaningful change in the demand trend, which our checks say remains in a flat to
    declining trajectory.




JDS Uniphase Corp. (JDSU)                                                                                   2
18 August 2011



FQ4 Results
In Exhibit 1 we provide a snapshot of JDSU’s FQ4 results and FQ1 guidance.

Exhibit 1: Snapshot
in millions, unless otherwise stated
JDSU                                       3QF11                                 4QF11                                             1QF12
$ millions, except EPS
                                           Actual         Actual         CS      Consensus   Guidance      CS (new) CS (old) Consensus          Guidance

Revenue - non GAAP                        $ 455.4     $     472.3       $466.1       $466       $445-475   $ 415.5 $ 454.5             $472         $400-425
change q/q                                  -4.6%            3.7%         2.4%       2.4%                    -12.0%  -2.5%             1.3%

Gross Margin                                  47.6%         46.7%       48.2%                                  43.4%       48.0%

Op. Margin                                    12.1%         12.3%       12.6%                 11.5-13.5%        8.3%       12.6%                      7.5-9.5%
Oper. EPS, with options exp.                  $0.22         $0.23       $0.22        $0.23                     $0.13       $0.21      $0.24    $0.13 (Implied)

Receivable Days                                66.3          63.7        66.3                                   63.7       66.3
Inventory Days                                 61.4          60.8        61.4                                   60.8       61.4
Payable Days                                   57.9          51.7        57.9                                   51.7       57.9
Cash Cycle Days                                69.8          72.9        69.8                                   72.9       69.8

Cash from operations                      $    52.9   $      57.0   $    57.7                              $    89.0   $   74.2
Free cash flow                            $    18.8   $      26.1   $    34.4                              $    64.1   $   53.8

Source: Company data, Credit Suisse estimates; FactSet



Segment performance
In Exhibit 2 we provide a snapshot of JDSU’s FQ4 segment results and our FQ1
estimates.




JDS Uniphase Corp. (JDSU)                                                                                                                                   3
JDS Uniphase Corp. (JDSU)




                            Exhibit 2: Segment Performance
                            in millions, unless otherwise stated
                            JDSU                           3QF11                        4QF11                                       1QF12                                                 COMMENTS
                            $ millions
                                                           Actual        Actual        CS         Guidance        CS (new) CS (old)          Guidance

                            Communications T&M
                            Sales                        $ 189.2     $     211.3 $ 208.1          Up 6-13%        $ 181.7 $ 199.8           Down 12-15%   FQ4: Revenues were up 11.7% q/q & up 13.5% y/y. Americas was up q/q &
                            change q/q                     -18.2%          11.7%   10.0%                            -14.0%  -4.0%                         EMEA & Asia Pacific were weak. Book-to-bill was ~1.0. OPM was below our
                                                                                                                                                          model & towards the low end of guidance.
                            Operating Profit             $    22.6   $      30.4 $ 31.4                           $    16.6 $ 29.7
                            Op. Margin                       11.9%         14.4%   15.1%           14-17%              9.1%  14.9%            8.5-10%     FQ1: Mgmt expects revenues to be down 12-15%, below normal seasonality.


                            CCOP
                                                                                                                                                          FQ4: Revenues were down 3.4% q/q & up 28.6% y/y. Optical communication
                            Sales                        $ 209.4     $     202.3   $ 202.9       Down 2-4%        $ 178.0      $ 196.8      Down 10-13%   revenues were down 5.5% q/q (ROADMs down 24.4% q/q, Tunable XFPs
                            change q/q                        9.6%         -3.4%       -3.1%                          -12.0%       -3.0%                  down 6% q/q). Commercial Laser revenue were up 12.6% q/q owing to
                                                                                                                                                          strong demand for solid state lasers. book-to-bill in the optical components
                                                                                                                                                          business was <1.0 but started picking up in August.
                            Operating Profit             $    39.6   $      32.2   $   36.3                       $    24.9    $   35.1
                                                                                                                                                          FQ1: Mgmt expects revenues to decline 10-13% q/q, below normal
                            Op. Margin                       18.9%         15.9%       17.9%     Down 1% q/q          14.0%        17.8%      13-15%      seasonality, mostly driven by inventory correction in optical components.
                                                                                                (Implied 17.9%)
                            AOT
                            Sales                        $    56.8   $      58.7 $ 55.1          Down 2-4%        $     55.8 $     57.9     Down 3-6%
                                                                                                                                                          FQ4: Revenues were up 3.3% q/q & up 7.5% y/y, within management's
                            change q/q                        3.8%          3.3%   -3.0%                               -5.0%       5.0%
                                                                                                                                                          expectations. Book-to-bill was >1.0.
                            Operating Profit             $    17.9   $      20.0 $ 16.0                           $    17.5 $ 17.7
                                                                                                                                                          FQ1: Mgmt expects revenues to be down 3-6%, below normal seasonality.
                            Op. Margin                       31.5%         34.1%   29.1%           28-30%             31.3%   30.6%           30-32%




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         18 August 2011
                            Source: Company data, Credit Suisse estimates
4
18 August 2011



Valuation
Multiple Analysis
In Exhibit 3 we show a price chart with traditional support and resistance P/E bands. In
Exhibit 4, we show the stock’s historical P/E levels compared with that of the industry and
the broader S&P 500.

Exhibit 3: Price Chart                                                                 Exhibit 4: P/E Multiple

                    $40                                                                                            55
                    $35                                                                                            50




                                                                                           NTM P/E Multiple
                                                                                                                   45
                    $30                                                                                            40
    Stock price




                    $25                                                                                            35
                                                                                                                   30
                    $20                                                                                            25
                    $15                                                                                            20
                    $10                                                                                            15
                                                                                                                   10
                      $5                                                                                            5
                   $-                                                                                             -




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                                                                                                              Range             JDSU P/E        SPX P/E          Comps P/E
                  13.9x P/E        24.5x P/E       35.0x P/E          JDSU Price

Source: Credit Suisse and FactSet                                                      Source: Credit Suisse and FactSet



Sensitivity Analysis
In Exhibit 5 we provide a sensitivity analysis demonstrating how the company’s earnings
power and our target price could change if our revenue growth assumptions (and resulting
operating leverage) were slightly more bearish or bullish versus our base case view.

Exhibit 5: Target Price Sensitivity
                                                CY12 Estimates                     Bear Case Base Case Bull Case
                                                Revenue                            $    1,688 $   1,768 $  1,852
                                                Revenue Growth                          -4.9%     -1.2%      2.7%
                                                Operating Margin                         9.7%     11.7%    13.6%
                                                EPS                                $     0.59 $    0.76 $    0.93

                                                P/E Multiple                            13.0                            15.0          17.0
                                                Implied Target Price               $     7.7                  $         11.4   $      15.8
Source: Company data, Credit Suisse estimates




JDS Uniphase Corp. (JDSU)                                                                                                                                                    5
JDS Uniphase Corp. (JDSU)




                            Exhibit 6: Income Statement
                            in millions, unless otherwise stated
                            JDS Uniphase Corp
                            JDSU                                                                               <--Act     Est-->                                                                                                                          <--Act      Est-->                               <--Act      Est-->
                            INCOME STATEMENT                                               FY11                                            FY12                              FY13                                   FY14                      FY10        FY11           FY12      FY13         FY14       CY10        CY11        CY12        CY13
                                                                              1QF11   2QF11    3QF11       4QF11          1QF12       2QF12     3QF12    4QF12   1QF13 2QF13 3QF13              4QF13   1QF14  2QF14   3QF14   4QF14
                                                                              Sep-10  Dec-10 Mar-11        Jun-11         Sep-11      Dec-11    Mar-12   Jun-12 Sep-12 Dec-12 Mar-13            Jun-13  Sep-13 Dec-13 Mar-14 Jun-14           Jun-10      Jun-11       Jun-12      Jun-13      Jun-14      Dec-10      Dec-11      Dec-12      Dec-13
                            Revenue                                            $405.2 $473.5    $454.0      $471.8         $414.5      $449.6    $420.9  $436.0  $436.6 $475.0  $445.1           $459.1 $460.0 $500.0   $468.8 $483.6         $1,363.9    $1,804.5     $1,721.0    $1,815.7    $1,912.4    $1,601.9    $1,789.9    $1,768.5    $1,864.1
                            Change q/q                                           3.7%  16.9%     -4.1%        3.9%          -12.2%       8.5%      -6.4%    3.6%   0.1%   8.8%    -6.3%            3.1%   0.2%   8.7%    -6.2%   3.1%
                            Change y/y                                          36.1%  38.1%     36.6%       20.7%            2.3%      -5.0%      -7.3%   -7.6%   5.3%   5.6%     5.7%            5.3%   5.4%   5.3%     5.3%   5.3%              5%         32%           -5%         6%          5%         34%         12%          -1%         5%

                            Revenue - non-GAAP adjustment                         6.1      3.7      1.4           0.5         1.0         1.1       1.1      1.1       1.1      1.2      1.1       1.2      1.2      1.3      1.2      1.2         9.5        11.7          4.3         4.6         4.8        17.6         4.1         4.4         4.7
                            Revenue - non GAAP                                  411.3    477.2    455.4         472.3       415.5       450.8     422.0    437.1     437.7    476.2    446.2     460.2    461.1    501.3    470.0    484.8     1,373.4     1,816.2      1,725.3     1,820.2     1,917.2     1,619.5     1,794.0     1,772.9     1,868.8
                            Change q/q                                           3.3%    16.0%    -4.6%          3.7%      -12.0%        8.5%     -6.4%     3.6%      0.1%     8.8%    -6.3%      3.1%     0.2%     8.7%    -6.2%     3.1%
                            Change y/y                                          37.7%    38.8%    36.8%         18.6%        1.0%       -5.5%     -7.3%    -7.5%      5.3%     5.6%     5.7%      5.3%     5.4%     5.3%     5.3%     5.3%         6%         32%           -5%         6%          5%         35%         11%          -1%         5%

                            COGS                                                216.2    244.3    238.5         251.8       235.2       239.4     236.1    238.7     241.0    246.0    242.5     244.7    247.2    252.5    248.8    251.2      760.8       950.8         949.4      974.2       999.7       863.7       964.9       961.8       986.9

                            Gross profit                                        195.1    232.9    216.9         220.5       180.3       211.4     185.9    198.4     196.6    230.2    203.7     215.5    213.9    248.8    221.3    233.6      612.6       865.4         775.9      846.1       917.5       755.8       829.1       811.1       881.9
                            Gross Margin                                        47.4%    48.8%    47.6%         46.7%       43.4%       46.9%     44.0%    45.4%     44.9%    48.3%    45.7%     46.8%    46.4%    49.6%    47.1%    48.2%      44.6%       47.6%         45.0%      46.5%       47.9%       46.7%       46.2%       45.8%       47.2%

                            R&D - Non-GAAP                                       54.4     58.1     58.2          60.3        53.7        55.3      54.0     55.1      56.0     58.0     56.6      57.5     58.5     60.6     59.1     60.1      166.3       231.0         218.1     227.99      238.19       202.1       227.5       223.0       233.1
                            % of sales                                          13.2%    12.2%    12.8%         12.8%       12.9%       12.3%     12.8%    12.6%     12.8%    12.2%    12.7%     12.5%    12.7%    12.1%    12.6%    12.4%

                            SG&A - Non-GAAP                                      96.3    101.7    103.7         102.0        92.0        94.6      92.6     94.1      95.5     98.5     96.4      97.8     99.3    102.4    100.2    101.6      348.9       403.7         373.3      388.2       403.5       377.1       392.3       380.7       395.8
                            % of sales                                          23.4%    21.3%    22.8%         21.6%       22.2%       21.0%     21.9%    21.5%     21.8%    20.7%    21.6%     21.2%    21.5%    20.4%    21.3%    21.0%

                            Total Operating Expenses - non-GAAP                 150.7    159.8    161.9         162.3       145.7       149.9     146.6    149.2     151.5    156.5    153.0     155.2    157.7    163.0    159.3    161.7      515.2       634.7         591.4      616.2       641.7       579.2       619.8       603.8       628.9
                            % of Sales                                          36.6%    33.5%    35.6%         34.4%       35.1%       33.3%     34.7%    34.1%     34.6%    32.9%    34.3%     33.7%    34.2%    32.5%    33.9%    33.4%      37.5%       34.9%         34.3%      33.9%       33.5%       35.8%       34.5%       34.1%       33.7%

                            Operating Income (Loss)                              44.4     73.1     55.0          58.2        34.6        61.4      39.3     49.2      45.1     73.7     50.8      60.3     56.1     85.8     62.0     71.9       97.4       230.7         184.5      229.9       275.8       176.6       209.3       207.3       253.0
                            OPM                                                 10.8%    15.3%    12.1%         12.3%        8.3%       13.6%      9.3%    11.3%     10.3%    15.5%    11.4%     13.1%    12.2%    17.1%    13.2%    14.8%       7.1%       12.7%         10.7%      12.6%       14.4%       10.9%       11.7%       11.7%       13.5%

                            Interest & other income                               0.3      1.6      0.1            0.4         0.7        0.8       0.8       0.9      0.9      1.0      1.0       1.1      1.1      1.1      1.2      1.3         9.6         2.4          3.2         3.9         4.7         6.0         2.0         3.6         4.3
                            Interest expense                                     (6.3)    (6.4)    (6.2)          (6.5)       (6.5)      (6.6)     (6.7)     (6.8)    (7.0)    (7.1)    (7.2)     (7.3)    (7.4)    (7.5)    (7.6)    (7.8)      (24.3)      (25.4)       (26.7)      (28.5)      (30.3)      (24.8)      (25.8)      (27.6)      (29.4)
                            Gain (loss) on sale of investments                    3.2      -        -              -           -          -         -         -        -        -        -         -        -        -        -        -          13.1         3.2          -           -           -          16.2         -           -           -
                            Impairment of investments                             -        -        -              -           -          -         -         -        -        -        -         -        -        -        -        -          (1.4)        -            -           -           -          (0.8)        -           -           -
                            Total Interest & Other Income (Expense) - GAAP       (2.8)    (4.8)    (6.1)          (6.1)       (5.8)      (5.8)     (5.9)     (6.0)    (6.0)    (6.1)    (6.2)     (6.2)    (6.3)    (6.4)    (6.5)    (6.5)       (3.0)      (19.8)       (23.5)      (24.6)      (25.7)       (3.4)      (23.8)      (24.0)      (25.1)

