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Contents lists available at ScienceDirect
Environmental Research
journal homepage: www.elsevier.com/locate/envres
Low doses and non-targeted effects in environmental radiation
protection;
where are we now and where should we go?
Carmel Mothersill⁎, Andrej Rusin, Colin Seymour
Medical Physics and Applied Radiation Sciences, McMaster
University, Hamilton, Ontario L8S 4K1, Canada
A R T I C L E I N F O
Keywords:
Historic dose effects
Non-targeted effects
Genomic instability
Memory effects
Non-human biota
A B S T R A C T
The field of low dose radiobiology has advanced considerably
in the last 30 years from small indications in the
1980's that all was not simple, to a paradigm shift which
occurred during the 1990's, which severely dented the
dose-driven models and DNA centric theories which had
dominated until then. However while the science has
evolved, the application of that science in environmental health
protection has not. A reason for this appears to
be the uncertainties regarding the shape of the low dose
response curve, which lead regulators to adopt a
precautionary approach to radiation protection. Radiation
protection models assume a linear relationship be-
tween dose (i.e. energy deposition) and effect (in this case
probability of an adverse DNA interaction leading to a
mutation). This model does not consider non-targeted effects
(NTE) such as bystander effects or delayed effects,
which occur in progeny cells or offspring not directly receiving
energy deposition from the dose. There is huge
controversy concerning the role of NTE with some saying they
reflect “biology” and that repair and homeostatic
mechanisms sort out the apparent damage while others consider
them to be a class of damage which increases
the size of the target. One thing which has recently become
apparent is that NTE may be very critical for
modelling long-term effects at the level of the population rather
than the individual. The issue is that NTE
resulting from an acute high dose such as occurred after the A-
bomb or Chernobyl occur in parallel with chronic
effects induced by the continuing residual effects due to
radiation dose decay. This means that if ambient ra-
diation doses are measured for example 25 years after the
Chernobyl accident, they only represent a portion of
the dose effect because the contribution of NTE is not included.
1. Reason for this review and discussion
This review was prompted by the realisation that there are two
major disconnects which impact the current discussions of how
to de-
velop radiation protection frameworks for non-human species.
The first
is that radiobiologists and radioecologists seldom interact and
their
areas of interest do not really overlap. The second is that
radiation
protection of non-human species has employed the concepts of
“re-
ference man” from human radiation protection when it might be
more
useful to use concepts developed in environmental protection
fields
where concepts of ecosystem and population effects dominate
rather
than the current focus on “reference organisms”. The aim of this
dis-
cussion paper is, therefore, to explore some areas of
radiobiology which
might help in the conceptual and experimental development of
more
useful ways to enable protection of non-human biota
2. Description and history of the paradigm shift
Up until the 1980's radiobiology was a DNA-centric science
(Hall
and Giaccia, 2006). DNA was regarded as the critical target and
DNA
strand breaks the critical lesion. DNA damage was either
repaired
successfully or not repaired in which case the cell died or
perpetuated a
mutation to all of its offspring. If this mutation happened to be
in a
cancer-associated gene, a cancer could arise (Hall and Giaccia,
2006).
The clonal origin of cancer theory dominated and little thought
was
given to the micro-environment or the idea of niches (Suzuki
and
Yamashita, 2012; Chang et al., 1982). Much of the radiobiology
re-
search going on then was focussed on understanding DNA
repair me-
chanisms and through understanding individual cell survival,
research
was aimed at manipulating response of individual tumour cells
to ra-
diation with the aim of controlling cancer (Hall and Giaccia,
2006).
Tools were not really available to investigate low dose effects
and
anyway these were deemed irrelevant for cancer therapy. How
this
domination of the field came about is an interesting question for
science
historians because prior to about 1950, there was considerable
discus-
sion of indirect effects (what we now call non-targeted effects)
and the
existence of other “targets” for radiation energy deposition was
widely
discussed (Bonnier, 1952; Devik, 1953; Mole, 1953). After the
http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.envres.2017.08.029
Received 10 July 2017; Received in revised form 12 August
2017; Accepted 14 August 2017
⁎ Corresponding author.
E-mail address: [email protected] (C. Mothersill).
Environmental Research 159 (2017) 484–490
Available online 18 September 2017
0013-9351/ © 2017 Published by Elsevier Inc.
MARK
https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/journal/00139351
https://www.elsevier.com/locate/envres
http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.envres.2017.08.029
http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.envres.2017.08.029
mailto:[email protected]
http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.envres.2017.08.029
http://crossmark.crossref.org/dialog/?doi=10.1016/j.envres.2017
.08.029&domain=pdf
discovery of the structure of DNA, the “inconvenient truths”
which did
not fit the paradigm were ignored or deemed to be irrelevant to
the
mechanisms which resulted in DNA defects (Nomiya, 2013).
Several things drove the paradigm shift in the late 20th C.
These
included advances in molecular biology which allowed effects
of low
doses to be studied, the Chernobyl accident in 1986 and
subsequent
concerns about low dose effects and about nuclear power in
general.
These resulted in funded research into low dose effects by
governments
and industry alike. The key thing was however, the publication
of a
series of papers in the late 1980's and early 1990's which
suggested that
“indirect” mechanisms had very profound effects (at least in
laboratory
experiments) on the shape of the low dose region of the
radiation dose
response curve (Seymour et al., 1986; Pampfer and Streffer,
1989;
Kadhim et al., 1992; Nagasawa and Little, 1992; Mothersill and
Seymour, 1997a, 1997b)). These papers challenged two
fundamental
assumptions; one was that all radiation damage was fixed (in
the sense
of being made permanent) in the first cell division post
irradiation and
the second was that irradiated cells acted independently of each
other.
