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1
POL 190 Introduction to Comparative Politics
Department of Political Science
University of Michigan- Flint
Fall 2015
Current Affairs Major Paper: GUIDELINES
This Project is worth 10% of the total course grade. There are
two objectives: a) give students
opportunities to use available electronic resources at the UM-
Flint library, b) provide students an
opportunity to connect on of the concepts introduced in the
course to recent developments in a specific
country.
Completed Projects are due by WEDNESDAY DECEMBER 16
by 5.00pm at the POL Department office,
220 French Hall.
1. Requirements
The core activity for this paper is to identify relevant articles
from news sources, and write a brief report
on a specific issue/conflict.
a) Essays must make use of (and refer to) at least four (5) news
articles. These articles may be from
newspapers, news magazines, or academic journals. These
sources must be published: online webpages
do not qualify. Class texts and articles (e.g. Drogus/Orvis) may
be used as background sources, but do
not qualify as one of the four cited sources and should not be
used as a source for substantial sections of
the paper.
b) Use concepts/processes from class to discuss the specific
case selected. Students may refer to and
draw from Drogus/Orvis text (although this will not be adequate
as a source). Comparison of the
country/case with other countries described in Drogus/Orvis is
recommended.
c) Should point out why/how the issue has recent significant for
the politics of the country being
studied. Papers on broad historical topics or past events, on
non-political issues will not qualify as having
met core requirements for this project.
d) While the paper is about a current/contemporary political
issue, general information from unofficial
websites, ‘blogs’ or special interest groups will not be accepted
as valid sources. ‘Google’ searches are
strongly discouraged. Acceptable news sources include:
newspapers, news wire services.
e) Format:
-inch margins, Double spaced, 12 pt. font
an ‘Introduction’ section and a
‘Conclusion/discussion’ section
format
2
2. Country Assignment
The Current Affairs Major paper must be written on one of the
topics listed below. Choices are arranged
by student UMID numbers: identify your choices by locating
your group using the first digits of your
UMID number (on your UMID card):
Student Group:
UMID Range
Paper Topic Choices
(choose one topic from these options)
Regimes: Stability or
Change Processes
Political Economy Elections and
Institutions
179000-11599999 Democratization in
Myanmar
Impact of low oil prices
on Nigeria
Canada 2015
12400000-25099999 Democratic Consolidation in
Tunisia
Debt crisis in Greece Turkey 2015
25200000-32899999 Democratic Consolidation in
Guatemala
Financial crisis in China Nigeria 2015
32900000-47999999 Democratization in Nepal Education policy
in
Germany
Burkina Faso 2015
49600000-61699999 Non-Democracy in Cuba Energy policy
South
Africa
Israel 2015
64700000-77599999 Democratic Consolidation
or Erosion in Pakistan
Corruption in Brazil Spain 2015
80600000-97099999 Non-Democracy in Belarus Health care
policy in
China
Indonesia 2014
Please feel free to see me to discuss your topic/ideas at any time
for feedback and advice.
3. Access to Sources (UM-Flint Library Resources for Country-
specific News)
This project must be based on news articles that are available
through one or more of the UM-Flint
library’s database search engines.
http://www.umflint.edu/library/. Select “Databases: Indexes
and Full Text Articles” from the main page.
-
Nexis are recommended)
Searching the databases: Type in a few of the
terms/descriptors for the topic. This will require
trial and error as well as good judgment. Typing the words
“India” and “Pakistan” for instance
will generate a list of all the articles that include those terms in
the title or text. This broad
search will result in many (too many) citations: narrow the
search by date, kind of source (only
newspapers, for example), or by adding additional search terms.
for the
paper. Give preference to content-
rich articles (usually longer ones). Use these articles as the
sources for the paper.
http://www.umflint.edu/library/
POL 190 Institutions and Participation Notes 1
POL 190 POLITICAL INSTITUTIONS and PARTICIPATION in
Democracies
Why does politics and policy making differ across democracies?
While all democracies share
core/common features (elections, representative government,
accountability and basic rights), both the
process (who makes policies and how) and the outcome of
policy-making (the content of policies) varies
greatly across these countries.
Institutional differences are the key element that explains this
variation:
-making
s shape the number of actors/players who
participate, and the relationship between
them
A simple model can illustrate this process:
Institutions Characteristics of Policies
Structure of decision-making -Who benefits?
‘Veto points’ -Timing/responsiveness
-Coherence of policy
Needs, -Quality of policies/effectiveness
Demand for -Costs of policy
Policies Participants/Actors -Accountability
Number of actors (e.g. parties) -Transparency
Level of conflict -Deliberation
INSTITUTIONS
‘Institution’ refers to the basic ‘rules of the game’ that structure
politics: these organize the decision-
making process (e.g. legislatures, executives), and the number
of actors (e.g. the number of parties).
Two basic sets of rules shape governing/decision-making in
democracies:
government and regional
authorities: Where is power located? How centralized is
political power ‘geographically’? Are all
policies made in one location, or are some capabilities
‘delegated’ to sub-national authorities?
Two Options: Federal or Unitary arrangements
central government: How are
laws made and power distributed within government? Who
holds representatives accountable?
Options: Presidential or Parliamentary or Semi-Presidential
arrangements
A critical comparative concept in understanding the role of
institutions is the ‘veto point’: these are
decision points in a political system where policy-making faces
an obstacle or where a policy can be
‘vetoed’ by particular actors. Some arrangements of political
institutions have more ‘veto-points’ than
others, leading to substantial differences in how and when
policies are made (or fail to be made). Veto
points also tell us how much power rests in the hands of groups
of elected officials.
POL 190 Institutions and Participation Notes 2
I. Unitary vs. Federal systems
The geographical/physical location of decision-making power is
the main criteria: is all decision
making done by leaders in the capital city (centralized), or is
decision making shared with regions (i.e.
decentralized)?
highly centralized
state and regions
Basic
Feature
Degree of Centralization of Political Authority
Unitary
Federal
Power/authority is highly centralized in the
central government
Decentralized power/authority; regions share
decision-making power with the center
Cases,
Examples
UK, France, Japan, (and the majority of
the countries of the world)
US, Germany, Mexico, Canada, Nigeria,
Brazil, India, Russia
Some
Advantages
incentive to participate in central
government decisions
development and reduces
regional disparities
administration
government
political affairs
addressed by the central government
Some
Disadvantages
regional needs
cultural majority to dominate the
state and to marginalize
regionally distinct minorities
and authority, and so endangers
citizen control over leaders
d policy-making with
uniform application may make for
large scale errors
government and duplication of efforts
“separatism” and “secession” by
dissatisfied regions
onment for
culturally distinct groups in some
regions to be victimized
and an uneven application of laws
process: conflicts over ‘who has
authority’
over-
represented’: malapportionment
NOTE: ‘Federalism’ is NOT synonymous with having a
president, the separation of powers in a
constitution, or with having a democracy. The US is also not
the only country that has a federal
arrangement of the state. Some non-democracies have been
federal (Brazil, Nigeria, USSR). Federalism
is not the same everywhere: there are significant differences
between the organization of federalism in
the Brazil, US, Germany, and India.
Degree of Regional Autonomy in Federal countries
Low regional
autonomy
(strong center)
High regional
autonomy
Russia India
US
Canada Brazil
Germany
Switzerland
POL 190 Institutions and Participation Notes 3
II. Presidential vs. Parliamentary systems
While all democracies have certain basic guarantees about the
selection of leaders, accountability, and
the rights of individuals, the central government may be
organized in different ways. The two most
common forms are the parliamentary approach (the fused
authority system used in the UK, Canada,
and most democracies around the world) and the presidential
approach (the separation of powers
system at work in the US and Latin America). A few countries
combine elements of both types (France
and Russia for example).
