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Public Economics
                    Carlo Fiorio
                (Bocconi University)
        Email: carlo.fiorio@unibocconi.it
Web Page: http://fiorio.economia.unimi.it/tea/biem/




                    Public Economics                  1
Course information

Main textbook
• Gruber, J., (2010), Public Finance and Public Policy, Palgrave Macmillan, 3rd edition
   (reference textbook)
• Optional textbooks
• Connolly, S. and A. Munro (1999), Economics of the public sector, Prentice Hall.
• Hindriks J. & G.D. Myles, (2006 ), Intermediate Public Economics, MIT Press.
• Tresch, R.W. , (2008), Public Sector Economics, Palgrave.
Lectures slides posted on:
• http://fiorio.economia.unimi.it/tea/biemf/
Office hours:
• Thursdays 10:30-12:30, at Econpubblica, 3rd floor, Office 3.B1.13 (or appointment
    by email).
Prerequisites:
• Microeconomics and (some) Calculus
Exams procedures:
• Check the link on the course webpage, under ``Exam regulations''
                                     Public Economics                                 2
1.1 The Four Questions of
                                         Public Finance

                                         1.2 Why Study Public
                                         Finance? Facts on
Why Study                                Government in the United
                                         States and around the World
Public Finance?                          1.3 Why Study Public
                                         Finance Now? Policy Debates
                                         over Social Security, Health
                                         Care, and Education
                                         1.4 Conclusion




                               FERNANDO QUIJANO AND SHELLY TEFFT

                  Public Economics                                      3
1.1
The Four Questions of Public Finance



          public finance The study of the role of the
          government in the economy.


          four questions of public finance
          1. When should the government
             intervene in the economy?
          2. How might the government intervene?
          3. What is the effect of those
             interventions on economic outcomes?
          4. Why do governments choose to
             intervene in the way that they do?



                          Public Economics              4
1.1
The Four Questions of Public Finance

 When Should the Government Intervene in the Economy?

 Market Failures



                   market failure Problem that
                   causes the market economy to
                   deliver an outcome that does
                   not maximize efficiency.




                             Public Economics           5
1.1
 The Four Questions of Public Finance
   APPLICATION
The Measles Epidemic of 1989–1991
 After the measles vaccine was introduced in 1963, measles cases had
  become relatively rare in the U.S. by the 1980s. Over the period from 1989
  to 1991, however, there was a huge resurgence in measles.
 It is clear that this outbreak resulted from very low immunization rates
  among disadvantaged inner-city youths:
      These unimmunized children were imposing a negative externality on
        other children who had received their immunizations but for whom
        immunization may have worn off.
 The federal government responded to this health crisis in the early 1990s:
      The government publicly encouraged parents to get their children
        immunized.
      The government also paid for the vaccines for low-income families.
The result was impressive. Immunization rates, which had never been above
70% before the epidemic, rose to 90% by 1995. Government intervention
clearly reduced this negative externality.
                                  Public Economics                             6
1.1
The Four Questions of Public Finance

 When Should the Government Intervene in the Economy?

 Redistribution



                  redistribution The shifting of
                  resources from some groups
                  in society to others.




                            Public Economics            7
1.1
The Four Questions of Public Finance

 How Might the Government Intervene?

 Tax or Subsidize Private Sale or Purchase


 One way that the government can try to address failures in the private
 market is to use the price mechanism, whereby government policy is
 used to change the price of a good in one of two ways:
      1. Through taxes, which raise the price for private sales or
         purchases of goods that are overproduced,
         or
      2. Through subsidies, which lower the price for private sales or
         purchases of goods that are underproduced.




                               Public Economics                           8
1.1
The Four Questions of Public Finance

 How Might the Government Intervene?

 Restrict or Mandate Private Sale or Purchase
 The government can directly restrict private sale or purchase of goods
 that are overproduced, or mandate private purchase of goods that are
 underproduced and force individuals to buy that good.

 Public Provision

 The government can provide the good directly, in order to potentially
 attain the level of consumption that maximizes social welfare.

 Public Financing of Private Provision
 Governments may want to influence the level of consumption but may
 not want to directly involve themselves in the provision of a good.



                               Public Economics                           9
1.1
The Four Questions of Public Finance

 What Are the Effects of Alternative Interventions?

 Direct Effects

                    direct effects The effects of
                    government interventions that
                    would be predicted if individuals
                    did not change their behavior in
                    response to the interventions.