                            Total adjustments to derive non-GAAP interest         1.1      3.9      4.9            4.8         4.7        4.7       4.7       4.7      4.7      4.7      4.7       4.7      4.7      4.7      4.7      4.7         -         14.7          18.8        18.8        18.8        (1.9)       19.1        18.8       18.8
                            Total Interest & Other Income (Expense)              (1.7)    (0.9)    (1.2)          (1.3)       (1.1)      (1.1)     (1.2)     (1.3)    (1.3)    (1.4)    (1.5)     (1.5)    (1.6)    (1.7)    (1.8)    (1.8)       (3.0)      (5.1)         (4.7)       (5.8)       (6.9)       (5.3)       (4.7)       (5.2)      (6.3)

                            Pretax Income                                        42.7     72.2     53.8          56.9        33.5        60.3      38.1     48.0      43.8     72.3     49.3      58.7     54.5     84.1     60.2     70.1       94.4       225.6         179.9      224.1       269.0       171.3       204.6       202.1       246.6
                            Pretax Margin                                       10.4%    15.1%    11.8%         12.0%        8.1%       13.4%      9.0%    11.0%     10.0%    15.2%    11.0%     12.8%    11.8%    16.8%    12.8%    14.5%       6.9%       12.4%         10.4%      12.3%       14.0%       10.7%       11.4%       11.4%       13.2%

                            Taxes                                                (2.1)     5.2      2.8           3.0         3.4         6.0       3.8      4.8       4.4      7.2      4.9       5.9      5.5      8.4      6.0      7.0        2.5         8.9          18.0       22.4        26.9         3.2        15.2        20.2        24.7
                            Tax Rate                                            -4.9%     7.2%     5.2%          5.3%       10.0%       10.0%     10.0%    10.0%     10.0%    10.0%    10.0%     10.0%    10.0%    10.0%    10.0%    10.0%       2.6%        3.9%         10.0%      10.0%       10.0%        1.9%        7.4%       10.0%       10.0%

                            Income (Loss) from Discontinued Ops.                  -        -        -             -           -           -         -        -         -        -        -         -        -        -        -        -          (2.1)        -            -           -           -          (0.8)        -           -           -

                            Net Income                                           44.8     67.0     51.0          53.9        30.2        54.3      34.3     43.2      39.4     65.1     44.3      52.9     49.1     75.7     54.2     63.1       91.9       216.7         161.9      201.7       242.1       168.1       189.4       181.9       221.9
                            Net Margin                                          10.9%    14.0%    11.2%         11.4%        7.3%       12.0%      8.1%     9.9%      9.0%    13.7%     9.9%     11.5%    10.6%    15.1%    11.5%    13.0%       6.7%       11.9%          9.4%      11.1%       12.6%       10.5%       10.6%       10.3%       11.9%

                            EPS                                                 $0.20 $ 0.29 $ 0.22        $     0.23       $0.13       $0.23     $0.14     $0.18    $0.16    $0.27    $0.18     $0.22    $0.20    $0.31    $0.22    $0.26      $0.41       $0.93         $0.68      $0.83       $0.99       $0.74       $0.80       $0.76       $0.91
                            Growth y/y                                       NMF      NMF    NMF                57.2%      -35.1%      -21.7%    -33.6%    -21.1%    28.4%    17.9%    27.3%     20.4%    22.5%    14.4%    20.3%    17.4%     126.2%      127.9%        -27.1%      22.5%       18.1%      521.8%        8.5%       -5.4%       20.0%

                            Original Diluted Shares                             227.5    229.1    235.4         235.7       236.2       237.2     238.2    239.2     240.2    241.2    242.2     243.2    244.2    245.2    246.2    247.2
                            Stock Split                                           1.0      1.0      1.0           1.0         1.0         1.0       1.0      1.0       1.0      1.0      1.0       1.0      1.0      1.0      1.0      1.0
                            Diluted Shares O/S                                  227.5    229.1    235.4         235.7       236.2       237.2     238.2    239.2     240.2    241.2    242.2     243.2    244.2    245.2    246.2    247.2      222.9       231.9         237.7      241.7       245.7       227.3       236.1       239.7       243.7




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           18 August 2011
                            Source: Company data, Credit Suisse estimates
6
JDS Uniphase Corp. (JDSU)




                            Exhibit 7: Balance Sheet
                            in millions, unless otherwise stated
                            JDS Uniphase Corp
                            JDSU                                                             <--Act    Est-->                                                                                                                            <--Act    Est-->                        <--Act    Est-->
                            BALANCE SHEET                                     FY11                                     FY12                                    FY13                                    FY14                    FY10      FY11      FY12      FY13      FY14      CY10      CY11      CY12      CY13
                                                               1QF11     2QF11    3QF11      4QF11     1QF12     2QF12    3QF12      4QF12     1QF13     2QF13     3QF13     4QF13     1QF14     2QF14     3QF14     4QF14
                                                               Sep-10    Dec-10  Mar-11      Jun-11    Sep-11    Dec-11   Mar-12     Jun-12    Sep-12    Dec-12    Mar-13    Jun-13    Sep-13    Dec-13    Mar-14    Jun-14    Jun-10    Jun-11    Jun-12    Jun-13    Jun-14    Dec-10    Dec-11    Dec-12    Dec-13
                            ASSETS
                            Cash and Cash Equivalents            370.3     408.6     407.8     395.4     459.5     488.8     545.1     577.8     616.8     652.8     718.5     760.3     807.6     851.7     927.1     977.6     340.2     395.4     577.8     760.3     977.6     408.6     488.8     652.8     851.7
                            Short-Term Investments               215.6     212.3     256.7     297.4     297.4     297.4     297.4     297.4     297.4     297.4     297.4     297.4     297.4     297.4     297.4     297.4     227.4     297.4     297.4     297.4     297.4     212.3     297.4     297.4     297.4
                            Restricted Cash                       34.1      34.4      36.0      35.9      35.9      35.9      35.9      35.9      35.9      35.9      35.9      35.9      35.9      35.9      35.9      35.9      32.5      35.9      35.9      35.9      35.9      34.4      35.9      35.9      35.9
                            Accounts Receivable                  297.0     339.2     334.5     334.0     293.4     318.3     298.0     308.7     309.1     336.2     315.1     325.0     325.6     354.0     331.9     342.3     271.8     334.0     308.7     325.0     342.3     339.2     318.3     336.2     354.0
                            Inventories                          136.9     145.1     163.8     171.2     168.9     171.7     169.5     171.3     172.8     176.1     173.8     175.3     177.0     180.5     178.0     179.6     125.7     171.2     171.3     175.3     179.6     145.1     171.7     176.1     180.5
                            Income taxes recoverable               3.9       -         -         -         -         -         -         -         -         -         -         -         -         -         -         -         4.0       -         -         -         -         -         -         -         -
                            Other Current Assets                  63.3      72.6      63.9      70.2      70.2      70.2      70.2      70.2      70.2      70.2      70.2      70.2      70.2      70.2      70.2      70.2      73.0      70.2      70.2      70.2      70.2      72.6      70.2      70.2      70.2
                             Total Current Assets              1,121.1   1,212.2   1,262.7   1,304.1   1,325.4   1,382.4   1,416.1   1,461.2   1,502.2   1,568.7   1,610.9   1,664.1   1,713.7   1,789.7   1,840.5   1,903.1   1,074.6   1,304.1   1,461.2   1,664.1   1,903.1   1,212.2   1,382.4   1,568.7   1,789.7

                            PP&E - Net                           205.5     214.6     231.9     248.9     254.3     252.3     249.4     247.3     245.4     245.2     243.8     243.0     242.4     243.4     243.1     243.4     183.0     248.9     247.3     243.0     243.4    214.6     252.3     245.2     243.4
                            Deferred income tax                    3.6       -         -         -         -         -         -         -         -         -         -         -         -         -         -         -         3.2       -         -         -         -
                            Goodwill                              66.0      66.4      66.4      67.4      67.4      67.4      67.4      67.4      67.4      67.4      67.4      67.4      67.4      67.4      67.4      67.4      66.0      67.4      67.4      67.4      67.4      66.4      67.4      67.4      67.4
                            Intangible Assets - Net              339.5     316.4     296.7     275.4     253.4     231.4     209.4     187.4     165.4     143.4     121.4      99.4      77.4      55.4      33.4      11.4     357.4     275.4     187.4      99.4      11.4     316.4     231.4     143.4      55.4
                            Investments                            4.9       4.8       4.6       2.9       2.9       2.9       2.9       2.9       2.9       2.9       2.9       2.9       2.9       2.9       2.9       2.9       5.1       2.9       2.9       2.9       2.9       4.8       2.9       2.9       2.9
                            Other Assets                          14.7      16.3      51.7      52.0      52.0      52.0      52.0      52.0      52.0      52.0      52.0      52.0      52.0      52.0      52.0      52.0      14.3      52.0      52.0      52.0      52.0      16.3      52.0      52.0      52.0
                            Total Non-Current Assets             634.2     618.5     651.3     646.6     630.0     606.0     581.1     557.0     533.1     510.9     487.5     464.7     442.1     421.1     398.8     377.1     629.0     646.6     557.0     464.7     377.1     618.5     606.0     510.9     421.1
                            TOTAL ASSETS                       1,755.3   1,830.7   1,914.0   1,950.7   1,955.4   1,988.4   1,997.2   2,018.2   2,035.3   2,079.6   2,098.3   2,128.9   2,155.8   2,210.8   2,239.3   2,280.2   1,703.6   1,950.7   2,018.2   2,128.9   2,280.2   1,830.7   1,988.4   2,079.6   2,210.8

                            LIABILITIES
                            Accounts Payable                    140.6     147.3     154.4     145.4     143.5     145.8     144.0      145.5     146.8     149.6     147.6     148.9     150.3     153.3     151.2     152.6     137.4    145.4     145.5     148.9     152.6     147.3     145.8     149.6     153.3
                            Current Portion of LTD                -         -         -         -         -         -         -          -         -         -         -         -         -         -         -         -         0.2      -         -         -         -         -         -         -         -
                            Accrued payroll and related exps     56.8      81.9      59.9      76.7      76.7      76.7      76.7       76.7      76.7      76.7      76.7      76.7      76.7      76.7      76.7      76.7      62.9     76.7      76.7      76.7      76.7
                            Taxes Payable                        20.6      22.9      21.2      21.5      21.5      21.5      21.5       21.5      21.5      21.5      21.5      21.5      21.5      21.5      21.5      21.5      19.8     21.5      21.5      21.5      21.5      22.9      21.5      21.5      21.5
                            Deferred Taxes                        -         -         -         -         -         -         -          -         -         -         -         -         -         -         -         -         2.1      -         -         -         -
                            Restructuring accrual                 -         -         -         -         -         -         -          -         -         -         -         -         -         -         -         -         7.1      -         -         -         -
                            Warranty accrual                      -         -         -         -         -         -         -          -         -         -         -         -         -         -         -         -         7.3      -         -         -         -
                            Other                               149.6     161.9     170.9     175.0     175.0     175.0     175.0      175.0     175.0     175.0     175.0     175.0     175.0     175.0     175.0     175.0     114.1    175.0     175.0     175.0     175.0     161.9     175.0     175.0     175.0
                            Total Current Liabilities           367.6     414.0     406.4     418.6     416.7     419.0     417.2      418.7     420.0     422.8     420.8     422.1     423.5     426.5     424.4     425.8     350.9    418.6     418.7     422.1               414.0     419.0     422.8     420.8

                            Long Term Debt                      271.6     276.3     281.1     285.8     290.8     295.8     300.8      305.8     310.8     315.8     320.8     325.8     330.8     335.8     340.8     345.8     267.1    285.8     305.8     325.8     345.8     276.3     295.8     315.8     335.8
                            Other Non-Current Liabilities       193.4     183.2     189.7     180.9     180.9     180.9     180.9      180.9     180.9     180.9     180.9     180.9     180.9     180.9     180.9     180.9     176.9    180.9     180.9     180.9     180.9     183.2     180.9     180.9     180.9
                            Total Non-Current Liabilities       465.0     459.5     470.8     466.7     471.7     476.7     481.7      486.7     491.7     496.7     501.7     506.7     511.7     516.7     521.7     526.7     444.0    466.7     486.7     506.7     526.7     459.5     476.7     496.7     516.7
                            TOTAL LIABILITIES                   832.6     873.5     877.2     885.3     888.4     895.7     898.9      905.4     911.7     919.5     922.5     928.8     935.2     943.2     946.1     952.5     794.9    885.3     905.4     928.8     952.5     873.5     895.7     919.5     943.2

                            SHAREHOLDERS' EQUITY
                            Attributable to JDS                 922.7     957.2    1,036.8   1,065.4   1,067.0   1,092.7   1,098.3   1,112.8   1,123.6   1,160.1   1,175.8   1,200.1   1,220.5   1,267.6   1,293.2   1,327.7     908.7   1,065.4   1,112.8   1,200.1   1,327.7
                            Noncontrolling Interest               -         -          -         -         -         -         -         -         -         -         -         -         -         -         -         -         -         -         -         -         -
                            TOTAL SHAREHOLDER'S EQUITY          922.7     957.2    1,036.8   1,065.4   1,067.0   1,092.7   1,098.3   1,112.8   1,123.6   1,160.1   1,175.8   1,200.1   1,220.5   1,267.6   1,293.2   1,327.7     908.7   1,065.4   1,112.8   1,200.1   1,327.7    957.2    1,092.7   1,160.1   1,267.6

                            TOTAL LIABILITIES & EQUITY         1,755.3   1,830.7   1,914.0   1,950.7   1,955.4   1,988.4   1,997.2   2,018.2   2,035.3   2,079.6   2,098.3   2,128.9   2,155.8   2,210.8   2,239.3   2,280.2   1,703.6   1,950.7   2,018.2   2,128.9   2,280.2   1,830.7   1,988.4   2,079.6   2,210.8




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         18 August 2011
                            Source: Company data, Credit Suisse estimates
7
JDS Uniphase Corp. (JDSU)