The Presidential System (‘separation of powers’)
EXECUTIVE:
V elect President nominates
(selects Cabinet)
O
T “checks and balances” Judiciary
[separate
E elections]
R Majority Party/
parties
S elect
Minority Party/ approves
parties
LEGISLATURE
Representatives in “Congress”
Basic Features
ritten formal Constitution: essential to regulate this
complex system
legislature (Congress)
-conflict
relationship: checks and balances
egular elections are necessary: many offices/posts to
be filled
predictable, regular change, accountability
many representatives can act for
voters
approve. Extensive review/scrutiny of
proposals
consistent, and conform to the constitution)
y “losing” an election (the minority party) can still
propose laws, have influence
POL 190 Institutions and Participation Notes 4
The Parliamentary system (‘fused’ authority)
EXECUTIVE:
V PM, Cabinet
O
T
E select LEGISLATURE
R elect Representatives in
S [single election] Majority/Governing a single
Parliament
Party/parties
Minority Party/parties
“Opposition”
Basic Features
decision-making (not separate powers)
Cabinet officers) from the members of
the majority (a single majority party, or coalition of parties)
at the same time: the maximum
term between elections is fixed by law, BUT
PM/Cabinet cannot act without majority
support, and may call on the electorate to validate their
decisions and control of parliament)
parliament for non-performance: a “Vote of no
confidence” (The PM is given power by, and is always
accountable to the majority in parliament)
more coordinated, and focused on
policy/ideology and presentation of a clear ‘manifesto’ of
policy goals in order to win a majority in the
general election
‘popular will’. Majority rule in parliament
means there is a limited role for the judiciary, and a
written/formal constitution is not essential
nted by the parliamentary
majority: law-making is easy, reflects the
majority
An alternative: The Semi-Presidential System
Most of the world’s democracies use either the presidential or
parliamentary system. For the sake of
completeness, however we should note that some countries use
the ‘semi-presidential’ system.
Legislature and Executive, with
separation of powers and checks and balances), AND with the
addition of a PM that represents
the majority in the Legislature (like in the parliamentary
system).
democracies have adopted this model of
government since the 1980s. It is also the system adopted by
Iraq in 2004.
e main advantage: it allows for the legislature to be more
organized/coordinated in balancing
the powers of the president, and for holding the president
accountable. It is an improvement of
the checks and balances of the presidential system
-presidential system can have two negative results.
It may deepen conflict between the
2 branches of government: it leads to an inevitable conflict over
defining the powers of the
president and the powers of the PM. Second (paradoxically), the
system may actually make the
president stronger when the president, PM and majority are all
from the same party.
POL 190 Institutions and Participation Notes 5
Accountability in Presidential and Parliamentary systems of
government
Presidential
Parliamentary
Vertical accountability
(control over elected
officials by voters)
opportunities for voters
predictable, allows voters to
evaluate officials and to
replace/remove officials
raises stakes and visibility of
choices for voters and
candidates
public/majority control over
whole legislature
Horizontal accountability
(control over elected
officials by other players
within government)
powers (executive,
legislative, judicial)
mandatory oversight, joint
decision-making by
executive and legislature
officials
oversight
immediate removal and
replacement of the
PM/cabinet
PM/Cabinet to Majority MPs.
Executive accountable to
majority members
n in parliament acts
as public watch-dog (non-veto
oversight) of majority
oversight (limited)
Combining Political Institutions
So far we have looked at these institutional
arrangements/choices (federal vs. unitary, and presidential
vs. parliamentary) as separate ways of structuring government.
We should, however remember that
these sets of rules are combined in specific countries and that
the combination is the basic building
blocks for organizing democratic politics.
The combination of institutions allows us to make several
observations about important aspects of
politics in democratic countries:
‘veto points’
ng the levels and branches of
government
respond to crises)
constitution)
ect
representatives (how many elections—
‘vertical accountability’)
behalf
(‘horizontal accountability’)
portunities that lobbyists/interest groups
can have to influence the process
POL 190 Institutions and Participation Notes 6
Executive-Legislative System
Presidential
(separation of powers)
Parliamentary
(fusion of powers)
Geographical
Centralization
of Authority
Federal
(de-centralized
decision-making)
Maximum veto-points,
largest number of decision
makers
(e.g. US, Nigeria, Brazil,
Venezuela)
Few veto points in the central
government, important veto
points at the regional level
(e.g. India, Canada,
Germany)
Unitary
(centralized decision-
making)
Important veto points in the
central government, no
important veto points at the
regional level
(e.g. Peru, Colombia, Chile,
South Korea)
Minimum veto-points,
fewest number of decision
makers
(e.g. Japan, UK, Spain,
Sweden)
Thus far the discussion has focused on the institutions that
structure government. Within each
set/combination of rules, however, the number of actors is also
a critical ingredient:
These are critical issues, as the number of players can add an
additional layer of complexity in the
system. In some democracies, there may coalitions of parties
that control the legislature. In others there
may be a single party that controls the legislative and executive
functions.
The next section discusses how parties interact with governing
institutions in democracies to create
specific kinds of results.
POL 190 Institutions and Participation Notes 7
III. Party Systems and Election Rules in Democracies
Central Question: Why does the number of parties differ across
democracies?
The number of parties in a democracy has implications of the
question for the number of choices/options
that voters have, the level/quality of public debate, and the
ability of voters to ensure oversight/
accountability over government
Types of ‘Party Systems’: over time, a democracy may develop
a relatively stable ‘set’ of parties
every election and governs
continuously. e.g., Mexico’s PRI until 2000; Japan’s LDP until
1990s, the ANC in South Africa
since 1994
Two-
compete. e.g., UK, U.S.
votes but not enough for majority,
which requires coalition with a smaller third party e.g.,
Germany, Canada
Multi-
and must govern in coalition
e.g., India, Israel, most of Western Europe
2 Explanations for the number of parties in a democracy
Sociological Explanation
the divisions or ‘social cleavages’ e.g.
divisions between classes (in the
UK and Germany) or between regions/culture/languages (e.g. in
India, Canada, Nigeria)
Institutional Explanation
shapes the party system. ‘Duverger’s
of two parties; other systems lead
to multiple parties in the legislature
Election Rules in Democracies
2 most common systems for legislative elections: ‘First Past the
Post’ (FPTP) or simple majority vs.
Proportional Representation (PR)
The First Past the Post, ‘Simple Majority’ or ‘Majoritarian’
Election Rule (e.g. the US, UK, India,
Nigeria) (also known formally as the ‘single member district
plurality’ election system)
Basic Rules
majority of the votes wins election/seat
district (hence a ‘single member district’)
There is little incentive for voters who do not support one of
the 2 likely winners in a district
(and controls the legislature)
arties
(the two biggest parties dominate)
both of the 2 likely winners (not
third parties)
(not third parties)
Two Scenarios of a “Winning” Candidate under FPTP election
Rules
1. Simple (absolute) Majority winner
2. ‘Plurality’ Winner (not an absolute
majority)
Can
POL 190 Institutions and Participation Notes 8
Advantages of the FPTP election rule
parties make efforts to reach out to
many voters, and representation of groups lies within parties
each district, and a single party
controlling the legislature): voters have a clear focus for
accountability
-to-follow system for voters, media, interest groups: low
information/skill burden for voters
Problems of the FPTP election system
The FPTP system has been observed to create several important
problems: it often results in a legislature
or government that does not reflect the choices of a majority of
voters (a core principle of democratic
government)
necessarily the most votes. It may
thus lead to unrepresentative government and legislation (a
violation of the basic goals of
representative democracy).
(and thus depresses voter turnout over
time).
and very highly contested ones will be
“battleground” districts in elections. Parties will spend most of
their efforts trying to win in those
districts, and may make special appeals to voters there in order
to gain their support (even
though those districts have less than half of the total voters).
rs are “wasted”. supporters of small parties
are effectively excluded. They may
have had good policy ideas, or be the representatives of a
marginalized group. They have no
chance of winning a seat or control of the legislature. Their best
option after the election is to
merge with a larger party and so gain some representation in the
legislature.
election system reduces voter’s
choices to the two front runners and their policies. The
candidates of the two ‘viable’ parties
contesting elections at all levels seek to maximize their share of
the vote in many varied districts,
so the leaders of these parties have an incentive to offer broad
programs that appeal to all.
Proportional Representation (PR) Election system (e.g.
