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Can ICT ‘ground’ us to a low carbon
economy?



The challenges in the sustainability market

Eric van den Heuvel
24 June 2010 – Building a better future – Heineken Brewery
ICT enables cost and carbon reduction
in other sectors
Energy use in the various sectors


          450

          400                           Other
          350
                                        Agriculture/forestry
          300
EJ/year




          250                           Industry
          200
                                        Transport
          150

          100                           Services

          50
                                        Buildings
           0
            1990   1995   2000   2005
Preventing unnecessary mobility




3
Work where we are instead of go to
where the work office is




4
Process optimization for better energy
performance
The enabling effect

                                                                              2002
                                                                                       0.53




                                                                              2007
                                                                                           0,83




                                                                              2020
2.2                           1.1        2.1     2.4                                          1.43
Transport                     Industry   Power   Buildings




                                                 Reduction in other sectors     Increase in sector
                                                                                (in Gton CO2)
Source: SMART 2020, Climate
Group, GeSI, 2009




  6
The enabling effect

      Smart logistics             Smart motors
                                                                                                           0.53
      Private transport           Industrial process
      optimisation                automation                                 Smart logistics
      Dematerialisation (e-       Dematerialisation                          Smart buildings
      commerce, video             (reduce production                         Dematerialisation
      conferencing,               of DVD’s, paper)                           (teleworking)
      teleworking)
                                                                             Smart grid
      Efficient vehicles                        Smart grid
      (plug-in smart cars)                      Efficient generation
                                                                                                               0,83
      Traffic flow                              of power,
      monitoring, planning                      combined heat and
      and simulation                            power)




2.2                           1.1          2.1                         2.4                                        1.43
Transport                     Industry     Power                       Buildings




                                                                       Reduction in other sectors   Increase in sector


Source: SMART 2020, Climate
Group, GeSI, 2009




  7
However…

        the Greenhouse Gas performance will be                                       0.53

        claimed by the corresponding sectors
        and will not be awarded to the ICT sector

                                                                                         0,83




2.2                           1.1        2.1     2.4                                        1.43
Transport                     Industry   Power   Buildings




                                                 Reduction in other sectors   Increase in sector

Source: SMART 2020, Climate
Group, GeSI, 2009




  8
Thus…
                                 Innovate for low carbon performance !
                                                                                           0.53




                                                                                                0,83



                                                                                         text

2.2                           1.1        2.1          2.4                                         1.43
Transport                     Industry   Power        Buildings




                                                       Reduction in other sectors   Increase in sector

Source: SMART 2020, Climate
Group, GeSI, 2009




  9
The global footprint by subsector in ICT
                                           0.53

     2002


                                                              0,83

     2007


                                                                                       1.43
             Telecoms infrastructure   Data centres   PC’s, peripherals and printers
     2020    and devices




Source: SMART 2020, Climate
Group, GeSI, 2009




10
Energy efficiency in PC and laptops




     Source: apple.com


11
Energy efficiency in PC and laptops




     Source: apple.com


12
Aviation: first driver was technological
challenge
Now key challenge is energy and
carbon efficiency
Energy efficiency as driver in transport

                               1974 VW Golf 1.6 diesel
                               820 kg
                               6.7 l/100 km
                               176 g CO2/km




     2009 VW Golf 1.6 diesel
                   1214 kg
              4.5 l/100 km
             118 g CO2/km


15
What if energy efficiency is key driver?

                                       Polytech Nantes
                                       at Shell EcoMarathon 2010
                                       Prototype league:

                                       0,0204 l/100 km
                                       4,896 km/l benzine eq




     Sharky II (by The HydroCruiser)
          at Shell EcoMarathon 2008
              Urban Concept league:

                  0,1182 l/100 km
               846 km/l benzine eq

16
2990


       4,5
                Desired developments?




                                         ~1400

mass                           1214
                 22,2




                        820
         11,5


                              Where will innovation
                                and commercial
                                practice meet?




                                                 Adding functions




                                                                           Max 160
                                                         848
                                                                                     4896

                                                                    km/l

 17
And also…

                                                                                         0.53




                              Make business – earn money !                                   0,83




2.2                           1.1        2.1         2.4                                        1.43
Transport                     Industry   Power       Buildings




                                                     Reduction in other sectors   Increase in sector

Source: SMART 2020, Climate
Group, GeSI, 2009




  18
Market opportunities ICT in
the sustainable energy sector




Website: trident.ecofys.com

19
Wind Power Prediction Services

                     reduced imbalance costs
                     prevention of sudden power
                     drops
                     optimization of grid
                     integration/interconnection
                     better forecasts of power
                     prices




20
Green datacentre
Energy efficiency in buildings

                            E-trium
                               Energy use is 20% of
                               conventional new-
                               built office




22
Energy efficiency in buildings

     Empire State building (449m):
       had a 20 M$ energy retrofit
       cutting energy use with 40%
       approx 4.4 M$ annual energy
       savings




             Bank of America Tower (366m):
               1st US sky scraper with Platinum
               LEED certification
               Low Carbon building