The very important consequences of these two conceptual
changes were
that time post irradiation became important and population
effects or
environmental status was recognised to play a part in
determining
outcome. Fig. 1 is an attempt to compare the old and new
paradigms.
3. Components of the NTE type of effect
The term “non-targeted effect” (NTE), strictly speaking, means
ef-
fects in cells, tissues, organs or organisms which received
signals from
irradiated systems but did not necessarily receive a direct
deposition of
energy from ionising radiation. Generally they include genomic
in-
stability/delayed lethal mutations where radiation damage is
detected
in distant progeny of cells which survived the initial exposure
and ap-
peared healthy for multiple generations and bystander effects
where
effects are seen in neighbours which did not receive any direct
dose.
Signalling can also impact neighbours which did receive a
direct hit but
for the purposes of this paper, it is assumed that the effects are
detected
in progeny or unirradiated neighbours. Other effects such as
adaptive
responses and low dose hypersensitivity are more properly
described as
low dose effects but are often included in discussions of NTE.
These
effects have all been extensively reviewed over the last 30 years
(e.g.
Mothersill and Seymour, 2012; Burtt et al., 2016) and this
review will
focus more on the relevance of these effects for environmental
radiation
protection than on the actual mechanisms of NTE. Key features
of these
effects which are relevant are that they appear to have an
“on/off”
threshold in the low mGy dose range (Schettino et al., 2003,
2005; Liu
et al., 2006, 2007). The effect saturates after an acute low LET
exposure
of about 500 mGy (Seymour and Mothersill, 2000; Prise et al.,
2002,)
and once triggered, the effects persist over time and are trans-
genera-
tional both in cell cultures and in vivo (Lyng et al., 1996;
Lorimore
et al., 2001; Kashino et al., 2004; Coates et al., 2008). They
have been
detected across all taxonomic groups tested (O'Dowd et al.,
2006;
DeVeaux et al., 2006; Bertucci et al., 2009; Audette-Stuart and
Yankovich, 2011; Sharetskiĭ et al., 2012; Fernandez et al.,
2016; Smith
et al., 2016), and signals can cross species boundaries meaning
signals
generated by one species can induce responses in unrelated
taxonomic
groups often separated by millions of years of evolution (Smith
et al.,
2013; Hatzi et al., 2015,). The consensus is that they represent a
very
primitive, highly conserved stress response which may
coordinate re-
sponse to environmental stressors, experienced by individuals,
to pro-
duce higher level outcomes at the population or ecosystem
level.
The question is whether this in any way impacts responses of
non-
human biota to radiation exposure and whether these effects
need to be
integrated into risk models for environmental radiation
protection?
4. Dominance of direct effects in protection science
Currently only direct effects of radiation are considered
relevant
(UNSCEAR, 2008). This applies to theoretical or modelling
efforts, to
epidemiological analyses, which are deemed to include any NTE
if re-
levant and to human science based investigations. These three
areas
will be considered briefly below
4.1. Theoretical modelling
Modelling efforts to try to predict the shape of the dose
response
curve in the low dose region generally use the large human
cohorts of
the A-bomb survivors or the Techa River residents (Dropkin,
2016;
Preston et al., 2016). Modelling in the non-human biota field
uses the
Frederika database (Vives I Batlle et al., 2012). A few attempts
have
been made to factor NTE into the human models but these have
as-
sumed NTE are harmful which may not always be the case
(Little, 2004;
Fig. 1. Conceptual representation of the old and new paradigms
of radiation action at low doses.
C. Mothersill et al. Environmental Research 159 (2017) 484–
490
485
Kundrát and Friedland, 2015).
4.2. Epidemiological
Human epidemiological studies, have weak power at doses
below
100 mGy because the numbers of subjects needed to detect
excess in-
cidence of common diseases such as cancer exceeds the size of
the co-
horts available (Averbeck, 2009; Preston et al., 2013). With
wildlife
similar problems exist and the concept of “wildlife
epidemiology” is
more properly referred to as field studies. The consideration of
these is
outside the scope of this discussion but important contributions
to the
discussion of persistent genetic or chromosomal damage include
those
of Moller, Mousseau and colleagues whose extensive studies
report
mutation effects at very low doses and who also consider long
term
adaptation of populations in Chernobyl and Fukushima to
chronic ir-
radiation (reviewed in Møller and Mousseau, 2015, 2016 and
Einor
et al., 2016). Other long term genetic studies have been done by
Goncharova and colleagues in Belarus on multiple generations
of bank
voles (Goncharova and Ryabokon'', 1998; Goncharova and
Smolich,
2002; Ryabokon and Goncharova, 2006). The idea of factoring
in his-
torical doses which could exert an influence via NTE does not
seem to
have been considered for humans or wildlife. The concept of a
“memory
effect” has been put forward but does not appear to have been
pub-
lished or formalised.
4.3. Science based laboratory and experimental studies
These studies set up very carefully controlled experiments in
the lab
or the field, with the aim of determining dose response
relationships for
cancer, reproductive impact or other defined endpoints. The
problem
with such studies is that they generally use doses above those of
con-
cern in the environment or in human radiation protection mainly
Fig. 2. Conceptual approach to the resolution of the separate
contributions of Initial dose, genomic instability contribution
(legacy effect) and attenuating chronic dose to the effect
burden at any given time.
