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Social Business Strategy for CIOs
How to Outperform Rivals by Using Web 2.0
Adoption Curve
Entire contents © 2008-2010 by Christopher S. Rollyson
Plus: Three Emerging Social Tech Trends
Web 2.0 Investment Strategy11/17/2010
Copyrighted
material
Confidential
2
Agenda
• One: Web 2.0 and the Enterprise
– The opportunity and the challenge
• Two: The Web 2.0 Adoption Curve
– How most of the market will adopt, at a high cost
• Three: A Web 2.0 Investment Strategy
– How you can adopt, at a lower cost by using the Web 2.0
Adoption Curve
• Four: Social Tech Trends to Watch
– Geosocial
– Federated Identity, Web 2.0-style
– Web 3.0
Web 2.0 Investment Strategy11/17/2010
Copyrighted
material
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3
My Perspective
• 25 years experience as management
consultant and line executive
• Expertise: disruptive innovation, strategy
and transformation
• Strategy and execution for game-changers:
Java, e-business, SOA, Web 2.0, social networks
• Thought leader: 3 blogs in global top 10
1
Web 2.0
and the
Enterprise
Web 2.0 Investment Strategy11/17/2010
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material
Confidential
4
What I’ve Learned about Technology Disruptions
1. In the beginning: small and fringe-y
– “Oh, - - - , my kids do that”
– “That’s for overcaffeinated people with too much
time on their hands”
2. Isolated upsets and denials
– “- - -, no real company is going to (do business
on the Internet)”
3. Tentative consideration
– “We may need a website--but only for some
departments”
4. Full acceptance
– “We need websites for most of our businesses”
– “Why don’t we build private websites for
customers and partners?”
1
2
3
4
1
Web 2.0
and the
Enterprise
Web 2.0 Investment Strategy11/17/2010
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5
Web 2.0
Social Networks & Web 2.0: Why the Disruption?
• Many-to-many
• Rich asynchronous
• Social ecosystem
• Expertise economy
• Real-time, global
• Inexpensive
• Specific
• Digital, Fast
Blog
Wiki
1
Web 2.0
and the
Enterprise
Web 2.0 Investment Strategy11/17/2010
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6
The Relationship Life Cycle: Plummeting
Transaction Costs across the Board
1. Discovery
– Finding people with highly specific interests & needs
– Digital breadcrumbs everywhere when you know where to look
2. Invitation
– Initiating a relationship asynchronously
– Practice authenticity and transparency
3. Building
– Developing relationships with interactions
– Focus on building trust
4. Management
– Keeping up my relationship via meaningful interactions
– Online to prequalify
– Offline to build highest value
1
Web 2.0
and the
Enterprise
Web 2.0 Investment Strategy11/17/2010
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7
Social Networking Meets the Enterprise
Enterprise
• Process-oriented
• Organization
• Involuntary
• Channels, slow
• The multiplicities of push
• Structured, siloed
Social Networking
• People-oriented
• Collaborative
• Voluntary
• Transparent, fast
• Infinite pull, with strings
• Cross-boundary,
emergent
≠
?
1
Web 2.0
and the
Enterprise
Web 2.0 Investment Strategy11/17/2010
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material
Confidential
8
BIG Idea
Web 2.0 will transform
business because it
changes the economics of
relationships... but it’s work
to adapt to the enterprise
1
Web 2.0
and the
Enterprise
Web 2.0 Investment Strategy11/17/2010
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Confidential
9
The Web 2.0 Adoption Curve, 2009-2015
How most of the market will evolve through 2015
You are here
2
Web 2.0
Adoption
Curve
Web 2.0 Investment Strategy11/17/2010
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10
Discover, Hype & Experimentation, 2006-2009
“Irrational exuberance”
• Shiny new toy: “cool”
• Provider-driven marketing
• Superficial stories
• Not much responsibility
• No down side
• Meaningless “metrics”
• Widespread talk of investment
2
Web 2.0
Adoption
Curve
Web 2.0 Investment Strategy11/17/2010
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material
Confidential
11
Failure and Disappointment, 2010
“Ignorant criticism”
• Demotion from silver bullet status
• Mainstream media backlash
• Disillusionment with “ROI”
• No solid up side
• “Harder than we thought”
• Widespread de-investment
2
Web 2.0
Adoption
Curve
Web 2.0 Investment Strategy11/17/2010
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material
Confidential
12
Triumph and Pervasive Adoption, 2011-15
“Maturing investment”
• Relationship-oriented
• Money follows trust
• Specific programs
