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Eagle Ford Shale Energy
Developments
Ioannis Tsapakis, Ph.D.
Cesar Quiroga, Ph.D., P.E.
0-6498 Research Project
• Completed in 2011
• Impacts
– Pavement impacts
– Reduction in pavement life
– Roadside impacts
– Operational and safety impacts
Eagle Ford Shale Energy Developments 2
IH 35W – East
Frontage Road
Pavement shoving, loss of surface
Pavement shoving, loss of surface
3Eagle Ford Shale Energy Developments
Roadside Impacts
Drainage problem at driveway Mud tracking
4Eagle Ford Shale Energy Developments
Statewide Pavement Impact
• $1 billion per year
• $2 billion per year including local roads
– No main highways or bridges included
• Cost to industry (with no pavement repair):
– $1.5-3.5 billion per year
• Equipment damage
• Lower operating speeds
Eagle Ford Shale Energy Developments 5
Current Initiatives
• Pavement design and maintenance
• Energy development traffic characterization
• Wheel and equivalent single-axle loads
• County maps
• Oil/gas developments and transportation
infrastructure correlations
• Traffic safety and hazmat surveys
• Practices in other states
Eagle Ford Shale Energy Developments 6
ENERGY DEVELOPMENT TRAFFIC
CHARACTERIZATION
Eagle Ford Shale Energy Developments 7
Energy Traffic Characterization
• Number of truckloads is a function of:
– Well type and depth
– Geology
– Drilling technology
• Water needs for fracking: 2 – 6 million gallons
• Vertical vs. horizontal wells (Marcellus Shale)
– Vertical well fracking: 20,000 – 80,000 gallons
– Horizontal well fracking: 2 – 9 million gallons
Eagle Ford Shale Energy Developments 8
Energy Traffic Characterization
Activity No. of Trucks
(only trucks)
No. of Trucks
(trucks and pipelines)
Pad construction 10-45 10-45
Drilling rig 35-45 35-45
Drilling pipe, casing, fluid, materials 50-100 50-100
Hydraulic fracturing equipment 150-200 150-200
Hydraulic fracturing water 400-600 50-60
Hydraulic fracturing sand 20-25 20-25
Flowback water removal 200-300 35-50
Well completion 10-20 10-20
Total 875-1335 360-545
Eagle Ford Shale Energy Developments 9
Relative Pavement Impact
Total Weight
(lb)
Weight
Ratio
EALF Ratio
Weight
Ratio
EALF Ratio Weight Ratio EALF Ratio
WRT 4,000 lb WRT 35,000 lb WRT 80,000 lb
4,000 1 1
10,000 2.5 23
35,000 8.8 583 1 1
80,000 20 18,009 2.3 31 1 1
84,000 21 22,210 2.4 38 1.05 1.2
90,000 22 28,511 2.6 49 1.12 1.6
100,000 25 42,753 2.9 73 1.25 2.4
10Eagle Ford Shale Energy Developments
OS/OW Permits – FY 2013
Industry Type No. of Permits
All Industry Types 519,206
Oil and Gas Industry Related 224,500
% Permits Related to Oil & Gas Industry 43%
Eagle Ford Shale Energy Developments 11
Oil & Gas Industry Permits No. Permits No. Trips
Annual permits 16,720 4,180,031
Single trip permits 180,002 180,002
Other permits 27,778 27,778
Total 224,500 4,387,810
OIL/GAS DEVELOPMENTS AND
TRANSPORTATION INFRASTRUCTURE
CORRELATIONS
Eagle Ford Shale Energy Developments 12
Changes from 2006-09 to 2010-13
Eagle Ford Shale Energy Developments 13
2006-09 2010-13 Diff. 2006-09 2010-13 Diff. 2006-09 2010-13 Diff.