C. Mothersill et al. Environmental Research 159 (2017) 484–
490
486
because lower doses do not produce effects in a reasonable time
frame.
While long-term experimental studies do exist for example the
mega
mouse or beagle dog experiments (Haley et al., 2011) or in the
en-
vironment, the Colorado, some Chernobyl studies and the AECL
Man-
itoba experiments (Reichle et al., US on-line link, Mihok, 2004;
Audette-Stuart et al., 2011; Geras'kin, 2016,) these are limited
both in
the type of radiation used, the species or habitat studied and the
end-
points measured. However they provide the best chance of
determining
direct dose response relationships in a controlled way. Indirect
effects
such as genomic instability, adaptive response, low dose hyper
sensi-
tivity and bystander effects have been exhaustively studied in
experi-
mental models for humans and in laboratory species of non
human
biota including plants but there is no agreement about what the
data
mean for radiation protection (Morgan and Sowa, 2009;
Mothersill and
Seymour, 2014). This is mainly because these effects have not
been
definitively linked to health outcomes.
5. What would happen if we included NTE? Would it really
increase uncertainty?
A key factor prompting caution from radiation protection bodies
such as ICRP and scientific committees such as UNSCEAR or
BEIR who
evaluate scientific data, is the lack of any clear mechanism such
as a
signature mutation linking NTE with detrimental health effects.
Much
of the research into NTE has been done using cell cultures or
inbred
rodent strains which are known to be susceptible to cancer and
are used
as models to study mechanisms of carcinogenesis (e.g. Attardi
and
Donehower, 2005), cardiovascular disease (Ginsberg and Busto,
1989)
or neurodegenerative disease (Shukla et al., 2015). The few
whole
animal or plant studies looking at low dose NTE endpoints do
not follow
through to inform about health endpoints of interest in
environmental
radiation protection such as fertility or fecundity. It is true that
NTE
such as the bystander effect induce genomic instability in
progeny of
unirradiated cells receiving signals from irradiated cells
(Seymour and
Mothersill, 1997; Lorimore et al., 1998; Bowler et al., 2006)
and since
genomic instability is a hallmark of cancer, the argument is
made that
NTE could underlie or contribute to carcinogenesis after low
dose ex-
posure (Ponnaiya et al., 2011; Klammer et al., 2015; Hei, 2016).
Si-
milarly signalling aberrations or disruptions could also lead to
neural or
immune system compromise especially since once turned on
NTE do not
appear to fade or disappear with time (Marozik et al., 2007;
Koturbash
et al., 2007; Buonanno et al., 2011). It is unlikely that building
NTE
components into models would increase the uncertainty over
what it is
already. In fact inclusion of a factor to account for persistent
effects due
to historical radiation exposure might actually help explain
some of the
variability in results seen in the field because it would allow
total effect
to be calculated as the sum of the effect due to ambient or
current dose
plus the effect which can be currently measured which occurs
due to the
historic legacy effect (genomic instability effect) of the initial
exposure.
Fig. 2 is an illustration of this concept.
5.1. Relative contributions of adaptive response and adverse
destabilising
effects
A major difficulty in this field results from the fact that
bystander
signals and even genomic instability are not intrinsically “bad”.
Genomic instability can provide material for natural selection
by in-
creasing genetic variability. This can lead over the long term to
adap-
tive responses and a fitter population more able to withstand the
new
environmental stressor. Bystander signalling has been shown to
enable
communication of a stress response between organisms which
could in
theory at least lead to pre-emptive upregulation of defensive
mechan-
isms (Szumiel, 2015). However the issue for radiation
protection is
sorting out the relative contribution of good or bad outcomes to
the
overall population or system which has been exposed. It is
likely that
novel modelling approaches will be needed to make progress in
this
area. Fig. 3 depicts 2 extreme scenarios. In Scenario 1 there is
no
adaptation and the historic dose effect is constant for each
population
doubling with no compensation for the reduction in survival of
pro-
geny. This means that at each population doubling the number
of
progeny is reduced by a constant factor due to the historic dose
and
eventually extinction of the population will occur. In Scenario
2, the
system compensates by increasing the growth rate or otherwise
acting
to maintain the population at or above the level that initially
survived
the direct dose.
6. Individual variation and “confounding factors”
A further issue which is relevant to the question of what would
happen if we included NTE in radiation protection risk
estimates is
individual variation. In human populations this includes genetic
and
lifestyle factors which change the radiosensitivity of an
individual to
direct irradiation or NTE (Coen et al., 2001; Glaviano et al.,
2006;
Mothersill et al., 2014). In non human species, these factors
will also
impact radiation sensitivity but will be more difficult to identify
and
control. As they will operate at the population and ecosystem
level, it is
likely the effects will be buffered or neutralised but could
contribute to
population drift and structural polymorphism.
6.1. Multiple stressors
No species exists in a pure environment therefore the issue of
multiple stressors is relevant to low dose radiation protection.
This is
especially true of NTE because they manifest as a stress
response and
can be induced by chemical and other physical
conditions/pollutants as
well as radiation (Salbu et al., 2005, 2008; Mothersill et al.,
2007,). A
further complicating factor is that since NTE saturate after quite
low
doses, the additional effect of extra stressors may be negligible
in terms
of NTE but may augment or reduce direct effects through
synergistic or
antagonistic interactions. Again modelling approaches may help
reg-
ulators make predictions in well characterised contaminated
sites.
