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A decision-making tool to provide sustainable
solutions to a consumer
Ricardo Santos 1 Antonio Abreu 3
João Matias 2
01-03 July, 2020 | Caparica, Lisbon – Portugal
1 University of Aveiro, Portugal 2Dept. of Economics, Management, Industrial
Engineering and Tourism (DEGEIT)
University of Aveiro, Portugal
C-MasT – University of Beira Interior
Govcopp - University of Aveiro
3 ISEL- Instituto Superior de Engenharia de Lisboa,
Instituto Politécnico de Lisboa
CTS Uninova, Faculdade de Ciências e Tecnologia,
Universidade Nova de Lisboa, Portugal
ajfa@dem.isel.ipl.pt
Technological Innovation for Life
Improvement
Govcopp - University of Aveiro
• Building sector
Represents about
30-40 % final energy
consumed
• 27% of final energy
(building sector)
concerns to residential
group
Potential energy savings on residential sector
INE/DGEG, 2010
Fonte: EIA,2017
1.Introduction|Motivation
11th Advanced Doctoral Conference on Computing,
Electrical and Industrial Systems
Technological Innovation for Life
Improvement 01-03 July, 2020 | Caparica, Lisbon – Portugal
• High “weight” of
electrical energy
on total consumer
energy expenses
Fonte: EIA,2017
• High
dependency on
electrical
energy
producion
through fóssil
fuels
INE/DGEG, 2010
2
Ricardo Santos | João Matias |Antonio Abreu
A decision-making tool to provide sustainable solutions to a consumer
1.Introduction|Motivation
11th Advanced Doctoral Conference on Computing,
Electrical and Industrial Systems
Technological Innovation for Life
Improvement 01-03 July, 2020 | Caparica, Lisbon – Portugal
3
Ricardo Santos | João Matias |Antonio Abreu
A decision-making tool to provide sustainable solutions to a consumer
Research Question
Is it possible to develop a holistic model (Economic, Social and Environmental dimensions) to
support decision making, based on evolutionary algorithms (EA), that allows the decision
agent to obtain sustainable solutions?
H1: If by using Multi-objective Evolutionary Algorithms (EA), combined with Multicriteria analysis, it’s
possible to achieve several sustainable solutions to the consumer, by selecting household appliances
from the market.
Hypothesis
Methodological Synthesis
Maq. Lavar
roupa
Maq. Lavar
Louça
Frigorifico Forno
Ar
condicionado
Iluminação
Maq. Secar
Roupa
x12 x13 x14 x15 x16 x17
x11
x22 x23 x24 x25 x26 x27
x21
x32 x33 x34 x35 x36 x37
x31
x102 x103 x104 x105 x106 x107
x101
Opção
i
N
Soluções
Opção
Xij
Dimensão j
Air Conditioner
Dish Washing Machine
Fridge
Electric
Furnace
Dryer washing
Machine
Lighting
Evolutionary
Algorithms
Solutions from
the market
Cloth Washing
Machine
Consumer’s
Preferences
(design,
reliability,
appliance’s
noise,…)
n Clusters
of data
Sustainable
solutions,
suitable to
the consumer
…….
Consumer’s space decision
Multi-Attribute Value Theory
What washing
machine to buy?
……
What Electrical
furnace to buy?
Consumer’s needs
(nº occupants, area, available budget, …)
4
Ricardo Santos | João Matias |Antonio Abreu
A decision-making tool to provide sustainable solutions to a consumer
11th Advanced Doctoral Conference on Computing,
Electrical and Industrial Systems
Technological Innovation for Life
Improvement 01-03 July, 2020 | Caparica, Lisbon – Portugal
2.Research method
2.Research method
Proposed
Approach
5
Ricardo Santos | João Matias |Antonio Abreu
A decision-making tool to provide sustainable solutions to a consumer
11th Advanced Doctoral Conference on Computing,
Electrical and Industrial Systems
Technological Innovation for Life
Improvement 01-03 July, 2020 | Caparica, Lisbon – Portugal
2.Research method
Criteria, used to
define the decision
space, regarding
each energy service,
considered to be
acquired and based
on the Nr of
occupants
from the building
Dimension Criteria used Quantity
Air Conditioner
 types of air conditioner considered:
 zone to be heated/ cooled by the air
conditioner
 minimum capacity required
 wall (mono split)
wall (multisplit)
Portable
 living room
 9905,6 BTU
Washing
Machine
 capacity, based on the number of
household’s occupants [18]
 7 kg
Dishwasher
machine
 load capacity.  12 cutlery
Oven
 useful volume, available for cooking
according to the nr. of occupants [18]
 47 cm x 68 cm
Dryer machine
 type of dryer machines
 load capacity from [18]
 by exhaust ;
 7 kg
Lighting
 technology Halogen
CFL
Fluorescent
Led
Refrigerator
 capacity of the refrigerators [18]
 type of refrigerator according to the
number of occupants [18]
 150 liters
 refrigerator
Combined type.
6
Ricardo Santos | João Matias |Antonio Abreu
A decision-making tool to provide sustainable solutions to a consumer
11th Advanced Doctoral Conference on Computing,
Electrical and Industrial Systems
Technological Innovation for Life
Improvement 01-03 July, 2020 | Caparica, Lisbon – Portugal
2.Research method
A total of 178 Attributes
defined, regarding
Environment and
Economic Problem
Dimensions, related to
each energy service
considered
7
Ricardo Santos | João Matias |Antonio Abreu
A decision-making tool to provide sustainable solutions to a consumer
11th Advanced Doctoral Conference on Computing,
Electrical and Industrial Systems
Technological Innovation for Life
Improvement 01-03 July, 2020 | Caparica, Lisbon – Portugal
2.Research method
( ) ( ) ( )
( )
jt jt jt
g g g
ij ij ij
x v x


