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C H A P T E R E I G H T
Hypothesis Testing
1.1
Descriptive and Inferential Statistics
Slide 2
Copyright © 2012 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. 8-1Steps
in Hypothesis Testing—Traditional Method8-2z Test for a
Mean8-3t Test for a Mean8-4z Test for a Proportion8-
for a Variance or Standard Deviation8-6Additional Topics
Regarding Hypothesis
Testing
Hypothesis Testing
CHAPTER
8
Outline
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1.1
Descriptive and inferential statistics
1Understand the definitions used in hypothesis
testing.2State the null and alternative hypotheses.3Find critical
values for the z test.4State the five steps used in hypothesis
using the z test.
Learning Objectives
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1.1
Descriptive and inferential statistics
8Test variances or standard deviations, using the chi-square
test.9Test hypotheses, using confidence intervals.10Explain the
relationship between type I and type II errors and the power of a
test.
Learning Objectives
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Hypothesis Testing
Three methods used to test hypotheses:
1. The traditional method
2. The P-value method
3. The confidence interval method
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8.1 Steps in Hypothesis Testing-Traditional Method
A statistical hypothesis is a conjecture about a population
parameter. This conjecture may or may not be true.
The null hypothesis, symbolized by H0, is a statistical
hypothesis that states that there is no difference between a
parameter and a specific value, or that there is no difference
between two parameters.
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Steps in Hypothesis Testing-Traditional Method
The alternative hypothesis, symbolized by H1, is a statistical
hypothesis that states the existence of a difference between a
parameter and a specific value, or states that there is a
difference between two parameters.
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Situation A
A medical researcher is interested in finding out whether a new
medication will have any undesirable side effects. The
researcher is particularly concerned with the pulse rate of the
patients who take the medication. Will the pulse rate increase,
decrease, or remain unchanged after a patient takes the
medication? The researcher knows that the mean pulse rate for
the population under study is 82 beats per minute.
The hypotheses for this situation are
This is called a two-tailed hypothesis test.
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Situation B
A chemist invents an additive to increase the life of an
automobile battery. The mean lifetime of the automobile
battery without the additive is 36 months.
In this book, the null hypothesis is always stated using the
equals sign. The hypotheses for this situation are
This is called a right-tailed hypothesis test.
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Situation C
A contractor wishes to lower heating bills by using a special
type of insulation in houses. If the average of the monthly
heating bills is $78, her hypotheses about heating costs with the
use of insulation are
This is called a left-tailed hypothesis test.
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Claim
When a researcher conducts a study, he or she is generally
looking for evidence to support a claim. Therefore, the claim
should be stated as the alternative hypothesis, or research
hypothesis.
A claim, though, can be stated as either the null hypothesis or
the alternative hypothesis; however, the statistical evidence can
only support the claim if it is the alternative hypothesis.
Statistical evidence can be used to reject the claim if the claim
is the null hypothesis.
These facts are important when you are stating the conclusion
of a statistical study.
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Hypothesis Testing
After stating the hypotheses, the researcher’s next step is to
design the study. The researcher selects the correct statistical
test, chooses an appropriate level of significance, and
formulates a plan for conducting the study.
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Hypothesis Testing
A statistical test uses the data obtained from a sample to make a
decision about whether the null hypothesis should be rejected.
The numerical value obtained from a statistical test is called the
test value.
In the hypothesis-testing situation, there are four possible
outcomes.
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Hypothesis Testing
In reality, the null hypothesis may or may not be true, and a
decision is made to reject or not to reject it on the basis of the
data obtained from a sample.
A type I error occurs if one rejects the null hypothesis when it
is true.
A type II error occurs if one does not reject the null hypothesis
when it is false.
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Hypothesis Testing
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Hypothesis Testing
The level of significance is the maximum probability of
committing a type I error. This probability is symbolized by a
(alpha). That is,
P(type I error) = a.
Likewise,
P(type II error) = b (beta).
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Hypothesis Testing
Typical significance levels are:
0.10, 0.05, and 0.01
For example, when a = 0.10, there is a 10% chance of rejecting
a true null hypothesis.
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Hypothesis Testing
The critical or rejection region is the range of values of the test
value that indicates that there is a significant difference and that
the null hypothesis should be rejected.
The noncritical or nonrejection region is the range of values of
the test value that indicates that the difference was probably due
to chance and that the null hypothesis should not be rejected.
The critical value, C.V., separates the critical region from the
noncritical region.
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Hypothesis Testing
Finding the Critical Value for α = 0.01 (Right-Tailed Test)
z = 2.33 for α = 0.01 (Right-Tailed Test)
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Hypothesis Testing
Finding the Critical Value for α = 0.01 (Left-Tailed Test)
Because of symmetry,
z = –2.33 for α = 0.01 (Left-Tailed Test)
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Hypothesis Testing
Finding the Critical Value for α = 0.01 (Two-Tailed Test)
z = ±2.58
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8.1
Steps in Hypothesis Testing—Traditional Method
Finding the Critical Values for Specific α Values, Using Table
E
Step 1 Draw the figure and indicate the appropriate area.
If the test is left-tailed, the critical region, with an area equal
to α, will be on the left side of the mean.
If the test is right-tailed, the critical region, with an area equal
to α, will be on the right side of the mean.
If the test is two-tailed, α must be divided by 2; one-half of the
area will be to the right of the mean, and one-half will be to the
left of the mean.
Procedure Table
8.1
Steps in Hypothesis Testing—Traditional Method
Finding the Critical Values for Specific α Values, Using Table
E
Step 2
For a left-tailed test, use the z value that corresponds to the area
equivalent to α in Table E.
For a right-tailed test, use the z value that corresponds to the
area equivalent to 1 – α.
For a two-tailed test, use the z value that corresponds to α/2 for
the left value. It will be negative. For the right value, use the z
value that corresponds to the area equivalent to 1 – α/2. It will
be positive.
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Procedure Table
Chapter 8
Hypothesis Testing
Section 8-1
Example 8-2
Page #423
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Using Table E in Appendix C, find the critical value(s) for each
situation and draw the appropriate figure, showing the critical
region.
a. A left-tailed test with α = 0.10.
Step 1 Draw the figure and indicate the appropriate area.
Step 2 Find the area closest to 0.1000 in Table E. In this case,
it is 0.1003. The z value is –1.28.
Example 8-2: Using Table E
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Using Table E in Appendix C, find the critical value(s) for each
situation and draw the appropriate figure, showing the critical
region.
b. A two-tailed test with α = 0.02.
Step 1 Draw the figure with areas α /2 = 0.02/2 = 0.01.
Step 2 Find the areas closest to 0.01 and 0.99.
The areas are 0.0099 and 0.9901.
The z values are –2.33 and 2.33.
Example 8-2: Using Table E
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Using Table E in Appendix C, find the critical value(s) for each
situation and draw the appropriate figure, showing the critical
region.
c. A right-tailed test with α = 0.005.
Step 1 Draw the figure and indicate the appropriate area.
Step 2 Find the area closest to 1 – α = 0.995.
There is a tie: 0.9949 and 0.9951. Average the z values of 2.57
and 2.58 to get 2.575 or 2.58.
Example 8-2: Using Table E
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8.1
Steps in Hypothesis Testing—Traditional Method
Solving Hypothesis-Testing Problems
(Traditional Method)
Step 1 State the hypotheses and identify the claim.
Step 2 Find the critical value(s) from the appropriate table in
Appendix C.
Step 3 Compute the test value.
Step 4 Make the decision to reject or not reject the null
hypothesis.
Step 5 Summarize the results.
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Procedure Table
8.2 z Test for a Mean
The z test is a statistical test for the mean of a population. It
distributed
The formula for the z test is
where
= sample mean
μ = hypothesized population mean
n = sample size
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Chapter 8
Hypothesis Testing
Section 8-2
Example 8-3
Page #427
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Example 8-3: Intelligence Tests
In Pennsylvania the average IQ score is 101.5. The variable is
normally distributed, and the population standard deviation is
15. A school superintendent claims that the students in her
school district have an IQ higher than the average of 101.5. She
selects a random sample of 30 students and finds the mean of
the test scores is 106.4. Test the claim at a 0.05.
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Example 8-3: Intelligence Tests
Step 1 State the hypotheses and identify the claim.
Step 2 Find the critical value. Since α = 0.05 and the test is a
right-tailed test, the critical value is
z = +1.65.
Step 3 Compute the test value.
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Example 8-3: Intelligence Tests
Step 4 Make the decision. Since the test value, 1.79, is
greater than the critical value, 1.65, the decision is to reject the
null hypothesis.
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Example 8-3: Days on Dealers’ Lots
Step 5 Summarize the results.
There is enough evidence to support the claim
that the IQ of the students is higher than the state
average IQ.
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Important Comments
In Example 8–3, the difference is said to be statistically
significant. However, when the null hypothesis is rejected, there
is always a chance of a type I error. In this case, the probability
of a type I error is at most 0.05, or 5%.
