The document provides daily and weekly price levels for various commodities traded on the MCX and NCDEX exchanges in India. It also includes international and domestic news related to commodity price movements. Key points from the document include:
- Gold prices on MCX fell by Rs. 60 due to weak global cues and easing domestic demand from jewelers. Imports in the first 8 months of 2015 were 40% higher than the same period last year.
- Nickel and zinc prices on MCX fell slightly due to weakness in base metals on the LME following weak US manufacturing data. Aluminum prices declined 1.45% due to trimming of positions and sluggish domestic demand.
- Crude
4. MCX - WEEKLY NEWS LETTERS
INTERNATIONAL NEWS
✍ GOLD
Snapping three-day rising streak, gold prices retreated by Rs 60 to Rs 27,000 at the bullion
market on wednesday on weak global cues and easing demand from jewellers at prevailing
levels.Silver too turned weak and fell by Rs 150 to Rs 35,000 per kg on reduced off take by
industrial units and coin makers.
Traders said besides fall in demand from jewelers and retailers at existing levels, a weak global
trend as Asian stocks extended a global rout on concern over China's slowdown and its impact
on the world economy, mainly led to decline in gold prices.Globally, gold declined 0.2 per cent
to $1,138.35 an ounce and silver by 0.5 per cent to $14.54 an ounce in Singapore.
In the national capital, gold of 99.9 and 99.5 per cent purity fell by Rs 60 each to Rs 27,000 and
Rs 26,850 per 10 grams, respectively. The precious metal had gained Rs 410 in last three
days.Sovereign, followed suit and shed Rs 100 at Rs 22,400 per piece of eight gram.
Tracking gold, silver ready declined by Rs 150 to Rs 35,000 per kg and weekly-based delivery
by Rs 80 to Rs 34,465 per kg.On the other hand, silver coins continued to be traded at last level
of Rs 51,000 for buying and Rs 52,000 for selling of 100 pieces.
Gold imports in the first eight months of the calendar year are estimated to be 40 per cent
higher at 587 tonnes.Imports in August remained elevated, even as the yellow metal prices
rebounded from multi-year lows. By December 2015, the total imports will touch 1000 tonnes.
Import bill for the first eight months is estimated at $23 billion, up 42 per cent
year-on-year.Imports in August are estimated at 85-100 tonnes compared to 67 tonnes in
August 2014, a rise of around 50 per cent. In this July, 97 tonnes of gold were imported. If the
final figure for August comes near to 100 tonnes as estimated, it will be perhaps highest August
import. In August 2011, gold imports had touched 91.8 tonnes.
Trade sources said lower prices since the last week of July generated sudden demand for gold.
Gold was trading below $1,100 per ounce since the last week of July. In Mumbai also, gold
prices fell to around Rs 25,000 per 10g in the same period.Traders also placed higher orders a
few days before the announcement of fortnightly revision of tariff value for gold.
Tariff value is that price on which import duty is to be paid and this value is revised every
fortnight in middle and end of the month as part of routine exercise.
From mid August, tariff value has increased from $354 per 10g to $363 per 10g. Tariff value
5. for certain commodities such as edible oil, precious metals, areca nuts, brass scrap and poppy
seeds is revised every fortnight. Since tariff value is revised on average price of the commodity
and in the first half of August, prices suddenly rebounded. Traders calculated tariff value and
found an arbitrage if imported gold arrives a day before the new value comes into effect, there
was marginal duty benefit.
From September, the tariff for gold has been further revised upwards to $369, considering weak
rupee and rise in gold prices. While the increase in tariff value was not much, the difference
was used to increase margins in a rising gold market.Rise in August gold imports would also
mean that total imports in the first five months of the current financial year has risen 19 per
cent to 370 tonnes. This may not be a cause of concern yet as prices are lower compared to the
last year and lower crude prices are keeping the current account deficit in check. But as gold
imports are usually higher in the last quarter, total imports this fiscal may cross 1,000 tonne.
✍ NICKEL
Nickel prices were up 0.72 per cent to Rs 655.50 per kg in futures trade on Wednesday as
speculators widened positions, amid pickup in demand from alloy-makers at domestic spot
markets.However, slide in base metals at the London Metal Exchange (LME) after weak US
manufacturing data added to signs that global growth may be slowing, limited gains.
At the Multi Commodity Exchange, nickel for delivery in September moved up Rs 4.70, or
0.72 per cent to Rs 655.50 per kg in a business turnover of 987 lots.Similarly, the metal for
delivery in October contracts edged up Rs 4.65, or 0.71 per cent to Rs 662.55 per kg in 37 lots.
Rise in nickel prices in futures trade to widening of positions by traders, driven by a firming
trend at the spot markets on pickup in demand from consuming industries, especially
alloy-makers.
✍ ZINC
Zinc moved down 0.37% to Rs 120.10 per kg in futures market on Wednesday as speculators
reduced their positions, in tandem with a weak global trend.At Multi Commodity Exchange,
zinc for delivery in current month dropped 45 paise, or 0.37%, to Rs 120.10 per kg in a
business turnover of 326 lots.
Metal for delivery in October traded lower by a similar margin at Rs 120.75 per kg in a
business turnover of one lot.Weakness in copper and other base metals at the London Metal
Exchange (LME) after weak US manufacturing data added to signs that global growth may be
slowing, hurting demand, mainly influenced zinc prices in futures trade.