Barnett Shale 8,663 4,490 -48% 1,482 698 -53% 10,145 5,188 -49%
Eagle Ford Shale 854 8,886 941% 4,595 3,689 -20% 5,449 12,575 131%
Permian Basin 951 3,230 240% 14,381 21,396 49% 15,332 24,626 61%
Other 1,761 3,356 91% 18,706 9,653 -48% 20,467 13,009 -36%
Grand Total 12,229 19,962 63% 39,164 35,436 -10% 51,393 55,398 8%
Karnes County 28 1,312 4586% 38 50 32% 66 1,362 1964%
Region
Number of Horizontal Wells Number of Vertical Wells Total Number of Wells
Changes from 2006-09 to 2010-13
Eagle Ford Shale Energy Developments 14
2006-09 2010-13 Diff. 2006-09 2010-13 Diff. 2006-09 2010-13 Diff.
Barnett Shale 8,663 4,490 -48% 1,482 698 -53% 10,145 5,188 -49%
Eagle Ford Shale 854 8,886 941% 4,595 3,689 -20% 5,449 12,575 131%
Permian Basin 951 3,230 240% 14,381 21,396 49% 15,332 24,626 61%
Other 1,761 3,356 91% 18,706 9,653 -48% 20,467 13,009 -36%
Grand Total 12,229 19,962 63% 39,164 35,436 -10% 51,393 55,398 8%
Karnes County 28 1,312 4586% 38 50 32% 66 1,362 1964%
Region
Number of Horizontal Wells Number of Vertical Wells Total Number of Wells
2006-09 2010-13 Diff. 2006-09 2010-13 Diff. 2006-09 2010-13 Diff.
Atascosa 1 368 36700% 38 37 -3% 39 405 938%
Bastrop 7 4 -43% 17 8 -53% 24 12 -50%
Bee 34 23 -32% 202 119 -41% 236 142 -40%
Brazos 76 124 63% 12 5 -58% 88 129 47%
Burleson 32 54 69% 25 3 -88% 57 57 0%
Caldwell 18 76 322% 72 34 -53% 90 110 22%
DeWitt 52 804 1446% 142 32 -77% 194 836 331%
Dimmit 67 1,494 2130% 123 32 -74% 190 1526 703%
Duval 4 6 50% 244 118 -52% 248 124 -50%
Fayette 29 47 62% 13 15 15% 42 62 48%
Frio 24 203 746% 109 24 -78% 133 227 71%
Goliad 0 0 0% 255 54 -79% 255 54 -79%
Gonzales 8 852 10550% 13 22 69% 21 874 4062%
Grimes 30 36 20% 5 11 120% 35 47 34%
Guadalupe 10 27 170% 7 27 286% 17 54 218%
Jim Wells 0 0 0% 57 38 -33% 57 38 -33%
Karnes 28 1,312 4586% 38 50 32% 66 1362 1964%
La Salle 34 1,366 3918% 166 26 -84% 200 1392 596%
Lavaca 18 78 333% 272 80 -71% 290 158 -46%
Lee 25 42 68% 19 8 -58% 44 50 14%
Live Oak 31 337 987% 137 80 -42% 168 417 148%
Maverick 3 19 533% 619 2389 286% 622 2408 287%
McMullen 140 68 -51% 293 18 -94% 433 86 -80%
Robertson 29 68 134% 460 94 -80% 489 162 -67%
Victoria 0 1 100% 230 99 -57% 230 100 -57%
Washington 9 8 -11% 7 4 -43% 16 12 -25%
Webb 105 1,192 1035% 998 213 -79% 1103 1405 27%
Wilson 7 121 1629% 5 22 340% 12 143 1092%
Zavala 33 156 373% 17 27 59% 50 183 266%
Total 854 8,886 941% 4,595 3,689 -20% 5,449 12,575 131%
County
Number of Horizontal Wells Number of Vertical Wells Total Number of Wells
Changes from 2006-09 to 2010-13
Eagle Ford Shale Energy Developments 15
2006-09 2010-13 Diff. 2006-09 2010-13 Diff.