 Indirect Effects

                    indirect effects The effects of
                    government interventions that
                    arise only because individuals
                    change their behavior in
                    response to the interventions.

                               Public Economics         10
1.1
The Four Questions of Public Finance

 Why Do Governments Do What They Do?


              political economy The theory of
              how the political process
              produces decisions that affect
              individuals and the economy.




                        Public Economics        12
1.2
Why Study Public Finance? Facts on Government in the
United States and around the World
 The Size and Growth of Government




                       Public Economics                14
Size of the government sector in 2008
     (Source: OECD in figures, 2009)




               Public Economics         15
Size of the government sector in 2008
     (Source: OECD in figures, 2009)
               …continued




               Public Economics         16
1.2
Why Study Public Finance? Facts on Government in the
United States
  Spending, Taxes,
  Deficits, and Debts
Federal Revenues and
Expenditures, Surplus or Deficit,
and Debt, 1930–2008 • For most
of the twentieth century, except
for the World War II period,
federal government tax receipts
have kept pace with
expenditures. But expenditures
have exceeded receipts by
several percentage points of
GDP on average since the
1970s. The resulting federal
government debt (held by the
public) at the end of July 2011 is
was about 67% of GDP. Including
intragovernament debt the ratio
rises to 98%.

Source: Office of Management and Budget
(2008), Tables 1.2 and 7.1. (Debt figures for
1930–1939 come from the U.S. Department of
the Treasury’s Bureau of the Public Debt.)
                                                Public Economics   18
1.2
Why Study Public Finance? Facts on Government in the
United States
 Spending, Taxes, Deficits, and Debts




                          Public Economics             19
1.2
Where is the US Federal debt nowadays?




                      Public Economics   20
1.2
Why Study Public Finance? Facts on Government in Europe
               NET BORROWING (+)/LENDING (-) IN 2009
                      (as a percentage of GDP)
                     Source: Banca d’Italia, 2011




                        Public Economics               21
1.2
Why Study Public Finance? Facts on Government in Europe
                   GROSS PUBLIC DEBT IN 2009
                     (as a percentage of GDP)
                    Source: Banca d’Italia, 2011




                       Public Economics               22
1.2
Why Study Public Finance? Facts on Government in the
United States
 Distribution of Spending
                                               The Distribution of Federal
                                               and State Expenditures,
                                               1960 and 2007 • This figure
                                               shows the changing
                                               composition of federal and
                                               state spending over time, as
                                               a share of total spending. (a)
                                               For the federal government,
                                               defense spending has fallen
                                               and Social Security and
                                               health spending have risen.
                                               (b) For the states, the
                                               distribution has been more
                                               constant, with a small decline
                                               in education and welfare
                                               spending and a rise in health
                                               spending.




                                               Source: Bureau of Economic Analysis,
                                               NIPA Table 3.16.
                            Public Economics                                          23
1.2
Why Study Public Finance? Facts on Government in the UK




                      Public Economics                    24
1.2
Why Study Public Finance? Facts on Government in the
United States and around the World
 Distribution of Spending

                 public goods Goods for
                 which the investment of any
                 one individual benefits
                 everyone in a larger group.



                 social insurance programs
                 Government provision of
                 insurance against adverse
                 events to address failures in
                 the private insurance market.




                            Public Economics           25
1.2
Why Study Public Finance? Facts on Government in the
United States and around the World
 Distribution of Revenue Sources
                                            The Distribution of Federal and
                                            State Revenues, 1960 and 2008 •
                                            This figure shows the changing
                                            composition of federal and state
                                            revenue sources over time, as a
                                            share of total revenues. (a) At the
                                            federal level, there has been a
                                            large reduction in corporate and
                                            excise tax revenues and a rise in
                                            payroll tax revenues. (b) For the
                                            states, there has been a decline in
                                            property taxes and a rise in income
                                            taxes and federal grants.




                                            Source: Bureau of Economic Analysis, NIPA
                                            Tables 3.2 and 3.3.
                         Public Economics                                               26
1.2
Why Study Public Finance? Facts on Government in the
United States and around the World
 Regulatory Role of the Government
 •Another critical role the government plays in all nations is that of
 regulating economic and social activities:

  The Food and Drug Administration (FDA) regulates the labeling and
   safety of nearly all food products and bottled water, tests cosmetics to
   ensure their safety, and approves drugs and medical devices to be sold
   to the public.
  The Occupational Safety and Health Administration (OSHA) is
   charged with regulating the workplace safety of the 135 million
   Americans employed at 8.9 million job sites.
  The Federal Communications Commission (FCC) regulates interstate
   and international communications by radio, television, wire, satellite,
   and cable.
  The Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) is charged with
   minimizing dangerous pollutants in the air, water, and food supplies.

