1. Newsletter February 2023
Vietnam Cotton and Spinning Association
Collected & Edited: Information and Communication Dept.
February 2023
M
MO
ONTHL
NTHLY
Y R
RE
EP
PO
ORT
RT
Cotton and Yarn Statistic
--- For internal circulation only ---
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REMARKABLE INFORMATION
É In 2023, the import price of cotton will continue to decrease
É The volume of imported raw fiber continues to decrease in the first months of 2023
É Import price of yarn increased slightly
É Export of textile fibers and yarns could not recover in the first quarter of 2023
É Vietnam wants textile, garment, footwear exports to hit $80 bn by 2025
É Cotton prices: be careful of what you wish for!
É Exhausted Pakistani exchange reserves hurt cotton textile feedstock import
É Brazil’s cotton exports to China jump many folds; not linked to US ban
É Global denim markets continues to stride ahead post-pandemic as demand grows
É Clothing companies look to reduce China manufacturing exposure
NATIONAL NEWS
INTERNATIONAL NEWS
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SPECIALIZED NEWS
Exhausted Pakistani exchange reserves
hurt cotton textile feedstock import
I
n January its CPI rose by 27.55%
year-on-year and its foreign
exchange reserve was nearly
exhausted. Pakistan is one of the
key manufacturing base of textile
and apparel, while textile is China’s
pillar industry, contributing around
8% of GDP. Pakistan used cotton
as the main feedstock for textile
and relied on imported feedstock
since it lacked chemical feedstock
at home, and the exhausted
exchange reserve therefore had
impact on its textile industry. In
2021 Pakistan imported around
900kt cotton, largely from US,
India and Brazil, 150kt PSF and
210kt VSF largely from China.
Pakistan’s imported volume of
three major feedstock in recent
years are showed in chart below:
Pakistan is a well-known
producer for global cotton. It
produced1310ktcottonin2021/22
season and the figure dropped
to 850kt in 2022/23 season,
suggesting a shortage of cotton
supply and a growing demand
for imported cotton. However, the
economic crisis in Pakistan already
made it difficult for imports of food
and energy resources, let alone
textile feedstock. So will orders
flow to other places?
Pakistan’s textile industry was
well developed and competitive in
global cotton market. In 2022 its
textile and apparel export reached
$18.66billion, up 7.5%. Knitwear,
garments, bedclothes, cotton
yarn fabric and towels accounted
for 90% of Pakistan’s textile and
apparel export. As can be seen
from its export structure, cotton
products, including bedclothes,
towels, cotton yarn fabric and
some knitwear and garments,
were competitive in global market.
Pakistan’s textile and apparel were
mainly sold to European market
such as US (30%), UK (10%), as
well as Germany, Netherlands,
Spain, Italy, Belgium and France
(all together accounted for 30%).
On Feb 11, Ministry of foreign affairs of CPC warned Chinese citizens to be
careful to go to Pakistan given its recent domestic security situation. Pakistan was in
a terrible situation of economic crisis and had to seek help from IMF.
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Cotton prices: be careful of what you wish for!
L
ocally, the price effect has
so far not seemed to have
impacted export earnings,
which have declined despite
fetching higher unit prices during
6MFY23 over the corresponding
period last year. Over the following
months, volume exported could
witness an improvement as prices
continue to correct downwards;
however, it is hard to comment
whether the net revenue impact
of higher demand at weaker prices
would be positive or not.
Either way, the new normal
in world cotton prices has had a
very stark impact on global fiber
demand. According to USDA,
world cotton consumption is
now projected at a 9-year low
(excluding pandemic year), and at
10 percent lower than peak cotton
consumption of 123 million bales
(of 217kg), first achieved in 2007,
and reached only twice since. In
fact, over the past decade, world
cotton demand has averaged at
115 million bales, even as prices in
the international market averaged
at $1.80 per kg, and never above
$2.25 per kg.
The turbulence in Pakistan
may drive its European clients
to exporters with lower cost,
such as Bangladesh, India and
ASEAN regions, and even China.
China imported more than
300kt Pakistani cotton yarn in
2017-2019, and 260kt-280kt in
2020-2021.
Last year the imported volume
shrank to around 140kt due to
long-term high foreign offers.
Pakistan’s economic crisis will
undoubtedly influence China’s
cotton yarn import and requires
close attention.
Source: CCF Group
After three years of severe
volatility, it appears that world
cotton prices have finally begun
to find some semblance of
stability. In the two years since
the global pandemic, world prices
hit a 12-year low of $1.40 per kg,
and an 11-year high of $3.61 per
kg, finally settling in the vicinity
of $2.25 per kg in recent months.
But the hard-won stability hasn’t
come cheap, as the current price
is trading at 25 percent premium
over pre-Covid LT average.
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Demand slowdown is already
reflected in the stock build up
globally, with ending stock to use
ratio for the current marketing
year projected at its highest since
2014 (minus pandemic year
2020). Ideally, a strong enough
slowdown in demand should
push world prices to ease further.
Unfortunately that may be overly
simplistic assumption.
The assumption behind global
inventory buildup misses one
key element of the full picture:
China. The world’s largest cotton
producer is single-handedly
responsible for at least one-
quarter of global output, and
one-third of global consumption.
However, a ban by USA on textile
products made from cotton
originating from Xinjiang region of
China (that came into effect last
year) has basically cut off a sizable
chunk of raw material from global
supply chain.
