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Next Generation Learning and the Innovation Imperative Josh Jarrett, Senior Program Officer September 10th, 2010 Source: Seattle Times, Tuesday, January 26, 2010
My frame of reference 9 years in the private sector: ,[object Object]
Software entrepreneur
MBA6 years in the nonprofit sector: ,[object Object]
Foundation program officer – innovative technology and delivery in postsecondary edMotivations: ,[object Object]
Hard problems
Problems that matter
Impatient actors2
Our foundation’s work “All lives have equal value” US PROGRAM-WIDE GOAL COLLEGE-READY POSTSECONDARY SUCCESS Double the Number of Low-Income Young Adults Who Earn  A Postsecondary Credential With Value in the Labor Market Expanded opportunity for all Americans Improve College-Ready Graduation Rates from High School 3
The Innovation Imperative The Innovator’s Dilemma Five Trends I'm Watching Co-Designing the Future  4
Four Challenges for the Next Decade Demographic challenge ,[object Object]
Low academic readiness
“Non-traditional” new normalCompletion challenge Stagnant ~40% AA+ attainment levels Middle skill job demand Low completion rates Funding challenge ,[object Object]
Limits to student and family ability to pay and to borrowScaling challenge ,[object Object]
Fragmented decision-making and incentives5
2 Completion challenge Educational attainment for non-low-income 26 year olds Average income ,[object Object]
 H.S. diploma: $33,609United States postsecondary attainment: ,[object Object]
 2010:  #10
 2020:  #15Educational attainment for low-income 26 year olds Source: Bureau of the Census, Bureau of Labor Statistics. OECD, National Longitudinal Survey of Youth.  Note:  Low income defined as 185% of poverty line, consistent with K-12 free and reduced lunch threshold
Demographic challenge “Traditional” ,[object Object]
Enroll fulltime
Financially dependent on their parents25% “Non-traditional” ,[object Object]
Have dependents of their own (27%)
Work full time (38%)
Enroll part time (49%)75% Source:  The Other 75%: Government Policy & Mass Higher Education., Paul Attewell  (unpublished).
Funding challenge Source:  Association of American Publishers (AAP)
Scaling challenge 2007 Education market Number of  companies Actual companies Projected distribution Only 2 of 67 orgs funded by US Department of Education innovation grants scaled/are still operational Revenue US$ Millions 1 5 20 100 400 Source:  McKinsey analysis of EMR 2007 K-12 report and Berkerey Noyes 2007 investment analysis (unpublished)
The innovation imperative ,[object Object]
Flexibility to meet non-traditional students’ needs
Higher engagement, relevance, and retention
Increased participatory and peer-to-peer learning
Accelerated learning pathways
Integration of technical skills, soft skills, and 21st century skills
Clearer, shared measures of success
Improved cost-effectiveness,[object Object]
Innovator’s Dilemma 12
The “Iron Triangle” suggests a degree of paralysis “In the view of many college and university presidents, the three main factors in higher education—cost, quality, and access—exist in what we call an iron triangle. These factors are linked in an unbreakable reciprocal relationship, such that any change in one will inevitably impact the others.”               - Public Agenda research on opinions of higher education presidents Source:  The Iron Triangle:  College Presidents Talk About Costs, Access, and Quality, Public Agenda, October 2008.
The revolution will not be televised Emerging Product Categories  P2P Social Games Learning Games Simulation Social Networks Mobile Open Publishing  Aggregators Formal  Learning Informal  Learning  Reference-ware Online Learning Tutoring Online Resources Community Driven Interven-tions Services Oriented Learning Communities Content Driven Platform Driven Established Product Categories Source:  Startl
The Innovation Imperative The Innovator’s Dilemma Five Trends I'm Watching Co-Designing the Future  15
Five Trends I'm Watching Lecture model challenged by virtual teams and shared courseware  1 16
“Improvement in post-secondary education will require converting teaching from a ‘solo-sport’ to a community-based research activity.” -Herbert Simon, Nobel Laureate

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Next Generation Learning and the Innovation Imperative

Editor's Notes

  1. Greetings, etc
  2. OLI evaluation efforts have investigated OLI courses’ effectiveness not only in stand-alone mode, but also in an instructor-led “accelerated learning” mode. This type of study owes its origins to Ben Bloom’s mastery learning concept and the subsequent accelerated schools program. The most common dependent measure used in such studies is time, i.e. the time it takes a learner to complete a particular amount of material, with proper assessment of equivalent learning outcomes. In these studies of OLI courses, we have demonstrated accelerated learning by showing that a learner can complete a semester-long course in significantly less than a semester and/or that a learner can complete significantly more than a semester’s worth of material within a semester’s time. Results showed that OLI-Statistics students learned a full semester’s worth of material in half as much time and performed as well or better than students in traditional instruction. Two studies conducted at Carnegie Mellon tested whether learners using the OLI course in hybrid mode—that is, students meeting with instructors regularly, but less frequently than in traditional courses, while also using the online modules and assignments of OLI- Statistics—would learn the same amount of material in a significantly shorter time than students in traditional class formats. Results exceeded expectations: OLI-Statistics students completed the course in 8 weeks with 2 class meeting per week, while traditional students completed the course in 15 weeks with 4 class meetings per week. Significantly, student logs showed that the OLI students spent no more total time studying statistics outside of class than the traditional students. Yet the OLI students demonstrated as good or better learning outcomes than the traditional students. Further, there was no significant difference in retention between OLI students and traditional students in tests given 1+ semesters later.[i] Usually, that kind of effectiveness or efficiency effect would be expected only as the result of individualized, human-tutored instruction. And yet in this case, students who met for less than two hours of class per week demonstrated phenomenal performance. [i] M. Lovett, O. Meyer, & C. Thille, C., “The Open Learning Initiative: Measuring the effectiveness of the OLI statistics course in accelerating student learning,” Journal of Interactive Media in Education (2008), http:// jime.open.ac.uk/2008/14/