Germany, Sweden, Brazil)
Basic Rules of the PR system
received
ass legislation or to form a
government
PR election systems operate with what are called “multi-
member districts”: each district would have
several representatives from each party. The PR system thus
increases the number of legislators who
represent voters in each district to more than a single majority
‘winner’.
Who ‘wins’ a PR election? Answer: Coalitions of parties.
“What if many parties get only a small percentage (say, 1%) of
the total vote”? Answer: Hurdles or
Thresholds. Many countries operating the PR election system
have a ‘minimum required share of the
national vote’ (a hurdle): parties have to get a minimum of 5%
(a random number, it could be set at 2, 8,
or 10%) of the total vote to get their first seat. The effect:
reduction of the number of very small parties in
the legislature. Parties that can only muster less than 5% have a
strong incentive to merge, and to form a
larger vote-winning group.
Advantages of the PR system
voting choices of the public
public
POL 190 Institutions and Participation Notes 9
that voters can choose from
chances for accountability
lways the product
of explicit deals between parties, and
directly ties to voters demands
Problems of the PR Election rule
politics: small parties rewarded
ifficulty in assigning credit or
blame, or to evaluate various policies
even factions within parties
litions can dilute policy
options
attention than national issues
Election Rules Compared: ‘First Past the Post’ vs. ‘Proportional
Representation’
FPTP PR
Main focus of system geography/district centered Program/party
centered
# of competitive parties 2 more than 2
Need for coalitions generally low generally high
Impact on small parties negative, unless small parties
have strong regional support
base
positive, encourages their
formation and organization
Voter turnout
tendency to decline or be low tendency to be high
Combining Political Institutions Part 2: We can now integrate
the governing institutions with the
number of parties: the result is a more fine-grained comparison
of politics across democracies
Executive-Legislative System
Presidential
Parliamentary
Election system PR FPTP PR FPTP
Federal
Brazil (most
fragmented, most
veto points)
US, Nigeria
Germany*
India, Canada
Unitary
Peru
France
South Korea
UK (least
fragmented,
fewest veto
points)
Summary
The ‘payoff’ of investigating how institutional “rules of the
game” shape politics:
ions of
politicians
of laws/policies
executive branch politicians
(presidents vs. prime ministers)
e changed and re-arranged. New
democracies especially have the
opportunity to create constitutions that combine different
institutional rules.
options open to voters
elines for the controls that voters
have over their representatives
by understanding how institutional
rules affect the number of players and their degree of
cooperation or competition
POL 190 Institutions and Participation Notes 10
INSTITUTIONS and PARTICIPATION: List of Key Terms and
Concepts
tary system
-Presidential system
Minister
-presidential system
Horizontal accountability
-party system
majority/single member district plurality)
election system
election system
-list PR election system
-list PR election system
-member districts
voter
POL 190 Globalization and Development
Development Policies
Combinations of economic policies have been used by state
officials to foster growth and economic
change. Most state leaders see an interest in fostering economic
growth, but this is a challenge that may
not be completely within the control of the leaders of
developing countries. In addition, the policy
measures that they take may not actually lead to the desired
outcome.
Development policy has been a central element in addressing
the gap (in wealth, income, industry,
technology, health/education, life expectancy, etc) between
states.
There are two broad approaches: the market/neoliberal/laissez
faire, and the state-led/interventionist
approaches. Note the way that these ‘schools of thought’
provide different explanations for the problems
facing developing countries and opposed strategies:
Policy Type Market/Neo-liberal
development policy
State-led/Interventionist
development policy
Does Economic policy matter? Yes
Yes
What causes development? Free markets Strong states/high-
quality state
interventions
What causes
underdevelopment?
Too much state involvement Weak or poor/low-quality state
intervention
Main policy recommendation Reduce the state’s economic role
Build the state’s economic
capabilities
Cases that confirm the
recommended policy approach
UK, US South Korea, Singapore, Japan
Test case: Why has China been
successful?
After 1979, opening to the market
has led to economic success
After 1979, strong state remains
active in managing China’s
economy
Test Case: Why has sub-
Saharan African been
unsuccessful?
Too much state intervention,
corruption
Weak states, low capacity for
decision making or provision
good public policy
Economic policy has shifted away from the state-led approach
towards the market approach since the
1970s. Developing countries have made this shift in economic
policy through two processes:
bal corporations and
international organizations
political reasons
Over the last 40 years, economic policy and differences in
economic growth/wealth have also been
profoundly shaped by a larger process: ‘globalization’.
‘Globalization’: Basic Features
barriers to investment and speculation.
Firms became globally mobile/diversified
organize production around global
supply and manufacturing chains
environment, labor, product standards,
financial risk, etc
How? Historical Process of Contemporary Globalization: 1970s-
2000s
The modern global economy is a product of deliberate state
policy actions (and is not a ‘natural’ or
inevitable outcome of market forces)
POL 190 Globalization and Development 2
1970s: states have largely
abandoned efforts to control the value of currencies which are
now left up to global investors
transactions: 1970s-2000s: global financial
flows become greater than global trade flows by early 1980s
have been based on a global
supply of labor and differences in regulations: lower wages and
lower regulations have attracted
higher levels of investment and industry
export/import of goods), and
communication costs (impact on services) have accelerated
global trade. These reductions have
been sped up by state investment in infrastructure across the
globe
alternative economic models, and towards the
adoption of relatively uniform economic policies in developed
and developing countries after 1980s.
Outcome: globalization (should) lead to Convergence
Impact of Globalization
-industrialization: global shift in
industrial process. From high cost/wage
older industrialized regions to low-cost, low regulation regions
of the world
use/demand
Problems created by globalization
al economic breakdown
terrorism, human error.
corporations
between workers
of lower wages.
Basic Questions for the Future of Globalization
o Can the negative consequences by avoided or corrected?
o Is there a role for the state/politics? Does globalization
weaken/erode democracy?
o Is globalization a ‘race to the bottom’ (wages, standards etc
undermined by economic integration
with China, while global firms maximize profits)?
o Will social policies (e.g. those in welfare states) become
obsolete?
o Are international economic organizations the way to ‘govern’
globalization, or will they always be
just promoters of globalization?
o Is globalization sustainable? What will be the environmental
and resource cost of expanded
global production and consumption?
POL 190 Globalization and Development 3
5 EXAMPLE CASES:
The three largest ‘emerging markets’ in the era of globalization
(China, India, Brazil) have been important
engines driving the expansion of production, and have been the
largest targets of global investment. Has
this experience been the result of similar/common policies?
What might slow the further expansion of
these economies? Has globalization led to problems/challenges
in those countries?
China
Economy and Economic Policy setting pre-1978
-1978): Heavy industry, mixed
collective and small scale agriculture;
central planning; experimental phases in development
Globalization era: post 1978
onomic zones’: experimental regions opened to
global trade
Results
25 years), massive foreign
investment, rising role in global
manufacturing, trade, R&D; Capital surplus
net
migration
external markets
growth
workforce
India
Basic Economic Policy: pre 1991
-rural, and regional differences
tradition: ‘permit raj’, ISI
policies
Globalization and India after 1991
1991
role in global manufacturing, and
services
-scale firms: Infosys, Arcelor/Mittal,
Tata
Results
-tech vs. traditional economy
-owned assets
f domestic market
POL 190 Globalization and Development 4
Brazil
Political Economy in Brazil pre 1990
-led industrialization (ISI policies)
Brazil and Globalization since 1990
process complicates process
Impact/Results:
exports
Oil/Mineral Exporters: Globalization has expanded the demand
of raw materials and energy sources.
Has this had a positive or negative impact of this the
producing/exporting countries? What have been the
similarities between raw material/energy exporters?
Nigeria
Economic Policy setting
government. Agricultural exporter in
1960, early oil development.