                            Exhibit 8: Cash Flows
                            in millions, unless otherwise stated
                            JDS Uniphase Corp
                            JDSU                                                                               <--Act     Est-->                                                                                                                                  <--Act     Est-->                           <--Act     Est-->
                            CASH FLOWS                                                         FY11                                      FY12                                     FY13                                       FY14                      FY10       FY11       FY12       FY13       FY14       CY10       CY11       CY12       CY13
                                                                                1QF11     2QF11   3QF11        4QF11      1QF12     2QF12   3QF12       4QF12      1QF13     2QF13   3QF13       4QF13      1QF14      2QF14     3QF14      4QF14
                                                                                Sep-10    Dec-10 Mar-11        Jun-11     Sep-11    Dec-11 Mar-12       Jun-12     Sep-12    Dec-12 Mar-13       Jun-13     Sep-13     Dec-13   Mar-14      Jun-14     Jun-10     Jun-11     Jun-12     Jun-13     Jun-14     Dec-10     Dec-11     Dec-12     Dec-13
                            Cash at start of period                              340.2     370.3    408.6        407.8     395.4     459.5    488.8       545.1     577.8     616.8    652.8       718.5      760.3      807.6     851.7      927.1      286.9      340.2      395.4      577.8      760.3      364.8      408.6      488.8      652.8

                            Operating Cash Flow
                            Net Income                                             0.1       23.6      38.6       9.3       (9.3)      14.8     (5.3)       3.7      (0.1)      25.6      4.8       13.3        9.6       36.2      14.7       23.6      (61.8)      71.6        3.8       43.6       84.0       13.3       53.4       23.8       63.9
                            Depreciation                                          14.8       16.1      16.6      18.2       19.5       19.9     19.8       19.5      19.4       19.2     19.2       19.1       19.0       19.0      19.1       19.0       58.3       65.7       78.7       76.9       76.1       59.3       74.2       77.9       76.3
                            Asset retirement obligations & deferred rent exps      0.2        0.2       0.2       -          -          -        -          -         -          -        -          -          -          -         -          -         (7.1)       0.6        -          -          -         (1.6)       0.2        -          -
                            Amortization of intangible assets                     22.7       22.1      22.3      22.0       22.0       22.0     22.0       22.0      22.0       22.0     22.0       22.0       22.0       22.0      22.0       22.0       78.4       89.1       88.0       88.0       88.0       84.9       88.3       88.0       88.0
                            Stock-based compensation                               9.0       10.0      10.9      10.9       10.9       10.9     10.9       10.9      10.9       10.9     10.9       10.9       10.9       10.9      10.9       10.9       43.1       40.8       43.6       43.6       43.6       39.0       43.6       43.6       43.6
                            Amortization of debt issuance costs & debt disc        4.7        4.9       5.0       5.0        5.0        5.0      5.0        5.0       5.0        5.0      5.0        5.0        5.0        5.0       5.0        5.0       17.9       19.6       20.0       20.0       20.0       18.7       20.0       20.0       20.0
                            Non-cash changes in ST investments                     1.5        0.3       0.9       -          -          -        -          -         -          -        -          -          -          -         -          -          2.9        2.7        -          -          -          3.4        0.9        -          -
                            Gain on disposal of fixed assets                      (3.2)      (0.1)      0.2       -          -          -        -          -         -          -        -          -          -          -         -          -          -         (3.1)       -          -          -         (4.1)       0.2        -          -
                            Loss & impairment of LT assets                         -          -         -         -          -          -        -          -         -          -        -          -          -          -         -          -         (1.3)       -          -          -          -         (1.3)       -          -          -
                            Impairment of goodwill                                 -          -         -         -          -          -        -          -         -          -        -          -          -          -         -          -          -          -          -          -          -          -          -          -          -
                            Impairment of investments                              -          -         0.2       -          -          -        -          -         -          -        -          -          -          -         -          -          1.4        0.2        -          -          -          0.8        0.2        -          -
                            Activity related to equity investments                 -          -         -         -          -          -        -          -         -          -        -          -          -          -         -          -         (2.0)       -          -          -          -          -          -          -          -
                            Provision for allowance for bad debts                 (0.3)       0.5       0.4       -          -          -        -          -         -          -        -          -          -          -         -          -          0.6        0.6        -          -          -          0.6        0.4        -          -
                            Change in A/R                                        (19.2)     (44.1)      8.4       0.5       40.6      (24.9)    20.3      (10.7)     (0.4)     (27.2)    21.2       (9.9)      (0.6)     (28.3)     22.1      (10.4)     (61.4)     (54.4)      25.3      (16.3)     (17.3)     (87.5)      24.6      (17.9)     (17.7)
                            Change in inventory                                   (7.7)      (8.9)    (15.8)     (7.4)       2.3       (2.8)     2.2       (1.7)     (1.6)      (3.3)     2.3       (1.5)      (1.7)      (3.5)      2.5       (1.6)      22.2      (39.8)      (0.1)      (4.0)      (4.3)     (17.8)     (23.7)      (4.4)      (4.4)
                            Change in other current assets                        10.2       (5.8)    (22.0)     (6.3)       -          -        -          -         -          -        -          -          -          -         -          -         16.4      (23.9)       -          -          -         (3.0)     (28.3)       -          -
                            Change in accs payable                                (3.0)      10.4       7.5      (9.0)      (1.9)       2.4     (1.9)       1.5       1.3        2.8     (2.0)       1.3        1.4        3.0      (2.1)       1.4       20.8        5.9        0.1        3.4        3.7       35.4       (1.1)       3.7        3.7
                            Change in income taxes payable                        (3.6)       1.2      (2.2)      0.3        -          -        -          -         -          -        -          -          -          -         -          -         (9.5)      (4.3)       -          -          -        (10.8)      (1.9)       -          -
                            Change in deferred taxes, net                         (1.1)      (0.1)      1.2       -          -          -        -          -         -          -        -          -          -          -         -          -         (4.5)       -          -          -          -         (3.6)       1.2        -          -
                            Change in accrued payroll & related exps             (10.0)      23.4     (25.3)     16.8        -          -        -          -         -          -        -          -          -          -         -          -         11.7        4.9        -          -          -         15.7       (8.5)       -          -
                            Other                                                 20.6        7.0       5.8      (3.3)       -          -        -          -         -          -        -          -          -          -         -          -         (6.9)      30.1        -          -          -         18.2        2.5        -          -
                            Net Cash Provided by Operating Activities             35.7       60.7      52.9      57.0       89.0       47.3     73.1       50.1      56.5       55.0     83.4       60.2       65.6       64.2      94.1       69.8      119.2      206.3      259.5      255.2      293.8      159.6      246.2      234.7      273.5

                            Investing Cash Flow
                            Purchase of available for sale investments           (61.2)     (72.0)   (117.8)       -         -          -        -          -         -          -        -          -          -          -         -          -       (427.1)    (251.0)       -          -          -       (241.4)    (117.8)       -          -
                            Maturities and sales of investments                   72.5       75.8      71.8        -         -          -        -          -         -          -        -          -          -          -         -          -        623.5      220.1        -          -          -        359.1       71.8        -          -
                            Changes in restricted cash                            (1.6)       1.3      (1.7)      (0.1)      -          -        -          -         -          -        -          -          -          -         -          -        (21.1)      (2.1)       -          -          -         (7.8)      (1.8)       -          -
                            Acquisitions                                           -          -         -          -         -          -        -          -         -          -        -          -          -          -         -          -       (207.3)       -          -          -          -       (164.3)       -          -          -
                            Purchases of LT investments                            -          -         -          -         -          -        -          -         -          -        -          -          -          -         -          -         (0.5)       -          -          -          -          -          -          -          -
                            Proceeds of sale of assets, net                        0.6        -         0.1        -         -          -        -          -         -          -        -          -          -          -         -          -          2.0        0.7        -          -          -          0.2        0.1        -          -
                            Purchase of PPE                                      (23.3)     (28.3)    (34.2)     (30.9)    (24.9)     (18.0)   (16.8)     (17.4)    (17.5)     (19.0)   (17.8)     (18.4)     (18.4)     (20.0)    (18.8)     (19.3)     (36.9)    (116.7)     (77.1)     (72.6)     (76.5)     (70.8)    (108.0)     (70.7)     (74.6)
                            Other                                                  -          -         -          -         -          -        -          -         -          -        -          -          -          -         -          -          2.0        -          -          -          -          -          -          -          -
                            Net Cash Provided from Investing Activities          (13.0)     (23.2)    (81.8)     (31.0)    (24.9)     (18.0)   (16.8)     (17.4)    (17.5)     (19.0)   (17.8)     (18.4)     (18.4)     (20.0)    (18.8)     (19.3)     (65.4)    (149.0)     (77.1)     (72.6)     (76.5)    (125.0)    (155.7)     (70.7)     (74.6)

                            Financing Cash Flow
                            Repurchase of convertible debt                         -         (0.2)     -           -         -         -         -          -         -         -         -          -          -          -         -          -          0.0       (0.2)       0.0        0.0        0.0       (0.2)       0.0        0.0        0.0
                            Payments on financing obligations                     (1.9)      (1.9)    (1.9)        -         -         -         -          -         -         -         -          -          -          -         -          -         (8.6)      (5.7)       0.0        0.0        0.0       (7.3)      (1.9)       0.0        0.0
                            Proceeds from (Payments) financing obligation          -          -        -           -         -         -         -          -         -         -         -          -          -          -         -          -          0.0        0.0        0.0        0.0        0.0        0.0        0.0        0.0        0.0
                            Repurchase of common stock                             -          -        -           -         -         -         -          -         -         -         -          -          -          -         -          -          0.0        0.0        0.0        0.0        0.0        0.0        0.0        0.0        0.0
                            Issuance of stock                                      5.9        2.8     28.0         -         -         -         -          -         -         -         -          -          -          -         -          -          9.6       36.7        0.0        0.0        0.0       16.1       28.0        0.0        0.0
                            Other                                                  -          -                  (38.4)      -         -         -          -         -         -         -          -          -          -         -          -          0.0      (38.4)       0.0        0.0        0.0        0.0      (38.4)       0.0        0.0
                            Net Cash Used for Financing Activities                 4.0        0.7     26.1       (38.4)      -         -         -          -         -         -         -          -          -          -         -          -          1.0       (7.6)       -          -          -          8.6      (12.3)       -          -

                            Effect of Exchange Rates                               3.4        0.1       2.0        -         -         -         -          -         -         -         -          -          -          -         -          -         (1.5)       5.5        -          -          -          0.6        2.0        -          -

                            Total Change in Cash                                  30.1      38.3       (0.8)     (12.4)     64.1      29.3      56.2      32.7       39.1      36.0      65.6       41.8       47.2       44.2      75.4       50.5       53.3       55.2      182.4      182.6      217.3       43.8       80.2      164.0      198.9

                            Cash at End of Period                                370.3     408.6     407.8      395.4      459.5     488.8     545.1     577.8      616.8     652.8     718.5      760.3      807.6      851.7     927.1      977.6    1,387.4    1,582.1    2,071.2    2,748.5    3,564.0    1,552.7    1,751.6    2,392.5    3,138.1




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          18 August 2011
                            Source: Company data, Credit Suisse estimates
8
JDS Uniphase Corp. (JDSU)




                            Exhibit 9: Segments
                            in millions, unless otherwise stated
                                                          JDS Uniphase Corp
                                                          JDSU                                                                                               <--Act          Est-->                                                                                                                                 <--Act     Est-->                           <--Act     Est-->
                                                          SEGMENT BREAKOUT                                                              FY11                                                FY12                                      FY13                                     FY14                       FY10      FY11       FY12       FY13       FY14       CY10       CY11       CY12       CY13
                                                                                                                1QF11      2QF11           3QF11             4QF11           1QF12    2QF12   3QF12          4QF12 1QF13 2QF13 3QF13 4QF13 1QF14 2QF14 3QF14 4QF14
                                                                                                                Sep-10     Dec-10          Mar-11            Jun-11          Sep-11   Dec-11 Mar-12          Jun-12 Sep-12 Dec-12 Mar-13 Jun-13 Sep-13 Dec-13 Mar-14 Jun-14                              Jun-10     Jun-11     Jun-12     Jun-13     Jun-14     Dec-10     Dec-11     Dec-12     Dec-13
                                                          Total Revenues                                         $405.2      $473.5           $454.0           $471.8          $414.5  $449.6  $420.9         $436.0 $436.6 $475.0 $445.1 $459.1 $460.0 $500.0 $468.8 $483.6                             $1,363.9   $1,804.5   $1,721.0   $1,815.7   $1,912.4   $1,601.9   $1,789.9   $1,768.5   $1,864.1
                                                          Change q/q                                                4%         17%               -4%              4%             -12%     8%     -6%             4%     0%     9%    -6%     3%     0%     9%    -6%     3%
                                                          Change y/y                                               36%         38%              37%              21%               2%    -5%     -7%            -8%     5%     6%     6%     5%     5%     5%     5%     5%                                   5%       32%         -5%         6%        5%        34%        12%         -1%         5%

                                                          Communications Test & Measurement
                                                          Revenues                                               182.8        231.4            189.2            211.3          181.7     209.0     186.0      195.3     187.5     215.6      191.9     201.5     193.4     222.4     198.0     207.9       652.2      814.7      772.0      796.4      821.7      746.1      791.2      784.4      809.2
                                                          % total                                                 45%          49%              42%              45%            44%       46%       44%        45%       43%       45%        43%       44%       42%       44%       42%       43%         48%        45%        45%        44%        43%        47%        44%        44%        43%

                                                          Total growth q/q                                         -2%          27%                -18%          12%            -14%       15%      -11%         5%       -4%       15%       -11%        5%       -4%       15%      -11%        5%
                                                          Total growth y/y                                         27%          31%                 30%          13%             -1%      -10%       -2%        -8%        3%        3%         3%        3%        3%        3%        3%        3%        7.6%      24.9%      -5.2%       3.2%       3.2%      27.5%       6.0%      -0.9%       3.2%

                                                                                                                                        -6 to 12%
                                                                                                                                        AFTER $20m
                                                          Management's Growth Guidance q/q                                +6 to 10%     budget flush +6 to 13%        Dn 12-15%
                                                          Typical Seasonal Growth q/q                                                                                         -4%          15%       -11%        5%       -4%       15%       -11%        5%       -4%       15%      -11%        5%
                                                          Other Effects q/q                                                                                                  -10%           0%         0%        0%        0%        0%         0%        0%        0%        0%        0%        0%
                                                          Sensitivity Adjustment                                                                                               0%           0%         0%        0%        0%        0%         0%        0%        0%        0%        0%        0%
                                                          Organic growth q/q                                       -9%          27%                -18%           12%        -14%          15%       -11%        5%       -4%       15%       -11%        5%       -4%       15%      -11%        5%
                                                          Organic growth y/y                                     -0.1%         3.6%                2.8%          5.1%       -0.6%        -9.7%      -1.7%     -7.6%      3.2%      3.2%       3.2%      3.2%      3.2%      3.2%      3.2%      3.2%       -4.3%       2.9%      -5.2%       3.2%       3.2%       4.2%      -1.0%      -0.9%       3.2%