• Digital social networks enable
more communication
• Widespread ROI models
• Increased competition for
attention
2
Web 2.0
Adoption
Curve
Web 2.0 Investment Strategy11/17/2010
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material
Confidential
13
BIG Idea
The adoption pattern is very
predictable… just reflect on
other disruptions you have
seen
2
Web 2.0
Adoption
Curve
Web 2.0 Investment Strategy11/17/2010
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material
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14
Risk Mitigation Enables More Aggressive Adoption
Obvious Web 2.0 Risks
• Negative word of mouth
• Embarrassment by not
being “with it”
• Loss of brand value due to
competitor success
Overlooked Web 2.0 Risks
• Opportunity cost
• Loss of competitiveness
due to inferior collaboration
• Investment
mismanagement & under-
investment
3
Web 2.0
Investment
Strategy
Web 2.0 Investment Strategy11/17/2010
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material
Confidential
15
Using the Adoption Curve to Outperform Rivals
The power of risk mitigation
3
Web 2.0
Investment
Strategy
Web 2.0 Investment Strategy11/17/2010
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material
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16
The Stages
• Assess
– Match goals with organization
and stakeholder realities
• Pilot
– Try social networking initiatives
in small chunks to manage risk
– Learn & iterate in short cycles
• Scale
– Expand elements of effective
pilots, expand scope and scale
• Integrate
– When you stabilize social
networking processes,
integrate them with legacy
Techniques
• Rapid cycles
– Short feedback loops enable
fast correction, less waste
• Transparency and inclusion
– Involve legal, PR, revenue
owners and accounting early
• Focus on external and internal
stakeholders
– External focus on workstreams
within the ecosystem
– Explicit focus on change
• Budgeting
– Structure pilots to minimize
need for normal ROI process
Risk Mitigation Approach
3
Web 2.0
Investment
Strategy
Web 2.0 Investment Strategy11/17/2010
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material
Confidential
17
Avoiding Common Pitfalls
• Leading with technology
– Technology imposes process on people
and they don’t adopt
• Having fuzzy, non-actionable goals
– Results harder to track, and your initiative loses support
• Focus on what your firm needs rather than stakeholders
– SHs will not be stimulated and will not engage
• Chunking innovation too large
– Spend too long on ROI discussions
• Depending too much on experts and vendors
– Web 2.0 is core; it needs to become your O/S
• Falling into the efficiency tech trap, not using portfolio
– Letting a monolithic tech solution be everything to everyone
3
Web 2.0
Investment
Strategy
Web 2.0 Investment Strategy11/17/2010
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material
Confidential
18
Investment Process
1. Begin with due diligence
– Be explicit: what stakeholders do you want to engage?
– Understand the ecosystem: where do they interact most?
– Motivations: what is important to them?
2. Assess your capabilities
– What meaningful expertise can you contribute consistently?
– Identify organizational risks and barriers
3. Start with small-but-important pilots, and measure constantly
– Small to manage cost risk and minimize ROI discussion
– Measure/adjust to catch mistakes quickly
– Build to last, and propagate skills
BloggingWhite Label
3
Web 2.0
Investment
Strategy
Web 2.0 Investment Strategy11/17/2010
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material
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19
Example Pilots
• Blog outreach program
• LinkedIn Group
• Microblogging
• Facebook Group or Page
• Cause-focused community
• YouTube campaign
• MySpace Site or Group
Blogging
White Label
3
Web 2.0
Investment
Strategy
Web 2.0 Investment Strategy11/17/2010
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material
Confidential
20
Ecosystem vision Company vision Pilots launched
Progress: Social Network Roadmap Pilot Overview
• Assess Web 2.0
environment
• Identify & rank
stakeholders (SH) &
basic work processes
• Web 2.0 analysis
• Brand analysis
• SNR Analytics
• SH activity/advanced
workstreams
• Identify firm value &
how it transfers to
Web 2.0 venues
• Assess resources to
engage SHs
• Measure gaps
• SocialBusinessStrategy
• Design pilots to
mitigate risk
• Fast cycles with
rapid feedback
• Small investments
• Portfolio approach
• Skills transfer focus
• Measurements
Phase2
Web 2.0 Readiness
Assessment
Phase1
Web 2.0 Ecosystem
Audit
Phase3
Web 2.0 Pilots
End
State