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Chapter 8
Hypothesis Testing
Section 8-2
Example 8-4
Page #429
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Example 8-4: SAT Tests
For a specific year, the average score on the SAT Math test was
515.* The variable is normally distributed, and the population
standard deviation is 100. The same superintendent in the
previous example wishes to see if her students scored
significantly below the national average on the test. She
randomly selected 36 student scores, as shown. At a 0.10, is
there enough evidence to support the claim?
496 506 507 505 438 499
505 522 531 762 513 493
522 668 543 519 349 506
519 516 714 517 511 551
287 523 576 516 515 500
243 509 523 503 414 504
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Example 8-4: SAT Tests
Step 1: Find the critical value.
State the hypotheses and identify the claim.
Step 2: Find the critical value.
Since α = 0.10 and the test is a left-tailed test, the critical value
is z = –1.28.
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Example 8-4: SAT Tests
Step 3: Compute the test value.
Since the exercise gives raw data find the mean of the data.
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Step 4: Make the decision.
Since the test value, –1.36, falls in the noncritical region, the
decision is to not reject the null hypothesis.
Step 5: Summarize the results.
There is not enough evidence to support the
claim that the students scored below the national
average.
Example 8-4: SAT Tests
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Chapter 8
Hypothesis Testing
Section 8-2
Example 8-5
Page #430
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Example 8-5: Cost of Rehabilitation
The Medical Rehabilitation Education Foundation reports that
the average cost of rehabilitation for stroke victims is $24,672.
To see if the average cost of rehabilitation is different at a
particular hospital, a researcher selects a random sample of 35
stroke victims at the hospital and finds that the average cost of
their rehabilitation is $26,343. The standard deviation of the
population is $3251. At α = 0.01, can it be concluded that the
average cost of stroke rehabilitation at a particular hospital is
different from $24,672?
Step 1: State the hypotheses and identify the claim.
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Example 8-5: Cost of Rehabilitation
The Medical Rehabilitation Education Foundation reports that
the average cost of rehabilitation for stroke victims is $24,672.
To see if the average cost of rehabilitation is different at a
particular hospital, a researcher selects a random sample of 35
stroke victims at the hospital and finds that the average cost of
their rehabilitation is $26,343. The standard deviation of the
population is $3251. At α = 0.01, can it be concluded that the
average cost of stroke rehabilitation at a particular hospital is
different from $24,672?
Step 2: Find the critical value.
Since α = 0.01 and a two-tailed test, the critical values are z =
±2.58.
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Example 8-5: Cost of Rehabilitation
Step 3: Find the test value.
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Step 4: Make the decision.
Reject the null hypothesis, since the test value falls in the
critical region.
Step 5: Summarize the results.
There is enough evidence to support the claim that the average
cost of rehabilitation at the particular hospital is different from
$24,672.
Example 8-5: Cost of Rehabilitation
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Hypothesis Testing
The P-value (or probability value) is the probability of getting a
sample statistic (such as the mean) or a more extreme sample
statistic in the direction of the alternative hypothesis when the
null hypothesis is true.
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Hypothesis Testing
Decision rule when using a P-value
If P-value reject the null hypothesis
If P-value do not reject the null hypothesis
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8.2
z Test for a Mean
Solving Hypothesis-Testing Problems (P-Value Method)
Step 1 State the hypotheses and identify the claim.
Step 2 Compute the test value.
Step 3 Find the P-value.
Step 4 Make the decision.
Step 5 Summarize the results.
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Procedure Table
Chapter 8
Hypothesis Testing
Section 8-2
Example 8-6
Page #432
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Example 8-6: Cost of College Tuition
A researcher wishes to test the claim that the average cost of
tuition and fees at a four-year public college is greater than
$5700. She selects a random sample of 36 four-year public
colleges and finds the mean to be $5950. The population
standard deviation is $659. Is there evidence to support the
claim at a 0.05? Use the P-value method.
Step 1: State the hypotheses and identify the claim.
H0: μ = $5700 and H1: μ > $5700 (claim)
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Example 8-6: Cost of College Tuition
A researcher wishes to test the claim that the average cost of
tuition and fees at a four-year public college is greater than
$5700. She selects a random sample of 36 four-year public
colleges and finds the mean to be $5950. The population
standard deviation is $659. Is there evidence to support the
claim at a 0.05? Use the P-value method.
Step 2: Compute the test value.
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Example 8-6: Cost of College Tuition
A researcher wishes to test the claim that the average cost of
tuition and fees at a four-year public college is greater than
$5700. She selects a random sample of 36 four-year public
colleges and finds the mean to be $5950. The population
standard deviation is $659. Is there evidence to support the
claim at a 0.05? Use the P-value method.
Step 3: Find the P-value.
Using Table E, find the area for z = 2.28.
The area is 0.9887.
Subtract from 1.0000 to find the area of the tail.
Hence, the P-value is 1.0000 – 0.9887 = 0.0113.
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Step 4: Make the decision.
Since the P-value is less than 0.05, the decision is to reject the
null hypothesis.
Step 5: Summarize the results.
There is enough evidence to support the claim that the tuition
and fees at four-year public colleges are greater than $5700.
Note: If α = 0.01, the null hypothesis would not be rejected.
Example 8-6: Cost of College Tuition
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Chapter 8
Hypothesis Testing
Section 8-2
Example 8-7
Page #432
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Example 8-7: Wind Speed
A researcher claims that the average wind speed in a certain city
is 8 miles per hour. A sample of 32 days has an average wind
speed of 8.2 miles per hour. The standard deviation of the
population is 0.6 mile per hour. At α = 0.05, is there enough
evidence to reject the claim? Use the P-value method.
Step 1: State the hypotheses and identify the claim.
H0: μ = 8 (claim) and H1: μ ≠ 8
Step 2: Compute the test value.
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Example 8-7: Wind Speed
A researcher claims that the average wind speed in a certain city
is 8 miles per hour. A sample of 32 days has an average wind
speed of 8.2 miles per hour. The standard deviation of the
population is 0.6 mile per hour. At α = 0.05, is there enough
evidence to reject the claim? Use the P-value method.
Step 3: Find the P-value.
The area for z = 1.89 is 0.9706.
Subtract: 1.0000 – 0.9706 = 0.0294.
Since this is a two-tailed test, the area of 0.0294 must be
doubled to get the P-value.
The P-value is 2(0.0294) = 0.0588.
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Step 4: Make the decision.
The decision is to not reject the null hypothesis, since the P-
value is greater than 0.05.
Step 5: Summarize the results.
There is not enough evidence to reject the claim that the
average wind speed is 8 miles per hour.
Example 8-7: Wind Speed
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Guidelines for P-Values With No α
If P-
highly significant.
If P-value > 0.01 but P- othesis.
The difference is significant.
If P-value > 0.05 but P-
of type I error before rejecting the null hypothesis.
If P-value > 0.10, do not reject the null hypothesis. The
difference is not significant.
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Significance
The researcher should distinguish between statistical
significance and practical significance.
When the null hypothesis is rejected at a specific significance
level, it can be concluded that the difference is probably not due
to chance and thus is statistically significant. However, the
results may not have any practical significance.
It is up to the researcher to use common sense when interpreting
the results of a statistical test.
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8.3 t Test for a Mean
The t test is a statistical test for the mean of a population and is
used when the population is normally or approximately
The formula for the t test is
The degrees of freedom are d.f. = n – 1.
Note: When the degrees of freedom are above 30, some
textbooks will tell you to use the nearest table value; however,
in this textbook, you should round down to the nearest table
value. This is a conservative approach.
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Chapter 8
Hypothesis Testing
Section 8-3
Example 8-8
Page #442
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Example 8-8: Table F
Find the critical t value for α = 0.05 with d.f. = 16 for a right-
tailed t test.
Find the 0.05 column in the top row and 16 in the left-hand
column.
The critical t value is +1.746.
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Chapter 8
Hypothesis Testing
Section 8-3
Examples 8-9 & 8-10
Page #443
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Example 8-9: Table F
Find the critical t value for α = 0.01 with d.f. = 22 for a left-
tailed test.
Find the 0.01 column in the One tail row, and 22 in the d.f.
column.
The critical value is t = –2.508 since the test is a one-tailed left
test.
Find the critical value for α = 0.10 with d.f. = 18 for a two-
tailed t test.
Find the 0.10 column in the Two tails row, and 18 in the d.f.
column.
The critical values are 1.734 and –1.734.
Example 8-10: Table F
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Chapter 8
Hypothesis Testing
Section 8-3
Example 8-12
Page #444
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Example 8-12: Hospital Infections
A medical investigation claims that the average number of
infections per week at a hospital in southwestern Pennsylvania
is 16.3. A random sample of 10 weeks had a mean number of
17.7 infections. The sample standard deviation is 1.8. Is there
enough evidence to reject the investigator’s claim at α = 0.05?
Step 1: State the hypotheses and identify the claim.
Step 2: Find the critical value.
The critical values are 2.262 and –2.262 for α = 0.05 and
d.f. = 9.
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Example 8-12: Hospital Infections
A medical investigation claims that the average number of
infections per week at a hospital in southwestern Pennsylvania
is 16.3. A random sample of 10 weeks had a mean number of
17.7 infections. The sample standard deviation is 1.8. Is there
enough evidence to reject the investigator’s claim at α = 0.05?