Until recently, the region was
responsible for almost 90 percent
of Chinese cotton production,
feeding into the global value
chain of textile and garments
manufacturing that produced
goods with USA as their ultimate
destination. The Xinjiang ban has
effectively forced textiles and
garments exporting countries
such as Viet Nam, Bangladesh,
Turkey, and Pakistan to look for
raw material (either cotton fiber
or yarn and cloth) that originates
from non-Chinese origins. And
although Chinese import of
cotton has shrunk as a result,
the reduction isn’t nearly enough
to compensate for the forgone
raw material supply from China.
As a result, the tradable surplus
of cotton (or other intermediate
products such as yarn or cloth) in
the global market has diminished,
keeping prices at an elevated
level. Meanwhile, high global
energy prices – both Brent and gas
– have ensured that global PET
prices remain prohibitively high,
in turn elevating prices of cotton
substitutes such as polyester or
synthetic fibers.
Given that the supply side
shocks to world cotton market
have endured even as the impact
of pandemic has faded globally, it
may be a while before world cotton
prices return to pre-Covid territory.
At least not without a hard-hitting
global recession of levels similar
to GFC 2008-09. Those hoping
for lower cotton prices should be
careful of what they wish for!
Source: Business Recorder
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Global DENIM markets continues to stride ahead
post-pandemic as demand grows
I
t is expected by 2023, the size of
the market for denim jeans fabrics
will reach a stupendous 4,541
million meters as demand sores
globally. In the five years between
2018-23 the market is expanding
at 4.89 per cent annually from
3,576 million meters in 2018.
Denim is an apparel segment that
shows its true potential when it
comes to export diversification
with other apparel.
Analysts say, Christmas and
New Year holiday season has seen
a major revival of fashion resilience
in the US markets, which will
improve the entire global denim
market. Global jeans market is
expected to have a CAGR of 6.7
per cent during the forecast period
from 2020 to 2025.
Focus on new business
strategies and markets
Rome was not built in a
day and thus the bigger denim
manufacturers will need to adapt
new business strategies, such
as geographical and capacity
expansion, M&A, and R&D,
to boost sales. They need to
strategically focus on establishing
new market opportunities by
entering newer and niche markets
in the garment industry that are
still in their developmental phase.
As per an Apparel Resources
report, Indian domestic market
for denim has been maintaining
an average CAGR of 8-9 per cent
for few years and is expected
to reach the $12.27 billion by
2028. Unlike Europe, the US and
other western countries where
consumption per person average
jeans is very high, in India it is far
lesser with consumption of around
0.5 jeans per person as traditional
dressing is more popular in most
geographical segments.
To even reach the potential of
one pair of jeans per person will
require another 700 million pairs of
jeans to be sold annually and this
showcases the massive growth
After two difficult
Covid years of dressing
down days, the fashion
resilience of denim is being
felt once again. Every year,
over two billion jeans are
sold globally and apparel
manufacturers are now
focused on cashing onto
this lucrative segment in
post-pandemic days.
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opportunities in the country. No
wonder, global brands are rapidly
increasing their presence in metros
and small cities.
US leads the way
The US is currently the
largest market, with India likely
to experience the most growth,
followed by China and Latin
America. It is expected the US
market will be around 4,313.56
million meters in 2022 and
4,541.05 million meters in 2023
as between 2018 and 2023,
the average annual growth is
expected to be 4.89 per cent. India
is striding ahead as despite being
smaller than China, Latin America
and the US its market is expected
to grow at a fast rate arriving at
419.26 million meters in 2023
from 228.39 million meters in
2016.
In the global denim market
China, Bangladesh, Pakistan and
India are key denim-producing
countries. In denim export segment
in 2021-22, Bangladesh with over
40 mills producing 80 million
yards of denim fabrics remains at
the top position in the US markets.
This was followed by Mexico
and Pakistan as the third largest
supplier. Vietnam was in fourth
position after it shipped denim
items worth $348.64 million, up
25.12 per cent year-on-year.
Denim today has come a long
way in the fashion segment as
they appeal to everyone with
different varieties of stretch to
bio-polished, innovative colours
from vegetable-based, indigo to
sulphur dyed, fibre blends with the
most recent being softer, lighter,
comfortable silk denim for all
seasons and a variety of textures,
drapes and styles focused on the
athleisure and wellness current
trend. Denim is not just a fashion
apparel, it’s an everyday symbol
of style and a daily essential and
a must-have for almost everyone.
Source: Fashionating World
Brazil’s cotton exports to China jump many folds; not linked to US ban
B
razilian cotton has gained a
major market share in China,
even though the latter is
the largest cotton producer in
the world. Trade data indicates
that Brazil’s cotton exports have
soared in value and volume over
the last five years, with a sharp
increase between 2017 and 2020.
The increase is not linked to the
US’ ban on Xinjiang cotton.
Brazil exported 82.953 million
kg of cotton in 2017, valued at
$132.393 million. The value and
volume of exports more than
tripled to 302.981 million kg
($523.495 million) in 2018, and
further grew to 501.725 million
kg ($820.445 million) in 2019,
according to Fibre2Fashion’s
market insight tool TexPro.
Despite COVID-related
disruptions, Brazil exported
658.752 million kg of cotton
to China in 2020, valued at
$1,016.738 million. However,
the volume and value of exports
slightly fell to 582.985 million kg
($983.141 million) in 2021, and
further eased to 521.499 million
kg ($1,082.756 million) in 2022,
as per TexPro. Despite the decline
in shipments over the last two
years, the exports still increased
more than three times in terms of
volume and value.
