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Presented By:
SAKIB FARHAZ
MS IN AGRICULTURAL EXTENSION & INFORMATION SYSTEM
WELCOME TO MY
Seminar Presentation
2
TITLE
CLIMATE CHANGE IMPACTS AND VULNERABILITY:
HOW BANGLADESH RESPONSE?
3
INTRODUCTION
OBJECTIVES
MATERIALS AND METHODS
RESULTS AND DISCUSSION
CONCLUSION AND RECOMMENDATIONS
OUTLINE
4
INTRODUCTION
01
5
INTRODUCTION
VULNERABILITY TO CLIMATE CHANGE: is the degree to which a system is susceptible to, and
unable to cope with, adverse effects of climate change, including climate variability and extremes.
Vulnerability is a function of the character, magnitude and rate of climate change and variation to
which a system is EXPOSED, its SENSITIVITY, and its ADAPTIVE CAPACITY (IPCC) .
CO2
concentration
Highest
In at least
2 million years
Glaciers
retreat
Unprecedented
In at least
2000 years
Sea level
rise
Fastest rates
In at least
3000 years
Temperature
rise
Extreme heat
since
1975
Source: IPCC(AR5)
6
CLIMATE CHANGE
VULNAREBILITY
EXPOSURE
DROUGHT
FLOOD
WINDSTROM
HEAT/CLODNESS
MUDSLIDE
SENSIVITY
WATER
ENERGY
LAND
LIVESTOCK
HOUSE
ADAPTIVE CAPACITY
HUMAN CAPITAL
SOCIAL CAPITAL
PHYSICAL CAPITAL
FINANCIAL CAPITAL
Vulnerability to climate change:
Source: EEA, 2012
7
INTRODUCTION
Bangladesh is one of the most vulnerable countries in the world to climate-related hazards such as
cyclones and floods. UNISDR estimated the average annual losses to disaster at around $3 billion, or
around 1% to 2% of GDP, UNISDR (2018).
Source: Climate Risk Index (GermanWatch, 2021)
8
OBJECTIVES
02
9
OBJECTIVES
 To know the causes of climate change and vulnerability.
 To know the possible impacts of climate change on different sectors.
 To know how Bangladesh responses to minimize the extreme effect of
climate change.
10
MATERIALS AND METHODS
03
11
MATERIALS AND METHODS
Source
Google
SAU Digital library
Time Frame
05 to 08 February, 2023
Papers published from
2000 to 2022
Materials
Research papers
Books
Different org. articles
12
RESULT AND DISCUSSION
04
13
RESULT AND DISCUSSION
141
86
5 5 9
22
29
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
No
of
Events
Natural Disaster
No. of Events
Figure 1. Frequency of Natural Disaster in Bangladesh since 1972 (EM-DAT/CRED).
14
Impacts of Natural Disasters
Table 1. Impacts of Natural Disasters on Bangladesh Since 1972 (EM-DAT)
Source: STM Journals, 2018
Disaster Type Total Deaths Total Affected
Flood 4,22,79 30,42,56,323
Storm 17,42,88 6,34,45,949
Epidemic 10,188 30,42,429
landslide 263 1,36,470
Extreme Heat 2440 4,14,200
Earthquake 45 19,395
Drought 18 2,50,02,000
Total 22,95,21 39,63,16,766
15
Recent Cyclone in Bangladesh
Table 2. Recent Cyclone in Bangladesh
Source: ReliefWeb (a humanitarian information portal), 2022
Year Cyclone Deaths of people
Economic loss
(US$)
Nov 15, 2007 Sidr 10,000 1,700 billion
May 27-29, 2009 Aila 190 269.28 million
May 16-17, 2013 Mahasen 17 35.3 million
Jul 29, 2015 Komen 45 18.1 million
May 21, 2016 Roanu 30 19.3 million
May 29-31, 2017 Mora 7 34.2 million
May 4, 2019 Fani 3 63.6 million
Nov 9, 2019 Bulbul 25 31 million
May 20, 2020 Amphan 23 131 million
May 26, 2021 Yaas 2 21.3 million
16
Plate 1: Cyclone Sidr
Plate 3: Cyclone Fani
Cyclone Images
Plate 2: Cyclone Aila
Plate 4: Cyclone Amphan
17
Fig. 2: Frequency of Flood in Bangladesh on the Basis of
their Types (EM-DAT/CRED)
Reverine flood
54%
Flash flood
13%
Coastal Area
2%
Others
31%
Reverine flood Flash flood Coastal Area Others
Flood in Bangladesh
Table 3. Total Impacts of Flood Since 1972 (EM-DAT/CRED).
