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GEORGIA OUTLOOK
1
COUNTY DESIGNATIONS
• Atlanta: Atlanta Regional
Counties
• Hub Counties: 8 counties with
job total of more than 65,000
or nexus to a hub county
• Rural: 140 counties
2
POPULATION GROWTH 2015 TO 2030
Source: JobsEQ
3
JOB GROWTH
Source: JobsEQ
2010-2015 2016-2026
U.S. 8.3%
GA 9.6%
Atlanta 10.4%
Hub 5.2%
Rural 3.1%
U.S. 6.5%
GA 7.6%
Atlanta 11.6%
Hub 9.4%
Rural 1.6%
4
Source: Census County Business Patterns
Atlanta +10.9%
Hub +5.9%
Rural +5.2%
2000-2010 2010-2014
Atlanta +3.8%
Hub +0.9%
Rural -1.9%
BUSINESS ESTABLISHMENT CHANGE 2000 TO 2014
5
DISTRESSED COUNTIES
U.S. 20%
GA 53%
Rank among states:
4th Most Distressed
6
PERCENT POPULATION AGE 65 OR OLDER
Source: JobsEQ
U.S. 14.9%
GA 12.8%
Atlanta 10.6%
Hub 12.9%
Rural 15.1%
U.S. 20.6%
GA 18.1%
Atlanta 15.3%
Hub 18.2%
Rural 21.5%
2015 2030
7
MILLENNIAL AND GEN Z GROWTH 2015 to 2030
Source: JobsEQ
U.S. 7.0%
GA 10.2%
Atlanta 24.6%
Hub -2.4%
Rural -1.4%
GENERATION Z
Born 1998 to 2014
MILLENNIAL
Born 1981 to 1997
U.S. 10.1%
GA 13.5%
Atlanta 20.7%
Hub 23.9%
Rural 1.2%
8
PERCENTAGE OF 3rd GRADE STUDENTS
READING PROFICIENTLY OR ABOVE
GA 35.2%
Atlanta 39.4%
Hub 29.7%
Rural 32.1%
Source: GA DOE 2016 Milestones
9
ADULTS WITHOUT A HIGH SCHOOL DEGREE 2015
Source: ACS 2015 5-Year Estimates
U.S. 13.3%
GA 14.6%
Atlanta 10.8%
Hub 14.1%
Rural 19.0%
STATE RANK: 41
10
ADULTS NOT WORKING AGES 25-64
Source: ACS 2015 5-Year Estimates
U.S. 28.2%
GA 30.8%
Atlanta 26.1%
Hub 32.9%
Rural 35.7%
STATE RANK: 40
11
Source: ACS 2015 5-Year Estimates
MEDIAN HOUSEHOLD INCOME RATIO 2015
U.S. $53,580
Georgia $49,340
Atlanta $57,207
Hub $42,306
Rural $41,525
12
POVERTY RATE 2015
Source: ACS 2015 5-Year Estimates
U.S. 15.5%
GA 18.4%
Atlanta 15.4%
Hub 21.1%
Rural 20.7%
All Ages Under 18
U.S. 21.7%
GA 26.0%
Atlanta 22.3%
Hub 30.5%
Rural 28.8%
STATE RANK: 45 STATE RANK: 43
13
UNINSURED POPULATION
2017 2023
U.S. 11.0%
GA 18.9%
Atlanta 19.2%
Hub 17.4%
Rural 19.1%
GA 27.2%
Atlanta 26.0%
Hub 26.8%
Rural 28.3%
Source: Georgia Chamber Quality Healthcare Access Study
15
OPPORTUNITY
16
RURAL PROSPERITY STRATEGIES
Source: Select Georgia
ECONOMIC ENGINES
18
1000+ Employees
AGRICULTURE
Source: UGA Center for Agribusiness & Economic Development
GEORGIA PRODUCTION 2015
NATIONAL RANKINGS FOR
GEORGIA
$74.3
BILLION
IMPACT
SUPPORTS
1 in 7
JOBS
42,000
FARMS
9.7 M
ACRES
19
DEFENSE
Source: GDEcD 2015 data
U.S. DEFENSE CONTRACT
SPENDING IN GEORGIA 2015
$6.4 BILLION
CONTRACT
SPEND
$6.2 BILLION
PAYROLL
$20 BILLION
IMPACT
129,463
JOBS
Active, Civilian, Guard
NATIONAL RANKINGS
Army
U.S. DEFENSE
SPEND #7
MILITARY
PERSONNEL #8
Air Force
Navy
Marine Corps
20
TOURISM & CREATIVE ECONOMY
Source: GDEcD 2015
TOURISM SPEND 2015
$27.5
BILLION
SPEND
$59 BILLION
IMPACT
$3 BILLION
STATE AND
LOCAL TAXES
439,000
JOBS
NATIONAL RANKINGS
INTERNATIONAL
TOURISM SPEND
#8
DOMESTIC
TOURISM
SPEND #7
U.S.FILM
PRODUCTION
#3
BEST TRIPS
2017 by National
Geographic
21
ADVANCED MANUFACTURING
$54.82
BILLION
OUTPUT
11.1%
GA GDP
6,527
FIRMS
385,700
JOBS
NATIONAL RANKINGS
PERCENT OF TOTAL
EMPLOYMENT 2016
FOOD &
BEVERAGE
GDP #5
Source: NAM, BEA 2014, Select Georgia
AUTOMOTIVE
GDP #14
TEXTILE
GDP #1
AIRCRAFT
ENGINE & PARTS
EXPORTS #2
22
LOGISTICS & TRANSPOTATION
NATIONAL RANKINGS
4th
LARGEST
PORT
12th LARGEST AIR
CARGO HUB IN
NORTH AMERICA
LARGEST RAIL
NETWORK IN
SOUTHEAST WITH
(4700 MILES)
5th LARGEST
LOGISTICS
EMPLOYER IN U.S.
