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5 Supply Chain ‘Maxims’ for a high
          performance decade

             Alan Braithwaite
             Visiting Professor – Cranfield School of Management
             Chairman LCP Consulting


© LCP Consulting Ltd, The Stables, Ashlyns Hall,
Chesham Road, Berkhamsted, HP4 2ST UK
Tel: +44 (0)1442 872298 Fax: +44 (0)1442 873896



                                                                   Page 1
Agenda




•   Disruption, Innovation and Schumpeter
•   Disrupt or be disrupted – building in structural flexibility
•   The Five Maxims
•   Areas for focus and their challenges




                                                             Page 2
The big supply chain challenges




                             CROP
                           SHORTAGES
 WATER STRESS
                                       CHINA
                                       DOMINANCE
                   POLLUTION

    POLITICAL
     UNREST                       CURRENCY
                                  VOLATILITY
                                               Page 3
Volatility and risk – the ‘new normal’




Supply Chain 2.0: Managing the supply chain in the era of turbulence
M. Christopher & M Holweg, IJPDLM, Vol 41, No 1, 2011

                                                                       Page 4
Business @ the speed of thought




    “If the 1980’s were about quality and the 1990’s
    about re-engineering, then the 2000’s will be about
    velocity”

    Bill Gates, 1999 “Business @ the speed of thought”



    “Conventional retail is flat but multi-channel sales
    are growing at 20% - the marketplace is being
    transformed”



                                                           Page 5
Multi / Omni channel – creative destruction Joseph
Schumpeter (1942)




                                 Schumpeter’s big idea
                                  • Economic growth is
                                    driven by replacing
                                    former trading models
                                  • Overcoming monopolies
                                    such as the high street
                                  • Some big losers as well
                                    as winners




                                                              Page 6
Radical thinking is needed – its about mindset




  – “My argument is the more difficult the economic
    times, the more one is tempted to retrench, the more
    radical innovation becomes the only way forward.
    In a discontinuous world, only radical innovation
    will create wealth”
                         Professor Gary Hamel - London Business School
   and the World’s leading expert on business strategy (Fortune Magazine)




                                                                   Page 7
Opportunity – be disrupted or disrupt




                                        Danger
     CRISIS
                                        Hidden opportunity




                                                        Page 8
Coping with the ‘New Normal’ – new themes




    • ‘AAAA’                 • The 4 ‘R’s
    • Agile                  • Responsive
    • Adaptable              • Resilient
    • Aligned                • Reliable
    • Architected            • Relationship driven

            – Prof Hau Lee     – Prof. Martin Christopher


                                                       Page 9
Moving from dynamic to structural flexibility


                               Structural
                               Flexibility
                       Low                    High
                High
                         Efficient     Adaptable
                          Supply        Supply
                          Chain          Chain
      Dynamic
      Flexibility
                        Traditional
                          Supply
                           Chain
                Low


                                                     Source: Prof Martin Christopher

                                                                               Page 10
Structural flexibility shifts the exposure to risk as uncertainty increases




                   As uncertainty increases
                   in the future, the value of
       Return
                    flexibility will increase!
        On                                                    Flexible route
     investment


                                                             Traditional route
                                                 Profit
                                                 Loss



                  Now                                     Future
                                         Time

                                                              Source: Prof Martin Christopher

                                                                                        Page 11
This about shaping capacity and being demand responsive
– lower long term cost and increasing adaptability




              D
                                             I        C


                                P

        Key
        D :   Demand
        P :   Plan
        I :   Inventory
        C :   Capacity
                                                 Source: Prof Martin Christopher

                                                                           Page 12
Operational transformation – power of 1%




                                Supply
                                Chain
                                Value




 © LCP Consulting Ltd                      Page 13
5 Supply Chain Maxims to prosper to 2020




                                         BUILD IN
                                        CUSTOMER
                                         SERVICE
                                       EXCELLENCE
                     REDUCE
                   UNPROFITABLE                           DESIGN, PLAN &
                   COMPLEXITY –                            EXECUTE FOR
                  CUSTOMERS AND                              AGILITY
                    PRODUCTS




                                                    SYNCHRONISE /
                        COLLABORATE
                                                    INTEGRATE TO
                         TO LEVERAGE
                                                      ELIMINATE
                        PERFORMANCE
                                                       WASTE




 © LCP Consulting Ltd                                                      Page 14
Reduce unprofitable complexity –
customers & products



       Net profit management through Cost-to-Serve®

                     10,000k                                                                   12,000k


                      9,000k


                      8,000k
                                                                                               10,000k    Cost-of variety
                      7,000k
                                                                                                           & complexity
                      6,000k
                                                                                               8,000k
                                                                                                             Common
                                                                                                            experience
        Net Profit




                      5,000k                                                                   6,000k
                                                                                                           that > 50% of
                      4,000k