Step 3: Find the test value.
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Step 4: Make the decision.
Reject the null hypothesis since 2.46 > 2.262.
Step 5: Summarize the results.
There is enough evidence to reject the claim that the average
number of infections is 16.3.
Example 8-12: Hospital Infections
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Chapter 8
Hypothesis Testing
Section 8-3
Example 8-13
Page #444
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Example 8-13: Starting Nurse Salary
According to payscale.com, the average starting salary for a
nurse practitioner is $79,500. A researcher wishes to test the
claim that the starting salary is less than $79,500. A random
sample of 8 starting nurse practitioners is selected, and their
starting salaries (in dollars) are shown. Is there enough
evidence to support the researcher’s claim at a 0.10? Assume
the variable is normally distributed.
82,000 68,000 70,200 75,600
83,500 64,300 78,600 79,000
Step 1: State the hypotheses and identify the claim.
Step 2: Find the critical value.
At α = 0.10 and d.f. = 7, the critical value is –1.415.
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Example 8-13: Starting Nurse Salary
Step 3: Find the test value.
Compute the test value. In this case, the mean and
standard deviation must be found. Use the formulas in
Chapter 3 or your calculator.
X = $75,150 and s = $6,937.68
71
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71
Step 4: Make the decision.
Do not reject the null hypothesis since –0.773 falls in the
critical region.
Step 5: Summarize the results.
There is enough evidence to support the claim that
the average starting salary for nurse practitioners is less
than $79,500.
Example 8-12: Starting Nurse Salary
72
Bluman Chapter 8
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72
Chapter 8
Hypothesis Testing
Section 8-3
Example 8-16
Page #447
73
Bluman Chapter 8
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73
Example 8-16: Jogger’s Oxygen Uptake
A physician claims that joggers’ maximal volume oxygen
uptake is greater than the average of all adults. A sample of 15
joggers has a mean of 40.6 milliliters per kilogram (ml/kg) and
a standard deviation of 6 ml/kg. If the average of all adults is
36.7 ml/kg, is there enough evidence to support the physician’s
claim at α = 0.05?
Step 1: State the hypotheses and identify the claim.
H0: μ = 36.7 and H1: μ > 36.7 (claim)
Step 2: Compute the test value.
74
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74
Example 8-16: Jogger’s Oxygen Uptake
A physician claims that joggers’ maximal volume oxygen
uptake is greater than the average of all adults. A sample of 15
joggers has a mean of 40.6 milliliters per kilogram (ml/kg) and
a standard deviation of 6 ml/kg. If the average of all adults is
36.7 ml/kg, is there enough evidence to support the physician’s
claim at α = 0.05?
Step 3: Find the P-value.
In the d.f. = 14 row, 2.517 falls between 2.145 and 2.624,
corresponding to α = 0.025 and α = 0.01.
Thus, the P-value is somewhere between 0.01 and 0.025, since
this is a one-tailed test.
75
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75
Step 4: Make the decision.
The decision is to reject the null hypothesis, since the P-value <
0.05.
Step 5: Summarize the results.
There is enough evidence to support the claim that the joggers’
maximal volume oxygen uptake is greater than 36.7 ml/kg.
Example 8-16: Jogger’s Oxygen Uptake
76
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76
Whether to use z or t
77
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77
8.4 z Test for a Proportion
Since a normal distribution can be used to approximate the
normal distribution can be used to test hypotheses for
proportions.
The formula for the z test for a proportion is
where
78
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Chapter 8
Hypothesis Testing
Section 8-4
Example 8-17
Page #454
79
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79
Example 8-17: Obese Young People
A researcher claims that based on the information obtained from
the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, 17% of young
people ages 2–19 are obese. To test this claim, she randomly
selected 200 people ages 2–19 and found that 42 were obese. At
a = 0.05, is there enough evidence to reject the claim?
Step 1: State the hypotheses and identify the claim.
Step 2: Find the critical value.
Since α = 0.05 and the test is a two-tailed test, the critical
values are ±1.96.
80
Bluman Chapter 8
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80
Example 8-17: Obese Young People
A researcher claims that based on the information obtained from
the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, 17% of young
people ages 2–19 are obese. To test this claim, she randomly
selected 200 people ages 2–19 and found that 42 were obese. At
a = 0.05, is there enough evidence to reject the claim?
Step 3: Compute the test value.
81
Bluman Chapter 8
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81
Step 4: Make the decision.
Do not reject the null hypothesis since the test value falls in the
noncritical region.
Step 5: Summarize the results.
There is not enough evidence to reject the claim that
17% of young people ages 2–19 are obese.
Example 8-17: Obese Young People
82
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82
Chapter 8
Hypothesis Testing
Section 8-4
Example 8-18
Page #454
83
Bluman Chapter 8
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83
Example 8-18: Female Gun Owners
The Gallup Crime Survey stated that 23% of gun owners are
women. A researcher believes that in the area where he lives,
the percentage is less than 23%. He randomly selects a sample
of 100 gun owners and finds that 11% of the gun owners are
women. At a = 0.01, is the percentage of female gun owners in
his area less than 23%.
84
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84
Example 8-18: Female Gun Owners
Step 1 State the hypotheses and identify the claim.
Step 2 Find the critical value(s). Since α = 0.01 and this test
is one-tailed, the critical value is -2.33.
Step 3 Compute the test value. In this case, is given
85
Bluman Chapter 8
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85
Example 8-18: Female Gun Owners
Step 4 Make the decision. Reject the null
hypothesis since the test value falls in the critical
region.
86
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86
Example 8-18: Female Gun Owners
Step 5 Summarize the results.
There is enough evidence to support the claim
that the percentage of female gun owners in that
area is less than 23%.
87
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87
Characteristics of the Chi-square Distribution
All chi-square values are
The chi-square distribution is a family of curves based on the
degrees of freedom.
The area under each chi-square distribution is equal to 1.
The chi-square distributions are positively skewed.
Bluman, Chapter 8
88
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Characteristics of the Chi-square Distribution
to find the area use table G in appendix A.
Finding the chi-square critical value for a specific a when the
hypothesis test is right-tailed
Finding the chi-square critical value for a specific a when the
hypothesis test is left-tailed
Finding the chi-square critical values for a specific a when the
hypothesis test is two-tailed
Bluman, Chapter 8
89
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Chapter 8
Hypothesis Testing
Section 8-5
Example 8-21
Page #461
90
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90
Example 8-21: Table G
Find the critical chi-square value for 15 degrees of freedom
when α = 0.05 and the test is right-tailed.
91
Bluman Chapter 8
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91
Chapter 8
Hypothesis Testing
Section 8-5
Example 8-22
Page #462
92
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92
Example 8-22: Table G
Find the critical chi-square value for 10 degrees of freedom
when α = 0.05 and the test is left-tailed.
When the test is left-tailed, the α value must be subtracted from
1, that is, 1 – 0.05 = 0.95. The left side of the table is used,
because the chi-square table gives the area to the right of the
critical value, and the chi-square statistic cannot be negative.
93
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93
Example 8-22: Table G
Find the critical chi-square value for 10 degrees of freedom
when α = 0.05 and the test is left-tailed.
Use Table G, looking in row 10 and column 0.95.
94
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94
8.5 Test for a Variance or a Standard Deviation
The chi-square distribution is also used to test a claim about a
single variance or standard deviation.
The formula for the chi-square test for a variance is
with degrees of freedom d.f. = n – 1 and
n = sample size
s2 = sample variance
95
Bluman Chapter 8
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Assumptions for the Test for a Variance or a Standard
Deviation
The sample must be randomly selected from the population.
The population must be normally distributed for the variable
under study.
The observations must be independent of one another.
96
Bluman Chapter 8
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Permission required for reproduction or display.
Chapter 8
Hypothesis Testing
Section 8-5
Example 8-23
Page #462
97
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97
Example 8-23: Table G
Find the critical chi-square value for 22 degrees of freedom
when α = 0.05 and a two-tailed test is conducted.
When the test is two-tailed, the area must be split. The area to
the right of the larger value is α /2, or 0.025. The area to the
right of the smaller value is 1 – α /2, or 0.975.
With 22 degrees of freedom, areas 0.025 and 0.975 correspond
to chi-square values of 36.781 and 10.982.
98
Bluman Chapter 8
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Permission required for reproduction or display.
98
Chapter 8
Hypothesis Testing
Section 8-5
Example 8-24
Page #464
99
Bluman Chapter 8
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Permission required for reproduction or display.
99
Example 8-24: Math SAT Test
The standard deviation for the Math SAT test is 100. The
variance is 10,000. An instructor wishes to see if the variance of
the 23 randomly selected students in her school is less than
10,000. The variance for the 23 test scores is 7225. Is there
enough evidence to support the claim that the variance of the
students in her school is less than 10,000 at a = 0.05? Assume
that the scores are normally distributed.
Step 1: State the hypotheses and identify the claim.
Step 2: Find the critical value.
The critical value is 12.338.
100
Bluman Chapter 8
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Permission required for reproduction or display.
