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CASE STUDY 2
Mortgage Approval Time Study
Sherry Manning
Dr. Eliette Barrios
Business Statistics
MAT 510
11/21/2019
MODEL EQUATION AND INTERPRETATION
Ŷ =𝛽0 + 𝛽1 𝑋1 + 𝛽2x2 + 𝛽3 𝑋3 + 𝛽4X1X2 + 𝛽5 𝑋1 𝑋3 + 𝛽6X2X3+𝛽7X1X2X3
Factors’ Interactions
Y-intercept
Using the model complete the interpretation and importance
Y = 141.35 + 24.78X1 + 19.082X2 + 9.933X3 + 16.764X1X2 + -0.335X1X3 + 1.386X2X3 + -1.837X1X2X3
Approval Times
Run Credit History (X1) Mortgage Size (X2) Region (X3) X1X2 X1X3 X2X3 X1X2X3 Sample 1 Sample 2 Sample 3 Sample 4 Sample 5 Average Standard Deviation
1 Good <$500,000 Western + + + - 59 50 64 62 47 56.4 7.503332593
2 Fair <$500,000 Western - - + + 81 58 69 65 74 69.4 8.734987121
3 Good >$500,000 Western - + - + 38 52 58 60 65 54.6 10.38267788
4 Fair >$500,000 Western + - - - 146 159 133 143 129 142 11.78982612
5 Good <$500,000 Eastern + - - + 28 26 38 41 21 30.8 8.408329204
6 Fair <$500,000 Eastern - + - - 42 53 40 50 64 49.8 9.602083107
7 Good >$500,000 Eastern - - + - 49 31 49 42 38 41.8 7.661592524
8 Fair >$500,000 Eastern + + + + 106 115 126 118 138 120.6 12.07476708
Sum+ 381.8 359 243 349.8 281.4 288.2 275.4
Sum- 183.6 206.4 322.4 215.6 284 277.2 290
Avg+ 95.45 89.75 60.75 87.45 70.35 72.05 68.85
Avg- 45.9 51.6 80.6 53.9 71 69.3 72.5
Effect 49.55 38.15 19.85 33.55 -0.65 2.75 -3.65
Design of Experiments uses a multifactorial approach employing statistical methodologies to both design and analyze an
experimental process says Singleton, Gilman, Rollit, Zhang, Parker, & Love, (2019).
Regression Coefficients
b0= 141.35
b1= 24.775
b2= 19.075
b3= 9.925
b4= 16.775
b5= -0.325
b6= 1.375
b7= -1.825
The Regression Coefficient is the constant b in the regression equation.
INTERACTIONS GRAPHS AND INTERPRETATION
Credit History Low High
Good (-) 30.8 56.4
Fair(+) 49.8 142
0
100
200
Low High
AxisTitle
Credit History
High Low Chart
Good (-) Fair(+)
Mild Interaction – Its better to have
Positive credit which is higher than
negative credit which is low.
Interactions graphs and interpretation
Mortgage Size Low High
<$500,000 30.8 69.4
>$500,000 41.8 142
Mortgage Size Low High
<$500,000 30.8 69.4
>$500,000 41.8 142
30.8
69.441.8
142
0
100
200
300
Low High
Mortgage
<$500,000 >$500,000
Mild Interaction – The mortgage
that is greater than $500,000 has
the highest approval times. It is
better to have the higher approval
time.
Interactions graphs and interpretation
Region Low High
Western 54.6 142
Eastern 30.8 120.6
0
100
200
300
Low High
Region
Western Eastern
Mild Interaction – The eastern region
has the highest approval time. It is
better to be in the eastern region for
the mortgage approval times.
INTERACTIONS GRAPHS AND INTERPRETATION
 Interactions can be synergistic or antagonistic:
Synergistic interaction is positive.
Two variables involved produce an effect that is larger than would be predicted if the effects of
the two were additive.
Antagonistic Interaction is negative.
The effects of the two factors is smaller than would be predicted by the additive effects of the
two factors.
 The easiest way to interpret interactions is to construct a plot of the averages of the four groups.
Researched by Hoerl and Snee (2012).
INTERACTIONS GRAPHS AND INTERPRETATION
 Synergy
Stems from the idea that integration involves unity and wholeness. Through this unity
synergy can be achieved.
Synergy manifests itself through a positive interaction effect.
 Antagonistic
The opposite of synergy
Exhibits negative returns.
Failure to achieve consistency.
Researched by Kolsarici, C., & Vakratsas, D. (2018).
ANALYSIS OF THE SAMPLE SIZE
 Objective – Agreement must be obtained to ensure success.
 Output variables Identify the output or measure the process performance.
 Identify the levels of input to be studied.
 Verify the available resources for the size of the experiment.
