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Unemployment
Measurement of unemployment

    Unemployment rate = (unemployed / labor force) × 100
    Part-time employment:
      o Part-time workers counted as fully employed
      o Understateunemploymentrate
    Discouragedworkers:
      o Labor force who give up employment after continuous unsuccessful
         job search
             Counted as “not in labor force”
             Understateunemploymentrate
    Population:
      o 1) Under 16 or institutionalized (not considered potential members
         of the labor force)
      o 2) Those not in labor force (adults who are potential workers but are
         not employed and are not seeking work)
      o 3) Labor force (consists of people who are able and willing to work.
         Both those who are employed and those who are unemployed but
         actively seeking work are counted as being in the labor force)


Types of unemployment

    Frictional - Occurs when unemployed workers and firms are searching
    for the best available job-match (including new labor force entrants
    looking for first jobs and workers who are temporarily between jobs
    because of moving to new location or occupation to be more productive).
    The term 'frictional' is appropriate for the type of unemployment at hand
    as it shows that there is no system that is smooth in all aspects.
    Structural - Changes in technology that alter the "structure" of the
    demand for labor cause structural unemployment- the skills of a worker is
    no longer demanded. eg. blacksmiths making horseshoes were no
    longer demanded as much after automobiles were invented because it
    made horses, as transportation, obsolete.
       o **The key difference between frictional and Structural
          unemployment
   Frictional unemployed workers have salable skills, while
               structurally unemployed workers find it hard to obtain new jobs
               without retraining
             Frictional unemployment is short-term, structural
               unemployment is more likely to be long-term and consequently
               more serious.
    Cyclical - Caused by a decline in total spending.
      o This begins during the recession phase of the business cycle
      o It is a result of an insufficient demand for goods




Full-employment

    Full Employment is something less than 100 percent employment of the
    labor force. It occurs when there is no cyclical unemployment. Some
    frictional and structural unemployment is necessary for short-term
    growth.
    Potential output occurs at the Natural Rate of Unemployment (NRU); this
    is when the economy is said to be proudcing its greatest potential output.
        o The NRU occurs when the number of job seekers equals the
           number of job vacancies.
        o The economy can operate for a while at an unemployment rate
           below the NRU.
        o The NRU is different between countries; Canada's NRU, for
           instance, is not the same as the United States


Economiccosts of unemployment

    GDP gap= actual GDP- potential GDP
       o A positive GDP gap occurs when acutal GDP exceeds potential
         GDP, however, positive GDP gaps create inflationary pressure.
    Okun's Law - for every one percentage point increase in unemployment
    rate above the natural rate, a negative GDP gap of about 2 percent
    occurs.
    Unequal Burdens - Part of the burden of unemployment is that its cost is
    unequally distributed.
       o Occupation: Workers in lower-skilled occupations have higher
         unemployment rates than workers in higher-skilled occupations.
         Lower-skilled workers have more and longer structural
unemployment, and are less likely to be self-employed than are
           higher-skilled workers.
        o Age: Teenagers have higher unemployment rates than adults.
           Teenagers have lower skill levels, quit their jobs more frequently,
           are more frequently fired, and have less geographic mobility than
           adults.
        o Race and ethnicity: Unemployment rate for African-Americans and
           Hispanics is higher than that for whites. This is because of lower
           rates of educational attainment, greater concentration in lower-
           skilled occupations, and discrimination in the labor market.
        o Gender: The employment rates for men and women are very
           similar.
        o Education: Less educated workers, on average, have higher
           unemployment rates.
        o Duration:The number of persons unemployed for long periods (15
           weeks or more) as a percentage of the labor force is much lower
           than the overall unemployment rate.
     Non-economicCosts
        o A depression and severe cyclical unemployment means idleness.
           When workers are idle, they lose skills, self-respect and morale. It
           also leads to the breakup of families and unrest in the country
        o Povertyincreases
        o Racial/ethnictensionsincrease
                Ex: The rise of Hitler when Germany suffered from severe
                 unemployment
     Individual level:
        o Increased suicide, homicide, fatal heart attacks, strokes, mental
           illness
     International Comparison

Unemployment rates differ greatly among nations at any given time ecause
the different natural rates of unemployment and different phases of business
cycle. Also, nations may be in different phases of their business cycles, which
can explain why between 1995 and 2005, the US unemployment rate was
considerable lower than the rates in Italy, France, and Germany.