100
Example 8-24: Math SAT Test
An instructor wishes to see whether the variation in scores of
the 23 students in her class is less than the variance of the
population. The variance of the class is 198. Is there enough
evidence to support the claim that the variation of the students
Assume that the scores are normally distributed.
Step 3: Compute the test value.
101
Bluman Chapter 8
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Permission required for reproduction or display.
101
Step 4: Make the decision.
Do not reject the null hypothesis since the test value 15.895
falls in the noncritical region.
Step 5: Summarize the results.
There is not enough evidence to support the claim that the
variation of the students’ test scores is less than the
population variance.
Example 8-24: Math SAT Test
102
Bluman Chapter 8
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Permission required for reproduction or display.
102
Chapter 8
Hypothesis Testing
Section 8-5
Example 8-26
Page #450
103
Bluman Chapter 8
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Permission required for reproduction or display.
103
Example 8-26: Nicotine Content
A cigarette manufacturer wishes to test the claim that the
variance of the nicotine content of its cigarettes is 0.644.
Nicotine content is measured in milligrams, and assume that it
is normally distributed. A sample of 20 cigarettes has a standard
deviation of 1.00 milligram. At α = 0.05, is there enough
evidence to reject the manufacturer’s claim?
Step 1: State the hypotheses and identify the claim.
Step 2: Find the critical value.
The critical values are 32.852 and 8.907.
104
Bluman Chapter 8
Copyright © 2015 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc.
Permission required for reproduction or display.
104
Example 8-26: Nicotine Content
A cigarette manufacturer wishes to test the claim that the
variance of the nicotine content of its cigarettes is 0.644.
Nicotine content is measured in milligrams, and assume that it
is normally distributed. A sample of 20 cigarettes has a standard
deviation of 1.00 milligram. At α = 0.05, is there enough
evidence to reject the manufacturer’s claim?
Step 3: Compute the test value.
The standard deviation s must be squared in the formula.
105
Bluman Chapter 8
Copyright © 2015 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc.
Permission required for reproduction or display.
105
Step 4: Make the decision.
Do not reject the null hypothesis, since the test value falls in
the noncritical region.
Step 5: Summarize the results.
There is not enough evidence to reject the manufacturer’s claim
that the variance of the nicotine content of the cigarettes is
0.644.
Example 8-26: Nicotine Content
106
Bluman Chapter 8
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Permission required for reproduction or display.
106
8.6 Additional Topics Regarding Hypothesis Testing
There is a relationship between confidence intervals and
hypothesis testing.
When the null hypothesis is rejected in a hypothesis-testing
situation, the confidence interval for the mean using the same
level of significance will not contain the hypothesized mean.
Likewise, when the null hypothesis is not rejected, the
confidence interval computed using the same level of
significance will contain the hypothesized mean.
107
Bluman Chapter 8
Copyright © 2015 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc.
Permission required for reproduction or display.
Chapter 8
Hypothesis Testing
Section 8-6
Example 8-30
Page #474
108
Bluman Chapter 8
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Permission required for reproduction or display.
108
Example 8-30: Sugar Production
Sugar is packed in 5-pound bags. An inspector suspects the bags
may not contain 5 pounds. A sample of 50 bags produces a
mean of 4.6 pounds and a standard deviation of 0.7 pound. Is
there enough evidence to conclude that the bags do not contain
5 pounds as stated at α = 0.05? Also, find the 95% confidence
interval of the true mean.
Step 1: State the hypotheses and identify the claim.
Step 2: Find the critical values.
The critical values are t = ±2.010.
109
Bluman Chapter 8
Copyright © 2015 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc.
Permission required for reproduction or display.
109
Example 8-30: Sugar Production
Sugar is packed in 5-pound bags. An inspector suspects the bags
may not contain 5 pounds. A sample of 50 bags produces a
mean of 4.6 pounds and a standard deviation of 0.7 pound. Is
there enough evidence to conclude that the bags do not contain
5 pounds as stated at α = 0.05? Also, find the 95% confidence
interval of the true mean.
Step 3: Compute the test value.
110
Bluman Chapter 8
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Permission required for reproduction or display.
110
Step 4: Make the decision.
Since -4.04 -2.014, the null hypothesis is rejected.
Step 5: Summarize the results.
There is enough evidence to support the claim that the bags do
not weigh 5 pounds.
Example 8-30: Sugar Production
111
Bluman Chapter 8
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111
The 95% confidence interval for the mean is
Example 8-30: Sugar Production
Notice that the 95% confidence interval of m does not contain
the hypothesized value μ = 5.
Hence, there is agreement between the hypothesis test and the
confidence interval.
112
Bluman Chapter 8
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Permission required for reproduction or display.
112
The power of a test measures the sensitivity of the test to detect
a real difference in parameters if one actually exists. The
higher the power, the more sensitive the test. The power is 1 –
β.
Power of a Statistical Test
113
Bluman Chapter 8
Copyright © 2015 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc.
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113
1
:82
H
m
¹
0
:82
H
m
=
1
:36
H
m
>
0
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H
m
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H
m
=
-
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X
z
n
m
s
X
26,34324,672
325135
-
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3.04
=
59505700
65936
-
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2.28
=
8.28
0.632
-
=
1.89
=
-
=
X
t
sn
m
-
=
X
z
sn
m
17.716.3
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-
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t
sn
m
40.636.7
615
-
=
2.517
=
ˆ
-
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pqn
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ˆ
sample proportion
population proportion
sample size
X
p
n
p
n
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24.996
=
c
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3.940
=
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4.04
=-

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1Copyright © 2015 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. Permission r.docx

  • 1. 1 Copyright © 2015 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. Permission required for reproduction or display. C H A P T E R E I G H T Hypothesis Testing 1.1 Descriptive and Inferential Statistics Slide 2 Copyright © 2012 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. 8-1Steps in Hypothesis Testing—Traditional Method8-2z Test for a Mean8-3t Test for a Mean8-4z Test for a Proportion8- for a Variance or Standard Deviation8-6Additional Topics Regarding Hypothesis Testing Hypothesis Testing CHAPTER 8 Outline Copyright © 2015 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. Permission required for reproduction or display.
  • 2. 1.1 Descriptive and inferential statistics 1Understand the definitions used in hypothesis testing.2State the null and alternative hypotheses.3Find critical values for the z test.4State the five steps used in hypothesis using the z test. Learning Objectives Copyright © 2015 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. Permission required for reproduction or display. 1.1 Descriptive and inferential statistics 8Test variances or standard deviations, using the chi-square test.9Test hypotheses, using confidence intervals.10Explain the relationship between type I and type II errors and the power of a
  • 3. test. Learning Objectives Copyright © 2015 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. Permission required for reproduction or display. Hypothesis Testing Three methods used to test hypotheses: 1. The traditional method 2. The P-value method 3. The confidence interval method 5 Bluman Chapter 8 Copyright © 2015 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. Permission required for reproduction or display. 8.1 Steps in Hypothesis Testing-Traditional Method A statistical hypothesis is a conjecture about a population parameter. This conjecture may or may not be true. The null hypothesis, symbolized by H0, is a statistical hypothesis that states that there is no difference between a parameter and a specific value, or that there is no difference between two parameters. 6 Bluman Chapter 8 Copyright © 2015 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. Permission required for reproduction or display. Steps in Hypothesis Testing-Traditional Method The alternative hypothesis, symbolized by H1, is a statistical
  • 4. hypothesis that states the existence of a difference between a parameter and a specific value, or states that there is a difference between two parameters. 7 Bluman Chapter 8 Copyright © 2015 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. Permission required for reproduction or display. Situation A A medical researcher is interested in finding out whether a new medication will have any undesirable side effects. The researcher is particularly concerned with the pulse rate of the patients who take the medication. Will the pulse rate increase, decrease, or remain unchanged after a patient takes the medication? The researcher knows that the mean pulse rate for the population under study is 82 beats per minute. The hypotheses for this situation are This is called a two-tailed hypothesis test. 8 Bluman Chapter 8 Copyright © 2015 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. Permission required for reproduction or display. Situation B A chemist invents an additive to increase the life of an automobile battery. The mean lifetime of the automobile
  • 5. battery without the additive is 36 months. In this book, the null hypothesis is always stated using the equals sign. The hypotheses for this situation are This is called a right-tailed hypothesis test. 9 Bluman Chapter 8 Copyright © 2015 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. Permission required for reproduction or display. Situation C A contractor wishes to lower heating bills by using a special type of insulation in houses. If the average of the monthly heating bills is $78, her hypotheses about heating costs with the use of insulation are This is called a left-tailed hypothesis test. 10 Bluman Chapter 8 Copyright © 2015 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc.
  • 6. Permission required for reproduction or display. Claim When a researcher conducts a study, he or she is generally looking for evidence to support a claim. Therefore, the claim should be stated as the alternative hypothesis, or research hypothesis. A claim, though, can be stated as either the null hypothesis or the alternative hypothesis; however, the statistical evidence can only support the claim if it is the alternative hypothesis. Statistical evidence can be used to reject the claim if the claim is the null hypothesis. These facts are important when you are stating the conclusion of a statistical study. 11 Bluman Chapter 8 Copyright © 2015 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. Permission required for reproduction or display. Hypothesis Testing After stating the hypotheses, the researcher’s next step is to design the study. The researcher selects the correct statistical test, chooses an appropriate level of significance, and formulates a plan for conducting the study. 12 Bluman Chapter 8 Copyright © 2015 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. Permission required for reproduction or display.