Barnett Shale 21,249,731 34,576,341 63% 5,405,555,430 7,845,267,680 45%
Eagle Ford Shale 76,979,250 541,221,811 603% 3,550,292,226 4,706,967,631 33%
Permian Basin 997,383,412 1,268,827,453 27% 2,942,718,794 1,981,010,535 -33%
Other 296,920,612 334,041,944 13% 13,884,408,311 12,416,857,011 -11%
Grand Total 1,392,533,005 2,178,667,549 56% 25,782,974,761 26,950,102,857 5%
Karnes County 1,124,039 114,204,940 10060% 34,352,282 226,427,068 559%
Region
Oil Production (BBL) Gas Production (MCF)
2006-09 2010-13 Diff.
Barnett Shale 697,396,323 1,000,917,551 44%
Eagle Ford Shale 1,949,556,636 2,171,974,843 11%
Permian Basin 1,184,755,125 1,752,394,208 48%
Other 3,088,383,567 2,873,346,893 -7%
Grand Total 6,920,091,651 7,798,633,495 13%
Karnes County 10,493,457 46,233,210 341%
Region
Liquids (BBL) Disposed into the Ground
Changes from 2006-09 to 2010-13
Eagle Ford Shale Energy Developments 16
2006-09 2010-13 Diff. 2006-09 2010-13 Diff. 2006-09 2010-13 Diff.
Barnett Shale 15.1% 12.1% -3.0% 23.1% 22.1% -1.0% 15.9% 12.8% -3.1%
Eagle Ford Shale 17.2% 19.2% 1.9% 36.5% 34.1% -2.4% 16.5% 17.7% 1.3%
Permian Basin 8.8% 9.1% 0.2% 15.0% 17.1% 2.1% 7.4% 7.6% 0.2%
Other 14.3% 14.4% 0.1% 24.6% 23.1% -1.5% 13.8% 13.2% -0.6%
Grand Total 14.0% 14.2% 0.2% 24.6% 23.6% -1.1% 13.5% 13.0% -0.4%
Karnes County 12.8% 34.2% 21.4% 55.8% 54.8% -1.1% 13.3% 34.9% 21.6%
Region
Below-Good Distress Scores Below-Good Ride Scores Below-Good Cond. Scores
Region
2006-09 2010-13 Diff. 2006-09 2010-13 Diff.
Barnett Shale 129,529,342$ 195,129,989$ 51% 10,539$ 15,877$ 51%
Eagle Ford Shale 174,220,728$ 363,893,844$ 109% 7,133$ 14,898$ 109%
Permian Basin 60,366,852$ 134,290,179$ 122% 2,701$ 6,010$ 122%
Other 1,015,961,891$ 1,570,940,664$ 55% 6,625$ 10,244$ 55%
Grand Total 1,380,078,812$ 2,264,254,676$ 64% 6,497$ 10,660$ 64%
Karnes County 4,568,045$ 22,958,450$ 403% 7,980$ 40,106$ 403%
Total Maintenance Expenditures Maintenance Expend. per Lane-Mile
OIL/GAS DEVELOPMENTS AND
TRAFFIC SAFETY CORRELATIONS
Eagle Ford Shale Energy Developments 17
All Crashes
Eagle Ford Shale Energy Developments 18
-
10,000
20,000
30,000
40,000
50,000
60,000
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
NumberofCrashes
Eagle Ford Shale Barnett Shale Permian Basin
-
2,000
4,000
6,000
8,000
10,000
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
NumberofRuralCrashes
Eagle Ford Shale Barnett Shale Permian Basin
Rural Crashes
Eagle Ford Shale Energy Developments 19
-
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
3,000
3,500
4,000
4,500
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
NumberofCMVCrashes
Eagle Ford Shale Barnett Shale Permian Basin
CMV Crashes
Eagle Ford Shale Energy Developments 20
Rural CMV Crashes
Eagle Ford Shale Energy Developments 21
-
200
400
600
800
1,000
1,200
1,400
1,600
1,800
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
NumberofRuralCMVCrashes