                                 Public Economics                             27
1.3
Why Study Public Finance Now? Policy Debates over
Social Security, Health Care, and Education
Social Security, health care, and education are each the subject of debate,
with both the “liberal” and “conservative” positions holding differing views
in their approach to these major policy issues.

 Social Security
 •Social Security is the single largest government expenditure program in most
 Western countries. The financing structure of this program is basically that
 today’s young workers pay the retirement benefits of today’s old.

 Health Care
 This is one of the most dynamic expenditure items in developed world. In
 the US, before the Obama health care reform, there were 45 million
 Americans without any health insurance, about 18% of the non-elderly
 U.S. population. Projections suggest that health care will consume almost
 half of US GDP within the next century.


                                 Public Economics                                28
1.3
Why Study Public Finance Now? Policy Debates over
Social Security, Health Care, and Education
 Education
 •There is an increasing debate over
 spending in educational educational
 system, highlighted by the cross-
 country test on students’ assessment
 (OECD-PISA)




                                  Public Economics   29
Historical trends in government

•Over the last century, time trend of government expenditures as percentage of GDP has
been upwards (Wagner's Law)
     – Cyclical element: G=GDP rises in recessions and vice versa (why?).

•   Gov't consumption has risen much more slowly than gov't expenditures as a whole,
    nearly at in many countries in last 30 yrs.
•   Social security spending has shown a much sharper upward trend in most countries.
•   There are various reasons for the Wagner’s law:
     – Fiscal illusion: voters are unable to comprehend the full implications for
        taxation of expenditure rises, hence vote for high-spending governments. Gov't
        manipulate complexity of tax-benefit system, hiding real costs.
     – Interest groups, they act in their interest. Their power increased over time.
     – Some goods, such as healthcare, are luxury goods.
     – Urbanization and growth
     – Baumol effect: relative price of labor-intensive services increases compared to
        manufactured goods, because of the stronger rate of technological progress in
        the latter. As demand for service is (about) inelastic, their share in national
        output tend to rise.
     – Changing sufrage
     – Changing demographics (increasing pension burden)
                                  Public Economics                                   30
Conclusion

•It is clear from the facts presented here that the government plays a central role in
the lives of all developed countries around the world (and not only those).
•It is also clear that there is ongoing disagreement about whether that role should
expand, stay the same, or contract.
•The facts and arguments raised in this chapter provide a backdrop for thinking
about the set of public finance issues that we explore in the remainder of this
course.