Requirements for Pilots
3
Web 2.0
Investment
Strategy
Web 2.0 Investment Strategy11/17/2010
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material
Confidential
21
BIG Idea
Web 2.0 is 21st century
dialtone: adoption is a
strategic necessity…
getting this right will
determine winners
3
Web 2.0
Investment
Strategy
Web 2.0 Investment Strategy11/17/2010
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material
Confidential
22
Three Social Technologies That Change the Rules
Geosocial
• Transforming retail
– Social experience
– Discoverable
– Real-time
– Excite people to
invoke their social
graphs
• The good and
social
• Points: think Miles
for everything
Federated Identity
• Facebook/Google:
social commerce
• Large user base
• It’s easy to use
• Take your friends
with you
• Unlimited decision
makers/influencers
• “Like” buttons:
leverages social
graph
4
Three
Social
Tech
Trends
to Watch
Semantic & Geoweb
• Building the
geoweb every day
– Photos, vids
– Comments
– Reviews
• Kyte Mobile
• Apple Faces
• Algorithms will
increasingly inter-
operate
More—http://socialnetworkroadmap.com/index/?p=771
Web 2.0 Investment Strategy11/17/2010
Copyrighted
material
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23
BIG Idea
The social channel of value
will pervade business: firms
will increasingly compete
and differentiate in the
social channel
4
Three
Social
Tech
Trends
to Watch
Web 2.0 Investment Strategy11/17/2010
Copyrighted
material
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24
Progress: Contact
• The Social Network Roadmap
– Helps companies use Web 2.0 for innovation
– http://socialnetworkroadmap.com
– Blog rated #1 worldwide by Technorati
• The Global Human Capital Journal
– CEO/CMO/CIO journal for innovation
– Currently rated #10 worldwide by Technorati
– http://globalhumancapital.org
• The Executive’s Guide to Web 2.0
– EGLI blog #4 worldwide by Technorati
– EGTW management advice for Twitter, blogging
– EGFB management advice for Facebook
– http://executivesguide-web20.com
• Social networks
– http://www.linkedin.com/in/csrollyson
– http://www.facebook.com/csrollyson
– http://myspace.com/csrollyson
– http://tinyurl.com/orkut-csrollyson
– http://tinyurl.com/xing-csrollyson
Microblogs & Video
http://twitter.com/snroadmap
http://twitter.com/eglii
http://twitter.com/egtw
http://twitter.com/egfb
http://twitter.com/csrollyson
http://identi.ca/csrollyson
http://kwippy.com/csrollyson
http://csrollyson/tumblr.com/
http://plurk.com/user/csrollyson
http://friendfeed.com/csrollyson
http://youtube.com/user/csrollyson
Other
skype/IM - csrollyson
iphone - chris@rollyson.net
iphone +1.312.925.1549

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Social Business Strategy for CIOs: How to Invest Using the Adoption Curve

  • 1. Social Business Strategy for CIOs How to Outperform Rivals by Using Web 2.0 Adoption Curve Entire contents © 2008-2010 by Christopher S. Rollyson Plus: Three Emerging Social Tech Trends
  • 2. Web 2.0 Investment Strategy11/17/2010 Copyrighted material Confidential 2 Agenda • One: Web 2.0 and the Enterprise – The opportunity and the challenge • Two: The Web 2.0 Adoption Curve – How most of the market will adopt, at a high cost • Three: A Web 2.0 Investment Strategy – How you can adopt, at a lower cost by using the Web 2.0 Adoption Curve • Four: Social Tech Trends to Watch – Geosocial – Federated Identity, Web 2.0-style – Web 3.0
  • 3. Web 2.0 Investment Strategy11/17/2010 Copyrighted material Confidential 3 My Perspective • 25 years experience as management consultant and line executive • Expertise: disruptive innovation, strategy and transformation • Strategy and execution for game-changers: Java, e-business, SOA, Web 2.0, social networks • Thought leader: 3 blogs in global top 10 1 Web 2.0 and the Enterprise
  • 4. Web 2.0 Investment Strategy11/17/2010 Copyrighted material Confidential 4 What I’ve Learned about Technology Disruptions 1. In the beginning: small and fringe-y – “Oh, - - - , my kids do that” – “That’s for overcaffeinated people with too much time on their hands” 2. Isolated upsets and denials – “- - -, no real company is going to (do business on the Internet)” 3. Tentative consideration – “We may need a website--but only for some departments” 4. Full acceptance – “We need websites for most of our businesses” – “Why don’t we build private websites for customers and partners?” 1 2 3 4 1 Web 2.0 and the Enterprise
  • 5. Web 2.0 Investment Strategy11/17/2010 Copyrighted material Confidential 5 Web 2.0 Social Networks & Web 2.0: Why the Disruption? • Many-to-many • Rich asynchronous • Social ecosystem • Expertise economy • Real-time, global • Inexpensive • Specific • Digital, Fast Blog Wiki 1 Web 2.0 and the Enterprise