23
Satellite detection of suitable, unused
land for sustainable biofuels




                              +
Smart grids
a communicating energy system




25
Smart grids




              Source:
              www.flickr.com/deflorio1


26
Please contact us for more information

Ecofys
P.O. Box 8408
3503 RK Utrecht
The Netherlands


T: +31 30 662 3851
M: +31 6 52 522 166
E: e.vandenheuvel@ecofys.com


W: www.ecofys.com


27

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Can IT 'Ground' Us To A Low Carbon Economy 2010 Jun24

  • 1. Can ICT ‘ground’ us to a low carbon economy? The challenges in the sustainability market Eric van den Heuvel 24 June 2010 – Building a better future – Heineken Brewery
  • 2. ICT enables cost and carbon reduction in other sectors
  • 3. Energy use in the various sectors 450 400 Other 350 Agriculture/forestry 300 EJ/year 250 Industry 200 Transport 150 100 Services 50 Buildings 0 1990 1995 2000 2005
  • 5. Work where we are instead of go to where the work office is 4
  • 6. Process optimization for better energy performance
  • 7. The enabling effect 2002 0.53 2007 0,83 2020 2.2 1.1 2.1 2.4 1.43 Transport Industry Power Buildings Reduction in other sectors Increase in sector (in Gton CO2) Source: SMART 2020, Climate Group, GeSI, 2009 6
  • 8. The enabling effect Smart logistics Smart motors 0.53 Private transport Industrial process optimisation automation Smart logistics Dematerialisation (e- Dematerialisation Smart buildings commerce, video (reduce production Dematerialisation conferencing, of DVD’s, paper) (teleworking) teleworking) Smart grid Efficient vehicles Smart grid (plug-in smart cars) Efficient generation 0,83 Traffic flow of power, monitoring, planning combined heat and and simulation power) 2.2 1.1 2.1 2.4 1.43 Transport Industry Power Buildings Reduction in other sectors Increase in sector Source: SMART 2020, Climate Group, GeSI, 2009 7
  • 9. However… the Greenhouse Gas performance will be 0.53 claimed by the corresponding sectors and will not be awarded to the ICT sector 0,83 2.2 1.1 2.1 2.4 1.43 Transport Industry Power Buildings Reduction in other sectors Increase in sector Source: SMART 2020, Climate Group, GeSI, 2009 8
  • 10. Thus… Innovate for low carbon performance ! 0.53 0,83 text 2.2 1.1 2.1 2.4 1.43 Transport Industry Power Buildings Reduction in other sectors Increase in sector Source: SMART 2020, Climate Group, GeSI, 2009 9
  • 11. The global footprint by subsector in ICT 0.53 2002 0,83 2007 1.43 Telecoms infrastructure Data centres PC’s, peripherals and printers 2020 and devices Source: SMART 2020, Climate Group, GeSI, 2009 10
  • 12. Energy efficiency in PC and laptops Source: apple.com 11
  • 13. Energy efficiency in PC and laptops Source: apple.com 12
  • 14. Aviation: first driver was technological challenge
  • 15. Now key challenge is energy and carbon efficiency
  • 16. Energy efficiency as driver in transport 1974 VW Golf 1.6 diesel 820 kg 6.7 l/100 km 176 g CO2/km 2009 VW Golf 1.6 diesel 1214 kg 4.5 l/100 km 118 g CO2/km 15
  • 17. What if energy efficiency is key driver? Polytech Nantes at Shell EcoMarathon 2010 Prototype league: 0,0204 l/100 km 4,896 km/l benzine eq Sharky II (by The HydroCruiser) at Shell EcoMarathon 2008 Urban Concept league: 0,1182 l/100 km 846 km/l benzine eq 16
  • 18. 2990 4,5 Desired developments? ~1400 mass 1214 22,2 820 11,5 Where will innovation and commercial practice meet? Adding functions Max 160 848 4896 km/l 17
  • 19. And also… 0.53 Make business – earn money ! 0,83 2.2 1.1 2.1 2.4 1.43 Transport Industry Power Buildings Reduction in other sectors Increase in sector Source: SMART 2020, Climate Group, GeSI, 2009 18
  • 20. Market opportunities ICT in the sustainable energy sector Website: trident.ecofys.com 19
  • 21. Wind Power Prediction Services reduced imbalance costs prevention of sudden power drops optimization of grid integration/interconnection better forecasts of power prices 20
  • 23. Energy efficiency in buildings E-trium Energy use is 20% of conventional new- built office 22
  • 24. Energy efficiency in buildings Empire State building (449m): had a 20 M$ energy retrofit cutting energy use with 40% approx 4.4 M$ annual energy savings Bank of America Tower (366m): 1st US sky scraper with Platinum LEED certification Low Carbon building 23
  • 25. Satellite detection of suitable, unused land for sustainable biofuels +
  • 26. Smart grids a communicating energy system 25
  • 27. Smart grids Source: www.flickr.com/deflorio1 26
  • 28. Please contact us for more information Ecofys P.O. Box 8408 3503 RK Utrecht The Netherlands T: +31 30 662 3851 M: +31 6 52 522 166 E: e.vandenheuvel@ecofys.com W: www.ecofys.com 27