Time – the amount of time for the number of tests performed and when the results are needed.
Funds – How much money to spend depends on the amount spent on personnel and the
experimentation. No more than 20% should be spent on the first experiment.
.
ANALYSIS OF THE SAMPLE SIZE
 Replication - replicating some or all of the experiment is important as it
increases the sensitivity of the experiment. By doing so assists us in
detecting smaller differences.
 Randomization – Running a test in an experiment in a random order. This
guards against any unknown changes that may have occurred during the
conduct of the experiment.
 The planning t the results f the test. Will the data be collected electronically or manually.
Researched by Hoerl and Snee (2012).
VARIABLES OF INTEREST TO MEASURE
AND STUDY
 Annual Salary
 Marital Status
 Criminal Background Check
 Debt to Earnings Ratio
INTERACTIONS BETWEEN DOE WITH 3
FACTOR EXPERIMENT
Factorial experiments enable us to identify interactions and is a three-factor experiment. The three possible
two factor interactions are (x1x2, x1x3, x2x3) and one three factor interaction (x1x2x3). Although they are rarely
important in real applications, a three factor interaction would mean that the interaction of x1 and x2 is
dependent on the level of x3 .
Researched by Hoerl and Snee (2012).
RECOMMENDATIONS AND
CONCLUSION OF THE DOE
 Use the annual salary, marital status, background checks and debt to earnings ratio instead of
just the credit check, region and mortgage size.
 Use other sample times for the approval rate because the interaction effect charts have mild
interaction instead of strong interaction.
 Use different sample numbers because the effect numbers, which are the difference between
the avg(+) minus the avg(-), are below 20 and some are negative numbers.
REFERENCES
Singleton, C., Gilman, J., Rollit, J., Zhang, K., Parker, D. A., & Love, J. (2019). A design of experiments approach for the rapid
formulation of a chemically defined medium for metabolic profiling of industrially important microbes.
PLoS ONE, 14(6), 1–18. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0218208
Hoerl, R., Snee, Ron. (2012) Statistical Thinking, Improving Business Performance. Hoboken, New Jersey: John Wiley & Sons, Inc.
Kolsarici, C., & Vakratsas, D. (2018). Synergistic, Antagonistic, and Asymmetric Media Interactions. Journal of Advertising,
47(3), 282–300. https://doi.org/10.1080/00913367.2018.1471757

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Manningcasestudy2

  • 1. CASE STUDY 2 Mortgage Approval Time Study Sherry Manning Dr. Eliette Barrios Business Statistics MAT 510 11/21/2019
  • 2. MODEL EQUATION AND INTERPRETATION Ŷ =𝛽0 + 𝛽1 𝑋1 + 𝛽2x2 + 𝛽3 𝑋3 + 𝛽4X1X2 + 𝛽5 𝑋1 𝑋3 + 𝛽6X2X3+𝛽7X1X2X3 Factors’ Interactions Y-intercept Using the model complete the interpretation and importance Y = 141.35 + 24.78X1 + 19.082X2 + 9.933X3 + 16.764X1X2 + -0.335X1X3 + 1.386X2X3 + -1.837X1X2X3
  • 3. Approval Times Run Credit History (X1) Mortgage Size (X2) Region (X3) X1X2 X1X3 X2X3 X1X2X3 Sample 1 Sample 2 Sample 3 Sample 4 Sample 5 Average Standard Deviation 1 Good <$500,000 Western + + + - 59 50 64 62 47 56.4 7.503332593 2 Fair <$500,000 Western - - + + 81 58 69 65 74 69.4 8.734987121 3 Good >$500,000 Western - + - + 38 52 58 60 65 54.6 10.38267788 4 Fair >$500,000 Western + - - - 146 159 133 143 129 142 11.78982612 5 Good <$500,000 Eastern + - - + 28 26 38 41 21 30.8 8.408329204 6 Fair <$500,000 Eastern - + - - 42 53 40 50 64 49.8 9.602083107 7 Good >$500,000 Eastern - - + - 49 31 49 42 38 41.8 7.661592524 8 Fair >$500,000 Eastern + + + + 106 115 126 118 138 120.6 12.07476708 Sum+ 381.8 359 243 349.8 281.4 288.2 275.4 Sum- 183.6 206.4 322.4 215.6 284 277.2 290 Avg+ 95.45 89.75 60.75 87.45 70.35 72.05 68.85 Avg- 45.9 51.6 80.6 53.9 71 69.3 72.5 Effect 49.55 38.15 19.85 33.55 -0.65 2.75 -3.65 Design of Experiments uses a multifactorial approach employing statistical methodologies to both design and analyze an experimental process says Singleton, Gilman, Rollit, Zhang, Parker, & Love, (2019).