The data suggests that the
surge in exports from Brazil
to China was not solely due
to Chinese importers seeking
alternative sources of cotton after
the US ban on cotton originating
from the Xinjiang region of China.
The US banned cotton from the
region in June 2022.
Source: Fibre2fashion
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how things evolve”. “What we’re
looking at is the extent to which
all this global sourcing, developed
over many years, might become
more local,” he said.
The shift was accelerated by
continued supply chain disruption
since the onset of the Covid-19
pandemic, which led to a jump in
freight costs, as well as significant
shipping delays as factory workers
at manufacturing hubs across Asia
fell ill or were forced to isolate.
One industry consultant said that
one retail client’s ski wear, from
a previous season, arrived in the
summer of 2022.
“For many, gone are the days
of manufacturing only in China
and shipping everywhere,” said
Todd Simms, vice-president at
supply chain intelligence platform
FourKites. “Disruptions have
increased costs to deliver finished
goods, making it easier to justify
operations in new countries in
exchange for more resilience,” he
added.
The financial incentives to remain
in the region are diminishing as wages
go up after years of cheap labour — a
major draw for many household names
to outsource manufacturing to far-flung
places. According to statistics from
China’s National Bureau of Statistics, the
average factory wage doubled between
2013 and 2021, from Rmb46,000
($6,689) per year to Rmb92,000.
Jose Calamonte, chief executive
of online fashion retailer Asos, told
investors at the company’s full-year
results presentation last year that
products manufactured in China were not as competitive as they seemed relative to Europe, once shipping
and transport costs were taken into account. “We try to think about the final [profit] margin once we’ve made
the final sale,” he said.
European clothing retailers’
efforts to cut delivery times, as
fashion trends and consumer
needs change quickly, is another
reason behind their decision to opt
for suppliers closer to home.
“We’ve been taking control
of our manufacturing,” said a
spokesman for a British luxury
brand, adding that the industry
has been consolidating in Europe
for years now. “This has been a
trend for reasons to do with speed
and efficiency.”
Plans to shift production away
fromAsiangarmenthubs,however,
are not that advanced owing to
their complexity. Countries such
as China and Vietnam represent
the lion’s share of textile exports,
according to 2020 data from
CEPII. For example, more than
half of suppliers to Inditex, the
world’s largest fashion retailer,
were based in Asia in 2021, only a
marginal reduction on 2018.
Turkey has been positioning
itself as a winner from western
brands moving their production,
not least because it is part of
the EU customs union, allowing
frictionless trade between member
states. “It is a popular destination
COMPETITION WITH SHEIN
10. 10 https://vietnamyarnprice.com
and already used by the likes of
Hugo Boss, Adidas, Nike, Zara”,
said Simon Geale, executive
vice-president of procurement at
supply chain consultancy Proxima.
An increasingly important
consideration for retailers is
traceability in the supply chain
after years of widely reported
labour abuses. “[Because of US
laws against cotton from Xinjiang],
brands have to have much better
traceability, ” said Impactt’s Hurst.
“Then we have got European laws
[on forced labour] coming up. It is
putting pressure on the industry to
get a grip,” she said.
But she warned: “There isn’t
enough money in [international
supply chains] to run things the
way they should be done. [Given
the current economic crisis], that is
only going to get worse.”
Maximilian Albrecht, an
analyst at AlixPartners, said that
many fast fashion labels were
also abandoning China in order
to differentiate themselves from
Shein, the rapidly growing Chinese
fast fashion giant. “European
brands can’t match Shein on their
costs of production, their network
of production, their relationships,”
Albrecht said.
“I think you’ll see some brands
say ‘well, we can’t match that so
we’ll move to Europe’. You can still
sell the story that they have higher
quality products. Whether that’s
actually true is another thing”.
Source: Financial Times
T
he textile and garment
industry expects export
turnover to reach $50-52
billion in 2025 and $68-70 billion
in 2030, according to the strategy
document.
The strategy states that
developing the fashion industry
is considered a new direction.
Accordingly, this sector will focus
on developing designers, and raw
material supply, production and
distribution systems to form supply
chains and create sustainable
foundations for the development
of the domestic fashion industry
as well as fashion centres in Hanoi
and HCM City.
The strategy encourages
enterprises to gradually switch
their production methods to free-
on-board (FOB) and original design
manufacturer to add value to
products, and build a private brand
to improve the competitiveness of
the businesses and products.
The textile and garment
industry strives to have a
localisation rate of 51-55 per cent
in 2021-2025 and 56-60 per cent
in 2026-2030.
Domestic leather and footwear
enterprises need to actively
adapt to market requirements on
sustainable product development
standards, Nguyen Duc Thuan,
chairman of the Vietnam
Leather, Footwear and Handbag
Association (LEFASO), told a
domestic media outlet.
The strategy also mentions the
role of state management agencies
in encouraging enterprises to
invest in producing fibre, yarn,
textile and dyeing with advanced
technology and connections with
domestic garment enterprises.
Source: Fibre2Fashion
Vietnam wants textile, garment, footwear
exports to hit $80 bn by 2025
The textile, garment and
footwear sectors in Vietnam
aim to achieve exports
worth $77-80 billion in
2025 and $106-108 billion
in 2030, according to the
government strategy for the
development of the textile-
footwear industry. They
will encourage production
of fabrics from domestic
yarn to reduce imports, and
form a complete regional
supply and value chain.