6.2. Role of response modifiers
This category of agents is related to the last in that it includes
physical and chemical modulators of radiation or other stressor
effect.
These agents act to modulate responses induced by the multiple
stres-
sors including radiation. They include mitigators of radiation
damage
such as antioxidants (Asur et al., 2010; Smith et al., 2015).
However
again the effect of mitigators may be on direct damage, NTE
damage or
both. It is important to consider relevant mechanisms of action
in order
to predict what effect if any mitigators might have on NTE.
7. Need for system level conceptual analysis
Probably the single most important need identified in this part
of
the review is that in order to determine what NTE might do to
current
approaches to radiation protection of the environment or of
humans, is
the need to consider the issues at the level of the ecosystem or
popu-
lation. The concept of NTE expands the area affected by direct
radiation
exposure both temporally (vertical transmission to progeny) and
spa-
tially (horizontal transmission to neighbours). This means that
the re-
sponse of the system cannot be deduced from knowledge of
dose, hit
cells or hit individuals. System level modelling is required and
system
level indicators of radiation effects are needed. Attempts to
develop
such a conceptual framework are underway (Mothersill and
Seymour,
2010; Bradshaw et al., 2014; Bréchignac et al., 2016 and b) and
may
ultimately require borrowing of models from economic
forecasting and
disaster forecasting fields.
C. Mothersill et al. Environmental Research 159 (2017) 484–
490
487
8. Practical ways forward
Two approaches to developing system level frameworks of
protec-
tion are obvious. One involves actual measurements in field
situations,
where health of ecosystems (using such metrics as biodiversity
index or
stability of population numbers over time) can be monitored in
relation
to ambient and historical dose. The problem is establishing
good con-
trols to cover the impacts of other natural and anthropocentric
stres-
sors. The determination of accurate doses is also problematic
given the
complex chemistry and speciation, which make interpretation of
the
likely impacts of measured doses difficult. Contributions of
“hot parti-
cles”, microparticulates and nanoparticulates are hotly disputed
and
may contribute to local and internal doses (Garger et al., 2013;
Tyler
et al., 2013; Beresford et al., 2016a, 2016b). In terms of
estimating
contributions of historical doses, the only obvious experimental
ap-
proaches are to extrapolate from relevant in vitro or ex-vivo
studies
which use an appropriate range of doses and isotopes or to use
data
from the very few field studies which measured biological
effects in
populations over time. These data then need to be combined
with
theoretical interpolation of historic dose–effect predictions
based on
existing knowledge of the relative contribution of historic and
ambient
doses to the cumulative effect. These experimental approaches
still
leave the problem of how to measure impacts at the level of the
eco-
system when actual measurements have to be done on
individuals
within ecosystems. The other type of approach is conceptual or
theo-
retical, involving modelling. Currently, this is an area of intense
effort
(Yankovich et al., 2010; Alonzo et al., 2016; Beresford et al.,
2016a,
2016b) but it is unknown how useful it will be given the huge
gaps in
the databases concerning all but the most commonly used
animal
models and the preponderance of acute low LET data when high
LET,
chronic exposure contributes much to the total dose in
Chernobyl, Fu-
kushima and other exposure sites such as the legacy test sites
and ur-
anium mining areas. The other problem with modelling using
database
information is that much of it concerns measurements on
individuals
using toolboxes which were considered important and which
may have
been surpassed by more modern tools. For example genomic
screening,
chip technologies and network analyses can generate vast
amounts of
information but was not applied to most of the large radiation
studies.
Another issue with modelling is that the parameters have to be
pre-
selected and since we do not know what is important in
determining
ecosystem level outcomes, it is hard to know what terms to
include. It is
possible that some of the so-called “wicked problem”
uncertainty
models used in banking and economic forecasting mentioned
above
may be worthy of consideration. These models accept that we
do not
know what elements drive the effect or the response and use a
form of
complexity modelling to allow uncertainty to be accommodated
in the
models.
9. Conclusions and summary
This paper set out to consider the impact that modern thinking
about low dose radiobiology might have on environmental
radiation
protection regulation. The conclusions are that in the low
dose/dose
rate range, effects are not solely determined by absolute
absorbed dose
Fig. 3. Extreme scenarios of how historic dose could impact po-
pulation survival where no adaptation or compensation occurs
(Scenario 1) or adaptation does occur (Scenario 2).
C. Mothersill et al. Environmental Research 159 (2017) 484–
490
488
but are modulated by many factors meaning they are context
depen-
dent. Beneficial and adverse effects can occur and it is difficult
to
predict what will happen, particularly in complex systems with
multiple
variables. Non-targeted low dose effects mean that spatial and
temporal
contexts need to be considered in addition to snapshot
measurements in
individuals. The value of existing experimental and theoretical
ap-
proaches is examined and a major conclusion of this analysis is
that new
approaches are badly needed, possibly borrowing techniques
from
economic forecasting. The quite surprising overall conclusion is
that
NTE which came from human radiation biology are probably
much
more important in environmental radiation biology because of
their
relevance and role at the level of the population and ecosystem.
Acknowledgements
We are very grateful to our funding agencies–The Canada
Research
Chairs Programm, The National Science and Engineering
Research
Council (NSERC) Discovery Grant and CRD program, The
CANDU
Owners Group (COG), The National CFIDS Foundation Inc. We
also
thank Dr David Copplestone and Dr Tim Mousseau for helpful
discus-
sions.