Based on MAVT, there is a value 𝑣𝑖𝑗
(𝑔𝑗𝑡)
𝑥𝑖𝑗
(𝑔𝑗𝑡)
, associated to the attribute 𝑥𝑖𝑗
(𝑔𝑗𝑡)
, such as:
 
 
(g ) (g )
(1)
.
(2)
(g ) (g )
better. .
( ) ( )
( )
( ) ( )
jt jt
ij
jt jt
ij ij
ij ij worst ij
ij ij
ij worst ij
v x v x
v x
v x v x



Scaling function, to preform 𝑣𝑖𝑗
(1)
𝑥𝑖𝑗
(𝑔𝑗𝑡)
 𝑣𝑖𝑗
(2)
𝑥𝑖𝑗
(𝑔𝑗𝑡)
transformation:
Evaluation table, belonging to each energy service j.
Problem formulation – Defining attributes and applying MAVT for each energy service
8
Ricardo Santos | João Matias |Antonio Abreu
A decision-making tool to provide sustainable solutions to a consumer
11th Advanced Doctoral Conference on Computing,
Electrical and Industrial Systems
Technological Innovation for Life
Improvement 01-03 July, 2020 | Caparica, Lisbon – Portugal
2.Research method
Problem formulation – Defining attributes and applying MAVT for each energy service
Example of evaluation table - Air Conditioner (AC) energy service
𝑥𝑗
(𝑔𝑗𝑡)
𝑣𝑖𝑗 𝑥𝑗
𝑔𝑗𝑡
 
 
(g ) (g )
(1)
.
(2)
(g ) (g )
better. .
( ) ( )
( )
( ) ( )
jt jt
ij
jt jt
ij ij
ij ij worst ij
ij ij
ij worst ij
v x v x
v x
v x v x



Scaling function, to preform 𝑣𝑖𝑗
(1)
𝑥𝑖𝑗
(𝑔𝑗𝑡)
 𝑣𝑖𝑗
(2)
𝑥𝑖𝑗
(𝑔𝑗𝑡)
transformation:
9
Ricardo Santos | João Matias |Antonio Abreu
A decision-making tool to provide sustainable solutions to a consumer
11th Advanced Doctoral Conference on Computing,
Electrical and Industrial Systems
Technological Innovation for Life
Improvement 01-03 July, 2020 | Caparica, Lisbon – Portugal
2 2 2
2 2 2
21 22 2 21 22 2 21 22 2
2 2
21 22 2 21 22 2
21 22 2 21 22 2 21 22 2
( ) ( ) ( )
( ) ( ) ( ) ( ) ( ) ( )
12 12 12 12 12 12 12 12 12 12
( ) ( )
( ) ( ) ( ) ( )
22 22 22 22 22 22 22 22
. . ... ... ...
... ... ...
... ...
A B C
n n n
A B C
n n
A B
n n n
A B C
A A B B C C
A B
A A B B
AC A A A B B B C C C
X x x x x x x x x x
X x x x x x x x
2
21 22 2
2 2 2
21 22 2 21 22 2 21 22 2
( )
( ) ( )
22 22
( ) ( ) ( )
( ) ( ) ( ( ) ( ) ( )
102 102 102 102 102 102 102 102 102 102
...
... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ...
... ... ...
nC
n n n
A B C
C
C C
A B C
A A B B C C
x x
X x x x x x x x x x
2 2 2
2 2 2
21 22 2 21 22 2 21 22 2
21
21 22 2 21 22 2 21 22 2
( ) ( ) ( )
( ) ( ) ( ) ( ) ( ) ( )
12 12 12 12 12 12 12 12 12 12 12 12 12 12 12 12 12 12 12
( )
22 22 22 22
. . ... ... ...
( ) ( ) ... ( ) ( ) ( ) ... ( ) ( ) ( ) ... ( )
( )
A B C
n n n
A B C
n n n
A B C
A A B B C C
A
AC A A A B B B C C C
X v x v x v x v x v x v x v x v x v x
X v x v
2 2 2
22 2 21 22 2 21 22 2
21 22
( ) ( ) ( )
( ) ( ) ( ) ( ) ( )
22 22 22 22 22 22 22 22 22 22 22 22 22 22 22
(
( ) ( )
102 102 102 102 102 102 102
( ) ... ( ) ( ) ( ) ... ( ) ( ) ( ) ... ( )
... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ...
( ) ( ) ... (
n n n
A B C
A B C
A B B C C
A A
x v x v x v x v x v x v x v x
X v x v x v x
2 2 2
2 21 22 2 21 22 2
) ( ) ( )
( ) ( ) ( ) ( )
102 102 102 102 102 102 102 102 102 102 102 102
) ( ) ( ) ... ( ) ( ) ( ) ... ( )
n n n
A B C
A B C
B B B C
v x v x v x v x v x v x
2.Research method
Washing
machine Dishwasher
Refrigerator Oven
Air Conditioner
Lighting Dryer machine
x12 x13 x14 x15 x16 x17
x11
x22 x23 x24 x25 x26 x27
x21
x32 x33 x34 x35 x36 x37
x31
x102 x103 x104 x105 x106 x107
x101
Option
i
Solutions
Option
Xij
J Dimension
j
i
Consumer’s decisions space
Problem formulation – Defining the decision space
10
Ricardo Santos | João Matias |Antonio Abreu
A decision-making tool to provide sustainable solutions to a consumer
11th Advanced Doctoral Conference on Computing,
Electrical and Industrial Systems
Technological Innovation for Life
Improvement 01-03 July, 2020 | Caparica, Lisbon – Portugal
2.Research method
subject to
with
   
dim dim
1 . .
1 1
: ( ) jt
n n
A
j j disp j disp
j j
r I x availablebudget x
 
 
  