Eagle Ford Shale Barnett Shale Permian Basin
All Crashes – Change in Crash Rate
(per 100 Million VMT)
Rural Crashes – Change in Crash Rate
(per 100 Million VMT)
CMV Crashes – Change in Crash Rate
(per 100 Million VMT)
Rural CMV Crashes – Change in Crash
Rate (per 100 Million VMT)
All Crashes – Change in Crash Rate
(per 100 Lane-Miles)
Rural Crashes – Change in Crash Rate
(per 100 Lane-Miles)
CMV Crashes – Change in Crash Rate
(per 100 Lane-Miles)
Rural CMV Crashes – Change in Crash
Rate (per 100 Lane-Miles)
Changes from 2006-09 to 2010-13
30
Barnett Shale -10% -25% -12% -34%
Eagle Ford Shale 1% 4% 32% 61%
Permian Basin -4% 11% 33% 52%
Other -7% -1% -14% -9%
Grand Total -7% -2% -9% -1%
All Rural CMV Rural & CMV
Fatal, Incap., Non-Incap., Poss. Injury, No-Injury, UnknownRegion
Barnett Shale -3% -22% -13% -26%
Eagle Ford Shale 6% 1% 50% 77%
Permian Basin 4% 18% 51% 57%
Other -1% -6% -6% -5%
Grand Total -1% -5% 0% 7%
All Rural CMV Rural & CMV
Region
Fatal, Incapacitating, Non-Incapacitating
Barnett Shale -14% -29% -25% -37%
Eagle Ford Shale 6% 10% 58% 76%
Permian Basin 22% 20% 94% 88%
Other -5% -8% -1% 3%
Grand Total -4% -6% 7% 14%
All Rural CMV Rural & CMV
Region Fatal
Correlations
31
Region Crash Type
New Horizontal
Wells
New Vertical
Wells
All 0.56 -0.15
Rural 0.62 -0.24
CMV 0.52 -0.19
Rural & CMV 0.63 -0.10
All 0.12 0.16
Rural -0.07 -0.22
CMV 0.39 0.09
Rural & CMV 0.57 -0.10
All -0.08 0.07
Rural 0.03 0.33
CMV 0.06 0.29
Rural & CMV 0.23 0.47
Barnett
Shale
Eagle Ford
Shale
Permian
Basin
32
Economic and Comprehensive Cost
• Economic costs:
– Death: $1,500,000
– Incapacitating injury: $74,900
– Non-incapacitating injury: $24,000
– Possible injury: $13,600
• Comprehensive costs:
– Death: $4,628,000
– Incapacitating injury: $235,400
– Non-incapacitating injury: $60,000
– Possible injury: $28,600
Eagle Ford Shale Energy Developments 33
Economic and Comprehensive Cost
2006-09 2010-13 Diff. 2006-09 2010-13 Diff.
Barnett Shale 211,795,179$ 138,404,870$ -35% 640,098,771$ 417,982,017$ -35%
Eagle Ford Shale 268,959,920$ 407,742,394$ 52% 809,729,658$ 1,228,722,169$ 52%
Permian Basin 171,025,104$ 347,503,582$ 103% 513,260,764$ 1,051,857,637$ 105%
Other 1,614,666,206$ 1,567,187,786$ -3% 4,827,962,078$ 4,701,875,857$ -3%
Grand Total 2,266,446,409$ 2,460,838,632$ 9% 6,791,051,271$ 7,400,437,680$ 9%
Economic Cost
Region
Comprehensive Cost
-100
-50
0
50
100
-2000 -1000 0 1000 2000
Changein#ofKABRuralCMVCrashes
Change in # of New Horizontal Wells
Changes from 2006-09 to 2010-13
35
Thank You!
• Additional information:
– Cesar Quiroga:
• Phone: 210-321-1229 Email: c-quiroga@tamu.edu
– Ioannis Tsapakis:
• Phone: 210-321-1217 Email: i-tsapakis@tamu.edu
Eagle Ford Shale Energy Developments 36

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TTI San Antonio Work in Eagle Ford Shale

  • 1. Eagle Ford Shale Energy Developments Ioannis Tsapakis, Ph.D. Cesar Quiroga, Ph.D., P.E.