  • 7. Hypothesis Testing A statistical test uses the data obtained from a sample to make a decision about whether the null hypothesis should be rejected. The numerical value obtained from a statistical test is called the test value. In the hypothesis-testing situation, there are four possible outcomes. 13 Bluman Chapter 8 Copyright © 2015 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. Permission required for reproduction or display. Hypothesis Testing In reality, the null hypothesis may or may not be true, and a decision is made to reject or not to reject it on the basis of the data obtained from a sample. A type I error occurs if one rejects the null hypothesis when it is true. A type II error occurs if one does not reject the null hypothesis when it is false. 14 Bluman Chapter 8 Copyright © 2015 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. Permission required for reproduction or display. Hypothesis Testing 15 Bluman Chapter 8
  • 8. Copyright © 2015 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. Permission required for reproduction or display. Hypothesis Testing The level of significance is the maximum probability of committing a type I error. This probability is symbolized by a (alpha). That is, P(type I error) = a. Likewise, P(type II error) = b (beta). 16 Bluman Chapter 8 Copyright © 2015 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. Permission required for reproduction or display. Hypothesis Testing Typical significance levels are: 0.10, 0.05, and 0.01 For example, when a = 0.10, there is a 10% chance of rejecting a true null hypothesis. 17 Bluman Chapter 8 Copyright © 2015 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. Permission required for reproduction or display. Hypothesis Testing The critical or rejection region is the range of values of the test value that indicates that there is a significant difference and that the null hypothesis should be rejected.
  • 9. The noncritical or nonrejection region is the range of values of the test value that indicates that the difference was probably due to chance and that the null hypothesis should not be rejected. The critical value, C.V., separates the critical region from the noncritical region. 18 Bluman Chapter 8 Copyright © 2015 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. Permission required for reproduction or display. Hypothesis Testing Finding the Critical Value for α = 0.01 (Right-Tailed Test) z = 2.33 for α = 0.01 (Right-Tailed Test) 19 Bluman Chapter 8 Copyright © 2015 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. Permission required for reproduction or display. Hypothesis Testing Finding the Critical Value for α = 0.01 (Left-Tailed Test) Because of symmetry, z = –2.33 for α = 0.01 (Left-Tailed Test) 20 Bluman Chapter 8
  • 10. Copyright © 2015 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. Permission required for reproduction or display. Hypothesis Testing Finding the Critical Value for α = 0.01 (Two-Tailed Test) z = ±2.58 21 Bluman Chapter 8 Copyright © 2015 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. Permission required for reproduction or display. 8.1 Steps in Hypothesis Testing—Traditional Method Finding the Critical Values for Specific α Values, Using Table E Step 1 Draw the figure and indicate the appropriate area. If the test is left-tailed, the critical region, with an area equal to α, will be on the left side of the mean. If the test is right-tailed, the critical region, with an area equal to α, will be on the right side of the mean.
  • 11. If the test is two-tailed, α must be divided by 2; one-half of the area will be to the right of the mean, and one-half will be to the left of the mean. Procedure Table 8.1 Steps in Hypothesis Testing—Traditional Method Finding the Critical Values for Specific α Values, Using Table E Step 2 For a left-tailed test, use the z value that corresponds to the area equivalent to α in Table E. For a right-tailed test, use the z value that corresponds to the area equivalent to 1 – α. For a two-tailed test, use the z value that corresponds to α/2 for the left value. It will be negative. For the right value, use the z value that corresponds to the area equivalent to 1 – α/2. It will be positive. Copyright © 2015 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. Permission required for reproduction or display. Procedure Table
  • 12. Chapter 8 Hypothesis Testing Section 8-1 Example 8-2 Page #423 24 Bluman Chapter 8 Copyright © 2015 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. Permission required for reproduction or display. 24 Using Table E in Appendix C, find the critical value(s) for each situation and draw the appropriate figure, showing the critical region. a. A left-tailed test with α = 0.10. Step 1 Draw the figure and indicate the appropriate area. Step 2 Find the area closest to 0.1000 in Table E. In this case, it is 0.1003. The z value is –1.28. Example 8-2: Using Table E 25 Bluman Chapter 8
  • 13. Copyright © 2015 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. Permission required for reproduction or display. 25 Using Table E in Appendix C, find the critical value(s) for each situation and draw the appropriate figure, showing the critical region. b. A two-tailed test with α = 0.02. Step 1 Draw the figure with areas α /2 = 0.02/2 = 0.01. Step 2 Find the areas closest to 0.01 and 0.99. The areas are 0.0099 and 0.9901. The z values are –2.33 and 2.33. Example 8-2: Using Table E 26 Bluman Chapter 8 Copyright © 2015 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. Permission required for reproduction or display. 26 Using Table E in Appendix C, find the critical value(s) for each situation and draw the appropriate figure, showing the critical region.
  • 14. c. A right-tailed test with α = 0.005. Step 1 Draw the figure and indicate the appropriate area. Step 2 Find the area closest to 1 – α = 0.995. There is a tie: 0.9949 and 0.9951. Average the z values of 2.57 and 2.58 to get 2.575 or 2.58. Example 8-2: Using Table E 27 Bluman Chapter 8 Copyright © 2015 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. Permission required for reproduction or display. 27 8.1 Steps in Hypothesis Testing—Traditional Method Solving Hypothesis-Testing Problems (Traditional Method)
  • 15. Step 1 State the hypotheses and identify the claim. Step 2 Find the critical value(s) from the appropriate table in Appendix C. Step 3 Compute the test value. Step 4 Make the decision to reject or not reject the null hypothesis. Step 5 Summarize the results. Copyright © 2015 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. Permission required for reproduction or display. Procedure Table 8.2 z Test for a Mean The z test is a statistical test for the mean of a population. It distributed The formula for the z test is where = sample mean μ = hypothesized population mean n = sample size 29 Bluman Chapter 8
  • 16. Copyright © 2015 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. Permission required for reproduction or display. Chapter 8 Hypothesis Testing Section 8-2 Example 8-3 Page #427 30 Bluman Chapter 8 Copyright © 2015 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. Permission required for reproduction or display. 30 Example 8-3: Intelligence Tests In Pennsylvania the average IQ score is 101.5. The variable is normally distributed, and the population standard deviation is 15. A school superintendent claims that the students in her school district have an IQ higher than the average of 101.5. She selects a random sample of 30 students and finds the mean of the test scores is 106.4. Test the claim at a 0.05. 31 Bluman Chapter 8 Copyright © 2015 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. Permission required for reproduction or display. 31
  • 17. Example 8-3: Intelligence Tests Step 1 State the hypotheses and identify the claim. Step 2 Find the critical value. Since α = 0.05 and the test is a right-tailed test, the critical value is z = +1.65. Step 3 Compute the test value. 32 Bluman Chapter 8 Copyright © 2015 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. Permission required for reproduction or display. 32 Example 8-3: Intelligence Tests Step 4 Make the decision. Since the test value, 1.79, is greater than the critical value, 1.65, the decision is to reject the null hypothesis. 33 Bluman Chapter 8 Copyright © 2015 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. Permission required for reproduction or display.
  • 18. 33 Example 8-3: Days on Dealers’ Lots Step 5 Summarize the results. There is enough evidence to support the claim that the IQ of the students is higher than the state average IQ. 34 Bluman Chapter 8 Copyright © 2015 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. Permission required for reproduction or display. 34 Important Comments In Example 8–3, the difference is said to be statistically significant. However, when the null hypothesis is rejected, there is always a chance of a type I error. In this case, the probability of a type I error is at most 0.05, or 5%. 35 Bluman Chapter 8 Copyright © 2015 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. Permission required for reproduction or display. 35 Chapter 8 Hypothesis Testing Section 8-2
  • 19. Example 8-4 Page #429 36 Bluman Chapter 8 Copyright © 2015 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. Permission required for reproduction or display. 36 Example 8-4: SAT Tests For a specific year, the average score on the SAT Math test was 515.* The variable is normally distributed, and the population standard deviation is 100. The same superintendent in the previous example wishes to see if her students scored significantly below the national average on the test. She randomly selected 36 student scores, as shown. At a 0.10, is there enough evidence to support the claim? 496 506 507 505 438 499 505 522 531 762 513 493 522 668 543 519 349 506 519 516 714 517 511 551 287 523 576 516 515 500 243 509 523 503 414 504 37 Bluman Chapter 8 Copyright © 2015 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. Permission required for reproduction or display. 37
  • 20. Example 8-4: SAT Tests Step 1: Find the critical value. State the hypotheses and identify the claim. Step 2: Find the critical value. Since α = 0.10 and the test is a left-tailed test, the critical value is z = –1.28. 38 Bluman Chapter 8 Copyright © 2015 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. Permission required for reproduction or display. 38 Example 8-4: SAT Tests Step 3: Compute the test value. Since the exercise gives raw data find the mean of the data. 39 Bluman Chapter 8 Copyright © 2015 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. Permission required for reproduction or display.