  Economic – Budget:
Environment – Noise
 
: . .
jt
B
j j j j j
r Noise Max Noise x Max Noise
  
Objective functions:
Problem formulation – Defining the objective functions and the constraints used
11
Ricardo Santos | João Matias |Antonio Abreu
A decision-making tool to provide sustainable solutions to a consumer
11th Advanced Doctoral Conference on Computing,
Electrical and Industrial Systems
Technological Innovation for Life
Improvement 01-03 July, 2020 | Caparica, Lisbon – Portugal
 
 
max , / , ,
/ ( ) ( ), ( ), ( )
m
T
m A B C
V x c m A B C
subject to x X c V x V x V x V x

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
. . . . . .
melhor. . melhor. . melhor.
( ) ( ) (B ) (B ) (C ) (C )
( ) ( ) (B ) (B ) (C )
1 1
. . . 1
jt jt jt jt jt jt
A B
j j
efect j pior j efect j pior j efect j pior j
jt jt jt jt jt
j pior j j pior j j p
A A
n n
Total A B C
A A
t t
x x x x x x
V x
x x x x x x
  
 
   
  
   
   
   
  
   
 
 
.
(C )
1 1
C
j j
jt
ior j
n
n
j t
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
( )
1 1
:max ( ) ( )
A
j j
jt
n
n
A
A j j
j t
Economic Well being V x v x
 
  
(B )
1 1
:max ( ) ( )
B
j j
jt
n
n
B j j
j t
Social Well being V x v x
 
  
 
( )
1 1
:max ( ) 1 ( )
C
j j
jt
n
n
C
C j j
j t
Environment Well being V x v x
 
  

2.Research method
Problem formulation – Defining the objective functions and the constraints used (cont.)
12
Ricardo Santos | João Matias |Antonio Abreu
A decision-making tool to provide sustainable solutions to a consumer
11th Advanced Doctoral Conference on Computing,
Electrical and Industrial Systems
Technological Innovation for Life
Improvement 01-03 July, 2020 | Caparica, Lisbon – Portugal
subject to
Economic – Budget:
     
dim
4 25
1 . 2 .
1 1
2
: ( )
j
j
n
n
A A
j j disp ij i disp
j j
j
r I x availablebudget x x
 
 

   
 
Social (Comfort) - Lighting
(minimum Illuminance)
 
15
1
2 1 min 1
.
: ( )
B
u
d
F n
x
r K E with K light properties
A F
 
 
23
3 2 . .( .)
:
B
th Aquec proj
r x Q

 
24
4 2 . .( .)
:
B
th Arref proj
r x Q

Social (Comfort) - Heating/Cooling needs
Environment – Noise:
 
 
 
 
 
11
21
61
71
51 1 .1
52 2 .2
56 6 .6
57 7 .7
:
:
/ 5 2,3,4,5,7
:
:
B
i def
B
i def
B
i def
B
i def
r x Noise
r x Noise
c i e j
r x Noise
r x Noise
 

 


 








2
2
( .3.6.)
61 3
( .7.5.)
62 7
: 1/
: 1/
A
i H O MLR
A
i H O MLL
r x C
r x C


  


  

