9. PwC
November 2014
Macroeconomic and Foreign Exchange Data
Section 2 – Markets Update
7
Global Agribusiness • Deal Activity
Source: S&P Capital IQ
FX – Spot rates FX – Week-to-date % change
Macroeconomic indicators
Notes: Real GDP growth represents the forecast percent change for the next quarter from the year ago period • CPI Inflation represents the forecast percent change in the
Consumer Price Index for the next month from the year ago period • Unemployment rate represents the latest available actual unemployment rate and is based on the ILO
methodology which can differ from domestic methodologies • Retail Sales growth represents the actual percent change for the latest available month from the year ago period •
Real Private Consumption Growth represents the actual percent change for the latest available quarter from the previous period • Consumer Confidence Index represents the
actual level of the index for the latest available month • Producer Price Index represents the actual level of the index for finished goods for the latest available month • Capacity
Utilisation represents the actual utilisation for the latest available month
Note: Straight line shows historical spot prices, dotted marked line shows futures prices. Price development table is based on most actively traded futures contract.
FX – Year-to-date % changeFX – Month-to-date % change
EUR USD BRL CNY INR
1 EUR - -1.97 % -1.07 % -1 .90% -1.66%
1 USD 2.01% - 0.92% 0.08% 0.32%
1 BRL 1 .08% -0.91% - -0.84% -0.60%
1 CNY 1 .93% -0.08% 0.84% - 0.24%
1 INR 1 .69% -0.32% 0.60% -0.24% -
80.00
85.00
90.00
95.00
100.00
105.00
110.00
115.00
120.00
Nov-2013 Mar-2014 Jul-2014 Nov-2014 Mar-2015 Jul-2015
Latest price 86 .2 5 Week-to-date 0.3 0%
52-w eek low 84 .5 2 Month-to-date 0.00%
52-w eek high 1 1 5 .06 Year-to-date -2 2 .7 1 %
Dev elopm ent - Crude Oil
Latest price 1 ,1 7 2 .5 1 Week-to-date -4 .3 8%
52-w eek low 1 ,1 61 .3 7 Month-to-date 0.00%
52-w eek high 1 ,3 91 .7 6 Year-to-date -2 .7 2 %
Dev elopm ent - Gold
1,100.00
1,150.00
1,200.00
1,250.00
1,300.00
1,350.00
1,400.00
Nov-2013 Feb-2014 May-2014 Aug-2014 Nov-2014
EUR USD BRL CNY INR
1 EUR - 1.2493 3.131 9 7 .6436 7 6.7 1 31
1 USD 0.8005 - 2.5069 6.1183 61.4050
1 BRL 0.3193 0.3989 - 2.4406 24.4944
1 CNY 0.1308 0.1634 0.4097 - 1 0.0363
1 INR 0.0130 0.0163 0.0408 0.0996 -
EUR USD BRL CNY INR
1 EUR - -0.26% 1 .7 1% -0.1 7 % -0.34%
1 USD 0.26% - 1.98% 0.09% -0.07 %
1 BRL -1 .68% -1.94% - -1.85% -2.01%
1 CNY 0.1 7 % -0.09% 1.88% - -0.16%
1 INR 0.34% 0.07 % 2.05% 0.1 6% -
EUR USD BRL CNY INR
1 EUR - -9.28% -3.7 1% -8.32% -9.90%
1 USD 1 0.23% - 6.14% 1 .06% -0.68%
1 BRL 3.85% -5.7 9% - -4.7 9% -6.43%
1 CNY 9.07 % -1.05% 5.03% - -1.7 2%
1 INR 1 0.99% 0.68% 6.87 % 1.7 5% -
Indicator Brazil China India Germany EU US Japan
Real GDP growth 1.9% na na 2.2% 1.6% 1.9% 2.7 %
CPI Inflation 6.2% 2.1% 8.9% 1.2% 1.1% 1.8% 3.0%
Unemploy ment rate 4.9% na na 5.0% 10.0% 5.9% 3.6%
Real Priv ate Consumption growth -0.5% na na 0.1% 0.0% 0.4% -5.1%
Producer Price Index na na na na na na na
Trade Balance na na na 707 .24 na -1,87 5.98 -288.61
12. PwC
November 2014
Equity Indices
Section 2 – Markets Update
10
Global Agribusiness • Deal Activity
MSCI USA
MSCI Pacific
MSCI World/Food Products (Industry Index)
MSCI Europe
MSCI BRIC
MSCI World/Retailing (Industry Group Index)
Source: S&P Capital IQ
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