  • 21. 39 Step 4: Make the decision. Since the test value, –1.36, falls in the noncritical region, the decision is to not reject the null hypothesis. Step 5: Summarize the results. There is not enough evidence to support the claim that the students scored below the national average. Example 8-4: SAT Tests 40 Bluman Chapter 8 Copyright © 2015 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. Permission required for reproduction or display. 40 Chapter 8 Hypothesis Testing Section 8-2 Example 8-5 Page #430 41 Bluman Chapter 8 Copyright © 2015 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc.
  • 22. Permission required for reproduction or display. 41 Example 8-5: Cost of Rehabilitation The Medical Rehabilitation Education Foundation reports that the average cost of rehabilitation for stroke victims is $24,672. To see if the average cost of rehabilitation is different at a particular hospital, a researcher selects a random sample of 35 stroke victims at the hospital and finds that the average cost of their rehabilitation is $26,343. The standard deviation of the population is $3251. At α = 0.01, can it be concluded that the average cost of stroke rehabilitation at a particular hospital is different from $24,672? Step 1: State the hypotheses and identify the claim. 42 Bluman Chapter 8 Copyright © 2015 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. Permission required for reproduction or display. 42 Example 8-5: Cost of Rehabilitation The Medical Rehabilitation Education Foundation reports that the average cost of rehabilitation for stroke victims is $24,672. To see if the average cost of rehabilitation is different at a particular hospital, a researcher selects a random sample of 35 stroke victims at the hospital and finds that the average cost of their rehabilitation is $26,343. The standard deviation of the population is $3251. At α = 0.01, can it be concluded that the
  • 23. average cost of stroke rehabilitation at a particular hospital is different from $24,672? Step 2: Find the critical value. Since α = 0.01 and a two-tailed test, the critical values are z = ±2.58. 43 Bluman Chapter 8 Copyright © 2015 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. Permission required for reproduction or display. 43 Example 8-5: Cost of Rehabilitation Step 3: Find the test value. 44 Bluman Chapter 8 Copyright © 2015 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. Permission required for reproduction or display. 44 Step 4: Make the decision. Reject the null hypothesis, since the test value falls in the critical region.
  • 24. Step 5: Summarize the results. There is enough evidence to support the claim that the average cost of rehabilitation at the particular hospital is different from $24,672. Example 8-5: Cost of Rehabilitation 45 Bluman Chapter 8 Copyright © 2015 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. Permission required for reproduction or display. 45 Hypothesis Testing The P-value (or probability value) is the probability of getting a sample statistic (such as the mean) or a more extreme sample statistic in the direction of the alternative hypothesis when the null hypothesis is true. 46 Bluman Chapter 8 Copyright © 2015 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. Permission required for reproduction or display. Hypothesis Testing Decision rule when using a P-value If P-value reject the null hypothesis
  • 25. If P-value do not reject the null hypothesis 47 Bluman Chapter 8 Copyright © 2015 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. Permission required for reproduction or display. 8.2 z Test for a Mean Solving Hypothesis-Testing Problems (P-Value Method) Step 1 State the hypotheses and identify the claim. Step 2 Compute the test value. Step 3 Find the P-value. Step 4 Make the decision. Step 5 Summarize the results. Copyright © 2015 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. Permission required for reproduction or display. Procedure Table
  • 26. Chapter 8 Hypothesis Testing Section 8-2 Example 8-6 Page #432 49 Bluman Chapter 8 Copyright © 2015 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. Permission required for reproduction or display. 49 Example 8-6: Cost of College Tuition A researcher wishes to test the claim that the average cost of tuition and fees at a four-year public college is greater than $5700. She selects a random sample of 36 four-year public colleges and finds the mean to be $5950. The population standard deviation is $659. Is there evidence to support the claim at a 0.05? Use the P-value method. Step 1: State the hypotheses and identify the claim. H0: μ = $5700 and H1: μ > $5700 (claim) 50 Bluman Chapter 8 Copyright © 2015 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. Permission required for reproduction or display. 50
  • 27. Example 8-6: Cost of College Tuition A researcher wishes to test the claim that the average cost of tuition and fees at a four-year public college is greater than $5700. She selects a random sample of 36 four-year public colleges and finds the mean to be $5950. The population standard deviation is $659. Is there evidence to support the claim at a 0.05? Use the P-value method. Step 2: Compute the test value. 51 Bluman Chapter 8 Copyright © 2015 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. Permission required for reproduction or display. 51 Example 8-6: Cost of College Tuition A researcher wishes to test the claim that the average cost of tuition and fees at a four-year public college is greater than $5700. She selects a random sample of 36 four-year public colleges and finds the mean to be $5950. The population standard deviation is $659. Is there evidence to support the claim at a 0.05? Use the P-value method. Step 3: Find the P-value. Using Table E, find the area for z = 2.28. The area is 0.9887. Subtract from 1.0000 to find the area of the tail. Hence, the P-value is 1.0000 – 0.9887 = 0.0113. 52
  • 28. Bluman Chapter 8 Copyright © 2015 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. Permission required for reproduction or display. 52 Step 4: Make the decision. Since the P-value is less than 0.05, the decision is to reject the null hypothesis. Step 5: Summarize the results. There is enough evidence to support the claim that the tuition and fees at four-year public colleges are greater than $5700. Note: If α = 0.01, the null hypothesis would not be rejected. Example 8-6: Cost of College Tuition 53 Bluman Chapter 8 Copyright © 2015 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. Permission required for reproduction or display. 53 Chapter 8 Hypothesis Testing Section 8-2
  • 29. Example 8-7 Page #432 54 Bluman Chapter 8 Copyright © 2015 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. Permission required for reproduction or display. 54 Example 8-7: Wind Speed A researcher claims that the average wind speed in a certain city is 8 miles per hour. A sample of 32 days has an average wind speed of 8.2 miles per hour. The standard deviation of the population is 0.6 mile per hour. At α = 0.05, is there enough evidence to reject the claim? Use the P-value method. Step 1: State the hypotheses and identify the claim. H0: μ = 8 (claim) and H1: μ ≠ 8 Step 2: Compute the test value. 55 Bluman Chapter 8 Copyright © 2015 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. Permission required for reproduction or display. 55
  • 30. Example 8-7: Wind Speed A researcher claims that the average wind speed in a certain city is 8 miles per hour. A sample of 32 days has an average wind speed of 8.2 miles per hour. The standard deviation of the population is 0.6 mile per hour. At α = 0.05, is there enough evidence to reject the claim? Use the P-value method. Step 3: Find the P-value. The area for z = 1.89 is 0.9706. Subtract: 1.0000 – 0.9706 = 0.0294. Since this is a two-tailed test, the area of 0.0294 must be doubled to get the P-value. The P-value is 2(0.0294) = 0.0588. 56 Bluman Chapter 8 Copyright © 2015 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. Permission required for reproduction or display. 56 Step 4: Make the decision. The decision is to not reject the null hypothesis, since the P- value is greater than 0.05. Step 5: Summarize the results. There is not enough evidence to reject the claim that the average wind speed is 8 miles per hour.
  • 31. Example 8-7: Wind Speed 57 Bluman Chapter 8 Copyright © 2015 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. Permission required for reproduction or display. 57 Guidelines for P-Values With No α If P- highly significant. If P-value > 0.01 but P- othesis. The difference is significant. If P-value > 0.05 but P- of type I error before rejecting the null hypothesis. If P-value > 0.10, do not reject the null hypothesis. The difference is not significant. 58 Bluman Chapter 8 Copyright © 2015 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. Permission required for reproduction or display. 58 Significance The researcher should distinguish between statistical significance and practical significance. When the null hypothesis is rejected at a specific significance level, it can be concluded that the difference is probably not due
  • 32. to chance and thus is statistically significant. However, the results may not have any practical significance. It is up to the researcher to use common sense when interpreting the results of a statistical test. 59 Bluman Chapter 8 Copyright © 2015 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. Permission required for reproduction or display. 59 8.3 t Test for a Mean The t test is a statistical test for the mean of a population and is used when the population is normally or approximately The formula for the t test is The degrees of freedom are d.f. = n – 1. Note: When the degrees of freedom are above 30, some textbooks will tell you to use the nearest table value; however, in this textbook, you should round down to the nearest table value. This is a conservative approach. 60 Bluman Chapter 8 Copyright © 2015 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. Permission required for reproduction or display.