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doses and non-targeted effects in environmental radiation
protection; where are we now and where should we go?Reason
for this review and discussionDescription and history of the
paradigm shiftComponents of the NTE type of effectDominance
of direct effects in protection scienceTheoretical
modellingEpidemiologicalScience based laboratory and
experimental studiesWhat would happen if we included NTE?
Would it really increase uncertainty?Relative contributions of
adaptive response and adverse destabilising effectsIndividual
variation and “confounding factors”Multiple stressorsRole of
response modifiersNeed for system level conceptual
analysisPractical ways forwardConclusions and
summaryAcknowledgementsReferences

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  • 1. LEADER: STEVE JOBS Many names are recognized as notable business leaders identified for their unique approach to leading people. Please review the "Contemporary Business Leaders". Select one leader from this list discuss (300-500 words) what you have learned about the selected individual as a leader and the leadership style that leader embodies. Address the following in your discussion: · Provide a discussion on two to three attributes a leader should emulate or avoid based on course materials. Describe how these characteristics would be beneficial or detrimental in an organizational setting. You are required to use at least two external sources to provide evidence in support of the leadership style displayed by your selected leader. The rationale should be justified; this should not be completed based on an opinion. Contents lists available at ScienceDirect Environmental Research journal homepage: www.elsevier.com/locate/envres Low doses and non-targeted effects in environmental radiation protection; where are we now and where should we go? Carmel Mothersill⁎, Andrej Rusin, Colin Seymour Medical Physics and Applied Radiation Sciences, McMaster University, Hamilton, Ontario L8S 4K1, Canada
  • 2. A R T I C L E I N F O Keywords: Historic dose effects Non-targeted effects Genomic instability Memory effects Non-human biota A B S T R A C T The field of low dose radiobiology has advanced considerably in the last 30 years from small indications in the 1980's that all was not simple, to a paradigm shift which occurred during the 1990's, which severely dented the dose-driven models and DNA centric theories which had dominated until then. However while the science has evolved, the application of that science in environmental health protection has not. A reason for this appears to be the uncertainties regarding the shape of the low dose response curve, which lead regulators to adopt a precautionary approach to radiation protection. Radiation protection models assume a linear relationship be- tween dose (i.e. energy deposition) and effect (in this case probability of an adverse DNA interaction leading to a mutation). This model does not consider non-targeted effects (NTE) such as bystander effects or delayed effects, which occur in progeny cells or offspring not directly receiving energy deposition from the dose. There is huge controversy concerning the role of NTE with some saying they reflect “biology” and that repair and homeostatic mechanisms sort out the apparent damage while others consider them to be a class of damage which increases the size of the target. One thing which has recently become apparent is that NTE may be very critical for modelling long-term effects at the level of the population rather
  • 3. than the individual. The issue is that NTE resulting from an acute high dose such as occurred after the A- bomb or Chernobyl occur in parallel with chronic effects induced by the continuing residual effects due to radiation dose decay. This means that if ambient ra- diation doses are measured for example 25 years after the Chernobyl accident, they only represent a portion of the dose effect because the contribution of NTE is not included. 1. Reason for this review and discussion This review was prompted by the realisation that there are two major disconnects which impact the current discussions of how to de- velop radiation protection frameworks for non-human species. The first is that radiobiologists and radioecologists seldom interact and their areas of interest do not really overlap. The second is that radiation protection of non-human species has employed the concepts of “re- ference man” from human radiation protection when it might be more useful to use concepts developed in environmental protection fields where concepts of ecosystem and population effects dominate rather than the current focus on “reference organisms”. The aim of this dis- cussion paper is, therefore, to explore some areas of radiobiology which might help in the conceptual and experimental development of more useful ways to enable protection of non-human biota
  • 4. 2. Description and history of the paradigm shift Up until the 1980's radiobiology was a DNA-centric science (Hall and Giaccia, 2006). DNA was regarded as the critical target and DNA strand breaks the critical lesion. DNA damage was either repaired successfully or not repaired in which case the cell died or perpetuated a mutation to all of its offspring. If this mutation happened to be in a cancer-associated gene, a cancer could arise (Hall and Giaccia, 2006). The clonal origin of cancer theory dominated and little thought was given to the micro-environment or the idea of niches (Suzuki and Yamashita, 2012; Chang et al., 1982). Much of the radiobiology re- search going on then was focussed on understanding DNA repair me- chanisms and through understanding individual cell survival, research was aimed at manipulating response of individual tumour cells to ra- diation with the aim of controlling cancer (Hall and Giaccia, 2006). Tools were not really available to investigate low dose effects and anyway these were deemed irrelevant for cancer therapy. How this domination of the field came about is an interesting question for science historians because prior to about 1950, there was considerable
  • 5. discus- sion of indirect effects (what we now call non-targeted effects) and the existence of other “targets” for radiation energy deposition was widely discussed (Bonnier, 1952; Devik, 1953; Mole, 1953). After the http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.envres.2017.08.029 Received 10 July 2017; Received in revised form 12 August 2017; Accepted 14 August 2017 ⁎ Corresponding author. E-mail address: [email protected] (C. Mothersill). Environmental Research 159 (2017) 484–490 Available online 18 September 2017 0013-9351/ © 2017 Published by Elsevier Inc. MARK https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/journal/00139351 https://www.elsevier.com/locate/envres http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.envres.2017.08.029 http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.envres.2017.08.029 mailto:[email protected] http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.envres.2017.08.029 http://crossmark.crossref.org/dialog/?doi=10.1016/j.envres.2017 .08.029&domain=pdf discovery of the structure of DNA, the “inconvenient truths” which did not fit the paradigm were ignored or deemed to be irrelevant to the mechanisms which resulted in DNA defects (Nomiya, 2013).