Nov-2009 Nov-2010 Nov-2011 Nov-2012 Nov-2013
Latest value 1 ,92 7 .4 4 Week-to-date 2 .6 9 %
52-w eek low 1 ,66 7 .6 0 Month-to-date 0.00%
52-w eek high 1 ,92 7 .4 4 Year-to-date 8.9 9 %
Developm ent - MSCI USA
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
Nov-2009 Nov-2010 Nov-2011 Nov-2012 Nov-2013
Latest value 1 ,6 4 0.2 2 Week-to-date 1 .81 %
52-w eek low 1 ,5 41 .3 6 Month-to-date 0.00%
52-w eek high 1 ,84 5 .7 3 Year-to-date -6 .7 6 %
Dev elopm ent - MSCI Eu rope
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
3,000
Nov-2009 Nov-2010 Nov-2011 Nov-2012 Nov-2013
Latest value 2 ,3 83 .1 0 Week-to-date 3 .09 %
52-w eek low 0.00 Month-to-date 0.00%
52-w eek high 0.00 Year-to-date -1 .9 5 %
Dev elopm ent - MSCI Pacific
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
Nov-2009 Nov-2010 Nov-2011 Nov-2012 Nov-2013
Latest value 2 80.87 Week-to-date 4 .03 %
52-w eek low 0.00 Month-to-date 0.00%
52-w eek high 0.00 Year-to-date 0.88%
Dev elopm ent - MSCI BRIC
0
50
100
150
200
250
Nov-2009 Nov-2010 Nov-2011 Nov-2012 Nov-2013
Latest value 2 1 5 .4 9 Week-to-date 2 .6 3 %
52-w eek low 1 9 4 .5 2 Month-to-date 0.00%
52-w eek high 2 2 6 .62 Year-to-date 3 .1 0%
Dev elopm ent - MSCI World/Food Products (Industry Index)
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
Nov-2009 Nov-2010 Nov-2011 Nov-2012 Nov-2013
Latest value 2 49 .1 7 Week-to-date 2 .9 3 %
52-w eek low 2 2 7 .06 Month-to-date 0.00%
52-w eek high 2 5 1 .7 5 Year-to-date -1 .03 %
Dev elopm ent - MSCI World/Ret ailing (Indust ry Group Index)
13. PwC
November 2014
Section 2 – Markets Update
11
Global Agribusiness • Deal Activity
Credentials
Advisor to Inner
Mongolia Yili Industrial
Group investigations of
NZ dairy processing
opportunities including
full due diligence.
Sell Side advice to
Ravensdown
on divestment of 100%
of western Australian
operation to Louis
Dreyfus Commodities.
PwC advised on the sale
of a cornerstone
shareholding in DHL,
one of New Zealand’s
largest Dairy Farming
Businesses.
Buy side advisory on
acquisition of Coop
Farms estate for
£249m in one of the
largest land sales in
Britain of circa 40,000
acres.
Buy-side financial due
diligence on Cardinal
Foods on behalf of
Lantmännen ek för.
Disposal of majority
stake in QinYuan
Bakery to EQT Greater
China II Fund
Sell-side advisory
Bright Sugar Co. Ltd.
Acquisition of 60%
stake in Yunnan Yin
More Sugar Co. Ltd.
Buy-side advisory
Guan Sheng Yuan
Disposal of shares
to CITIC Capital
Holdings Ltd.
Sell-side advisory
Sale of
to
Koch Fertiliser
Vendor advised by
Refinancing of
Shareholders
Advised by
Advisor to Hoogwegt
Groep on the
acquisition of 60% of
the shares in Meelunie
from Coöperatie AVEBE
Advisor to
FrieslandCampina on
the sale of its
Elsterwerda plant based
in Germany to
Odenwald Fruechte
Due diligence advisor to
McCain in the
acquisition of Lutosa
Debt advisor to
management of
Heiploeg on its capital
structure
Total debt
€130m
Buy-side due diligence
(financial, tax, pension
and IT), tax structuring
and indicative valuation
advice on the merger
with MUH
Financial Advisory
14. PwC
November 2014
Section 2 – Markets Update
12
Global Agribusiness • Deal Activity
PwC is the leading global M&A advisor with a
strong international network
At any given time PwC has approximately 450 live sale mandates. Globally, we advise on over 300 deals
per year.