  • 2. 0-6498 Research Project • Completed in 2011 • Impacts – Pavement impacts – Reduction in pavement life – Roadside impacts – Operational and safety impacts Eagle Ford Shale Energy Developments 2
  • 3. IH 35W – East Frontage Road Pavement shoving, loss of surface Pavement shoving, loss of surface 3Eagle Ford Shale Energy Developments
  • 4. Roadside Impacts Drainage problem at driveway Mud tracking 4Eagle Ford Shale Energy Developments
  • 5. Statewide Pavement Impact • $1 billion per year • $2 billion per year including local roads – No main highways or bridges included • Cost to industry (with no pavement repair): – $1.5-3.5 billion per year • Equipment damage • Lower operating speeds Eagle Ford Shale Energy Developments 5
  • 6. Current Initiatives • Pavement design and maintenance • Energy development traffic characterization • Wheel and equivalent single-axle loads • County maps • Oil/gas developments and transportation infrastructure correlations • Traffic safety and hazmat surveys • Practices in other states Eagle Ford Shale Energy Developments 6
  • 7. ENERGY DEVELOPMENT TRAFFIC CHARACTERIZATION Eagle Ford Shale Energy Developments 7
  • 8. Energy Traffic Characterization • Number of truckloads is a function of: – Well type and depth – Geology – Drilling technology • Water needs for fracking: 2 – 6 million gallons • Vertical vs. horizontal wells (Marcellus Shale) – Vertical well fracking: 20,000 – 80,000 gallons – Horizontal well fracking: 2 – 9 million gallons Eagle Ford Shale Energy Developments 8
  • 9. Energy Traffic Characterization Activity No. of Trucks (only trucks) No. of Trucks (trucks and pipelines) Pad construction 10-45 10-45 Drilling rig 35-45 35-45 Drilling pipe, casing, fluid, materials 50-100 50-100 Hydraulic fracturing equipment 150-200 150-200 Hydraulic fracturing water 400-600 50-60 Hydraulic fracturing sand 20-25 20-25 Flowback water removal 200-300 35-50 Well completion 10-20 10-20 Total 875-1335 360-545 Eagle Ford Shale Energy Developments 9
  • 10. Relative Pavement Impact Total Weight (lb) Weight Ratio EALF Ratio Weight Ratio EALF Ratio Weight Ratio EALF Ratio WRT 4,000 lb WRT 35,000 lb WRT 80,000 lb 4,000 1 1 10,000 2.5 23 35,000 8.8 583 1 1 80,000 20 18,009 2.3 31 1 1 84,000 21 22,210 2.4 38 1.05 1.2 90,000 22 28,511 2.6 49 1.12 1.6 100,000 25 42,753 2.9 73 1.25 2.4 10Eagle Ford Shale Energy Developments
  • 11. OS/OW Permits – FY 2013 Industry Type No. of Permits All Industry Types 519,206 Oil and Gas Industry Related 224,500 % Permits Related to Oil & Gas Industry 43% Eagle Ford Shale Energy Developments 11 Oil & Gas Industry Permits No. Permits No. Trips Annual permits 16,720 4,180,031 Single trip permits 180,002 180,002 Other permits 27,778 27,778 Total 224,500 4,387,810
  • 12. OIL/GAS DEVELOPMENTS AND TRANSPORTATION INFRASTRUCTURE CORRELATIONS Eagle Ford Shale Energy Developments 12