Nigeria becomes net food importer. Oil
revenue contributes to corruption
-80s: neoliberal policies adopted. Little
positive impact
Impact of Globalization, rising demand for oil
revenue, exchange rate
services
-oil sectors of the economy
Russia
Economic Policy since 1991
1990s: transition to a capitalist economy (elimination of the
communist economic system)
Immediate result: economic decline, collapse
of industry
state autonomy
rising internal debt
Economic crisis of 1997: high debt; reduced
growth/investment
Oil economy since 2001
growth, investment
rate
-centralization of
economic power
POL 190 Political Economy
Political Economy: Interaction between economy/economic
exchanges and politics/state
Basic Economic Policies
States have a basic ‘repertoire’ of policies that can be used to
shape the economic environment
law and order, property rights
economy
and firms
ntrols on production, consumption,
business/economic activities
businesses, state-owned enterprises
for exporters
Positive and Negative Outcomes of Basic Economic Policies
Policy Positive economic impact (benefit) Negative economic
impact (cost)
infrastructure
rty
rules
development
Tax Policy
(Who? How?
What level/rate?)
redistribution
production, investment
stabilize banks
leads to debt, unstable finances
Spending
(What/who? What
level/rate?)
economy; reduce unemployment
Can lead to corruption
stimulate consumption
speculation, erode
confidence
to job loss, high prices
Increases corruption, bribery
Direct
intervention
crises
Risk of government
mismanagement
for firms to rely on bailouts
Trade policy
-standard goods
ads to higher prices
POL 190 Political Economy 2
Implications:
outcomes
(e.g. growth, investment,
employment, efficiency, stability)
positive or negative, only trade-offs
Classifying Economic policy ‘packages’
Economic policy varies with the extent/scale of state
intervention in the economy
-market (‘Laissez-faire’ or liberal) states (e.g. US)
India, China since the 1980s)
the 1980s, North Korea)
Strengths and weaknesses of 4 economic policy arrangements
(increasing levels of state
intervention)
Policy type Strengths/advantages Problems/disadvantages
Liberal free market/
laissez faire
(minimal state
involvement in the
economy)
equality, poverty
consumers
Welfare States
(expansive social
policies to reduce
inequality, expand
market, protect
consumers)
innovation, high productivity
inequality
-monopoly policy
enhances competition
bust
-cost production
for high deficits, debt
Developmental
states (‘strategic’
state support for
specific sectors)
competitive sectors or firms
es
innovation
sectors
resources/subsidies
regions/sectors
, inefficiency
Communism (total
state ownership/no
markets or private
property)
poverty reduction,
industrialization
innovations
n of basic
services
innovation
corruption
-Demand uncoordinated:
overproduction, underproduction
POL 190 Political Economy 3
4 EXAMPLE CASES
Key questions:
US: ‘free market’ model
little in the economy historically (in
19th century: regulation, subsidies, trade protectionism).
-era increases in regulations on businesses,
commodities, in the workplace
expanded; programs such as Social
Security and Medicare have remained. ‘Keynesian policy’ to
manage macro-economy: manage
fiscal policy (use tax, spending policies to stimulate demand,
consumption, production).
Regulation for banks
on of free trade and globalization
(although not always consistent when
U.S. interests threatened)
policies: government intervention
is minimal at the level of state ownership, but extensive at the
macro-economic level (tax policy,
interest rates). Since 1970s, ‘monetarist policy’ to manage
macro-economy: use tax cuts, low
interest rates, allow markets to set currency values (to stimulate
investment, production, supply)
Germany: ‘Welfare state’ model
extensive social spending programs to
eliminate poverty and raise standard of living
◦ Combines highly productive market economy and generous
welfare state
◦ Close relationships between private and public sectors. Unions
and businesses
cooperate to plan long term business strategies
(‘codetermination’)
fast export growth in 2000s. Single
Euro-currency places limits on government spending
continues. Globalization has raised
questions about viability — caused high unemployment and
problems financing social welfare
benefits.
Japan: ‘Developmental state’ model: success case
targeted/strategic export-led policy through
regulation, large conglomerates
e” — Japan
became world’s second largest
economy after 1950-80s
led to less government control,
complicated response, very slow recovery
supporting, promoting particular
industries/sectors. Low overall social spending by government
(no German-style welfare state):
depended on lifetime employment system within corporations
Brazil: ‘Developmental state’ model: unsuccessful case
example of evolution of developmental state policies
-80s) used ‘import substitution
industrialization’ policy to industrialize.
Initial success in stimulating industry and attracting investment
uption, inefficient industries,
high debts to finance program
-liberal’ economic model: Policies:
deregulation, privatization, structural
adjustment, free trade, reduction in spending (on social
policies)
re (IMF, World Bank), Brazil
shifted to more neoliberal policies (SAPs,
free trade, cut spending, etc), abandoned state-led industry
policy
-income country BUT
also high inequality and poverty, high
dependence on foreign investment, foreign export markets
POL 190 Introduction to Comparative Politics
Department of Political Science
University of Michigan-Flint
Fall 2015
FINAL ESSAY EXAM
General Instructions:
PART A, and one from
PART B
-spaced; Use 12 point fonts;
Use 1-inch margins
-5 double spaced pages
are equally important. Answer
each essay question in separate essays: do not combine your
responses into one essay
Drogus/Orvis, articles, notes. DO NOT use
material from any other source: use ONLY the material
assigned/required for this course.
with the assigned readings. Use
the system of citation with which you are most familiar
:
do not use folders, etc.
Science Office, 220 French Hall
PART A: Do ONE Question from this Section
1. Economic Policy Systems: States have developed systems of
basic economic policies like taxes,
spending, and regulations. a) Compare and contrast the
economic policies of welfare states (Germany)
and a liberal market economy (Brazil) and identify their main
differences. b) What are the basic features
of health and social policies in these countries? c) What are the
pros and cons of the ‘welfare state’ vs.
the ‘developmental state’ approaches to economic policy?
2. Globalization and development: Globalization has
transformed economic and political relationships
in states over the last 40 years. a) Describe and explain the main
features of globalization and the main
consequences (both positive and negative) of this process. b)
Compare China and India and identify how
they have had different experiences with globalization. c) What
policies have led to success in achieving
growth and development? What obstacles stand in the way of
each of these countries?
PART B: Do ONE Question from this Section
3. Political Institutions: Institutions have important effects on
politics in democracies. Using a
comparison of the UK and Brazil, discuss the impact of the
parliamentary and presidential system on
politics. a) What are the main differences in the way that these
institutions function in practice? b) What
factors affect the power of the executives (prime ministers and
presidents), and how are elected officials
held accountable and in each country? c) How do differences in
the number of veto points affect how
policy is made?
4. Elections and Parties: You have been asked to assist in
designing a constitution for a new
democracy in a poor developing country. There has been little
experience of democracy, but a number of
political movements and parties have emerged and support the
creation of a viable democracy. There is,
however, a history of violent political competition between
groups across the country. Provide a
justification for why this country should adopt either a ‘single
member district/simple majority’ or a
‘proportional representation’ election system. a) Describe each
system, and explain the impact on
politics, and pros and cons of each option, given the particular
conditions in the country. b) Use examples
from specific countries that use these election systems (e.g. UK
and Brazil) to support your arguments.
PART C: OPTIONAL EXTRA Question: Complete ONE of the
optional questions below (in addition to
the two questions for Part A and B). This optional essay is
worth 15%. Your grade for this essay will be
used to replace a lower grade from the Midterm exam. The
length for this essay should be the same as
for the essays in Part A and B (4-5 pages).
5. Federalism: What are the main similarities and differences in
the operation of federalism in India,
Russia and Brazil? What are the pros and cons of introducing a
federal or decentralized administration
for a newly democratic developing country? What are the most
important lessons that newly democratic
countries could learn from the Indian, Russian and Brazilian
cases about the organization of federalism?
6. Institutions in Africa: Use the article by Prempeh (2008) to
discuss the problems of democratic
institutions and participation in Africa. What are the obstacles
to maintaining the separation of powers
and checks and balances in the presidential system? What is the
role of the legislature, the judiciary and
political parties in these new democracies? What are the most
important lessons that we can learn about
the role of institutions in new democracies from this article?