PwC Ranking FY’13
• Global M&A: 1st
• European M&A: 1st
• European Buyouts: 1st
• UK M&A: 1st
• Spanish M&A: 1st
• Nordic M&A: 1st
• Swedish M&A: 1st
• Denmark M&A: 1st
• Finland M&A: 1st
• Iberian M&A: 1st
• Asia Pacific (excl. Japan): 1st
Volume
1 PwC 347
2 Goldman Sachs 304
3 KPMG 275
4 Morgan Stanley 261
5 JPMorgan 244
Rank Advisor
Global
Volume
1 Goldman Sachs 211
2 Morgan Stanley 171
3 JPMorgan 158
4 Bank of America Merryl Lynch 149
15 PwC 82
Rank Advisor
West Cluster
Volume
1 PwC 94
2 EY 63
3 KPMG 62
4 Goldman Sachs 61
5 UBS Investment Bank 58
Rank Advisor
East Cluster
Volume
1 PwC 235
2 KPMG 182
3 EY 171
4 Deloitte 158
5 Rothschild 151
Rank Advisor
Central Cluster
Source: MergerMarket M&A Trend Report 2013
15. PwC
November 2014
Agribusiness Network
Section 2 – Markets Update
13
Global Agribusiness • Deal Activity
Global CF Leader
Cornelis Smaal
+31 88 792 6431
cornelis.smaal@nl.pwc.com
Argentina
Mariano Tomatis
+ 54 11 4850 4757
mariano.c.tomatis@ar.pwc.com
Gustavo Barrichi
+ 54 341 446 8000
gustavo.h.barrichi@ar.pwc.com
Australia
Craig Heraghty
+61 282 661 458
craig.heraghty@au.pwc.com
Brazil
Jose Rezende
+55 11 3674 2279
jose.rezende@br.pwc.com
Luiz Barbosa
+55 16 2133 6694
luiz.barbosa@br.pwc.com
Daniela Coco
+55 19 3794-5400
daniela.coco@br.pwc.com
Canada
Lori Robidoux
204 926 2464
lori.j.robidoux@ca.pwc.com
CEE
Stephen Oldfield
+44 (0) 771 0388792
stephen.m.oldfield@uk.pwc.com
China
Frank Lyn
+86 10 6533 2388
Frank.lyn@cn.pwc.com
Gabriel Wong
+86 21 2323 2609
Gabriel.wong@cn.pwc.com
France
Yves Pelle
+ 33 (0) 299 231 705
yves.pelle@fr.pwc.com
Germany
Norbert Niedenhof
+49 (0) 541 3304 330
n.niedenhof@de.pwc.com
India
Ajay Kakra
+91 124 3306029
ajay.kakra@in.pwc.com
Sunjay VS
+91 124 3306171
sunjay.vs@in.pwc.com
Indonesia
Rizal Satar
+62 21 5289 0350
Rizal.satar@id.pwc.com
Ireland
Jimmy Maher
+353 (0) 1 792 6326
james.maher@ie.pwc.com
Japan
Matthew J Wyborn
+81 33 546 8570
Matthew.j.wyborn@jp.pwc.com
Taizo Iwashima
+81 3 6266 5572
taizo.iwashima@jp.pwc.com
MENA
Mark Webster
+966 11 211 0400 (Ext. 1555)
mark.a.webster@sa.pwc.com
Netherland
Marco Jansze
+31 (0) 88 792 3133
marco.jansze@nl.pwc.com
Guido Emanuels
+31 6 2042 0533
guido.emanuels@nl.pwc.com
New Zealand
Craig Armitage
+64 3 374 3052
craig.armitage@nz.pwc.com
Regan Hoult
+64 9 355 8177
regan.b.hoult@nz.pwc.com
Peter McMenamin
+64 3 374 3011
peter.j.mcmenamin@nz.pwc.com
Romania
Anca Scurtescu
+40 21 22 53 871
anca.scurtescu@ro.pwc.com
Singapore
Richard Skinner
+65 9823 3771
richard.skinner@sg.pwc.com
South Africa
Frans Weilbach
+27 (21) 815 3204
frans.weilbach@za.pwc.com
Sweden
Marie Gustafsson
+46 709 294 190
marie.gustafsson@se.pwc.com
Switzerland
Dr. Martin Frey
+41 58 792 15 37
Martin.frey@ch.pwc.com
Ukraine
Olena Volkova
+38 (0) 56 733 5010
olena.volkova@ua.pwc.com
UK
Liam Hennigan
+44 (0) 7841 494011
liam.hennigan@uk.pwc.com
Mark James
+44 (0) 7803 858721
mark.d.james@uk.pwc.com
Thomas Sengbusch
44 (0) 7725 069448
thomas.sengbusch@uk.pwc.com
USA
Thomas Johnson
+1 612 596 4846
thomas.r.johnson@us.pwc.com
Sean Gaffney
+1 216 875 3275
sean.gaffney@us.pwc.com