  • 13. Changes from 2006-09 to 2010-13 Eagle Ford Shale Energy Developments 13 2006-09 2010-13 Diff. 2006-09 2010-13 Diff. 2006-09 2010-13 Diff. Barnett Shale 8,663 4,490 -48% 1,482 698 -53% 10,145 5,188 -49% Eagle Ford Shale 854 8,886 941% 4,595 3,689 -20% 5,449 12,575 131% Permian Basin 951 3,230 240% 14,381 21,396 49% 15,332 24,626 61% Other 1,761 3,356 91% 18,706 9,653 -48% 20,467 13,009 -36% Grand Total 12,229 19,962 63% 39,164 35,436 -10% 51,393 55,398 8% Karnes County 28 1,312 4586% 38 50 32% 66 1,362 1964% Region Number of Horizontal Wells Number of Vertical Wells Total Number of Wells
  • 14. Changes from 2006-09 to 2010-13 Eagle Ford Shale Energy Developments 14 2006-09 2010-13 Diff. 2006-09 2010-13 Diff. 2006-09 2010-13 Diff. Barnett Shale 8,663 4,490 -48% 1,482 698 -53% 10,145 5,188 -49% Eagle Ford Shale 854 8,886 941% 4,595 3,689 -20% 5,449 12,575 131% Permian Basin 951 3,230 240% 14,381 21,396 49% 15,332 24,626 61% Other 1,761 3,356 91% 18,706 9,653 -48% 20,467 13,009 -36% Grand Total 12,229 19,962 63% 39,164 35,436 -10% 51,393 55,398 8% Karnes County 28 1,312 4586% 38 50 32% 66 1,362 1964% Region Number of Horizontal Wells Number of Vertical Wells Total Number of Wells 2006-09 2010-13 Diff. 2006-09 2010-13 Diff. 2006-09 2010-13 Diff. Atascosa 1 368 36700% 38 37 -3% 39 405 938% Bastrop 7 4 -43% 17 8 -53% 24 12 -50% Bee 34 23 -32% 202 119 -41% 236 142 -40% Brazos 76 124 63% 12 5 -58% 88 129 47% Burleson 32 54 69% 25 3 -88% 57 57 0% Caldwell 18 76 322% 72 34 -53% 90 110 22% DeWitt 52 804 1446% 142 32 -77% 194 836 331% Dimmit 67 1,494 2130% 123 32 -74% 190 1526 703% Duval 4 6 50% 244 118 -52% 248 124 -50% Fayette 29 47 62% 13 15 15% 42 62 48% Frio 24 203 746% 109 24 -78% 133 227 71% Goliad 0 0 0% 255 54 -79% 255 54 -79% Gonzales 8 852 10550% 13 22 69% 21 874 4062% Grimes 30 36 20% 5 11 120% 35 47 34% Guadalupe 10 27 170% 7 27 286% 17 54 218% Jim Wells 0 0 0% 57 38 -33% 57 38 -33% Karnes 28 1,312 4586% 38 50 32% 66 1362 1964% La Salle 34 1,366 3918% 166 26 -84% 200 1392 596% Lavaca 18 78 333% 272 80 -71% 290 158 -46% Lee 25 42 68% 19 8 -58% 44 50 14% Live Oak 31 337 987% 137 80 -42% 168 417 148% Maverick 3 19 533% 619 2389 286% 622 2408 287% McMullen 140 68 -51% 293 18 -94% 433 86 -80% Robertson 29 68 134% 460 94 -80% 489 162 -67% Victoria 0 1 100% 230 99 -57% 230 100 -57% Washington 9 8 -11% 7 4 -43% 16 12 -25% Webb 105 1,192 1035% 998 213 -79% 1103 1405 27% Wilson 7 121 1629% 5 22 340% 12 143 1092% Zavala 33 156 373% 17 27 59% 50 183 266% Total 854 8,886 941% 4,595 3,689 -20% 5,449 12,575 131% County Number of Horizontal Wells Number of Vertical Wells Total Number of Wells