                                    Public Economics                                     31

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1 intro

  • 1. Public Economics Carlo Fiorio (Bocconi University) Email: carlo.fiorio@unibocconi.it Web Page: http://fiorio.economia.unimi.it/tea/biem/ Public Economics 1
  • 2. Course information Main textbook • Gruber, J., (2010), Public Finance and Public Policy, Palgrave Macmillan, 3rd edition (reference textbook) • Optional textbooks • Connolly, S. and A. Munro (1999), Economics of the public sector, Prentice Hall. • Hindriks J. & G.D. Myles, (2006 ), Intermediate Public Economics, MIT Press. • Tresch, R.W. , (2008), Public Sector Economics, Palgrave. Lectures slides posted on: • http://fiorio.economia.unimi.it/tea/biemf/ Office hours: • Thursdays 10:30-12:30, at Econpubblica, 3rd floor, Office 3.B1.13 (or appointment by email). Prerequisites: • Microeconomics and (some) Calculus Exams procedures: • Check the link on the course webpage, under ``Exam regulations'' Public Economics 2
  • 3. 1.1 The Four Questions of Public Finance 1.2 Why Study Public Finance? Facts on Why Study Government in the United States and around the World Public Finance? 1.3 Why Study Public Finance Now? Policy Debates over Social Security, Health Care, and Education 1.4 Conclusion FERNANDO QUIJANO AND SHELLY TEFFT Public Economics 3
  • 4. 1.1 The Four Questions of Public Finance public finance The study of the role of the government in the economy. four questions of public finance 1. When should the government intervene in the economy? 2. How might the government intervene? 3. What is the effect of those interventions on economic outcomes? 4. Why do governments choose to intervene in the way that they do? Public Economics 4
  • 5. 1.1 The Four Questions of Public Finance When Should the Government Intervene in the Economy? Market Failures market failure Problem that causes the market economy to deliver an outcome that does not maximize efficiency. Public Economics 5
  • 6. 1.1 The Four Questions of Public Finance  APPLICATION The Measles Epidemic of 1989–1991  After the measles vaccine was introduced in 1963, measles cases had become relatively rare in the U.S. by the 1980s. Over the period from 1989 to 1991, however, there was a huge resurgence in measles.  It is clear that this outbreak resulted from very low immunization rates among disadvantaged inner-city youths:  These unimmunized children were imposing a negative externality on other children who had received their immunizations but for whom immunization may have worn off.  The federal government responded to this health crisis in the early 1990s:  The government publicly encouraged parents to get their children immunized.  The government also paid for the vaccines for low-income families. The result was impressive. Immunization rates, which had never been above 70% before the epidemic, rose to 90% by 1995. Government intervention clearly reduced this negative externality. Public Economics 6
  • 7. 1.1 The Four Questions of Public Finance When Should the Government Intervene in the Economy? Redistribution redistribution The shifting of resources from some groups in society to others. Public Economics 7
  • 8. 1.1 The Four Questions of Public Finance How Might the Government Intervene? Tax or Subsidize Private Sale or Purchase One way that the government can try to address failures in the private market is to use the price mechanism, whereby government policy is used to change the price of a good in one of two ways: 1. Through taxes, which raise the price for private sales or purchases of goods that are overproduced, or 2. Through subsidies, which lower the price for private sales or purchases of goods that are underproduced. Public Economics 8
  • 9. 1.1 The Four Questions of Public Finance How Might the Government Intervene? Restrict or Mandate Private Sale or Purchase The government can directly restrict private sale or purchase of goods that are overproduced, or mandate private purchase of goods that are underproduced and force individuals to buy that good. Public Provision The government can provide the good directly, in order to potentially attain the level of consumption that maximizes social welfare. Public Financing of Private Provision Governments may want to influence the level of consumption but may not want to directly involve themselves in the provision of a good. Public Economics 9
  • 10. 1.1 The Four Questions of Public Finance What Are the Effects of Alternative Interventions? Direct Effects direct effects The effects of government interventions that would be predicted if individuals did not change their behavior in response to the interventions. Indirect Effects indirect effects The effects of government interventions that arise only because individuals change their behavior in response to the interventions. Public Economics 10
  • 11. 1.1 The Four Questions of Public Finance Why Do Governments Do What They Do? political economy The theory of how the political process produces decisions that affect individuals and the economy. Public Economics 12
  • 12. 1.2 Why Study Public Finance? Facts on Government in the United States and around the World The Size and Growth of Government Public Economics 14
  • 13. Size of the government sector in 2008 (Source: OECD in figures, 2009) Public Economics 15
  • 14. Size of the government sector in 2008 (Source: OECD in figures, 2009) …continued Public Economics 16
  • 15. 1.2 Why Study Public Finance? Facts on Government in the United States Spending, Taxes, Deficits, and Debts Federal Revenues and Expenditures, Surplus or Deficit, and Debt, 1930–2008 • For most of the twentieth century, except for the World War II period, federal government tax receipts have kept pace with expenditures. But expenditures have exceeded receipts by several percentage points of GDP on average since the 1970s. The resulting federal government debt (held by the public) at the end of July 2011 is was about 67% of GDP. Including intragovernament debt the ratio rises to 98%. Source: Office of Management and Budget (2008), Tables 1.2 and 7.1. (Debt figures for 1930–1939 come from the U.S. Department of the Treasury’s Bureau of the Public Debt.) Public Economics 18