  • 4. Regression Coefficients b0= 141.35 b1= 24.775 b2= 19.075 b3= 9.925 b4= 16.775 b5= -0.325 b6= 1.375 b7= -1.825 The Regression Coefficient is the constant b in the regression equation.
  • 5. INTERACTIONS GRAPHS AND INTERPRETATION Credit History Low High Good (-) 30.8 56.4 Fair(+) 49.8 142 0 100 200 Low High AxisTitle Credit History High Low Chart Good (-) Fair(+) Mild Interaction – Its better to have Positive credit which is higher than negative credit which is low.
  • 6. Interactions graphs and interpretation Mortgage Size Low High <$500,000 30.8 69.4 >$500,000 41.8 142 Mortgage Size Low High <$500,000 30.8 69.4 >$500,000 41.8 142 30.8 69.441.8 142 0 100 200 300 Low High Mortgage <$500,000 >$500,000 Mild Interaction – The mortgage that is greater than $500,000 has the highest approval times. It is better to have the higher approval time.
  • 7. Interactions graphs and interpretation Region Low High Western 54.6 142 Eastern 30.8 120.6 0 100 200 300 Low High Region Western Eastern Mild Interaction – The eastern region has the highest approval time. It is better to be in the eastern region for the mortgage approval times.
  • 8. INTERACTIONS GRAPHS AND INTERPRETATION  Interactions can be synergistic or antagonistic: Synergistic interaction is positive. Two variables involved produce an effect that is larger than would be predicted if the effects of the two were additive. Antagonistic Interaction is negative. The effects of the two factors is smaller than would be predicted by the additive effects of the two factors.  The easiest way to interpret interactions is to construct a plot of the averages of the four groups. Researched by Hoerl and Snee (2012).
  • 9. INTERACTIONS GRAPHS AND INTERPRETATION  Synergy Stems from the idea that integration involves unity and wholeness. Through this unity synergy can be achieved. Synergy manifests itself through a positive interaction effect.  Antagonistic The opposite of synergy Exhibits negative returns. Failure to achieve consistency. Researched by Kolsarici, C., & Vakratsas, D. (2018).
  • 10. ANALYSIS OF THE SAMPLE SIZE  Objective – Agreement must be obtained to ensure success.  Output variables Identify the output or measure the process performance.  Identify the levels of input to be studied.  Verify the available resources for the size of the experiment. Time – the amount of time for the number of tests performed and when the results are needed. Funds – How much money to spend depends on the amount spent on personnel and the experimentation. No more than 20% should be spent on the first experiment. .
  • 11. ANALYSIS OF THE SAMPLE SIZE  Replication - replicating some or all of the experiment is important as it increases the sensitivity of the experiment. By doing so assists us in detecting smaller differences.  Randomization – Running a test in an experiment in a random order. This guards against any unknown changes that may have occurred during the conduct of the experiment.  The planning t the results f the test. Will the data be collected electronically or manually. Researched by Hoerl and Snee (2012).
  • 12. VARIABLES OF INTEREST TO MEASURE AND STUDY  Annual Salary  Marital Status  Criminal Background Check  Debt to Earnings Ratio
  • 13. INTERACTIONS BETWEEN DOE WITH 3 FACTOR EXPERIMENT Factorial experiments enable us to identify interactions and is a three-factor experiment. The three possible two factor interactions are (x1x2, x1x3, x2x3) and one three factor interaction (x1x2x3). Although they are rarely important in real applications, a three factor interaction would mean that the interaction of x1 and x2 is dependent on the level of x3 . Researched by Hoerl and Snee (2012).
  • 14. RECOMMENDATIONS AND CONCLUSION OF THE DOE  Use the annual salary, marital status, background checks and debt to earnings ratio instead of just the credit check, region and mortgage size.  Use other sample times for the approval rate because the interaction effect charts have mild interaction instead of strong interaction.  Use different sample numbers because the effect numbers, which are the difference between the avg(+) minus the avg(-), are below 20 and some are negative numbers.
  • 15. REFERENCES Singleton, C., Gilman, J., Rollit, J., Zhang, K., Parker, D. A., & Love, J. (2019). A design of experiments approach for the rapid formulation of a chemically defined medium for metabolic profiling of industrially important microbes. PLoS ONE, 14(6), 1–18. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0218208 Hoerl, R., Snee, Ron. (2012) Statistical Thinking, Improving Business Performance. Hoboken, New Jersey: John Wiley & Sons, Inc. Kolsarici, C., & Vakratsas, D. (2018). Synergistic, Antagonistic, and Asymmetric Media Interactions. Journal of Advertising, 47(3), 282–300. https://doi.org/10.1080/00913367.2018.1471757