Newsletter February 2023
11. Newsletter February 2023
Wakefield Inspection Services Ltd được thành lập tại Liverpool, Vương Quốc Anh từ năm 1993. Cho đến nay, có
hơn 20 công ty con đã được thành lập toàn cầu và việc mở rộng mạng lưới vẫn đang được tiếp diễn. Hiện tại WIS
đang hoạt động tại hơn 60 quốc gia và trở thành công ty dẫn đầu về ngành giám định bông thô trên toàn thế giới.
Qua hơn 20 năm cung cấp dịch vụ giám định tại thị trường Việt Nam, chúng tôi sung sướng thông báo rằng WIS có
thể cung cấp dịch vụ kiểm nghiệm bông thô tại phòng thí nghiệm HVI vừa được thành lập tại TP. Hồ Chì Minh.
Tại sao chọn WIS?
Wakefield Inspection Services là công ty giám định dẫn đầu và được quốc tế công nhận.
Có truyền thông lưu giữ nhân viên, giúp việc liên lạc với khách hàng của mình luôn thông suốt.
Có đội ngũ nhân viên dày dạn kinh nghiệm.
Duy trì việc đào tạo không ngừng.
Cung cấp dịch vụ đúng nhu cầu của khách hàng, theo từng yêu cầu cụ thể.
Có mạng lưới toàn cầu thông qua đội ngũ nhân viên địa phương.
Có mạng lưới hỗ trợ toàn cầu.
Để biết thêm thông tin về các dịch vụ WIS hiện đang cung cấp, vui lòng liên lạc với chúng tôi qua email:
Info@wiscontrol.com / vit-ops@wiscontrol.com
Wakefield Inspection Services Ltd was established in Liverpool, England in 1993. Since WIS’ formation - over twenty Group
Companies have been established worldwide and this expansion continues today, WIS currently operates in over 60 countries
becoming the leading company in the inspection of raw cotton fibre.
Now having worked in Vietnam for the last 20 years WIS is pleased that they can offer the HVI testing of cotton in our testing
laboratory in Ho Chi Minh
Why Wakefield?
Wakefield Inspection is an internationally recognised, and industry leading inspection company
Staff retention, enabling a continuity of communication with our clients
Providing staff with significant hands on experience
Ongoing Training
Customised services, tailored to your needs
Global coverage via local, on the ground, staff
A Group wide support network
For more information on what WIS can do for you, please contact:
Info@wiscontrol.com / vit-ops@wiscontrol.com
12. American Eagle Outfitters
Joins U.S. Cotton Trust Protocol
The U.S. Cotton Trust Protocol (“Trust Protocol”) has announce the membership of American Eagle
Outfitters, Inc. (“AEO”). AEO is a leading global specialty retailer offering high-quality, on-trend
clothing, accessories and personal care products through its American Eagle, Aerie, OFFL/NE by
Aerie, Todd Snyder and Unsubscribed brands.
Trust Protocol membership will support AEO in its continued efforts to provide greater
transparency, communication and standardized reporting of its ESG progress. Underpinned by a
focus on optimism, AEO’s Building a Better World ESG strategy is centered on three key areas:
planet (environment), people (social) and practices (governance). Notably, the company has set
specific goals to achieve carbon neutrality in its owned and operated locations and significantly
reduce water use, among other sustainability initiatives.
The Trust Protocol is the only sustainable cotton system that provides quantifiable, verifiable goals
and measurement and drives continuous improvement in six key sustainability metrics – land use,
soil carbon, water management, soil loss, greenhouse gas emissions, and energy efficiency. The
Trust Protocol integrates these sustainability metrics from Field to Market’s Fieldprint® Platform,
enabling enrolled growers to measure the environmental impacts of their operation and identify
opportunities for continuous improvement.
To join The Trust Protocol, visit TrustUSCotton.org.
ABOUT THE U.S. COTTON TRUST PROTOCOL
Launched in 2020, the U.S. Cotton Trust Protocol was designed to set a new standard in more
sustainably grown cotton, ensuring that it contributes to the protection and preservation of the
planet, using the most sustainable and responsible techniques. It is the only farm-level, science-
based program that provides quantifiable, verifiable goals and measurement in six key sustainability
metrics as well as article-level supply chain transparency.
The Trust Protocol is overseen by a multi-stakeholder Board of Directors comprised of
representatives from brands and retailers, civil society and independent sustainability experts as
well as the cotton-growing industry, including growers, ginners, merchants, wholesalers and
cooperatives, mills and cottonseed handlers.
13. Newsletter February 2023
JOIN NOW
To learn more or
become a member,
TrustUSCotton.org
Launched in 2020, the U.S. Cotton
Trust Protocol was designed
to set a new standard in more
sustainably grown cotton,
ensuring that it contributes to
the protection and preservation
of the planet, using the most
sustainable and responsible
techniques. It is the only system
that provides quantifiable, verifiable
goals and measurement in six key
sustainability metrics and article-
level supply chain transparency.
The Trust Protocol provides brands
and retailers the critical assurances
they need to show the cotton fiber
element of their supply chain is
more sustainably grown with lower
environmental and social risk.
SETTING A NEW STANDARD IN MORE
SUSTAINABLE COTTON PRODUCTION
Trust in a smarter cotton future.
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EVENT WAS ORGANIZED IN FEB 2023
On February 15th-17th 2023, VCOSA in
collaborationwiththeInternationalCottonAssociation
(ICA), under the sponsorship of the Cotton Council
International (CCI), successfully organized a training
course - Trade Matters 2023 in HCMC.