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Unemployment

  • 1. Unemployment Measurement of unemployment Unemployment rate = (unemployed / labor force) × 100 Part-time employment: o Part-time workers counted as fully employed o Understateunemploymentrate Discouragedworkers: o Labor force who give up employment after continuous unsuccessful job search  Counted as “not in labor force”  Understateunemploymentrate Population: o 1) Under 16 or institutionalized (not considered potential members of the labor force) o 2) Those not in labor force (adults who are potential workers but are not employed and are not seeking work) o 3) Labor force (consists of people who are able and willing to work. Both those who are employed and those who are unemployed but actively seeking work are counted as being in the labor force) Types of unemployment Frictional - Occurs when unemployed workers and firms are searching for the best available job-match (including new labor force entrants looking for first jobs and workers who are temporarily between jobs because of moving to new location or occupation to be more productive). The term 'frictional' is appropriate for the type of unemployment at hand as it shows that there is no system that is smooth in all aspects. Structural - Changes in technology that alter the "structure" of the demand for labor cause structural unemployment- the skills of a worker is no longer demanded. eg. blacksmiths making horseshoes were no longer demanded as much after automobiles were invented because it made horses, as transportation, obsolete. o **The key difference between frictional and Structural unemployment
  • 2. Frictional unemployed workers have salable skills, while structurally unemployed workers find it hard to obtain new jobs without retraining  Frictional unemployment is short-term, structural unemployment is more likely to be long-term and consequently more serious. Cyclical - Caused by a decline in total spending. o This begins during the recession phase of the business cycle o It is a result of an insufficient demand for goods Full-employment Full Employment is something less than 100 percent employment of the labor force. It occurs when there is no cyclical unemployment. Some frictional and structural unemployment is necessary for short-term growth. Potential output occurs at the Natural Rate of Unemployment (NRU); this is when the economy is said to be proudcing its greatest potential output. o The NRU occurs when the number of job seekers equals the number of job vacancies. o The economy can operate for a while at an unemployment rate below the NRU. o The NRU is different between countries; Canada's NRU, for instance, is not the same as the United States Economiccosts of unemployment GDP gap= actual GDP- potential GDP o A positive GDP gap occurs when acutal GDP exceeds potential GDP, however, positive GDP gaps create inflationary pressure. Okun's Law - for every one percentage point increase in unemployment rate above the natural rate, a negative GDP gap of about 2 percent occurs. Unequal Burdens - Part of the burden of unemployment is that its cost is unequally distributed. o Occupation: Workers in lower-skilled occupations have higher unemployment rates than workers in higher-skilled occupations. Lower-skilled workers have more and longer structural
  • 3. unemployment, and are less likely to be self-employed than are higher-skilled workers. o Age: Teenagers have higher unemployment rates than adults. Teenagers have lower skill levels, quit their jobs more frequently, are more frequently fired, and have less geographic mobility than adults. o Race and ethnicity: Unemployment rate for African-Americans and Hispanics is higher than that for whites. This is because of lower rates of educational attainment, greater concentration in lower- skilled occupations, and discrimination in the labor market. o Gender: The employment rates for men and women are very similar. o Education: Less educated workers, on average, have higher unemployment rates. o Duration:The number of persons unemployed for long periods (15 weeks or more) as a percentage of the labor force is much lower than the overall unemployment rate. Non-economicCosts o A depression and severe cyclical unemployment means idleness. When workers are idle, they lose skills, self-respect and morale. It also leads to the breakup of families and unrest in the country o Povertyincreases o Racial/ethnictensionsincrease  Ex: The rise of Hitler when Germany suffered from severe unemployment Individual level: o Increased suicide, homicide, fatal heart attacks, strokes, mental illness International Comparison Unemployment rates differ greatly among nations at any given time ecause the different natural rates of unemployment and different phases of business cycle. Also, nations may be in different phases of their business cycles, which can explain why between 1995 and 2005, the US unemployment rate was considerable lower than the rates in Italy, France, and Germany.