LedgerLEDGERACCOUNTACC. NO. 1100BalanceDateItemRefDebitCreditDebit.docx

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LedgerLEDGERACCOUNTACC. NO. 1100BalanceDateItemRefDebitCreditDebit.docx

  • 1. LedgerLEDGERACCOUNTACC. NO. 1100BalanceDateItemRefDebitCreditDebitCreditLEDGERACC OUNTACC. NO.1200BalanceDateItemRefDebitCreditDebitCreditLEDGERA CCOUNTACC. NO. 1300BalanceDateItemRefDebitCreditDebitCreditLEDGERACC OUNTACC. NO. 1600BalanceDateItemRefDebitCreditDebitCreditLEDGERACC OUNTACC. NO. 1600BalanceDateItemRefDebitCreditDebitCreditLEDGERACC OUNTACC. NO. 1600BalanceDateItemRefDebitCreditDebitCreditACCOUNTAC C. NO. 1600BalanceDateItemRefDebitCreditDebitCreditACCOUNTAC C. NO. 1600BalanceDateItemRefDebitCreditDebitCreditLEDGERACC OUNTACC. NO. 3100BalanceDateItemRefDebitCreditDebitCreditLEDGERACC OUNTACC. NO. 4100BalanceDateItemRefDebitCreditDebitCreditLEDGERACC OUNTACC. NO. 5300BalanceDateItemRefDebitCreditDebitCreditLEDGERACC OUNTACC. NO. 5400BalanceDateItemRefDebitCreditDebitCreditLEDGERACC OUNTACC. NO. 5400BalanceDateItemRefDebitCreditDebitCreditLEDGERACC OUNTACC. NO. 5400BalanceDateItemRefDebitCreditDebitCredit JournalJOURNALPage: 1DateDescriptionPost Ref.DebitCreditJOURNALPage: 2DateDescriptionPost Ref.DebitCredit Trial BalanceAccount NameDebitCredit
  • 2. 1 POL 190 Introduction to Comparative Politics Department of Political Science University of Michigan- Flint Fall 2015 Current Affairs Major Paper: GUIDELINES This Project is worth 10% of the total course grade. There are two objectives: a) give students opportunities to use available electronic resources at the UM- Flint library, b) provide students an opportunity to connect on of the concepts introduced in the course to recent developments in a specific country. Completed Projects are due by WEDNESDAY DECEMBER 16 by 5.00pm at the POL Department office, 220 French Hall. 1. Requirements The core activity for this paper is to identify relevant articles from news sources, and write a brief report on a specific issue/conflict. a) Essays must make use of (and refer to) at least four (5) news articles. These articles may be from newspapers, news magazines, or academic journals. These
  • 3. sources must be published: online webpages do not qualify. Class texts and articles (e.g. Drogus/Orvis) may be used as background sources, but do not qualify as one of the four cited sources and should not be used as a source for substantial sections of the paper. b) Use concepts/processes from class to discuss the specific case selected. Students may refer to and draw from Drogus/Orvis text (although this will not be adequate as a source). Comparison of the country/case with other countries described in Drogus/Orvis is recommended. c) Should point out why/how the issue has recent significant for the politics of the country being studied. Papers on broad historical topics or past events, on non-political issues will not qualify as having met core requirements for this project. d) While the paper is about a current/contemporary political issue, general information from unofficial websites, ‘blogs’ or special interest groups will not be accepted as valid sources. ‘Google’ searches are strongly discouraged. Acceptable news sources include: newspapers, news wire services. e) Format: -inch margins, Double spaced, 12 pt. font an ‘Introduction’ section and a ‘Conclusion/discussion’ section
  • 4. format 2 2. Country Assignment The Current Affairs Major paper must be written on one of the topics listed below. Choices are arranged by student UMID numbers: identify your choices by locating your group using the first digits of your UMID number (on your UMID card): Student Group: UMID Range Paper Topic Choices (choose one topic from these options) Regimes: Stability or Change Processes Political Economy Elections and Institutions 179000-11599999 Democratization in Myanmar Impact of low oil prices on Nigeria
  • 5. Canada 2015 12400000-25099999 Democratic Consolidation in Tunisia Debt crisis in Greece Turkey 2015 25200000-32899999 Democratic Consolidation in Guatemala Financial crisis in China Nigeria 2015 32900000-47999999 Democratization in Nepal Education policy in Germany Burkina Faso 2015 49600000-61699999 Non-Democracy in Cuba Energy policy South Africa Israel 2015 64700000-77599999 Democratic Consolidation or Erosion in Pakistan Corruption in Brazil Spain 2015 80600000-97099999 Non-Democracy in Belarus Health care policy in China Indonesia 2014
  • 6. Please feel free to see me to discuss your topic/ideas at any time for feedback and advice. 3. Access to Sources (UM-Flint Library Resources for Country- specific News) This project must be based on news articles that are available through one or more of the UM-Flint library’s database search engines. http://www.umflint.edu/library/. Select “Databases: Indexes and Full Text Articles” from the main page. - Nexis are recommended) Searching the databases: Type in a few of the terms/descriptors for the topic. This will require trial and error as well as good judgment. Typing the words “India” and “Pakistan” for instance will generate a list of all the articles that include those terms in the title or text. This broad search will result in many (too many) citations: narrow the search by date, kind of source (only newspapers, for example), or by adding additional search terms. for the paper. Give preference to content- rich articles (usually longer ones). Use these articles as the sources for the paper.
  • 7. http://www.umflint.edu/library/ POL 190 Institutions and Participation Notes 1 POL 190 POLITICAL INSTITUTIONS and PARTICIPATION in Democracies Why does politics and policy making differ across democracies? While all democracies share core/common features (elections, representative government, accountability and basic rights), both the process (who makes policies and how) and the outcome of policy-making (the content of policies) varies greatly across these countries. Institutional differences are the key element that explains this variation: -making s shape the number of actors/players who participate, and the relationship between them A simple model can illustrate this process: Institutions Characteristics of Policies Structure of decision-making -Who benefits?