  • 6. Several things drove the paradigm shift in the late 20th C. These included advances in molecular biology which allowed effects of low doses to be studied, the Chernobyl accident in 1986 and subsequent concerns about low dose effects and about nuclear power in general. These resulted in funded research into low dose effects by governments and industry alike. The key thing was however, the publication of a series of papers in the late 1980's and early 1990's which suggested that “indirect” mechanisms had very profound effects (at least in laboratory experiments) on the shape of the low dose region of the radiation dose response curve (Seymour et al., 1986; Pampfer and Streffer, 1989; Kadhim et al., 1992; Nagasawa and Little, 1992; Mothersill and Seymour, 1997a, 1997b)). These papers challenged two fundamental assumptions; one was that all radiation damage was fixed (in the sense of being made permanent) in the first cell division post irradiation and the second was that irradiated cells acted independently of each other. The very important consequences of these two conceptual changes were that time post irradiation became important and population effects or environmental status was recognised to play a part in determining
  • 7. outcome. Fig. 1 is an attempt to compare the old and new paradigms. 3. Components of the NTE type of effect The term “non-targeted effect” (NTE), strictly speaking, means ef- fects in cells, tissues, organs or organisms which received signals from irradiated systems but did not necessarily receive a direct deposition of energy from ionising radiation. Generally they include genomic in- stability/delayed lethal mutations where radiation damage is detected in distant progeny of cells which survived the initial exposure and ap- peared healthy for multiple generations and bystander effects where effects are seen in neighbours which did not receive any direct dose. Signalling can also impact neighbours which did receive a direct hit but for the purposes of this paper, it is assumed that the effects are detected in progeny or unirradiated neighbours. Other effects such as adaptive responses and low dose hypersensitivity are more properly described as low dose effects but are often included in discussions of NTE. These effects have all been extensively reviewed over the last 30 years (e.g. Mothersill and Seymour, 2012; Burtt et al., 2016) and this review will
  • 8. focus more on the relevance of these effects for environmental radiation protection than on the actual mechanisms of NTE. Key features of these effects which are relevant are that they appear to have an “on/off” threshold in the low mGy dose range (Schettino et al., 2003, 2005; Liu et al., 2006, 2007). The effect saturates after an acute low LET exposure of about 500 mGy (Seymour and Mothersill, 2000; Prise et al., 2002,) and once triggered, the effects persist over time and are trans- genera- tional both in cell cultures and in vivo (Lyng et al., 1996; Lorimore et al., 2001; Kashino et al., 2004; Coates et al., 2008). They have been detected across all taxonomic groups tested (O'Dowd et al., 2006; DeVeaux et al., 2006; Bertucci et al., 2009; Audette-Stuart and Yankovich, 2011; Sharetskiĭ et al., 2012; Fernandez et al., 2016; Smith et al., 2016), and signals can cross species boundaries meaning signals generated by one species can induce responses in unrelated taxonomic groups often separated by millions of years of evolution (Smith et al., 2013; Hatzi et al., 2015,). The consensus is that they represent a very primitive, highly conserved stress response which may coordinate re- sponse to environmental stressors, experienced by individuals, to pro- duce higher level outcomes at the population or ecosystem
  • 9. level. The question is whether this in any way impacts responses of non- human biota to radiation exposure and whether these effects need to be integrated into risk models for environmental radiation protection? 4. Dominance of direct effects in protection science Currently only direct effects of radiation are considered relevant (UNSCEAR, 2008). This applies to theoretical or modelling efforts, to epidemiological analyses, which are deemed to include any NTE if re- levant and to human science based investigations. These three areas will be considered briefly below 4.1. Theoretical modelling Modelling efforts to try to predict the shape of the dose response curve in the low dose region generally use the large human cohorts of the A-bomb survivors or the Techa River residents (Dropkin, 2016; Preston et al., 2016). Modelling in the non-human biota field uses the Frederika database (Vives I Batlle et al., 2012). A few attempts have been made to factor NTE into the human models but these have as- sumed NTE are harmful which may not always be the case
  • 10. (Little, 2004; Fig. 1. Conceptual representation of the old and new paradigms of radiation action at low doses. C. Mothersill et al. Environmental Research 159 (2017) 484– 490 485 Kundrát and Friedland, 2015). 4.2. Epidemiological Human epidemiological studies, have weak power at doses below 100 mGy because the numbers of subjects needed to detect excess in- cidence of common diseases such as cancer exceeds the size of the co- horts available (Averbeck, 2009; Preston et al., 2013). With wildlife similar problems exist and the concept of “wildlife epidemiology” is more properly referred to as field studies. The consideration of these is outside the scope of this discussion but important contributions to the discussion of persistent genetic or chromosomal damage include those of Moller, Mousseau and colleagues whose extensive studies report mutation effects at very low doses and who also consider long term
  • 11. adaptation of populations in Chernobyl and Fukushima to chronic ir- radiation (reviewed in Møller and Mousseau, 2015, 2016 and Einor et al., 2016). Other long term genetic studies have been done by Goncharova and colleagues in Belarus on multiple generations of bank voles (Goncharova and Ryabokon'', 1998; Goncharova and Smolich, 2002; Ryabokon and Goncharova, 2006). The idea of factoring in his- torical doses which could exert an influence via NTE does not seem to have been considered for humans or wildlife. The concept of a “memory effect” has been put forward but does not appear to have been pub- lished or formalised. 4.3. Science based laboratory and experimental studies These studies set up very carefully controlled experiments in the lab or the field, with the aim of determining dose response relationships for cancer, reproductive impact or other defined endpoints. The problem with such studies is that they generally use doses above those of con- cern in the environment or in human radiation protection mainly Fig. 2. Conceptual approach to the resolution of the separate contributions of Initial dose, genomic instability contribution (legacy effect) and attenuating chronic dose to the effect burden at any given time.