VCOSA congratulates those who have completed
the course and successfully passed the exam to
receive the ICA certificate. We will keep working with
partners to bring useful programs, contributing to
the development of Vietnam’s cotton, fiber and yarn
industry..
Some pictures at the workshop training:
Attendees actively discuss topics and situations that
ICA experts raised at the session.
VCOSA’S
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S EVENT
All attendees successfully passed the exam, received ICA certificates
and took photos with the Organizing Committee.
VCOSA’s representative presented gifts and honored CCI sponsors, as well as thanked
and expressed gratitude to ICA for accompanying the Organizing Committee.
Concentrate on taking the exam for 60 minutes.
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REPORT AND DATABASE
In January 2023, Vietnam imported 69.9 thousand
tons of cotton, worth $175.1 million, down 30.5%
in volume and down 32.4% in value compared to the
previous month, down 45.5% in volume and down
44.9% in value compared to January 2022.
Fiber & yarn imported into Vietnam was 60.6
thousand tons, worth 136 million USD, down 25.7%
in volume and down 17.3% in value over the previous
month; down 35.1% in volume and down 41.8% in
value compared to January 2022.
According to preliminary data in
January 2023, Vietnam imported 69.9
thousand tons of cotton, down 30.5%
from the previous month. Imported
of textile fibers and yarns was 60.6
thousand tons, down 25.7% over the
previous month.
According to the latest import
and export data from the General
Department of Customs, in January
2023,Vietnamimportedcottonworth
175.1 million USD, down 32.4% over
the previous month; fiber and yarn
imports valued at 136 million USD,
down 17.3%; fabric imports valued at
936 million USD, down 9.1%; import
of raw materials for textile, garment,
leather and footwear decreased
by 16% compared to the previous
month, valued at 377.4 million USD.
1. Monthly Import Statistics
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Newsletter February 2023
In the first month of 2023, Vietnam imported
cotton worth 175.1million USD, down 44.9% over
the same period last year; import of fiber and yarn
valued at 136 million USD, down 41.8%; import
of fabric valued at 936 million USD, down 33.4%;
import of raw materials for textile, garment, leather
and footwear decreased by 33.9% over the same
period last year, worth 377.4 million USD.
According to preliminary
data in January 2023, imported
of fiber and yarn was about 60.6
thousand tons, down 25.7%
compared to the previous month,
down 35.1% over the same
period last year.
According to preliminary
data in January 2023, Vietnam
imported 69.9 thousand tons of
cotton, down 30.5% from the
previous month, down 45.5%
over the same period last year.
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R
aw cotton is one of the main
groups of imported textile
materials and accessories of
Vietnam, after fabrics and other
textile and garment materials and
accessories, accounting for 14.4%
of the total import value. In 2022,
according to statistics from the
General Department of Customs,
imports of this group of goods into
Vietnam reached 1.43 million tons,
worth 4.03 billion USD, down
14.6% in volume but up 24.5% in
value compared to 2021.
In December 2022 alone,
Vietnam’s raw cotton imports
reached 100.53 thousand tons,
worth 259.24 million USD, down
24.5% in volume and 31.6% in
value compared to November
2022, down 9.1% in volume but
up 5.4% in value compared to
December 2021.
In 2022, there are 10 markets
supplying raw cotton to Vietnam,
down 1 market compared to 2021.
Vietnam’s raw cotton imports from
some main markets decreased
compared to 2021 such as the US
and India, Brazil... Specifically:
Cotton imports from the US
market are the largest in 2022,
reaching 447 thousand tons, worth
1.31 billion USD, down 26.1%
in volume but up 11.9% in value
compared to 2021, accounting
for 31.2% of total cotton imports.
Particularly in December 2022,
cotton imports from this market
reached 6.32 thousand tons,
worth 15.76 million USD, down
37.1% in volume and 39.8% in
value compared to 2021.
In 2022, cotton imports from
the Australian market increased by
53.3% in volume and 110.6% in
value compared to 2021, reaching
422 thousand tons, worth 1.27
billion USD. Particularly in
December 2022, cotton imports
from this market reached 41.68
thousand tons, worth 116.48
million USD, down 48.7% in
volume and 8.1% in value
compared to November 2022,
an increase of 15.5% in volume
and 32.9% in value compared to
December 2021.
In addition, cotton imports
from some other markets
decreased sharply in volume in
2022 compared to 2021 such as:
imports from the Indian market
decreased by 45%; from Ivory
Coast down 45.9%; from Indonesia
decreased by 57.1%.
1.1. In 2023, the import price of cotton will continue to decrease
Source: VITIC
Source: VITIC
Vietnam’s cotton import
Vietnam’s import cottons in 2021-2022 (thousand tons)
21. 21
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Newsletter February 2023
The average import price of cotton in 2021-2022 (USD/ton)
US cotton price in 2022 (USD/pound)
About price: The price of cotton imported into
Vietnam in December 2022 was at $2,579/ton,
down 9.5% compared to November 2022 but up
16% compared to December 2021. Thus, December
2022 is the fourth consecutive month that the price of
imported cotton materials into Vietnam has decreased
since reaching a peak in August 2022.
In general, in 2022, the price of cotton materials
imported to Vietnam averaged $2,807/ton, up 45.8%
compared to 2021.
