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Learning Objectives
• To introduce concepts related to
disease transmission using the
epidemiologic approach to
communicable diseases as a model.
• To define important terms related to
the occurrence of disease and its
Level in a population.
The epidemiologic triad – Disease
Transmission requirements
• Agent
• Reservoir for
agent
• Portal of exit
• Suitable mode
of
transmission
• Portal of entry
• Susceptible
host
Chain of Transmission Mode
5
Eyes
Nose
Mouth
Skin
Urinary
tract
Genital
tract
Body surfaces as sites of microbial infection and shedding
Infections can be acquired through more than one route
The same routes also serve as points of entry
for noninfectious disease-causing agents
Modes of Spread
Direct Transmission
 Contact
Ensures certainty
 Larger dose,
 Less chances of organism dying outside human host
 Airborne
 Droplet (3-5 microns), Distance 1-2 feet
 Droplet Nuclei (< 3 microns) Distance 3-5 feet
 Infected dust
 Transplacental - 7
A Classic Picture showing Droplet Dispersal
after a Sneeze
1. Every Organism has
unique way for its
spread
2. The potential of Spread
and producing
outbreaks depends on
1. its rate of growth
2. the route of
transmission
from one person
to another
Indirect
1. Through vehicles
Water
Food
Milk
Blood and plasma
Organs
 Cases confined to exposed population
 Large Geographic spread
 Cases start disappearing with vehicle control
 Common source is traceable
 The Potential to spread & produce outbreak
depends on characteristics of the organism &
its route of transmission 9
1. Single Exposure
2. Multiple Exposure
3. Continuous Exposure
2. Through Vectors
Mechanical – Housefly
Biological
Propogative (Multiply numbers)
e.g. Microfilaria in mosquito
Cyclo- developmental (Change in form)
e.g. Malarial parasite in mosquito
Cyclo- propogative (change in form &
number too)
e.g. Plague bacilli in Rats
10
Herd Immunity
• Reduced probability of an individual becoming
infected when it is part of a vaccinated population.
• Individuals who are immune to a disease act as a
barrier in the spread of disease.
• The proportion of immune individuals in a
population above which a disease may no longer
persist is the herd immunity threshold.
• This concept is important in disease elimination or
eradication programs e.g. elimination can be
achieved without necessarily vaccinating the
entire population.
Herd Immunity
For Herd Immunity
Necessary conditions:
–Disease agent must be restricted to a
single host species within which
transmission occurs
–Transmission must be direct from one
member of the host species to another
(No other Reservoir)
–Infections must induce solid immunity
13
Herd Immunity
• Works when:
–Probability of an infected person
encountering every other individual in the
population is the same (random mixing)
• Does NOT work when:
–An infected person interacts only with
people who are susceptible
14
Types of Herd Immunity
1. Innate (Inherent) Herd Immunity:
Genetically determined physiological changes
with respect to antibody production or other
defense mechanism in a herd.
2. Acquired Herd Immunity:
where a sufficient number of its members
have actually been exposed naturally or
artificially to infectious agents during their
lifespan.
Level of Disease
• Sporadic - a disease that occurs infrequently and
irregularly.
• Endemic - the habitual presence of a disease
within a given geographic area
• Hyper endemic - to persistent, high levels of
disease occurrence.
• Epidemic - the occurrence in a community or
region of a group of illnesses of similar nature,
clearly in excess of normal expectancy
Level of Disease Continued
• Outbreak carries the same definition of epidemic,
but is often used for a more limited geographic
area.
• Cluster refers to an aggregation of cases grouped
in place and time that are suspected to be greater
than the number expected, even though the
expected number may not be known.
• Pandemic refers to an epidemic that has spread
over several countries or continents, usually
affecting a large number of people
Endemic, Epidemic, and Pandemic
Level of Disease
Epidemic
• A recent increase in amount or virulence of
the agent,
• The recent introduction of the agent into a
setting where it has not been before (All
Susceptible),
• An enhanced mode of transmission,
• A change in the susceptibility of the host
• Factors that increase host exposure or involve
introduction through new portals of entry.