  • 8. ‘Veto points’ -Timing/responsiveness -Coherence of policy Needs, -Quality of policies/effectiveness Demand for -Costs of policy Policies Participants/Actors -Accountability Number of actors (e.g. parties) -Transparency Level of conflict -Deliberation INSTITUTIONS ‘Institution’ refers to the basic ‘rules of the game’ that structure politics: these organize the decision- making process (e.g. legislatures, executives), and the number of actors (e.g. the number of parties). Two basic sets of rules shape governing/decision-making in democracies: government and regional authorities: Where is power located? How centralized is political power ‘geographically’? Are all policies made in one location, or are some capabilities ‘delegated’ to sub-national authorities? Two Options: Federal or Unitary arrangements central government: How are laws made and power distributed within government? Who holds representatives accountable? Options: Presidential or Parliamentary or Semi-Presidential arrangements
  • 9. A critical comparative concept in understanding the role of institutions is the ‘veto point’: these are decision points in a political system where policy-making faces an obstacle or where a policy can be ‘vetoed’ by particular actors. Some arrangements of political institutions have more ‘veto-points’ than others, leading to substantial differences in how and when policies are made (or fail to be made). Veto points also tell us how much power rests in the hands of groups of elected officials. POL 190 Institutions and Participation Notes 2 I. Unitary vs. Federal systems The geographical/physical location of decision-making power is the main criteria: is all decision making done by leaders in the capital city (centralized), or is decision making shared with regions (i.e. decentralized)? highly centralized state and regions Basic
  • 10. Feature Degree of Centralization of Political Authority Unitary Federal Power/authority is highly centralized in the central government Decentralized power/authority; regions share decision-making power with the center Cases, Examples UK, France, Japan, (and the majority of the countries of the world) US, Germany, Mexico, Canada, Nigeria, Brazil, India, Russia Some Advantages incentive to participate in central government decisions development and reduces
  • 11. regional disparities administration government political affairs addressed by the central government Some Disadvantages regional needs cultural majority to dominate the state and to marginalize regionally distinct minorities and authority, and so endangers citizen control over leaders d policy-making with uniform application may make for large scale errors government and duplication of efforts
  • 12. “separatism” and “secession” by dissatisfied regions onment for culturally distinct groups in some regions to be victimized and an uneven application of laws process: conflicts over ‘who has authority’ over- represented’: malapportionment NOTE: ‘Federalism’ is NOT synonymous with having a president, the separation of powers in a constitution, or with having a democracy. The US is also not the only country that has a federal arrangement of the state. Some non-democracies have been federal (Brazil, Nigeria, USSR). Federalism is not the same everywhere: there are significant differences between the organization of federalism in the Brazil, US, Germany, and India. Degree of Regional Autonomy in Federal countries Low regional autonomy
  • 13. (strong center) High regional autonomy Russia India US Canada Brazil Germany Switzerland POL 190 Institutions and Participation Notes 3 II. Presidential vs. Parliamentary systems While all democracies have certain basic guarantees about the selection of leaders, accountability, and the rights of individuals, the central government may be organized in different ways. The two most common forms are the parliamentary approach (the fused authority system used in the UK, Canada, and most democracies around the world) and the presidential
  • 14. approach (the separation of powers system at work in the US and Latin America). A few countries combine elements of both types (France and Russia for example). The Presidential System (‘separation of powers’) EXECUTIVE: V elect President nominates (selects Cabinet) O T “checks and balances” Judiciary [separate E elections] R Majority Party/ parties S elect Minority Party/ approves parties LEGISLATURE Representatives in “Congress” Basic Features ritten formal Constitution: essential to regulate this complex system
  • 15. legislature (Congress) -conflict relationship: checks and balances egular elections are necessary: many offices/posts to be filled predictable, regular change, accountability many representatives can act for voters approve. Extensive review/scrutiny of proposals consistent, and conform to the constitution) y “losing” an election (the minority party) can still propose laws, have influence POL 190 Institutions and Participation Notes 4 The Parliamentary system (‘fused’ authority)
  • 16. EXECUTIVE: V PM, Cabinet O T E select LEGISLATURE R elect Representatives in S [single election] Majority/Governing a single Parliament Party/parties Minority Party/parties “Opposition” Basic Features decision-making (not separate powers) Cabinet officers) from the members of the majority (a single majority party, or coalition of parties) at the same time: the maximum term between elections is fixed by law, BUT PM/Cabinet cannot act without majority
  • 17. support, and may call on the electorate to validate their decisions and control of parliament) parliament for non-performance: a “Vote of no confidence” (The PM is given power by, and is always accountable to the majority in parliament) more coordinated, and focused on policy/ideology and presentation of a clear ‘manifesto’ of policy goals in order to win a majority in the general election ‘popular will’. Majority rule in parliament means there is a limited role for the judiciary, and a written/formal constitution is not essential nted by the parliamentary majority: law-making is easy, reflects the majority An alternative: The Semi-Presidential System Most of the world’s democracies use either the presidential or parliamentary system. For the sake of completeness, however we should note that some countries use the ‘semi-presidential’ system. Legislature and Executive, with separation of powers and checks and balances), AND with the addition of a PM that represents the majority in the Legislature (like in the parliamentary
  • 18. system). democracies have adopted this model of government since the 1980s. It is also the system adopted by Iraq in 2004. e main advantage: it allows for the legislature to be more organized/coordinated in balancing the powers of the president, and for holding the president accountable. It is an improvement of the checks and balances of the presidential system -presidential system can have two negative results. It may deepen conflict between the 2 branches of government: it leads to an inevitable conflict over defining the powers of the president and the powers of the PM. Second (paradoxically), the system may actually make the president stronger when the president, PM and majority are all from the same party. POL 190 Institutions and Participation Notes 5 Accountability in Presidential and Parliamentary systems of government Presidential
  • 19. Parliamentary Vertical accountability (control over elected officials by voters) opportunities for voters predictable, allows voters to evaluate officials and to replace/remove officials raises stakes and visibility of choices for voters and candidates public/majority control over whole legislature Horizontal accountability (control over elected officials by other players within government) powers (executive, legislative, judicial)
  • 20. mandatory oversight, joint decision-making by executive and legislature officials oversight immediate removal and replacement of the PM/cabinet PM/Cabinet to Majority MPs. Executive accountable to majority members n in parliament acts as public watch-dog (non-veto oversight) of majority
  • 21. oversight (limited) Combining Political Institutions So far we have looked at these institutional arrangements/choices (federal vs. unitary, and presidential vs. parliamentary) as separate ways of structuring government. We should, however remember that these sets of rules are combined in specific countries and that the combination is the basic building blocks for organizing democratic politics. The combination of institutions allows us to make several observations about important aspects of politics in democratic countries: ‘veto points’ ng the levels and branches of government respond to crises) constitution) ect representatives (how many elections— ‘vertical accountability’)
  • 22. behalf (‘horizontal accountability’) portunities that lobbyists/interest groups can have to influence the process POL 190 Institutions and Participation Notes 6 Executive-Legislative System Presidential (separation of powers) Parliamentary (fusion of powers) Geographical Centralization of Authority Federal (de-centralized decision-making) Maximum veto-points, largest number of decision
  • 23. makers (e.g. US, Nigeria, Brazil, Venezuela) Few veto points in the central government, important veto points at the regional level (e.g. India, Canada, Germany) Unitary (centralized decision- making) Important veto points in the central government, no important veto points at the regional level (e.g. Peru, Colombia, Chile, South Korea) Minimum veto-points, fewest number of decision makers (e.g. Japan, UK, Spain, Sweden)
  • 24. Thus far the discussion has focused on the institutions that structure government. Within each set/combination of rules, however, the number of actors is also a critical ingredient: These are critical issues, as the number of players can add an additional layer of complexity in the system. In some democracies, there may coalitions of parties that control the legislature. In others there may be a single party that controls the legislative and executive functions. The next section discusses how parties interact with governing institutions in democracies to create specific kinds of results. POL 190 Institutions and Participation Notes 7 III. Party Systems and Election Rules in Democracies Central Question: Why does the number of parties differ across democracies? The number of parties in a democracy has implications of the question for the number of choices/options that voters have, the level/quality of public debate, and the ability of voters to ensure oversight/ accountability over government
  • 25. Types of ‘Party Systems’: over time, a democracy may develop a relatively stable ‘set’ of parties every election and governs continuously. e.g., Mexico’s PRI until 2000; Japan’s LDP until 1990s, the ANC in South Africa since 1994 Two- compete. e.g., UK, U.S. votes but not enough for majority, which requires coalition with a smaller third party e.g., Germany, Canada Multi- and must govern in coalition e.g., India, Israel, most of Western Europe 2 Explanations for the number of parties in a democracy Sociological Explanation the divisions or ‘social cleavages’ e.g. divisions between classes (in the UK and Germany) or between regions/culture/languages (e.g. in India, Canada, Nigeria)