Source: GDEcD, Select GA
WAREHOUSES & DISTRIBUTION CENTERS
23
HEALTHCARE
400
HOSPITALS
562,000
JOBS
11.9%
EMPLOYMENT
2025 GA SHORTAGE
Source: HRSA, JOBSEQ
1300
PHYSICIANS
6700
NURSES
PERCENT OF TOTAL
EMPLOYMENT 2016
24
Business & Civic
Organizations
Private Sector
Government
Higher
Education
Nonprofits
& Faith
Leadership
RURAL PROSPERITY
25
GEORGIA OUTLOOK
27

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Atlanta

  • 2. COUNTY DESIGNATIONS • Atlanta: Atlanta Regional Counties • Hub Counties: 8 counties with job total of more than 65,000 or nexus to a hub county • Rural: 140 counties 2
  • 3. POPULATION GROWTH 2015 TO 2030 Source: JobsEQ 3
  • 4. JOB GROWTH Source: JobsEQ 2010-2015 2016-2026 U.S. 8.3% GA 9.6% Atlanta 10.4% Hub 5.2% Rural 3.1% U.S. 6.5% GA 7.6% Atlanta 11.6% Hub 9.4% Rural 1.6% 4
  • 5. Source: Census County Business Patterns Atlanta +10.9% Hub +5.9% Rural +5.2% 2000-2010 2010-2014 Atlanta +3.8% Hub +0.9% Rural -1.9% BUSINESS ESTABLISHMENT CHANGE 2000 TO 2014 5
  • 6. DISTRESSED COUNTIES U.S. 20% GA 53% Rank among states: 4th Most Distressed 6
  • 7. PERCENT POPULATION AGE 65 OR OLDER Source: JobsEQ U.S. 14.9% GA 12.8% Atlanta 10.6% Hub 12.9% Rural 15.1% U.S. 20.6% GA 18.1% Atlanta 15.3% Hub 18.2% Rural 21.5% 2015 2030 7
  • 8. MILLENNIAL AND GEN Z GROWTH 2015 to 2030 Source: JobsEQ U.S. 7.0% GA 10.2% Atlanta 24.6% Hub -2.4% Rural -1.4% GENERATION Z Born 1998 to 2014 MILLENNIAL Born 1981 to 1997 U.S. 10.1% GA 13.5% Atlanta 20.7% Hub 23.9% Rural 1.2% 8
  • 9. PERCENTAGE OF 3rd GRADE STUDENTS READING PROFICIENTLY OR ABOVE GA 35.2% Atlanta 39.4% Hub 29.7% Rural 32.1% Source: GA DOE 2016 Milestones 9
  • 10. ADULTS WITHOUT A HIGH SCHOOL DEGREE 2015 Source: ACS 2015 5-Year Estimates U.S. 13.3% GA 14.6% Atlanta 10.8% Hub 14.1% Rural 19.0% STATE RANK: 41 10
  • 11. ADULTS NOT WORKING AGES 25-64 Source: ACS 2015 5-Year Estimates U.S. 28.2% GA 30.8% Atlanta 26.1% Hub 32.9% Rural 35.7% STATE RANK: 40 11
  • 12. Source: ACS 2015 5-Year Estimates MEDIAN HOUSEHOLD INCOME RATIO 2015 U.S. $53,580 Georgia $49,340 Atlanta $57,207 Hub $42,306 Rural $41,525 12
  • 13. POVERTY RATE 2015 Source: ACS 2015 5-Year Estimates U.S. 15.5% GA 18.4% Atlanta 15.4% Hub 21.1% Rural 20.7% All Ages Under 18 U.S. 21.7% GA 26.0% Atlanta 22.3% Hub 30.5% Rural 28.8% STATE RANK: 45 STATE RANK: 43 13
  • 14. UNINSURED POPULATION 2017 2023 U.S. 11.0% GA 18.9% Atlanta 19.2% Hub 17.4% Rural 19.1% GA 27.2% Atlanta 26.0% Hub 26.8% Rural 28.3% Source: Georgia Chamber Quality Healthcare Access Study 15
  • 17. Source: Select Georgia ECONOMIC ENGINES 18 1000+ Employees
  • 18. AGRICULTURE Source: UGA Center for Agribusiness & Economic Development GEORGIA PRODUCTION 2015 NATIONAL RANKINGS FOR GEORGIA $74.3 BILLION IMPACT SUPPORTS 1 in 7 JOBS 42,000 FARMS 9.7 M ACRES 19
