Deliberate Discovery and the Myth of Certainty
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How do we replace upfront analysis and contracts that simply lock in our ignorance? This talk covers deliberate discovery and the tools that allow us to embrace uncertainty in complex projects.
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Deliberate Discovery and the Myth of Certainty
- 1. Deliberate Discovery and the myth of Certainty Cara Turner South Africa Agile Coach | User Group Chairman | Rigorous Tinkerer
- 2. “Once upon a time… There was a software development project in which everything that would happen was Known and Certain. And so the project began. And it happened that the world stood still while the application was being built, so that it was delivered exactly as it had been envisaged, and was perfect. And everyone rejoiced for they were able to work more efficiently than ever before. (But exactly as had been known they would, with no other impact on the world around them.) ” Our Myth
- 3. What’s the Story? the dramatic arc
- 4. What’s the Story? the dramatic arc the wrong story (we know this) no
- 5. Our thinking is stuck the devil we know
- 6. The cost of change shapes our discovery process
- 7. The cost of change … but it’s changed, too shapes our discovery process http://www.agilemodeling.com/essays/costOfChange.htm
- 8. All our creativity goes…
- 9. All our creativity goes… … into a poorly imagined future
- 10. … and gets fixed… …in our contract model
- 11. And then we… … the most dangerous word in software … “Hope”
- 13. What’s the Story? Still uncertain + locked into a bad script
- 14. “We are uncovering… better ways of developing software by doing it and helping others do it.” - The Agile Manifesto
- 15. Learning is what we do and the world keeps changing Dan North
- 16. The world keeps changing Delay decisions Prioritize Options Know the Cost and Benefit “Never commit early unless you know why” Real Options
- 18. Switch! when effort exceeds return
- 19. Keep switching!
- 20. What we can start with Where we think we want to be What kind of choices we need to make
- 21. What do we need to know? which problem we’re tackling how we’ll make decisions what’s uncertain what we can know
- 22. (Not just) Vision impact mapping – Gojko Adzic Why Who How What
- 23. The gist of the thing story mapping – Jeff Paton
- 24. Making sense of what we know Obvious ComplicatedComplex Chaotic Disorder Cynefin framework – Dave Snowden
- 25. Complex: Experiments inspect & adapt feedback loop
- 27. How we’ll discover make sense experiment invent
- 28. Pay to Learn Early - Alistair Cockburn
- 29. Focused Discovery Risks DependenciesAssumptions Unknowns What do we need to prove early?
- 30. How we’ll Decide Impacts Options
- 33. What’s the Story? The Grand Adventure
- 34. Embrace Uncertainty And the journey of discovering, deliberately
- 35. Cara Turner Cape Town, South Africa Get in Touch projectcodeX.co sugsa.org.za twitter: @cara_faye facilitatingagility.com slideshare.net/carafaye “Uncertainty is the only certainty there is, and knowing how to live with insecurity is the only security.” - John Allen Paulos
Editor's Notes
- why are we stuck with this story?
- why are we stuck with this story?
- Agile fits because it’s designed for uncertainty. And fortunately there are more people who are uncovering better ways of developing software
- Last Responsible Moment ~ Due Date – Lead Time
- Creativity is also a great tool for discovering Unknown Knowns
- Exercise choice confidently Maximise the evolutionary potential of the present (Dave Snowden)