  • 26. Institutional Explanation shapes the party system. ‘Duverger’s of two parties; other systems lead to multiple parties in the legislature Election Rules in Democracies 2 most common systems for legislative elections: ‘First Past the Post’ (FPTP) or simple majority vs. Proportional Representation (PR) The First Past the Post, ‘Simple Majority’ or ‘Majoritarian’ Election Rule (e.g. the US, UK, India, Nigeria) (also known formally as the ‘single member district plurality’ election system) Basic Rules majority of the votes wins election/seat district (hence a ‘single member district’) There is little incentive for voters who do not support one of the 2 likely winners in a district (and controls the legislature) arties (the two biggest parties dominate)
  • 27. both of the 2 likely winners (not third parties) (not third parties) Two Scenarios of a “Winning” Candidate under FPTP election Rules 1. Simple (absolute) Majority winner 2. ‘Plurality’ Winner (not an absolute majority) Can POL 190 Institutions and Participation Notes 8 Advantages of the FPTP election rule parties make efforts to reach out to many voters, and representation of groups lies within parties each district, and a single party controlling the legislature): voters have a clear focus for accountability
  • 28. -to-follow system for voters, media, interest groups: low information/skill burden for voters Problems of the FPTP election system The FPTP system has been observed to create several important problems: it often results in a legislature or government that does not reflect the choices of a majority of voters (a core principle of democratic government) necessarily the most votes. It may thus lead to unrepresentative government and legislation (a violation of the basic goals of representative democracy). (and thus depresses voter turnout over time). and very highly contested ones will be “battleground” districts in elections. Parties will spend most of their efforts trying to win in those districts, and may make special appeals to voters there in order to gain their support (even though those districts have less than half of the total voters). rs are “wasted”. supporters of small parties are effectively excluded. They may have had good policy ideas, or be the representatives of a marginalized group. They have no chance of winning a seat or control of the legislature. Their best
  • 29. option after the election is to merge with a larger party and so gain some representation in the legislature. election system reduces voter’s choices to the two front runners and their policies. The candidates of the two ‘viable’ parties contesting elections at all levels seek to maximize their share of the vote in many varied districts, so the leaders of these parties have an incentive to offer broad programs that appeal to all. Proportional Representation (PR) Election system (e.g. Germany, Sweden, Brazil) Basic Rules of the PR system received ass legislation or to form a government PR election systems operate with what are called “multi- member districts”: each district would have several representatives from each party. The PR system thus increases the number of legislators who represent voters in each district to more than a single majority
  • 30. ‘winner’. Who ‘wins’ a PR election? Answer: Coalitions of parties. “What if many parties get only a small percentage (say, 1%) of the total vote”? Answer: Hurdles or Thresholds. Many countries operating the PR election system have a ‘minimum required share of the national vote’ (a hurdle): parties have to get a minimum of 5% (a random number, it could be set at 2, 8, or 10%) of the total vote to get their first seat. The effect: reduction of the number of very small parties in the legislature. Parties that can only muster less than 5% have a strong incentive to merge, and to form a larger vote-winning group. Advantages of the PR system voting choices of the public public POL 190 Institutions and Participation Notes 9 that voters can choose from chances for accountability lways the product
  • 31. of explicit deals between parties, and directly ties to voters demands Problems of the PR Election rule politics: small parties rewarded ifficulty in assigning credit or blame, or to evaluate various policies even factions within parties litions can dilute policy options attention than national issues Election Rules Compared: ‘First Past the Post’ vs. ‘Proportional Representation’ FPTP PR Main focus of system geography/district centered Program/party centered # of competitive parties 2 more than 2 Need for coalitions generally low generally high
  • 32. Impact on small parties negative, unless small parties have strong regional support base positive, encourages their formation and organization Voter turnout tendency to decline or be low tendency to be high Combining Political Institutions Part 2: We can now integrate the governing institutions with the number of parties: the result is a more fine-grained comparison of politics across democracies Executive-Legislative System Presidential Parliamentary Election system PR FPTP PR FPTP Federal Brazil (most
  • 33. fragmented, most veto points) US, Nigeria Germany* India, Canada Unitary Peru France South Korea UK (least fragmented, fewest veto points) Summary
  • 34. The ‘payoff’ of investigating how institutional “rules of the game” shape politics: ions of politicians of laws/policies executive branch politicians (presidents vs. prime ministers) e changed and re-arranged. New democracies especially have the opportunity to create constitutions that combine different institutional rules. options open to voters elines for the controls that voters have over their representatives by understanding how institutional rules affect the number of players and their degree of cooperation or competition POL 190 Institutions and Participation Notes 10 INSTITUTIONS and PARTICIPATION: List of Key Terms and Concepts
  • 37. -presidential system Horizontal accountability -party system majority/single member district plurality)
  • 38. election system election system -list PR election system -list PR election system -member districts voter POL 190 Globalization and Development Development Policies Combinations of economic policies have been used by state officials to foster growth and economic change. Most state leaders see an interest in fostering economic
  • 39. growth, but this is a challenge that may not be completely within the control of the leaders of developing countries. In addition, the policy measures that they take may not actually lead to the desired outcome. Development policy has been a central element in addressing the gap (in wealth, income, industry, technology, health/education, life expectancy, etc) between states. There are two broad approaches: the market/neoliberal/laissez faire, and the state-led/interventionist approaches. Note the way that these ‘schools of thought’ provide different explanations for the problems facing developing countries and opposed strategies: Policy Type Market/Neo-liberal development policy State-led/Interventionist development policy Does Economic policy matter? Yes Yes What causes development? Free markets Strong states/high- quality state interventions What causes underdevelopment?
  • 40. Too much state involvement Weak or poor/low-quality state intervention Main policy recommendation Reduce the state’s economic role Build the state’s economic capabilities Cases that confirm the recommended policy approach UK, US South Korea, Singapore, Japan Test case: Why has China been successful? After 1979, opening to the market has led to economic success After 1979, strong state remains active in managing China’s economy Test Case: Why has sub- Saharan African been unsuccessful? Too much state intervention, corruption Weak states, low capacity for decision making or provision good public policy
  • 41. Economic policy has shifted away from the state-led approach towards the market approach since the 1970s. Developing countries have made this shift in economic policy through two processes: bal corporations and international organizations political reasons Over the last 40 years, economic policy and differences in economic growth/wealth have also been profoundly shaped by a larger process: ‘globalization’. ‘Globalization’: Basic Features barriers to investment and speculation. Firms became globally mobile/diversified organize production around global supply and manufacturing chains environment, labor, product standards, financial risk, etc How? Historical Process of Contemporary Globalization: 1970s- 2000s
  • 42. The modern global economy is a product of deliberate state policy actions (and is not a ‘natural’ or inevitable outcome of market forces) POL 190 Globalization and Development 2 1970s: states have largely abandoned efforts to control the value of currencies which are now left up to global investors transactions: 1970s-2000s: global financial flows become greater than global trade flows by early 1980s have been based on a global supply of labor and differences in regulations: lower wages and lower regulations have attracted higher levels of investment and industry export/import of goods), and communication costs (impact on services) have accelerated global trade. These reductions have been sped up by state investment in infrastructure across the globe alternative economic models, and towards the adoption of relatively uniform economic policies in developed and developing countries after 1980s. Outcome: globalization (should) lead to Convergence
  • 43. Impact of Globalization -industrialization: global shift in industrial process. From high cost/wage older industrialized regions to low-cost, low regulation regions of the world use/demand Problems created by globalization al economic breakdown terrorism, human error. corporations between workers of lower wages. Basic Questions for the Future of Globalization
  • 44. o Can the negative consequences by avoided or corrected? o Is there a role for the state/politics? Does globalization weaken/erode democracy? o Is globalization a ‘race to the bottom’ (wages, standards etc undermined by economic integration with China, while global firms maximize profits)? o Will social policies (e.g. those in welfare states) become obsolete? o Are international economic organizations the way to ‘govern’ globalization, or will they always be just promoters of globalization? o Is globalization sustainable? What will be the environmental and resource cost of expanded global production and consumption? POL 190 Globalization and Development 3 5 EXAMPLE CASES: The three largest ‘emerging markets’ in the era of globalization (China, India, Brazil) have been important engines driving the expansion of production, and have been the largest targets of global investment. Has this experience been the result of similar/common policies? What might slow the further expansion of these economies? Has globalization led to problems/challenges in those countries? China Economy and Economic Policy setting pre-1978