Environment – Water consumption
2.Research method
NSGAs adopted parameters:
Non-Sorting Genetic Algorithm II (NSGA II) - NSGAII’s individual framework (codification)
Real codification
Initial population: 100 individuals
Tournament method
Single crossover point method
Crossover rate: 0,45
Mutation operator: Normal Random
Mutation rate: 0,015
13
Ricardo Santos | João Matias |Antonio Abreu
A decision-making tool to provide sustainable solutions to a consumer
11th Advanced Doctoral Conference on Computing,
Electrical and Industrial Systems
Technological Innovation for Life
Improvement 01-03 July, 2020 | Caparica, Lisbon – Portugal
3.Implementation
• 4 Occupants
• 7 Energy services to acquire (Lighting,
Air Conditioner, Washing Machine,
Dryer Machine, Oven, Refrigerator.
Dishwasher Machine)
• Available budget: 2700 €
Case study:
17 m
16
m
• Air conditioner and lighting are
dependent on house dimensions
14
Ricardo Santos | João Matias |Antonio Abreu
A decision-making tool to provide sustainable solutions to a consumer
11th Advanced Doctoral Conference on Computing,
Electrical and Industrial Systems
Technological Innovation for Life
Improvement 01-03 July, 2020 | Caparica, Lisbon – Portugal
3.Implementation
2 Stopping criteria used (the first to be satisfied)
• Nr. Of iterations/generations: 100
• Convergence rate 3 x 10^-3
Software implementation: Matlab code, importing (pre-calculated) data from VBA Excel Spreadsheet
Optimization method
Electrical appliances 'Data-Base
Ms Excel Matlab code
𝑥𝑗
(𝑔𝑗𝑡)
𝑣𝑖𝑗 𝑥𝑗
𝑔𝑗𝑡
𝑥𝑖𝑗
15
Ricardo Santos | João Matias |Antonio Abreu
A decision-making tool to provide sustainable solutions to a consumer
11th Advanced Doctoral Conference on Computing,
Electrical and Industrial Systems
Technological Innovation for Life
Improvement 01-03 July, 2020 | Caparica, Lisbon – Portugal
4.Simulation & Results
16
Ricardo Santos | João Matias |Antonio Abreu
A decision-making tool to provide sustainable solutions to a consumer
11th Advanced Doctoral Conference on Computing,
Electrical and Industrial Systems
Technological Innovation for Life
Improvement 01-03 July, 2020 | Caparica, Lisbon – Portugal
Pareto frontier for
different, regarding
different tests made for
NSGA II parameters
(Santos, 2019b): a)
Population b) Crossover
rate and mutation rate
Different Pareto frontiers
obtained, considering several
scenarios (Santos, 2019a)
Economical vs
Environmental (ωA = 0,72,
ωB = 0,00, ωC = 0,28)
Economical vs Social
(ωA = 0,72, ωB = 0,28,
ωC = 0,00)
Social vs Environmental
(ωA = 0,00, ωB = 0,72, ωC =
0,28)
4.Simulation & Results
17
Ricardo Santos | João Matias |Antonio Abreu
A decision-making tool to provide sustainable solutions to a consumer
11th Advanced Doctoral Conference on Computing,
Electrical and Industrial Systems
Technological Innovation for Life
Improvement 01-03 July, 2020 | Caparica, Lisbon – Portugal
Pareto surface, regarding the last
generation (ωA = 0.65, ωB = 0.25
and ωC = 0.10)
Example of
sustainable
solution obtained -
Multiobjective (ωA
= 0.65, ωB = 0.25
and ωC = 0.10)
Pareto Surface
Example of an efficient solution
4.Simulation & Results
18
Ricardo Santos | João Matias |Antonio Abreu
A decision-making tool to provide sustainable solutions to a consumer
11th Advanced Doctoral Conference on Computing,
Electrical and Industrial Systems
Technological Innovation for Life
Improvement 01-03 July, 2020 | Caparica, Lisbon – Portugal
(ωA = 0,65, ωB = 0,25 e ωC = 0,10)
Brand: Philips
Model: LED spotMV
Power: 8 W
Type: LED
Energy Eficiency.: A+
Light
Brand: Samsung
Model: AQV09PSBN
Cooling Power: 12000 Btu/h
Heating Power: 11000 Btu/h
Type: Split
Energy Eficiency.: A++
Air Conditioner
Brand: Philips
Model: LED spotMV
Power: 2400 W
Capacity: 12 sets
Noise: 48 dB
Energy Eficiency.: A++
Dish Washing Machine
Brand: Becken
Model: Bc2016 Ix
Power: 255 kW/ano
Capacity: 251 l
Type: Comb.
Nr. Stars: 4
Energy Eficiency.: A+
Fridge
Brand: Indesit
Model: EWE71252W
Noise: 60 dB
Capacity: 8kg
Energy Eficiency.:A++
Cloth Washing Machine
Electric Oven
Cloth Dryer Machine
CO2
savings per
appliance
Energy Savings
(Hor. Temp.: 10
years): 2112,30 €
Water savings
(Hor. Temp.: 10
years): 745 l
Total Investment
CO2 Emissions savings
(Hor. Temp.: 10 years):
1458,90 kg
Brand: Electrolux
Model: EZC2430AOX
Power: 2700 W
Cleaning Syst: Pirol.
Glass: Triple
Energy Eficiency.: A+
Brand: BOSCH
Model: WTE84107EE
Noise: 65 dB
Capacidade: 8kg
Type: Condensation
Energy Eficiency.: A+
• An approach was presented to provide sustainable household appliances from
the market, to the decision-agent (consumer), by considering two objectives,
regarding sustainability; environment and economic well-being.
• The main objective, was to maximize the consumer well-being (environment and
economics) regarding the lifecycle of each appliance, during its usage phase.
• The social wellbeing was also promoted, by suit the obtained solutions to the
consumer needs.
• NSGA-II can also find the Pareto frontier of the solutions, providing therefore
several alternative solutions to the consumer.
• The achievements presented in this work, allows to proceed in a way of getting a
more completed approach that maximizes both dimensions of sustainability
(Economical, Environmental and Social) with the social dimension, being
therefore integrated into the model developed here, in order to better express
the consumer preferences
5.Conclusions
19
Ricardo Santos | João Matias |Antonio Abreu
A decision-making tool to provide sustainable solutions to a consumer
11th Advanced Doctoral Conference on Computing,
Electrical and Industrial Systems
Technological Innovation for Life
Improvement 01-03 July, 2020 | Caparica, Lisbon – Portugal
20
Ricardo Santos 1 Antonio Abreu 3
João Matias 2
01-03 July, 2020 | Caparica, Lisbon – Portugal
1 University of Aveiro, Portugal 2Dept. of Economics, Management, Industrial
Engineering and Tourism (DEGEIT)
University of Aveiro, Portugal
C-MasT – University of Beira Interior
Govcopp - University of Aveiro
3 ISEL- Instituto Superior de Engenharia de Lisboa,
Instituto Politécnico de Lisboa
CTS Uninova, Faculdade de Ciências e Tecnologia,
Universidade Nova de Lisboa, Portugal
ajfa@dem.isel.ipl.pt
Thank you
A decision-making tool to provide sustainable solutions to a consumer
Govcopp - University of Aveiro

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Presentation_PhD_DOCEIS20_RicardoSantos_JCOMatias_AAbreu.pptx