                                                          Gross Profit                                           111.0        140.9            117.1            125.3
                                                          GPM                                                    60.7%        60.9%            61.9%            59.3%

                                                          OpEx                                                    89.3         96.1             94.5             94.9
                                                          OpEx as percentage of revenue                          48.8%        41.5%            50.0%            44.9%

                                                          Operating Profit                                        21.7         44.8             22.6             30.4           16.6      41.1      20.5       28.8      21.8      47.1       25.8      34.4      27.1      53.2      31.2      40.1        81.5      119.5      107.0      129.0      151.8       98.5      110.7      118.2      140.5
                                                          Operating Margin                                       11.9%        19.4%            11.9%            14.4%           9.1%     19.7%     11.0%      14.8%     11.6%     21.8%      13.4%     17.1%     14.0%     23.9%     15.8%     19.3%       12.5%      14.7%      13.9%      16.2%      18.5%      13.2%      14.0%      15.1%      17.4%
                                                          Contribution margin                                   -35.3%        47.5%            52.6%            35.3%          50.0%     90.0%     90.0%      90.0%     90.0%     90.0%      90.0%     90.0%     90.0%     90.0%     90.0%     90.0%       -4.1%      23.4%      29.2%      90.0%      90.0%      17.6%      27.2%    -108.4%      90.0%
                                                          Other effect on OP ($)                                                                                                 1.0       -         -          -         -         -          -         -         -         -         -         -

                                                          Communications & Commercial Optical Products (CCOP)
                                                          Optical Communications                                 143.0        168.4            184.7            174.5                                                                                                                                      426.2                                                  556.0
                                                          change q/q                                              6.2%        17.8%             9.7%            -5.5%

                                                          Gross Profit                                            42.2         55.4             60.8             54.3                                                                                                                                      105.4                                                  164.6
                                                          GPM                                                    29.5%        32.9%            32.9%            31.1%                                                                                                                                      24.7%                                                  29.6%

                                                          Commercial Lasers                                       25.0          22.7               24.7          27.8                                                                                                                                       73.1                                                   89.0
                                                          change q/q                                             10.6%         -9.2%               8.8%         12.6%

                                                          Gross Profit                                            11.4         10.3             11.6             12.1                                                                                                                                       27.2                                                   39.5
                                                          GPM                                                    45.5%        45.5%            46.8%            43.4%                                                                                                                                      37.2%                                                  44.4%

                                                          Total CCOP Revenues                                    168.0        191.1            209.4            202.3          178.0     186.6     179.1      186.1     191.7     200.9      192.8     200.4     206.4     216.3     207.6     215.7       499.3      770.8      729.8      785.7      846.0      645.0      776.3      757.7      815.8
                                                          % total                                                 41%          40%              46%              43%            43%       41%       43%        43%       44%       42%        43%       44%       45%       43%       44%       45%         37%        43%        42%        43%        44%        40%        43%        43%        44%

                                                          Total growth q/q                                          7%          14%                10%           -3%            -12%        5%       -4%         4%        3%        5%        -4%        4%        3%        5%       -4%        4%
                                                          Total growth y/y                                         66%          70%                63%           29%              6%       -2%      -14%        -8%        8%        8%         8%        8%        8%        8%        8%        8%          4%       54%         -5%         8%        8%        59%        20%         -2%         8%

                                                          Management's Growth Guidance q/q                                +6 to 10%     +6 to 10%          -2 to 4%   Dn 10-13%
                                                          Typical Seasonal Growth q/q                                                                                          3%           5%        -4%        4%        3%        5%        -4%        4%        3%        5%       -4%        4%
                                                          Other Effects q/q                                                                                                 -15%            0%         0%        0%        0%        0%         0%        0%        0%        0%        0%        0%
                                                          Sensitivity Adjustment                                                                                               0%           0%         0%        0%        0%        0%         0%        0%        0%        0%        0%        0%
                                                          Organic growth q/q                                        7%          14%              10%              -3%       -12%            5%        -4%        4%        3%        5%        -4%        4%        3%        5%       -4%        4%
                                                          Organic growth y/y                                     66.2%        70.2%            62.8%            28.6%        6.0%        -2.4%     -14.5%     -8.0%      7.7%      7.7%       7.7%      7.7%      7.7%      7.7%      7.7%      7.7%        3.8%      54.4%      -5.3%       7.7%       7.7%      59.4%      20.4%      -2.4%       7.7%

                                                          Gross Profit                                            53.6         65.7             72.5             66.4
                                                          GPM                                                    31.9%        34.4%            34.6%            32.8%

                                                          OpEx                                                    29.4         31.7             32.9             34.2
                                                          OpEx as percentage of revenue                          17.5%        16.6%            15.7%            16.9%

                                                          Operating Profit                                        24.2         34.0             39.6            32.2            24.9      27.5      25.2       27.3      29.0      31.8       29.4      31.6      33.4      36.4      33.8      36.2        33.4      130.0      105.0      121.8      139.8       89.9      124.2      113.4      130.8
                                                          Operating Margin                                       14.4%        17.8%            18.9%           15.9%           14.0%     14.7%     14.1%      14.7%     15.1%     15.8%      15.2%     15.8%     16.2%     16.8%     16.3%     16.8%        6.7%      16.9%      14.4%      15.5%      16.5%      13.9%      16.0%      15.0%      16.0%
                                                          Contribution margin                                    47.7%        42.4%            30.6%          104.2%           30.0%     30.0%     30.0%      30.0%     30.0%     30.0%      30.0%     30.0%     30.0%     30.0%     30.0%     30.0%      230.8%      35.6%      61.0%      30.0%      30.0%      42.6%      26.1%      58.4%      30.0%
                                                          Other effect on OP ($)                                                                                                           -         -          -         -         -          -         -         -         -         -         -

                                                          Advanced Optical Technologies (AOT)
                                                          Revenues                                                60.5         54.7                56.8          58.7           55.8      55.2      56.9       55.7      58.5      59.7       61.5      58.4      61.3      62.5      64.4      61.2       221.9      230.7      223.6      238.1      249.5      228.4      226.5      230.8      243.7
                                                          % total                                                 15%          12%                 13%           12%            13%       12%       14%        13%       13%       13%        14%       13%       13%       13%       14%       13%         16%        13%        13%        13%        13%        14%        13%        13%        13%

                                                          Total growth q/q                                         11%         -10%                  4%               3%          -5%      -1%        3%        -2%        5%        2%         3%       -5%        5%        2%        3%       -5%
                                                          Total growth y/y                                         12%           0%                 -3%               8%          -8%       1%        0%        -5%        5%        8%         8%        5%        5%        5%        5%        5%         6%          4%        -3%         6%        5%         9%         -1%        2%          6%

                                                          Management's Growth Guidance q/q                                DN >10%       +0 to 3%           -2 to 4%        Dn 3-6%
                                                          Typical Seasonal Growth q/q                                                                                              5%       2%        3%        -5%        5%        2%         3%       -5%        5%        2%        3%       -5%
                                                          Other Effects q/q                                                                                                      -10%      -3%        0%         3%        0%        0%         0%        0%        0%        0%        0%        0%
                                                          Sensitivity Adjustment                                                                                                   0%       0%        0%         0%        0%        0%         0%        0%        0%        0%        0%        0%
                                                          Organic growth q/q                                       11%         -10%               4%               3%             -5%      -1%        3%        -2%        5%        2%         3%       -5%        5%        2%        3%       -5%
                                                          Organic growth y/y                                     11.8%         0.2%            -3.1%             7.5%           -7.8%     0.9%      0.1%      -5.1%      4.9%      8.1%       8.1%      4.8%      4.8%      4.8%      4.8%      4.8%        6.5%       4.0%      -3.1%       6.5%       4.8%       8.5%      -0.8%       1.9%       5.6%

                                                          Gross Profit                                            30.5         26.3             27.4             29.0
                                                          GPM                                                    50.4%        48.0%            48.3%            49.4%

                                                          OpEx                                                     8.4          8.6              9.5              9.0
                                                          OpEx as percentage of revenue                          13.9%        15.6%            16.8%            15.3%

                                                          Operating Profit                                        22.1         17.7             17.9            20.0            17.5      17.2      18.0       17.5      18.7      19.2       20.0      18.7      20.0      20.5      21.4      19.9        82.5       77.7       70.1       76.7       81.8       82.1      72.6        73.4       79.2
                                                          Operating Margin                                       36.5%        32.4%            31.5%           34.1%           31.3%     31.2%     31.6%      31.3%     32.0%     32.2%      32.6%     32.0%     32.6%     32.8%     33.2%     32.6%       37.2%      33.7%      31.4%      32.2%      32.8%      35.9%     32.1%       31.8%      32.5%
                                                          Contribution margin                                    39.0%        75.9%             9.5%          110.5%           45.0%     45.0%     45.0%      45.0%     45.0%     45.0%      45.0%     45.0%     45.0%     45.0%     45.0%     45.0%       16.3%     -54.5%     105.9%      45.0%      45.0%      15.6%    492.4%       18.2%      45.0%
                                                          Other effect on OP ($)                                                                                                (1.2)      -         -          -         -         -          -         -         -         -         -         -

                                                          Deferred revenue
                                                          Deferred revenue                                        (6.1)        (3.7)               (1.4)         (0.5)           (1.0)     (1.1)     (1.1)      (1.1)     (1.1)     (1.2)      (1.1)     (1.2)     (1.2)     (1.3)     (1.2)     (1.2)      (9.5)     (11.7)      (4.3)      (4.6)      (4.8)     (17.6)      (4.1)      (4.4)      (4.7)
                                                          % of GAAP Revenue                                       1.5%         0.8%                0.3%          0.1%          0.25%     0.25%     0.25%      0.25%     0.25%     0.25%      0.25%     0.25%     0.25%     0.25%     0.25%     0.25%        0.7%       0.6%       0.3%       0.3%       0.3%       1.1%       0.2%       0.3%       0.3%

                                                          Corporate
                                                          Unallocated corporate expense                          (23.6)        (23.4)          (25.1)           (24.4)          (24.4)   (24.4)     (24.4)    (24.4)    (24.4)    (24.4)     (24.4)    (24.4)    (24.4)    (24.4)     (24.4)   (24.4)     (100.0)     (96.5)     (97.6)     (97.6)     (97.6)     (93.9)     (98.3)     (97.6)     (97.6)
                                                          % of sales                                              5.8%          4.9%            5.5%             5.2%            5.9%     5.4%       5.8%      5.6%      5.6%      5.1%       5.5%      5.3%      5.3%      4.9%       5.2%     5.0%        7.3%       5.3%       5.7%       5.4%       5.1%       5.9%       5.5%       5.5%       5.2%

                                                          Acquisition related charges




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            18 August 2011
                            : Company data, Credit Suisse estimates
9
18 August 2011




Companies Mentioned (Price as of 17 Aug 11)
CIENA Corp. (CIEN, $12.22, OUTPERFORM [V], TP $34.00)
Cisco Systems Inc. (CSCO, $15.85, OUTPERFORM [V], TP $25.00)
EMCORE Corporation (EMKR, $1.72)
Fabrinet (FN, $16.38, NOT RATED)
Finisar Corporation (FNSR, $15.63, NEUTRAL [V], TP $16.00)
JDS Uniphase Corp. (JDSU, $11.70, NEUTRAL [V], TP $11.50)
Neophotonics Corp. (NPTN, $6.65, NOT RATED)
Oclaro Inc. (OCLR, $3.85)
ZTE (0763.HK, HK$19.00)




                                                                Disclosure Appendix
Important Global Disclosures
I, William Stein, CFA, certify that (1) the views expressed in this report accurately reflect my personal views about all of the subject companies and
securities and (2) no part of my compensation was, is or will be directly or indirectly related to the specific recommendations or views expressed in
this report.
See the Companies Mentioned section for full company names.
The analyst(s) responsible for preparing this research report received compensation that is based upon various factors including Credit Suisse's total
revenues, a portion of which are generated by Credit Suisse's investment banking activities.
Analysts’ stock ratings are defined as follows:
Outperform (O): The stock’s total return is expected to outperform the relevant benchmark* by at least 10-15% (or more, depending on perceived
risk) over the next 12 months.
Neutral (N): The stock’s total return is expected to be in line with the relevant benchmark* (range of ±10-15%) over the next 12 months.
Underperform (U): The stock’s total return is expected to underperform the relevant benchmark* by 10-15% or more over the next 12 months.
*Relevant benchmark by region: As of 29th May 2009, Australia, New Zealand, U.S. and Canadian ratings are based on (1) a stock’s absolute total
return potential to its current share price and (2) the relative attractiveness of a stock’s total return potential within an analyst’s coverage universe**,
with Outperforms representing the most attractive, Neutrals the less attractive, and Underperforms the least attractive investment opportunities.
Some U.S. and Canadian ratings may fall outside the absolute total return ranges defined above, depending on market conditions and industry
factors. For Latin American, Japanese, and non-Japan Asia stocks, ratings are based on a stock’s total return relative to the average total return of
the relevant country or regional benchmark; for European stocks, ratings are based on a stock’s total return relative to the analyst's coverage
universe**. For Australian and New Zealand stocks, 12-month rolling yield is incorporated in the absolute total return calculation and a 15% and a
7.5% threshold replace the 10-15% level in the Outperform and Underperform stock rating definitions, respectively. The 15% and 7.5% thresholds
replace the +10-15% and -10-15% levels in the Neutral stock rating definition, respectively.
**An analyst's coverage universe consists of all companies covered by the analyst within the relevant sector.
Restricted (R): In certain circumstances, Credit Suisse policy and/or applicable law and regulations preclude certain types of communications,
including an investment recommendation, during the course of Credit Suisse's engagement in an investment banking transaction and in certain other
circumstances.
Volatility Indicator [V]: A stock is defined as volatile if the stock price has moved up or down by 20% or more in a month in at least 8 of the past 24
months or the analyst expects significant volatility going forward.
Analysts’ coverage universe weightings are distinct from analysts’ stock ratings and are based on the expected
performance of an analyst’s coverage universe* versus the relevant broad market benchmark**:
Overweight: Industry expected to outperform the relevant broad market benchmark over the next 12 months.
Market Weight: Industry expected to perform in-line with the relevant broad market benchmark over the next 12 months.
Underweight: Industry expected to underperform the relevant broad market benchmark over the next 12 months.
*An analyst’s coverage universe consists of all companies covered by the analyst within the relevant sector.
**The broad market benchmark is based on the expected return of the local market index (e.g., the S&P 500 in the U.S.) over the next 12 months.