  • 15. Changes from 2006-09 to 2010-13 Eagle Ford Shale Energy Developments 15 2006-09 2010-13 Diff. 2006-09 2010-13 Diff. Barnett Shale 21,249,731 34,576,341 63% 5,405,555,430 7,845,267,680 45% Eagle Ford Shale 76,979,250 541,221,811 603% 3,550,292,226 4,706,967,631 33% Permian Basin 997,383,412 1,268,827,453 27% 2,942,718,794 1,981,010,535 -33% Other 296,920,612 334,041,944 13% 13,884,408,311 12,416,857,011 -11% Grand Total 1,392,533,005 2,178,667,549 56% 25,782,974,761 26,950,102,857 5% Karnes County 1,124,039 114,204,940 10060% 34,352,282 226,427,068 559% Region Oil Production (BBL) Gas Production (MCF) 2006-09 2010-13 Diff. Barnett Shale 697,396,323 1,000,917,551 44% Eagle Ford Shale 1,949,556,636 2,171,974,843 11% Permian Basin 1,184,755,125 1,752,394,208 48% Other 3,088,383,567 2,873,346,893 -7% Grand Total 6,920,091,651 7,798,633,495 13% Karnes County 10,493,457 46,233,210 341% Region Liquids (BBL) Disposed into the Ground
  • 16. Changes from 2006-09 to 2010-13 Eagle Ford Shale Energy Developments 16 2006-09 2010-13 Diff. 2006-09 2010-13 Diff. 2006-09 2010-13 Diff. Barnett Shale 15.1% 12.1% -3.0% 23.1% 22.1% -1.0% 15.9% 12.8% -3.1% Eagle Ford Shale 17.2% 19.2% 1.9% 36.5% 34.1% -2.4% 16.5% 17.7% 1.3% Permian Basin 8.8% 9.1% 0.2% 15.0% 17.1% 2.1% 7.4% 7.6% 0.2% Other 14.3% 14.4% 0.1% 24.6% 23.1% -1.5% 13.8% 13.2% -0.6% Grand Total 14.0% 14.2% 0.2% 24.6% 23.6% -1.1% 13.5% 13.0% -0.4% Karnes County 12.8% 34.2% 21.4% 55.8% 54.8% -1.1% 13.3% 34.9% 21.6% Region Below-Good Distress Scores Below-Good Ride Scores Below-Good Cond. Scores Region 2006-09 2010-13 Diff. 2006-09 2010-13 Diff. Barnett Shale 129,529,342$ 195,129,989$ 51% 10,539$ 15,877$ 51% Eagle Ford Shale 174,220,728$ 363,893,844$ 109% 7,133$ 14,898$ 109% Permian Basin 60,366,852$ 134,290,179$ 122% 2,701$ 6,010$ 122% Other 1,015,961,891$ 1,570,940,664$ 55% 6,625$ 10,244$ 55% Grand Total 1,380,078,812$ 2,264,254,676$ 64% 6,497$ 10,660$ 64% Karnes County 4,568,045$ 22,958,450$ 403% 7,980$ 40,106$ 403% Total Maintenance Expenditures Maintenance Expend. per Lane-Mile
  • 17. OIL/GAS DEVELOPMENTS AND TRAFFIC SAFETY CORRELATIONS Eagle Ford Shale Energy Developments 17
  • 18. All Crashes Eagle Ford Shale Energy Developments 18 - 10,000 20,000 30,000 40,000 50,000 60,000 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 NumberofCrashes Eagle Ford Shale Barnett Shale Permian Basin
  • 19. - 2,000 4,000 6,000 8,000 10,000 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 NumberofRuralCrashes Eagle Ford Shale Barnett Shale Permian Basin Rural Crashes Eagle Ford Shale Energy Developments 19
  • 20. - 500 1,000 1,500 2,000 2,500 3,000 3,500 4,000 4,500 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 NumberofCMVCrashes Eagle Ford Shale Barnett Shale Permian Basin CMV Crashes Eagle Ford Shale Energy Developments 20
  • 21. Rural CMV Crashes Eagle Ford Shale Energy Developments 21 - 200 400 600 800 1,000 1,200 1,400 1,600 1,800 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 NumberofRuralCMVCrashes Eagle Ford Shale Barnett Shale Permian Basin