World cotton prices fell due
to weak demand. In the Chinese
market, according to the market of
energy commodities and industrial
raw materials from https://
dautuhanghoa.vn/, the cotton
import data of China - the world’s
largest cotton consuming country
has remained quite dim in recent
weeks, although the Government
of this country has gradually eased
measures to prevent the spread
of the Covid-19 epidemic, putting
pressure on prices.
Facing the downward trend of
world cotton prices, it is forecasted
that the price of imported cotton
materials into Vietnam will also
decrease in the first months of
2023 but the decrease is not much.
The average price of imported cotton from major
markets in December 2022 decreased compared
to November 2022. In which, the price of cotton
imported from the US market decreased by 4.2% to
2,493 USD/ton, the price of cotton imported from the
Australian market decreased by 8.5% to 2,794 USD/
ton, the price of cotton imported from the Brazilian
market decreased. 3.9% down to 2,526 USD/ton.
It can be seen that the price of
Vietnam’s imported cotton tends to
decrease according to the world cotton
price.
In the US, according to data from
https://www.macrotrends.net/, US
cotton prices have also corrected down
in recent months, from $0.86/lb at the
end of November 2022, fell to $0.83/
lb at the end of 2022 and continued to
decline in the first half of January 2023,
with cotton prices as of January 13,
2023 at $0.82/lb.
Source: VITIC
Source: macrotrends.net
22. 22
Newsletter February 2023
https://vietnamyarnprice.com
Import price of cotton
Vietnam’s import fiber in 2021-2022 (thousand tons)
Source: VITIC
According to statistics of the
General Department of
Customs, the volume of imported
fiber materials of Vietnam in
December 2022 reached 33.56
thousand tons, worth 42.09 million
USD, up 15% in volume and 5.9 %
in value compared to November
2022; down 26.5% in volume
and 29.9% in value compared to
December 2021.
In general, in 2022, the volume
of imported fiber materials to
Vietnam reached 363 thousand
tons, worth 507 million USD,
down 9.1% in volume and 1.1% in
value compared to 2021.
The world fiber market is
slowing down, the world fiber price
continues to fall. In the domestic
market, the lack of export textile
and garment orders has resulted in
high inventories of finished cotton
fibers in most textile factories,
reducing the operating speed of
textile enterprises.
With the above factors, it is
forecast that the volume and price
of imported fiber into Vietnam will
continue to decrease in the first
months of 2023.
In 2022, Vietnam imported
raw fiber from 30 markets, an
increase of 1 market compared
to 2021. In which, China is the
largest supplier of raw fiber to
Vietnam, with an import volume
of 158,01 thousand tons, worth
204.15 million USD, accounting
for 47.8% of the total import
volume, down 10.4% in volume
and 2.7% in value compared to
2021. Particularly in December
2022, imports export of raw fiber
from China to Vietnam reached
15.9 thousand tons, worth 18.97
million USD, up 26.5% in volume
and 22.2% in value; down 31.4%
in volume and 33.1% in value
compared to December 2021.
Import of raw fiber from
Taiwan market in 2022 reached
51.85 thousand tons, worth 68.27
million USD, accounting for 15.7%
of total import of raw fiber of
1.2. Thevolumeofimportedrawfibercontinuestodecreaseinthefirstmonthsof2023
23. 23
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Newsletter February 2023
Vietnam’s fiber import
Import price of fiber 2021-2022 (USD/ton)
Source: VITIC
Source: VITIC
Vietnam, down 10.4% in volume
but increased 5.3% in value
compared to 2021. In December
2022 alone, imports of raw fiber
from Taiwan market reached
4.57 thousand tons, worth 5.05
million USD, up 24.9 % in volume
and 13.1% in value compared to
November 2022; down 17.6% and
down 25.2% in value compared to
December 2021.
In general, in 2022, imports
of raw fibers from major markets
into Vietnam decreased, except
for imports from Thailand, which
increased by 17.1% in volume.
Notably, the import volume
of fibers from some markets
increased strongly in 2022 such as
imports from Germany increased
by 474.5% in volume, from Greece
increased by 5,213%.
About price: In December 2022, the price of
imported fiber materials to Vietnam averaged $1,254/
ton, down 7.9% compared to November 2022 and
down 4.6% compared to December 2021. In which,
the lowest price of raw materials imported from
Taiwan reached 1,105 USD/ton; next is from Thailand
at 1,140 USD/ton… and the highest import price from
Singapore is 3,500 USD/ton.
In general, in 2022, the average import price of
fiber materials into Vietnam will reach 1,396 USD/
ton, an increase of 8.8% compared to 2021.
24. 24
Newsletter February 2023
https://vietnamyarnprice.com
Import price of fiber
Vietnam’s import yarn in 2021-2022 (thousand tons)
Source: VITIC
Source: VITIC
A
ccording to statistics from the General
Department of Customs, import of raw yarn in
December 2022 reached 44.76 thousand tons,
worth USD 123.55 million, down 14.5% in volume
and 10.1% in value compared to November 2022,
down 29.2% in volume and 36.2% in value compared
to December 2021.
In general, in 2022, the import volume of raw yarn
reached 681 thousand tons, worth 2.03 billion USD,
down 5.5% in volume but up 0.2% in value compared
to 2021.