                                                                                               4,000k
                                                                                                            net profit is
                      3,000k
                                                                                                             eroded by
                      2,000k
                                                                                               2,000k     some product /
                      1,000k
                                                                                                             customer
                         0k
                               1     201     401      601           801   1001   1201   1401
                                                                                               0k
                                                                                                           combinations
                                                            No. of SKUs

                                   SKUs / Customers


                                                      Profit                                    Revenue

 © LCP Consulting Ltd                                                                                                   Page 15
Build in customer service excellence




                                                SVC
 Company's Performance




                         5                       6                              Understand the current
                                 SVC
                                  1
                                        SVC
                                         4                        SVC            performance and the
                                                                   2
                         4                            SVC                       service features that the
                                                       5
                                                                                market values and how
                                                                             the company is doing against
                         3
                                              SVC                                         them
                                               7

                                                                   SVC
                         2                                          3         Align your organisation to the
                                                        SVC
                                                         8
                                                                              ‘valued’ components; ensure
                                                                             actual performance is excellent
                         1
                                                                                 on the things they value
                             1         2        3             4          5
                                       Importance to Customers


      © LCP Consulting Ltd                                                                             Page 16
Design, plan and execute for agility
       – increase the organisation’s clock speed


                                                                                                   ‘Synchronised Rules’
                Frequency, Order Quantities and Stock Plans                                              govern the
                                                                                                     connection of the
                                                                                                    nodes and function
                                                                                                     and determine the
                                                                                                    service performance
                                                                                                       and inventory

        Suppliers               Suppliers                   Suppliers                  Suppliers


Well                                                                    Distribution                Industrial
                                            Chems / Lubes
Head                 Refinery                                            Centres                    Producers
                                               Plants


                                                                                                       Segmented by
                                                                                                   customer and product
                                                                                                     requirements and
                                                                                                        profitability

                    Batch sizes, lead times, ship quantities

 © LCP Consulting Ltd                                                                                            Page 17
Synchronise & integrate - Engage the customer with
the right point in the chain




                        Make to order 10 to 15 days




                                          3 to 5 days LT




                                                Same day



 © LCP Consulting Ltd                                      Page 18
Collaborate to leverage performance


 …become the preferred customer of your key suppliers


             Suppliers              Suppliers                   Suppliers                  Suppliers


     Well                                                                   Distribution               Industrial
                                                Chems / Lubes
     Head                Refinery                                            Centres                   Producers
                                                   Plants




              Lowest end-to-end cost through balancing and quality of execution


                    “My business with my suppliers
                       is their most profitable –
                      yet we still have the lowest
                       total cost of ownership”
                 VP of Procurement – a world leading electronics manufacturer

 © LCP Consulting Ltd                                                                                               Page 19
Value Co-Creation – Service Dominant Logic



      Goods dominant               Transitional                  Service-Dominant
         concepts                   concepts                      logic concepts




                                     S            S
               P                                                       P       S
                                         P
                               S                  S




       Product OR Service   Core product + added service        Product Service System
         Product = Value          Product = Value              Product + Service = Value
         Service = Cost       Service = Differentiation




                                                           Source: Vargo and Lusch

                                                                                           Page 20
Key capabilities for the next decade




   1. Excelling at the ‘basics’ – Six Sigma accuracy


   2. Highly configured supply chains – rules and

        engagement

   3. End to end process and data integration


   4. Design for resilience and responsiveness




  © LCP Consulting Ltd                                 Page 21
Outcomes and opportunities




   – Complexity managed for profitability


   – Customers and suppliers aligned for co-created value




 © LCP Consulting Ltd                                 Page 22

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Alan Braithwaite, Professor Cranfield University School of Management - 5 Supply Chain ‘Maxims’ for a high performace decade