  • 12. C. Mothersill et al. Environmental Research 159 (2017) 484– 490 486 because lower doses do not produce effects in a reasonable time frame. While long-term experimental studies do exist for example the mega mouse or beagle dog experiments (Haley et al., 2011) or in the en- vironment, the Colorado, some Chernobyl studies and the AECL Man- itoba experiments (Reichle et al., US on-line link, Mihok, 2004; Audette-Stuart et al., 2011; Geras'kin, 2016,) these are limited both in the type of radiation used, the species or habitat studied and the end- points measured. However they provide the best chance of determining direct dose response relationships in a controlled way. Indirect effects such as genomic instability, adaptive response, low dose hyper sensi- tivity and bystander effects have been exhaustively studied in experi- mental models for humans and in laboratory species of non human biota including plants but there is no agreement about what the data mean for radiation protection (Morgan and Sowa, 2009; Mothersill and Seymour, 2014). This is mainly because these effects have not
  • 13. been definitively linked to health outcomes. 5. What would happen if we included NTE? Would it really increase uncertainty? A key factor prompting caution from radiation protection bodies such as ICRP and scientific committees such as UNSCEAR or BEIR who evaluate scientific data, is the lack of any clear mechanism such as a signature mutation linking NTE with detrimental health effects. Much of the research into NTE has been done using cell cultures or inbred rodent strains which are known to be susceptible to cancer and are used as models to study mechanisms of carcinogenesis (e.g. Attardi and Donehower, 2005), cardiovascular disease (Ginsberg and Busto, 1989) or neurodegenerative disease (Shukla et al., 2015). The few whole animal or plant studies looking at low dose NTE endpoints do not follow through to inform about health endpoints of interest in environmental radiation protection such as fertility or fecundity. It is true that NTE such as the bystander effect induce genomic instability in progeny of unirradiated cells receiving signals from irradiated cells (Seymour and Mothersill, 1997; Lorimore et al., 1998; Bowler et al., 2006) and since genomic instability is a hallmark of cancer, the argument is
  • 14. made that NTE could underlie or contribute to carcinogenesis after low dose ex- posure (Ponnaiya et al., 2011; Klammer et al., 2015; Hei, 2016). Si- milarly signalling aberrations or disruptions could also lead to neural or immune system compromise especially since once turned on NTE do not appear to fade or disappear with time (Marozik et al., 2007; Koturbash et al., 2007; Buonanno et al., 2011). It is unlikely that building NTE components into models would increase the uncertainty over what it is already. In fact inclusion of a factor to account for persistent effects due to historical radiation exposure might actually help explain some of the variability in results seen in the field because it would allow total effect to be calculated as the sum of the effect due to ambient or current dose plus the effect which can be currently measured which occurs due to the historic legacy effect (genomic instability effect) of the initial exposure. Fig. 2 is an illustration of this concept. 5.1. Relative contributions of adaptive response and adverse destabilising effects A major difficulty in this field results from the fact that bystander signals and even genomic instability are not intrinsically “bad”.
  • 15. Genomic instability can provide material for natural selection by in- creasing genetic variability. This can lead over the long term to adap- tive responses and a fitter population more able to withstand the new environmental stressor. Bystander signalling has been shown to enable communication of a stress response between organisms which could in theory at least lead to pre-emptive upregulation of defensive mechan- isms (Szumiel, 2015). However the issue for radiation protection is sorting out the relative contribution of good or bad outcomes to the overall population or system which has been exposed. It is likely that novel modelling approaches will be needed to make progress in this area. Fig. 3 depicts 2 extreme scenarios. In Scenario 1 there is no adaptation and the historic dose effect is constant for each population doubling with no compensation for the reduction in survival of pro- geny. This means that at each population doubling the number of progeny is reduced by a constant factor due to the historic dose and eventually extinction of the population will occur. In Scenario 2, the system compensates by increasing the growth rate or otherwise acting to maintain the population at or above the level that initially
  • 16. survived the direct dose. 6. Individual variation and “confounding factors” A further issue which is relevant to the question of what would happen if we included NTE in radiation protection risk estimates is individual variation. In human populations this includes genetic and lifestyle factors which change the radiosensitivity of an individual to direct irradiation or NTE (Coen et al., 2001; Glaviano et al., 2006; Mothersill et al., 2014). In non human species, these factors will also impact radiation sensitivity but will be more difficult to identify and control. As they will operate at the population and ecosystem level, it is likely the effects will be buffered or neutralised but could contribute to population drift and structural polymorphism. 6.1. Multiple stressors No species exists in a pure environment therefore the issue of multiple stressors is relevant to low dose radiation protection. This is especially true of NTE because they manifest as a stress response and can be induced by chemical and other physical conditions/pollutants as well as radiation (Salbu et al., 2005, 2008; Mothersill et al., 2007,). A further complicating factor is that since NTE saturate after quite
  • 17. low doses, the additional effect of extra stressors may be negligible in terms of NTE but may augment or reduce direct effects through synergistic or antagonistic interactions. Again modelling approaches may help reg- ulators make predictions in well characterised contaminated sites. 6.2. Role of response modifiers This category of agents is related to the last in that it includes physical and chemical modulators of radiation or other stressor effect. These agents act to modulate responses induced by the multiple stres- sors including radiation. They include mitigators of radiation damage such as antioxidants (Asur et al., 2010; Smith et al., 2015). However again the effect of mitigators may be on direct damage, NTE damage or both. It is important to consider relevant mechanisms of action in order to predict what effect if any mitigators might have on NTE. 7. Need for system level conceptual analysis Probably the single most important need identified in this part of the review is that in order to determine what NTE might do to current approaches to radiation protection of the environment or of humans, is the need to consider the issues at the level of the ecosystem or