Total
Event
Total
Deaths
Total Affected
Total Area
Affected (km2)
86 42279 396316766 747230.11
Source: STM Journals, 2018
18
Sea level rises due to climate change
Source: IPCC, 2019
Fig. 3: Sea level rises due to climate change in Bangladesh:
19
Sea level rises due to climate change
Fig. 4: Sea level rises due to climate change in Bangladesh
20
Average Surface Temperature
Source: CEGIS analysis based on BMD data.
Figure 5: Average Surface Temperature (1961-2019)
21
Average Annual Precipitation
Source: CEGIS analysis based on BMD data.
Table:
Figure 5: Average Annual Precipitation (1961-2019)
22
Annualized rice yield loss in Bangladesh
Figure 6: Cumulative annualized rice yield loss in Bangladesh accounting for 14 yield-loss-determinants
at different phases of production systems.
23
Food security status
Figure 7: National level food security status over the years in Bangladesh.
24
Impacts of Climate Change:
Source: IPCC(AR5)
Table 4: Vulnerability of Bangladesh to the Impacts of Climate Change:
Impacts Projection
Rising sea levels
sea levels rise by 1-2 feet by the end of the century,
17% of Bangladesh's land area at risk of being flooded.
Increased frequency and
severity of natural disasters
increased by 4-5 times since the 1950s, and the
damage has increased by 6 times over the same period.
Impacts on agriculture
changes in temperatures and rainfall patterns have
reduced crop yields by up to 20%
Economic impacts
costs of natural disasters in Bangladesh could increase
from 0.5% of GDP in 2010 to 2% of GDP by 2050.
Increased water scarcity
Around 80 percent of the people in the coastal region
of Bangladesh are deprived of drinking water and the
situation is expected to worsen as sea levels rise
Saltwater intrusion
saltwater intrusion has affected over 2 million people
in coastal areas
25
Overall effects of climate change
Figure 8: The overall effects of climate change on food security in Bangladesh
Climate
Change
Temperature,
Rainfall,
Sea level Rise
Flood,
Drought,
Cyclone,
Salinity
Food Security
(Agriculture,
Fishers &
Livestock)
26
BANGLADESH’S RESPONSE
Policy Response at National Level:
1. Bangladesh Climate Change Strategy and Action Plan (BCCSAP), 2009 (Updated in 2022)
2. Bangladesh Climate Change Trust Act, 2010
3. Nationally Determined Contributions (NDC), 2015 (Enhanced & Updated in 2021)
4. Bangladesh Delta Plan, 2100
5. National Adaptation Plan (NAP), 2023-2050
6. Mujib Climate Prosperity Plan (MCPP) 2022-2041
7. Plan of Action to Implement Sendai Framework for Disaster Risk Reduction 2015-2030
8. National Solar Energy Roadmap, 2021-2041
9. Bangladesh Energy Efficiency and Conservation Master Plan up to 2030
10.National Action Plan for Clean Cooking, 2020-2030
27
National Climate Finance Mechanism - Bangladesh Climate Change Trust Fund (BCCTF)
28
BANGLADESH’S RESPONSE
Adaptation Measures in Agriculture: Government of Bangladesh has undertaken research on the
development of drought, cold, waterlog, diseases, pest and salt tolerant crop varieties to cope with the
changing climate.
1. Early harvest short duration rice varieties: BRRI dhan 62 (100 days)
2. Drought tolerant early varieties: BRRI dhan 42, BRRI dhan 43
3. Salt tolerant rice varieties: BRRI dhan 23, BRRI dhan 40, BRRI dhan 41
4. Flooding tolerant varieties: BRRI dhan51, BRRI dhan52
5. Stress tolerant other crop varieties: BARI Gom 22(heat tolerant);
BARI Hybrid Maize 16 (salt tolerant);
BARI Hybrid Maize 12, 13(drought tolerant).