  • 1. 5 Supply Chain ‘Maxims’ for a high performance decade Alan Braithwaite Visiting Professor – Cranfield School of Management Chairman LCP Consulting © LCP Consulting Ltd, The Stables, Ashlyns Hall, Chesham Road, Berkhamsted, HP4 2ST UK Tel: +44 (0)1442 872298 Fax: +44 (0)1442 873896 Page 1
  • 2. Agenda • Disruption, Innovation and Schumpeter • Disrupt or be disrupted – building in structural flexibility • The Five Maxims • Areas for focus and their challenges Page 2
  • 3. The big supply chain challenges CROP SHORTAGES WATER STRESS CHINA DOMINANCE POLLUTION POLITICAL UNREST CURRENCY VOLATILITY Page 3
  • 4. Volatility and risk – the ‘new normal’ Supply Chain 2.0: Managing the supply chain in the era of turbulence M. Christopher & M Holweg, IJPDLM, Vol 41, No 1, 2011 Page 4
  • 5. Business @ the speed of thought “If the 1980’s were about quality and the 1990’s about re-engineering, then the 2000’s will be about velocity” Bill Gates, 1999 “Business @ the speed of thought” “Conventional retail is flat but multi-channel sales are growing at 20% - the marketplace is being transformed” Page 5
  • 6. Multi / Omni channel – creative destruction Joseph Schumpeter (1942) Schumpeter’s big idea • Economic growth is driven by replacing former trading models • Overcoming monopolies such as the high street • Some big losers as well as winners Page 6
  • 7. Radical thinking is needed – its about mindset – “My argument is the more difficult the economic times, the more one is tempted to retrench, the more radical innovation becomes the only way forward. In a discontinuous world, only radical innovation will create wealth” Professor Gary Hamel - London Business School and the World’s leading expert on business strategy (Fortune Magazine) Page 7
  • 8. Opportunity – be disrupted or disrupt Danger CRISIS Hidden opportunity Page 8
  • 9. Coping with the ‘New Normal’ – new themes • ‘AAAA’ • The 4 ‘R’s • Agile • Responsive • Adaptable • Resilient • Aligned • Reliable • Architected • Relationship driven – Prof Hau Lee – Prof. Martin Christopher Page 9
  • 10. Moving from dynamic to structural flexibility Structural Flexibility Low High High Efficient Adaptable Supply Supply Chain Chain Dynamic Flexibility Traditional Supply Chain Low Source: Prof Martin Christopher Page 10
  • 11. Structural flexibility shifts the exposure to risk as uncertainty increases As uncertainty increases in the future, the value of Return flexibility will increase! On Flexible route investment Traditional route Profit Loss Now Future Time Source: Prof Martin Christopher Page 11
  • 12. This about shaping capacity and being demand responsive – lower long term cost and increasing adaptability D I C P Key D : Demand P : Plan I : Inventory C : Capacity Source: Prof Martin Christopher Page 12
  • 13. Operational transformation – power of 1% Supply Chain Value © LCP Consulting Ltd Page 13
  • 14. 5 Supply Chain Maxims to prosper to 2020 BUILD IN CUSTOMER SERVICE EXCELLENCE REDUCE UNPROFITABLE DESIGN, PLAN & COMPLEXITY – EXECUTE FOR CUSTOMERS AND AGILITY PRODUCTS SYNCHRONISE / COLLABORATE INTEGRATE TO TO LEVERAGE ELIMINATE PERFORMANCE WASTE © LCP Consulting Ltd Page 14
  • 15. Reduce unprofitable complexity – customers & products Net profit management through Cost-to-Serve® 10,000k 12,000k 9,000k 8,000k 10,000k Cost-of variety 7,000k & complexity 6,000k 8,000k Common experience Net Profit 5,000k 6,000k that > 50% of 4,000k 4,000k net profit is 3,000k eroded by 2,000k 2,000k some product / 1,000k customer 0k 1 201 401 601 801 1001 1201 1401 0k combinations No. of SKUs SKUs / Customers Profit Revenue © LCP Consulting Ltd Page 15
  • 16. Build in customer service excellence SVC Company's Performance 5 6 Understand the current SVC 1 SVC 4 SVC performance and the 2 4 SVC service features that the 5 market values and how the company is doing against 3 SVC them 7 SVC 2 3 Align your organisation to the SVC 8 ‘valued’ components; ensure actual performance is excellent 1 on the things they value 1 2 3 4 5 Importance to Customers © LCP Consulting Ltd Page 16
  • 17. Design, plan and execute for agility – increase the organisation’s clock speed ‘Synchronised Rules’ Frequency, Order Quantities and Stock Plans govern the connection of the nodes and function and determine the service performance and inventory Suppliers Suppliers Suppliers Suppliers Well Distribution Industrial Chems / Lubes Head Refinery Centres Producers Plants Segmented by customer and product requirements and profitability Batch sizes, lead times, ship quantities © LCP Consulting Ltd Page 17
  • 18. Synchronise & integrate - Engage the customer with the right point in the chain Make to order 10 to 15 days 3 to 5 days LT Same day © LCP Consulting Ltd Page 18
  • 19. Collaborate to leverage performance …become the preferred customer of your key suppliers Suppliers Suppliers Suppliers Suppliers Well Distribution Industrial Chems / Lubes Head Refinery Centres Producers Plants Lowest end-to-end cost through balancing and quality of execution “My business with my suppliers is their most profitable – yet we still have the lowest total cost of ownership” VP of Procurement – a world leading electronics manufacturer © LCP Consulting Ltd Page 19
  • 20. Value Co-Creation – Service Dominant Logic Goods dominant Transitional Service-Dominant concepts concepts logic concepts S S P P S P S S Product OR Service Core product + added service Product Service System Product = Value Product = Value Product + Service = Value Service = Cost Service = Differentiation Source: Vargo and Lusch Page 20
  • 21. Key capabilities for the next decade 1. Excelling at the ‘basics’ – Six Sigma accuracy 2. Highly configured supply chains – rules and engagement 3. End to end process and data integration 4. Design for resilience and responsiveness © LCP Consulting Ltd Page 21
  • 22. Outcomes and opportunities – Complexity managed for profitability – Customers and suppliers aligned for co-created value © LCP Consulting Ltd Page 22