Exercise
• For each of the following situations, identify whether it reflects:
A. Sporadic disease
B. Endemic disease
C. Hyper-endemic disease
D. Pandemic disease
E. Epidemic disease
• ____ 22 cases of legionellosis occurred within 3 weeks among residents of
a particular neighborhood (usual occurrence is 0 or 1 per year)
• ____ Average annual incidence was 364 cases of pulmonary tuberculosis
per 100,000 population in one area, compared with national average of
134 cases per 100,000 population
• ____ Over 20 million people worldwide died from influenza in 1918–1919
• ____ Single case of histoplasmosis was diagnosed in a community
• ____ About 60 cases of gonorrhea are usually reported in this region per
week, slightly less than the national average
Types Of Epidemic
As per their manner of spread through :
1. Common-source
a) Point
b) Continuous
c) Intermittent
2. Propagated
3. Mixed
4. Other
23
Common Source
Cases occur suddenly after minimum incubation time
All cases occur within one incubation period
Outbreak stops unless secondary spread
Curves have steep upslope, more gradual down slope
Common Point Source Transmission
Common Point Source Transmission
IP 15-50 Days (Av. 30 Days)
Continuous common source epidemics –
Common Source - Broad Street pump.
Cholera has an incubation period of 1-3 days
26
• In this case, there are several peaks, and the
incubation period cannot be identified.
Intermittent Exposure
Propagated (or progressive source) epidemic
Propagated Outbreaks
28
Daytime (10:30 am) photographs of the Great Smog’s toxic pollution
In December 1952, from 6 to 9th Dec. the fog was so thick
that at times, people could not see their own hands and feet.
More than 4,000 deaths were attributed to the fog
led to :-
legislation,
including the
Clean Air Acts
of 1956 and
1968
Disease Outbreaks
• If a food becomes contaminated with a
microorganism and an outbreak occurs in the
group of people who have eaten the food, it is
called a common-vehicle exposure; it can be -
– Single Exposure or
– Multiple Exposure or
– Periodic / intermittent or
– Continuous exposure
31
Point Source Outbreaks
• All exposed at one time
• Cases occur suddenly after minimum
incubation time
• All cases occur within one incubation
period
• Outbreak stops unless secondary spread
• Curves have steep upslope, more gradual
down slope
32
• This is the most common form of transmission in
food-borne disease, in which a large population is
exposed for a short period of time.
Point Source Transmission
33
Continuous Common Source
• May begin suddenly or gradually
• Cases do not disappear because of
secondary exposure
• Curves have gradual or steep
upslope, plateau trickling down
slope, and may repeat
34
• In this case, there are several peaks, and the
incubation period cannot be identified.
Continuing Common Source or
Intermittent Exposure
35

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The dynamics of disease transmission Dr Amita Kashyap

  • 1. Learning Objectives • To introduce concepts related to disease transmission using the epidemiologic approach to communicable diseases as a model. • To define important terms related to the occurrence of disease and its Level in a population.
  • 2. The epidemiologic triad – Disease Transmission requirements • Agent • Reservoir for agent • Portal of exit • Suitable mode of transmission • Portal of entry • Susceptible host
  • 3. Chain of Transmission Mode 5 Eyes Nose Mouth Skin Urinary tract Genital tract
  • 4. Body surfaces as sites of microbial infection and shedding Infections can be acquired through more than one route The same routes also serve as points of entry for noninfectious disease-causing agents
  • 5. Modes of Spread Direct Transmission  Contact Ensures certainty  Larger dose,  Less chances of organism dying outside human host  Airborne  Droplet (3-5 microns), Distance 1-2 feet  Droplet Nuclei (< 3 microns) Distance 3-5 feet  Infected dust  Transplacental - 7
  • 6. A Classic Picture showing Droplet Dispersal after a Sneeze 1. Every Organism has unique way for its spread 2. The potential of Spread and producing outbreaks depends on 1. its rate of growth 2. the route of transmission from one person to another
  • 7. Indirect 1. Through vehicles Water Food Milk Blood and plasma Organs  Cases confined to exposed population  Large Geographic spread  Cases start disappearing with vehicle control  Common source is traceable  The Potential to spread & produce outbreak depends on characteristics of the organism & its route of transmission 9 1. Single Exposure 2. Multiple Exposure 3. Continuous Exposure
  • 8. 2. Through Vectors Mechanical – Housefly Biological Propogative (Multiply numbers) e.g. Microfilaria in mosquito Cyclo- developmental (Change in form) e.g. Malarial parasite in mosquito Cyclo- propogative (change in form & number too) e.g. Plague bacilli in Rats 10
  • 9. Herd Immunity • Reduced probability of an individual becoming infected when it is part of a vaccinated population. • Individuals who are immune to a disease act as a barrier in the spread of disease. • The proportion of immune individuals in a population above which a disease may no longer persist is the herd immunity threshold. • This concept is important in disease elimination or eradication programs e.g. elimination can be achieved without necessarily vaccinating the entire population.
