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ERROR THEORY
• Scope
– Depending on their respective purposes,
measurement have to be performed to a
certain accuracy and reliability.
– Due to shortcoming of measuring
instruments and human senses it is
impossible to obtain truly error free
measurements.
2
• As a rule, measurements are repeated
several times, and if possible supported
by additional measurements.
• Example
– Measuring hypotenuse in addition to the
sides of right angled triangle, or
– Observing the third angle of a triangle in
addition to the two that are needed.
• The evaluation of the measurements
leads to the following tasks:
3
– To derive the most probable mean value of
the desired unknown quantity.
– To provide a figure for the accuracy or the
dispersion of a single measurement.
– To estimate the accuracy or dispersion of
the mean and its confidence region.
4
• Surveying measurements are subjected
to three types of errors
– Gross Errors/mistakes
– Systematic Errors
– Random Errors
5
• Gross Errors
– Often called mistakes or blunders
– Usually much larger than other categories
– Usually result due to inexperience of the
observer who is not familiar with equipment
and methods used
– Gross errors are due carelessness or
incompetence of the observer
– Can be spotted by check measurements
and then eliminated.
6
• Examples
– displacement of arrows or station marks
– miscounting tape lengths
– misreading the tape
– wrong booking
7
• Systematic Errors
– Systematic Errors are those which follow
some mathematical law and they will have
the same magnitude and sign in a series of
measurements when repeated under the
same condition.
– They are cumulative in nature
– Can be eliminated by applying some
mathematical corrections.
– Can also be removed by calibrating the
observing equipment and quantifying the
the errors
8
– Proper selection of measuring procedure
• Examples
– Wrong length of tape
– Poor ranging
– poor straightening
– slope
– sag
– temperature variation
– wrong tensioning
9
• Random Errors
– Random errors are errors that remain after
all gross and systematic errors are removed
– Random errors cannot be removed from
measurement but methods can be adopted
to ensure that they are kept within
acceptable limits.
– Random errors are inherent in all types of
measurement, the magnitude and the sign of
which are not constant.
– Random errors can either be positive or
negative and hence they tend to
compensate each other.
10
• In surveying the true value of a quantity is
usually never known
• The exact error in a measurement or
observation can never be known.
• Random errors follow general laws of
probability and these are:
– Small errors occur more frequently and therefore
are more frequent than large ones
– Large errors happen infrequently and are
therefore less probable, very large errors may be
mistakes and not random errors
– Positive and negative errors of the same size are
equally probable and happen with equal
frequency.
11
• Examples
– holding and marking
– variation in tension
0
-10 10
Magnitude of Error
Error
frequency
12
In general, the distance measurement obtained in the field will be
in error. Errors in the distance measurement can arise from a
number of sources:
1) Instrument errors. A tape may be faulty due to a defect in
its manufacturing or from kinking.
2) Natural errors. The actual horizontal distance between
the ends of the tape can vary due to the effects of:
temperature,
elongation due to tension, and
sagging.
3) Personal errors. Errors will arise from carelessness by
the survey crew:
poor alignment
tape not horizontal
13
• Redundancy
– Redundant observations are additional
measurements taken for a quantity in order
to evaluate standard errors and establish
probabilities.
– Redundant observation are also used to
detect mistakes in the field work
• Precision
– Pertain to the closeness to one another of a
set of repeated observations in a random
variable
14
– If such observation are clustered together,
then they are said to have been obtained
with a high precision
Accuracy
– Refers to the closeness between
measurements and their true values.
– The further the measurement is from the
true value, the less accurate it is.
– Quite often words like the most probable
value, expected value and mean are used
as the true value can never be achieved
15
• Reliability
– In all surveying measurements, attempts
are made to detect and eliminate mistakes
in fieldwork and computations and the
degree to which a survey is able to do this is
a measure of its reliability.
– Unreliable observations are those which
may contain gross errors without the
observer knowing
– Reliable observations are unlikely to contain
undetected mistakes.
16
• Mean
– The single li, which would be obtained if a
quantity were to be determined by an
infinite number of equal precise
independent measurements (n ) with
random errors, would oscillate around a
mean value .
– Mean is called the mathematical
expectation or the “true” value of the
quantity.
17
– Usually only a limited number of
measurements is available (a random
sample of size n) the sample mean
(arithmetic mean is used to estimate the
true value.
ẋ =1/n(l1+l2+…+ ln) = 1/nli
– The residuals or correction which remain
after the formation of arithmetic mean
v1 = ẋ -l1; v2 = ẋ-l2; vn = ẋ-ln
are such that the sum of the square (v) is
minimum
18
– This the basic requirement for the method
called least square
• Measure of spread/dispersion
– To obtain a measure of spread of a single
measurement, the deviations of the
observation li from the true value  are
considered.
– For n  this leads to the so called “true
errors”.
1= 1-l1; 2= 1-l2; …; n= 1-ln
19
– The measure of accuracy of a single
observation li is defined by the “theoretical
standard deviation”.
 = ±(2/n)1/2
for n 
– Usually  and i are unknown, sample mean
x and residuals vi are used.
20
– Based on the estimation the sample
standard error of the observation is
obtained as an approximation or
estimation of as:
s = ± (v2/n-1)1/2
– The sample standard error of the mean of
n observations becomes
sẋ =±s/(n)1/2
21
x
f(x)
measurements
High precision
small 
Low precision
high 
2 2
1 1
22
• A small deviation (1) indicates a small spread
amongst results
• A large deviation (2) indicates a large spread
• In other words the set of measurements with
small standard deviation (1) has a higher
precision than the other set with larger
standard deviation (2)
• For statistical reasons standard deviation
should be derived from a large number of
observation.