  • 1. A decision-making tool to provide sustainable solutions to a consumer Ricardo Santos 1 Antonio Abreu 3 João Matias 2 01-03 July, 2020 | Caparica, Lisbon – Portugal 1 University of Aveiro, Portugal 2Dept. of Economics, Management, Industrial Engineering and Tourism (DEGEIT) University of Aveiro, Portugal C-MasT – University of Beira Interior Govcopp - University of Aveiro 3 ISEL- Instituto Superior de Engenharia de Lisboa, Instituto Politécnico de Lisboa CTS Uninova, Faculdade de Ciências e Tecnologia, Universidade Nova de Lisboa, Portugal ajfa@dem.isel.ipl.pt Technological Innovation for Life Improvement Govcopp - University of Aveiro
  • 2. • Building sector Represents about 30-40 % final energy consumed • 27% of final energy (building sector) concerns to residential group Potential energy savings on residential sector INE/DGEG, 2010 Fonte: EIA,2017 1.Introduction|Motivation 11th Advanced Doctoral Conference on Computing, Electrical and Industrial Systems Technological Innovation for Life Improvement 01-03 July, 2020 | Caparica, Lisbon – Portugal • High “weight” of electrical energy on total consumer energy expenses Fonte: EIA,2017 • High dependency on electrical energy producion through fóssil fuels INE/DGEG, 2010 2 Ricardo Santos | João Matias |Antonio Abreu A decision-making tool to provide sustainable solutions to a consumer
  • 3. 1.Introduction|Motivation 11th Advanced Doctoral Conference on Computing, Electrical and Industrial Systems Technological Innovation for Life Improvement 01-03 July, 2020 | Caparica, Lisbon – Portugal 3 Ricardo Santos | João Matias |Antonio Abreu A decision-making tool to provide sustainable solutions to a consumer Research Question Is it possible to develop a holistic model (Economic, Social and Environmental dimensions) to support decision making, based on evolutionary algorithms (EA), that allows the decision agent to obtain sustainable solutions? H1: If by using Multi-objective Evolutionary Algorithms (EA), combined with Multicriteria analysis, it’s possible to achieve several sustainable solutions to the consumer, by selecting household appliances from the market. Hypothesis
  • 4. Methodological Synthesis Maq. Lavar roupa Maq. Lavar Louça Frigorifico Forno Ar condicionado Iluminação Maq. Secar Roupa x12 x13 x14 x15 x16 x17 x11 x22 x23 x24 x25 x26 x27 x21 x32 x33 x34 x35 x36 x37 x31 x102 x103 x104 x105 x106 x107 x101 Opção i N Soluções Opção Xij Dimensão j Air Conditioner Dish Washing Machine Fridge Electric Furnace Dryer washing Machine Lighting Evolutionary Algorithms Solutions from the market Cloth Washing Machine Consumer’s Preferences (design, reliability, appliance’s noise,…) n Clusters of data Sustainable solutions, suitable to the consumer ……. Consumer’s space decision Multi-Attribute Value Theory What washing machine to buy? …… What Electrical furnace to buy? Consumer’s needs (nº occupants, area, available budget, …) 4 Ricardo Santos | João Matias |Antonio Abreu A decision-making tool to provide sustainable solutions to a consumer 11th Advanced Doctoral Conference on Computing, Electrical and Industrial Systems Technological Innovation for Life Improvement 01-03 July, 2020 | Caparica, Lisbon – Portugal 2.Research method
  • 5. 2.Research method Proposed Approach 5 Ricardo Santos | João Matias |Antonio Abreu A decision-making tool to provide sustainable solutions to a consumer 11th Advanced Doctoral Conference on Computing, Electrical and Industrial Systems Technological Innovation for Life Improvement 01-03 July, 2020 | Caparica, Lisbon – Portugal
  • 6. 2.Research method Criteria, used to define the decision space, regarding each energy service, considered to be acquired and based on the Nr of occupants from the building Dimension Criteria used Quantity Air Conditioner  types of air conditioner considered:  zone to be heated/ cooled by the air conditioner  minimum capacity required  wall (mono split) wall (multisplit) Portable  living room  9905,6 BTU Washing Machine  capacity, based on the number of household’s occupants [18]  7 kg Dishwasher machine  load capacity.  12 cutlery Oven  useful volume, available for cooking according to the nr. of occupants [18]  47 cm x 68 cm Dryer machine  type of dryer machines  load capacity from [18]  by exhaust ;  7 kg Lighting  technology Halogen CFL Fluorescent Led Refrigerator  capacity of the refrigerators [18]  type of refrigerator according to the number of occupants [18]  150 liters  refrigerator Combined type. 6 Ricardo Santos | João Matias |Antonio Abreu A decision-making tool to provide sustainable solutions to a consumer 11th Advanced Doctoral Conference on Computing, Electrical and Industrial Systems Technological Innovation for Life Improvement 01-03 July, 2020 | Caparica, Lisbon – Portugal
  • 7. 2.Research method A total of 178 Attributes defined, regarding Environment and Economic Problem Dimensions, related to each energy service considered 7 Ricardo Santos | João Matias |Antonio Abreu A decision-making tool to provide sustainable solutions to a consumer 11th Advanced Doctoral Conference on Computing, Electrical and Industrial Systems Technological Innovation for Life Improvement 01-03 July, 2020 | Caparica, Lisbon – Portugal
  • 8. 2.Research method ( ) ( ) ( ) ( ) jt jt jt g g g ij ij ij x v x   Based on MAVT, there is a value 𝑣𝑖𝑗 (𝑔𝑗𝑡) 𝑥𝑖𝑗 (𝑔𝑗𝑡) , associated to the attribute 𝑥𝑖𝑗 (𝑔𝑗𝑡) , such as:     (g ) (g ) (1) . (2) (g ) (g ) better. . ( ) ( ) ( ) ( ) ( ) jt jt ij jt jt ij ij ij ij worst ij ij ij ij worst ij v x v x v x v x v x    Scaling function, to preform 𝑣𝑖𝑗 (1) 𝑥𝑖𝑗 (𝑔𝑗𝑡)  𝑣𝑖𝑗 (2) 𝑥𝑖𝑗 (𝑔𝑗𝑡) transformation: Evaluation table, belonging to each energy service j. Problem formulation – Defining attributes and applying MAVT for each energy service 8 Ricardo Santos | João Matias |Antonio Abreu A decision-making tool to provide sustainable solutions to a consumer 11th Advanced Doctoral Conference on Computing, Electrical and Industrial Systems Technological Innovation for Life Improvement 01-03 July, 2020 | Caparica, Lisbon – Portugal