  • 19. DEFENSE Source: GDEcD 2015 data U.S. DEFENSE CONTRACT SPENDING IN GEORGIA 2015 $6.4 BILLION CONTRACT SPEND $6.2 BILLION PAYROLL $20 BILLION IMPACT 129,463 JOBS Active, Civilian, Guard NATIONAL RANKINGS Army U.S. DEFENSE SPEND #7 MILITARY PERSONNEL #8 Air Force Navy Marine Corps 20
  • 20. TOURISM & CREATIVE ECONOMY Source: GDEcD 2015 TOURISM SPEND 2015 $27.5 BILLION SPEND $59 BILLION IMPACT $3 BILLION STATE AND LOCAL TAXES 439,000 JOBS NATIONAL RANKINGS INTERNATIONAL TOURISM SPEND #8 DOMESTIC TOURISM SPEND #7 U.S.FILM PRODUCTION #3 BEST TRIPS 2017 by National Geographic 21
  • 21. ADVANCED MANUFACTURING $54.82 BILLION OUTPUT 11.1% GA GDP 6,527 FIRMS 385,700 JOBS NATIONAL RANKINGS PERCENT OF TOTAL EMPLOYMENT 2016 FOOD & BEVERAGE GDP #5 Source: NAM, BEA 2014, Select Georgia AUTOMOTIVE GDP #14 TEXTILE GDP #1 AIRCRAFT ENGINE & PARTS EXPORTS #2 22
  • 22. LOGISTICS & TRANSPOTATION NATIONAL RANKINGS 4th LARGEST PORT 12th LARGEST AIR CARGO HUB IN NORTH AMERICA LARGEST RAIL NETWORK IN SOUTHEAST WITH (4700 MILES) 5th LARGEST LOGISTICS EMPLOYER IN U.S. Source: GDEcD, Select GA WAREHOUSES & DISTRIBUTION CENTERS 23
  • 23. HEALTHCARE 400 HOSPITALS 562,000 JOBS 11.9% EMPLOYMENT 2025 GA SHORTAGE Source: HRSA, JOBSEQ 1300 PHYSICIANS 6700 NURSES PERCENT OF TOTAL EMPLOYMENT 2016 24
  • 24. Business & Civic Organizations Private Sector Government Higher Education Nonprofits & Faith Leadership RURAL PROSPERITY 25

Editor's Notes

  1. Georgia will add 1.5 million people between 2015 and 2030-1MM will be in Atlanta and the remaining 500,000 will be split between hub & rural 74 Counties are projected to lose population or stay at 0 Nearly 70% of the growth will be in Atlanta’s 10 main counties, 17% in the 9 hub city counties, and only 14% in the remaining 140 counties
  2. 2010 – 2015: 73 counties lost jobs 2016-26: 87 counties are projected to lose jobs 75% of the 352,000 jobs projected to be added will be added in Atlanta while only 8% will occur in rural GA. This is an even lower share than their population growth of 15%
  3. 2000-2010: 80 Counties lost businesses 2010-2014: 110 counties either lost or didn’t gain any businesses
  4. 6 counties currently have a 25% or higher population of those 65+: Fannin, Greene, Quitman, Rabun, Towns, Union By 2030, this number will grow to 56 counties
  5. Millennial (18-34; 33-49 in 2030); Gen Z (2015 Age: 1– 17 2030 Age: 16 – 32) Note that scholars are still deciding what exactly defines Gen Z/Post-Millennials Gen Z Hub increases driven by Chatham and Clarke
  6. In 30 of Georgia’s counties (all rural), 25% or greater of adults do not possess a high school degree; Highest rate – Stewart County where nearly 40% of adults don’t have a high school degree. Poverty rate in Stewart is 38%
  7. 22 counties have 45% or higher population of adults ages 25-64 not working.