  • 33. Chapter 8 Hypothesis Testing Section 8-3 Example 8-8 Page #442 61 Bluman Chapter 8 Copyright © 2015 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. Permission required for reproduction or display. 61 Example 8-8: Table F Find the critical t value for α = 0.05 with d.f. = 16 for a right- tailed t test. Find the 0.05 column in the top row and 16 in the left-hand column. The critical t value is +1.746. 62 Bluman Chapter 8 Copyright © 2015 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. Permission required for reproduction or display. 62 Chapter 8 Hypothesis Testing
  • 34. Section 8-3 Examples 8-9 & 8-10 Page #443 63 Bluman Chapter 8 Copyright © 2015 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. Permission required for reproduction or display. 63 Example 8-9: Table F Find the critical t value for α = 0.01 with d.f. = 22 for a left- tailed test. Find the 0.01 column in the One tail row, and 22 in the d.f. column. The critical value is t = –2.508 since the test is a one-tailed left test. Find the critical value for α = 0.10 with d.f. = 18 for a two- tailed t test. Find the 0.10 column in the Two tails row, and 18 in the d.f. column. The critical values are 1.734 and –1.734. Example 8-10: Table F 64 Bluman Chapter 8
  • 35. Copyright © 2015 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. Permission required for reproduction or display. 64 Chapter 8 Hypothesis Testing Section 8-3 Example 8-12 Page #444 65 Bluman Chapter 8 Copyright © 2015 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. Permission required for reproduction or display. 65 Example 8-12: Hospital Infections A medical investigation claims that the average number of infections per week at a hospital in southwestern Pennsylvania is 16.3. A random sample of 10 weeks had a mean number of 17.7 infections. The sample standard deviation is 1.8. Is there enough evidence to reject the investigator’s claim at α = 0.05? Step 1: State the hypotheses and identify the claim. Step 2: Find the critical value. The critical values are 2.262 and –2.262 for α = 0.05 and d.f. = 9.
  • 36. 66 Bluman Chapter 8 Copyright © 2015 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. Permission required for reproduction or display. 66 Example 8-12: Hospital Infections A medical investigation claims that the average number of infections per week at a hospital in southwestern Pennsylvania is 16.3. A random sample of 10 weeks had a mean number of 17.7 infections. The sample standard deviation is 1.8. Is there enough evidence to reject the investigator’s claim at α = 0.05? Step 3: Find the test value. 67 Bluman Chapter 8 Copyright © 2015 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. Permission required for reproduction or display. 67 Step 4: Make the decision. Reject the null hypothesis since 2.46 > 2.262.
  • 37. Step 5: Summarize the results. There is enough evidence to reject the claim that the average number of infections is 16.3. Example 8-12: Hospital Infections 68 Bluman Chapter 8 Copyright © 2015 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. Permission required for reproduction or display. 68 Chapter 8 Hypothesis Testing Section 8-3 Example 8-13 Page #444 69 Bluman Chapter 8 Copyright © 2015 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. Permission required for reproduction or display. 69 Example 8-13: Starting Nurse Salary According to payscale.com, the average starting salary for a nurse practitioner is $79,500. A researcher wishes to test the
  • 38. claim that the starting salary is less than $79,500. A random sample of 8 starting nurse practitioners is selected, and their starting salaries (in dollars) are shown. Is there enough evidence to support the researcher’s claim at a 0.10? Assume the variable is normally distributed. 82,000 68,000 70,200 75,600 83,500 64,300 78,600 79,000 Step 1: State the hypotheses and identify the claim. Step 2: Find the critical value. At α = 0.10 and d.f. = 7, the critical value is –1.415. 70 Bluman Chapter 8 Copyright © 2015 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. Permission required for reproduction or display. 70 Example 8-13: Starting Nurse Salary Step 3: Find the test value. Compute the test value. In this case, the mean and standard deviation must be found. Use the formulas in Chapter 3 or your calculator. X = $75,150 and s = $6,937.68 71 Bluman Chapter 8 Copyright © 2015 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. Permission required for reproduction or display.
  • 39. 71 Step 4: Make the decision. Do not reject the null hypothesis since –0.773 falls in the critical region. Step 5: Summarize the results. There is enough evidence to support the claim that the average starting salary for nurse practitioners is less than $79,500. Example 8-12: Starting Nurse Salary 72 Bluman Chapter 8 Copyright © 2015 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. Permission required for reproduction or display. 72 Chapter 8 Hypothesis Testing Section 8-3 Example 8-16 Page #447 73 Bluman Chapter 8
  • 40. Copyright © 2015 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. Permission required for reproduction or display. 73 Example 8-16: Jogger’s Oxygen Uptake A physician claims that joggers’ maximal volume oxygen uptake is greater than the average of all adults. A sample of 15 joggers has a mean of 40.6 milliliters per kilogram (ml/kg) and a standard deviation of 6 ml/kg. If the average of all adults is 36.7 ml/kg, is there enough evidence to support the physician’s claim at α = 0.05? Step 1: State the hypotheses and identify the claim. H0: μ = 36.7 and H1: μ > 36.7 (claim) Step 2: Compute the test value. 74 Bluman Chapter 8 Copyright © 2015 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. Permission required for reproduction or display. 74 Example 8-16: Jogger’s Oxygen Uptake A physician claims that joggers’ maximal volume oxygen uptake is greater than the average of all adults. A sample of 15
  • 41. joggers has a mean of 40.6 milliliters per kilogram (ml/kg) and a standard deviation of 6 ml/kg. If the average of all adults is 36.7 ml/kg, is there enough evidence to support the physician’s claim at α = 0.05? Step 3: Find the P-value. In the d.f. = 14 row, 2.517 falls between 2.145 and 2.624, corresponding to α = 0.025 and α = 0.01. Thus, the P-value is somewhere between 0.01 and 0.025, since this is a one-tailed test. 75 Bluman Chapter 8 Copyright © 2015 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. Permission required for reproduction or display. 75 Step 4: Make the decision. The decision is to reject the null hypothesis, since the P-value < 0.05. Step 5: Summarize the results. There is enough evidence to support the claim that the joggers’ maximal volume oxygen uptake is greater than 36.7 ml/kg. Example 8-16: Jogger’s Oxygen Uptake 76 Bluman Chapter 8 Copyright © 2015 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc.
  • 42. Permission required for reproduction or display. 76 Whether to use z or t 77 Bluman Chapter 8 Copyright © 2015 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. Permission required for reproduction or display. 77 8.4 z Test for a Proportion Since a normal distribution can be used to approximate the normal distribution can be used to test hypotheses for proportions. The formula for the z test for a proportion is where 78 Bluman Chapter 8 Copyright © 2015 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. Permission required for reproduction or display. Chapter 8
  • 43. Hypothesis Testing Section 8-4 Example 8-17 Page #454 79 Bluman Chapter 8 Copyright © 2015 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. Permission required for reproduction or display. 79 Example 8-17: Obese Young People A researcher claims that based on the information obtained from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, 17% of young people ages 2–19 are obese. To test this claim, she randomly selected 200 people ages 2–19 and found that 42 were obese. At a = 0.05, is there enough evidence to reject the claim? Step 1: State the hypotheses and identify the claim. Step 2: Find the critical value. Since α = 0.05 and the test is a two-tailed test, the critical values are ±1.96. 80 Bluman Chapter 8 Copyright © 2015 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. Permission required for reproduction or display.
  • 44. 80 Example 8-17: Obese Young People A researcher claims that based on the information obtained from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, 17% of young people ages 2–19 are obese. To test this claim, she randomly selected 200 people ages 2–19 and found that 42 were obese. At a = 0.05, is there enough evidence to reject the claim? Step 3: Compute the test value. 81 Bluman Chapter 8 Copyright © 2015 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. Permission required for reproduction or display. 81 Step 4: Make the decision. Do not reject the null hypothesis since the test value falls in the noncritical region. Step 5: Summarize the results. There is not enough evidence to reject the claim that 17% of young people ages 2–19 are obese. Example 8-17: Obese Young People 82 Bluman Chapter 8
  • 45. Copyright © 2015 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. Permission required for reproduction or display. 82 Chapter 8 Hypothesis Testing Section 8-4 Example 8-18 Page #454 83 Bluman Chapter 8 Copyright © 2015 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. Permission required for reproduction or display. 83 Example 8-18: Female Gun Owners The Gallup Crime Survey stated that 23% of gun owners are women. A researcher believes that in the area where he lives, the percentage is less than 23%. He randomly selects a sample of 100 gun owners and finds that 11% of the gun owners are women. At a = 0.01, is the percentage of female gun owners in his area less than 23%. 84 Bluman Chapter 8 Copyright © 2015 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. Permission required for reproduction or display.
  • 46. 84 Example 8-18: Female Gun Owners Step 1 State the hypotheses and identify the claim. Step 2 Find the critical value(s). Since α = 0.01 and this test is one-tailed, the critical value is -2.33. Step 3 Compute the test value. In this case, is given 85 Bluman Chapter 8 Copyright © 2015 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. Permission required for reproduction or display. 85 Example 8-18: Female Gun Owners Step 4 Make the decision. Reject the null hypothesis since the test value falls in the critical region. 86 Bluman Chapter 8 Copyright © 2015 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. Permission required for reproduction or display.
  • 47. 86 Example 8-18: Female Gun Owners Step 5 Summarize the results. There is enough evidence to support the claim that the percentage of female gun owners in that area is less than 23%. 87 Bluman Chapter 8 Copyright © 2015 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. Permission required for reproduction or display. 87 Characteristics of the Chi-square Distribution All chi-square values are The chi-square distribution is a family of curves based on the degrees of freedom. The area under each chi-square distribution is equal to 1. The chi-square distributions are positively skewed. Bluman, Chapter 8 88 Copyright © 2015 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc.