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Lecture 5 - errors.pdf

  • 1. 1 ERROR THEORY • Scope – Depending on their respective purposes, measurement have to be performed to a certain accuracy and reliability. – Due to shortcoming of measuring instruments and human senses it is impossible to obtain truly error free measurements.
  • 2. 2 • As a rule, measurements are repeated several times, and if possible supported by additional measurements. • Example – Measuring hypotenuse in addition to the sides of right angled triangle, or – Observing the third angle of a triangle in addition to the two that are needed. • The evaluation of the measurements leads to the following tasks:
  • 3. 3 – To derive the most probable mean value of the desired unknown quantity. – To provide a figure for the accuracy or the dispersion of a single measurement. – To estimate the accuracy or dispersion of the mean and its confidence region.
  • 4. 4 • Surveying measurements are subjected to three types of errors – Gross Errors/mistakes – Systematic Errors – Random Errors
  • 5. 5 • Gross Errors – Often called mistakes or blunders – Usually much larger than other categories – Usually result due to inexperience of the observer who is not familiar with equipment and methods used – Gross errors are due carelessness or incompetence of the observer – Can be spotted by check measurements and then eliminated.
  • 6. 6 • Examples – displacement of arrows or station marks – miscounting tape lengths – misreading the tape – wrong booking
  • 7. 7 • Systematic Errors – Systematic Errors are those which follow some mathematical law and they will have the same magnitude and sign in a series of measurements when repeated under the same condition. – They are cumulative in nature – Can be eliminated by applying some mathematical corrections. – Can also be removed by calibrating the observing equipment and quantifying the the errors
  • 8. 8 – Proper selection of measuring procedure • Examples – Wrong length of tape – Poor ranging – poor straightening – slope – sag – temperature variation – wrong tensioning
  • 9. 9 • Random Errors – Random errors are errors that remain after all gross and systematic errors are removed – Random errors cannot be removed from measurement but methods can be adopted to ensure that they are kept within acceptable limits. – Random errors are inherent in all types of measurement, the magnitude and the sign of which are not constant. – Random errors can either be positive or negative and hence they tend to compensate each other.
  • 10. 10 • In surveying the true value of a quantity is usually never known • The exact error in a measurement or observation can never be known. • Random errors follow general laws of probability and these are: – Small errors occur more frequently and therefore are more frequent than large ones – Large errors happen infrequently and are therefore less probable, very large errors may be mistakes and not random errors – Positive and negative errors of the same size are equally probable and happen with equal frequency.
  • 11. 11 • Examples – holding and marking – variation in tension 0 -10 10 Magnitude of Error Error frequency
  • 12. 12 In general, the distance measurement obtained in the field will be in error. Errors in the distance measurement can arise from a number of sources: 1) Instrument errors. A tape may be faulty due to a defect in its manufacturing or from kinking. 2) Natural errors. The actual horizontal distance between the ends of the tape can vary due to the effects of: temperature, elongation due to tension, and sagging. 3) Personal errors. Errors will arise from carelessness by the survey crew: poor alignment tape not horizontal
  • 13. 13 • Redundancy – Redundant observations are additional measurements taken for a quantity in order to evaluate standard errors and establish probabilities. – Redundant observation are also used to detect mistakes in the field work • Precision – Pertain to the closeness to one another of a set of repeated observations in a random variable
  • 14. 14 – If such observation are clustered together, then they are said to have been obtained with a high precision Accuracy – Refers to the closeness between measurements and their true values. – The further the measurement is from the true value, the less accurate it is. – Quite often words like the most probable value, expected value and mean are used as the true value can never be achieved
  • 15. 15 • Reliability – In all surveying measurements, attempts are made to detect and eliminate mistakes in fieldwork and computations and the degree to which a survey is able to do this is a measure of its reliability. – Unreliable observations are those which may contain gross errors without the observer knowing – Reliable observations are unlikely to contain undetected mistakes.
  • 16. 16 • Mean – The single li, which would be obtained if a quantity were to be determined by an infinite number of equal precise independent measurements (n ) with random errors, would oscillate around a mean value . – Mean is called the mathematical expectation or the “true” value of the quantity.
  • 17. 17 – Usually only a limited number of measurements is available (a random sample of size n) the sample mean (arithmetic mean is used to estimate the true value. ẋ =1/n(l1+l2+…+ ln) = 1/nli – The residuals or correction which remain after the formation of arithmetic mean v1 = ẋ -l1; v2 = ẋ-l2; vn = ẋ-ln are such that the sum of the square (v) is minimum
  • 18. 18 – This the basic requirement for the method called least square • Measure of spread/dispersion – To obtain a measure of spread of a single measurement, the deviations of the observation li from the true value  are considered. – For n  this leads to the so called “true errors”. 1= 1-l1; 2= 1-l2; …; n= 1-ln
  • 19. 19 – The measure of accuracy of a single observation li is defined by the “theoretical standard deviation”.  = ±(2/n)1/2 for n  – Usually  and i are unknown, sample mean x and residuals vi are used.
  • 20. 20 – Based on the estimation the sample standard error of the observation is obtained as an approximation or estimation of as: s = ± (v2/n-1)1/2 – The sample standard error of the mean of n observations becomes sẋ =±s/(n)1/2
  • 21. 21 x f(x) measurements High precision small  Low precision high  2 2 1 1
  • 22. 22 • A small deviation (1) indicates a small spread amongst results • A large deviation (2) indicates a large spread • In other words the set of measurements with small standard deviation (1) has a higher precision than the other set with larger standard deviation (2) • For statistical reasons standard deviation should be derived from a large number of observation.