China is the largest source of
yarn for Vietnam in 2022, with
imports reaching 448 thousand
tons, worth $1.21 billion,
accounting for 65.9% of total
imports, up 1.5 % in volume and
6% in value compared to 2021. In
December 2022 alone, the amount
of raw yarn imported from this
market reached 32.01 thousand
tons, worth 77.28 million USD,
down 17, 4% in volume and 13.7%
in value compared to November
2022; down 20.8% in volume
and 32% in value compared to
December 2021.
Import of raw yarn from
Taiwan market in 2022 reached
91.45 thousand tons, worth
USD 258.19 million, accounting
for 13.4% of Vietnam’s total
import of raw yarn, down 7.3%
in volume but increased by 0.9%
in value compared to 2021.
1.3. Import price of yarn increased slightly
25. 25
www.vcosa.org.vn
Newsletter February 2023
Vietnam’s yarn import
Import price of yarn 2021-2022 (USD/ton)
Source: VITIC
Source: VITIC
In December 2022, imports of raw
yarn from Taiwan market reached
5.38 thousand tons, worth 14.92
million USD, down 13% in volume.
and 14.4% decrease in value
compared to November 2022;
down 31.3% in volume and 35.4%
in value compared to December
2021.
In general, in 2022, imports
of raw materials from the main
supplying markets all decreased
compared to 2021, except for
imports from the Chinese market,
which increased slightly by 1.5%
in volume.
In terms of price: Import price of raw yarn
increased again after 2 consecutive months of decline,
reaching USD 2,760/ton in December 2022, up
5.2% compared to November 2022 but down 9.9%
compared to December. 2021. In general, in 2022,
the price of imported raw materials to Vietnam will
average 2,989 USD/ton, up 6% compared to 2021.
In which, the price of raw yarn imported from
China was the lowest, reaching 2,414 USD/ton;
followed by Taiwan market at US$2,771/ton… and
the highest import price from Hong Kong market was
US$7,998/ton.
26. 26
Newsletter February 2023
https://vietnamyarnprice.com
The prospect of a recovery
in world garment demand is a
factor driving up yarn prices. With
data showing inflation cooling in
Europe and the US, markets expect
the global economy to avoid
a severe recession, potentially
boosting apparel purchases. In
particular, the world’s largest
clothing market, China, abolished
the strict Zero Covid policy, further
increasing these expectations.
In 2023, it is forecast that the
world economy will still face many
difficulties, the total world textile
and garment demand is about 700
billion USD, down 8% compared to
2022. However, with the forecast
that the total world textile and
garment demand will recover in
the second half of 2023, this will
lead to increased import demand
for textile materials in general and
yarn imports in particular.
The price of imported raw
yarn into Vietnam has increased
in December 2022, however, the
market demand is still weak, along
with that, the world import price
of raw yarn has not yet adjusted
sharply. Import price of raw yarn
into Vietnam will only increase
slightly in the coming time.
Import price of yarn
Source: VITIC
— All data are accurate, relevant and verified from sources: the Ministry of Industry and
Trade, General Department of Vietnam Customs, General Statistics Office of Vietnam,
International Trade Center, Cotton Incorporated and other reliable sources.
— This text provides general information. VCOSA assumes no liability for the information
given being complete or correct. Due to varying update cycles, statistics can display
more up-to-date data than referenced in the text.
Communication and Information Department
27. 27
www.vcosa.org.vn
Newsletter February 2023
In January 2023, Vietnam exported 88.1 thousand
tons of fiber and yarn, worth US$225.5 million,
down 33.8% in volume and down 30.7% in value
over the previous month; down 38.9% in volume and
down 52.4% in value compared to January 2022.
2. Monthly Export Statistics
Fiber and yarn exports in
1/2023 reached US$225.5
million, down 30.7% over
the previous month; fabric
exports reached 152.7
million USD, down 30%;
export of raw materials for
textile, garment, leather
and footwear reached 121.2
million USD, down 29.7%;
technical fabric exports
decreased 7.7% month on
month, worth $57.8 million.
Vietnam’s fiber and yarn
exports in January 2023
reached 88.1 thousand tons,
worth 225.5 million USD, down
33.8% in volume and down
30.7% in value compared to the
previous month.
28. 28
Newsletter February 2023
https://vietnamyarnprice.com
Textile and garment
exports in January 2023
reached 2.25 billion USD,
down 22.4% from the
previous month.
According to
preliminary data
in January 2023,
textile and garment
exports reached
2.25 billion USD,
down 37.6% over
the same period
last year.
In the first month
of 2023, Vietnam’s
fiber and yarn exports
were valued at 225.5
million USD, down
52.4% over the same
period last year; fabric
exports reached 152.7
million USD, down
39.2%; export of
textile, garment and
footwear raw materials
reached 121.2 million
USD, down 39.4%;
technical fabric exports
decreased by 22.5%,
valued at 57.8 million
USD.
29. 29
www.vcosa.org.vn
Newsletter February 2023
T
extile fibers are one of the
items that account for a large
proportion of Vietnam’s
export textile and garment groups
and raw materials, accounting for
13.6% of total export turnover
in 2022. Notably, this product’s
export of Vietnam, after growing
significantly in the first months of
2022, has decreased again in the
last months of the year.
According to statistics from
the General Department of
Customs, for the whole year of
2022, Vietnam’s exports of textile
fibers and yarns reached 1,573
thousand tons, with a turnover of
4.713 billion USD, down 18.4%
in volume and 16% in value
compared to 2021.
In December 2022 alone,
Vietnam’s exports of textile fibers
and yarns reached 133 thousand
tons, worth 325.3 million USD,
up 11.4% in volume and 6.8% in
turnover compared to November
2022; down 16.2% in volume
and 38.8% in value compared to
December 2021.