✍ ALUMINIUM
Aluminium prices were down 1.45% to Rs 105.60 per kg in futures trading on Tuesday after
speculators trimmed positions amid a weak trend overseas and sluggish demand from
6. consuming industries in the spot market.At the Multi Commodity Exchange, aluminum for
delivery in September shed Rs 1.55, or 1.45% to Rs 105.60 per kg in business turnover of 597
lots.
On similar lines, metal for delivery in October was down by Rs 1.15, or 1.07%, to Rs 106.75
per kg with a volume of 55 lots.Off-loading of positions by speculators, tracking a weak trend
at the London Metal Exchange (LME) after the official purchasing managers index for
manufacturing in China showed its worst reading since August 2012, cementing a broader
picture of falling demand in China, weighed on aluminum prices at futures trade.
✍ CRUDE OIL
Oil prices rose on Thursday as an equity market rally offset a surprise increase in US oil
inventory levels and a firm dollar.Range bound crude got a boost after the European Central
Bank pledged to keep monetary policy loose and said it was ready to take further policy action
if needed.
A respite from bearish economic news in China, where markets are closed for public holidays
for the rest of the week, have helped oil prices stabilize after weeks of huge swings.Brent was
up $1.50 at $52 a barrel by 1421 GMT, after rising 94 cents in the previous session.
US crude rose $1.70 to $47.95 a barrel, up from the day's low of $45.65 and after settling 84
cents higher on Wednesday.This seems to be driven largely by hopes of further intervention by
central banks,Short term, this is bullish for crude, but that optimism could fade quickly as
investors are reminded of the fundamentals.Over the past two weeks, US crude has see-sawed,
climbing 27.5 per cent over three trading sessions to Monday's close - its biggest such gain
since August 1990 - after plunging to a 6-1/2-year low of $37.75 a barrel early last week.
Brent has been similarly erratic, gaining 28 percent over the last week in August before dipping
back to as low as $47.74 a barrel on Wednesday.
Data from the US Energy Information Administration on Wednesday showed that US crude
stocks increased by 4.7 million barrels in the week to August 28, to 455.4 million, the biggest
one-week rise since April.US payroll data on Friday could also impact the markets, as traders
are on the lookout for any economic signals that could influence equities and demand for oil.
7. ✍ NCDEX - WEEKLY NEWS LETTERS
✍ CHANA
Chana fell 0.53% to Rs 4,855 per quintal in futures trade on wednesday as participants reduced
exposure, triggered by ample supplies from producing belts at the spot market against easing
demand.At the National Commodity and Derivative Exchange, chana for delivery in October
dropped by Rs 26, or 0.53% to Rs 4,855 per quintal with an open interest of 1,57,380 lots.
Likewise, the commodity for delivery in September shed Rs 7, or 0.15% at Rs 4,801 per quintal
in 16,130 lots.Offloading of positions by speculators amid higher supplies from producing
region against fall in demand at spot market, mainly pulled down chana prices in futures trade.
✍ SOYABEAN
Export of soybean meal during August, 2015 was just 769 tons as compared to 2,778 tons in
August, 2014 showing a decrease of 72.33 per cent over the same period of last year. On a
financial year basis, the export during April 2015 to August 2015 is 35,858 tons as compared to
96,201 tons in the same period of previous year showing a decrease of 62.73 per cent.
During current Oil year, (October 2014 - September 2015), total exports during October 2014
to August, 2015 is 5,85,485 tons as against 20,60,782 tons last year, showing a decrease by
71.59 per cent.
✍ CASTORSEED
Castor seed futures traded higher on NCDEX due to rising demand from consuming industries
at the spot markets. Further, tight supplies from the major producing belts also supported castor
seed prices’ uptrend.
The contract for September delivery was trading at Rs 4268.00/Quintal, up by 0.71% or Rs
30.00 from its previous closing of Rs 4238.00. The open interest of the contract stood at
123180 lots.
The contract for October delivery was trading at Rs 4335.00/Quintal, up by 0.6% or Rs 26.00
from its previous closing of Rs 4309.00. The open interest of the contract stood at 123810 lots
on NCDEX.
✍ JEERA
Jeera prices closed higher by 0.88 per cent on Wednesday at the National Commodity &
Derivatives Exchange Limited (NCDEX) as the investors increased their holdings in the
commodity in the midst limited arrivals from growing regions. At the NCDEX, jeera futures for
September 2015 contract closed at Rs. 16,135 per quintal, up by 0.88 per cent, after opening at
Rs. 15,950 against the previous closing price of Rs. 15,995. It touched the intraday high of Rs.
8. 16,170. Sentiment improved further as a result of reduced domestic supplies in the physical
markets and some export esquire.
✍ RM SEED
Mustard Seed prices closed lower by 0.47 per cent on Wednesday at the National Commodity
& Derivatives Exchange Limited (NCDEX) as a result of the profit booking by the traders on
account of the weak crushing and export demand of mustard meal. At the NCDEX, Mustard
Seed futures for September 2015 contract closed at Rs. 4,239 per quintal, down by 0.47 per
cent, after opening at Rs. 4,250 against the previous closing price of Rs. 4,259. It touched the
intra-day low of Rs. 4,235. Sentiment weakened further due to the sluggish export demand as a
result of the weak demand for the commodity.
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