  • 9. 2.Research method Problem formulation – Defining attributes and applying MAVT for each energy service Example of evaluation table - Air Conditioner (AC) energy service 𝑥𝑗 (𝑔𝑗𝑡) 𝑣𝑖𝑗 𝑥𝑗 𝑔𝑗𝑡     (g ) (g ) (1) . (2) (g ) (g ) better. . ( ) ( ) ( ) ( ) ( ) jt jt ij jt jt ij ij ij ij worst ij ij ij ij worst ij v x v x v x v x v x    Scaling function, to preform 𝑣𝑖𝑗 (1) 𝑥𝑖𝑗 (𝑔𝑗𝑡)  𝑣𝑖𝑗 (2) 𝑥𝑖𝑗 (𝑔𝑗𝑡) transformation: 9 Ricardo Santos | João Matias |Antonio Abreu A decision-making tool to provide sustainable solutions to a consumer 11th Advanced Doctoral Conference on Computing, Electrical and Industrial Systems Technological Innovation for Life Improvement 01-03 July, 2020 | Caparica, Lisbon – Portugal 2 2 2 2 2 2 21 22 2 21 22 2 21 22 2 2 2 21 22 2 21 22 2 21 22 2 21 22 2 21 22 2 ( ) ( ) ( ) ( ) ( ) ( ) ( ) ( ) ( ) 12 12 12 12 12 12 12 12 12 12 ( ) ( ) ( ) ( ) ( ) ( ) 22 22 22 22 22 22 22 22 . . ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... A B C n n n A B C n n A B n n n A B C A A B B C C A B A A B B AC A A A B B B C C C X x x x x x x x x x X x x x x x x x 2 21 22 2 2 2 2 21 22 2 21 22 2 21 22 2 ( ) ( ) ( ) 22 22 ( ) ( ) ( ) ( ) ( ) ( ( ) ( ) ( ) 102 102 102 102 102 102 102 102 102 102 ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... nC n n n A B C C C C A B C A A B B C C x x X x x x x x x x x x 2 2 2 2 2 2 21 22 2 21 22 2 21 22 2 21 21 22 2 21 22 2 21 22 2 ( ) ( ) ( ) ( ) ( ) ( ) ( ) ( ) ( ) 12 12 12 12 12 12 12 12 12 12 12 12 12 12 12 12 12 12 12 ( ) 22 22 22 22 . . ... ... ... ( ) ( ) ... ( ) ( ) ( ) ... ( ) ( ) ( ) ... ( ) ( ) A B C n n n A B C n n n A B C A A B B C C A AC A A A B B B C C C X v x v x v x v x v x v x v x v x v x X v x v 2 2 2 22 2 21 22 2 21 22 2 21 22 ( ) ( ) ( ) ( ) ( ) ( ) ( ) ( ) 22 22 22 22 22 22 22 22 22 22 22 22 22 22 22 ( ( ) ( ) 102 102 102 102 102 102 102 ( ) ... ( ) ( ) ( ) ... ( ) ( ) ( ) ... ( ) ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ( ) ( ) ... ( n n n A B C A B C A B B C C A A x v x v x v x v x v x v x v x X v x v x v x 2 2 2 2 21 22 2 21 22 2 ) ( ) ( ) ( ) ( ) ( ) ( ) 102 102 102 102 102 102 102 102 102 102 102 102 ) ( ) ( ) ... ( ) ( ) ( ) ... ( ) n n n A B C A B C B B B C v x v x v x v x v x v x
  • 10. 2.Research method Washing machine Dishwasher Refrigerator Oven Air Conditioner Lighting Dryer machine x12 x13 x14 x15 x16 x17 x11 x22 x23 x24 x25 x26 x27 x21 x32 x33 x34 x35 x36 x37 x31 x102 x103 x104 x105 x106 x107 x101 Option i Solutions Option Xij J Dimension j i Consumer’s decisions space Problem formulation – Defining the decision space 10 Ricardo Santos | João Matias |Antonio Abreu A decision-making tool to provide sustainable solutions to a consumer 11th Advanced Doctoral Conference on Computing, Electrical and Industrial Systems Technological Innovation for Life Improvement 01-03 July, 2020 | Caparica, Lisbon – Portugal
  • 11. 2.Research method subject to with     dim dim 1 . . 1 1 : ( ) jt n n A j j disp j disp j j r I x availablebudget x          Economic – Budget: Environment – Noise   : . . jt B j j j j j r Noise Max Noise x Max Noise    Objective functions: Problem formulation – Defining the objective functions and the constraints used 11 Ricardo Santos | João Matias |Antonio Abreu A decision-making tool to provide sustainable solutions to a consumer 11th Advanced Doctoral Conference on Computing, Electrical and Industrial Systems Technological Innovation for Life Improvement 01-03 July, 2020 | Caparica, Lisbon – Portugal     max , / , , / ( ) ( ), ( ), ( ) m T m A B C V x c m A B C subject to x X c V x V x V x V x                . . . . . . melhor. . melhor. . melhor. ( ) ( ) (B ) (B ) (C ) (C ) ( ) ( ) (B ) (B ) (C ) 1 1 . . . 1 jt jt jt jt jt jt A B j j efect j pior j efect j pior j efect j pior j jt jt jt jt jt j pior j j pior j j p A A n n Total A B C A A t t x x x x x x V x x x x x x x                                    . (C ) 1 1 C j j jt ior j n n j t                                 ( ) 1 1 :max ( ) ( ) A j j jt n n A A j j j t Economic Well being V x v x      (B ) 1 1 :max ( ) ( ) B j j jt n n B j j j t Social Well being V x v x        ( ) 1 1 :max ( ) 1 ( ) C j j jt n n C C j j j t Environment Well being V x v x      
  • 12. 2.Research method Problem formulation – Defining the objective functions and the constraints used (cont.) 12 Ricardo Santos | João Matias |Antonio Abreu A decision-making tool to provide sustainable solutions to a consumer 11th Advanced Doctoral Conference on Computing, Electrical and Industrial Systems Technological Innovation for Life Improvement 01-03 July, 2020 | Caparica, Lisbon – Portugal subject to Economic – Budget:       dim 4 25 1 . 2 . 1 1 2 : ( ) j j n n A A j j disp ij i disp j j j r I x availablebudget x x            Social (Comfort) - Lighting (minimum Illuminance)   15 1 2 1 min 1 . : ( ) B u d F n x r K E with K light properties A F     23 3 2 . .( .) : B th Aquec proj r x Q    24 4 2 . .( .) : B th Arref proj r x Q  Social (Comfort) - Heating/Cooling needs Environment – Noise:           11 21 61 71 51 1 .1 52 2 .2 56 6 .6 57 7 .7 : : / 5 2,3,4,5,7 : : B i def B i def B i def B i def r x Noise r x Noise c i e j r x Noise r x Noise                  2 2 ( .3.6.) 61 3 ( .7.5.) 62 7 : 1/ : 1/ A i H O MLR A i H O MLL r x C r x C            Environment – Water consumption
  • 13. 2.Research method NSGAs adopted parameters: Non-Sorting Genetic Algorithm II (NSGA II) - NSGAII’s individual framework (codification) Real codification Initial population: 100 individuals Tournament method Single crossover point method Crossover rate: 0,45 Mutation operator: Normal Random Mutation rate: 0,015 13 Ricardo Santos | João Matias |Antonio Abreu A decision-making tool to provide sustainable solutions to a consumer 11th Advanced Doctoral Conference on Computing, Electrical and Industrial Systems Technological Innovation for Life Improvement 01-03 July, 2020 | Caparica, Lisbon – Portugal