  • 48. Permission required for reproduction or display. Characteristics of the Chi-square Distribution to find the area use table G in appendix A. Finding the chi-square critical value for a specific a when the hypothesis test is right-tailed Finding the chi-square critical value for a specific a when the hypothesis test is left-tailed Finding the chi-square critical values for a specific a when the hypothesis test is two-tailed Bluman, Chapter 8 89 Copyright © 2015 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. Permission required for reproduction or display. Chapter 8 Hypothesis Testing Section 8-5 Example 8-21 Page #461 90 Bluman Chapter 8 Copyright © 2015 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. Permission required for reproduction or display. 90 Example 8-21: Table G Find the critical chi-square value for 15 degrees of freedom when α = 0.05 and the test is right-tailed.
  • 49. 91 Bluman Chapter 8 Copyright © 2015 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. Permission required for reproduction or display. 91 Chapter 8 Hypothesis Testing Section 8-5 Example 8-22 Page #462 92 Bluman Chapter 8 Copyright © 2015 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. Permission required for reproduction or display. 92 Example 8-22: Table G Find the critical chi-square value for 10 degrees of freedom when α = 0.05 and the test is left-tailed. When the test is left-tailed, the α value must be subtracted from 1, that is, 1 – 0.05 = 0.95. The left side of the table is used, because the chi-square table gives the area to the right of the
  • 50. critical value, and the chi-square statistic cannot be negative. 93 Bluman Chapter 8 Copyright © 2015 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. Permission required for reproduction or display. 93 Example 8-22: Table G Find the critical chi-square value for 10 degrees of freedom when α = 0.05 and the test is left-tailed. Use Table G, looking in row 10 and column 0.95. 94 Bluman Chapter 8 Copyright © 2015 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. Permission required for reproduction or display. 94 8.5 Test for a Variance or a Standard Deviation The chi-square distribution is also used to test a claim about a single variance or standard deviation. The formula for the chi-square test for a variance is
  • 51. with degrees of freedom d.f. = n – 1 and n = sample size s2 = sample variance 95 Bluman Chapter 8 Copyright © 2015 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. Permission required for reproduction or display. Assumptions for the Test for a Variance or a Standard Deviation The sample must be randomly selected from the population. The population must be normally distributed for the variable under study. The observations must be independent of one another. 96 Bluman Chapter 8 Copyright © 2015 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. Permission required for reproduction or display. Chapter 8 Hypothesis Testing Section 8-5 Example 8-23 Page #462 97 Bluman Chapter 8
  • 52. Copyright © 2015 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. Permission required for reproduction or display. 97 Example 8-23: Table G Find the critical chi-square value for 22 degrees of freedom when α = 0.05 and a two-tailed test is conducted. When the test is two-tailed, the area must be split. The area to the right of the larger value is α /2, or 0.025. The area to the right of the smaller value is 1 – α /2, or 0.975. With 22 degrees of freedom, areas 0.025 and 0.975 correspond to chi-square values of 36.781 and 10.982. 98 Bluman Chapter 8 Copyright © 2015 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. Permission required for reproduction or display. 98 Chapter 8 Hypothesis Testing Section 8-5 Example 8-24 Page #464 99 Bluman Chapter 8
  • 53. Copyright © 2015 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. Permission required for reproduction or display. 99 Example 8-24: Math SAT Test The standard deviation for the Math SAT test is 100. The variance is 10,000. An instructor wishes to see if the variance of the 23 randomly selected students in her school is less than 10,000. The variance for the 23 test scores is 7225. Is there enough evidence to support the claim that the variance of the students in her school is less than 10,000 at a = 0.05? Assume that the scores are normally distributed. Step 1: State the hypotheses and identify the claim. Step 2: Find the critical value. The critical value is 12.338. 100 Bluman Chapter 8 Copyright © 2015 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. Permission required for reproduction or display. 100 Example 8-24: Math SAT Test An instructor wishes to see whether the variation in scores of the 23 students in her class is less than the variance of the population. The variance of the class is 198. Is there enough evidence to support the claim that the variation of the students
  • 54. Assume that the scores are normally distributed. Step 3: Compute the test value. 101 Bluman Chapter 8 Copyright © 2015 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. Permission required for reproduction or display. 101 Step 4: Make the decision. Do not reject the null hypothesis since the test value 15.895 falls in the noncritical region. Step 5: Summarize the results. There is not enough evidence to support the claim that the variation of the students’ test scores is less than the population variance. Example 8-24: Math SAT Test 102 Bluman Chapter 8 Copyright © 2015 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. Permission required for reproduction or display.
  • 55. 102 Chapter 8 Hypothesis Testing Section 8-5 Example 8-26 Page #450 103 Bluman Chapter 8 Copyright © 2015 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. Permission required for reproduction or display. 103 Example 8-26: Nicotine Content A cigarette manufacturer wishes to test the claim that the variance of the nicotine content of its cigarettes is 0.644. Nicotine content is measured in milligrams, and assume that it is normally distributed. A sample of 20 cigarettes has a standard deviation of 1.00 milligram. At α = 0.05, is there enough evidence to reject the manufacturer’s claim? Step 1: State the hypotheses and identify the claim. Step 2: Find the critical value. The critical values are 32.852 and 8.907. 104 Bluman Chapter 8
  • 56. Copyright © 2015 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. Permission required for reproduction or display. 104 Example 8-26: Nicotine Content A cigarette manufacturer wishes to test the claim that the variance of the nicotine content of its cigarettes is 0.644. Nicotine content is measured in milligrams, and assume that it is normally distributed. A sample of 20 cigarettes has a standard deviation of 1.00 milligram. At α = 0.05, is there enough evidence to reject the manufacturer’s claim? Step 3: Compute the test value. The standard deviation s must be squared in the formula. 105 Bluman Chapter 8 Copyright © 2015 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. Permission required for reproduction or display. 105 Step 4: Make the decision. Do not reject the null hypothesis, since the test value falls in the noncritical region.
  • 57. Step 5: Summarize the results. There is not enough evidence to reject the manufacturer’s claim that the variance of the nicotine content of the cigarettes is 0.644. Example 8-26: Nicotine Content 106 Bluman Chapter 8 Copyright © 2015 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. Permission required for reproduction or display. 106 8.6 Additional Topics Regarding Hypothesis Testing There is a relationship between confidence intervals and hypothesis testing. When the null hypothesis is rejected in a hypothesis-testing situation, the confidence interval for the mean using the same level of significance will not contain the hypothesized mean. Likewise, when the null hypothesis is not rejected, the confidence interval computed using the same level of significance will contain the hypothesized mean. 107 Bluman Chapter 8 Copyright © 2015 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. Permission required for reproduction or display.
  • 58. Chapter 8 Hypothesis Testing Section 8-6 Example 8-30 Page #474 108 Bluman Chapter 8 Copyright © 2015 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. Permission required for reproduction or display. 108 Example 8-30: Sugar Production Sugar is packed in 5-pound bags. An inspector suspects the bags may not contain 5 pounds. A sample of 50 bags produces a mean of 4.6 pounds and a standard deviation of 0.7 pound. Is there enough evidence to conclude that the bags do not contain 5 pounds as stated at α = 0.05? Also, find the 95% confidence interval of the true mean. Step 1: State the hypotheses and identify the claim. Step 2: Find the critical values. The critical values are t = ±2.010. 109 Bluman Chapter 8 Copyright © 2015 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. Permission required for reproduction or display.
  • 59. 109 Example 8-30: Sugar Production Sugar is packed in 5-pound bags. An inspector suspects the bags may not contain 5 pounds. A sample of 50 bags produces a mean of 4.6 pounds and a standard deviation of 0.7 pound. Is there enough evidence to conclude that the bags do not contain 5 pounds as stated at α = 0.05? Also, find the 95% confidence interval of the true mean. Step 3: Compute the test value. 110 Bluman Chapter 8 Copyright © 2015 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. Permission required for reproduction or display. 110 Step 4: Make the decision. Since -4.04 -2.014, the null hypothesis is rejected. Step 5: Summarize the results. There is enough evidence to support the claim that the bags do not weigh 5 pounds.
  • 60. Example 8-30: Sugar Production 111 Bluman Chapter 8 Copyright © 2015 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. Permission required for reproduction or display. 111 The 95% confidence interval for the mean is Example 8-30: Sugar Production Notice that the 95% confidence interval of m does not contain the hypothesized value μ = 5. Hence, there is agreement between the hypothesis test and the confidence interval. 112 Bluman Chapter 8 Copyright © 2015 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. Permission required for reproduction or display. 112 The power of a test measures the sensitivity of the test to detect a real difference in parameters if one actually exists. The higher the power, the more sensitive the test. The power is 1 – β. Power of a Statistical Test
  • 61. 113 Bluman Chapter 8 Copyright © 2015 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. Permission required for reproduction or display. 113 1 :82 H m ¹ 0 :82 H m = 1 :36 H m > 0 :36 H m = 1 :78 H m < 0