Credit Suisse’s distribution of stock ratings (and banking clients) is:
                                                 Global Ratings Distribution
                        Outperform/Buy*        48%      (62% banking clients)
                        Neutral/Hold*          39%      (57% banking clients)
                        Underperform/Sell*     10%      (51% banking clients)
                        Restricted              2%
*For purposes of the NYSE and NASD ratings distribution disclosure requirements, our stock ratings of Outperform, Neutral, and Underperform most closely correspond to Buy,
Hold, and Sell, respectively; however, the meanings are not the same, as our stock ratings are determined on a relative basis. (Please refer to definitions above.) An investor's
decision to buy or sell a security should be based on investment objectives, current holdings, and other individual factors.



JDS Uniphase Corp. (JDSU)                                                                                                                                                    10
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Jdsu

  • 1. 18 August 2011 Americas/United States Equity Research Optical Components JDS Uniphase Corp. (JDSU) SMALL & MID CAP RESEARCH Too Soon to Turn Positive ■ Bottom line: JDSU appears to be late cycle; we wait for more positive channel checks to turn constructive on the stock. JDSU’s June quarter results showed the first q/q decline in what we see as a 2-3 quarter correction in optical components & CommsTest markets. Despite the stock’s big decline we wait for more positive channel checks to turn constructive on the stock. C11 EPS goes from $0.92 to $0.80 & C12 from $1.03 to $0.76; TP goes from $15.50 to $11.50 based on 15x our C12 EPS. ■ FQ4 in line; FQ1 guidance below consensus: FQ4 sales of $472.4m (+3.7% q/q) beat consensus of $466m (+2.7% q/q) & EPS of $0.23 matched Rating NEUTRAL* [V] consensus. FQ1 guidance of $400-425m revs (-12.7% q/q at mid-pt) & Price (17 Aug 11, US$) 11.70 Target price (US$) (from 15.50) 11.50¹ implied EPS of $0.13 were well below consensus owing to weaker revs. & 52-week price range 28.16 - 9.19 OpMgn guidance in the CommTest & optical components businesses. Market cap. (US$ m) 2,702.75 ■ Good: Revenue in the CommsTest (+11.7% q/q) & AOT (+3% q/q) *Stock ratings are relative to the relevant country benchmark. ¹Target price is for 12 months. segments, and OpMgn in the AOT segment beat our model. Revenues in [V] = Stock considered volatile (see Disclosure Appendix). the commercial laser business were +13% q/q. JDSU recognized first Research Analysts revenue in its KW fiber laser product. JDSU announced a tunable SFP+ (to William Stein, CFA offset 2nd sourcing in the tunable XFP portfolio), and established plans to build an LCOS-based WSS (to compete with FNSR). Importantly, bookings in the optical components business rebounded in August. Rahul Chadha ■ Bad: Overall GPM was 150 bps below our ests, owing to weaker mix in optical components. OpMgn in the CommTest & CCOP segments were below our model. Key optical products revs were weak (ROADMs -24% q/q, Tunable XFPs -6%). Optical components b/b was <1.0. Overall revs & OPM guidance was well below our model owing to CCOP & CommTest shortfalls. ■ Neutral / positive for FNSR: JDSU’s uptick in optical components orders in August may prove positive to FNSR’s October guidance on 9/1. Financial and valuation metrics Year 06/10A 06/11E 06/12E 06/13E EPS - (Excl. ESO) (US$) 0.41 0.93 0.68 0.83 EPS (CS adj.) (US$) 0.41 0.93 0.68 0.83 Prev. EPS (CS adj.) (US$) — — 0.97 1.06 P/E (CS adj., x) 28.4 12.5 17.2 14.0 P/E rel. (CS adj., %) 213.5 110.1 169.5 154.6 Revenue (US$ m) 1,373.4 1,816.2 1,725.3 1,820.2 EBITDA (US$ m) 155.7 296.4 263.3 306.8 Net debt (US$ m) -333 -443 -605 -767 OCFPS (US$) 0.53 0.89 1.09 1.06 P/OCF (x) 18.4 18.7 10.7 11.1 Source: Company data, Credit 231.00 Price/sales(x) 1.49 S i BV/share ti t (current, US$) 4.4 P/BVPS (x) 2.7 Net debt (current, US$ m) -419.4 Dividend (06/10A, US$) — Dividend yield (%) — Source: Company data, Credit Suisse estimates. DISCLOSURE APPENDIX CONTAINS IMPORTANT DISCLOSURES, ANALYST CERTIFICATIONS, INFORMATION ON TRADE ALERTS, ANALYST MODEL PORTFOLIOS AND THE STATUS OF NON-U.S ANALYSTS. U.S. Disclosure: Credit Suisse does and seeks to do business with companies covered in its research reports. As a result, investors should be aware that the Firm may have a conflict of interest that could affect the objectivity of this report. Investors should consider this report as only a single factor in making their investment decision.
  • 2. 18 August 2011 Optical Component Data Points Continue to Be Mixed We’ve recently seen several data points that could be used to argue both sides of the optical debate. Ultimately we do not see enough evidence of an end to the demand pause; as a result, we remain Neutral on the optical components companies (JDSU and FNSR) today, and wait for our channel checks to turn more positive before becoming constructive. Key points include the following. ■ Infonetics suggests that optical systems demand rebounded in Q2, most notably at a very important customer, Huawei. Infonetics recently reported that global optical equipment spending was +12.8% q/q in 2Q driven by a surge in spending by two major Chinese OEMs: Huawei & ZTE, & that carrier capex spend ramped up in China but remained healthy in North America. Infonetics noted that ROADM spending was +9.2% q/q & 40G coherent shipments continue to do well, highlighting that the excess inventory has burned off. These comments suggest that Huawei, a critical customer in the optical supply chain, is ordering components again. While this data is clearly positive, what’s not clear is the timing of the benefit to the component vendors. If the revenue relates to shipments made in prior quarters, then the component companies may have seen this benefit months ago; it’s just not clear. ■ FN noted a revenue upside at the end of the June quarter. FN, an optical components contract manufacturer that offers a broad read on optical component demand, posted FQ4 (Jun) revs of $190m (-2.3% q/q) about 7% above consensus of $177m (-9.2% q/q), & guided FQ1 (Sep) revs to be $175.5m (-7.8% q/q), slightly below consensus. The company saw “drop-in” orders in the last 2 weeks of the June quarter. To us this offers a reasonable signal that inventory is relatively lean and component demand is tracking closer to end market demand. On the negative side, the company’s outlook was slightly below consensus, and did not get any special haircut owing to the weakening macro environment. So, the data from FN are not conclusive despite the revenue upside in the June quarter. ■ JDSU’s booking trends. JDSU had “spotty” bookings trends in April, May, June, and July, with the bookings trend turning positive in August month to date. This could suggest JDSU has seen the worst of the bookings, but even by management’s own acknowledgement, two weeks of better orders does not make a trend. ■ Channel checks. Ultimately we view these as the most reliable source of information on what’s happening in the supply chain. While the tone and content of the discussion could change very quickly, the last round of checks we’ve done does not show any meaningful change in the demand trend, which our checks say remains in a flat to declining trajectory. JDS Uniphase Corp. (JDSU) 2
  • 3. 18 August 2011 FQ4 Results In Exhibit 1 we provide a snapshot of JDSU’s FQ4 results and FQ1 guidance. Exhibit 1: Snapshot in millions, unless otherwise stated JDSU 3QF11 4QF11 1QF12 $ millions, except EPS Actual Actual CS Consensus Guidance CS (new) CS (old) Consensus Guidance Revenue - non GAAP $ 455.4 $ 472.3 $466.1 $466 $445-475 $ 415.5 $ 454.5 $472 $400-425 change q/q -4.6% 3.7% 2.4% 2.4% -12.0% -2.5% 1.3% Gross Margin 47.6% 46.7% 48.2% 43.4% 48.0% Op. Margin 12.1% 12.3% 12.6% 11.5-13.5% 8.3% 12.6% 7.5-9.5% Oper. EPS, with options exp. $0.22 $0.23 $0.22 $0.23 $0.13 $0.21 $0.24 $0.13 (Implied) Receivable Days 66.3 63.7 66.3 63.7 66.3 Inventory Days 61.4 60.8 61.4 60.8 61.4 Payable Days 57.9 51.7 57.9 51.7 57.9 Cash Cycle Days 69.8 72.9 69.8 72.9 69.8 Cash from operations $ 52.9 $ 57.0 $ 57.7 $ 89.0 $ 74.2 Free cash flow $ 18.8 $ 26.1 $ 34.4 $ 64.1 $ 53.8 Source: Company data, Credit Suisse estimates; FactSet Segment performance In Exhibit 2 we provide a snapshot of JDSU’s FQ4 segment results and our FQ1 estimates. JDS Uniphase Corp. (JDSU) 3
  • 4. JDS Uniphase Corp. (JDSU) Exhibit 2: Segment Performance in millions, unless otherwise stated JDSU 3QF11 4QF11 1QF12 COMMENTS $ millions Actual Actual CS Guidance CS (new) CS (old) Guidance Communications T&M Sales $ 189.2 $ 211.3 $ 208.1 Up 6-13% $ 181.7 $ 199.8 Down 12-15% FQ4: Revenues were up 11.7% q/q & up 13.5% y/y. Americas was up q/q & change q/q -18.2% 11.7% 10.0% -14.0% -4.0% EMEA & Asia Pacific were weak. Book-to-bill was ~1.0. OPM was below our model & towards the low end of guidance. Operating Profit $ 22.6 $ 30.4 $ 31.4 $ 16.6 $ 29.7 Op. Margin 11.9% 14.4% 15.1% 14-17% 9.1% 14.9% 8.5-10% FQ1: Mgmt expects revenues to be down 12-15%, below normal seasonality. CCOP FQ4: Revenues were down 3.4% q/q & up 28.6% y/y. Optical communication Sales $ 209.4 $ 202.3 $ 202.9 Down 2-4% $ 178.0 $ 196.8 Down 10-13% revenues were down 5.5% q/q (ROADMs down 24.4% q/q, Tunable XFPs change q/q 9.6% -3.4% -3.1% -12.0% -3.0% down 6% q/q). Commercial Laser revenue were up 12.6% q/q owing to strong demand for solid state lasers. book-to-bill in the optical components business was <1.0 but started picking up in August. Operating Profit $ 39.6 $ 32.2 $ 36.3 $ 24.9 $ 35.1 FQ1: Mgmt expects revenues to decline 10-13% q/q, below normal Op. Margin 18.9% 15.9% 17.9% Down 1% q/q 14.0% 17.8% 13-15% seasonality, mostly driven by inventory correction in optical components. (Implied 17.9%) AOT Sales $ 56.8 $ 58.7 $ 55.1 Down 2-4% $ 55.8 $ 57.9 Down 3-6% FQ4: Revenues were up 3.3% q/q & up 7.5% y/y, within management's change q/q 3.8% 3.3% -3.0% -5.0% 5.0% expectations. Book-to-bill was >1.0. Operating Profit $ 17.9 $ 20.0 $ 16.0 $ 17.5 $ 17.7 FQ1: Mgmt expects revenues to be down 3-6%, below normal seasonality. Op. Margin 31.5% 34.1% 29.1% 28-30% 31.3% 30.6% 30-32% 18 August 2011 Source: Company data, Credit Suisse estimates 4
