These are the Blockchain Futures slides presented by Lori Gordon at Science Distributed's Blockchain & Health Science Research Event hosted at Georgetown University on 12 May 2018.
2. WELCOME TO THE FUTURE
• Foresight as a discipline & process
DISCUSSION
• Your perspectives
• Future scenarios
• Key decisions and actions to push forward
3. FORESIGHT AS A DISCIPLINE
NEW WORLD ORDER
ENERGY CRISIS
PREPPING THE EXECUTIVE
DAY-TO-DAY
4. FORESIGHT AS A PROCESS
CURRENT *STEEP* TRENDS
POTENTIAL FUTURE SCENARIOS
AMPLIFY/REVERSE/ STABILIZE TRENDS
COMMONALITIES ACROSS THOSE FUTURES
DECISIONS & CHOICES TO MAKE NOW
World Economic Forum Risks-Trends
Interconnections
Map 2018
5. GEOPOLITICS
GLOBAL OLYMPICS
LAND RIGHTS
SPACE RACE
ENVIRONMENT
SEA LEVEL RISE
ARCTIC MELT
GENETIC MODIFICATION
WATER SCARCITY
TECHNOLOGY
BLOCKCHAIN
ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE
BRAIN COMPUTER INTERFACE
MACHINE LEARNING
AR/VR
SYNTHETIC BIOLOGY
QUANTUM
AUTOMATION
LIFE EXTENSION
YOUTH UNEMPLOYMENT
WEALTH INEQUALITY
SOCIO-ECONOMY
6. Trends Create Risks
… & Opportunities
How do these impact science, or
are impacted by science?
What are key technological or
other factors that are dependent
on science?
What must exist for science to
succeed?
What decisions and choices do
we need to encourage today?
By whom? To take what actions?
Outcomes?
World Economic Forum, 2018
7. Summary of Your PerspectivesSUMMARY OF YOUR
PERSPECTIVES
• National sentiment increases
competition, stifles collaboration
• Tech in rogue hands damages
humanity
• Tech vastly improves/
incentivizes data exchange
• Tech creates collaborative/open
ecosystem for science
• Tech offers opportunity for more
crowdsourced training vice
traditional training
• More crowdsourced training
• Science can share outcomes to
mitigate unemployment, climate
change, other risks
• Science as distributed networked
process can provide stability
through changes
• Science is a beacon for work if
barriers to entry are adjusted
• Social sciences could salve
polarized societies
• Science can extend lifespan with
increased QoL
TRENDS/RISKS THAT
IMPACT SCIENCE
SCIENCE IMPACTS
TO TRENDS/RISKS
• Collective governance model built
on mutual understanding
• Shared data & security ownership
• Institutions understand
importance of patient input and
greater trust
• Technologies exist to securely
gather and utilize patient input
• Faster/flexible funding
REQUIRED FOR
SCIENCE TO SUCCEED
• Understand flow of information in
your area of scope & around
• Piloting new tech
• Refining new tech application
• Educating and getting input from
current & future scientist/admin
• Ensure equity
• Exploring current and potential
barriers to science/tech
• Testing blockchain smart contract
decisions with regard to impact,
foreseeable misuse
• Increase transparency of data
• Foster innovation in regulation &
funding process
DECISIONS &
ACTIONS NEEDED
8. FUTURE SCENARIOS
As the risks to interstate
conflict rise, states cut
ties with trade and
economic partners and
the path to globalization
grinds to a halt.
The US and China
engage on a range of
issues, which leads to
broader international
cooperation.
Stifled Momentum Collaboration
As the US loses its status
as hegemon, some
countries become big
winners and others fail,
triggering inequalities
within countries which
increases social
tensions.
Pandora’s Box
Driven by emerging
technologies, nonstate
actors begin to take the
lead in confronting
international challenges.
Rise of the Nonstate
9. DECISIONS & ACTIONS
• What decisions and choices do we need to encourage today for each of
those scenarios?
• What are the common decisions and actions across those scenarios?
• Who should make those decisions and/or take those actions?