  • 18. popu- lation. The concept of NTE expands the area affected by direct radiation exposure both temporally (vertical transmission to progeny) and spa- tially (horizontal transmission to neighbours). This means that the re- sponse of the system cannot be deduced from knowledge of dose, hit cells or hit individuals. System level modelling is required and system level indicators of radiation effects are needed. Attempts to develop such a conceptual framework are underway (Mothersill and Seymour, 2010; Bradshaw et al., 2014; Bréchignac et al., 2016 and b) and may ultimately require borrowing of models from economic forecasting and disaster forecasting fields. C. Mothersill et al. Environmental Research 159 (2017) 484– 490 487 8. Practical ways forward Two approaches to developing system level frameworks of protec- tion are obvious. One involves actual measurements in field situations, where health of ecosystems (using such metrics as biodiversity index or
  • 19. stability of population numbers over time) can be monitored in relation to ambient and historical dose. The problem is establishing good con- trols to cover the impacts of other natural and anthropocentric stres- sors. The determination of accurate doses is also problematic given the complex chemistry and speciation, which make interpretation of the likely impacts of measured doses difficult. Contributions of “hot parti- cles”, microparticulates and nanoparticulates are hotly disputed and may contribute to local and internal doses (Garger et al., 2013; Tyler et al., 2013; Beresford et al., 2016a, 2016b). In terms of estimating contributions of historical doses, the only obvious experimental ap- proaches are to extrapolate from relevant in vitro or ex-vivo studies which use an appropriate range of doses and isotopes or to use data from the very few field studies which measured biological effects in populations over time. These data then need to be combined with theoretical interpolation of historic dose–effect predictions based on existing knowledge of the relative contribution of historic and ambient doses to the cumulative effect. These experimental approaches still leave the problem of how to measure impacts at the level of the eco-
  • 20. system when actual measurements have to be done on individuals within ecosystems. The other type of approach is conceptual or theo- retical, involving modelling. Currently, this is an area of intense effort (Yankovich et al., 2010; Alonzo et al., 2016; Beresford et al., 2016a, 2016b) but it is unknown how useful it will be given the huge gaps in the databases concerning all but the most commonly used animal models and the preponderance of acute low LET data when high LET, chronic exposure contributes much to the total dose in Chernobyl, Fu- kushima and other exposure sites such as the legacy test sites and ur- anium mining areas. The other problem with modelling using database information is that much of it concerns measurements on individuals using toolboxes which were considered important and which may have been surpassed by more modern tools. For example genomic screening, chip technologies and network analyses can generate vast amounts of information but was not applied to most of the large radiation studies. Another issue with modelling is that the parameters have to be pre- selected and since we do not know what is important in determining ecosystem level outcomes, it is hard to know what terms to
  • 21. include. It is possible that some of the so-called “wicked problem” uncertainty models used in banking and economic forecasting mentioned above may be worthy of consideration. These models accept that we do not know what elements drive the effect or the response and use a form of complexity modelling to allow uncertainty to be accommodated in the models. 9. Conclusions and summary This paper set out to consider the impact that modern thinking about low dose radiobiology might have on environmental radiation protection regulation. The conclusions are that in the low dose/dose rate range, effects are not solely determined by absolute absorbed dose Fig. 3. Extreme scenarios of how historic dose could impact po- pulation survival where no adaptation or compensation occurs (Scenario 1) or adaptation does occur (Scenario 2). C. Mothersill et al. Environmental Research 159 (2017) 484– 490 488 but are modulated by many factors meaning they are context depen-
  • 22. dent. Beneficial and adverse effects can occur and it is difficult to predict what will happen, particularly in complex systems with multiple variables. Non-targeted low dose effects mean that spatial and temporal contexts need to be considered in addition to snapshot measurements in individuals. The value of existing experimental and theoretical ap- proaches is examined and a major conclusion of this analysis is that new approaches are badly needed, possibly borrowing techniques from economic forecasting. The quite surprising overall conclusion is that NTE which came from human radiation biology are probably much more important in environmental radiation biology because of their relevance and role at the level of the population and ecosystem. Acknowledgements We are very grateful to our funding agencies–The Canada Research Chairs Programm, The National Science and Engineering Research Council (NSERC) Discovery Grant and CRD program, The CANDU Owners Group (COG), The National CFIDS Foundation Inc. We also thank Dr David Copplestone and Dr Tim Mousseau for helpful discus- sions.
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  • 44. modellingEpidemiologicalScience based laboratory and experimental studiesWhat would happen if we included NTE? Would it really increase uncertainty?Relative contributions of adaptive response and adverse destabilising effectsIndividual variation and “confounding factors”Multiple stressorsRole of response modifiersNeed for system level conceptual analysisPractical ways forwardConclusions and summaryAcknowledgementsReferences