  • 6. Web 2.0 Investment Strategy11/17/2010 Copyrighted material Confidential 6 The Relationship Life Cycle: Plummeting Transaction Costs across the Board 1. Discovery – Finding people with highly specific interests & needs – Digital breadcrumbs everywhere when you know where to look 2. Invitation – Initiating a relationship asynchronously – Practice authenticity and transparency 3. Building – Developing relationships with interactions – Focus on building trust 4. Management – Keeping up my relationship via meaningful interactions – Online to prequalify – Offline to build highest value 1 Web 2.0 and the Enterprise
  • 7. Web 2.0 Investment Strategy11/17/2010 Copyrighted material Confidential 7 Social Networking Meets the Enterprise Enterprise • Process-oriented • Organization • Involuntary • Channels, slow • The multiplicities of push • Structured, siloed Social Networking • People-oriented • Collaborative • Voluntary • Transparent, fast • Infinite pull, with strings • Cross-boundary, emergent ≠ ? 1 Web 2.0 and the Enterprise
  • 8. Web 2.0 Investment Strategy11/17/2010 Copyrighted material Confidential 8 BIG Idea Web 2.0 will transform business because it changes the economics of relationships... but it’s work to adapt to the enterprise 1 Web 2.0 and the Enterprise
  • 9. Web 2.0 Investment Strategy11/17/2010 Copyrighted material Confidential 9 The Web 2.0 Adoption Curve, 2009-2015 How most of the market will evolve through 2015 You are here 2 Web 2.0 Adoption Curve
  • 10. Web 2.0 Investment Strategy11/17/2010 Copyrighted material Confidential 10 Discover, Hype & Experimentation, 2006-2009 “Irrational exuberance” • Shiny new toy: “cool” • Provider-driven marketing • Superficial stories • Not much responsibility • No down side • Meaningless “metrics” • Widespread talk of investment 2 Web 2.0 Adoption Curve
  • 11. Web 2.0 Investment Strategy11/17/2010 Copyrighted material Confidential 11 Failure and Disappointment, 2010 “Ignorant criticism” • Demotion from silver bullet status • Mainstream media backlash • Disillusionment with “ROI” • No solid up side • “Harder than we thought” • Widespread de-investment 2 Web 2.0 Adoption Curve
  • 12. Web 2.0 Investment Strategy11/17/2010 Copyrighted material Confidential 12 Triumph and Pervasive Adoption, 2011-15 “Maturing investment” • Relationship-oriented • Money follows trust • Specific programs • Digital social networks enable more communication • Widespread ROI models • Increased competition for attention 2 Web 2.0 Adoption Curve
  • 13. Web 2.0 Investment Strategy11/17/2010 Copyrighted material Confidential 13 BIG Idea The adoption pattern is very predictable… just reflect on other disruptions you have seen 2 Web 2.0 Adoption Curve
  • 14. Web 2.0 Investment Strategy11/17/2010 Copyrighted material Confidential 14 Risk Mitigation Enables More Aggressive Adoption Obvious Web 2.0 Risks • Negative word of mouth • Embarrassment by not being “with it” • Loss of brand value due to competitor success Overlooked Web 2.0 Risks • Opportunity cost • Loss of competitiveness due to inferior collaboration • Investment mismanagement & under- investment 3 Web 2.0 Investment Strategy
  • 15. Web 2.0 Investment Strategy11/17/2010 Copyrighted material Confidential 15 Using the Adoption Curve to Outperform Rivals The power of risk mitigation 3 Web 2.0 Investment Strategy
  • 16. Web 2.0 Investment Strategy11/17/2010 Copyrighted material Confidential 16 The Stages • Assess – Match goals with organization and stakeholder realities • Pilot – Try social networking initiatives in small chunks to manage risk – Learn & iterate in short cycles • Scale – Expand elements of effective pilots, expand scope and scale • Integrate – When you stabilize social networking processes, integrate them with legacy Techniques • Rapid cycles – Short feedback loops enable fast correction, less waste • Transparency and inclusion – Involve legal, PR, revenue owners and accounting early • Focus on external and internal stakeholders – External focus on workstreams within the ecosystem – Explicit focus on change • Budgeting – Structure pilots to minimize need for normal ROI process Risk Mitigation Approach 3 Web 2.0 Investment Strategy