  • 11. For Herd Immunity Necessary conditions: –Disease agent must be restricted to a single host species within which transmission occurs –Transmission must be direct from one member of the host species to another (No other Reservoir) –Infections must induce solid immunity 13
  • 12. Herd Immunity • Works when: –Probability of an infected person encountering every other individual in the population is the same (random mixing) • Does NOT work when: –An infected person interacts only with people who are susceptible 14
  • 13. Types of Herd Immunity 1. Innate (Inherent) Herd Immunity: Genetically determined physiological changes with respect to antibody production or other defense mechanism in a herd. 2. Acquired Herd Immunity: where a sufficient number of its members have actually been exposed naturally or artificially to infectious agents during their lifespan.
  • 14. Level of Disease • Sporadic - a disease that occurs infrequently and irregularly. • Endemic - the habitual presence of a disease within a given geographic area • Hyper endemic - to persistent, high levels of disease occurrence. • Epidemic - the occurrence in a community or region of a group of illnesses of similar nature, clearly in excess of normal expectancy
  • 15. Level of Disease Continued • Outbreak carries the same definition of epidemic, but is often used for a more limited geographic area. • Cluster refers to an aggregation of cases grouped in place and time that are suspected to be greater than the number expected, even though the expected number may not be known. • Pandemic refers to an epidemic that has spread over several countries or continents, usually affecting a large number of people
  • 18. Epidemic • A recent increase in amount or virulence of the agent, • The recent introduction of the agent into a setting where it has not been before (All Susceptible), • An enhanced mode of transmission, • A change in the susceptibility of the host • Factors that increase host exposure or involve introduction through new portals of entry.
  • 19. Exercise • For each of the following situations, identify whether it reflects: A. Sporadic disease B. Endemic disease C. Hyper-endemic disease D. Pandemic disease E. Epidemic disease • ____ 22 cases of legionellosis occurred within 3 weeks among residents of a particular neighborhood (usual occurrence is 0 or 1 per year) • ____ Average annual incidence was 364 cases of pulmonary tuberculosis per 100,000 population in one area, compared with national average of 134 cases per 100,000 population • ____ Over 20 million people worldwide died from influenza in 1918–1919 • ____ Single case of histoplasmosis was diagnosed in a community • ____ About 60 cases of gonorrhea are usually reported in this region per week, slightly less than the national average
  • 20. Types Of Epidemic As per their manner of spread through : 1. Common-source a) Point b) Continuous c) Intermittent 2. Propagated 3. Mixed 4. Other
  • 21. 23 Common Source Cases occur suddenly after minimum incubation time All cases occur within one incubation period Outbreak stops unless secondary spread Curves have steep upslope, more gradual down slope Common Point Source Transmission
  • 22. Common Point Source Transmission IP 15-50 Days (Av. 30 Days)
  • 23. Continuous common source epidemics – Common Source - Broad Street pump. Cholera has an incubation period of 1-3 days
  • 24. 26 • In this case, there are several peaks, and the incubation period cannot be identified. Intermittent Exposure
  • 25. Propagated (or progressive source) epidemic
  • 27. Daytime (10:30 am) photographs of the Great Smog’s toxic pollution In December 1952, from 6 to 9th Dec. the fog was so thick that at times, people could not see their own hands and feet. More than 4,000 deaths were attributed to the fog led to :- legislation, including the Clean Air Acts of 1956 and 1968
  • 28. Disease Outbreaks • If a food becomes contaminated with a microorganism and an outbreak occurs in the group of people who have eaten the food, it is called a common-vehicle exposure; it can be - – Single Exposure or – Multiple Exposure or – Periodic / intermittent or – Continuous exposure
  • 29. 31 Point Source Outbreaks • All exposed at one time • Cases occur suddenly after minimum incubation time • All cases occur within one incubation period • Outbreak stops unless secondary spread • Curves have steep upslope, more gradual down slope
  • 30. 32 • This is the most common form of transmission in food-borne disease, in which a large population is exposed for a short period of time. Point Source Transmission
  • 31. 33 Continuous Common Source • May begin suddenly or gradually • Cases do not disappear because of secondary exposure • Curves have gradual or steep upslope, plateau trickling down slope, and may repeat
  • 32. 34 • In this case, there are several peaks, and the incubation period cannot be identified. Continuing Common Source or Intermittent Exposure
  • 33. 35