6. Floating Agriculture: vegetables and spices
29
CONCLUTION
05
30
CONCLUSION
 IPCC projects climate change to worsen with increasing heat waves, altered seasons, and changes
in precipitation affecting floods and droughts in all regions with 1.5°C of global warming.
 The future of food security is threatened by the increasing risk of severe disasters due to climate
change.
 Rising temperatures, climate-sensitive agrarian economies in the region will face serious
crises.
 Bangladesh is taking proactive measures to address the impacts of climate change by implementing
adaptation strategies to enhance food security, increase resilience to disaster and climate risks,
protect local ecosystems, and reduce overall vulnerability.
 Risk reduction measures, such as drought-proofing, flood protection, saline embankments, bio-
shields, and alternative livelihood development, must be developed and adapted to changing climate
scenarios.
31
RECOMMENDATIONS
06
32
Climate Smart Agriculture:
Bangladesh should take steps to develop integrated food security and
sustainable production by using Climate Smart Agriculture.
Strengthen Research and Development:
Bangladesh should Increase investment in research and development for
climate-resilient technologies
Strengthen adaptation measures:
Bangladesh should continue to invest in and implement effective
adaptation measures, including the expansion of disaster risk reduction
and early warning systems, and the development of climate-resilient
infrastructure.
01
02
03
RECOMMENDATIONS
Enhance mitigation efforts:
Bangladesh should take steps to reduce its greenhouse gas
emissions, including through the promotion of clean energy, energy
efficiency, and sustainable transportation
Promote public-private partnerships
Bangladesh should encourage public-private partnerships to support
the implementation of climate change initiatives, including financing
for renewable energy and other climate-friendly projects.
Increase climate education and awareness:
Bangladesh should invest in education and awareness-raising
initiatives to increase public understanding of climate change and to
build the capacity of communities to respond to its impacts.
04
05
06
33
34
THANK YOU
ANY QUERIES PLEASE!!!

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CLIMATE CHANGE IMPACTS AND VULNERABILITY: HOW BANGLADESH RESPONSE?

  • 1. Presented By: SAKIB FARHAZ MS IN AGRICULTURAL EXTENSION & INFORMATION SYSTEM WELCOME TO MY Seminar Presentation
  • 2. 2 TITLE CLIMATE CHANGE IMPACTS AND VULNERABILITY: HOW BANGLADESH RESPONSE?
  • 3. 3 INTRODUCTION OBJECTIVES MATERIALS AND METHODS RESULTS AND DISCUSSION CONCLUSION AND RECOMMENDATIONS OUTLINE
  • 5. 5 INTRODUCTION VULNERABILITY TO CLIMATE CHANGE: is the degree to which a system is susceptible to, and unable to cope with, adverse effects of climate change, including climate variability and extremes. Vulnerability is a function of the character, magnitude and rate of climate change and variation to which a system is EXPOSED, its SENSITIVITY, and its ADAPTIVE CAPACITY (IPCC) . CO2 concentration Highest In at least 2 million years Glaciers retreat Unprecedented In at least 2000 years Sea level rise Fastest rates In at least 3000 years Temperature rise Extreme heat since 1975 Source: IPCC(AR5)
  • 6. 6 CLIMATE CHANGE VULNAREBILITY EXPOSURE DROUGHT FLOOD WINDSTROM HEAT/CLODNESS MUDSLIDE SENSIVITY WATER ENERGY LAND LIVESTOCK HOUSE ADAPTIVE CAPACITY HUMAN CAPITAL SOCIAL CAPITAL PHYSICAL CAPITAL FINANCIAL CAPITAL Vulnerability to climate change: Source: EEA, 2012
  • 7. 7 INTRODUCTION Bangladesh is one of the most vulnerable countries in the world to climate-related hazards such as cyclones and floods. UNISDR estimated the average annual losses to disaster at around $3 billion, or around 1% to 2% of GDP, UNISDR (2018). Source: Climate Risk Index (GermanWatch, 2021)
  • 9. 9 OBJECTIVES  To know the causes of climate change and vulnerability.  To know the possible impacts of climate change on different sectors.  To know how Bangladesh responses to minimize the extreme effect of climate change.