  • 17. Web 2.0 Investment Strategy11/17/2010 Copyrighted material Confidential 17 Avoiding Common Pitfalls • Leading with technology – Technology imposes process on people and they don’t adopt • Having fuzzy, non-actionable goals – Results harder to track, and your initiative loses support • Focus on what your firm needs rather than stakeholders – SHs will not be stimulated and will not engage • Chunking innovation too large – Spend too long on ROI discussions • Depending too much on experts and vendors – Web 2.0 is core; it needs to become your O/S • Falling into the efficiency tech trap, not using portfolio – Letting a monolithic tech solution be everything to everyone 3 Web 2.0 Investment Strategy
  • 18. Web 2.0 Investment Strategy11/17/2010 Copyrighted material Confidential 18 Investment Process 1. Begin with due diligence – Be explicit: what stakeholders do you want to engage? – Understand the ecosystem: where do they interact most? – Motivations: what is important to them? 2. Assess your capabilities – What meaningful expertise can you contribute consistently? – Identify organizational risks and barriers 3. Start with small-but-important pilots, and measure constantly – Small to manage cost risk and minimize ROI discussion – Measure/adjust to catch mistakes quickly – Build to last, and propagate skills BloggingWhite Label 3 Web 2.0 Investment Strategy
  • 19. Web 2.0 Investment Strategy11/17/2010 Copyrighted material Confidential 19 Example Pilots • Blog outreach program • LinkedIn Group • Microblogging • Facebook Group or Page • Cause-focused community • YouTube campaign • MySpace Site or Group Blogging White Label 3 Web 2.0 Investment Strategy
  • 20. Web 2.0 Investment Strategy11/17/2010 Copyrighted material Confidential 20 Ecosystem vision Company vision Pilots launched Progress: Social Network Roadmap Pilot Overview • Assess Web 2.0 environment • Identify & rank stakeholders (SH) & basic work processes • Web 2.0 analysis • Brand analysis • SNR Analytics • SH activity/advanced workstreams • Identify firm value & how it transfers to Web 2.0 venues • Assess resources to engage SHs • Measure gaps • SocialBusinessStrategy • Design pilots to mitigate risk • Fast cycles with rapid feedback • Small investments • Portfolio approach • Skills transfer focus • Measurements Phase2 Web 2.0 Readiness Assessment Phase1 Web 2.0 Ecosystem Audit Phase3 Web 2.0 Pilots End State Requirements for Pilots 3 Web 2.0 Investment Strategy
  • 21. Web 2.0 Investment Strategy11/17/2010 Copyrighted material Confidential 21 BIG Idea Web 2.0 is 21st century dialtone: adoption is a strategic necessity… getting this right will determine winners 3 Web 2.0 Investment Strategy
  • 22. Web 2.0 Investment Strategy11/17/2010 Copyrighted material Confidential 22 Three Social Technologies That Change the Rules Geosocial • Transforming retail – Social experience – Discoverable – Real-time – Excite people to invoke their social graphs • The good and social • Points: think Miles for everything Federated Identity • Facebook/Google: social commerce • Large user base • It’s easy to use • Take your friends with you • Unlimited decision makers/influencers • “Like” buttons: leverages social graph 4 Three Social Tech Trends to Watch Semantic & Geoweb • Building the geoweb every day – Photos, vids – Comments – Reviews • Kyte Mobile • Apple Faces • Algorithms will increasingly inter- operate More—http://socialnetworkroadmap.com/index/?p=771
  • 23. Web 2.0 Investment Strategy11/17/2010 Copyrighted material Confidential 23 BIG Idea The social channel of value will pervade business: firms will increasingly compete and differentiate in the social channel 4 Three Social Tech Trends to Watch
  • 24. Web 2.0 Investment Strategy11/17/2010 Copyrighted material Confidential 24 Progress: Contact • The Social Network Roadmap – Helps companies use Web 2.0 for innovation – http://socialnetworkroadmap.com – Blog rated #1 worldwide by Technorati • The Global Human Capital Journal – CEO/CMO/CIO journal for innovation – Currently rated #10 worldwide by Technorati – http://globalhumancapital.org • The Executive’s Guide to Web 2.0 – EGLI blog #4 worldwide by Technorati – EGTW management advice for Twitter, blogging – EGFB management advice for Facebook – http://executivesguide-web20.com • Social networks – http://www.linkedin.com/in/csrollyson – http://www.facebook.com/csrollyson – http://myspace.com/csrollyson – http://tinyurl.com/orkut-csrollyson – http://tinyurl.com/xing-csrollyson Microblogs & Video http://twitter.com/snroadmap http://twitter.com/eglii http://twitter.com/egtw http://twitter.com/egfb http://twitter.com/csrollyson http://identi.ca/csrollyson http://kwippy.com/csrollyson http://csrollyson/tumblr.com/ http://plurk.com/user/csrollyson http://friendfeed.com/csrollyson http://youtube.com/user/csrollyson Other skype/IM - csrollyson iphone - chris@rollyson.net iphone +1.312.925.1549