2.1. Exportoftextilefibersandyarnscouldnotrecoverinthefirstquarterof2023
Source: VITIC
Source: VITIC
In terms of prices: The unit price of Vietnam’s
fiber and textile exports has decreased continuously
in recent months and reached an average of $2,445/
ton in December 2022, down 4.14% compared
to November 2022 and down 27% compared to
December 2021. December 2022 is the eighth
consecutive month for the export unit price of textile
fibers and yarns to decrease.
Although the global price of cotton and fiber
materialshasdecreasedsignificantlyinrecentmonths,
besides, transportation costs have also decreased,
but due to the weak global demand for textiles, the
demand for raw materials has been reduced, this is
the main reason why the average export unit price of
Vietnam’s fiber and textile yarn groups has decreased
continuously in recent months.
In general, in 2022, the average export unit price
of Vietnam’s textile fibers and yarns reached 2,995.2
USD/ton, up 2.9% compared to 2021.
Vietnam’s export fiber and yarn in 2021-2022 (million USD)
Export price of fiber and yarn 2021-2022 (USD/ton)
30. 30 https://vietnamyarnprice.com
Export price of fiber and yarn
Source: VITIC
Export market:
In 2022, Vietnam exports
textile fibers and yarns of all kinds
mainly to the Chinese market,
accounting for 45.16% of the total
volume and 46.27% of the total
export turnover. However, the
export of this item to the Chinese
market has decreased significantly
compared to 2021, with a
decrease of 30.8% in volume and
26.9% in turnover, respectively. It
can be seen that the Zero Covid
policy that China implemented has
significantly affected the activities
of the economy of this country,
along with that, the tightening of
goods import activities through
border gates with Vietnam has
also affected causing disruption
to Vietnam’s export of goods to
China, including fibers and textiles.
Besides China, Vietnam’s
exports of textile fibers and fibers
to some other markets will also
decrease in 2022 such as Korea,
Taiwan, Brazil, Cambodia...
On the other hand, Vietnam’s
exports of textile fibers and fibers
to a number of markets increased
in 2022 compared to 2021 such
as India and Thailand, especially
exports to the Philippines market
increased by 276.1% in volume
and increased by 362% in turnover.
It can be seen that, although
Vietnam’s exports of textile fibers
and yarns to the Chinese market
decreased significantly in 2022,
however, with the reopening of
the economy from January 8, 2023
of China has can help Vietnam’s
fiber and yarn exports to this
market increase again because this
is the export market that accounts
for the highest proportion of the
total export turnover of this item
for many years.
Assessing the export situation
of Vietnam’s textile fibers and
yarns in the coming time, it is
found that, although there are
positive signals from the main
export market, China, the global
demand for textiles and garments
is still strong. According to many
forecasts, it will remain bleak until
the middle of 2023, therefore,
Vietnam’s exports of fiber and
textile fibers will still be difficult to
recover at least until the end of the
first quarter of 2023.
Newsletter February 2023
32. 32 https://vietnamyarnprice.com
The latest USDA report
featured decreases to forecasts for
global production (-332,000 bales
to 115.4 million) and mill-use
(-846,000 bales to 110.9 million)
in the 2022/23 crop year. Revisions
to historical figures lowered
beginning stocks (-148,000 bales
to 85.3 million). The net result for
the forecast to world ending stocks
was a +372,000 bale addition (to
89.9 million).
If realized, this would be the
highest volume of global stocks
outside of the crop year most
affected by the onset of COVID
(2019/20) and the period of high
Chinese reserves (2012/13-
2015/16). The current projection
for the world stocks-to-use ratio
is 80.5%, about eight percentage
points higher than last crop year
and about ten points higher than
in 2020/21.
At the country-level, the
largest revisions to production
figures were for India (-1.0 million
bales to 26.5 million), Brazil
(+300,000 bales to 13.3 million),
and the U.S. (+438,0000 bales to
14.7 million).
For mill-use, the largest
changes were for India (-500,000
bales to 22.5 million), Indonesia
(-250,000 bales to 2.2 million),
and Vietnam (- 100,000 bales to
6.4 million).
The global trade forecast was
lowered -645,000 bales to 41.6
million. For imports, the largest
changes were for China (-250,000
to 7.8 million), Indonesia (-250,000
bales to 2.2 million), and Vietnam
(-200,000 bales to 6.4 million).
For exports, the largest changes
were for India (-250,000 bales to
3.1 million) and the U.S. (-250,000
bales to 12.0 million).
Chinese cotton prices have
been edging higher since early
January. This has created some
separation between prices in
what traditionally is the world’s
largest import market and average
export prices (the A Index). The
current gap is about eight cents/
lb. That separation will need to
widen to make imports more
attractive (CC Index is commonly
15-20 cents/lb higher than the A
Index), but it has marked progress
that may eventually lead to more
international trade.
If the demand side of the fiber
market strengthens in coming
months, supply-related issues
could become more important
for price direction. Current prices
remain high by historical standards
(A Index is trading near 100 cents/
lb), but input costs are also high.
Improved weather in West Texas
and Pakistan could be mitigating
factors for production, but in the
U.S., Brazil, and other locations
sensitive to relative crop prices,
input costs and competitive prices
for corn and soybeans can be
expected to cause lower planted
acreage for 2023/24.
Source: CI
3. Cotton Outlook
Newsletter February 2023
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