  • 11. 11 MATERIALS AND METHODS Source Google SAU Digital library Time Frame 05 to 08 February, 2023 Papers published from 2000 to 2022 Materials Research papers Books Different org. articles
  • 13. 13 RESULT AND DISCUSSION 141 86 5 5 9 22 29 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 No of Events Natural Disaster No. of Events Figure 1. Frequency of Natural Disaster in Bangladesh since 1972 (EM-DAT/CRED).
  • 14. 14 Impacts of Natural Disasters Table 1. Impacts of Natural Disasters on Bangladesh Since 1972 (EM-DAT) Source: STM Journals, 2018 Disaster Type Total Deaths Total Affected Flood 4,22,79 30,42,56,323 Storm 17,42,88 6,34,45,949 Epidemic 10,188 30,42,429 landslide 263 1,36,470 Extreme Heat 2440 4,14,200 Earthquake 45 19,395 Drought 18 2,50,02,000 Total 22,95,21 39,63,16,766
  • 15. 15 Recent Cyclone in Bangladesh Table 2. Recent Cyclone in Bangladesh Source: ReliefWeb (a humanitarian information portal), 2022 Year Cyclone Deaths of people Economic loss (US$) Nov 15, 2007 Sidr 10,000 1,700 billion May 27-29, 2009 Aila 190 269.28 million May 16-17, 2013 Mahasen 17 35.3 million Jul 29, 2015 Komen 45 18.1 million May 21, 2016 Roanu 30 19.3 million May 29-31, 2017 Mora 7 34.2 million May 4, 2019 Fani 3 63.6 million Nov 9, 2019 Bulbul 25 31 million May 20, 2020 Amphan 23 131 million May 26, 2021 Yaas 2 21.3 million
  • 16. 16 Plate 1: Cyclone Sidr Plate 3: Cyclone Fani Cyclone Images Plate 2: Cyclone Aila Plate 4: Cyclone Amphan
  • 17. 17 Fig. 2: Frequency of Flood in Bangladesh on the Basis of their Types (EM-DAT/CRED) Reverine flood 54% Flash flood 13% Coastal Area 2% Others 31% Reverine flood Flash flood Coastal Area Others Flood in Bangladesh Table 3. Total Impacts of Flood Since 1972 (EM-DAT/CRED). Total Event Total Deaths Total Affected Total Area Affected (km2) 86 42279 396316766 747230.11 Source: STM Journals, 2018
  • 18. 18 Sea level rises due to climate change Source: IPCC, 2019 Fig. 3: Sea level rises due to climate change in Bangladesh:
  • 19. 19 Sea level rises due to climate change Fig. 4: Sea level rises due to climate change in Bangladesh
  • 20. 20 Average Surface Temperature Source: CEGIS analysis based on BMD data. Figure 5: Average Surface Temperature (1961-2019)
  • 21. 21 Average Annual Precipitation Source: CEGIS analysis based on BMD data. Table: Figure 5: Average Annual Precipitation (1961-2019)
  • 22. 22 Annualized rice yield loss in Bangladesh Figure 6: Cumulative annualized rice yield loss in Bangladesh accounting for 14 yield-loss-determinants at different phases of production systems.
  • 23. 23 Food security status Figure 7: National level food security status over the years in Bangladesh.