  • 14. 3.Implementation • 4 Occupants • 7 Energy services to acquire (Lighting, Air Conditioner, Washing Machine, Dryer Machine, Oven, Refrigerator. Dishwasher Machine) • Available budget: 2700 € Case study: 17 m 16 m • Air conditioner and lighting are dependent on house dimensions 14 Ricardo Santos | João Matias |Antonio Abreu A decision-making tool to provide sustainable solutions to a consumer 11th Advanced Doctoral Conference on Computing, Electrical and Industrial Systems Technological Innovation for Life Improvement 01-03 July, 2020 | Caparica, Lisbon – Portugal
  • 15. 3.Implementation 2 Stopping criteria used (the first to be satisfied) • Nr. Of iterations/generations: 100 • Convergence rate 3 x 10^-3 Software implementation: Matlab code, importing (pre-calculated) data from VBA Excel Spreadsheet Optimization method Electrical appliances 'Data-Base Ms Excel Matlab code 𝑥𝑗 (𝑔𝑗𝑡) 𝑣𝑖𝑗 𝑥𝑗 𝑔𝑗𝑡 𝑥𝑖𝑗 15 Ricardo Santos | João Matias |Antonio Abreu A decision-making tool to provide sustainable solutions to a consumer 11th Advanced Doctoral Conference on Computing, Electrical and Industrial Systems Technological Innovation for Life Improvement 01-03 July, 2020 | Caparica, Lisbon – Portugal
  • 16. 4.Simulation & Results 16 Ricardo Santos | João Matias |Antonio Abreu A decision-making tool to provide sustainable solutions to a consumer 11th Advanced Doctoral Conference on Computing, Electrical and Industrial Systems Technological Innovation for Life Improvement 01-03 July, 2020 | Caparica, Lisbon – Portugal Pareto frontier for different, regarding different tests made for NSGA II parameters (Santos, 2019b): a) Population b) Crossover rate and mutation rate Different Pareto frontiers obtained, considering several scenarios (Santos, 2019a) Economical vs Environmental (ωA = 0,72, ωB = 0,00, ωC = 0,28) Economical vs Social (ωA = 0,72, ωB = 0,28, ωC = 0,00) Social vs Environmental (ωA = 0,00, ωB = 0,72, ωC = 0,28)
  • 17. 4.Simulation & Results 17 Ricardo Santos | João Matias |Antonio Abreu A decision-making tool to provide sustainable solutions to a consumer 11th Advanced Doctoral Conference on Computing, Electrical and Industrial Systems Technological Innovation for Life Improvement 01-03 July, 2020 | Caparica, Lisbon – Portugal Pareto surface, regarding the last generation (ωA = 0.65, ωB = 0.25 and ωC = 0.10) Example of sustainable solution obtained - Multiobjective (ωA = 0.65, ωB = 0.25 and ωC = 0.10) Pareto Surface
  • 18. Example of an efficient solution 4.Simulation & Results 18 Ricardo Santos | João Matias |Antonio Abreu A decision-making tool to provide sustainable solutions to a consumer 11th Advanced Doctoral Conference on Computing, Electrical and Industrial Systems Technological Innovation for Life Improvement 01-03 July, 2020 | Caparica, Lisbon – Portugal (ωA = 0,65, ωB = 0,25 e ωC = 0,10) Brand: Philips Model: LED spotMV Power: 8 W Type: LED Energy Eficiency.: A+ Light Brand: Samsung Model: AQV09PSBN Cooling Power: 12000 Btu/h Heating Power: 11000 Btu/h Type: Split Energy Eficiency.: A++ Air Conditioner Brand: Philips Model: LED spotMV Power: 2400 W Capacity: 12 sets Noise: 48 dB Energy Eficiency.: A++ Dish Washing Machine Brand: Becken Model: Bc2016 Ix Power: 255 kW/ano Capacity: 251 l Type: Comb. Nr. Stars: 4 Energy Eficiency.: A+ Fridge Brand: Indesit Model: EWE71252W Noise: 60 dB Capacity: 8kg Energy Eficiency.:A++ Cloth Washing Machine Electric Oven Cloth Dryer Machine CO2 savings per appliance Energy Savings (Hor. Temp.: 10 years): 2112,30 € Water savings (Hor. Temp.: 10 years): 745 l Total Investment CO2 Emissions savings (Hor. Temp.: 10 years): 1458,90 kg Brand: Electrolux Model: EZC2430AOX Power: 2700 W Cleaning Syst: Pirol. Glass: Triple Energy Eficiency.: A+ Brand: BOSCH Model: WTE84107EE Noise: 65 dB Capacidade: 8kg Type: Condensation Energy Eficiency.: A+
  • 19. • An approach was presented to provide sustainable household appliances from the market, to the decision-agent (consumer), by considering two objectives, regarding sustainability; environment and economic well-being. • The main objective, was to maximize the consumer well-being (environment and economics) regarding the lifecycle of each appliance, during its usage phase. • The social wellbeing was also promoted, by suit the obtained solutions to the consumer needs. • NSGA-II can also find the Pareto frontier of the solutions, providing therefore several alternative solutions to the consumer. • The achievements presented in this work, allows to proceed in a way of getting a more completed approach that maximizes both dimensions of sustainability (Economical, Environmental and Social) with the social dimension, being therefore integrated into the model developed here, in order to better express the consumer preferences 5.Conclusions 19 Ricardo Santos | João Matias |Antonio Abreu A decision-making tool to provide sustainable solutions to a consumer 11th Advanced Doctoral Conference on Computing, Electrical and Industrial Systems Technological Innovation for Life Improvement 01-03 July, 2020 | Caparica, Lisbon – Portugal
  • 20. 20 Ricardo Santos 1 Antonio Abreu 3 João Matias 2 01-03 July, 2020 | Caparica, Lisbon – Portugal 1 University of Aveiro, Portugal 2Dept. of Economics, Management, Industrial Engineering and Tourism (DEGEIT) University of Aveiro, Portugal C-MasT – University of Beira Interior Govcopp - University of Aveiro 3 ISEL- Instituto Superior de Engenharia de Lisboa, Instituto Politécnico de Lisboa CTS Uninova, Faculdade de Ciências e Tecnologia, Universidade Nova de Lisboa, Portugal ajfa@dem.isel.ipl.pt Thank you A decision-making tool to provide sustainable solutions to a consumer Govcopp - University of Aveiro