  • 16. 1.2 Why Study Public Finance? Facts on Government in the United States Spending, Taxes, Deficits, and Debts Public Economics 19
  • 17. 1.2 Where is the US Federal debt nowadays? Public Economics 20
  • 18. 1.2 Why Study Public Finance? Facts on Government in Europe NET BORROWING (+)/LENDING (-) IN 2009 (as a percentage of GDP) Source: Banca d’Italia, 2011 Public Economics 21
  • 19. 1.2 Why Study Public Finance? Facts on Government in Europe GROSS PUBLIC DEBT IN 2009 (as a percentage of GDP) Source: Banca d’Italia, 2011 Public Economics 22
  • 20. 1.2 Why Study Public Finance? Facts on Government in the United States Distribution of Spending The Distribution of Federal and State Expenditures, 1960 and 2007 • This figure shows the changing composition of federal and state spending over time, as a share of total spending. (a) For the federal government, defense spending has fallen and Social Security and health spending have risen. (b) For the states, the distribution has been more constant, with a small decline in education and welfare spending and a rise in health spending. Source: Bureau of Economic Analysis, NIPA Table 3.16. Public Economics 23
  • 21. 1.2 Why Study Public Finance? Facts on Government in the UK Public Economics 24
  • 22. 1.2 Why Study Public Finance? Facts on Government in the United States and around the World Distribution of Spending public goods Goods for which the investment of any one individual benefits everyone in a larger group. social insurance programs Government provision of insurance against adverse events to address failures in the private insurance market. Public Economics 25
  • 23. 1.2 Why Study Public Finance? Facts on Government in the United States and around the World Distribution of Revenue Sources The Distribution of Federal and State Revenues, 1960 and 2008 • This figure shows the changing composition of federal and state revenue sources over time, as a share of total revenues. (a) At the federal level, there has been a large reduction in corporate and excise tax revenues and a rise in payroll tax revenues. (b) For the states, there has been a decline in property taxes and a rise in income taxes and federal grants. Source: Bureau of Economic Analysis, NIPA Tables 3.2 and 3.3. Public Economics 26
  • 24. 1.2 Why Study Public Finance? Facts on Government in the United States and around the World Regulatory Role of the Government •Another critical role the government plays in all nations is that of regulating economic and social activities:  The Food and Drug Administration (FDA) regulates the labeling and safety of nearly all food products and bottled water, tests cosmetics to ensure their safety, and approves drugs and medical devices to be sold to the public.  The Occupational Safety and Health Administration (OSHA) is charged with regulating the workplace safety of the 135 million Americans employed at 8.9 million job sites.  The Federal Communications Commission (FCC) regulates interstate and international communications by radio, television, wire, satellite, and cable.  The Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) is charged with minimizing dangerous pollutants in the air, water, and food supplies. Public Economics 27
  • 25. 1.3 Why Study Public Finance Now? Policy Debates over Social Security, Health Care, and Education Social Security, health care, and education are each the subject of debate, with both the “liberal” and “conservative” positions holding differing views in their approach to these major policy issues. Social Security •Social Security is the single largest government expenditure program in most Western countries. The financing structure of this program is basically that today’s young workers pay the retirement benefits of today’s old. Health Care This is one of the most dynamic expenditure items in developed world. In the US, before the Obama health care reform, there were 45 million Americans without any health insurance, about 18% of the non-elderly U.S. population. Projections suggest that health care will consume almost half of US GDP within the next century. Public Economics 28
  • 26. 1.3 Why Study Public Finance Now? Policy Debates over Social Security, Health Care, and Education Education •There is an increasing debate over spending in educational educational system, highlighted by the cross- country test on students’ assessment (OECD-PISA) Public Economics 29
  • 27. Historical trends in government •Over the last century, time trend of government expenditures as percentage of GDP has been upwards (Wagner's Law) – Cyclical element: G=GDP rises in recessions and vice versa (why?). • Gov't consumption has risen much more slowly than gov't expenditures as a whole, nearly at in many countries in last 30 yrs. • Social security spending has shown a much sharper upward trend in most countries. • There are various reasons for the Wagner’s law: – Fiscal illusion: voters are unable to comprehend the full implications for taxation of expenditure rises, hence vote for high-spending governments. Gov't manipulate complexity of tax-benefit system, hiding real costs. – Interest groups, they act in their interest. Their power increased over time. – Some goods, such as healthcare, are luxury goods. – Urbanization and growth – Baumol effect: relative price of labor-intensive services increases compared to manufactured goods, because of the stronger rate of technological progress in the latter. As demand for service is (about) inelastic, their share in national output tend to rise. – Changing sufrage – Changing demographics (increasing pension burden) Public Economics 30
  • 28. Conclusion •It is clear from the facts presented here that the government plays a central role in the lives of all developed countries around the world (and not only those). •It is also clear that there is ongoing disagreement about whether that role should expand, stay the same, or contract. •The facts and arguments raised in this chapter provide a backdrop for thinking about the set of public finance issues that we explore in the remainder of this course. Public Economics 31