  • 24. 24 Impacts of Climate Change: Source: IPCC(AR5) Table 4: Vulnerability of Bangladesh to the Impacts of Climate Change: Impacts Projection Rising sea levels sea levels rise by 1-2 feet by the end of the century, 17% of Bangladesh's land area at risk of being flooded. Increased frequency and severity of natural disasters increased by 4-5 times since the 1950s, and the damage has increased by 6 times over the same period. Impacts on agriculture changes in temperatures and rainfall patterns have reduced crop yields by up to 20% Economic impacts costs of natural disasters in Bangladesh could increase from 0.5% of GDP in 2010 to 2% of GDP by 2050. Increased water scarcity Around 80 percent of the people in the coastal region of Bangladesh are deprived of drinking water and the situation is expected to worsen as sea levels rise Saltwater intrusion saltwater intrusion has affected over 2 million people in coastal areas
  • 25. 25 Overall effects of climate change Figure 8: The overall effects of climate change on food security in Bangladesh Climate Change Temperature, Rainfall, Sea level Rise Flood, Drought, Cyclone, Salinity Food Security (Agriculture, Fishers & Livestock)
  • 26. 26 BANGLADESH’S RESPONSE Policy Response at National Level: 1. Bangladesh Climate Change Strategy and Action Plan (BCCSAP), 2009 (Updated in 2022) 2. Bangladesh Climate Change Trust Act, 2010 3. Nationally Determined Contributions (NDC), 2015 (Enhanced & Updated in 2021) 4. Bangladesh Delta Plan, 2100 5. National Adaptation Plan (NAP), 2023-2050 6. Mujib Climate Prosperity Plan (MCPP) 2022-2041 7. Plan of Action to Implement Sendai Framework for Disaster Risk Reduction 2015-2030 8. National Solar Energy Roadmap, 2021-2041 9. Bangladesh Energy Efficiency and Conservation Master Plan up to 2030 10.National Action Plan for Clean Cooking, 2020-2030
  • 27. 27 National Climate Finance Mechanism - Bangladesh Climate Change Trust Fund (BCCTF)
  • 28. 28 BANGLADESH’S RESPONSE Adaptation Measures in Agriculture: Government of Bangladesh has undertaken research on the development of drought, cold, waterlog, diseases, pest and salt tolerant crop varieties to cope with the changing climate. 1. Early harvest short duration rice varieties: BRRI dhan 62 (100 days) 2. Drought tolerant early varieties: BRRI dhan 42, BRRI dhan 43 3. Salt tolerant rice varieties: BRRI dhan 23, BRRI dhan 40, BRRI dhan 41 4. Flooding tolerant varieties: BRRI dhan51, BRRI dhan52 5. Stress tolerant other crop varieties: BARI Gom 22(heat tolerant); BARI Hybrid Maize 16 (salt tolerant); BARI Hybrid Maize 12, 13(drought tolerant). 6. Floating Agriculture: vegetables and spices
  • 30. 30 CONCLUSION  IPCC projects climate change to worsen with increasing heat waves, altered seasons, and changes in precipitation affecting floods and droughts in all regions with 1.5°C of global warming.  The future of food security is threatened by the increasing risk of severe disasters due to climate change.  Rising temperatures, climate-sensitive agrarian economies in the region will face serious crises.  Bangladesh is taking proactive measures to address the impacts of climate change by implementing adaptation strategies to enhance food security, increase resilience to disaster and climate risks, protect local ecosystems, and reduce overall vulnerability.  Risk reduction measures, such as drought-proofing, flood protection, saline embankments, bio- shields, and alternative livelihood development, must be developed and adapted to changing climate scenarios.
  • 32. 32 Climate Smart Agriculture: Bangladesh should take steps to develop integrated food security and sustainable production by using Climate Smart Agriculture. Strengthen Research and Development: Bangladesh should Increase investment in research and development for climate-resilient technologies Strengthen adaptation measures: Bangladesh should continue to invest in and implement effective adaptation measures, including the expansion of disaster risk reduction and early warning systems, and the development of climate-resilient infrastructure. 01 02 03 RECOMMENDATIONS Enhance mitigation efforts: Bangladesh should take steps to reduce its greenhouse gas emissions, including through the promotion of clean energy, energy efficiency, and sustainable transportation Promote public-private partnerships Bangladesh should encourage public-private partnerships to support the implementation of climate change initiatives, including financing for renewable energy and other climate-friendly projects. Increase climate education and awareness: Bangladesh should invest in education and awareness-raising initiatives to increase public understanding of climate change and to build the capacity of communities to respond to its impacts. 04 05 06
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