  • 5. 18 August 2011 Valuation Multiple Analysis In Exhibit 3 we show a price chart with traditional support and resistance P/E bands. In Exhibit 4, we show the stock’s historical P/E levels compared with that of the industry and the broader S&P 500. Exhibit 3: Price Chart Exhibit 4: P/E Multiple $40 55 $35 50 NTM P/E Multiple 45 $30 40 Stock price $25 35 30 $20 25 $15 20 $10 15 10 $5 5 $- - 6 7 8 9 0 1 6 7 8 9 0 1 -0 -0 -0 -0 -1 -1 l-0 l-0 l-0 l-0 l-1 l-1 l l l l l l Ju Ju Ju Ju Ju Ju Ju Ju Ju Ju Ju Ju Range JDSU P/E SPX P/E Comps P/E 13.9x P/E 24.5x P/E 35.0x P/E JDSU Price Source: Credit Suisse and FactSet Source: Credit Suisse and FactSet Sensitivity Analysis In Exhibit 5 we provide a sensitivity analysis demonstrating how the company’s earnings power and our target price could change if our revenue growth assumptions (and resulting operating leverage) were slightly more bearish or bullish versus our base case view. Exhibit 5: Target Price Sensitivity CY12 Estimates Bear Case Base Case Bull Case Revenue $ 1,688 $ 1,768 $ 1,852 Revenue Growth -4.9% -1.2% 2.7% Operating Margin 9.7% 11.7% 13.6% EPS $ 0.59 $ 0.76 $ 0.93 P/E Multiple 13.0 15.0 17.0 Implied Target Price $ 7.7 $ 11.4 $ 15.8 Source: Company data, Credit Suisse estimates JDS Uniphase Corp. (JDSU) 5
  • 6. JDS Uniphase Corp. (JDSU) Exhibit 6: Income Statement in millions, unless otherwise stated JDS Uniphase Corp JDSU <--Act Est--> <--Act Est--> <--Act Est--> INCOME STATEMENT FY11 FY12 FY13 FY14 FY10 FY11 FY12 FY13 FY14 CY10 CY11 CY12 CY13 1QF11 2QF11 3QF11 4QF11 1QF12 2QF12 3QF12 4QF12 1QF13 2QF13 3QF13 4QF13 1QF14 2QF14 3QF14 4QF14 Sep-10 Dec-10 Mar-11 Jun-11 Sep-11 Dec-11 Mar-12 Jun-12 Sep-12 Dec-12 Mar-13 Jun-13 Sep-13 Dec-13 Mar-14 Jun-14 Jun-10 Jun-11 Jun-12 Jun-13 Jun-14 Dec-10 Dec-11 Dec-12 Dec-13 Revenue $405.2 $473.5 $454.0 $471.8 $414.5 $449.6 $420.9 $436.0 $436.6 $475.0 $445.1 $459.1 $460.0 $500.0 $468.8 $483.6 $1,363.9 $1,804.5 $1,721.0 $1,815.7 $1,912.4 $1,601.9 $1,789.9 $1,768.5 $1,864.1 Change q/q 3.7% 16.9% -4.1% 3.9% -12.2% 8.5% -6.4% 3.6% 0.1% 8.8% -6.3% 3.1% 0.2% 8.7% -6.2% 3.1% Change y/y 36.1% 38.1% 36.6% 20.7% 2.3% -5.0% -7.3% -7.6% 5.3% 5.6% 5.7% 5.3% 5.4% 5.3% 5.3% 5.3% 5% 32% -5% 6% 5% 34% 12% -1% 5% Revenue - non-GAAP adjustment 6.1 3.7 1.4 0.5 1.0 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.2 1.1 1.2 1.2 1.3 1.2 1.2 9.5 11.7 4.3 4.6 4.8 17.6 4.1 4.4 4.7 Revenue - non GAAP 411.3 477.2 455.4 472.3 415.5 450.8 422.0 437.1 437.7 476.2 446.2 460.2 461.1 501.3 470.0 484.8 1,373.4 1,816.2 1,725.3 1,820.2 1,917.2 1,619.5 1,794.0 1,772.9 1,868.8 Change q/q 3.3% 16.0% -4.6% 3.7% -12.0% 8.5% -6.4% 3.6% 0.1% 8.8% -6.3% 3.1% 0.2% 8.7% -6.2% 3.1% Change y/y 37.7% 38.8% 36.8% 18.6% 1.0% -5.5% -7.3% -7.5% 5.3% 5.6% 5.7% 5.3% 5.4% 5.3% 5.3% 5.3% 6% 32% -5% 6% 5% 35% 11% -1% 5% COGS 216.2 244.3 238.5 251.8 235.2 239.4 236.1 238.7 241.0 246.0 242.5 244.7 247.2 252.5 248.8 251.2 760.8 950.8 949.4 974.2 999.7 863.7 964.9 961.8 986.9 Gross profit 195.1 232.9 216.9 220.5 180.3 211.4 185.9 198.4 196.6 230.2 203.7 215.5 213.9 248.8 221.3 233.6 612.6 865.4 775.9 846.1 917.5 755.8 829.1 811.1 881.9 Gross Margin 47.4% 48.8% 47.6% 46.7% 43.4% 46.9% 44.0% 45.4% 44.9% 48.3% 45.7% 46.8% 46.4% 49.6% 47.1% 48.2% 44.6% 47.6% 45.0% 46.5% 47.9% 46.7% 46.2% 45.8% 47.2% R&D - Non-GAAP 54.4 58.1 58.2 60.3 53.7 55.3 54.0 55.1 56.0 58.0 56.6 57.5 58.5 60.6 59.1 60.1 166.3 231.0 218.1 227.99 238.19 202.1 227.5 223.0 233.1 % of sales 13.2% 12.2% 12.8% 12.8% 12.9% 12.3% 12.8% 12.6% 12.8% 12.2% 12.7% 12.5% 12.7% 12.1% 12.6% 12.4% SG&A - Non-GAAP 96.3 101.7 103.7 102.0 92.0 94.6 92.6 94.1 95.5 98.5 96.4 97.8 99.3 102.4 100.2 101.6 348.9 403.7 373.3 388.2 403.5 377.1 392.3 380.7 395.8 % of sales 23.4% 21.3% 22.8% 21.6% 22.2% 21.0% 21.9% 21.5% 21.8% 20.7% 21.6% 21.2% 21.5% 20.4% 21.3% 21.0% Total Operating Expenses - non-GAAP 150.7 159.8 161.9 162.3 145.7 149.9 146.6 149.2 151.5 156.5 153.0 155.2 157.7 163.0 159.3 161.7 515.2 634.7 591.4 616.2 641.7 579.2 619.8 603.8 628.9 % of Sales 36.6% 33.5% 35.6% 34.4% 35.1% 33.3% 34.7% 34.1% 34.6% 32.9% 34.3% 33.7% 34.2% 32.5% 33.9% 33.4% 37.5% 34.9% 34.3% 33.9% 33.5% 35.8% 34.5% 34.1% 33.7% Operating Income (Loss) 44.4 73.1 55.0 58.2 34.6 61.4 39.3 49.2 45.1 73.7 50.8 60.3 56.1 85.8 62.0 71.9 97.4 230.7 184.5 229.9 275.8 176.6 209.3 207.3 253.0 OPM 10.8% 15.3% 12.1% 12.3% 8.3% 13.6% 9.3% 11.3% 10.3% 15.5% 11.4% 13.1% 12.2% 17.1% 13.2% 14.8% 7.1% 12.7% 10.7% 12.6% 14.4% 10.9% 11.7% 11.7% 13.5% Interest & other income 0.3 1.6 0.1 0.4 0.7 0.8 0.8 0.9 0.9 1.0 1.0 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.2 1.3 9.6 2.4 3.2 3.9 4.7 6.0 2.0 3.6 4.3 Interest expense (6.3) (6.4) (6.2) (6.5) (6.5) (6.6) (6.7) (6.8) (7.0) (7.1) (7.2) (7.3) (7.4) (7.5) (7.6) (7.8) (24.3) (25.4) (26.7) (28.5) (30.3) (24.8) (25.8) (27.6) (29.4) Gain (loss) on sale of investments 3.2 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 13.1 3.2 - - - 16.2 - - - Impairment of investments - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - (1.4) - - - - (0.8) - - - Total Interest & Other Income (Expense) - GAAP (2.8) (4.8) (6.1) (6.1) (5.8) (5.8) (5.9) (6.0) (6.0) (6.1) (6.2) (6.2) (6.3) (6.4) (6.5) (6.5) (3.0) (19.8) (23.5) (24.6) (25.7) (3.4) (23.8) (24.0) (25.1) Total adjustments to derive non-GAAP interest 1.1 3.9 4.9 4.8 4.7 4.7 4.7 4.7 4.7 4.7 4.7 4.7 4.7 4.7 4.7 4.7 - 14.7 18.8 18.8 18.8 (1.9) 19.1 18.8 18.8 Total Interest & Other Income (Expense) (1.7) (0.9) (1.2) (1.3) (1.1) (1.1) (1.2) (1.3) (1.3) (1.4) (1.5) (1.5) (1.6) (1.7) (1.8) (1.8) (3.0) (5.1) (4.7) (5.8) (6.9) (5.3) (4.7) (5.2) (6.3) Pretax Income 42.7 72.2 53.8 56.9 33.5 60.3 38.1 48.0 43.8 72.3 49.3 58.7 54.5 84.1 60.2 70.1 94.4 225.6 179.9 224.1 269.0 171.3 204.6 202.1 246.6 Pretax Margin 10.4% 15.1% 11.8% 12.0% 8.1% 13.4% 9.0% 11.0% 10.0% 15.2% 11.0% 12.8% 11.8% 16.8% 12.8% 14.5% 6.9% 12.4% 10.4% 12.3% 14.0% 10.7% 11.4% 11.4% 13.2% Taxes (2.1) 5.2 2.8 3.0 3.4 6.0 3.8 4.8 4.4 7.2 4.9 5.9 5.5 8.4 6.0 7.0 2.5 8.9 18.0 22.4 26.9 3.2 15.2 20.2 24.7 Tax Rate -4.9% 7.2% 5.2% 5.3% 10.0% 10.0% 10.0% 10.0% 10.0% 10.0% 10.0% 10.0% 10.0% 10.0% 10.0% 10.0% 2.6% 3.9% 10.0% 10.0% 10.0% 1.9% 7.4% 10.0% 10.0% Income (Loss) from Discontinued Ops. - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - (2.1) - - - - (0.8) - - - Net Income 44.8 67.0 51.0 53.9 30.2 54.3 34.3 43.2 39.4 65.1 44.3 52.9 49.1 75.7 54.2 63.1 91.9 216.7 161.9 201.7 242.1 168.1 189.4 181.9 221.9 Net Margin 10.9% 14.0% 11.2% 11.4% 7.3% 12.0% 8.1% 9.9% 9.0% 13.7% 9.9% 11.5% 10.6% 15.1% 11.5% 13.0% 6.7% 11.9% 9.4% 11.1% 12.6% 10.5% 10.6% 10.3% 11.9% EPS $0.20 $ 0.29 $ 0.22 $ 0.23 $0.13 $0.23 $0.14 $0.18 $0.16 $0.27 $0.18 $0.22 $0.20 $0.31 $0.22 $0.26 $0.41 $0.93 $0.68 $0.83 $0.99 $0.74 $0.80 $0.76 $0.91 Growth y/y NMF NMF NMF 57.2% -35.1% -21.7% -33.6% -21.1% 28.4% 17.9% 27.3% 20.4% 22.5% 14.4% 20.3% 17.4% 126.2% 127.9% -27.1% 22.5% 18.1% 521.8% 8.5% -5.4% 20.0% Original Diluted Shares 227.5 229.1 235.4 235.7 236.2 237.2 238.2 239.2 240.2 241.2 242.2 243.2 244.2 245.2 246.2 247.2 Stock Split 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 Diluted Shares O/S 227.5 229.1 235.4 235.7 236.2 237.2 238.2 239.2 240.2 241.2 242.2 243.2 244.2 245.2 246.2 247.2 222.9 231.9 237.7 241.7 245.7 227.3 236.1 239.7 243.7 18 August 2011 Source: Company data, Credit Suisse estimates 6
  • 7. JDS Uniphase Corp. (JDSU) Exhibit 7: Balance Sheet in millions, unless otherwise stated JDS Uniphase Corp JDSU <--Act Est--> <--Act Est--> <--Act Est--> BALANCE SHEET FY11 FY12 FY13 FY14 FY10 FY11 FY12 FY13 FY14 CY10 CY11 CY12 CY13 1QF11 2QF11 3QF11 4QF11 1QF12 2QF12 3QF12 4QF12 1QF13 2QF13 3QF13 4QF13 1QF14 2QF14 3QF14 4QF14 Sep-10 Dec-10 Mar-11 Jun-11 Sep-11 Dec-11 Mar-12 Jun-12 Sep-12 Dec-12 Mar-13 Jun-13 Sep-13 Dec-13 Mar-14 Jun-14 Jun-10 Jun-11 Jun-12 Jun-13 Jun-14 Dec-10 Dec-11 Dec-12 Dec-13 ASSETS Cash and Cash Equivalents 370.3 408.6 407.8 395.4 459.5 488.8 545.1 577.8 616.8 652.8 718.5 760.3 807.6 851.7 927.1 977.6 340.2 395.4 577.8 760.3 977.6 408.6 488.8 652.8 851.7 Short-Term Investments 215.6 212.3 256.7 297.4 297.4 297.4 297.4 297.4 297.4 297.4 297.4 297.4 297.4 297.4 297.4 297.4 227.4 297.4 297.4 297.4 297.4 212.3 297.4 297.4 297.4 Restricted Cash 34.1 34.4 36.0 35.9 35.9 35.9 35.9 35.9 35.9 35.9 35.9 35.9 35.9 35.9 35.9 35.9 32.5 35.9 35.9 35.9 35.9 34.4 35.9 35.9 35.9 Accounts Receivable 297.0 339.2 334.5 334.0 293.4 318.3 298.0 308.7 309.1 336.2 315.1 325.0 325.6 354.0 331.9 342.3 271.8 334.0 308.7 325.0 342.3 339.2 318.3 336.2 354.0 Inventories 136.9 145.1 163.8 171.2 168.9 171.7 169.5 171.3 172.8 176.1 173.8 175.3 177.0 180.5 178.0 179.6 125.7 171.2 171.3 175.3 179.6 145.1 171.7 176.1 180.5 Income taxes recoverable 3.9 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 4.0 - - - - - - - - Other Current Assets 63.3 72.6 63.9 70.2 70.2 70.2 70.2 70.2 70.2 70.2 70.2 70.2 70.2 70.2 70.2 70.2 73.0 70.2 70.2 70.2 70.2 72.6 70.2 70.2 70.2 Total Current Assets 1,121.1 1,212.2 1,262.7 1,304.1 1,325.4 1,382.4 1,416.1 1,461.2 1,502.2 1,568.7 1,610.9 1,664.1 1,713.7 1,789.7 1,840.5 1,903.1 1,074.6 1,304.1 1,461.2 1,664.1 1,903.1 1,212.2 1,382.4 1,568.7 1,789.7 PP&E - Net 205.5 214.6 231.9 248.9 254.3 252.3 249.4 247.3 245.4 245.2 243.8 243.0 242.4 243.4 243.1 243.4 183.0 248.9 247.3 243.0 243.4 214.6 252.3 245.2 243.4 Deferred income tax 3.6 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 3.2 - - - - Goodwill 66.0 66.4 66.4 67.4 67.4 67.4 67.4 67.4 67.4 67.4 67.4 67.4 67.4 67.4 67.4 67.4 66.0 67.4 67.4 67.4 67.4 66.4 67.4 67.4 67.4 Intangible Assets - Net 339.5 316.4 296.7 275.4 253.4 231.4 209.4 187.4 165.4 143.4 121.4 99.4 77.4 55.4 33.4 11.4 357.4 275.4 187.4 99.4 11.4 316.4 231.4 143.4 55.4 Investments 4.9 4.8 4.6 2.9 2.9 2.9 2.9 2.9 2.9 2.9 2.9 2.9 2.9 2.9 2.9 2.9 5.1 2.9 2.9 2.9 2.9 4.8 2.9 2.9 2.9 Other Assets 14.7 16.3 51.7 52.0 52.0 52.0 52.0 52.0 52.0 52.0 52.0 52.0 52.0 52.0 52.0 52.0 14.3 52.0 52.0 52.0 52.0 16.3 52.0 52.0 52.0 Total Non-Current Assets 634.2 618.5 651.3 646.6 630.0 606.0 581.1 557.0 533.1 510.9 487.5 464.7 442.1 421.1 398.8 377.1 629.0 646.6 557.0 464.7 377.1 618.5 606.0 510.9 421.1 TOTAL ASSETS 1,755.3 1,830.7 1,914.0 1,950.7 1,955.4 1,988.4 1,997.2 2,018.2 2,035.3 2,079.6 2,098.3 2,128.9 2,155.8 2,210.8 2,239.3 2,280.2 1,703.6 1,950.7 2,018.2 2,128.9 2,280.2 1,830.7 1,988.4 2,079.6 2,210.8 LIABILITIES Accounts Payable 140.6 147.3 154.4 145.4 143.5 145.8 144.0 145.5 146.8 149.6 147.6 148.9 150.3 153.3 151.2 