  8. 68 counties make less than 75% of the state median house hold income. 30 counties make 100% or more of the state median income; Over a third are in metro Atlanta Highest ratio – Forsyth with 1.8 ratio Lowest – Clay County with a median income of $20,438, which is 41% of the state income
  9. 59 of Georgia’s Counties have greater than 25% poverty; Lowest Poverty Rate – Forsyth and Oconee (0.07); Highest Poverty Rate – Calhoun and Clay – 42% of the residents are below the official poverty threshold Story worse when we look at children living in poverty. 112 of our counties have 25% or HIGHER of children living in poverty. Highest rate is Stewart where 525 out of 850 kids are in poverty. Terrell has 1344 of its 2257 kids in poverty – 60%
  10. 21 counties currently have greater than 25% uninsured If no healthcare reform is passed and status quo is maintained, the number of counties with 25% or greater uninsured will skyrocket to 131 counties Rank among top 5 for highest uninsured rates
  11. Job Creation Small Business – Incentives, Maker Spaces, Networking, Large Business Access Economic Engines – Military, Hospitals, Forestry, Logistics Business Climate – Incentives, Regulations, Permitting, Licensing Tourism – Hunting & Fishing, Ag Tourism, Festivals, Film/Music/TV Redevelopment – Downtown, Brownfields, Manufacturing/Distribution Quality of Life Talent Development – Literacy, Life Skills, Rural Values, Workforce Re-entry Housing & Poverty – Affordable, Sr. Living, Training Infrastructure – Broadband, Transportation, Water/Sewer Healthcare – Local & Regional Access, Doctors, Nurses Amenities – Outdoors, downtown, nightlife, recreation, churches
  12. Georgia is blessed with a climate that allows for tremendous opportunities for farmers. Virtually any crop or animal can be grown successfully somewhere in the state. 88% of farms are considered to be small business in terms of annual sales
  13. Lowndes ranks 13th for visitor spending with $282 MM spent in the county in 2015. Spending has increased from 220 in 2009 to 282 in 2015 2600 people are employed by the tourism industry in Lowndes IMPACT OF VISITOR SPENDING In 2015, total spending generated by domestic travelers in Georgia rose 3.5 percent to $24.5 billion, while international traveler spending increased 2.4 percent to $3.0 billion for a total spend of $27.5. The economic impact totaled $59 BILL Top spending occurred in the Atlanta and Hub counties - Largest spend by county: Fulton ($8.5B), Cobb ($1.6B); Chatham ($1.5B); Clayton ($1.4 B); DeKalb ($1.3B); Gwinnett ($1.2B) Tourism supports jobs across numerous industry sectors, with nearly 439,000 jobs directly or indirectly supported by tourism spending, our industry is responsible for an estimated 10.3% of all jobs or 1 in 10 of all jobs in Georgia. The industry generates employment in multiple industries including food service, lodging, entertainment & recreation, and public transportation. Spending$3 billion in state and local tax revenues in 2015. Each household in Georgia would need to be taxed an additional $843 per-year to replace the tourism taxes received by state and local governments in 2015. GA Ranks 7th most visited state by domestic travelers An estimated 102.4 million domestic visitors came to the Peach State in 2015, a 3.7% increase over 2014. Since 2012, nearly 14.76 million additional domestic travelers have visited Georgia Georgia leisure travel was up 3.3% for the year, while business travel grew at a slightly stronger 4.8% An estimated 75% were traveling for leisure, while 25% were for business across the state. Top domestic leisure markets to Georgia in 2015 were: Georgia, Florida, Alabama, South Carolina, North Carolina, Tennessee, Indiana, Ohio, New York, and Virginia. GA Ranks 13th most visited state by international travelers 998,000 visitors from overseas in 2015
  14. GEORGIA WAREHOUSING & DISTRIBUTION HIGHLIGHTS • Four of the top five global public refrigerated warehousing companies have locations in Georgia • 90 percent of the world’s top third-party logistics providers (3PLs) operate in Georgia • 75+ cold chain facilities in Georgia • 14+ million square feet of cold store space • Home to nearly 800 million square feet of warehouse distribution space
  15. Business & Civic Associations – Chambers, Rotary, Diversity Government – Local (City, County, Schools, Authorities), State, Federal Private Sector – Small Business, Media, Regional Economic Engines, Utilities Non-Profit – Goodwill, Churches, Foundations
  16. Business & Civic Associations – Chambers, Rotary, Diversity Government – Local (City, County, Schools, Authorities), State, Federal Private Sector – Small Business, Media, Regional Economic Engines, Utilities Non-Profit – Goodwill, Churches, Foundations