  • 22. All Crashes – Change in Crash Rate (per 100 Million VMT)
  • 23. Rural Crashes – Change in Crash Rate (per 100 Million VMT)
  • 24. CMV Crashes – Change in Crash Rate (per 100 Million VMT)
  • 25. Rural CMV Crashes – Change in Crash Rate (per 100 Million VMT)
  • 26. All Crashes – Change in Crash Rate (per 100 Lane-Miles)
  • 27. Rural Crashes – Change in Crash Rate (per 100 Lane-Miles)
  • 28. CMV Crashes – Change in Crash Rate (per 100 Lane-Miles)
  • 29. Rural CMV Crashes – Change in Crash Rate (per 100 Lane-Miles)
  • 30. Changes from 2006-09 to 2010-13 30 Barnett Shale -10% -25% -12% -34% Eagle Ford Shale 1% 4% 32% 61% Permian Basin -4% 11% 33% 52% Other -7% -1% -14% -9% Grand Total -7% -2% -9% -1% All Rural CMV Rural & CMV Fatal, Incap., Non-Incap., Poss. Injury, No-Injury, UnknownRegion Barnett Shale -3% -22% -13% -26% Eagle Ford Shale 6% 1% 50% 77% Permian Basin 4% 18% 51% 57% Other -1% -6% -6% -5% Grand Total -1% -5% 0% 7% All Rural CMV Rural & CMV Region Fatal, Incapacitating, Non-Incapacitating Barnett Shale -14% -29% -25% -37% Eagle Ford Shale 6% 10% 58% 76% Permian Basin 22% 20% 94% 88% Other -5% -8% -1% 3% Grand Total -4% -6% 7% 14% All Rural CMV Rural & CMV Region Fatal
  • 31. Correlations 31 Region Crash Type New Horizontal Wells New Vertical Wells All 0.56 -0.15 Rural 0.62 -0.24 CMV 0.52 -0.19 Rural & CMV 0.63 -0.10 All 0.12 0.16 Rural -0.07 -0.22 CMV 0.39 0.09 Rural & CMV 0.57 -0.10 All -0.08 0.07 Rural 0.03 0.33 CMV 0.06 0.29 Rural & CMV 0.23 0.47 Barnett Shale Eagle Ford Shale Permian Basin
  • 32. 32
  • 33. Economic and Comprehensive Cost • Economic costs: – Death: $1,500,000 – Incapacitating injury: $74,900 – Non-incapacitating injury: $24,000 – Possible injury: $13,600 • Comprehensive costs: – Death: $4,628,000 – Incapacitating injury: $235,400 – Non-incapacitating injury: $60,000 – Possible injury: $28,600 Eagle Ford Shale Energy Developments 33
  • 34. Economic and Comprehensive Cost 2006-09 2010-13 Diff. 2006-09 2010-13 Diff. Barnett Shale 211,795,179$ 138,404,870$ -35% 640,098,771$ 417,982,017$ -35% Eagle Ford Shale 268,959,920$ 407,742,394$ 52% 809,729,658$ 1,228,722,169$ 52% Permian Basin 171,025,104$ 347,503,582$ 103% 513,260,764$ 1,051,857,637$ 105% Other 1,614,666,206$ 1,567,187,786$ -3% 4,827,962,078$ 4,701,875,857$ -3% Grand Total 2,266,446,409$ 2,460,838,632$ 9% 6,791,051,271$ 7,400,437,680$ 9% Economic Cost Region Comprehensive Cost
  • 35. -100 -50 0 50 100 -2000 -1000 0 1000 2000 Changein#ofKABRuralCMVCrashes Change in # of New Horizontal Wells Changes from 2006-09 to 2010-13 35
  • 36. Thank You! • Additional information: – Cesar Quiroga: • Phone: 210-321-1229 Email: c-quiroga@tamu.edu – Ioannis Tsapakis: • Phone: 210-321-1217 Email: i-tsapakis@tamu.edu Eagle Ford Shale Energy Developments 36