Editor's Notes

  1. The approach presented here, was developed to support a Decision-Agent (DA), who wants to acquire a set of electrical appliances (energy services) from the market. On Fig.1, it is presented an approach to provide an optimal set of appliances, regarding each energy service, needed by the DA (e.g. Consumer
  2. The available solutions were pre-selected, according to a set of criteria (Table 1), and based on number of occupants /consumers, to improve the use of the efficient appliances. In this work, it was considered four (e.g. family) occupants. Additionally, the consumer wants to explore the consequences of his choices in future, regarding those made on present, and by predicting an eventual situation of indirect rebound effect, between light and air conditioner appliances. This can be estimated by using scenario simulations during the air conditioner life cycle (previously selected), and by making changes around different light appliances (Table 2) according to a set of scenarios (Table 3).
  3. The consumption profile was performed, by making a set of assumptions based on the hours, which was then extrapolated to a weekly and year base. However, the decision-agent (consumer) can also define its usage profile according to its needs, or by using the profile, considered in the case study presented here, as a default.
  4. This attributes, are usually measured on different measurement scales. Therefore, in order to transform the criteria to follow the same scale and units, it was used an expression to stablish the relationship between the new and the previous value of 𝑥 𝑖𝑗 ( 𝑔 𝑗𝑡 ) , respective
  5. Based on the value attributes previously achieved, it was used the additive model to aggregate them, referred to each option i, regarding energy service j, which was further improved, by applying optimization techniques, by using NSGAII algorithm.
  6. The approach presented here, was developed to support a Decision-Agent (DA), who wants to acquire a set of electrical appliances (energy services) from the market. On Fig.1, it is presented an approach to provide an optimal set of appliances, regarding each energy service, needed by the DA (e.g. Consumer
  7. Based on the diagram of Fig.1, the decision variables can be defined as: Where the objective is to maximize the savings for the consumer: According to [6], it was considered the following objective function ( 𝑉 𝑅 ):
  8. Based on the diagram of Fig.1, the decision variables can be defined as: Where the objective is to maximize the savings for the consumer: According to [6], it was considered the following objective function ( 𝑉 𝑅 ):
  9. The codification used, was binary, given the complexity with the use of real formulation to tackle this problem, mainly in terms of the additional number of constraints. The initial population was 100 individuals, and the parents were selected by using Roulette method, with a single crossover point method and crossover rate of 0,45. The selected mutation operator, was Normal Random with a mutation rate of 0,01.
  10. The model will be applied by using a case study, and considering a consumer (DA), who wishes to acquire 7 types of appliances. His building has four occupants (him included) and the relative importance’s ( 𝜔 𝐴 and 𝜔 𝐵 ) are respectively 0,7 and 0,3. All the remaining assumptions
  11. The remained NSGA-II parameters (initial population, crossover and mutation rate) were defined after several computational experiments. The parameter of max generations, was tested at first, where it was selected a maximum generation number of 90 to show that if 90 iterations were enough to find the Pareto frontier. Other parameters were also tested, such as the population size (100 individuals),the tournament size (10), the crossover rate (0.9), and the mutation rate (0.3). The obtained results, regarding 90th and 100th generations, are presented on Fig. 6 a), where it can be seen that both cases, have similar Pareto frontier. In this sense it was selected the max number iterations/generations of 90. Then, it was preformed several combinations of crossover and mutation rates of NSGA-II
  12. On Table 4, it is presented an example of a feasible solution obtained from GAs, as well as its savings in terms of CO2 emissions, for a budget of 2600 Euros. CO2 savings were calculated by using a carbon footprint indicator (emission factor), obtained from [20]. According to Table 4, the consumer can save up to € 215.6 (€ 1,447.1 € - 1231.5), corresponding to a reduction of 1452,9 kg of CO2 and during a period of 10 years.
  13. In this work, it was presented an approach to provide sustainable household appliances from the market, to the decision-agent (consumer), by considering two objectives,