152.6 137.4 145.4 145.5 148.9 152.6 147.3 145.8 149.6 153.3 Current Portion of LTD - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 0.2 - - - - - - - - Accrued payroll and related exps 56.8 81.9 59.9 76.7 76.7 76.7 76.7 76.7 76.7 76.7 76.7 76.7 76.7 76.7 76.7 76.7 62.9 76.7 76.7 76.7 76.7 Taxes Payable 20.6 22.9 21.2 21.5 21.5 21.5 21.5 21.5 21.5 21.5 21.5 21.5 21.5 21.5 21.5 21.5 19.8 21.5 21.5 21.5 21.5 22.9 21.5 21.5 21.5 Deferred Taxes - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 2.1 - - - - Restructuring accrual - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 7.1 - - - - Warranty accrual - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 7.3 - - - - Other 149.6 161.9 170.9 175.0 175.0 175.0 175.0 175.0 175.0 175.0 175.0 175.0 175.0 175.0 175.0 175.0 114.1 175.0 175.0 175.0 175.0 161.9 175.0 175.0 175.0 Total Current Liabilities 367.6 414.0 406.4 418.6 416.7 419.0 417.2 418.7 420.0 422.8 420.8 422.1 423.5 426.5 424.4 425.8 350.9 418.6 418.7 422.1 414.0 419.0 422.8 420.8 Long Term Debt 271.6 276.3 281.1 285.8 290.8 295.8 300.8 305.8 310.8 315.8 320.8 325.8 330.8 335.8 340.8 345.8 267.1 285.8 305.8 325.8 345.8 276.3 295.8 315.8 335.8 Other Non-Current Liabilities 193.4 183.2 189.7 180.9 180.9 180.9 180.9 180.9 180.9 180.9 180.9 180.9 180.9 180.9 180.9 180.9 176.9 180.9 180.9 180.9 180.9 183.2 180.9 180.9 180.9 Total Non-Current Liabilities 465.0 459.5 470.8 466.7 471.7 476.7 481.7 486.7 491.7 496.7 501.7 506.7 511.7 516.7 521.7 526.7 444.0 466.7 486.7 506.7 526.7 459.5 476.7 496.7 516.7 TOTAL LIABILITIES 832.6 873.5 877.2 885.3 888.4 895.7 898.9 905.4 911.7 919.5 922.5 928.8 935.2 943.2 946.1 952.5 794.9 885.3 905.4 928.8 952.5 873.5 895.7 919.5 943.2 SHAREHOLDERS' EQUITY Attributable to JDS 922.7 957.2 1,036.8 1,065.4 1,067.0 1,092.7 1,098.3 1,112.8 1,123.6 1,160.1 1,175.8 1,200.1 1,220.5 1,267.6 1,293.2 1,327.7 908.7 1,065.4 1,112.8 1,200.1 1,327.7 Noncontrolling Interest - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - TOTAL SHAREHOLDER'S EQUITY 922.7 957.2 1,036.8 1,065.4 1,067.0 1,092.7 1,098.3 1,112.8 1,123.6 1,160.1 1,175.8 1,200.1 1,220.5 1,267.6 1,293.2 1,327.7 908.7 1,065.4 1,112.8 1,200.1 1,327.7 957.2 1,092.7 1,160.1 1,267.6 TOTAL LIABILITIES & EQUITY 1,755.3 1,830.7 1,914.0 1,950.7 1,955.4 1,988.4 1,997.2 2,018.2 2,035.3 2,079.6 2,098.3 2,128.9 2,155.8 2,210.8 2,239.3 2,280.2 1,703.6 1,950.7 2,018.2 2,128.9 2,280.2 1,830.7 1,988.4 2,079.6 2,210.8 18 August 2011 Source: Company data, Credit Suisse estimates 7
  • 8. JDS Uniphase Corp. (JDSU) Exhibit 8: Cash Flows in millions, unless otherwise stated JDS Uniphase Corp JDSU <--Act Est--> <--Act Est--> <--Act Est--> CASH FLOWS FY11 FY12 FY13 FY14 FY10 FY11 FY12 FY13 FY14 CY10 CY11 CY12 CY13 1QF11 2QF11 3QF11 4QF11 1QF12 2QF12 3QF12 4QF12 1QF13 2QF13 3QF13 4QF13 1QF14 2QF14 3QF14 4QF14 Sep-10 Dec-10 Mar-11 Jun-11 Sep-11 Dec-11 Mar-12 Jun-12 Sep-12 Dec-12 Mar-13 Jun-13 Sep-13 Dec-13 Mar-14 Jun-14 Jun-10 Jun-11 Jun-12 Jun-13 Jun-14 Dec-10 Dec-11 Dec-12 Dec-13 Cash at start of period 340.2 370.3 408.6 407.8 395.4 459.5 488.8 545.1 577.8 616.8 652.8 718.5 760.3 807.6 851.7 927.1 286.9 340.2 395.4 577.8 760.3 364.8 408.6 488.8 652.8 Operating Cash Flow Net Income 0.1 23.6 38.6 9.3 (9.3) 14.8 (5.3) 3.7 (0.1) 25.6 4.8 13.3 9.6 36.2 14.7 23.6 (61.8) 71.6 3.8 43.6 84.0 13.3 53.4 23.8 63.9 Depreciation 14.8 16.1 16.6 18.2 19.5 19.9 19.8 19.5 19.4 19.2 19.2 19.1 19.0 19.0 19.1 19.0 58.3 65.7 78.7 76.9 76.1 59.3 74.2 77.9 76.3 Asset retirement obligations & deferred rent exps 0.2 0.2 0.2 - - - - - - - - - - - - - (7.1) 0.6 - - - (1.6) 0.2 - - Amortization of intangible assets 22.7 22.1 22.3 22.0 22.0 22.0 22.0 22.0 22.0 22.0 22.0 22.0 22.0 22.0 22.0 22.0 78.4 89.1 88.0 88.0 88.0 84.9 88.3 88.0 88.0 Stock-based compensation 9.0 10.0 10.9 10.9 10.9 10.9 10.9 10.9 10.9 10.9 10.9 10.9 10.9 10.9 10.9 10.9 43.1 40.8 43.6 43.6 43.6 39.0 43.6 43.6 43.6 Amortization of debt issuance costs & debt disc 4.7 4.9 5.0 5.0 5.0 5.0 5.0 5.0 5.0 5.0 5.0 5.0 5.0 5.0 5.0 5.0 17.9 19.6 20.0 20.0 20.0 18.7 20.0 20.0 20.0 Non-cash changes in ST investments 1.5 0.3 0.9 - - - - - - - - - - - - - 2.9 2.7 - - - 3.4 0.9 - - Gain on disposal of fixed assets (3.2) (0.1) 0.2 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - (3.1) - - - (4.1) 0.2 - - Loss & impairment of LT assets - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - (1.3) - - - - (1.3) - - - Impairment of goodwill - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - Impairment of investments - - 0.2 - - - - - - - - - - - - - 1.4 0.2 - - - 0.8 0.2 - - Activity related to equity investments - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - (2.0) - - - - - - - - Provision for allowance for bad debts (0.3) 0.5 0.4 - - - - - - - - - - - - - 0.6 0.6 - - - 0.6 0.4 - - Change in A/R (19.2) (44.1) 8.4 0.5 40.6 (24.9) 20.3 (10.7) (0.4) (27.2) 21.2 (9.9) (0.6) (28.3) 22.1 (10.4) (61.4) (54.4) 25.3 (16.3) (17.3) (87.5) 24.6 (17.9) (17.7) Change in inventory (7.7) (8.9) (15.8) (7.4) 2.3 (2.8) 2.2 (1.7) (1.6) (3.3) 2.3 (1.5) (1.7) (3.5) 2.5 (1.6) 22.2 (39.8) (0.1) (4.0) (4.3) (17.8) (23.7) (4.4) (4.4) Change in other current assets 10.2 (5.8) (22.0) (6.3) - - - - - - - - - - - - 16.4 (23.9) - - - (3.0) (28.3) - - Change in accs payable (3.0) 10.4 7.5 (9.0) (1.9) 2.4 (1.9) 1.5 1.3 2.8 (2.0) 1.3 1.4 3.0 (2.1) 1.4 20.8 5.9 0.1 3.4 3.7 35.4 (1.1) 3.7 3.7 Change in income taxes payable (3.6) 1.2 (2.2) 0.3 - - - - - - - - - - - - (9.5) (4.3) - - - (10.8) (1.9) - - Change in deferred taxes, net (1.1) (0.1) 1.2 - - - - - - - - - - - - - (4.5) - - - - (3.6) 1.2 - - Change in accrued payroll & related exps (10.0) 23.4 (25.3) 16.8 - - - - - - - - - - - - 11.7 4.9 - - - 15.7 (8.5) - - Other 20.6 7.0 5.8 (3.3) - - - - - - - - - - - - (6.9) 30.1 - - - 18.2 2.5 - - Net Cash Provided by Operating Activities 35.7 60.7 52.9 57.0 89.0 47.3 73.1 50.1 56.5 55.0 83.4 60.2 65.6 64.2 94.1 69.8 119.2 206.3 259.5 255.2 293.8 159.6 246.2 234.7 273.5 Investing Cash Flow Purchase of available for sale investments (61.2) (72.0) (117.8) - - - - - - - - - - - - - (427.1) (251.0) - - - (241.4) (117.8) - - Maturities and sales of investments 72.5 75.8 71.8 - - - - - - - - - - - - - 623.5 220.1 - - - 359.1 71.8 - - Changes in restricted cash (1.6) 1.3 (1.7) (0.1) - - - - - - - - - - - - (21.1) (2.1) - - - (7.8) (1.8) - - Acquisitions - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - (207.3) - - - - (164.3) - - - Purchases of LT investments - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - (0.5) - - - - - - - - Proceeds of sale of assets, net 0.6 - 0.1 - - - - - - - - - - - - - 2.0 0.7 - - - 0.2 0.1 - - Purchase of PPE (23.3) (28.3) (34.2) (30.9) (24.9) (18.0) (16.8) (17.4) (17.5) (19.0) (17.8) (18.4) (18.4) (20.0) (18.8) (19.3) (36.9) (116.7) (77.1) (72.6) (76.5) (70.8) (108.0) (70.7) (74.6) Other - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 2.0 - - - - - - - - Net Cash Provided from Investing Activities (13.0) (23.2) (81.8) (31.0) (24.9) (18.0) (16.8) (17.4) (17.5) (19.0) (17.8) (18.4) (18.4) (20.0) (18.8) (19.3) (65.4) (149.0) (77.1) (72.6) (76.5) (125.0) (155.7) (70.7) (74.6) Financing Cash Flow Repurchase of convertible debt - (0.2) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 0.0 (0.2) 0.0 0.0 0.0 (0.2) 0.0 0.0 0.0 Payments on financing obligations (1.9) (1.9) (1.9) - - - - - - - - - - - - - (8.6) (5.7) 0.0 0.0 0.0 (7.3) (1.9) 0.0 0.0 Proceeds from (Payments) financing obligation - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Repurchase of common stock - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Issuance of stock 5.9 2.8 28.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - 9.6 36.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 16.1 28.0 0.0 0.0 Other - - (38.4) - - - - - - - - - - - - 0.0 (38.4) 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 (38.4) 0.0 0.0 Net Cash Used for Financing Activities 4.0 0.7 26.1 (38.4) - - - - - - - - - - - - 1.0 (7.6) - - - 8.6 (12.3) - - Effect of Exchange Rates 3.4 0.1 2.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - (1.5) 5.5 - - - 0.6 2.0 - - Total Change in Cash 30.1 38.3 (0.8) (12.4) 64.1 29.3 56.2 32.7 39.1 36.0 65.6 41.8 47.2 44.2 75.4 50.5 53.3 55.2 182.4 182.6 217.3 43.8 80.2 164.0 198.9 Cash at End of Period 370.3 408.6 407.8 395.4 459.5 488.8 545.1 577.8 616.8 652.8 718.5 760.3 807.6 851.7 927.1 977.6 1,387.4 1,582.1 2,071.2 2,748.5 3,564.0 1,552.7 1,751.6 2,392.5 3,138.1 18 August 2011 Source: Company data, Credit Suisse estimates 8
  • 9. JDS Uniphase Corp. (JDSU) Exhibit 9: Segments in millions, unless otherwise stated JDS Uniphase Corp JDSU <--Act Est--> <--Act Est--> <--Act Est--> SEGMENT BREAKOUT FY11 FY12 FY13 FY14 FY10 FY11 FY12 FY13 FY14 CY10 CY11 CY12 CY13 1QF11 2QF11 3QF11 4QF11 1QF12 2QF12 3QF12 4QF12 1QF13 2QF13 3QF13 4QF13 1QF14 2QF14 3QF14 4QF14 Sep-10 Dec-10 Mar-11 Jun-11 Sep-11 Dec-11 Mar-12 Jun-12 Sep-12 Dec-12 Mar-13 Jun-13 Sep-13 Dec-13 Mar-14 Jun-14 Jun-10 Jun-11 Jun-12 Jun-13 Jun-14 Dec-10 Dec-11 Dec-12 Dec-13 Total Revenues $405.2 $473.5 $454.0 $471.8 $414.5 $449.6 $420.9 $436.0 $436.6 $475.0 $445.1 $459.1 $460.0 $500.0 $468.8 $483.6 $1,363.9 $1,804.5 $1,721.0 $1,815.7 $1,912.4 $1,601.9 $1,789.9 $1,768.5 $1,864.1 Change q/q 4% 17% -4% 4% -12% 8% -6% 4% 0% 9% -6% 3% 0% 9% -6% 3% Change y/y 36% 38% 37% 21% 2% -5% -7% -8% 5% 6% 6% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 32% -5% 6% 5% 34% 12% -1% 5% Communications Test & Measurement Revenues 182.8 231.4 189.2 211.3 181.7 209.0 186.0 195.3 187.5 215.6 191.9 201.5 193.4 222.4 198.0 207.9 652.2 814.7 772.0 796.4 821.7 746.1 791.2 784.4 809.2 % total 45% 49% 42% 45% 44% 46% 44% 45% 43% 45% 43% 44% 42% 44% 42% 43% 48% 45% 45% 44% 43% 47% 44% 44% 43% Total growth q/q -2% 27% -18% 12% -14% 15% -11% 5% -4% 15% -11% 5% -4% 15% -11% 5% Total growth y/y 27% 31% 30% 13% -1% -10% -2% -8% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 7.6% 24.9% -5.2% 3.2% 3.2% 27.5% 6.0% -0.9% 3.2% -6 to 12% AFTER $20m Management's Growth Guidance q/q +6 to 10% budget flush +6 to 13% Dn 12-15% Typical Seasonal Growth q/q -4% 15% -11% 5% -4% 15% -11% 5% -4% 15% -11% 5% Other Effects q/q -10% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% Sensitivity Adjustment 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% Organic growth q/q -9% 27% -18% 12% -14% 15% -11% 5% -4% 15% -11% 5% -4% 15% -11% 5% Organic growth y/y -0.1% 3.6% 2.8% 