  • 45. -1978): Heavy industry, mixed collective and small scale agriculture; central planning; experimental phases in development Globalization era: post 1978 onomic zones’: experimental regions opened to global trade Results 25 years), massive foreign investment, rising role in global manufacturing, trade, R&D; Capital surplus net migration external markets
  • 46. growth workforce India Basic Economic Policy: pre 1991 -rural, and regional differences tradition: ‘permit raj’, ISI policies Globalization and India after 1991 1991 role in global manufacturing, and services -scale firms: Infosys, Arcelor/Mittal, Tata Results -tech vs. traditional economy -owned assets
  • 47. f domestic market POL 190 Globalization and Development 4 Brazil Political Economy in Brazil pre 1990 -led industrialization (ISI policies) Brazil and Globalization since 1990 process complicates process Impact/Results:
  • 48. exports Oil/Mineral Exporters: Globalization has expanded the demand of raw materials and energy sources. Has this had a positive or negative impact of this the producing/exporting countries? What have been the similarities between raw material/energy exporters? Nigeria Economic Policy setting government. Agricultural exporter in 1960, early oil development. Nigeria becomes net food importer. Oil revenue contributes to corruption -80s: neoliberal policies adopted. Little positive impact Impact of Globalization, rising demand for oil revenue, exchange rate services
  • 49. -oil sectors of the economy Russia Economic Policy since 1991 1990s: transition to a capitalist economy (elimination of the communist economic system) Immediate result: economic decline, collapse of industry state autonomy rising internal debt Economic crisis of 1997: high debt; reduced growth/investment Oil economy since 2001 growth, investment rate -centralization of economic power
  • 50. POL 190 Political Economy Political Economy: Interaction between economy/economic exchanges and politics/state Basic Economic Policies States have a basic ‘repertoire’ of policies that can be used to shape the economic environment law and order, property rights economy and firms ntrols on production, consumption, business/economic activities businesses, state-owned enterprises for exporters Positive and Negative Outcomes of Basic Economic Policies
  • 51. Policy Positive economic impact (benefit) Negative economic impact (cost) infrastructure rty rules development Tax Policy (Who? How? What level/rate?) redistribution production, investment stabilize banks
  • 52. leads to debt, unstable finances Spending (What/who? What level/rate?) economy; reduce unemployment Can lead to corruption stimulate consumption
  • 53. speculation, erode confidence to job loss, high prices Increases corruption, bribery Direct intervention crises
  • 54. Risk of government mismanagement for firms to rely on bailouts Trade policy -standard goods ads to higher prices POL 190 Political Economy 2 Implications: outcomes
  • 55. (e.g. growth, investment, employment, efficiency, stability) positive or negative, only trade-offs Classifying Economic policy ‘packages’ Economic policy varies with the extent/scale of state intervention in the economy -market (‘Laissez-faire’ or liberal) states (e.g. US) India, China since the 1980s) the 1980s, North Korea) Strengths and weaknesses of 4 economic policy arrangements (increasing levels of state intervention) Policy type Strengths/advantages Problems/disadvantages Liberal free market/ laissez faire (minimal state involvement in the economy)
  • 56. equality, poverty consumers Welfare States (expansive social policies to reduce inequality, expand market, protect consumers) innovation, high productivity inequality
  • 57. -monopoly policy enhances competition bust -cost production for high deficits, debt Developmental states (‘strategic’ state support for specific sectors) competitive sectors or firms es innovation
  • 58. sectors resources/subsidies regions/sectors , inefficiency Communism (total state ownership/no markets or private property) poverty reduction, industrialization innovations n of basic services innovation
  • 59. corruption -Demand uncoordinated: overproduction, underproduction POL 190 Political Economy 3 4 EXAMPLE CASES Key questions: US: ‘free market’ model little in the economy historically (in 19th century: regulation, subsidies, trade protectionism). -era increases in regulations on businesses, commodities, in the workplace expanded; programs such as Social Security and Medicare have remained. ‘Keynesian policy’ to manage macro-economy: manage fiscal policy (use tax, spending policies to stimulate demand,
  • 60. consumption, production). Regulation for banks on of free trade and globalization (although not always consistent when U.S. interests threatened) policies: government intervention is minimal at the level of state ownership, but extensive at the macro-economic level (tax policy, interest rates). Since 1970s, ‘monetarist policy’ to manage macro-economy: use tax cuts, low interest rates, allow markets to set currency values (to stimulate investment, production, supply) Germany: ‘Welfare state’ model extensive social spending programs to eliminate poverty and raise standard of living ◦ Combines highly productive market economy and generous welfare state ◦ Close relationships between private and public sectors. Unions and businesses cooperate to plan long term business strategies (‘codetermination’) fast export growth in 2000s. Single Euro-currency places limits on government spending
  • 61. continues. Globalization has raised questions about viability — caused high unemployment and problems financing social welfare benefits. Japan: ‘Developmental state’ model: success case targeted/strategic export-led policy through regulation, large conglomerates e” — Japan became world’s second largest economy after 1950-80s led to less government control, complicated response, very slow recovery supporting, promoting particular industries/sectors. Low overall social spending by government (no German-style welfare state): depended on lifetime employment system within corporations Brazil: ‘Developmental state’ model: unsuccessful case example of evolution of developmental state policies -80s) used ‘import substitution industrialization’ policy to industrialize. Initial success in stimulating industry and attracting investment uption, inefficient industries,
  • 62. high debts to finance program -liberal’ economic model: Policies: deregulation, privatization, structural adjustment, free trade, reduction in spending (on social policies) re (IMF, World Bank), Brazil shifted to more neoliberal policies (SAPs, free trade, cut spending, etc), abandoned state-led industry policy -income country BUT also high inequality and poverty, high dependence on foreign investment, foreign export markets POL 190 Introduction to Comparative Politics Department of Political Science University of Michigan-Flint Fall 2015 FINAL ESSAY EXAM General Instructions: PART A, and one from PART B
  • 63. -spaced; Use 12 point fonts; Use 1-inch margins -5 double spaced pages are equally important. Answer each essay question in separate essays: do not combine your responses into one essay Drogus/Orvis, articles, notes. DO NOT use material from any other source: use ONLY the material assigned/required for this course. with the assigned readings. Use the system of citation with which you are most familiar : do not use folders, etc. Science Office, 220 French Hall PART A: Do ONE Question from this Section 1. Economic Policy Systems: States have developed systems of basic economic policies like taxes,
  • 64. spending, and regulations. a) Compare and contrast the economic policies of welfare states (Germany) and a liberal market economy (Brazil) and identify their main differences. b) What are the basic features of health and social policies in these countries? c) What are the pros and cons of the ‘welfare state’ vs. the ‘developmental state’ approaches to economic policy? 2. Globalization and development: Globalization has transformed economic and political relationships in states over the last 40 years. a) Describe and explain the main features of globalization and the main consequences (both positive and negative) of this process. b) Compare China and India and identify how they have had different experiences with globalization. c) What policies have led to success in achieving growth and development? What obstacles stand in the way of each of these countries? PART B: Do ONE Question from this Section 3. Political Institutions: Institutions have important effects on politics in democracies. Using a comparison of the UK and Brazil, discuss the impact of the parliamentary and presidential system on politics. a) What are the main differences in the way that these institutions function in practice? b) What
  • 65. factors affect the power of the executives (prime ministers and presidents), and how are elected officials held accountable and in each country? c) How do differences in the number of veto points affect how policy is made? 4. Elections and Parties: You have been asked to assist in designing a constitution for a new democracy in a poor developing country. There has been little experience of democracy, but a number of political movements and parties have emerged and support the creation of a viable democracy. There is, however, a history of violent political competition between groups across the country. Provide a justification for why this country should adopt either a ‘single member district/simple majority’ or a ‘proportional representation’ election system. a) Describe each system, and explain the impact on politics, and pros and cons of each option, given the particular conditions in the country. b) Use examples from specific countries that use these election systems (e.g. UK and Brazil) to support your arguments. PART C: OPTIONAL EXTRA Question: Complete ONE of the optional questions below (in addition to the two questions for Part A and B). This optional essay is worth 15%. Your grade for this essay will be
  • 66. used to replace a lower grade from the Midterm exam. The length for this essay should be the same as for the essays in Part A and B (4-5 pages). 5. Federalism: What are the main similarities and differences in the operation of federalism in India, Russia and Brazil? What are the pros and cons of introducing a federal or decentralized administration for a newly democratic developing country? What are the most important lessons that newly democratic countries could learn from the Indian, Russian and Brazilian cases about the organization of federalism? 6. Institutions in Africa: Use the article by Prempeh (2008) to discuss the problems of democratic institutions and participation in Africa. What are the obstacles to maintaining the separation of powers and checks and balances in the presidential system? What is the role of the legislature, the judiciary and political parties in these new democracies? What are the most important lessons that we can learn about the role of institutions in new democracies from this article?