5.1% -0.6% -9.7% -1.7% -7.6% 3.2% 3.2% 3.2% 3.2% 3.2% 3.2% 3.2% 3.2% -4.3% 2.9% -5.2% 3.2% 3.2% 4.2% -1.0% -0.9% 3.2% Gross Profit 111.0 140.9 117.1 125.3 GPM 60.7% 60.9% 61.9% 59.3% OpEx 89.3 96.1 94.5 94.9 OpEx as percentage of revenue 48.8% 41.5% 50.0% 44.9% Operating Profit 21.7 44.8 22.6 30.4 16.6 41.1 20.5 28.8 21.8 47.1 25.8 34.4 27.1 53.2 31.2 40.1 81.5 119.5 107.0 129.0 151.8 98.5 110.7 118.2 140.5 Operating Margin 11.9% 19.4% 11.9% 14.4% 9.1% 19.7% 11.0% 14.8% 11.6% 21.8% 13.4% 17.1% 14.0% 23.9% 15.8% 19.3% 12.5% 14.7% 13.9% 16.2% 18.5% 13.2% 14.0% 15.1% 17.4% Contribution margin -35.3% 47.5% 52.6% 35.3% 50.0% 90.0% 90.0% 90.0% 90.0% 90.0% 90.0% 90.0% 90.0% 90.0% 90.0% 90.0% -4.1% 23.4% 29.2% 90.0% 90.0% 17.6% 27.2% -108.4% 90.0% Other effect on OP ($) 1.0 - - - - - - - - - - - Communications & Commercial Optical Products (CCOP) Optical Communications 143.0 168.4 184.7 174.5 426.2 556.0 change q/q 6.2% 17.8% 9.7% -5.5% Gross Profit 42.2 55.4 60.8 54.3 105.4 164.6 GPM 29.5% 32.9% 32.9% 31.1% 24.7% 29.6% Commercial Lasers 25.0 22.7 24.7 27.8 73.1 89.0 change q/q 10.6% -9.2% 8.8% 12.6% Gross Profit 11.4 10.3 11.6 12.1 27.2 39.5 GPM 45.5% 45.5% 46.8% 43.4% 37.2% 44.4% Total CCOP Revenues 168.0 191.1 209.4 202.3 178.0 186.6 179.1 186.1 191.7 200.9 192.8 200.4 206.4 216.3 207.6 215.7 499.3 770.8 729.8 785.7 846.0 645.0 776.3 757.7 815.8 % total 41% 40% 46% 43% 43% 41% 43% 43% 44% 42% 43% 44% 45% 43% 44% 45% 37% 43% 42% 43% 44% 40% 43% 43% 44% Total growth q/q 7% 14% 10% -3% -12% 5% -4% 4% 3% 5% -4% 4% 3% 5% -4% 4% Total growth y/y 66% 70% 63% 29% 6% -2% -14% -8% 8% 8% 8% 8% 8% 8% 8% 8% 4% 54% -5% 8% 8% 59% 20% -2% 8% Management's Growth Guidance q/q +6 to 10% +6 to 10% -2 to 4% Dn 10-13% Typical Seasonal Growth q/q 3% 5% -4% 4% 3% 5% -4% 4% 3% 5% -4% 4% Other Effects q/q -15% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% Sensitivity Adjustment 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% Organic growth q/q 7% 14% 10% -3% -12% 5% -4% 4% 3% 5% -4% 4% 3% 5% -4% 4% Organic growth y/y 66.2% 70.2% 62.8% 28.6% 6.0% -2.4% -14.5% -8.0% 7.7% 7.7% 7.7% 7.7% 7.7% 7.7% 7.7% 7.7% 3.8% 54.4% -5.3% 7.7% 7.7% 59.4% 20.4% -2.4% 7.7% Gross Profit 53.6 65.7 72.5 66.4 GPM 31.9% 34.4% 34.6% 32.8% OpEx 29.4 31.7 32.9 34.2 OpEx as percentage of revenue 17.5% 16.6% 15.7% 16.9% Operating Profit 24.2 34.0 39.6 32.2 24.9 27.5 25.2 27.3 29.0 31.8 29.4 31.6 33.4 36.4 33.8 36.2 33.4 130.0 105.0 121.8 139.8 89.9 124.2 113.4 130.8 Operating Margin 14.4% 17.8% 18.9% 15.9% 14.0% 14.7% 14.1% 14.7% 15.1% 15.8% 15.2% 15.8% 16.2% 16.8% 16.3% 16.8% 6.7% 16.9% 14.4% 15.5% 16.5% 13.9% 16.0% 15.0% 16.0% Contribution margin 47.7% 42.4% 30.6% 104.2% 30.0% 30.0% 30.0% 30.0% 30.0% 30.0% 30.0% 30.0% 30.0% 30.0% 30.0% 30.0% 230.8% 35.6% 61.0% 30.0% 30.0% 42.6% 26.1% 58.4% 30.0% Other effect on OP ($) - - - - - - - - - - - Advanced Optical Technologies (AOT) Revenues 60.5 54.7 56.8 58.7 55.8 55.2 56.9 55.7 58.5 59.7 61.5 58.4 61.3 62.5 64.4 61.2 221.9 230.7 223.6 238.1 249.5 228.4 226.5 230.8 243.7 % total 15% 12% 13% 12% 13% 12% 14% 13% 13% 13% 14% 13% 13% 13% 14% 13% 16% 13% 13% 13% 13% 14% 13% 13% 13% Total growth q/q 11% -10% 4% 3% -5% -1% 3% -2% 5% 2% 3% -5% 5% 2% 3% -5% Total growth y/y 12% 0% -3% 8% -8% 1% 0% -5% 5% 8% 8% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 6% 4% -3% 6% 5% 9% -1% 2% 6% Management's Growth Guidance q/q DN >10% +0 to 3% -2 to 4% Dn 3-6% Typical Seasonal Growth q/q 5% 2% 3% -5% 5% 2% 3% -5% 5% 2% 3% -5% Other Effects q/q -10% -3% 0% 3% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% Sensitivity Adjustment 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% Organic growth q/q 11% -10% 4% 3% -5% -1% 3% -2% 5% 2% 3% -5% 5% 2% 3% -5% Organic growth y/y 11.8% 0.2% -3.1% 7.5% -7.8% 0.9% 0.1% -5.1% 4.9% 8.1% 8.1% 4.8% 4.8% 4.8% 4.8% 4.8% 6.5% 4.0% -3.1% 6.5% 4.8% 8.5% -0.8% 1.9% 5.6% Gross Profit 30.5 26.3 27.4 29.0 GPM 50.4% 48.0% 48.3% 49.4% OpEx 8.4 8.6 9.5 9.0 OpEx as percentage of revenue 13.9% 15.6% 16.8% 15.3% Operating Profit 22.1 17.7 17.9 20.0 17.5 17.2 18.0 17.5 18.7 19.2 20.0 18.7 20.0 20.5 21.4 19.9 82.5 77.7 70.1 76.7 81.8 82.1 72.6 73.4 79.2 Operating Margin 36.5% 32.4% 31.5% 34.1% 31.3% 31.2% 31.6% 31.3% 32.0% 32.2% 32.6% 32.0% 32.6% 32.8% 33.2% 32.6% 37.2% 33.7% 31.4% 32.2% 32.8% 35.9% 32.1% 31.8% 32.5% Contribution margin 39.0% 75.9% 9.5% 110.5% 45.0% 45.0% 45.0% 45.0% 45.0% 45.0% 45.0% 45.0% 45.0% 45.0% 45.0% 45.0% 16.3% -54.5% 105.9% 45.0% 45.0% 15.6% 492.4% 18.2% 45.0% Other effect on OP ($) (1.2) - - - - - - - - - - - Deferred revenue Deferred revenue (6.1) (3.7) (1.4) (0.5) (1.0) (1.1) (1.1) (1.1) (1.1) (1.2) (1.1) (1.2) (1.2) (1.3) (1.2) (1.2) (9.5) (11.7) (4.3) (4.6) (4.8) (17.6) (4.1) (4.4) (4.7) % of GAAP Revenue 1.5% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.25% 0.25% 0.25% 0.25% 0.25% 0.25% 0.25% 0.25% 0.25% 0.25% 0.25% 0.25% 0.7% 0.6% 0.3% 0.3% 0.3% 1.1% 0.2% 0.3% 0.3% Corporate Unallocated corporate expense (23.6) (23.4) (25.1) (24.4) (24.4) (24.4) (24.4) (24.4) (24.4) (24.4) (24.4) (24.4) (24.4) (24.4) (24.4) (24.4) (100.0) (96.5) (97.6) (97.6) (97.6) (93.9) (98.3) (97.6) (97.6) % of sales 5.8% 4.9% 5.5% 5.2% 5.9% 5.4% 5.8% 5.6% 5.6% 5.1% 5.5% 5.3% 5.3% 4.9% 5.2% 5.0% 7.3% 5.3% 5.7% 5.4% 5.1% 5.9% 5.5% 5.5% 5.2% Acquisition related charges 18 August 2011 : Company data, Credit Suisse estimates 9
  • 10. 18 August 2011 Companies Mentioned (Price as of 17 Aug 11) CIENA Corp. (CIEN, $12.22, OUTPERFORM [V], TP $34.00) Cisco Systems Inc. (CSCO, $15.85, OUTPERFORM [V], TP $25.00) EMCORE Corporation (EMKR, $1.72) Fabrinet (FN, $16.38, NOT RATED) Finisar Corporation (FNSR, $15.63, NEUTRAL [V], TP $16.00) JDS Uniphase Corp. (JDSU, $11.70, NEUTRAL [V], TP $11.50) Neophotonics Corp. (NPTN, $6.65, NOT RATED) Oclaro Inc. (OCLR, $3.85) ZTE (0763.HK, HK$19.00) Disclosure Appendix Important Global Disclosures I, William Stein, CFA, certify that (1) the views expressed in this report accurately reflect my personal views about all of the subject companies and securities and (2) no part of my compensation was, is or will be directly or indirectly related to the specific recommendations or views expressed in this report. See the Companies Mentioned section for full company names. The analyst(s) responsible for preparing this research report received compensation that is based upon various factors including Credit Suisse's total revenues, a portion of which are generated by Credit Suisse's investment banking activities. Analysts’ stock ratings are defined as follows: Outperform (O): The stock’s total return is expected to outperform the relevant benchmark* by at least 10-15% (or more, depending on perceived risk) over the next 12 months. Neutral (N): The stock’s total return is expected to be in line with the relevant benchmark* (range of ±10-15%) over the next 12 months. Underperform (U): The stock’s total return is expected to underperform the relevant benchmark* by 10-15% or more over the next 12 months. *Relevant benchmark by region: As of 29th May 2009, Australia, New Zealand, U.S. and Canadian ratings are based on (1) a stock’s absolute total return potential to its current share price and (2) the relative attractiveness of a stock’s total return potential within an analyst’s coverage universe**, with Outperforms representing the most attractive, Neutrals the less attractive, and Underperforms the least attractive investment opportunities. Some U.S. and Canadian ratings may fall outside the absolute total return ranges defined above, depending on market conditions and industry factors. For Latin American, Japanese, and non-Japan Asia stocks, ratings are based on a stock’s total return relative to the average total return of the relevant country or regional benchmark; for European stocks, ratings are based on a stock’s total return relative to the analyst's coverage universe**. For Australian and New Zealand stocks, 12-month rolling yield is incorporated in the absolute total return calculation and a 15% and a 7.5% threshold replace the 10-15% level in the Outperform and Underperform stock rating definitions, respectively. The 15% and 7.5% thresholds replace the +10-15% and -10-15% levels in the Neutral stock rating definition, respectively. **An analyst's coverage universe consists of all companies covered by the analyst within the relevant sector. Restricted (R): In certain circumstances, Credit Suisse policy and/or applicable law and regulations preclude certain types of communications, including an investment recommendation, during the course of Credit Suisse's engagement in an investment banking transaction and in certain other circumstances. Volatility Indicator [V]: A stock is defined as volatile if the stock price has moved up or down by 20% or more in a month in at least 8 of the past 24 months or the analyst expects significant volatility going forward. Analysts’ coverage universe weightings are distinct from analysts’ stock ratings and are based on the expected performance of an analyst’s coverage universe* versus the relevant broad market benchmark**: Overweight: Industry expected to outperform the relevant broad market benchmark over the next 12 months. Market Weight: Industry expected to perform in-line with the relevant broad market benchmark over the next 12 months. Underweight: Industry expected to underperform the relevant broad market benchmark over the next 12 months. *An analyst’s coverage universe consists of all companies covered by the analyst within the relevant sector. **The broad market benchmark is based on the expected return of the local market index (e.g., the S&P 500 in the U.S.) over the next 12 months. Credit Suisse’s distribution of stock ratings (and banking clients) is: Global Ratings Distribution Outperform/Buy* 48% (62% banking clients) Neutral/Hold* 39% (57% banking clients) Underperform/Sell* 10% (51% banking clients) Restricted 2% *For purposes of the NYSE and NASD ratings distribution disclosure requirements, our stock ratings of Outperform, Neutral, and Underperform most closely correspond to Buy, Hold, and Sell, respectively; however, the meanings are not the same, as our stock ratings are determined on a relative basis. (Please refer to definitions above.) An investor's decision to buy or sell a security should be based on investment objectives, current holdings, and other individual factors. JDS Uniphase Corp. (JDSU) 10